EcoAmerica Poll: Climate skeptics are the majority, not the minority

Only 18 percent of survey respondents strongly believe that climate change is real, human-caused and harmful.

Yes you read that correctly, it is all in this article on the Nature Conservancy webpage. And that goes along with what was discovered in June this year by the newspapers UK Guardian and Observer, which reported that:

The majority of the British public is still not convinced that climate change is caused by humans – and many others believe scientists are exaggerating the problem…

The Nature Conservancy story citing 18 percent, is citing the American Climate Values Survey (ACVS), conducted by the consulting group EcoAmerica It also found that political party affiliation is the single largest indicator as to whether people see climate change as a threat.

It seems it is all political, as there are some other fascinating tidbits. For example:

  • Convinced it’s happening: 54 percent of Republicans, 90 percent of Democrats.
  • Think that weather has gotten more severe: 44 percent of Republicans; 77 percent of Democrats.
  • Noticed the climate changing: 54 percent of Republicans; 84 percent of Democrats.
  • Trust Al Gore when he talks about global warming: 22 percent of Republicans; 71 percent of Democrats.
  • Trust environmentalists who talk about global warming: 38 percent of Republicans; 71 percent of Democrats.
  • Trust anyone who talks about global warming: 39 percent of Republicans; 75 percent of Democrats.

     

 h/t to Tom Nelson

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JimB
October 28, 2008 12:35 am

Tom in Texas (20:24:52) :
“22% of the Republicans trust Al Gore???”
Scares me that anyone believes him.
CanuckInMI (21:06:59) :
“22% of the Republicans trust Al Gore???”
“Didn’t John McCain just recently say he had a lot of respect for Al Gore?”
I think it was even suggested that McCain would appoint SurlyAl (Sureal Al?…dunno) to his cabinet.
Amazing that both candidates “believe” in this. How much of the belief is based purely on attempting to get votes? All of it, imho.
Jim

Pierre Gosselin
October 28, 2008 12:55 am

I haven’t taken a close look at this survey, but I seriously doubt its findings.
Europeans in general see it as a fact that CO2 is harmful.
In Germany it’s tough finding anyone who disagrees with AGW dogma.
And just take a look at the speakers to appear at the next NIPCC convention.
It was only possible to find two outside of the Anglo-speaking countries. Not a single one from Denmark, Russia, Holland, Spain, Italy, China, India, South America, Germany, Japan etc.!
The sceptic movement indeed appears, and underservedly so, to be a Manchester Capitalism effort.
Is anyone thinking about PR at the Heartland Institute?

Pierre Gosselin
October 28, 2008 1:06 am

From IceCap
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/licence_to_dissent/
I’ve been warNing about this long enough. Dissenters – brace yourselves!
Next year, websites like Anthony’s may not be around.

Demesure
October 28, 2008 1:29 am

Trust Al Gore when he talks about global warming: 22 percent of Republicans; 71 percent of Democrats.
Trust anyone who talks about global warming: 39 percent of Republicans; 75 percent of Democrats.

I’m shocked to know the shopkeeper nextdoor is more trustworthy on GW than Al Gore.

moptop
October 28, 2008 1:32 am

This is all just more evidence that the press has sold out its credibility for political reasons, and it ain’t coming back. Favoring a small number of politically motivated scientists who, just as a coincidence, favor the kind of huge taxation that the majority of the press favor, what a coincidence.

Richard
October 28, 2008 2:26 am

How about instead of asking what people believe ask them what they are willing to pay from their own pocket to back up their belief. Fine to say that corporations and government’s should do something but end of they day the public pays.

andyw35
October 28, 2008 3:13 am

It’s blatently obvious that the UK should try to get off it’s addiction to Russian gas and oil and if it takes the global warming banner to do it than so be it.
A canadian writes :-
“Unfortunately for the Brit’s they are in it now. Skyhigh electricity and gas prices and blackouts to come. Luckily we Canadians were not that stupid”
Are we that stupid though? I now drive a car that would have been taxed a flat rate at £180 but due to government enviromental concerns I get to pay £20. The government paid for my attic to be insulated so I got that for free. My new environmental car does 50mpg, my old one did 25mpg, cars are getting more frugal due to governmental pricing bands for CO2 emissions as well as cost of fuel. The government is also helping paying for pensioners and disabled peoples boilers to be changed to more efficient new ones.
STUPID? No, personally economically better off on the back of “green” is not stupid 😉
As for this figure of only 18% of Americans agreeing with AGW I will point out that this is a much smaller amount than the number that believe in flying saucers, evolution is bunkum and God created the world in 7 days and that the twin towers was blown up by explosions so Bush could invade the middle east.Which I think tells us more about people in the USA rather than whether AGW exists or not 😀
Regards
Andy

Paulus
October 28, 2008 3:17 am

Pierre, you say: “In Germany it’s tough finding anyone who disagrees with AGW dogma.”.
Well I live in Bavaria, south of Munich. And quite honestly I can’t find anybody who particularly cares about climate change, one way or the other.
I asked my teenage son the other day what his classmates think about it. He told me 1 of the girls is a member of the Green Party, but otherwise it’s of no interest to them at all.
But his teachers – now that’s a different matter. They would all appear to be true believers, including the science teachers.

