Katla volcano in iceland sees 14 earthquakes in 48 hours. This may mean nothing, or it may be a prelude to an eruption. Either way it bears watching.
Via Ice Age Now:
Fourteen earthquakes have occurred below Iceland’s Mýrdalsjökull glacier during the past 48 hours – one within the last 4 hours. Katla Volcano lies beneath the Mýrdalsjökull glacier.
Katla Volcano usually erupts every century, says Iceland’s President Olafur Grimsson. and the last eruption was in 1918. “The time for Katla to erupt is coming close.”
“I don’t say if, but I say when Katla will erupt,” Grimsson says. “We have been waiting for that eruption for several years.”
“It can create, for a long period, extraordinary damage to modern advanced society.”
http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/myrdalsjokull/
Thanks to Jenny Cameron for this link
Also see this short video from Iceland’s president:
h/t to Russ Steele
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
” Llanfar says:
July 10, 2010 at 12:39 am
As per Alan Sullivan (RIP), I wouldn’t be concerned until the 2-4Hz line climbs: http://hraun.vedur.is/ja/Katla2009/stodvaplott.html“
The validity of this post topic needs to be verified. The author of the data shown in the link I’ve include here (from an early comment) has added this disclaimer to his web page:
“Katla is NOT erupting and there are NO indications that Katla is about to erupt. Information on this page is for the Eyjafjallajökull eruption. “
In reviewing my own links on Iceland and Katla, I think this report is tripping into fear-mongering. Earthquakes are a constant with most active volcanos, and there is nothing indicating that Katla is on the verge. These are all tremors of very low magnitude.
Redoubt in Alaska shakes, rattles and rolls constantly, as their seismic webicorders indicate, but its not expected to blow imminently.
The current shallow quakes are related to movements in the Katla ice cap and have nothing to do with volcanic activity.
http://scienceblogs.com/eruptions/2010/07/friday_flotsam_all_quiet_in_no.php
“It can create, for a long period, extraordinary damage to modern advanced society.”
Extraordinary damage. Modern advanced society.
Of course the “puny humans” went to great length of making sure to be so advanced they didn’t feel the need to create a society of tomorrow that had to take into account the potential negative effects of natural disasters.
The stone age society of yesterday was way sturdier.
Todays graph _____/
I think that Eyjafjallajökull is Icelandic for “Ejaculation”
While Katla in Iceland deserves close monitoring, as do all active areas, the Kamchatka Peninsula and the Kurile Islands in Russia deserves even more attention. There are currently six volcanoes here in aviation code orange or yellow. This year there have been a total of 11 different volcanoes active or erupting so far. A major eruption here would bring the ash directly over North America and most of Northern Hemisphere. The Kurile Lake region and the south end of the Peninsula in particular has been quiet for too long.
The 188 Kamchatka Peninsula, Mainland Russia and Kurile Islands Volcanoes are second only to South America’s total of 200 volcanoes]
The area leads the world in number of past eruptions and number of major eruptions [ level 4 and higher VEI]
Has the highest number of explosive volcanoes
http://www.avo.alaska.edu/activity/avoreport.php?view=kaminfo
http://www.volcano.si.edu/reports/usgs/index.cfm?wvarweek=20100630
http://www.volcano.si.edu/world/volcano.cfm?vnum=1000-023
An excellent source of information about Kamchatka volcanoes
http://www.kscnet.ru/ivs/volcanoes/holocene/main/main.htm
Mike McMillan says:
July 10, 2010 at 1:00 am
‘Katla is at least easier to pronounce than Eyjafjallajökull. Perhaps we’ll get some data on what happens when with an eruption under an icecap, pertinent to Antarctica.’
Take a look at:
http://www.vulkaner.no/v/volcan/grimsvot-e.html
R. de Haan says:
July 10, 2010 at 4:27 am
> The current shallow quakes are related to movements in the Katla ice cap and have nothing to do with volcanic activity.
Oh good, I’d prefer it not erupt until after the Tour de France. (For those not interested in bicycle racing but interested in France, the helicopter videographers have gotten very, very good over the last several years. Just the travelogue aspect of TV coverage makes it worth watching.) Now in HD!
Vukcevic says 2:50
Iceland.
That’s OK. Most of our government educated and texting experts probably spell it that way anyway. LOL.
It does appear that the quakes are not foretelling a Katla eruption, but it is very true that when Katla does decide to erupt it gives very little warning. Katla will erupt and talking about it is interesting. Thanks for the thread.
Our friend Tallbloke has just made a forecast:
http://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2010/07/10/something-is-brewing/
From the Eruptions blog:
“I’ve been getting a number of emails and tweets about seismicity around our friend Katla over the last 24 hours. Again, I am no expert on seismicity at Katla, but most of of the current earthquakes are very shallow (1 km or less), small (most < M1) and really, only 14 in the past day. If you're looking for a signal of a reawakening Katla, we should expect increasing magnitudes, earthquakes starting at depth (10s of km) and working their way upwards, tens if not hundreds of earthquakes a day and volcanic tremors, all of which are missing right now. However, never hurts to keep an eye on Eyjafjallajökull bigger sibling."
http://scienceblogs.com/eruptions/
jack morrow says: July 10, 2010 at 8:47 am
That’s OK. Most of our government educated and texting experts probably spell it that way anyway. LOL.
