By Steve Goddard
ESA’s Venus Express mission has been studying the planet and a basic atmospheric model is emerging.


Venus has long been the CO2 bogeyman of climate science. In my last piece about Venus I laid out arguments against the claim that it is a runaway greenhouse which makes Venus hot. This generated a lot of discussion. I’m not going to review that discussion, but instead will pose a few ideas which should make the concepts clear to almost everybody.
If there were no Sun (or other external energy source) atmospheric temperature would approach absolute zero. As a result there would be almost no atmospheric pressure on any planet -> PV = nRT.
Because we have a sun providing energy to the periphery of the atmospheric system, the atmosphere circulates vertically and horizontally to maintain equilibrium. Falling air moves to regions of higher pressure, compresses and warms. The greater the pressure, the greater the warming. Rising air moves to regions of lower pressure, expands, and cools. The amount of warming (or cooling) per unit distance is described as the “lapse rate.” On Earth the dry lapse rate is 9.760 K/km. On Venus, the dry lapse rate is similar at 10.468 K/km. This means that with each km of elevation you gain on either Earth or Venus, the temperature drops by about 10C.
It is very important to note that despite radically different compositions, both atmospheres have approximately the same dry lapse rate. This tells us that the primary factor affecting the temperature is the thickness of the atmosphere, not the composition. Because Venus has a much thicker atmosphere than Earth, the temperature is much higher.
dT = -10 * dh where T is temperature and h is height.
With a constant lapse rate, an atmosphere twice as thick would be twice as warm. Three times as thick would be three times as warm. etc. Now let’s do some experiments using this information.
Experiment # 1 – Atmospheric pressure on Venus’ surface is 92 times larger than earth, because the atmosphere is much thicker and thus weighs more. Now suppose that we could instantly change the molecular composition of Venus atmosphere to match that of Earth. Because the lapse rate of Earth’s atmosphere is very similar to that of Venus, we would see little change in Venus temperature.
Experiment #2 – Now, lets keep the atmospheric composition of Venus constant, but instead remove almost 91/92 of it – to make the mass and thickness of Venus atmosphere similar to earth. Because lapse rates are similar between the two planets, temperatures would become similar to those on earth.
Experiment #3 – Let’s take Earth’s atmosphere and replace the composition with that of Venus. Because the lapse rates are similar, the temperature on Earth would not change very much.
Experiment #4 – Let’s keep the composition of Earth’s atmosphere fixed, but increase the amount of gas in the atmosphere by 92X. Because the lapse rates are similar, the temperature on Earth would become very hot, like Venus.
Now let’s look at measured data :

http://www.astro.wisc.edu/~townsend/resource/teaching/diploma/venus-t.gif

http://www.astro.wisc.edu/~townsend/resource/teaching/diploma/venus-p.gif
Note that at one Earth atmospheric pressure on Venus (altitude 50km) temperatures are only about 50 degrees warmer than earth temperatures. This is another indication that atmospheric composition is less important than thickness.
Conclusions : It isn’t the large amount of CO2 which makes Venus hot, rather it is the thick atmosphere being continuously heated by external sources. It isn’t the lack of CO2 on Earth which keeps Earth relatively cool, rather it is the thin atmosphere. Mars is even colder than earth despite having a 95% CO2 atmosphere, because it’s atmosphere is very thin. If greenhouse gases were responsible for the high temperatures on Venus (rather than atmospheric thickness) we would mathematically have to see a much higher lapse rate than on Earth – but we don’t.
WUWT commentor Julian Braggins provided a very useful link which adds a lot of important information.
“The much ballyhooed greenhouse effect of Venus’s carbon dioxide atmosphere can account for only part of the heating and evidence for other heating mechanisms is now in a turmoil,” confirmed Richard Kerr in Science magazine in 1980.
The greenhouse theory does not explain the even surface temperatures from the equator to the poles: “atmospheric temperature and pressure in most of the atmosphere (99 percent of it) are almost identical everywhere on Venus – at the equator, at high latitudes, and in both the planet’s day and night hemispheres. This, in turn, means the Venus weather machine is very efficient in distributing heat evenly,” suggested NASA News in April 1979. Firsoff pointed out the fallacy of the last statement: “To say that the vigorous circulation (of the atmosphere) smooths out the temperature differences will not do, for, firstly, if these differences were smoothed out the flow would stop and, secondly, an effect cannot be its own cause. We are thus left with an unresolved contradiction.”
