I’m off this weekend and part of next week– talk quietly and politely amongst yourselves. Don’t make me come back here.
If you have something worth posting on the front page, flag a moderator. Those that want to do guest posts are welcome to do so also. Again, flag a moderator for attention. I’ll update when I can but I have quite a busy schedule in the next week that will keep me offline for extended periods.
– Anthony

Damn!
Eaten by the spam filter again.
DaveE.
David Alan (23:39:12) :
Being open-thread night, I thought this would be a good place to the mention that WUWT is approaching its third anniversary.
Looking through the archives, I found this:
Welcome To: Watts Up With That?
http://wattsupwiththat/2006/11/17/welcome-to-watts-up-with-that/
Good spot David.
The eighth post on the blog on the 26th Nov 2006 was this one:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2006/11/26/greenhouse-gas-stablizes-on-its-own-scientists-confused/
Which attracted one response at the time, from Emerson Carter, who linked to his site at: http://www.globalwarmingindex.com/ Which is no longer running. The wayback machine is down for maintanence, I’ll check it later today.
I suggest we make 26th Nov a national holiday. 🙂
Is this the Dr. Karoly you’re talking about?
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/the_vested_interests_rudd_warned_of/
He seems to be a professional warmist. Certainly, he’s the Australian media’s first port of call to squash any heretical comment (as much of it as they permit to infiltrate their well guarded portals).
In winter Оймякон (Oymyakon or Ojmjakon) in Yakutia, Siberia, often experiences some of the coldest temperatures recorded in the northern hemisphere. Here is the translated link to the Russian weather data , probably from the airport at nearby Tomtor (63.25N 143.15E).
N.B. From http://www.hmn.ru/index.php?index=46&value=24688
The success of forecasts
If in the past week the actual temperatures are lower than predicted, you will see a message like “Warning: The projections for the first day in this city over the past week were unsuccessful! Error for the night -10 ..- 17 ° C, on day -2 ..- 14 ° C “, where the numbers indicate error range from a minimum to the maximum for the night and / or days. Usually this is due to the neglect in the predictive model of local conditions, under certain weather patterns. For example, forecasts for Yakutsk, or Oimyakon are characterized by a considerable overestimation of winter temperatures under conditions of clear skies and no wind.
I don’t know why the Google Translate link above misses out the code ending &value=24688 for Oymyakon from http://www.hmn.ru/index.php?index=46&value=24688
“Monckton finds out his views on the Copenhagen summit were too extreme even for the Fox News host”
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2009/oct/30/lord-monckton-glenn-beck-copenhagen
A guardian reader (a middle class, leftish brit), is not going to be a fan of Beck. So here is an easy guilt by association: “too far out there even for the uber-conservative Fox talkshow host Glenn Beck.”
(There’s a good chance a Gaurdian reader won’t even watch the show, leaving
only this rather distorting report. A friend only lasted a minute, repulsed by
Glen, seeing him as a disgusting brain-washing hypocrite, I tried to point out that, accurate as she may be, Glen wasn’t why we were watching it, but to no avail.)
I thought this was a typical trick, but it’s worse, and simpler than that:
“Monckton’s circus of climate change denial arrives in cloud cuckoo land”
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2009/oct/20/climate-change-denial-monckton
(Sorry, their Environment blog appears to be sponsored by Shell….)
And here is “Monbiot’s royal flush: Top 10 climate change deniers”
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/georgemonbiot/2009/mar/06/climate-change-deniers-top-10
Including Václav Klaus, ‘a promoter of “gangster capitalism”‘ but serious
opponent of the Lisbon treaty…
The editors must be really perplexed by the number intelligent comments suggesting their readership isn’t buying it. But despite that, why is there such a Left/Right split on this issue? WUWT readers do seem to be dominantly conservative, and I can understand why, but has the left been so thoroughly usurped already? Is there something about left leaning mentalities that
lends itself to gullibility, deference to ‘experts’ and a preference for consistency (of ideology) over reason?
Makes me wonder what the Guardian is guarding after all. Oh hang on, guards usually guard gates don’t they. That’s it, it should be called: The Gatekeeper.
