I’ve decided to step away from WUWT this weekend. Both my wife and I are sick with a cold. I’m very tired, and I need to do something else for awhile besides moderate squabbles; like work on my paper which keeps getting time taken away from it by the attention this blog requires.
If you have something worth posting on the front page, flag a moderator. Those that want to do guest posts are welcome to do so also. Again, flag a moderator for attention. Those that have author permission already, go for it.
I’ll resume posting if I feel up to it Sunday night.
In the meantime, talk quietly and politely amongst yourselves. Don’t make me come back here.
– Anthony
Adam from KS, not sure I can answer your question. However, I notice that the sea ice extent in Arctic Ocean is fast approaching its long-term mean, as AW had predicted sometime back.
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
I find it instructional to review this site on a daily basis just to see how wrong the mainstream climate community is on their Arctic predictions!
University of IL also has a website worth reviewing, please see:
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/
Get well soon host and hostess. Glad you’re taking a well deserved break. I’d noticed that you were clearly run down when you started snapping at the “grammar pedants”
As Mr L has already stated these guys are on your side. Totally and unequivocally!
Anthony, words are inadequate to describe just how much your personal sacrifices are appreciated by so many.
Rest, recuperate and re-enter the arena when you’re 100% ready. Your moderator generals are more than capable of holding the fort for as long as it takes.
Thank you.
Suranda (10:38:09) :
there is another magnetic filament on the Sun which I posted on the great filament thread […] can you please confirm?
This is not a good thread for this [post instead over on the G.F thread], but, yes there are new filaments, in fact, there are filaments all the time. I don’t know of a single day, ever, where we have observed the Sun and there were no filaments. At solar max there are filaments related to the active regions and at solar minimum there is a ‘crown’ of filaments surrounded each polar cap. They are not all ‘Great Filaments’. Some are indeed bigger than others.
“the whole anthropogenic global warming (AGW) position can be easily defused without any reference to science at all, because the error, at root, is epistemological.”
Check out this philosophy:
http://rayharvey.org/index.php/2010/01/global-warming/
In an email from James Hansen he told me that your cold will only get worse. You will develop a fever that will increase at a rapidly increasing rate as the days go on and will be the highest ever recorded. About 40% of your hair will fall out and your toenails will recede and likely be gone by mid week. Your saliva will become increasingly acidic and you’ll start emitting large amounts of methane (better open a window). He mentioned that the only cure a particular remedy he knows of but it will cost around $4 billion just to find out about it.
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton:
“[O}ne internet, one global community, and a common body of knowledge that benefits and unites us all” and “access to the same set of facts and opinions” doesn’t sound very appealing or promising, coming from her. Especially since, from her very long speech, she clearly links internet “freedom” with advancing the Administration’s agenda.
Open thread? I offer the following diversion:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100305/ap_on_re_as/as_indonesia_obama
Craig Moore (07:17:50) :
“…..Zinc tabs too under the tongue.”
The Zinc tabs (Zicam) work very well. I usually get bronchitis or Pneumonia every winter but have not had a bad cold/flu since I started the ZiCam five years ago.
Hot toddies are great too. A study by one of the Universities in the seventies indicated Alcohol in the blood stream will kill the cold or flue virus if used within 24 hrs of exposure to the virus. (A friend was part of the study group.)
Have a well deserved break Anthony.
rbateman (07:30:41) : “Daylight Saving Time. Dinosaur from the days of the turn of the 20th Century. Watch as accidents and other phenomena increase for the next 2 weeks following the change as biological rythms are thown for a loop.”
yes, daylight savings time is just, as you are saying in your country, rubbing peter to pay paul.
RockyRoad (08:10:15) : “Sometimes a good laugh helps. This is my favorite picture of Gore: http://www.weeklystandard.com/ Get better soon, Mr. Watts!”
i’m sort of sorry i am looking, rockman
AJStrata (07:24:23) :
“For some reason Freakzoid complaining of ‘poo gas’ just keeps echoing in my mind…..”
I am still chuckling, I love the cover art. Thanks for the pointer to that article.
If methane is such a problem, why don’t we fill in the swamps and wetlands, recover the usable crop land, get rid of the mosquito breeding grounds, and the beaver/giardia drinking water contamination problem.
http://www.uga.edu/scwds/topic_index/1998/GiardiaandWildlife.pdf
For a cold, I usually use lots of Puffs, some Robitussin, some Vix Vapor Rub, and a shot of NyQuil before bed.
My spouse says jala neti, (saline irrigation of the sinuses) is good. My mother swears by apricot juice. I cannot endorse either from personal experience due to the thought of either making me feel sick even when I don’t have a virus.
Having led a pure and blameless life, I am justified in believing that no man who knows me will reject the suggestions I am about to make, out of fear that I am trying to deceive him. Let the public do itself the honor to read my experience in doctoring a cold, as herein set forth, and then follow in my footsteps.
The first time I began to sneeze, a friend told me to go and bathe my feet in hot water and go to bed. I did so. Shortly afterward, another friend advised me to get up and take a cold shower-bath. I did that also. Within the hour, another friend assured me that it was policy to “feed a cold and starve a fever.” I had both. So I thought it best to fill myself up for the cold, and then keep dark and let the fever starve awhile.