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An update for those interested in what Venus looks like at the surface.

On March 1, 1982, the Soviet Venera 13 lander survived for 127 minutes (the planned design life was 32 minutes) in an environment with a temperature of 457 °C (855 °F) and a pressure of 89 Earth atmospheres (9.0 MPa). The photo composite above shows the soil and rocks near the lander.
Here’s another Venera image that shows a hint of yellow atmosphere. – Anthony

I don’t know Steve,
Perhaps we should try to find out.
/dr.bill
I am finding this thread as baffling as the previous one about Venus. Why are the following points not obvious?
(1) The surface must support the weight of the atmosphere, regardless of its temperature. Gases have weight! Thus, the surface pressure is determined by the mass of the atmosphere and the gravity of the planet, independent of temperature.
(1′) There is a very small effect of temperature, since it does affect the depth of the atmosphere, and gravity diminishes slightly with height. This is a small effect.
(2) An atmosphere should approximately follow an adiabat — that is, pressure and temperature varying at the adiabatic lapse rate — provided the conditions are suitable for convection. This is true in the lower atmosphere of both Earth and Venus. But convection will only occur if the fluid is heated from beneath. In other words, the net heat flow in the fluid in the convective zone must be upward.
(3) If the atmosphere of Venus were heated from the top — which I gather is Steve’s theory — then there should be no upward heat flow in the lower atmosphere. Ergo, no convection. The temperature profile would be much flatter than the adiabatic lapse rate. Indeed, in the long run it should be quite flat, an isothermal atmosphere.
(4) This is not what is happening. Thus, the surface is heating the atmosphere at the bottom. Internal energy sources, volcanism and such, are orders of magnitude too small. The surface must be heated by the short-wave radiation that reaches it. That is, it must be heated by sunlight (however attenuated). This net heat input to the surface accounts for the net upward heat flow in the atmosphere.
(5) The surface is really hot, and so it radiates strongly. (Most natural surfaces are pretty good blackbodies at IR wavelengths.) In fact, the surface radiates dozens of times more IR radiation than actually emerges into space at the top of the atmosphere. So almost all of this must be absorbed by the atmosphere, and reradiated (both up and down, of course, in each layer).
So we have an atmosphere heated from below, by a surface that is getting its energy input from short-wave radiation. The thermal radiation from the surface is strongly absorbed by the atmosphere. If we turned off this absorption and made the atmosphere transparent to IR, then the planet would quickly cool off to a much lower temperature, until radiative equilibrium would be re-established. Doesn’t that pretty much define the greenhouse effect?
I keep expecting this thread to be about WHY Venus has developed such a strong greenhouse effect, and whether the term “runaway greenhouse” appropriately describes this process. Fascinating question, and present theories involve a good deal of speculation. I would probably count as a moderate AGW skeptic — a “luke-warmer” in common parlance — but the discussion here does not inspire me with confidence that this community has a firm grasp on the basic physics. Sorry to be so blunt, but the thing is pretty distressing to someone who reads WUWT regularly and with pleasure.
I’d like to see Steve respond to the points about hydrostatic equilibrium and the upward heat flow associated with the adiabatic lapse rate.
If the clouds at 40-60 km height absorbs most of the LW from below, and I believe they do, then the lapse rate should make the surface at 730 K with any composition of the atmosphere below the clouds.
Here’s another clear explanation of the role of the adiabatic lapse rate in ‘greenhouse’ warming.
Nullius in Verba – that’s a fantastic link you’ve posted! Thanks!
Just one last contribution to the topic. I urge everyone to take a holistic look at Venus: it’s a very peculiar planet, and the composition of the atmosphere and surface temperature are just a couple of its peculiarities. Somebody has already mentioned the extensive (apparent?) volcanism, and how young the surface is. That’s not all: Venus rotates very slowly and in the wrong direction, as if something had hit and toppled it. Such a cataclysm alone would have resurfaced it several times over. Also where is plate tectonics? What is the origin of all strange surface features that don’t appear anywhere else in the Solar System? Etc etc
I know there’s people trying hard to build a rover that would resist the inferno and I am looking forward for such a mission to take place.
Steven
Over at “The Reference Frame” Lubos Motl has a detailed dicussion of your WUWT posts on Venus temperature.