41% of Britons believe in AGW: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1227745/Most-Britons-dont-believe-climate-change-man-made.html
Milliband is very cross with all the deniers…
See here and here
According to Monbiot, Plimer wrote to him and said “he would address my questions and send me some of his own “after undergraduate lectures have finished today”. This was on Friday 7 August.
The Karoly quote is from a lengthy review of the book here http://www.abc.net.au/rn/scienceshow/stories/2009/2593166.htm [click Show Transcript] . I could also have quoted Michael Ashley, professor of astrophysics at the University of NSW:
“Plimer has done an enormous disservice to science, and the dedicated scientists who are trying to understand climate and the influence of humans, by publishing this book. It is not “merely” atmospheric scientists that would have to be wrong for Plimer to be right. It would require a rewriting of biology, geology, physics, oceanography, astronomy and statistics. Plimer’s book deserves to languish on the shelves along with similar pseudo-science such as the writings of Immanuel Velikovsky and Erch von Daniken.”
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/ian-plimer-heaven-and-earth/story-e6frg8no-1225710387147
You may recall that the original release of the documentary ‘Global Warming Swindle’ included the false claim that volcanoes emit more CO2 than human activity. You may also recall that the director removed this claim from subsequent releases. But you can still find this nonsense being repeated by Plimer, on a BBC 4 Radio programme..
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2009/nov/13/climate-deniers-today-programme
HR (07:25:01
Re: Celebrating WUWT anniversaty, I’d thought a candle lit dinner, but a charcoal BBQ does have appeal!
Phil Clarke (04:10:39),
You’re arm-waving over the mote in someone else’s eye, when there’s a beam in your own eye.
Let us know when Al Gore agrees to debate — or to even answer routine unscripted questions. Let us know when any of the Hokey Team at realclimate works up the nerve to debate Viscount Monckton. Let us know when 0bama learns the difference between “carbon” and carbon dioxide. And wake me when Lisa Jackson, who heads the EPA, debates Prof Richard Lindzen over labeling CO2 as a “pollutant.”
” included the false claim that volcanoes emit more CO2 than human activity. ”
So in the last 200 years has more CO2 been released by Humans or volcanoes?
It is an interesting claim but fairly meaningless without an attached time span.
However that makes it unproven, not false (and presumably proved to be so).
Since estimates of total CO2 exchange, both biological and geological, are deeply dubious, I really can’t worry about the conclusions drawn from them.
Take a look at some of the pics on this Pielke Sr paper:
http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2009/11/12/photographs-of-what-land-management-of-landscape-can-result-in/
Let us know when any of the Hokey Team at realclimate works up the nerve to debate Viscount Monckton.
Well thats clearly not gonna happen. Why on earth would a professional climate scientist invest his valuable time debating someone who has ludicrously accused them of genocide, someone whose ‘science’ is brim-full of errors, someone who spends a lot of his time simply making stuff up, and who represents himself as ‘a member of the Upper House of the United Kingdom legislature’ when he is no such thing and never has been?
Clearly such a debate would not advance our understanding one jot, the reason the Viscount is so keen is that he wants to be seen sharing a platform with a real scientist … I am reminded of Richard Dawkins explanation of why he will not debate creationists …
Electric cars may not reduce carbon dioxide emissions – and could even increase them, a green lobby group warned yesterday.
The Environmental Transport Association said generating electricity – by burning coal and oil – to charge the so-called ‘clean’ cars could cancel out the benefit of abandoning fossil fuel vehicles.
Well it took these brain dead idiots long enough to figure that one out.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1227106/The-dirty-electric-cars-actually-increase-CO2.html
This one is for the population alarmists.