JimB
October 28, 2008 3:33 am

Richard (02:26:14) :
“Fine to say that corporations and government’s should do something but end of they day the public pays.”
It always amazes me that so many people in the U.S. completely miss this point. Listen to any politician that wants to tax “Big Oil” and you’ll hear cheering, but no one there can explain to you how this is going to lower prices. In fact, they can’t explain why this increased tax won’t just get passed along in the sale price of the product.
It’s the same problem with understanding “climate change” claims. You just have to be willing to ask that pesky “next question”, which so many never do.
Jim

Paulus
October 28, 2008 3:33 am

Come to think of it, I don’t know anybody personally in the UK either who cares about climate change – except for one friend who is a member of Friends of the Earth.
I asked him what they discussed at their local meetings, and he said: “Football”.
“Yeah, right” I said – “But all joking aside what do you really discuss?”. “No, I’m not joking, we talk mainly about football”.
His group are pretty active as well. Last year on his way to flying off for a short walking holiday in Switzerland, he had to undergo the indignity of walking past his co-members picketing his airport, much to both our amusement.

Alan Chappell
October 28, 2008 3:56 am

Paulus/Pierre,
I live in Pinneberg (Hamburg 25km) of those that I know, no interest, its a political subject that will cost us money said a friend. In Italy (Rimmini ) Climate Change ? laughter.

Alan the Brit
October 28, 2008 3:59 am

Slightly Amused/Eve Stevens/Mike Dubrasich/Paul Maynard:
Some of us try to think things thro! I always believed that those who shout loudest in an debate/argument are always in the wrong, they know it, that’s why they shout!
The whole thing is quite frightening. We are told not to dissent from the official viewpoint. The whole rationalé is to control the populace with fear, raise taxes, every totalitarian system does so right or left. The UK government & its Green relatives have bought into this big time, so it will be very difficult to change viewpoints, to avoid huge embarrassment, huge salaries going down, huge budgets being reduced & cut, & reputations being lost, very difficult to face losing these things once a little empire has been built off taxpayers funding!
The planet is cooling, has done for 8 years, is “predicted” by a computer to do so for another 8-10 years, yet this is “perfectly in keeping ” with the understanding of Climate Change. Makes no sense to me. If a crack in a building opens up one year, then closes the next, it says to me it is very likely (95% IPCC) a cyclical movement. If the climate warms over a period of time, then cools over another period of time, then warms again, then cools again, it surely should say something to a “climate scientist”, although to be honest, climate science is in its infancy after all, despite what some would have us believe. The AGWers in the UK take the Gorean stance that the debate is over therefore we must all go along with the story that it’s all done & dusted. Yet the climate still seems to have a mind of its own, & doesn’t want to play ball with the climate models.
As to the Politically Correct clap-trap that this group come out with they have certainly been studying the PC brigade over here in the UK. The jargonese is quite delightful & meaningless of course, but it sounds terribly technical & important. A bit like Anthropogenic (yes it’s in my little dictionary) as opposed to Man-made, why use simple when complex sounds more important! Sounds like the sort of stuff an administrator would use, when a technical bod would tend to opt for a simpler definition.
BTW, had difficulty logging on yesterday about 6:00pm GMT, was there a problem with the site or just one of those things? I was mildly alarmed after reading some of the blogs about restricting freedom of access to non PC AGW sites, I thought for a moment they’d put it in place already! God forbid.

Alan the Brit
October 28, 2008 4:35 am

Oh deary deary me.
Just looked at the BBC website Science section, they’re running a re-cycled (well done stops the environmental damage) story, to accompany a new one, apparently it’s the ice thickness chaps, that’s the big issue now, from a EU funded (who else) University College London study reveals. The story talks about 2007 ice but vaguely implies 2008 is involved somewhere along the line but I couldn’t work it out from the thread. The follow-up story is a re-hash job from September 07, along with a recent re-hash of arctic ice at tipping point dated August 08. They really are running out of things to report about.
The story I read doesn’t say too much about when exactly all the satalite measurements were made, & over what time period, whether winter or summer ice, etc.
How is the ice doing right now?

Tom in Florida
October 28, 2008 4:54 am

Andy:”Are we that stupid though? I now drive a car that would have been taxed a flat rate at £180 but due to government enviromental concerns I get to pay £20. The government paid for my attic to be insulated so I got that for free… The government is also helping paying for pensioners and disabled peoples boilers to be changed to more efficient new ones. ”
The only government money is OPM, other people’s money. The things you get for “free” and the payment help the government engages in are paid for by someone else. Someone who first has to earn that money so the government can take it away and give it to people like you. But then, everyone who is on the receiving end of “government money” ignores this and will always vote for those who promise it. This is how liberty and freedom die, a slow socialist death under the pretense that government is there to help not control. The USA is going to go through this in the very near future. Thank the Foundering Fathers that we have a 2nd Amendment.

