Parents, please encourage your children to become “science experts.” The perks are excellent – prestige, travel, publicity, conferences – your fifteen minutes of fame. And all you have to do is make bigger claims than the last expert.
Here are a few favorite gems :
March 10, 2006: It’s official: Solar minimum has arrived. Sunspots have all but vanished. Solar flares are nonexistent. The sun is utterly quiet.
This week researchers announced that a storm is coming–the most intense solar maximum in fifty years. The prediction comes from a team led by Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). “The next sunspot cycle will be 30% to 50% stronger than the previous one,” she says. If correct, the years ahead could produce a burst of solar activity second only to the historic Solar Max of 1958.
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10mar_stormwarning.htm
Dec. 21, 2006: Evidence is mounting: the next solar cycle is going to be a big one.
see captionSolar cycle 24, due to peak in 2010 or 2011 “looks like its going to be one of the most intense cycles since record-keeping began almost 400 years ago,” says solar physicist David Hathaway of the Marshall Space Flight Center. He and colleague Robert Wilson presented this conclusion last week at the American Geophysical Union meeting in San Francisco.
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/21dec_cycle24.htm
OSLO, Feb. 29, 2008 (Xinhua) — The polar cap in the Arctic may well disappear this summer due to the global warming, Dr. Olav Orheim, head of the Norwegian International Polar Year Secretariat, said on Friday.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-03/01/content_7696460.htm
27-Aug-2007
Will oceans surge 59 centimetres this century – or 25 metres?
When Al Gore predicted that climate change could lead to a 20-foot rise in sea levels, critics called him alarmist. After all, the International Panel on Climate Change, which receives input from top scientists, estimates surges of only 18 to 59 centimetres in the next century. But a study led by James Hansen, the head of the climate science program at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York and a professor at Columbia University, suggests that current estimates for how high the seas could rise are way off the mark – and that in the next 100 years melting ice could sink cities in the United States to Bangladesh
Glaciers on Snowdon’ warning by climate expert
Jan 12 2010 by Rhodri Clark, Western Mail
THIS winter’s prolonged cold spell could be a taste of things to come for Wales – with glaciers a possibility within 40 years. That’s the chilly message from a leading Welsh climate expert who has warned that global warming could paradoxically trigger a collapse in temperatures in western Europe.
The Cooling World
Newsweek, April 28, 1975
Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even to allay its effects. They concede that some of the more spectacular solutions proposed, such as melting the Arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic rivers, might create problems far greater than those they solve. But the scientists see few signs that government leaders anywhere are even prepared to take the simple measures of stockpiling food or of introducing the variables of climatic uncertainty into economic projections of future food supplies. The longer the planners delay, the more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once the results become grim reality.
http://www.denisdutton.com/cooling_world.htm
Proof of life on Mars by year-end, says NASA expert
Washington, Jan 16, 2010 (PTI) Is there life on Mars? The most intriguing question for everyone on the Earth would be answered by American space scientists by the end of this year, a NASA expert has claimed.
According to David McKay, chief of astrobiology at NASA’s Johnson Space Centre in Houston, the fact that Mars has bred life will be confirmed this year and the historic discovery will not be made on the Mars, but here on Earth using the chunks of the red planet.
http://www.ptinews.com/news/471015_Proof-of-life-on-Mars-by-year-end–says-NASA-expert
4 January 2007
2007 – forecast to be the warmest year yet
2007 is likely to be the warmest year on record globally, beating the current record set in 1998, say climate-change experts at the Met Office. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2007/pr20070104.html
Hot summer on the way, predicts Met
Sunday 8 April 2007
Britain set to enjoy another sizzling summer after new evidence from the Met Office suggested above average temperatures for the season. http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2007/apr/08/weather.theobserver
Climate could warm to record levels in 2010
10 December 2009
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2009/pr20091210b.html
From The Sunday Times January 10, 2010
“This will be the warmest winter in living memory, the data has already been recorded. For your information, we take the highest 15 readings between November and March and then produce an average. As November was a very seasonally warm month, then all the data will come from those readings.”
