More anecdotal and oddly cool summer weather: Rockford, IL yet to reach 90 degrees

Having grown up in the midwest not too far from there, having no 90 degree days yet for the entire summer is admitedly unusual. Here is a running window of the last 3 days of temperature data from Rockford. So far 84 degrees F has been the warmest since this report has been issued. – Anthony

NOUS43 KLOT 162218





517 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2008
























Source of statement here

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August 19, 2008 11:27 pm

Whilst we know volcanic eruptions affect the climate, is the reverse true? Can the climate affect volcanic eruptions?
A mud volcano on Manaung Island in Arakan State erupted on 7 August and destroyed a few acres of paddy farms, said an official from Manaung. The mouth of the volcano spewed molten material up to 150 feet into the sky, inundating several farms located nearby. According to a local source, 1.35 acres of paddy fields were damaged by the eruption.
The volcano erupted twice in one day, first at 7 am and again later in the evening. The mud volcano is situated near Zi Chaung Village in Manaung Township, and locals refer to it as “Ngar Byint”.
It was learned that the mud volcano typically erupts every rainy season.
I’m aware mud volcanos are more akin to geysers than actual volcanos, but interesting nonetheless.

R John
August 20, 2008 12:19 am

A little further south where I live can also support this with very few 90’s in central Illinois.
Interesting to note that Peoria’s records for fewest number of 90’s occurred just a few years ago in 2004! In that year, we had a very strange weather pattern for almost two months that kept us north of a jet stream that you never see in a summer.
I will say, though, that a large reason for this year’s lack of 90’s is because of the cool, wet spring we had. This has been one of the worst years for growing veggies in my backyard garden that I can ever remember. We did not see in a 90 until June, which usually happens by early May. All-in-all, this has been a much cooler summer that followed a cool spring. I am telling all who will listen that we will see an earlier transition to fall and a very likely bad winter in the midwest.

August 20, 2008 1:19 am

Yep, here in Rockford we have had it nice and mild! It’s been a little humid but other then that it has been beautiful — wet, most months hitting twice average rain (except this month so far) but beautiful.
Not a 90 on the forecast for the rest of the month either. There is still September but this is definitely an unusual year.

August 20, 2008 1:27 am

We’ve not even hit 30c (86F) yet in the UK his summer. We managed a consecutive string of over a week of 30c maxes in 2006.

August 20, 2008 2:54 am

Very wet as well as cool in the UK this summer.

Vincent Guerrini Jr.
August 20, 2008 3:05 am

Phillip B: My impression is that the sun as well affects volcanic, tectonic activity magnetic changes etc…

Sella Turcica
August 20, 2008 4:10 am

56 F at 7 AM in Boston. Low was 53. Four degrees less and we would have hit the 40’s in August. Whoo hoo!

August 20, 2008 4:16 am

A little further north and to the west here in Rochester, MN its the same way. Mid-80’s and humid at times but no 90’s yet. Last year by this time we had had a week or two of solid 90’s and pushing 100’s. Not that I mind the change! Bring on winter!

August 20, 2008 4:45 am

We’re having a typically and infamously crap as usual British Summer this year, although it has been slightly more windy than I recall.

August 20, 2008 5:38 am

Here in Milford Haven it has rained every day for the last week and max temps hover around 15-17C, (about 60-63f). No summer this year, just one long autumn.

August 20, 2008 5:48 am

I believe it is now beyond anecdotal. The weather stations in Madison & Milwaukee have had fewer 90F days in this decade than in any decade since the 1920’s (MSN) and 1900’s (MKE).