You will be interested to find that in his conclusion he is largely in agreement with you. i.e. that the greenhouse effect on Venus amounts to a few dozens of degrees C and that the very high temp at the surface relates primarily to the environmental lapse rate.
Ben Schumacher
The pressure is determined by the weight of the gas above it as you said. And according to the ideal gas law, the ratio of temperature/volume is controlled by the pressure. I’m not sure what you find baffling about that.
I’m not making any attempt to explain what the heating mechanism is. Just pointing out that the temperature profile in Venus’ atmosphere indicates it is an adiabat.
The purpose of this exercise is to argue that even if earth’s atmosphere was 100% CO2, temperatures would be nothing like they are on Venus.
It’s been confusing on both articles how people are talking about pressure.
Pressure is force exerted on a surface, can be expressed as pounds per square inch or even newtons per square meter. Atmospheric pressure is being discussed, which basically is the average of the forces involved from gas molecules hitting a surface.
So if the temperature drops to where all the gas molecules precipitate out, what atmospheric pressure is acting on a vertical surface? None. What if I set up a pressure gauge with a horizontal surface pointing upwards, a meter above the ground, what would it read? Nothing, as all the formerly gaseous molecules are already in a layer on the ground below the gauge. Same thing if the horizontal surface is pointing downwards, rotated to vertical, or in any position.
Yes, you can talk of pressure from a substance laying on a surface that’s not completely vertical. But that would be pressure based on gravitational force, while here atmospheric pressure (all-surrounding) is being discussed. So why all the nit-picking?
Jbar Reur May 9, 2010 at 6:27 am
[1] But the downward infrared cannot heat warmer air below, per thermo law 2. Also, the temperature gradient clearly shows heating from the surface, the candidates being absorbed sunlight and geothermal.
[2] With sulphuric acid etc clouds, haze, and a dense atmosphere, scattering must be greater than on Earth, but some of the Venera photos show pronounced shadows around the rocks. Thus the effect that you propose is most unlikely to be large, assuming the photos are gen.
Didn’t mean to be condecending, but using the closed volume ideal gas laws to describe atmospheric pressure, equating temperature with atmospheric pressure, and implying that gravity disappears at the lowest temperatures are your ascertions. When lucid comments are made to correct these misconceptions there is no acknowlegement nor attempt at retraction. It would therefore appear that your intent is somewhat other than achieving an understanding of the question at hand.
GeoFlynx
The fact that you don’t understand something is an indication only of your own lack of understanding. You are making ridiculous straw man arguments about gravity disappearing.
CO2 freezes long before reaching absolute zero. If you turned the atmosphere of Venus into a huge chuck of dry ice at 1K, it would continue to exert the same amount of pressure downwards on the surface of Venus. At the same time the vapour pressure of CO2 would be very close to zero.
If you changed the composition of Venus atmosphere to 100% nitrogen, the planet would be much colder due to the lack of absorption of IR. The atmosphere would also necessarily be much thinner (lower volume.) P = nRT/V
However, if you changed the composition of Venus atmosphere to 95% nitrogen and 5% CO2, the temperature and height of the atmosphere would not be hugely different than it is at present. Why? Because the greenhouse effect is logarithmic. After the first few percent, additional CO2 makes much less difference to the temperature.
Consider earth, where a doubling of CO2 only increases temperatures by <1 (Lindzen) to 3 (IPCC) degrees C.
GeoFlynx
The pyramids of Egypt exert a lot of pressure on the ground below. If you were buried 3,000 years ago underneath the pyramid you would be crushed. However, if you were buried in a tomb inside the pyramid, your remains might survive long enough to be made fun of by Steve Martin.
Gravity has not disappeared for King Tut. There are different manifestations of pressure and stress, and your simple view of the world is inadequate for complete analysis.
Don’t mean to be condescending (note spelling.)
Steven,
“If you changed the composition of Venus atmosphere to 100% nitrogen, the planet would be much colder due to the lack of absorption of IR.”
I actually agree with that last post, and I think it’s pretty much mainstream science. But how is that statement different from the Wiki:
“Without the greenhouse effect caused by the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the temperature at the surface of Venus would be quite similar to that on Earth.”
which in your last article you said was all wrong?
