The Oregonian posted this news story below of a new high temperature of 108 being set in Brookings, OR under “breaking news”. The town newspaper, the Curry Coastal Pilot, had this breathless front page story along with a picture of the bank thermometer, even though they have their own weather station downtown.
Only one problem; the temperature is measured at the airport. The official USHCN station closer to the coast read differently. I called the Medford NWS Forecast Office and inquired. These are the numbers for high temperatures on July 8th, 2008:
Brookings Airport ASOS 108°F
Brookings USHCN COOP station 90°F
Curry Coastal Newspaper Office 108°F
Agrimet station 107°F
Crescent City, CA 68°F (28 miles south)
Now compare the location of the USHCN station with that of the airport ASOS station, the newspaper office, and with the wind direction that day:
Click for a larger image
As they say in real estate, “location is everything”. In this case the USHCN station appeared to be away from the “Brookings Effect” that is often seen when a north wind blows from the mountains through town.
UPDATE: Here is the data from the Brookings ASOS at the airport:
Click for full sized image
I wonder which temperature will be used for the new “official” high for the town in the NCDC records? The USHCN station, or the airport?
Brookings hits 108 record high Tuesday, hits 102 today
by Stuart Tomlinson and Helen Jung, The Oregonian July 09, 2008 18:15PM
With temperatures in the southern coastal town of Brookings breaking 100 degrees for the second day in a row, the calls were coming into the Portside Suites hotel with the same desperate inquiry.
Do you have air conditioning?
The 3-year-old hotel is one of the few lodgings in the area that could say the magic word: yes.
Brookings, just north of the California border and along the Oregon coast, is known for its sometimes very un-coastal weather that has come to be called the “Brookings effect.”
But the same forces that normally send balmy breezes downslope into the area have gone into overdrive this week, baking the town with an all-time record of 108 degrees on Tuesday, as measured at the airport, and turning the town and its homes into shelters of swelter.
Brookings hasn’t been the only hot spot in Oregon the last few days. The Portland area hit 89 on Tuesday and 89 again on Wednesday. That drove residents into pools and away from at least one area golf course.
But Brookings was in a class by itself. It’s record is five degrees hotter than the previous high of 103 degrees in 1973. And on Wednesday, the high had reached 102 by 5 p.m.
At least in the morning, the heat did not keep folks off the links.
At the Salmon Run public golf course, the pro shop was “packed” by 8 a.m, said Joel Vanwesterhuyzen.
“Who says there’s no global warming?” joked Vanwesterhuyzen. “It was 113 here on the deck yesterday.”
Even at 8 a.m., Vanwesterhuyzen said the temperature at the golf course – which is east of town – was 76 degrees.
While some parts of town were reporting significantly cooler temperatures – even a mile can make a difference in Brookings – the heat, forecasters said, will keep on coming, lasting well into the weekend.
“A lot of people say they want to sleep here and hang out,” said Justin Crocker, manager of Ray’s Food Store, which has air conditioning. “They’re going up to the river and down to the beach after work … doing anything they can do to beat the heat.”
The air conditioning at Beachfront Gifts was also drawing people into the store, said clerk Krissi Hunter.
“Every time (customers) come in, they take a deep breath and say ‘it’s hot out there,'” she said.
Meanwhile, people in the Portland suburbs were reacting similarly.
The fountain behind Lakeview Village in downtown Lake Oswego teemed with little ones screeching with delight. Lisa McKinney takes her two daughters to fountains around the metro area on hot days. She chose this spot, hoping it would be less crowded.
“We headed down here when we heard it was going to be a really hot day,” she said. “It keeps them happy and cool.”
Were her daughters happy and cool? “Yeah, because I’m running through the fountain,” trumpeted little Cameron, blonde wet streaks plastered to her forehead.
Farther west, kids took to the pool in Somerset West Park. A lot of kids.
“We hit capacity today for the first time this summer,” laughed Carter Haag, who staffed the front desk at the pool. “It’s crazy.”
