August 2009 Global Temperature Update: +0.23 deg. C
Dr. Roy Spencer September 4th, 2009
August 2009 saw a modest fall in the global average tropospheric temperature anomaly, from +0.41 deg. C in July to +0.23 deg. C in August. The tropical and Northern Hemispheric troposphere remain quite warm, but the Southern Hemisphere cooled by over 0.4 deg. C in the last month.
YR MON GLOBE NH SH TROPICS
2009 1 +0.304 +0.443 +0.165 -0.036
2009 2 +0.347 +0.678 +0.016 +0.051
2009 3 +0.206 +0.310 +0.103 -0.149
2009 4 +0.090 +0.124 +0.056 -0.014
2009 5 +0.045 +0.046 +0.044 -0.166
2009 6 +0.003 +0.031 -0.025 -0.003
2009 7 +0.412 +0.212 +0.610 +0.427
2009 8 +0.231 +0.284 +0.179 +0.455
NOTE: For those who are monitoring the daily progress of global-average temperatures here, we are still working on switching from NOAA-15 to Aqua AMSU, which will provide more accurate tracking on a daily basis. We will be including both our lower troposphere (LT) and mid-tropospheric (MT) pre-processing of the data. We will also be adding global sea surface temperature anomalies from the AMSR-E instrument on board the NASA Aqua satellite.
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We need Mann to “process” the El Nino spike down to 0.2 or so. Everybody knows he can do it because he is a statistical Wizard.
Still no runaway warming?!? Pay no attention to the REAL Data…Just wait until Hansen HOMOGENIZES it! It will be the Warmest August in History!!!!
Is this a forewarning of what lies in store for NH winter?
Last year, no sooner did the Arctic Sun set in Alaska than the temp in Fairbanks plunged severely, and stayed down there for a long time.
People in the Yukon take note, and be prepared.
You too, Alaska.
What goes up must come down. Even UAH global temperatures.
Perhaps El Nino has abated?
Flanagan. What happened?
Just wait until Hansen HOMOGENIZES it!
If only he didn’t pasteurize it.
I’ll be gone next week, starting Tuesday. I wanted to observe the Monarch butterfly migration, which passes right through where I’m going, but I understand they cut out three weeks early and I’ll be missing it.
Still looks like part of a 60 – 70 year sine wave with lots of noise on it to me!
DaveE.
I do not believe anybody knows the global temperature to a ten-thousandth of a degree.
I don’t even believe anybody knows it to a full degree, but we might debate that.
Did everybody skip 7th-grade arithmetic?
evanmjones (19:50:06) :
Seems even butterflies understand weather/climate better than we humans 😀
DaveE.
While it’s nice to have the ‘charted’ data, I’ve got my own yardstick: my power bill about 20% less than last year and I actually was able to open the windows overnight [towards the end of the month].
The hard numbers are welcome though.
PS—The Farmer’s Almanac sez: Bitter Winter for most the US.
evanmjones (19:50:06) :
I’ll be gone next week, starting Tuesday. I wanted to observe the Monarch butterfly migration, which passes right through where I’m going, but I understand they cut out three weeks early and I’ll be missing it.
Hmm. noted the Monarchs in this area-NE Oregon -have gone,So have the bulk of the
Pelicans and Robins here.We are on a minor branch of the Monarch Migration.Noted the
Meadowlarks have left the area too.Normally they are around until mid-late August…
I Fear this isn’t good.
Also,El Nino appears to be shrinking,as i have said,it will be gone or near gone by
Northern winter: :http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/ml/ocean/sst/anomaly.html
Still looks like part of a 60 – 70 year sine wave with lots of noise on it to me!
That’s because it is. And the 60 year sine is noise on the 200 year cycle, which is itself noise on the 2,000 year cycle, which is noise on the 1,000,000 year cycle.
Oh, and it’s the CO2. Yeah. That.
The Robins know temperature to a degree or so. They have already came by and are on thier way south.
After cruising along the zero anomaly line from 1979 the temperature deviation seems to be ‘reset’ upward to +0.3 by the 1998 El Nino and moves forward without a rise/fall trend.
Douglas DC (20:39:27) :
Sorry, Douglas, didn’t see your post until after mine. Your Robins stopped by the Shasta/Trinity last week. Noted the Monarchs and Yellow Swallowtails on the 27th & 28th of August (my wife keeps the notes). Have seen birds flocking in the Northern part of the Sacramento Valley mid-August.
Yes, I am afraid you are correct. This is so not good.
If this is what it takes to get the AGW monkey off our backs, well, that’s what it takes. Only trouble is, the MSM is working overtime to fake out the public, pointing them in the wrong direction.
evanmjones wrote :
“I’ll be gone next week, starting Tuesday. I wanted to observe the Monarch butterfly migration, which passes right through where I’m going, but I understand they cut out three weeks early and I’ll be missing it.”
DaveE resonded:
“Seems even butterflies understand weather/climate better than we humans”
They’re just flapping for chaos. Consequently, many years down the road the weather will be different. Now model that!
The last week of August in southeastern Washington Sate, Canadian Geese were bestirring themselves, taking off and landing in the pond behind our house, forming fitful V formations.
OK, ignoring the 1998 El Nino year, I get a 0 to negative trend continuously with the UAH temp data from Feb 2000. Thats 9 years and 6 months.
According to NOAA 10 years with 0 trend is possible but unusual and 15 years precluded.
Shiver in your boots you AGW fudgers and credulous clowns.
Update from 10,000′ in the Central Rocky Mountains: Autumn is in full swing. The yellowing of the Aspen leaves commenced a couple of weeks ago, and peak colors should appear in maybe two weeks. We had a cold rainstorm roll through today, and the peaks above 12,000 got snow. This early Autumn comes on the heels of a short, cooler than average summer.
Keith Minto (21:17:48) : temperature seems to be “reset”
I believe Bob Tisdale [ http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/ ]
has explained the working off of the warmth from the 1998 El Nino. This suggests to me that the “resetting” is temporary. Maybe Bob or someone else knows the proper post for you to read and will point it out.
Previous WxMark
“Just wait until Hansen HOMOGENIZES it!”
and evanmjones
“If only he didn’t pasteurize it.”
I thought ‘pasteurize’ was about Al Gore’s sea level prediction?
I still see a cooling trend.
Hi Anthony, where is James hansen lately? NASA has been using “maundeer minimum” type of cooling recently, plus this drop in August temp anomaly. Is he being eased out by fellow NASA officials? Or he’s on an intimate rendezvouz with Al Gore, in preparation for Copenhagen this December? thanks.
So the SH “sees the biggest drop”? Funny, but the Bureau of Meterorology, Canberra, Australia reported only a few days ago that “August [in Australia] was almost 2.5 degrees Celsius warmer than normal across the country.
“The bureau boffins described it as most extraordinary” as temperatures crept above 38 degrees in some areas.
“And winter as a whole came within a whisker of being the warmest of record – it was just 0.01 of a degree cooler than the record-holder, 1996.
See http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/09/01/reporter-down-under-dont-blame-climate-change-for-hottest-august-on-record/
CPT. Charles (20:30:44) : PS—The Farmer’s Almanac sez: Bitter Winter for most the US.
They are usually right.