From the “weather is not climate department”
Lots of odd weather events going on worldwide.
- Snow in Brazil
- Freeze in Boliva kills wildlfe
- Heatwave and fires in Russia – but it is not global warming
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Record Cold Grips South America
Merco Press – August 5, 2010
Snow in Brazil
Light snow storms in Brazil were concentrated in areas of Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina. O Globo network aired snow flakes falling in early morning, cars covered with a thin white coating and some roads dangerously slippery because of ice.
In Argentina the phenomenon extended to Northern provinces, geographically sub-tropical while in the Patagonia and along the Andes snow reached over a metre deep, isolating villages and causing yet undisclosed losses to crops and livestock.
…
After a harsh weekend, Argentina’s National Weather Forecast Service announced the cold weather is expected to stay until Thursday although it could again reach a freezing peak over the coming week-end.
On Wednesday a northbound cold front hit the Patagonia and central Argentine regions. In Patagonia, minimum temperatures went as low as minus 10 Celsius with even lower numbers in snowy regions, while maximum temps were in the range of zero to 7 Celsius.
…
In Uruguay the power record consumption was reached on Wednesday at 20:45. The lowest temperatures were registered in the north and west of the country: minus 7 Celsius.
…
“The last time something of this magnitude happened was 47 years ago”, said governor Costas.
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Bolivia has been hit by an unprecedented cold wave, which has wiped out fish, turtles, and even dolphins in rivers, ponds and lakes around the country. The rivers are now surrounded with the stench of dead carcasses. And this comes only days after snowfall in Buenos Aires.
See: http://www.boliviabella.com/1-million-fish-dead-in-bolivian-ecological-disaster.html
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Russia – It’s not global warming
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Numerous large forest fires were burning in Russia’s Far East on July 19, 2010, when the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite passed overhead and captured this photo-like image. Actively burning areas that MODIS detected are outlined in red, while thick smoke shrouds the forested landscape below. The body of water at lower left is a bay at the northeastern end of the Sea of Okhotsk.
Clusters of red outlines indicate areas with unusually high surface temperatures, each associated with actively burning fires. Most of the fires send their plumes to the southwest, but others blow to the northeast and northwest, indicating the variable wind direction in the region. A thick plume of intensely gray smoke, measuring hundreds of kilometers wide, can be seen stretching across the Bering Sea, completely obscuring the water in some areas.
In the lower center of the image lies the Kamchatka peninsula. A triangle of three hotspots, which do not appear to be associated with smoke, are located at the base of the Klyuchevsky volcano. This snow-covered volcano was reported to have experienced two eruptions in June, spewing jets of incandescent lava and ash clouds several hundred meters into the sky.
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h/t to WUWT readers Max Hugoson, Scarlet Pumpernickel, Ag Foster, John from CA
And now the magic questions:
[1] How long have the forests in the Russian/Siberian area been allowed to grow with dense undergrowth?
[2] What is the frequency of Russian/Siberian forest fires?
Ulric Lyons says:
August 8, 2010 at 5:51 am
I looked through some of the El Nino related threads, couldn’t find it, but I do remember your prediction.
Maybe Anthony or a mod can find it.
Mid-August is not yet here, so in about a week the loopy-loops will finally move.
I watch the level of solar activity as seen by the visible sunspot area, which has climbed back up to 80-90% of the levels attained in 2 peaks, mid January and mid March 2010.
Why is Railroad Bill Pachauri still squatting and blowing atop the IPCC? Delenda est UN-o!
What is amazing is the news blackout by the MSM regarding the bitter southern hemisphere winter.
The fires in Russia and the floods in Pakistan are all over the news but nothing from the south, could there be a consensus at work in the media and news wire services?
The MSM is tightly controlled but I didnt realise just how tight.
bitter southern hemisphere winter.
How bitter is your winter compared to previous winters, Cassandra?
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/archive.html?year=2010&month=08
Puzzling, eh?