Bill Marsh
August 20, 2008 6:02 am

meanwhile the Arctic is undergoing a ‘cooling’ event in the last week. The NOAA Arctic camera has not shown 0C or above in the last week (unfortunately there was a ‘snow event’ – why can’t we just say ‘it snowed’ anymore? – on Saturday and the camera has been somewhat obscured. It’s interesting to see the local temp difference inside the camera, tho there is no UHI in the Arctic. 🙂

Bill Marsh
August 20, 2008 6:13 am

By the way Anthony, the radio debate between Viscount Monkton and AGW Blogger Littlemore (link from Lubos Motl’s blog – hope that’s okay – ) is well worth listening. I listened while I was lifting weights yesterday and the stunning non-science coming from Littlemore was stunning. I think several people at the weight room now think I’m crazy because I kept blurting out “It IS NOT!”. Littlemore actually defends the ‘Hockeystick’ , makes the claim that the MWP is ‘made up’, that sea levels will rise if the Arctic melts (of course he avoided any mention of the Antarctic), and used the phrase ‘for the first time in recorded history’ about virtually everything. Monkton clearly was the winner, however, he is getting a bit upset about the ‘puppet of big oil’ accusations, or so it seems from the tape.

August 20, 2008 6:22 am

This anecdotal information along with countless others constitute “weather” and you have already indicated receiving criticism about using examples of cool weather as an offset to the grand theory of global warming.
I have tracked our local weather for some time. Here in southeastern Michigan, our cumulative average since the beginning of February has been about 2.4° below normal.
I have also tracked monthly record high temperatures for all states and there has been an absolute dirth of such records so far this century.
So, if weather over many months and extremes over many years are below “normal,” at what point does “weather” become climate change? My own feeling is that climate change cannot be ascertained in a matter of a few decades. There are too many variables and oscillations. It is too easy to become alarmist about a pending ice age, then pending global overheating, then another pending ice age.
These days, it is harder to distinguish climate science from political science than weather from climate.

Andy D
August 20, 2008 6:25 am

Summer, what summer? Going camping tomorrow for (luckily just) two nights in Derbyshire – forecast max 16c, min 8c. Yum. In Sussex, where I live, we had a ground frost at the beginning of July. And rain, don’t talk to me about rain….

Harold Vance
August 20, 2008 6:49 am

The Climate Change Project is having a global warming lecture on 9/9/08 in Peoria Heights, which is about 129 miles from Rockford. lol. Bring your parkas.

August 20, 2008 7:03 am

Some scientists believe that both solar maximum and solar minimum correlate to upticks of volcanic and seismic activity. The changes in magnetism on the sun, the argument goes, affect magnetic changes in the Earth’s atmosphere and in our planet’s largely iron molten core.
Given volcanos’ powerful influence on weather, the relative stability of conditions on Earth during the Holocene Optimum is all the more remarkable.
That is not to say that a super-eruption couldn’t put a damper on things.

Bill in Vigo
August 20, 2008 7:13 am

Here in my little village of Vigo in NE Alabama we have only had 5 days in August of 90+ temps and the highest was 92.8. Not so unusual but below average for sure. Last year at this time in August we had had several days over 100 also not unusual but above normal. Last year we were in the throws of an extreme drought this year it is still drought conditions but not as extreme. I think that the ground moisture near the surface might have something to do with surface temperatures through evaporation of surface moisture. Just my 2 cents.
Bill Derryberry

August 20, 2008 7:26 am

The MRF is back to its Fall Signal again.

Wyatt A
August 20, 2008 7:30 am

Please send some rain to Southern California.
On a good note, we’ve only had to use AC a couple of days this summer in San Diego. But the area is so dry that if and when the Santa Ana’s kick in, things could get dicey.

Leon Brozyna
August 20, 2008 7:34 am

Wet and relatively cool summer here in Buffalo area. Have had no 90°F days yet this year and the hottest day this year was back on June 9 when the temp hit 89°F. It would have been hotter but for the winds off the then cool waters of Lake Erie. Only about a month left in the summer, so a 90°F day is still a possibility, but the odds are increasingly against it happening.

Dan McCune
August 20, 2008 7:44 am

In Kansas City we have had a very mild summer with cooler than normal temperatures, relatively low humidity and sufficient rainfall. My yard is still green and needs to be mowed once a week. This has never happened before in my 50 years of direct experience.

Rob Wykoff
August 20, 2008 7:51 am

Sounds like its been very cool everywhere this summer (including the SH). Do not worry though, I’m sure the NASA team will declare August 2008 to be within the top 5 hottest since the Jurassic.

