NASA GISS has released their global temperature anomaly data for June 2009 and it is quite the surprise.
In both the UAH and RSS satellite data sets, global temperature anomaly went down in June. GISS went up, and is now the largest June anomaly since 1998, when we had the super El Nino.
Data source:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Here are the June global temperature anomaly comparisons:
GISS .63C
RSS .075
UAH .001
The divergence between the satellite derived global temperature anomalies of UAH and RSS and the GISS land-ocean anomaly is the largest in recent memory.
But that isn’t the only oddity. Over on Lucia’s blog, the first commenter out of the gate, “Nylo” noticed something odd:
Nylo (Comment#16257) July 14th, 2009 at 11:14 pm
Regarding updates in past temperatures, this is not the most important change. Very noticeable is the fact that now 2007 is the second hottest year, having replaced 1998 in the statistics. This has been achieved by lowering the 1998 J-D average temperature anomaly to 0.56 , and raising the 2007 J-D average temperature anomaly to 0.57. Last month they were viceversa.
It is curious to me that such adjustments in GISS seem to occur in a way that enhances the present trend. Perhaps it is like a fine liqueur, aged to perfection.
Blink comparator of GISS USA temperature anomaly – click image if not blinking
The USA is in the middle of an extended, double psychological mirage.
The first mirage, which nearly everyone here saw and believed, was the AGW catastrophe which loomed menacingly over the horizon.
Now, another closer mirage shimmers on the horizon. It is the oasis of man’s only salvation, cap and poverty.
Unfortunately for our handlers, we have recognized both mirages for what they really are.
Unfortunately for us, our too aggressive servants, are now shoving the hot sand of socialism down our throats.
Mike Bryant
Giss adjusting trend is obiviously year in year out in favour of their global warming idea. And all major adjustments favour global warming.
Statistically this is extremely unlikely, and therefore GISS is not relevant as a teperature indicator.
It does not help GISS credability that they dont play with open cards.
Always use RSS and UAH for temperature data.
For those of you interested go to the Australian Stock Exchange website and do a query on the stock SFR Sandfire Resources. Have a read of the 4 page ASX query (PDF) on a report to the ASX last week. Click on recently reported.
http://www.asx.com.au
Steve McIntyre and I are old mining industry types and in OZ we have voluntary codes of conduct and reporting standards. The results reported in this particular instance are no different in motivation than anything reported in climate science. It’s experience with this type of reporting that caused SM and me, independently, to wonder about the Mann Hockey Stick. The rest is history.
But who then polices the police?
“Look, I’m not a believer in catastrophic AGW, but – and I never thought I’d say this – the warmers are talking a lot more sense than the sceptics on this.”
So, the sparse suraface network, that must be extrapolated and adjusted can somehow “predict current trends” (in this case, a thin area of surface temperatures of the equatorial East Pacific), and that change somehow will show up in surface data all over the world? Did the same thing occur during the last moderate La Nina? Did GISS data lead the way and show a large negative anomaly in August-October 2007 when the La Nina formed? Is there a new adjustment that we don’t know about – the ENSO asjustment?
John Finn (01:49:43) :
Now you make me laugh. Apparently, GISS and RSS were sitting on a fence, GISS fell off, who was left?
You may say that GISS and RSSup are eccentric.
Which is fine if one is selling tabloids at the grocery store.
Not justifying sending our economy into the dark ages.
I only just noticed but you may all have seen or thought of this already:
They did it under the aegiss of an ALGOREithm
Groan…
James Hansen reminds me of one of my pool buddies. Funny, his name is Jim also.
When you play pool in a group setting, the players are often distracted. During that distraction, Jim almost always adjusts one ball by a very small amount. If you play nine ball, you know that an eighth of an inch one way or another can change the outcome of the game. Now, everyone knows that Jim does this, and it’s kind of a standing joke since we almost never play for money.
When we do have a couple of bucks on the line, Jim is watched very closely, because it’s really not funny anymore. In fact several guys won’t even play if Jim is around… It’d be easier and better, though, to just get rid of Jim.
I suggest everyone here pick up a copy of the 2009 Farmer’s Almanac (if you don’t already have one) and read the “Sound Familiar” article.
Folks were just as serious about the climate changing starting in 1894 with the ever-increasing cold prompting geologists to predict an Ice Age right on through the early 20’s. Then the 30’s hit and it was back to cooking.
Then 1952 the 1st global warming hiccup, with the unprecedented cold of the 60’s to 70’s leading to another Ice Age, now to our current ‘climate change’ and lastly to the decending cold once again.
Anthony, I think it would be a lot of fun to get Farmer’s Almanac to go along with posting an excerpt of that article here.