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/dominic_lawson/article6982310.ece
Jan, 2008
Under my plan of a cap and trade system electricity rates would necessarily skyrocket, even, you know, regardless of what I say about whether coal is good or bad, because I’m capping greenhouse gases, coal powered plants, you know, natural gas, you name it, whatever the plants were, whatever the industry was, they would have to retrofit their operations. That will cost money. They will pass that money on to consumers.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ydqg7ThZB04
November, 2009 GORE: It definitely is, and it’s a relatively new one. People think about geothermal energy – when they think about it at all – in terms of the hot water bubbling up in some places, but two kilometers or so down in most places there are these incredibly hot rocks, ’cause the interior of the earth is extremely hot, several million degrees, and the crust of the earth is hot …
Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past Monday, 20 March 2000 According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”. “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said. http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html
1998 Was Warmest Year Of Millenium, Climate Researchers Report ScienceDaily (Mar. 4, 1999) — WASHINGTON, D.C. — Researchers at the Universities of Massachusetts and Arizona who study global warming have released a report strongly suggesting that the 1990s were the warmest decade of the millennium, with 1998 the warmest year so far. Researchers have also found that the warming in the 20th century counters a 1,000-year-long cooling trend. The study, by Michael Mann and Raymond Bradley of the University of Massachusetts and Malcolm Hughes of the University of Arizona, appears in the March 15 issue of Geophysical Research Letters, published by the American Geophysical Union. The research was supported by the U.S. Department of Energy and the National Science Foundation. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1999/03/990304052546.htm
December 14, 2008 “The time for delay is over; the time for denial is over,” Obama said on Tuesday after meeting with former Vice President Al Gore, who won a Nobel Peace Prize for his work on global warming. “We all believe what the scientists have been telling us for years now that this is a matter of urgency and national security and it has to be dealt with in a serious way.” http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/12/14/obamas-global-warming-cha_n_150947.html
March 24, 2006 London ‘under water by 2100’ as Antarctica crumbles into the sea http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article694819.ece
February 20th, 1969
NYT: Expert Says Arctic Ocean Will Soon Be an Open Sea http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/07/24/nyt-expert-says-arctic-ocean-will-soon-be-an-open-sea/
Arctic Ice Cap to Become an Open Sea in 10 years Oct 14, 2009 http://www.digitaljournal.com/article/280517
What are some of the reader’s favorites?
h/t to Steve Goddard
Modelling the latest data puts a ceiling on the likely number of vCJD cases.
Don’t you just love Nature? August 200
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v406/n6796/full/406583a0.html
See the models told us that 136 000 people would die in the uk, so accurate?
The front end of the storey is below if you want the rest then you would have to be daft enough to pay?
Modelling the latest data puts a ceiling on the likely number of vCJD cases.
There is continued speculation about the likely number of cases of variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease (vCJD) that will occur in Great Britain in the wake of the BSE epidemic in cattle and in light of a recent cluster of vCJD cases in Leicestershire, England. We show here that the current mortality data are consistent with between 63 and 136,000 cases among the population known to have a susceptible genotype (about 40% of the total population), with on average less than two cases of vCJD arising from the consumption of one infected bovine.
Wanted: Experts
The National Science Foundation invites applicants for the year 2011 to assist with current expertise in running state-of-the-art catastrophic computer models and making outrageous predictions to an international audience with aplomb and impunity. Those who look really good wearing absolutely nothing but a big sheepish grin will be given extra consideration.
It seems to me that a lot of the body of evidence for climate change is fringe pieces like the ones that are quoted above. This is the body of evidence that is supposedly solid and unshakable, but it is built like an upside-down pyramid.
I am just curious what the five most important climate papers are, from the perspective of Joel Shore or someone who sees things his way.
That one was a hoax. The person making it claimed to be from the Met Office, but it wasn’t true.
My first reaction when I read it in the above article was that it shouldn’t be there as it wasn’t a claim from a scientist. But I changed my mind. It was a claim by someone claiming to be a scientist and it was taken seriously for a period of time before the hoax was exposed.
This claim was posted as a blog-comment by a commenter who was pulling readers’ legs. It’s not an official statement. It’s absurd on its face. Several WUWT posters have already debunked it. It should be removed from Anthony’s article.
“OSLO, Feb. 29, 2008 (Xinhua) — The polar cap in the Arctic may well disappear this summer due to the global warming, Dr. Olav Orheim, head of the Norwegian International Polar Year Secretariat, said on Friday.”
http://igloo.atmos.uiuc.edu/cgi-bin/test/print.sh?fm=01&fd=18&fy=2007&sm=01&sd=18&sy=2010
Compared to recent years seems the sea ice concentration is near 100% where there is ice (assuming the scale accurately reflects the ice concentration).
“World ends tomorrow-women and minorities most affected ”
Fake NYT headline..
” Increased Earth temperature caused by humans has by consensus been found to make it 95% likely that the temperature equilibrium of the solar system will be destabilised with catastrophic effects on the sun.
The destruction by humankind of the sun’s normal pattern of behaviour will in turn cascade via the Milky Way galaxy to the local cluster and within a year will travel faster than light speed to the extremities of the universe and cause a reversal of the ‘big bang’ but on a vastly accelerated time scale.
The end of Earth and everything can therefore be diarised by all those likely to be affected for 12 midnight on September 30th 2010.
This dire but accurate prediction comes to you from the latest and biggest ever supercomputer running the most comprehensive climate model ever built.
Funding kindly provided by Al Gore and someone called ‘Pachauri’ (or similar) from the tax revenues generated by their many business interests.
In the interests of financing the huge amount of research needed to get a solution to this minor inconvenience on such a tight timescale all Earth citizens will shortly receive a demand for a contribution equal to 100% of their total asset value.
You know it makes sense because you’re worth it.”