“SOMETIME in the next few years (if it hasn’t happened already) the world will reach a milestone: half of humanity will be having only enough children to replace itself. That is, the fertility rate of half the world will be 2.1 or below. This is the “replacement level of fertility”, the magic number that causes a country’s population to slow down and eventually to stabilise. According to the United Nations population division, 2.9 billion people out of a total of 6.5 billion were living in countries at or below this point in 2000-05. The number will rise to 3.4 billion out of 7 billion in the early 2010s and to over 50% in the middle of the next decade. The countries include not only Russia and Japan but Brazil, Indonesia, China and even south India……
Fertility has dropped further in every South-East Asian country (except the Philippines) than it did in Japan. The rate in Bangladesh fell by half from six to three in only 20 years (1980 to 2000). The same decline took place in Mauritius in just ten (1963-73). Most sensational of all is the story from Iran.”
http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14743589
Why indeed? Monckton is obviously someone who is better at their own game than they are. But perhaps you can explain why Algore the failed Divinity student, Schmidt the mathematician, Hansen the Astronomer, Monbiot the physicist whose only attempts at science seem to involve fuel cell technology, and Monbiot the Zoologist who seems never to have attempted any zoology are equally reticent about sharing a forum with Lindzen, Spenser, or anyone else whose field of study actually involves weather or climatology.
Phil Clarke (07:10:14) :
How wrong can you be. Over the history of the Earth volcano’s have pumped out several orders of magnitude more CO2 that total man-made emissions.
Lord Monckton is a master debater who knows his stuff – no wonder Monbiot et al are terrified of sharing a stage with him. The CAGW has been well and truly falsified – look at the FACTS and you can draw no other conclusion.
Sorry that this doesn’t fit with your belief system, but life is hard.
Errata; should have been Romm the physicist…
Phil Clarke (07:10:14) :
“… and who represents himself as ‘a member of the Upper House of the United Kingdom legislature’ when he is no such thing and never has been?…”
I’d be very interested in seeing a citation for the quote since it is highly unlikely that Lord Monckton would use that phraseology himself. If you citation should, perhaps, be Wikipedia, then you fail the course. The discussion tab at Wikipedia is always so much more illuminating than the actual article:
Errors by Wikipedia in Lord Monckton’s biography
Please note that a well-funded campaign paid for by a convicted fraudster who owns a solar-energy corporation and thus has a vested interest in advancing the “global warming” scare is linked to various people who, full time, detrimentally edit the Wikipedia pages of scientists and others who question the alarmist viewpoint. They use automatic bots to monitor the pages, and automatically reverse within minutes any changes intended to restore the truth and remove inaccuracies. The Monckton biography is one of those pages that has been subjected to this corrupt form of editing. Users should note that the following are among the offending passages that have appeared, and may still appear, and which Wikipedia refuses to remove.
Offending passage 1: “.. and has attracted controversy for his public opposition to the mainstream scientific consensus on climate change”. Reason for correction: “Mainstream scientific consensus” is a matter of opinion, not of biographical fact. Furthermore, tendentious commentary of this kind has no place in what is presented as though it were supposed to be a factual biography. Proposed correction: Replace by “and opposes the theory that anthropogenic climate change may prove catastrophic”.
Offending passage 2: “Although he has in the past stated that he is ‘a member of the Upper House of the United Kingdom legislature,’[3] Monckton has never been a member of either the House of Lords or the House of Commons.” Reason for correction: Lord Monckton has never said he is a sitting member of the House of Lords: he is, however, a member of the Upper House by succession (hence his title), is registered as such on the list of Peers entitled to be elected by his fellow hereditary peers, and, as a member of the House in good standing, is entitled to use its facilities, though not to speak or vote in the Chamber, for it is in this sense alone that the House of Lords Act 1999 removes the right of membership from hereditary Peers. Proposed correction: Preferably, delete this damaging libel altogether. Otherwise, replace by “He is a hereditary peer, but his father’s automatic right to sit and vote, like that of most hereditary Peers, was terminated by the Peerage Act 1999”.
Offending passage 3: “… he later admitted he fabricated the story as a publicity stunt.” Reason: Lord Monckton fabricated no such story and has never said that he did so. We note that this passage is not referenced. Whatever the reference that may (or may not) underlie this libel, it is false. Proposed correction: Preferably, delete altogether. Otherwise, replace by “… he sold his house one month before he was required to pay the £1 million prize to the winners.”
