UPDATES WE HAVE UPDATES: 8 updates to this story have been posted – see below the “read the rest of this entry” line. It appears most if not all of the technology in the expedition has failed early on and the Catlin website never made any mention of this fact until a BBC article appeared today. They have disclaimers up now on the Catlin website, and the flat XML data file used to feed the biometrics page has been removed from the web page developers website.
Something quite odd is going on at the Catlin Arctic Survey website at: http://www.catlinarcticsurvey.com/
It appears that they are presenting recycled data from the biotelemetry sensors on the team. The “live from the ice” biotelemetry data for each team member is presented here:
http://www.catlinarcticsurvey.com/live_from_the_ice.aspx
Here is a screencap of what the biotelemetry section of that webpage looks like:
click for full sized image
A WUWT commenter posted this:
karl heuer (07:40:46) :
The “Live from the Ice” biotelemetry is definitely not live:
When the data loads,
Pen Hadow core temp starts at 33.25 C every time the page loads, then increments up to 33.57, 33.64, 33.7, 33.75
every time, I have refreshed, cleared temp files and rebooted — still the same
WUWT commenter “hotrod” did his own check:
I just tried it looking at Pen Haddow’s pulse rate — Hmmm what are the odds that 32 consecutive pulse rate measurements would be identical?
Yes looks like the bio metric data is just white was to make their site look nifty, and has absolutely no value at all — perhaps they already have all their ice measurements in the can too?
91
91.3
93.9
95.1
93.5
88.5
85
87.6
91.2
94.5
101.3
106.6
105.9
102
96.6
92.9
87.2
85.1
79.9
80.7
80.2
85.9
89.9
96.2
105.9
116.7
113.9
103.4
90.8
83.4
82.1
82.4
===========
91
91.3
93.9
95.1
93.5
88.5
85
87.6
91.2
94.5
101.3
106.6
105.9
102
96.6
92.9
87.2
85.1
79.9
80.7
80.2
85.9
89.9
96.2
105.9
116.7
113.9
103.4
90.8
83.4
82.1
82.4
==================
Larry
And I also double checked that with my own observations, writing down each datapoint from a “clean refresh” of the web page as shown below:
Ann Daniels Heartbeat
89.7
89.6
87.4
95.6
104.4
94.5
85.5
98.1
123.1
122.9
109.8
106.6
108.7
113.9
102.1
105.1
104.7
96.3
109.6
109
115
117.8
109.6
105.9
110.8
111.1
101.5
104.7
121.6
137.3
142.5
130
132.4
149.6
142.4
122.4
129.5
116.3
107.5
113.3
102.3
100.7
110.3
124.9
130.1
143.1
163.7
164.7
142.8
118
108.8
102.7
96.3
94.7
101.7
117.4
119
98.8
Martin Hartley Heartbeat
113
114.3
113.3
109.5
109.4
108.5
105.8
107.8
106.6
104.1
106.6
108.9
109.1
110.1
110.6
108.2
102.2
97.2
96.4
98.2
99.9
102
99.1
100.7
106.8
107.3
108.6
107.2
100.9
103.8
107.4
105.1
105.9
Ann Core temp
37.32
37.26
37.22
37.2
37.18
37.17
37.15
37.16
37.17
37.19
37.2
37.21
37.22
37.23
37.26
37.27
37.29
37.3
Martin Core Temp
37.29
37.25
37.24
37.25
37.23
37.21
37.2
37.21
37.22
37.2
37.21
37.2
37.19
37.2
37.21
37.2
37.19
37.2
37.19
37.18
37.19
I didn’t bother to check any more.
Indeed, you can watch these exact same sequences of numbers on all the sensors listed above repeat exactly in the sequence of numbers shown above immediately after a web page refresh.
And this is “live from the ice”?
So I thought to myself “maybe they only download telemetry data every couple of hours”? So maybe it was “near-live”.
That would explain the page refresh behavior. Fortunately, there was a way on the Catlin website to check the past data using the data selector on the biotelemetry page as shown below:
To my surprise, it made no difference. Any day I selected showed the exact same telemetry data!
There’s no mention of this on their website that I can find.
Something else bothers me: trailing zero deletion.
Notice this data sequence:
Martin Core Temp
37.29
37.25
37.24
37.25
37.23
37.21
37.2
37.21
37.22
37.2
37.21
37.2
37.19
37.2
37.21
37.2
37.19
37.2
37.19
37.18
37.19
Notice how the zero is dropped from 37.2? Most data loggers don’t behave that way when logging data, but anyone familiar with a Microsoft Excel Spreadsheet knows of this behavior.
I welcome all readers to repeat the exercise I just did with the data, and I welcome any plausible explanations for what I have observed that would explain this repeating data pattern.