Ref – Rogerio Maestri says:
August 7, 2010 at 11:21 pm
“To have a good idea of snow in Brazil (values of 10”in two days), see
http://www.metsul.com/blog/
_________________________________
Thanks Rogerio! You know, if I lived down there I’d celebrate Christmas in June or July and Easter in October or November. The World is really, still, bigger than most of us realize. Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
rbateman says:
August 7, 2010 at 10:56 pm
“”What mechanism is at play causing the pressure cells to stop moving?”
Lunar declinational tidal movements of the atmosphere, the peak angle at culmination, in the 18.6 year period was back in 2005 (remember all of the hurricanes due to the resultant global atmospheric turbulence as the tide turned?)
“This phenomenon is clearly global in nature.”
Yes of course it is..
“The cold wave in S. America.”
Just happens to arrive as the moon goes to maximum North culmination, and the polar surge up from the South slides up the lee ward side of the Andes, to form the secondary tidal bulge.
“The fires in Russia and British Columbia.
The continued downpours in Pakistan.
The Low off the Pacific Northwest in place of the traditional High.
The 80N temps below normal all summer.”
The continued decline in the lunar declinational angle at the 27.32 day pattern of culminations, is approaching the same angle as the apparent solar declination angle at its annual declination of ~23.5 degrees, the syzygy of the two combining tidal forces in mid winter or summer (pick a hemisphere) will cause the total combined tidal bulges to become larger and more mobile. (Like we saw last winter in the northern hemisphere, now in the Southern winter, and again this next Northern winter)
“The sparsity of tropical storms so far.”
That is an effect of the timing of the synod conjunctions with the outer planets, Saturn on March the 22nd 2010, brought in a nice load of heavy rain, tornadoes and flash floods globally. Now with no other outer planet heliocentric conjunction until they are all clumped together August 20th till September 24th, the additional power inducted into the tropical storm engine has been lacking. Leaving us with just the lunar declinational tidal meridional pulses that brought us Bonnie and Colin as pulses of tropical moisture with out the ion energy content to drive the peak precipitation that drives them into cat 2 – cat5 storms. They are waiting till the ionic discharge of the global atmosphere post synod conjunctions, expect the stronger storms to start on 20th and run to 28th of August, 2010, and start up again September 21st and run through end of the month, with some after thoughts due to continued further discharges, coinciding with the lunar declinational culmination angle peaks, both North and South.
“About the only thing moving is cold water pouring into Nino 3.4.
What is this, and has it happened before?
I’d like to call it global weather paralysis.”
It is a combination of the slow solar cycle activity, with the descending culmination angle of the lunar declination, and the outer planets Saturn /Mars this last spring, and Neptune, Uranus, Jupiter, and Venus all clumped into the fall for the next couple of years. The huge clumps of strong hurricanes seen in 2005 will not be back as long as the outer planets Neptune and Uranus are drifting apart and progressing into the fall, instead we will be experiencing their effects as more East coast and European snow storms of increased intensity. Given also that there will be no outer planet assisted forced intrusions of warm moist tropical air masses, during the next several Northern winters, expect cold and blustery to be the norm for a while (about 15 to 20 more years.) You will see your breath, but not feel the CO2?
*You had to ask didn’t you?*
899 says:
August 8, 2010 at 6:56 am
And now the magic questions:
[1] How long have the forests in the Russian/Siberian area been allowed to grow with dense undergrowth?
[2] What is the frequency of Russian/Siberian forest fires?
——————————————————————————–
1. Nobody is EVER taking care of ANY dense undergrowth in the siberian taiga and boreal forests.
2. Approximately every 200 years any given patch of siberian forest will experience a forest fire. The forests are used to that and are adapted to it – so much so, that certain species of conifers can’t disseminate anymore WITHOUT having their seeds exposed to a fire first, which guarantees a blank, properly fertilized ground underneath the parent tree.
Yeah, everyone’s got tired of ‘the 2003 death of a zillion French People, proof of the dreadfulness of cAGW and confirmation of the need to move to a “low carbon economy” NOW (even if the technology just doesn’t work).’
2003 is just so passé.
So it is great that they’ve found another warmista icon to carry round whilst they beat a slow drum and wail into their bandanas.
After all the “coldest winter for a generation” in the UK and the Dzud in Mongolia and what’s happening now in South America is just local weather.