Offending passage 4: “Monckton has been described as “a fervent, forthright and opinionated Roman Catholic Tory” [7] who has been closely associated with the “New Right” faction of the Conservative Party.” Reason: This is a tendentious, inaccurate, and somewhat pejorative misrepresentation of Lord Monckton’s opinions and political and religious affiliations. In particular, Lord Monckton has not been “closely associated with the ‘New Right’”. In fact, he is known chiefly for his expert knowledge of reforming taxes and benefits to end working-class poverty, a matter on which he advised Margaret Thatcher during her term as Prime Minister, leading inter alia not only to the sale of 1 million council houses to their tenants but also to major reforms of the structure of both taxes and benefits, including ending the separate taxation of husband and wife, to the great benefit of families; significant increases in child benefits as a step towards eradicating primary poverty; a root-and-branch reform and simplification of housing benefit; and the ending of large-scale homelessness by compelling local authorities either to put tenants in empty publicly-owned houses or to sell them at advantageous prices to poor people who could not otherwise afford to house themselves. None of these hallmark policies could by any stretch of the imagination be described as “New Right”, or right wing at all. Proposed correction: Delete the offending passage.
Offending passage 5: “In more recent years, he has been associated with the Referendum Party, advising its founder Sir James Goldsmith, and in 2003 he helped a Scottish Tory breakaway group, the People’s Alliance”. Reason: This passage is misleading. In fact, it was Lord Monckton’s consultancy company that acted, in a professional capacity, for Sir James Goldsmith, and also for the Scottish People’s Alliance. The words “Scottish Tory breakaway group” are a matter of opinion and have no place in a supposedly unprejudiced biographical entry. Proposed correction: Preferably, delete altogether. Otherwise, replace by “Lord Monckton’s consultancy company has acted for several political parties, among others Sir James Goldsmith’s Referendum Party, providing it with the names of many hundreds of candidates, and the People’s Alliance (later the New Party), whose first manifesto he helped to draft.”
Offending passage 6: “Monckton’s views on how the AIDS epidemic should be tackled have been the subject of some controversy.” Reason: This formulation goes beyond a mere biographical entry. Proposed correction: Either delete the entire passage about AIDS altogether or replace by “Lord Monckton’s recommendations in 1985/6, following advice from specialist medical researchers into HIV, that AIDS should be treated like any other fatal infection were not acted upon. Since that time, according to UN statistics, some 25 million people have died of AIDS, and 40 million more are infected. Lord Monckton regards this as a cruel and continuing tragedy, and is currently working with academic medical specialists to find a cure, which is to be tested shortly.”
Offending passage 7: “… there is only one way to stop AIDS. That is to screen the entire population regularly and to quarantine all carriers of the disease for life. Every member of the population should be blood-tested every month … all those found to be infected with the virus, even if only as carriers, should be isolated compulsorily, immediately, and permanently.” Reason: this quotation has been wrenched out of context, and is incomplete and, consequently, unfair to Lord Monckton. Proposed correction: Either delete the entire passage about AIDS altogether or add: “Lord Monckton made plain, however, that isolation of the infected – the standard method for containing fatal communicable diseases to spare the uninfected – should be humanely done, and need not be as drastic as that which had helped to eradicate previous fatal infections.”
Offending passage 8: “Monckton has since modified his views on AIDS, stating that ‘the article was written at the very outset of the AIDS epidemic, and with 33 million people around the world now infected, the possibility of [quarantine] is laughable. It couldn’t work.’ Reason: Lord Monckton has not “modified his views on AIDS”: he considers that, at the time when it could have been prevented from killing tens of millions, the usual public-health measures ought to have been taken. Unfortunately, now that there are 40 million infected, it is no longer possible to contain the disease as he had recommended 20 years ago. Proposed correction: Delete this passage altogether.