Ignoring composition and circulation, does it not mean, comparing height of atmosphere alone, that Earth could never have a ‘runaway’ warming?
pft May 9 12:46 said,
This is similar to my thoughts in the last thread i.e. higher pressure temperature readings are higher because they are simply more efficient. This is the result of a higher molecular collision rate on the sensor, so I would suggest that some (not all) of the apparent higher temperature at the bottom of a column of air is due to a density effect…. that is, you reading the heat content of the air more efficiently.
This confuses the current rationale behind the adiabatic lapse rate slightly.
Steve:
“However, if you changed the composition of Venus atmosphere to 95% nitrogen and 5% CO2, the temperature and height of the atmosphere would not be hugely different than it is at present. Why? Because the greenhouse effect is logarithmic. After the first few percent, additional CO2 makes much less difference to the temperature.”
I have difficulty seeing this. I can understand the reason for the thick CO2 blanket since there are no water/carbonates to remove the volcanically generated CO2. However, this wouldn’t apply to nitrogen and there should still be less of it relative to Venusian gravity using earth as an example. Couldn’t the major source of heat trapping on Venus simply be because of the thick atmosphere and lack of water vapor, making vertical convective transfer to space difficult (unlike Earth)? It has already been mentioned that the ground level density of the CO2 may be in the supercritical or near liquid state, which would make vertical thermal transfer very difficult relative to that of a gas.
As covered in other comments regarding CO2 depth pressure and temperature, if one could enclose a vertical section of Venusian atmosphere in a sealed insulated tube (closed system), after a period of time the temperature would completely equalize throughout the volume through convective transfer even though the gravity pressure at the tube bottom would still be 93 atmospheres. If this insulated tube of CO2 where originally in space and dropped into Venus’ gravity field, there would be immediate heating at the ‘bottom’ from the pressure increase but this would be cause by mass and potential/kinetic energy transfer to that section. Again when this closed system is left alone in the constant gravity field, the temperature would eventually equalize through convective transfer throughout the gas (at a higher temperature because of the gravity potential energy added) even though the pressure would be higher at the ‘bottom’ of the tube.
If this were not the case, all one would have to do for free energy is to install a heat engine between the top and bottom of the tube since there would be a constant temperature difference even in the closed system.
However, if you changed the composition of Venus atmosphere to 95% nitrogen and 5% CO2, the temperature and height of the atmosphere would not be hugely different than it is at present. Why? Because the greenhouse effect is logarithmic. After the first few percent, additional CO2 makes much less difference to the temperature.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spectral_line#Spectral_line_broadening_and_shift
RealClimate [yeah, yeah, I know] provides some insight into why Venus’s surface temperature is so uniform even though there is very little surface wind to redistribute energy, and minimal light on the dark side.
The Venutian atmosphere is incredibly massive, roughly 40% of the weight of Earth’s oceans. Consequently it would take an incredibly long time for the entire atmosphere to heat up or cool down. (In contrast, much of Earth’s thin atmosphere easily heats and cools in a day.) So expecting the surface temperature of Venus to vary would be like expecting the temperature at the bottom of Earth’s ocean to vary. This massiveness means that the lower atmosphere of Venus is able to equilibrate in temperature all the way around the planet with very little convection (i.e. very low wind). A simple solution when you think about it.
Venus Express finds no significant “daily” variation in Venus’s atmospheric temperature below an altitude of 45km. That altitude is equivalent to a depth (or rather, pressure) of two Earth atmospheres. All the action takes place in the upper atmosphere. The high speed winds in the upper atmosphere transfer energy from the day side to the night side and by the time you get down to 45km altitude, the temperature there remains constant. (This is a few km below the lowest cloud layer.)
Something for those inclined to do a bit of web search…months ago, I noticed how the NASA planetary atmospheric science pages sadly lacked any reference to the “greenhouse effect”. I wonder if that’s still the case?
stevengoddard says:
May 9, 2010 at 12:36 pm
Venus has no oceans, so it has no limestone. No limestone means a thick atmosphere of CO2. A thick atmosphere means high temperatures.
Bless the clams for saving us from venereal discomfort, for while Venus was being repaved with lava, they were constructing the white cliffs of Dover and starting to crawl from the sea.
Did I get the physics of this right, finally, Steve? It’s all about the fizz in the beer?
I think Dr. Pangloss was right and it’s time to get back to the farm where they don’t believe the rooster actually makes the sun come up.
Jbar
The Real Climate explanation makes perfect sense. It is yet another indication that the climate of Venus is controlled by the pressure of the atmosphere.