The biotelemetry equipment (used by the team) manufacturer webpage shows a remote monitoring application:
Fig 1. Sensor Application Diagram
The Catlin web page itself says this about the biotelemetry:
And the caveat posted at the bottom of the “live from the ice” web page says this:
The data produced by the Equivital System is provided for general information only and is not intended for medical analysis within the scope of the Catlin Arctic Survey. As such, it will be analysed for general research purposes only and will not be viewed or utilised as a tool for the diagnosis or identification of the medical condition of the expedition team. This has been agreed by all members of the expedition team.
Nothing about it being “not live” or broken is stated, only that we shouldn’t use it for medical analysis.
So we have:
- repeating data on all heatbeats
- repeating data on all core temperatures
- repeating data on the three dates I checked available from the archive data selector
- no notice of the telemetry being down
- no notice of it not being “live”
- status: “operational” for all three team members
- UPDATE: I also checked from another computer in my office that had never visited the website to eliminate the possibility of some web browser cache problem – same results
What could one conclude from that? Maybe this is just an elaborate demo page? But why then the “live from the ice” as the name of the page in the URL?
http://www.catlinarcticsurvey.com/live_from_the_ice.aspx
If it is not live, why not simply say so?
If my observations are correct, the question then is : if they are this sloppy about what data they present to the world on their “live” web page, what does that say about integrity of any other data they may gather? Surely they know the whole world is watching the condition of the three intrepid ice explorers with great concern?
Let’s give them the benefit of the doubt, it could be a technical glitch of some sorts, but I’ll be interested to see what the explanation for this is.
UPDATE: WUWT commenter “sandy” offer this bit of flash debugging which sheds some light on the issue.
Those numbers are built into the flash swf. There is no attempt to contact the server to update the .swf.
For the technical: A swf that was updating real time would have to contact the server for the latest data. It would do this using a XMLHTTPRequest object which is the wizardry behind AJAX, or it would attempt to open a direct socket which generally gets the browser squawking.
My firefox firebug developer add-on can detect no attempt to contact the server.
This swf was never designed to be able to get live data.
(and it is a bugger to get right)
If, on seeing the .fla, this swf came from, I am wrong, I’ll be happy to retract.
But until then my accusation of deliberate deception stands.
Anybody care to verify this?
UPDATE2: It gets even stranger. Why would anyone strap a “hand warmer” to a device designed to measure temperature? (h/t to Edward Mitchell)
Source of this image: http://www.catlinarcticsurvey.com/technology_seacat
UPDATE3: The root data file for Catlin biometric data has been located by WUWT reader Shawn F..
| Shawn F. |
Submitted on 2009/04/08 at 8:59pm
|
Well, I hope my comment is useful but in my analysis of the biofeedback html I am finding that the swf (the flash component of the page) is not the requester of the data but rather consumes ajax information via javascript. Therefore, it could be possible that the page is requesting live data from another site and feeding it to the swf via javascript (although I have already checked that possibility and the data is coming from off site, but it appears to be “canned” data).
I believe I have verified that the following are the calls being made from the page per “explorer”:
http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php?name=pen
http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php?name=ann
http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php?name=martin
You can verify the data without the querystring: http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php for the total xml file.
I have saved a copy of this xml and will check to see if it changes.
I appreciate the good people here who drive out the corruption to truth and science. This site is preserving my sanity!
REPLY: Thank you Shawn, this appears to be the root data. I’ve loaded the http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php file and it appears to indeed be hard coded. For those just joining this discussion, the Catlin website has a footer at the bottom of each page that identifies the website developer:
Produced by http://www.indigopapa.com
And that is where the XML data file requested by the flash used to drive the “biometrics” page comes from. I suppose it is possible that this data file would be regularly updated, but the fact that they have a date selector on the biometrics web page that does nothing, and calls this same file again and again points to a hard wiring of this data.
WUWT readers, especially those with flash and XML experience, please weigh in and point out anything you see that either supports or refutes this conjecture. – Anthony
UPDATE4: WUWT reader Pkatt points out that the leader of the survey required an Arctic extraction in 2003 that in the words of one rescuer “put lives at risk” and was “a bit stupid”
Story here at the UK independent
UPDATE 5: The Catlin live biometrics web page went blank for awhile, and this note appeared:
Please note, we are disabling the biotelemetry data section of the website for several days. The units themselves are still functioning perfectly, but we need to address an issue with the above display. We hope to have resolved this problem in a matter of days.
UPDATE6: The disclaimer message on Catlin live biometrics web page now says:
Please note the above data was collected over a 12 hour period on March 8th. This gives us a fair representation of how the ice team bodies are coping in the incessant cold.
The biotelemetry data is captured using Equivital monitoring units, usually used by the military, first responders, emergency services and those operating in high risk and remote locations. They have been specifically designed to operate in a wide range of environments. The units have stood up extremely well so far to the rigours of extended polar travel, but some of the data does require explanation.