Weather exists for us to gripe about, records for us to guffaw about, but don’t you dare step on my Blue Suede data shoes.
It is very interesting that the anomaly in May and June,in meterological stations, is just the same, +0.77º.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/Fig.C.txt
My back of the envelope calculations say that this can’t be true. If the south pole comprises the 10% of all Earth surface, the anomaly over there should have been like 6º C to make up to the 0.6º discrepancy. And it wasn’t.
Oh… and if the south pole is “unprecedentedly warm”, Why the sea ice extent keeps growing year after year?
And, of course, this was predicted by the climate models. At least one of these 23 revised in the last IPCC report predicted that. Meh…
What GISS has to fight is reality, extrem cold in Peru, colder than normal in Southern and Northern Europe, it is cold in Australia, New Zealand, it is cold in South Africa It is cold in Canada. I wonder what the guys at GISS feel about presenting this almost funny anomaly. Somewhere deep inside they must feel that they are presenting a figure that is highly questionable.
Pay more in taxes to the government so the government will pretend to control the weather. And so how will we know that the additional taxes have made the temperature go down? Because the government will tell you it did.
Like a fish rotting in the noonday sun ….
Given the recent news on the previous couple of threads, I think anyone who believes they know what is happening or not happening relative to the climate is damn fool – aka a politician.
This is not weather statistics, it’s politics.
This a virtual BBQ is made to grill humanity
1. in the Senate and at EPA
2. at the G20 meeting in September
3. at the UN Climate meeting in December
Just in time for the Christmas dinner.
We all wear our green shackles around that time.
The Climate Maffia has taken over America.
Please do something about it.
It would be interesting to see the results of the forcings (those published by the IPCC) using GISS and UAH (or RSS). Anyone knows if this was done? I would imagine that the CO2 forcing using both would be quit different.
This is a frontal attack on us.
We skeptics have been stating all over the web that the earth has been cooling for the last decade.
Now they can say that this is not true.
Global Warming suddenly has become recent history.
How nice to have all these skills with fraudulent techniques.
I wonder if what the boys of Real Climate will do now.
Are they back in business?
Could we start a campaign to educate Bill O’reilly on Fox News. He believes GISS and Jim Hansen. Glenn Beck has tried to explain what is going on, but Bill is six cookies short of a dozen. He repeated the GISS nonsense again, yesterday, July 14. His email is oreilly@foxnews.com.
Jeff
There was “no controlling legal authority” for AlGore’s illegal campaign contributions from the Buddist Monks, and I wouldn’t be surprised it that is the same story here.
bluegrue (00:52:34) :
“It’s not like the source of the difference is a major mystery. The changes shown in the blinker occurred for the most part as a consequence of the introduction of the TOBS and SHAP adjustments. The former covers the systematic change of time of observation in the US, the other one corrections for station moves as documented in the station meta data. Which of these adjustments do you object to and on what basis?”
So – why do TOBS and SHAP change as newer data are added? Why is TOBS even needed in the modern era given that temperatures are monitored 24/7? Are there problems getting the USHCN volunteers to record their temperatures at a consistent time?
I don’t think this is a problem with TOBS or SHAP, but rather it is *** entirely *** an artifact of the extraordinarily bad GISTEMP software…
By the way, our tax dollars are paying for this abysmal climate “product”…
rbateman (03:13:40) :
Joe D’Aleo’s article is online at http://www.almanac.com/timeline/ . (It’s both the inspiration for the “Sound Familiar” article and the Almanac’s expectation of decades of cooling.)
I keep a link at http://wermenh.com/climate/science.html to another good article along that line: Fire and Ice at http://www.businessandmedia.org/specialreports/2006/fireandice/FireandIce.pdf
lies, damn lies, and GISS global temperature anomolies
pinkisbrain: nice try, but thermodynamics does not give any information about timescales. Unless you refer to nonequilbrium thermo?
It’s nice to see at least one person (Finn) agress with me on this one. Such a delay was alrady observed in 1998 just before el nino.
Flanagan (23:35:32) :
You’re missing the whole point.
This is not a matter of divergence between different data sets. This is changes within a data set, changes being made by an advocate, changes not explained or documented.
Imagine how you would feel if your banker made ‘adjustments’ of this sort on your checking account.
Flanagan: I suggest that you read up on the basic physics of the global warming debate — using explanations from both the pro side and the skeptic side. The Green House theory is not in jeopardy. Its reality is accepted by all sides. The questions are whether increased levels of CO2 swamp natural variations and how extensive are feedback loops. If increases in tropospheric temperatures are caused by El Nino, that discredits CO2-based AGW, not the greenhouse theory. El Ninos preceeded (and will follow) high levels of anthropogenic CO2 emissions.