I come from parts of Europe where Iceland is actually spelt and pronounced Island.
http://bs.wikipedia.org/wiki/Island
DirkH says:
July 10, 2010 at 1:30 am
The GCM’s are only good for taking what’s currently happening and extending it until the cow’s come home.
NOAA is throwing the dice (desperate to get back into the win column).
If you follow the CFS, it changes with each whim of the current week of weather.
Schneider will become a CO2 Global Coolist. Look for a reprise with Nimoy where he was ‘right all along’.
In reality, they are both playing Extrapolation with the PDO phases and a few other assorted indices. No skill required.
But, a volcano? Omigod. Calling all Govt. agencies: shut ‘er down and go to Operation Analysis Paralysis.
Bastardi regularly refers to the “triple crown of cooling” which is a scary thought: oceanic, solar, and vulcan influences all phasing together to create a monster of a cool-down someday.
The saddest part about that will be the billions of scientific dollars that have been squandered in the name of CO2…that could have been spent researching these things.
Who will hold the powers that be accountable for this type of grossly negligent institutional INCOMPETENCE and malfeasance?
I sincerely hope attorneys and prosecutors across the world are pulling together their resources to hit these morons where it counts!!
Buh BYE Michael Mann, James Hansen, and Gavin Schmidt!
Good bl**dy riddance!
Ooops….thunderstorm approaching. Gotta power down for a little while…
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
I hope not. If it does, the cool period we are going into will be blamed on it and global warming interrupted, which the faithful have been morphing agw into, will keep this disgraceful deceipt alive. Oh and also for the sake of the Icelanders.
‘Gotha note, subtha rote, edtha sote, yedla note’.
This is most certainly badly spelled. I was told this was a greeting I should say to a visiting Icelandic inlaw who upon hearing it burst into laughter. Apparently it means: Good night, sleep tight, eat sh*t each night.
I’d be grateful if someone could render this properly for me. I’ve been curious about it for ro yrs.
Its Déjà vu…
Global Volcanism Program | Eyjafjallajökull | Summary
http://www.volcano.si.edu/world/volcano.cfm?vnum=1702-02=
An intrusion beneath the south flank from July-December 1999 was accompanied by increased seismic activity and was constrained by tilt measurements, GPS-geodesy and InSAR.
Bet if we looked real hard we’d find seismic activity was about the same for Katla following Eyjafjallajökull in 1999. Just saying, and not saying it couldn’t erupt, it sure has been on my mind.
One thing about it, the numbers and volume of eruptions have increased since the late nineties.
http://www.volcano.si.edu/world/find_eruptions.cfm
1980 66 eruptions
1981 55 eruptions
1982 58 eruptions
1983 55 eruptions
1984 59 eruptions
1985 54 eruptions
1986 67 eruptions
1987 64 eruptions
1988 63 eruptions
1989 54 eruptions
1990 55 eruptions
1991 64 eruptions
1992 57 eruptions
1993 58 eruptions
1994 58 eruptions
1995 62 eruptions
1996 76 eruptions
1997 52 eruptions
1998 78 eruptions
1999 66 eruptions
2000 67 eruptions
2001 64 eruptions
2002 67 eruptions
2003 64 eruptions
2004 74 eruptions
2005 73 eruptions
2006 76 eruptions
2007 78 eruptions
2009 67 eruptions
2010 53 eruptions so far
Plus there are some estimates exceding a million young seafloor volcanoes and we’ve read a fair bit in the last few years about the activity of some of them.
http://www.volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?faq=03
The major faults in California are lit up lately.
rbateman says: “The major faults in California are lit up lately.”
Yes, and the Electorate Volcano in California is overdue for an eruption.
Iceland vs Island. The folks that live there seem to think it is Island.
Their postage stamps agree with them.
Andrew30 said,
“I hope it does not blow.
If it does, then the ongoing cooling, ice increases, lack of drought, etc. will be attributed to the eruption. Then we will have to listen to the warmists say “We can not count on a major eruption every couple of years to offset the massive warming”. Of course that will be after they tell us that “the volcano was caused by the ice melt caused by the warming”. But it will not be possible to point to the volcano as natural negative feedback to the warming.
You can not win.”
As well, we will soon be hearing: “the lastest erpution is evidence climate change is causing increasing volcanic activity.”
blech.
Climate is created by a symphony orchestra, it is composed by the Sun.
When you try to study the… Volcanic Gases and Their Effects
http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hazards/gas/index.php
It seems to me that before the mid-nineties we were warming because of a lack of volcanic gas volume and particulate. Now we have both in abundance and those gasses and particulate cause both coolings and warmings as they penetrate the stratosphere and later drop back down. So the temperature gradients increase at times, depending on the hemisphere of the eruption(s). Pinatubo likely did a lot of ozone damage.
What I’m getting at is what man does in emissions is like a 4th of July celebration compared to that. Deforestation is the biggie.
Tend to agree with the vulcanologists, and my geologist training – there’s not much out of the ordinary going on, and nothing at the moment to suggest Katla will go pop any time soon.