Yes, it does.
UPDATE7: The XML source data file used to originally feed the biotelemetry web page flash display has been removed and replaced with a generic logo of the developer/ website company for the Catlin Expedition:
http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php no longer works. This is the page that comes up now:
But I saved the XML data that used to be there and it is posted below:
<stats>
−
<ann>
<ecg max=”1905″ 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UPDATE8: A story has now appeared in the BBC that says they may not have any data from their towed sled ice radar unit (known as SPRITE) at all:
Arctic team: London, we have a problem from the BBC
A portable radar device, known as Sprite, designed to make millions of measurements of the ice thickness, has been dogged by breakdowns and uncertainties.
Another instrument, SeaCat, meant to measure the temperature and salinity of the water beneath the ice-cap, has malfunctioned as well.
The expedition’s organisers insist that other research – such as regular drilling through the ice – has meanwhile been carried out successfully.
It gets curiouser and curiouser.
Perhaps the biotelemetry data after receiving it is modelled and corrected by the same computer model that predicted that the arctic will be ice free this year.
Kind off like the ocean temperatures if you can’t find warming model yourself some.
Pen Hadow models his Cranial-Rectal Inversion Attitude Adjuster for the public: click
jeez (18:44:57) is right on. When someone is caught lying, it means one thing for sure: he is a liar. At this point we can’t trust anything they say.
Since we’re all laughing at England’s Prince Charles, perhaps an English newspaper might fancy a write-up of this rather sad affair. Surely the good Prince will pull the plug on these hooligans and their shenanigans. Do the right thing England.
Hail Britania!
Mike Bryant
MikeW (15:38:20) :
How is the ice drift affecting them currently? I’ve seen some notes here that it may be adding to their progress which I would find surprising unless they’ve been crossing an area that has been stretching out. Is it?
I use the following site to monitor drift of the arctic ice, the results are consistent with their reports. Initially strong flow against their direction of travel, then no drift, followed by drift towards the pole. If I were them I’d be ‘aiming off’ to the left to make the best progress.
http://cersat.ifremer.fr/data/discovery/by_product_type/gridded_products/psi_amsr_drift
Here is something pequiliar. They are using a seacat CTD system for their water data collection. Something doesn’t look right with the housing for the temp sensor. HWGW (Hand Warmer Global Warming?????)
http://www.catlinarcticsurvey.com/technology_seacat
http://www.seabird.com/products/spec_sheets/19plusdata.htm
Compar them and see if you can spot the jerry rig!
It is a nice MODEL of the biotelemetry, just as good as observation!
Hrrumph!
Those numbers are built into the flash swf. There is no attempt to contact the server to update the .swf.
For the technical: A swf that was updating real time would have to contact the server for the latest data. It would do this using a XMLHTTPRequest object which is the wizardry behind AJAX, or it would attempt to open a direct socket which generally gets the browser squawking.
My firefox firebug developer add-on can detect no attempt to contact the server.
This swf was never designed to be able to get live data.
(and it is a bugger to get right)
If, on seeing the .fla, this swf came from, I am wrong, I’ll be happy to retract.
But until then my accusation of deliberate deception stands.
Isn’t this the same thing as having somebody else pee in the cup?
So, anybody email Maslowski yet? His CV looks pretty good, that is he doesn’t look like a con man even though he is a modeler, but his expertise is beyond my ken. I’d like to see his answer the questions: Are those guys really out there and transmitting data on ice thickness and age to your office? Show me the data.
drat: “his answer to the question.”
This silly expedition seems to be an apt metaphor for the entire AGW cause: doubtful premise; manipulated or non-existent data; results not matching the theory, denial of reality, manipulation of the media, support by the ignorant and venal etc. etc. Ultimately the truth will be revealed; with consequent ridicule of the movment’s leaders. The dupes will mostly disappear – like the Nazis’ supporters did after WW2, and Mao’s after the “Great Leap Forward”.
sigh
Hmm. Seems like someone was caught with their hand in the cookie jar.
Still, I would like these people to come home safe and sound.
This expedition is an apt metaphor for the entire AGW movement.
Again with the numbers. How are you supposed to debate
the science when they manipulate the data? I don’t even
trust the satellite data any more.
It seems Martin and Ann are always excited… For example, Ann’s cardiac frequency goes up to 164.7 beats per minute. Normal CF (without exercising and depending of body’s requirements of oxygen) is 60-80 per minute. On the other hand, Martin has always a cardiac frequency above 90 beats per minute. I think Ann and Martin are suffering some kind of arctic fever.