In a case of, this kind, I seldom do things by halves; I ate pretty heartily; I conferred my custom upon a stranger who had just opened his restaurant that morning; he waited near me in respectful silence until I had finished feeding my cold, when he inquired if the people about Virginia City were much afflicted with colds? I told him I thought they were. He then went out and took in his sign.
I started down toward the office, and on the way encountered another bosom friend, who told me that a quart of salt-water, taken warm, would come as near curing a cold as anything in the world. I hardly thought I had room for it, but I tried it anyhow. The result was surprising. I believed I had thrown up my immortal soul.
Now, as I am giving my experience only for the benefit of those who are troubled with the distemper I am writing about, I feel that they will see the propriety of my cautioning them against following such portions of it as proved inefficient with me, and acting upon this conviction, I warn them against warm salt-water. It may be a good enough remedy, but I think it is too severe. If I had another cold in the head, and there were no course left me but to take either an earthquake or a quart of warm saltwater, I would take my chances on the earthquake.
After the storm which had been raging in my stomach had subsided, and no more good Samaritans happening along, I went on borrowing handkerchiefs again and blowing them to atoms, as had been my custom in the early stages of my cold, until I came across a lady who had just arrived from over the plains, and who said she had lived in a part of the country where doctors were scarce, and had from necessity acquired considerable skill in the treatment of simple “family complaints.” I knew she must have had much experience, for she appeared to be a hundred and fifty years old.
She mixed a decoction composed of molasses, aquafortis, turpentine, and various other drugs, and instructed me to take a wine-glass full of it every fifteen minutes. I never took but one dose; that was enough; it robbed me of all moral principle, and awoke every unworthy impulse of my nature. Under its malign influence my brain conceived miracles of meanness, but my hands were too feeble to execute them; at that time, had it not been that my strength had surrendered to a succession of assaults from infallible remedies for my cold, I am satisfied that I would have tried to rob the graveyard. Like most other people, I often feel mean, and act accordingly; but until I took that medicine I had never reveled in such supernatural depravity, and felt proud of it. At the end of two days I was ready to go to doctoring again. I took a few more unfailing remedies, and finally drove my cold from my head to my lungs.
I got to coughing incessantly, and my voice fell below zero; I conversed in a thundering bass, two octaves below my natural tone; I could only compass my regular nightly repose by coughing myself down to a state of utter exhaustion, and then the moment I began to talk in my sleep, my discordant voice woke me up again.
My case grew more and more serious every day. A Plain gin was recommended; I took it. Then gin and molasses; I took that also. Then gin and onions; I added the onions, and took all three. I detected no particular result, however, except that I had acquired a breath like a buzzard’s.
I found I had to travel for my health. I went to Lake Bigler with my reportorial comrade, Wilson. It is gratifying to me to reflect that we traveled in considerable style; we went in the Pioneer coach, and my friend took all his baggage with him, consisting of two excellent silk handkerchiefs and a daguerreotype of his grandmother. We sailed and hunted and fished and danced all day, and I doctored my cough all night. By managing in this way, I made out to improve every hour in the twenty- four. But my disease continued to grow worse.
A sheet-bath was recommended. I had never refused a remedy yet, and it seemed poor policy to commence then; therefore I determined to take a sheet-bath, notwithstanding I had no idea what sort of arrangement it was. It was administered at midnight, and the weather was very frosty. My breast and back were bared, and a sheet (there appeared to be a thousand yards of it) soaked in ice-water, was wound around me until I resembled a swab for a Columbiad.
It is a cruel expedient. When the chilly rag touches one’s warm flesh, it makes him start with sudden violence, and gasp for breath just as men do in the death-agony. It froze the marrow in my bones and stopped the beating of my heart. I thought my time had come.
Never take a sheet-bath-never. Next to meeting a lady acquaintance who, for reasons best known to herself, don’t see you when she looks at you, and don’t know you when she does see you, it is the most uncomfortable thing in the world.
But, as I was saying, when the sheet-bath failed to cure my cough, a lady friend recommended the application of a mustard plaster to my breast. I believe that would have cured me effectually, if it had not been for young Wilson. When I went to bed, I put my mustard plaster– which was a very gorgeous one, eighteen inches square–where I could reach it when I was ready for it. But young Wilson got hungry in the night, and here is food for the imagination.
After sojourning a week at Lake Bigler, I went to Steamboat Springs, and, besides the steam-baths, I took a lot of the vilest medicines that were ever concocted. They would have cured me, but I had to go back to Virginia City, where, notwithstanding the variety of new remedies I absorbed every day, I managed to aggravate my disease by carelessness and undue exposure.
I finally concluded to visit San Francisco, and the, first day I got there a lady at the hotel told me to drink a quart of whisky every twenty-four hours, and a friend up-town recommended precisely the same course. Each advised me to take a quart; that made half a gallon. I did it, and still live.