Ref – Stacey (11:13:04) :
“Modelling the latest data puts a ceiling on the likely number of vCJD cases.”
_______________________
Wheuuuuuuu…. Can’t tell you what that means. Been holding my breath for the past 24 years.
Anthony
THE SOLAR NEBULA IS ON FIRE: A SOLUTION TO THE CARBON DEFICIT IN
THE INNER SOLAR SYSTEM !
ABSTRACT
Despite a surface dominated by carbon-based life, the bulk composition of the Earth is dramatically carbon poor when compared to the material available at formation. Bulk carbon deficiency extends into the asteroid belt representing a fossil record of the conditions under which planets are born. The initial steps of planet formation involve the growth of primitive sub-micron silicate and carbon grains in the Solar Nebula. We present a solution wherein primordial carbon grains are preferentially destroyed by oxygen atoms ignited by heating due to stellar accretion at radii < 5 AU. This solution can account for the bulk carbon deficiency in the Earth and meteorites, the compositional gradient within the asteroid belt, and for growing evidence for similar carbon deficiency in rocks surrounding other stars.
http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/arxiv/pdf/1001/1001.0818v1.pdf
Sometimes over-predicting can have its advantages:
GOCE
Atmospheric drag on the spacecraft turned out to be about 3 times less than expected hence the mission may be extended as the thrusters have been designed to deal with higher thrust levels.
What does it take to be a science expert?
Principally your money and mine.
What’s the difference between a “science expert” and low down thief?
I’m asking, what’s the difference?
From Auntie Beeb today, Tuesday:-
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8468358.stm
An admission (at last) that ‘they’ got it wrong. But it’s NOT going to affect the AGW bandwagon!
Talk about bringing disgrace to what were once the most respected and prestigious institutions on earth. What a shame. Now they are laughing stocks.
Stacey –
Does one really need a computer to guess that there will be between 63 cases and 136,000 cases?
Guys, Please stop referring to:
“For your information, we take the highest 15 readings between November and March… blah blah”
It’s a hoax. It was a comment on some blog by someone pretending to be from the met bureau that has taken on an unfortunate life of its own.
Every time you refer to as being true it you are giving grist to the warmists.
Was it the MetOffice that predicted a warm winter for Europe?
Get ready for cold snap No. 2!
http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp4.html
@ScientistForTruth (10:03:53) :
Dr Vicky Pope: “The massive increases in computer power since the 1970s are used in the following ways in the Met Office Hadley Centre…Much longer predictions are run, typically…predicting the next 100 to 1,000 years”.
————
The massive increase in computer power …
caused:
– starting of intensive number-crunching –
– stopping of thinking –
This website is a personal favorite
http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/warmlist.htm
It lists links to hundreds of papers and articles that enumerate the vast panoply of bad things, that have, will or may happen to the world because of AGW. When I start to get depressed about the recent trend in events, clicking through a small random sample there always reminds me that these folks are almost all completely nuts.
@ur momisugly Pascvaks (11:38:49) :
Ref – Stacey (11:13:04) :
“Modelling the latest data puts a ceiling on the likely number of vCJD cases.”
_______________________
Wheuuuuuuu…. Can’t tell you what that means. Been holding my breath for the past 24 years.
——-
It means you can now have your Big Mac safely.
I think in reality it goes more like this:
Scientist – we’ve discovered a Himalayan sized asteroid on a near earth trajectory.
Politician – is this good or bad?
Journalist – will we have an impact?
Scientist – well it’ll probably pass at about 1million km, not good, pretty close actually – in space terms.
Politician – alert the president, the military, raise taxes – oh wait, will it hit before or after the elections?
Journalist – Scientists predict Continental sized asteroid impact Millions will die, others not so good, but pretty close.
Politician – form a panel – call it the Advanced Research Scientific Endeavour (ARSE)
Journalist – World must listen to (its) ARSE.
Scientist – but, ah, excuse…..
Politician and Journalist – not now – we’re busy.
uhm… should we be revisiting other things the scientists told us over the years? I mean, I just looked out my window at the earth… and its FLAT. I kid you not! Look out your own window if you don’t believe me. Who are you going to believe, your own eyes or a bunch of “scientists”.
Seriously though, I graphed the accumulated national deficit against the IPCC world temperatures and the correlation is excellent. National debt caused global warming. Am I a scientist now?
We have a constant one here in Queensland, Australia.
The Great Barrier Reef
One week – its coral bleaching, then acidity in the seas, then global warming will kill the coral. I will try to find the media releases, but most seem to come from Universities in Central Qld
Everytime its something different
what is the difference between voodoo and science , when mr. pachauri start connecting them when he is being told the truth ?
These people are all screwballs, but it looks like an easy way to make a fast buck, so here’s my prediction. The earth will either become way too hot or maybe way too cold, or we might get hit by an asteroid or some darn thing. But all of that can be avoided if the government just gives me $10 million in research grants. Too high? How about $5 million?
(In case there is any doubt, that’s a joke. My integrity is not for sale.)