Here’s the press release from Hidalgo which provided the EquivitalTM body worn physiological monitoring system.
http://www.prlog.org/10205861-catlin-arctic-survey-uses-equivital-physiological-monitoring-system.html
“The Equivital™ unit will continuously record and transmit the wearer’s physiological data, which will be sent to the survey vessel’s onboard Central Data Unit before being transmitted back to the UK HQ. In particular, core body temperatures will be recorded and sent back to track team members’ physical and mental responses when exposed to extended periods in extremely low temperatures. What this ultimately means is, at the beginning of the expedition, when ambient air temperatures are still as low as -50C, website visitors can witness first hand the detrimental effect that such conditions have on the human body. “
Jim Arndt (17:45:06):
Hey Anthony,
People can correct me but even in perfect conditions I believe your body temp changes more than that. Hence we sweat or shiver. Didn’t you post that they are slurring their speech, that means core temp should have dropped quite a bit. Just doesn’t seem right.
Yes, human body’s temperature could vary more than that according with the environment temperature and the delay on organism’s response. However, there is a highly sensitive feedback biosystem which ammends immediately those sharp changes of temperature. Here a fragment from my thesis on Biophysics:
There are several channels of heat transfer between the human body and its environment. Some channels end in the corium, internal with respect to the epidermis; other channels “cross” muscles, fat layer, epidermis and hair, until reaching the interface or viscous boundary layer, which connects the body system with the environment and where the heat is transferred to the surrounds by conduction, convection, radiation and evaporation, if the body is within air, or by conduction, convection and radiation, if it is submerged in water.
Hmm, managed to isolate a swf and it is trying to contact something (dev.indiapapa,tv for those interested). Next try and see whether it gets a text file 🙁
Phil. (19:18:49) :
If I were them I’d be ‘aiming off’ to the left to make the best progress.
If I were them I’d be doing my damnedest to make sure that I was not going to be made into a martyr for the cause: I’d get on the next supply plane. Actually, I’d have simply looked at the satellite data and never left the comfort of my office.
Mark
completely off topic (but hey, we never get an “open” thread around here 🙂
Has NASA ever done this:
Take a picture of a place, say the Orion Nebula, and six months later take another picture of the same spot, and then combine them as a stereoscopic image to make basically a 3D picture of how it would look if your eyes were as far apart as the orbit of Earth?
Wow that’s fascinating! I wonder if we’ll hear some justification/excuse from Catlin support team!
Nasif Nahle (19:49:48) :
“It seems Martin and Ann are always excited… I think Ann and Martin are suffering some kind of arctic fever.”
Either that or they are sharing the same sleeping bag.
Amazing. I was actually checking this page often, being surprised that his body is only at 33 deg C. And the numbers looked similar all the time. But I was never able to see that they’re exactly identical all the time, as a function of the time from the loading.
For an expedition that pretends to measure temperature-related things scientifically, it is not exactly encouraging to see that the procedure to measure their own temperatures and pulse rates is based on a complete fraud.
Jack (19:38:48) said: “This silly expedition seems to be an apt metaphor for the entire AGW cause: doubtful premise; manipulated or non-existent data; results not matching the theory, denial of reality, manipulation of the media, support by the ignorant and venal etc. etc.”
And ultimately torpedoed by global hypothermia.
There is an Arctic Buoy 60-day drift map here:
http://iabp.apl.washington.edu/maps_daily_track-map.html
I don’t see any Lat/Long here so it appears it would take some effort to plot the team’s progress, or lack thereof, on a map like this.
Well, I hope my comment is useful but in my analysis of the biofeedback html I am finding that the swf (the flash component of the page) is not the requester of the data but rather consumes ajax information via javascript. Therefore, it could be possible that the page is requesting live data from another site and feeding it to the swf via javascript (although I have already checked that possibility and the data is coming from off site, but it appears to be “canned” data).
I believe I have verified that the following are the calls being made from the page per “explorer”:
http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php?name=pen
http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php?name=ann
http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php?name=martin
You can verify the data without the querystring: http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php for the total xml file.
I have saved a copy of this xml and will check to see if it changes.
I appreciate the good people here who drive out the corruption to truth and science. This site is preserving my sanity!
REPLY: Thank you Shawn, this appears to be the root data. I’ve loaded the http://dev.indigopapa.tv/clients/arctic/statsXML.php file and it appears to indeed be hard coded. For those juts joining this discussion, the Catlin website has a footer at the bottom of each page that identifies the website developer:
Produced by http://www.indigopapa.com
And that is where the XML data file requested by the flash used to drive the “biometrics” page comes from. I suppose it is possible that this data file would be regularly updated, but the fact that they have a date selector on the biometrics web page that does nothing, and calls this same file again and again points to a hard wiring of this data.
WUWT readers, especially those with flash and XML experience, please weigh in and point out anything you see that either supports or refutes this conjecture. – Anthony