All arguments lead to the same conclusion – i.e. if the Earth’s atmosphere was 100% CO2, the Earth would not be hot like Venus.
Jbar, another aspect of the “low wind” on Venus is that, because of density, it still transfers a huge amount of heat. 10 km/h at the surface has been mentioned, but the gas heat capacity is (very roughly) 90X greater than Earth, so its heat transfer capability is like a 900 km/hr blast here.
Nick Stokes,
If there were no greenhouse gases or clouds (as Wikipedia implied) temperatures would be very cold.
But if Venus had the same relative composition atmosphere as Earth, it would still be very hot because the atmosphere on Venus is much more dense.
First let’s clear up some very basics physics.
The ideal gas law is appropriate when talking about gases in confined volumes. When talking about atmospheric pressure, you use the barometric formula.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barometric_formula
There are several constants used that are specific to the atmosphere you are trying to use it on.
Atmospheric pressure is dependent on mass and gravity, among other things, and is derived from the ideal gas law.
To wit, as you approach zero kelvin your atmospheric pressure approaches infinity, not zero. (NOTE: Of course, under that scenario you can’t use basic formulas anyway.)
But back to the main discussion. Mr. Goddard is proposing that pressure is somehow driving the temperature on Venus. However, this makes no sense. Titan is a solid counter-example. It has a dense N2 based atmosphere and yet it is still bone chilling cold. There is simply nothing there that can hold onto the meager amounts of heat it receives from the sun (or Saturn).
Venus is another matter entirely. You don’t need a complex experiment to verify that the atmosphere is preventing almost all heat from escaping. We have a good idea of the surface temperature. We also can figure out how much combined IR radiation is escaping the planet (both reflected and emitted through day and night side IR measurements). If what is radiating from the planet is much less than what it should be given the other constraints, then SOMETHING between the surface and the TOA is preventing heat from escaping.
If it were merely density of the gas and NOT composition, then we can verify this quite simply. Take a few different gases (GHG and non-GHG) and place them in IR transparent containers at various pressure levels. Fire an IR laser through each sample at each level and measure. If pressure is indeed the key player, then we should see similar results across all the gas samples. However, if composition is the key player, then we should see disparate results across the gas samples. GHG gasses at higher pressures would absorb more IR while non-GHG gasses would show little to no differences regardless of pressure level.
Fortunately, these have already been done many times over in establishing thermal properties for various gases. It should come as no surprise that atmospheric composition is what matters. Density matters as well. After all, if you don’t have much of an atmosphere you’re not going to be absorbing much of anything no matter the composition. But you can have an N2 atmosphere at 1000 atmospheres and it still won’t create a greenhouse effect. Saying otherwise is the equivalent of saying you can can make salt taste like sugar by adding more salt.
Can what happened to Venus happen to Earth? Not very likely. We’d have to try really hard to do so, and it would take a long time of trying hard (centuries). I’d like to think that we would be smart enough to notice palm trees growing in Antarctica and know that something might be amiss.
At any rate, composition AND density determine the IR profile of an atmosphere. Basic high school/college level physics that has been validated many thousands of times in labs across the planet.
~X~
Title: Radiative Transfer Within the Mesospheres of Venus and Mars
Authors: Ramanthan, V. & Cess, R. D.
Journal: Astrophysical Journal, Vol. 188, pp. 407-416 (1974)
Bibliographic Code: 1974ApJ…188..407R
http://adsabs.harvard.edu/full/1974ApJ…188..407R
Title: The Thermal Balance of the Venus Atmosphere
Authors: Crisp, D. & Titov, Dmitri
Issue Date: 1995
http://trs-new.jpl.nasa.gov/dspace/bitstream/2014/18365/1/99-1842.pdf
Interference of spectral lines in thermal radiation from the lower atmosphere of Venus
T. S. Afanasenk and A. V. Rodin, 2006
http://www.springerlink.com/content/n6272554n127155u/
Venus as a more Earth-like planet
Håkan Svedhem, Dmitry V. Titov, Fredric W. Taylor & Olivier Witasse, 2007
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v450/n7170/full/nature06432.html
The structure of Venus’ middle atmosphere and ionosphere
M. Pätzold, B. Häusler, M. K. Bird, S. Tellmann, R. Mattei, S. W. Asmar, V. Dehant, W. Eidel, T. Imamura, R. A. Simpson & G. L. Tyler, 2007
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v450/n7170/full/nature06239.html