Offending passage 9: “His petition for judicial review was dismissed by the court for want of relevancy”. Reason: this passage unfairly omits to state that the judge expressed considerable sympathy for Lord Monckton’s position throughout the case, and is unfairly pejorative in the circumstances. Proposed correction: Replace by “The court expressed considerable sympathy for Lord Monckton’s position, and only found against him when a line item was discovered in that year’s European Union budget authorizing the expenditure by the UK on the social chapter of the Maastricht Treaty which Parliament had previously and expressly refused to sanction. The Government of the day took Lord Monckton’s challenge seriously enough to put up the Lord Advocate in person against him; and the outcome was such that the Lord Advocate was unable to recover his expenses in the cause.”
Offending passage 10: “His views have attracted controversy and strong criticism from scientists and environmental activists, including Al Gore and George Monbiot.” Reason: Neither Al Gore nor George Monbiot has any qualifications in any climate-related science; and it seems unfair that what is supposed to be a straightforward, biographical article should not only contain tendentious material of this kind but should also fail to mention the numerous scientists who have cited Lord Monckton’s work with approval, and have even cited him in peer-reviewed papers as having assisted them. Proposed correction: Delete the offending passage.
Offending passage 11: “Gavin Schmidt has criticised Monckton’s analysis of climate sensitivity as “sleight-of-hand to fool the unwary” [1]. Dr. Stephan Harrison criticises Moncktons’ articles as “full of errors, misuse of data and cherry-picked examples” [2]. The British writer and environmentalist George Monbiot has criticized Monckton’s arguments as “cherry-picking, downright misrepresentation and pseudo-scientific gibberish.”[18] Reason: Once again, Wikipedia has cherry-picked statements made by scientists at the invitation of Monbiot, whose newspaper was compelled to print a strongly-worded correction by Lord Monckton the day after Monbiot had published a scientifically-erroneous article attempting to criticize Lord Monckton inappropriately for having misunderstood the fundamental equation of radiative transfer, of which Monbiot had no knowledge, and which Monbiot had himself grievously misunderstood. Proposed correction: Delete this passage.
Offending passage 12: “Monckton’s critics charge that “[his] science is self-taught and his paper qualifications nonexistent”[15] and that “he is trying to take on the global scientific establishment on the strength of a classics degree from Cambridge.”[23] For his part, Monckton takes the view that it is “a very modern notion that you need paper qualifications to pronounce on anything and it comes from the socialist idea that people need to be trained in the official, accepted, dogmatic truths.”[15] Reason: Yet again, only pejorative opinions of Lord Monckton’s research are cited. Proposed correction: Delete this passage.
Offending passage 13: “… part of Frontiers of Freedom, a conservative organization funded by ExxonMobil that has campaigned against the screening of An Inconvenient Truth in U.S. schools.[27]” Reason: This passage is not only tendentious but is at all points factually incorrect. The Science and Public Policy Institute is not and was not ever a part of “Frontiers of Freedom”; nor has it ever campaigned against the screening of Al Gore’s sci-fi comedy horror movie in schools, though it has recommended that, by way of balance, schools should also show Lord Monckton’s movie Apocalypse? NO! Proposed correction: delete the offending passage.
Offending passage 14: “He is also funding the distribution to schools of the controversial documentary The Great Global Warming Swindle as a riposte to Gore’s film.”[23] Reason: This passage is both tendentious and inaccurate: tendentious because it describes one film as “controversial” without describing the other as controversial (a High Court Judge, after all, has described Al Gore’s “Armageddon scenario” as “not based on any scientific view”); inaccurate because Lord Monckton is not funding any distribution to schools, nor has he ever said he is doing so or will do so. It appears that, yet again, Wikipedia has readily accepted and repeated errors detrimental to Lord Monckton and published in an unverified source, without having checked it with Lord Monckton. Indeed, on no occasion has anyone from Wikipedia ever checked Lord Monckton’s entry with him before publishing it on the Web. Proposed correction: Delete this error entirely.
Offending passage 15: “He is a supporter of The New Party, which lent its political support to the litigation over Gore’s film, and wrote part of its manifesto.” Reason: This passage is inaccurate. Lord Monckton’s consultancy provided professional help to his then clients the New Party (then the Scottish People’s Alliance) by assisting in the preparation of its first manifesto. He is not and has never been a member or supporter of the New Party – indeed, contrary to the false impressions scattered throughout the libelous Wikipedia entry now complained of, he does not in fact belong to any political party, and has not done so for many years, though he was simultaneously a member of the Conservative and Labour Associations at university so that he could familiarize himself with both sides of the political debate. He was not even a member of the Conservative party during his four years as a special adviser to Margaret Thatcher at 10 Downing Street. Proposed correction: Delete the offending passage.