October 28, 2008 5:19 am

[…] Watts Up With That? Tuesday, Oct 28, 2008 […]

October 28, 2008 5:25 am

Paul Maynard (23:55:10) : “Unfortunately, although the majority of the British may not believe in AGW, 99% (or that’s what it seems like) of the people who rule our lives do.”
That’s pretty much it, in a nutshell. It’s not that ordinary folks here are stupid, (most people I know are concerned with matters like family, work, money, food, etc, and don’t rank global warming highly as something to get particularly excited about, even if they vaguely believe it.) It’s the government, media and NGOs who aggressively push AGW at every turn. If only one of our political leaders (Boris Johnson??) could just stand up and say “My position is that manmade global warming is a load of absolute bollocks” it would be very heartening.

October 28, 2008 5:28 am

Oh heck – I’m a republican !!?

Arthur Glass
October 28, 2008 5:43 am

‘Belief belongs in the realm of churches; data either support conclusions or they do not.’
Belief as in ‘faith’ is, as St Paul saith, ‘the testimony of things unseen’ and certainly has no place in natural science. However, that is not the whole story about the way the noun ‘belief’ and the verb ‘believe’ are used in English. In ordinary usage, ‘belief’ that a proposition is true or false implies a high level of confidence without asserting 100% certainty. For example, until a few years ago, the overwhelming majority of mathematicians believed that Fermat’s Last Theorem was true. The theorem has, finally, been demonstrated to be true, i.e. knowledge has been substituted for belief.

Pierre Gosselin
October 28, 2008 5:57 am

Paulus,
I agree that there’s lots of apathy among the masses in Europe on the subject. But the elite who form public opinion, i.e. the media, intellectuals, academia etc. are huge proponents of the scam. I live not far from Bremen, and both my children at school had to watch Gore’s garbarge at school.
In fact the German Minister for Environment, Sigmar Gabriel, distributed 6000 AIT DVDs to all the advanced A-level high schools here.
And honestly, if you ask to average Joe on the street, he thinks CO2 is a pollutant. They’ve been indictrinated for a number of years now.
Again, aside, this Heartland Institute would be well-advised to include the rest of the world in its March Conference. Otherwise it’ll just end up looking like a big country club pow-wow for Manchester capitalists.
I do hope them Republican boys realise that. I like their science. BUT the way it is now, the Conference’s overall appearance would make Diversity want to puke. It can hardly be called a global conference.
Where are the:
Danes?
Isrealis
Russians,
Indians,
Africans
Germans
South Americans
Japanese
etc.
Hello! It’s a global problem ladies and gentlemen.

October 28, 2008 6:16 am

BUT the way it is now, the Conference’s overall appearance would make Diversity want to puke. It can hardly be called a global conference

Ahh…. the “D” word. I thought you were going to point out there are practically no women! 🙂

October 28, 2008 6:18 am

@Pierre Gosselin (05:57:03) :
Conferences cost money to attend and funding for AGW supporters far exceeds funding for AGW skeptics. We don’t all get to go to Bali.
The issue of international participation may very well be one of international researchers not being able to afford to attend the conference rather than the conference organizers not seeking international participation.

Mike Bryant
October 28, 2008 6:19 am

“Richard (02:26:14) :
How about instead of asking what people believe ask them what they are willing to pay from their own pocket to back up their belief.”
Excellent question for the 18% who believe the worst.

October 28, 2008 6:24 am

[…] more and more people are refusing to buy in to their chicken little “theories.” See Anthony Watts for the […]

Sean
October 28, 2008 6:25 am

I am an optimistic person by nature and I look at the “green” movement to be as much about money as about the environment. If I can be environmental green and keep more of my financial green, it gets my support. So more insulation in my house, a higher mileage car, light bulbs that work more efficiently, I’m all for it. I’m even a bit more tolerant than most of higher energy costs because I know there are things I can do to reduce energy consumption and at least break even and possibly come out ahead. However an environmental movement that can blindly push for reduced carbon footprints that in the long run will have so little impact is mindless. An envirionmental movement that blindly pushes biofuels as costs for food goes up to the point people are pushed deeper into poverty and some to starvation is heartless. I think if we continue down this path much futher, we’ll have a Winston Churchill moment but on this topic he’d be saying, “never have so many, paid so much and accomplished so little” in their effort to control the climate.

October 28, 2008 6:37 am

[…] more and more people are refusing to buy in to their chicken little “theories.” See Anthony Watts for the poll. Sphere: Related Content If you liked my post, feel free to subscribe to my rss […]

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