We can forget them.
While we still have early August, it rather feels like late September here in Germany.
This summer s****s! (self-snip)
@Caleb -El Nino controlled the Weather in the Pac NW Hence the Global Warming
Winter Olympics in Vancouver-one of the most idiotic venues ever for the
Winter Olympics. -Why not say, Coos Bay Or. or Aberdeen Wa.? That said,
now with Nina in the seat, we are going to see a very serious winter, I fear. Normally
the East USA is warmer, but that may not happen this year. Beware the Polar Jet.
Now to attend my green tomatos…..
If you read Weather Action’s website, you will see that Piers Corbyn forcast many of these events using his solar weather technique. He has a theory that certain solar weather events affect the earths weather via modulation of the jet streams. Piers also says that all this weather has occurred before on the earth. Weather repeats itself.
So where are we now? Seems like August 2000 to me. Solar cycle 23 was ramping up. Eyjafjallajökull had loaded the troposphere with water vapor, volcanic gasses and particulate. The stratosphere cleared from sulfates. El-Nino had given way to La Nina. Katla did not blow her top.
So we should be roasting by 2015 to 2017, unless a major volcano blows her top. Then we fall into another solar minimum and the volcanoes erupt and we do it all over again. Only it seems to swing harder from one extreme to the other the deeper the minimums go.
rbateman says:
August 7, 2010 at 10:56 pm (Edit)
What mechanism is at play causing the pressure cells to stop moving?
This phenomenon is clearly global in nature.
The cold wave in S. America.
The fires in Russia and British Columbia.
The continued downpours in Pakistan.
The Low off the Pacific Northwest in place of the traditional High.
The 80N temps below normal all summer.
The sparcity of tropical storms so far.
About the only thing moving is cold water pouring into Nino 3.4.
What is this, and has it happened before?
I’d like to call it global weather paralysis.
I think the recent big Sudden Stratospheric Warming event in Antarctica may have something to do with it. The SSW in the north last year had a blocking effect on weather systems too.
“rbateman says:
August 7, 2010 at 11:16 pm
According to the Cato Institute man, the anomaly is the position of the Jet Streams.
Who was that that said the Sun is responsible for the Jet Streams getting moved north/south?”
Moi.
But I qualified it by saying that the primary short term influence on the jet stream positioning (in fact the average latitudinal position of all the air circulation systems) is the global net rate of energy flux from the oceans (heavily biased towards ENSO)
That is then modified from above by the level of solar activity which operates over longer time scales to affect the energy flux from stratosphere to space.
The climate outcome is the result of that constant interplay. The oceanic effect dictates the size of the equatorial air masses and the solar effect dictates the size of the polar air masses.
“The observed climate is just the equilibrium response to such variations with
the positions of the air circulation systems and the speed of the hydrological
cycle always adjusting to bring energy differentials above and below the
troposphere back towards equilibrium (Wilde’s Law ?).”
from here:
http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=5497
and also published on this site a while ago.
I’m quite sure it will become blatantly obvious before long.
All this talk of temperature extremes, i had a quick look at when record temperatures were reached. It may surprise some people in which years the hottest temperatures in each continent were recorded:
Europe: 1977
North America: 1913
Asia: 1942
Oceania: 1960
South America 1920
Africa: 1922
Antarctica: 1974
The African record set in 1922 was the hottest temperature ever recorded:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_weather_records#Highest_temperature_ever_recorded
Obviously, hot or cold records are broken somewhere in the world all the time but that is not evidence of “climate change”. No continental record has been broken for over 30 years.
Also, if the planet is warming then i am surprised that the hottest temperature on record was nearly 90 years ago.
Any thoughts?
Hey Robert, Goji Berry juice is excellent for mood, mind & memory along with other health benefits. Eye health, endurance, etc…
Think also Déjà vu last cycle… by 2000 the glowbull warming alarmists had scared the ‘ell out of us, the glowbull cooling alarmists had scared the ‘ell out of us and we actually went on to some stable weather patterns for a while.
Damn alarmists!