Now, with the kindest motives in the world, I offer for the consideration of consumptive patients the variegated course of treatment I have lately gone through. Let them try it; if it don’t cure, it can’t more than kill them.
-THE END-
Clemens] Mark Twain’s short story: Curing A Cold (being slightly abridged)
Sean Peake (13:38:54) :
“In an email from James Hansen he told me that your cold will only get worse. You will develop a fever that will increase at a rapidly increasing rate as the days go on and will be the highest ever recorded. About 40% of your hair will fall out and your toenails will recede and likely be gone by mid week. Your saliva will become increasingly acidic and you’ll start emitting large amounts of methane (better open a window). He mentioned that the only cure a particular remedy he knows of but it will cost around $4 billion just to find out about it.”
Tipping points… you forgot the tipping points!
Anthony,
IMO – humble (Ha!) though that may be, the paper takes precidence over about anything. This blog is fun to visit – and express opinion on – but the truely “”””scientific”””” work being done by those who legitimately ask “Why?” is far more important in the long run. I’m using the broad definition of science here since much work in disciplines removed from chemistry, physics and geology as examples is important to press the case against CO2 driven AGW.
Here we can squabble with one another, and some damn fine squabbling we do, but not over grammer folks – or where Scotland is…Sorry pipers, next stall over please. I have a map on the wall to check that – since I can’t place every country (or even state for that matter) with any accuracy.
Where else can you rub digital shoulders with the likes of the Pielke family, Grey, Lief, Pamela, etc and more… People who are true explorers of this wonderful planet. Yeah!
By the way, how interesting is it that the Chiliean quake sped up the earth a microsecond a day, and now the Pacific Rim of Fire is shaking, rattling and rolling????
Rest and get better, I like the booze cure….
Mike Bentley
Oh damn!
I misspelled Leif…he’s going to shoot me…
Mike
John Good (11:49:05) :
O.T on an open thread? I’ll have what you are smoking/drinking/huffing/etc….
In reply to Rod at 02:41,
who asks about economic studies of the costs of AGW , and in paricular Stern,
Have a look at World Economics , a quarterly journal published in association with the Oxford Institute for Economic Policy.
URL is http://www.world-economics-journal.com ,but I don’t know if the relevant papers are online.
You may have to go to the hard copy, but it is worth it :Its a very entertaining read if you enjoy economics with added invective.
There was a very high level stand-up, spit in the eye , hair-pulling fight over Stern’s economic competence spread over a year or more , but I don’t recall anything in the last year or so and the last issue I have is for October -Dec 2009 , so there would be nothing to reflect any of the “Gates” we have since seen.
This was the series of articles that caused me to become a serious doubter of AGW , a topic in which I had had no previous interest.
Enjoy!
Anthony- Get well soon, and like all the other ” WUWTsters “, thanks to you and the others for all you do. It’s really appreciated. I am looking forward to my next cold, so I can start drinking all these great remedies!
Jimmy Haigh (05:53:22)-I had no idea they were now drilling for rice. Here in Northern California we are still growing it above ground.
I’m thinking of penning a concept album based on Michael Crichton’s novel title “State of Fear”. Any lyricists out there that want to contribute some verse regarding education, government, media, religion that points out how creating a state of fear is a prime way to gaining a state of control? Kind of like The Wall but in a different direction.
Oil of Oregano.
Garlic – actual, pickled or tablets
The hot chocolate with a nut liqueur mentioned earlier also sounds good.
I blame your cold on those dam LED lights you fitted 😉
Looking forward to your return Anthony.
Can someone please tell me what Warmists have said that would falsify AGW?
References please, if possible.
Tom Stark (13:36:12) :
“the whole anthropogenic global warming (AGW) position can be easily defused without any reference to science at all, because the error, at root, is epistemological.”
Check out this philosophy:
http://rayharvey.org/index.php/2010/01/global-warming/
The most brain dead logic I’ve read on this subject from either camp. Sounds like the weed talking.
Speaking of UN handling of billions of dollars, and the effectiveness of its response to natural disasters: how long until an early warning system for tsunamis was operating in Indian Ocean countries?:
“On 26 December 2004, the earthquake, which struck off the northwest coast of the Indonesian island of Sumatra, generated a tsunami that wreaked havoc along much of the rim of the Indian Ocean. Particularly hard-hit were the countries of India, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, and Thailand. Nearly 230,000 people were killed, tens of thousands more were injured, and 10 million became homeless and displaced.
Governments, humanitarian organizations, Asian expatriates and individuals around the world scrambled to offer aid and technical support. The World Bank initially estimated the amount of aid needed at USD 5 billion.[3] Although countries are providing relief funds, the UN had criticised both the US and Europe for allocating inadequate resources. By 1 January 2005 over USD1.8 bn (GBP1bn) had been pledged.
In wake of the disaster, Australia, India, Japan, United States formed a coalition led by Pakistan to co-ordinate aid efforts to streamline immediate assistance. However, at the Jakarta Summit on 6 January, the coalition transferred responsibilities to the United Nations.”
Total cash commitments from various governments and nongovernmental organisations: >USD 10bn
(cont’d)