August 20, 2008 8:06 am

[…] a beautiful, cool summer we’re having out here in Connecticut.  I hear it’s the same elsewhere.  In fact, we seem to be experiencing a bit of global cooling.  Take a look at the Met Office […]

Pieter Folkens
August 20, 2008 8:21 am

An anecdote is a data point. Gather up a large number of data points and one can make reasonable statements about condition and trend. Here in Santa Fe it is much cooler than it was last year at this time. Beginning as a 975mb low off Southeast Alaska, an unusually strong storm is hitting the Pacific Northwest. Such things are typically not seen until December. There is quite a bit of “anecdotal evidence” out there. The end-of-month RSS, GISS, UAH, and HadCRUT data reports will tell in the context of the broader condition and trend.

August 20, 2008 8:45 am

Whilst we know volcanic eruptions affect the climate, is the reverse true? Can the climate affect volcanic eruptions?

Mud volcanoes require that water gets down to a place where it can be geothermically heated. During the rainy season, these place probably fill with water and are probably dry during the dry season.

Mark H.
August 20, 2008 8:47 am

I live in the next county over from Rockford, and yes – it has been a very enjoyable summer. It’s been wet, too, as I only turned the sprinkler on for the first time just the other day (8/16/2008).

Stan Needham
August 20, 2008 9:44 am

In northeastern Indiana (Fort Wayne) we’ve had 2 days this summer where the thermometer hit 90 (90 and 91), both back in early June. I can’t remember a year when there were no 90+ degree days in July and August. What’s even more interesting is that forecasts for both temperature and precip. have frequently been wildly off base — often by as much as 10 degrees. Today is a good example. The forecast high for today was 84, but at noon the temperature was 72. I have a pond that is fed by rainfall and the discharge from my open loop geothermal heating/cooling system. The water level is currently at the lowest level in the 10 years we’ve had the pond because of a combination of low rainfall the last month or so, and the fact that there has been no need for AC for most of the summer; hence no geothermal discharge.

Neil H
August 20, 2008 9:50 am

Central NJ temps this summer have been mild. My JCP&L electric bill for July 2008 indicates AC usage down 30% from July 2007. Same AC unit, same thermostat settings; no changes (eg insulation) to the home structure. The bad news, heating oil $4+ / gal. and morning temps already in the 40s. Sorry Al Gore, the Dems refusal to increase domestic oil production means I HAVE TO burn a LOT of wood and coal to stay warm this winter. Do liberals ever consider the “unintended consequences” of their policies?

MIke Sander
August 20, 2008 10:27 am

The cold front moving through Seattle and the Pacific Northwest today will lower snow levels in the Cascade Mountains to 6500 feet tomorrow morning. Certainly very early in the season to see peaks with a new dusting…This system will have a measurable impact across Idaho and Montana in the next few days.

August 20, 2008 10:34 am

“Do liberals ever consider the “unintended consequences” of their policies?”
See e.g. the luxury tax rammed through be Jim Sasser and company around 1990 which drove a number of boat manufacturers into bankruptcy, cost half the workers in the industry their jobs, increased govt spending on welfare and unemployment comp and decreased overall tax collections. Your basic lose, lose, lose, lose proposition. The only winners were foreigners.
Of course, since they were apprised of those possible results, one could argue that the consequences were not unforeseen.

August 20, 2008 10:53 am

SIMONE “We’re having a typically and infamously crap as usual British Summer this year, although it has been slightly more windy than I recall.”
I understand cause and effort weather better than anyone one….I had the pleasure of visiting your country last year and it was was beautiful and the people were nice as they could be…never rained and the sky was clear and it was warm. Since I have never been there before and from what I was told the weather was the most beautiful in decades..I caused it…so if you would like to get a few of your mates to pony up the plane ticket I will be glad to come back and bring the beautiful weather back….I even have models that will back me up…just like AlGore

August 20, 2008 11:05 am

Last Bond event began abut 1500 years ago.
The youger dryas is considered a bond event as well.

August 20, 2008 11:26 am

It’s been hot hot hot HOT here in San Antonio – we’re on track for the hottest summer ever, or so they say. Thank God for the 2 hurricanes (Dolly and… Eduardo?) that came this way, we got some much needed rain + cooler weather.
We usually have strings of days over 100 in August, but in Austin they had some god-awful number of consecutive days. That being said, last summer we didn’t hit 100 at all, which was truly strange.
I’m longing for cooler weather, but if one can go by the past, it should be mid-Sept before it gets below 90 for real (and not because of passing weather systems, like the one we’re experiencing this week).