Michael Schaeffer said:
“I think, we need a real-time device monitoring the actual positions of the jet streams in the northern and southern hemispheres actually, as well as to compare their respective positions over the past years, to get a better impression of what’s going on with them.”
Bingo !!
“If my contentions are correct then a calculation of the average position of all the jet streams at a specific
time should be linked to the state of the global atmospheric energy budget at that time.
If the jet streams are tracked for a while and then their average positions compared with observed global
atmospheric temperature changes it should be possible to calculate the approximate jet stream position at
which the globe shifts from atmospheric warming to cooling or back again.
Once that has been established then the distance the jet streams move poleward or equatorward from that
point should reveal the speed of the ongoing warming or cooling process.
And of course a movement of the jet streams back towards the point of changeover will give early
warning of a new change in trend.
It should be done and done now. There is too much at stake for proper scientific enquiry to continue to be
suppressed.”
from here:
http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=2499
“The Unifying Theory of Eath’s Climate”.
January 8th 2009
I recall that 18 months ago various media types in this part of the world were
blaming “global warming” for the Victorian bush fires in Australia. We did not
however hear a peep from them when another 12 months passed with no repeat
of those tragic events, despite the fact that the weather should have been warmer,
according to their own propaganda.
The RT shouldn’t employ squeeky voiced airheads to debate important subjects.
Cassandra King says:
August 8, 2010 at 7:34 am
Giving them a mouthful of helium, just prior to the MSM delivery, would win a Pulitzer for the Ultimate non-answer.
Now, that’s Tight.
Stephen Wilde says:
August 8, 2010 at 9:14 am
After looking at your NCM, the following strikes me as significant:
1.) The time spent with higher solar activity vs lower solar activity
2.) If solar incoming during low activity is reduced via more dense atmosphere, does the Earth continue to lose via Blackbody radiation at the same rate, or at a higher rate than incoming?
I know that shorter cycles spend more time at higher activity levels, and the opposite is true with longer cycles.
I don’t know the answer to #2.
BillD says:
August 8, 2010 at 6:48 am
The Russian weather is really much more extreme than the South American examples. The previous record for Moscow was about 98 oF in 192os. Now they are having day after day above 100 oF. Supposedly, climate warming would benefit agriculture in northern Russian and Canada, offseting declines at more southern locations. Doesn’t seem to be working out as expected.
Thank the modern world we have trains, planes boats and trucks to move resources too were we need them. These weather events can play havoc with local production of our basic subsistences.
Russia Wheat Export Ban Pushes Prices Near 2-Year High.
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/2010/08/russia-export-ban-pushes-wheat-prices-near-two-year-high.html
Gosh! A two year price high. It’s obviously time to destroy all those CO2 burning transport systems and replace them with windmills and photo voltaic cells. That way we can have mass starvation all year round and sod the weather,
Günther Kirschbaum says:
August 8, 2010 at 8:00 am
“[…]countries set extreme hottest temperature records (33% of all countries.) For comparison, fifteen countries set extreme coldest temperature records over the past ten years (6% of all countries).
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/archive.html?year=2010&month=08
Puzzling, eh?”
To help you, UHI is called Urban HEAT island effect for a reason.
Rex from NZ: Quite so. The tasteless hype in the wake of Black Saturday last year was going on about global warming. I was disgusted at the time. This year no one has chosen to acknowledge that temperatures in Victoria have been cooler than usual. I was over there from the UK in January and early February and was positively chilly some nights, needing a blanket on the bed. I virtually never needed a fan on for long and recall only one day when the temperature topped 40C.
Our family are telling us of their cold winter now, with plenty of rain. The pigs had to be moved as there was nowhere left unflooded in their pen!
Now, here in the UK, in what passes for summer, we are being told we are having a heatwave. Eh? What heatwave? Are the MSM trying to indoctrinate the masses into believing in a heatwave? We have had warmish days at times, and it has been pretty dry, but we have not had the AC-needing sort of days experienced in 2006 (and 2003) and for a couple of days early last (BBQ?) summer. I am still needing blankets at night, sometimes 3 or 4 layers thereof. Heatwave? My foot.