Offending passage 16: “… described as “showing Monckton presenting a slide show in a vitriolic attack on climate change science.”[23] Reason: Yet again, only a pejorative comment has been selected for inclusion, when a properly-constructed biographical entry would merely have reported the fact that Lord Monckton had made a movie questioning Gore’s [proven scientifically-inaccurate] representations of climate science; and a balanced entry, even if it had decided to include comments, would have included some of the numerous favourable comments that Lord Monckton’s movie has received, by way of balance to the above-quoted pejorative comments. Proposed correction: Delete the offending passage.
The link to the Wikipedia discussion page is here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Christopher_Monckton,_3rd_Viscount_Monckton_of_Brenchley
Now, Phil, please take your discussion elsewhere.
“I’m off this weekend and part of next week”
Hmm….could it be… yes it could!
http://www.achgut.com/dadgdx/index.php/dadgd/print/0013724
That is certainly an important conference! Best of luck, I hope we get a report or two…
When you rush things you make mistakes. “discussion POINTS” is what I meant. “Discussion Points.” Honest discussion is always welcome; talking points are not honest discussion.
Robert,
I’d be very interested in seeing a citation for the quote since it is highly unlikely that Lord Monckton would use that phraseology himself.
well, he did in fact use exactly those words; the source of the quote is an open letter from the Viscount to Senators Snowe and Rockefeller in which he says:
“, you may wonder why it is that a member of the Upper House of the United
Kingdom legislature, wholly unconnected with and unpaid by the corporation that is the victim of your lamentable letter, should take the unusual step of calling upon you as
members of the Upper House of the United States legislature …”
http://ff.org/centers/csspp/pdf/20061212_monckton.pdf
The reality is that Viscount Monckton inherited his title and has never sat as a Member of the House of Lords. He stood for election to the House as one of a number of hereditary peers but received no votes from his, er, peers.
He also should not really be using that crowned portcullis logo on his stuff …In 1996, the usage of the crowned portcullis was formally authorised by licence granted by Her Majesty the Queen for the two Houses unambiguously to use the device and thus to regulate its use by others (copy of formal grant in appendix). The emblem should not be used for purposes to which such authentication is inappropriate, or where there is a risk that its use might wrongly be regarded, or represented as having the authority of the House.”
http://www.parliament.uk/documents/upload/g09.pdf
So we see the master debater misrepresenting his credentials, fabricating graphs and failing to address over a hundred scientific errors. I am afraid the relevance of the large wiki discussion page copy-and-paste escapes me.
Tenuc
How wrong can you be. Over the history of the Earth volcano’s have pumped out several orders of magnitude more CO2 that total man-made emissions.
May I suggest you read what Plimer actually says in the BBC Radio interview transcript – he uses the present tense – he is clearly referring to present-day emissions.
Just read this article in this month’s Wired Magazine. It discusses a movement in some people against child vaccinations due to the belief that they could cause Autism. The parallel between this and AGW is uncanny… although I haven’t looked into this to see if the author’s statements are true!
http://www.wired.com/magazine/2009/10/ff_waronscience/
Phil Clarke (13:22:51),
We actually know very little about how much CO2 is generated by undersea volcanoes. Every time new ones are discovered, the estimate goes up.
But we still know far too little; the ocean is a very big place.
Recent estimates concluded that there were a few thousand undersea volcanoes. But new estimates have raised that number to over 3 million undersea volcanoes. [source]
With a thousand times as many undersea volcanoes emitting CO2 as we thought there were just two years ago, human emissions become even more insignificant in the scheme of things.
Taking major, economy crippling actions on CO2 emissions, when we don’t even have accurate numbers, is crazy… unless there is an unspoken agenda in play. Which do you think is happening?