August 20, 2008 11:45 am

I live in Austin and my mom came to visit during the ‘heat wave’. She’s British and absolutely loved the heat – she said it was like being in Spain. We walked for miles. This summer was hot but much drier than last – I’ve hardly noticed the heat.

August 20, 2008 12:00 pm

I live in central Illinois and have found the lower temperatures and humidity especially in August to be very unusual. The only recent time that I have noted such temperatures was after Mt. Pinatubo erupted except the temperatures were lower throughout the summer.

Jeff L
August 20, 2008 12:29 pm

The common theme which bonds a lot of the observations both on this post & the one concerning Denver’s hot streak is that circulation patterns in the NH appear to be very stagnent since spring – what ever weather you have have been getting, whether it is hot , cold, wet or dry, (examples of all have been posted) etc, it is likely that you will continue to get it. So the real questions are ” Why is the pattern / NH circulation considerably less dynamic than usual ? ” & ” What’s the implication for near term & long term weather & climate?” I have a few of my own ideas, but I would love to hear what some experts think. Anthony, any thoughts ???

John Riddell
August 20, 2008 1:06 pm

Last night on in New Zealand it was reported “Turoa ski field at Mt Ruapehu has set a record for the most snow ever recorded at a New Zealand ski field.”
Turoa ski field has recorded 4.55 metres of snow, causing the entire mountain to take on a different shape
On the TV news they said it took them a day and a half to find the long pole that is udsed to measure the snow’s depth.

Bill Marsh
August 20, 2008 1:16 pm

Science daily just posted yet another study confirming the 1500 year temp cycle.
Of course the author had to make the obligatory (please don’t take my funding) statement about how AGW would ‘overwhelm this 2 million year old cycle, “by a lot”, in his words.

August 20, 2008 1:55 pm

Here, near Frankfurt, Germany, sunshine hours are below 1998-2007 average now,
precipitation nearly double for August average, daily mean temperature decreased about 3° Celsius within the last twenty days, looks alike this August will be no. 11th
warmest out of the Augusts of the last 18 years. My longterm database/model for the
local weather tends to a rather early autumn and a December/Januar with low temperatures we have only every 12 to 20 years. The forests, animals behavior and old peoples say agree with that.

August 20, 2008 2:03 pm

addendum to my (13:55:39)
looks like the three months average, June July August will be 4th coldest of the last 18 years.

Earle Williams
August 20, 2008 2:16 pm

I think you mean the 15th warmest…

August 20, 2008 2:55 pm

I heard we hit hit 40F this morning in NYC. Not exactly typical for this time of year, even for a TMin.

August 20, 2008 3:20 pm

Saranac, NY was 36 last night. Not that Saranac isn’t a mountain town that gets ridiculously cold, but still, this is mid August. I doubt it hit 40 in NY though. Saranac is about 7 hours by car from NYC.

August 20, 2008 4:03 pm

Just reported a few minutes ago on the WLEX-18 Evening News…WLEX-18 is in Lexington, Kentucky
“OK…this morning’s low of 58 makes an unbelievable (and perhaps unprecedented) 12 straight day of low temperatures less than 60. Kids this is truly something amazing for August…big time stuff. So through the first 19 days of August, 12 of them have been less than 60. Only 2004 and 1976 had even 10 days in the first 19 to be that cool. For an entire month of August 2004 had 12 days below 60; 1992 had 12; 1976 had 15; 1946 had 16; 1927 had 12. The bottomline is we need 4 more days over the next week and a half to get to the record. But even without that, what an incredible month to enjoy!”
Excepted from Bill Meck’s Weather Blog…

John B
August 20, 2008 5:30 pm

The Farmer’s Almanac is predicting a cooler than average winter this year.

Pamela Gray
August 20, 2008 5:51 pm

I had posted in another thread that I was watching the ozone to see if it would change when we got hit by some pretty major cosmic rays. Will you should see it now. There is a huge thin area over California. By the time some of you read this, the thin area may disappear. But wow!

Pamela Gray
August 20, 2008 5:53 pm

I just posted that the ozone over California has become VERY thin! Included a URL so it ended up in the round file.

Bobby Lane
August 20, 2008 7:09 pm

Where is Hansen when you neeeeeeeeeeeeed him?? LOL

August 20, 2008 7:17 pm

it’s just more anecdotal evidence to back up the sun controlling the climate more than we do with CO2 emissions.
here in the northwest we just got up to the 90’s this last week… in mid August. And even then it never got as hot as they said it was going to… (record breaking possible day tomorrow! mid 90’s! in reality, it got up to the high 80’s to low 90’s).
This week the next cool front is heading across the northern US (we are at the front end of that here.) We’ve had more lightening storms here this year than I can remember for ANY year I’ve lived here since the early 90’s. Based upon what I know I think this is because the “cooling effect” that the earth’s climate is currently experiencing… the warm air that is coming up from the south is meeting the drastically cooler air from the north and creating some interesting storms.
It also has seemed that Hurricane strength, intensity, and numbers have been lower. This matches up with the oceans cooling off last year and this year. (Hurricane strength is largely derived from the heat in the ocean)
It will be extremely interesting to see just how cold it gets this winter. Can you say record breaking snow falls?

August 20, 2008 7:48 pm

Back in the nineties where I lived in mountainous, forested southwest Virginia, the highest summer temp one yr was 83F (28.5C). Only 2 yrs out of 14 that I lived there reached 90F.
Temps here in rural MD at lower elevation have reached 90F or above about a half dozen days this summer (94F was the highest) — none in August so far.
Not a summer of any remark, heat-wise.

Leon Brozyna
August 20, 2008 8:11 pm

John B (17:30:05)
Not only is Farmers’ Almanac forecasting a cold winter but they’re also calling for more snowfall around the Great Lakes. January/February called on for the worst. Looks like a run to Home Depot is in order to get a new snow shovel…
NOAA, on the other hand, is forecasting a warm winter. At the same time they’re covering their, ahh, bases by saying that no one can forecast more than a week in advance with any accuracy.
My money’s on the Farmer’s Almanac.

August 20, 2008 8:55 pm

I was in Bakersfield yesterday and it was only 89F. Now for those of you familiar with Bakersfield summer is insanity at it’s best! When I was growing up there in the 70’s I remember there were several weeks where the temp did not fall below 100F and now for mid August to have a high of only 89F (with a nice cool breeze to boot) is wild. I moved to southern California to the Pasadena area and it has also been a pleasant summer. The mornings feel like fall as there is a very cool crispness to the air which to me is very reminiscent of October.
REPLY: Bakersfield aka “Roasterburg” at 89F in August. Truly a moment in time to ponder.

Catherine Behan
August 20, 2008 10:31 pm

When I was just a pup back in the 1960’s my family vacationed at Rockford at a resort called the Wagon Wheel. It was a great spot and we had a lot of fun.
Can’t help but wonder if it is still there!
It is unusual to have such a mild summer! I wonder if the record will be broken!

August 21, 2008 1:13 am

Bill Marsh said:
“Of course the author had to make the obligatory (please don’t take my funding) statement about how AGW would ‘overwhelm this 2 million year old cycle, “by a lot”, in his words.”
He also offered no evidence to support his statement. This shows the extent of the corruption of science by the perpetrators of the AGW scam. The entire IPCC and their acolytes should be put in stocks and pelted with rotten fruit.

David Pridham
August 21, 2008 4:57 am

Ottawa Canada: We have not exceeded 30 C (86 F) since early June. Forecast for tomorrow is to hit 30 C…we’ll see. By now the Ottawa area has typically had 10-15 days of 30 C or greater. Any warm weather that we get here at 46 degrees N latitude typically ends shortly after Labor Day. Measurable precipitation during 85% of the summer days thus far. Temperatures at night in very low 50’s for the past few days. Still no formal press releases from Environment Canada discussing the unusually cool summer we have experienced. Can’t wait to hear their spin at the end of the summer. 8th warmest summer of the new millenium.

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