Suzy Valentine took her son and daughter here this morning for swimming lessons. Feeling the rising temperatures, she decided to come back for an afternoon session with her neighbor.
Their kids, who are good friends, frolicked in the water while their mothers sat on the edge of the pool, straw hats shading their faces, feet dipped into the wet.
At the Lake Oswego Municipal golf course, Suzi Beer stocked up on – well — beer. The 24-year-old college student drives a cart around the course, offering refreshments for sale. Wednesday, she picked the super-sized beer cooler and filled it to the brim.
But she needn’t have bothered.
The course was virtually empty. She didn’t make a single sale. Most of the golfers scattered about were well below drinking age.
“The course is just empty,” she said incredulously. “This is the first time I haven’t sold anything.”
The reason for the meager attendance? “Definitely the heat,” she said.
Not everyone thought it was too hot to swing a club, though.
Pat Webb was having lunch in the clubhouse with his father, Ed. The elder Webb is about to tee off at 2:10 p.m. with his buddies. Just like every Wednesday.
Ed Webb is 91.
A transplant from North Carolina, he’s not impressed by 92 degrees.
“I brought my jacket this morning,” he chuckled. “It might rain any second.” Clearly he’s caught on to Oregon weather patterns.
He and his friends only let cold, wet conditions keep them off the course. “We haven’t been heated out yet. The warmer the weather, the better the golf.”
Back in Brookings, as some guests checked out of the Portside Suites Wednesday morning, others were calling to reserve a room, said Stacie Lee, the manager. The hotel, which had had four openings Tuesday night at 6:30 p.m., was booked solid just an hour and a half later, as some locals finished up work and decided to pay the $130-$160 average room rate instead of stay home.
“When we were putting (air conditioning) in, people thought I was nuts,” said Virginia Byrtus, who owns the hotel with her husband Ken. “Boy, it’s paid off.”
Check information on record highs and other climate data from Brookings.
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It’s in a newspaper so it must be true *rolls eyes…again*
“I wonder which temperature will be used for the new “official” high for the town in the NCDC records? The USHCN station, or the airport?”
This may be a clue:
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=mfr&sid=BRKO&num=72
08 Jul 5:30 pm 107 35 9 N 6G15 % OK
08 Jul 5:15 pm 107 42 11 N 7G13 % OK
08 Jul 5:00 pm 107 33 8 N 9G16 751 69% 1.12 OK
08 Jul 4:45 pm 107 35 9 NNE 7G16 % OK
08 Jul 4:30 pm 107 35 8 N 6G15 % OK
08 Jul 4:15 pm 107 41 11 N 7G15 % OK
08 Jul 4:00 pm 106 38 10 N 8G18 886 69% 1.12 OK
08 Jul 3:45 pm 107 37 9 NNE 8G18 % OK
08 Jul 3:30 pm 106 35 9 NNE 8G19 % OK
08 Jul 3:15 pm 106 34 8 NNE 7G18 % OK
08 Jul 3:00 pm 107 40 11 NNE 7G19 % 1.12 OK
Note: “OK” is “Quality Control”
You got 2 readings at separate locations at 108°F. What more do you want?
A Brookings East and Brookings West? Maybe these 108°F readings have to be adjusted accordingly to take nearby concrete, asphalt etc. into account, but clearly a new record has been established.
So hooray to the AGW folks…They have found an anecdote that proves nothing.
I’d advise them to look at GISS June temps, and compare them to GISS June temps 20 years ago.
“The analysis method was documented in Hansen and Lebedeff (1987), showing that the correlation of temperature change was reasonably strong for stations separated by up to 1200 km…”
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/
What I want to know is, is Brookings teleconnected to Crescent City, or is Crescent City teleconnected to Brookings?
I wonder which temperature will be used for the new “official” high for the town in the NCDC records? The USHCN station, or the airport?
Oh those turf matters can drive an outsider in circles. I guess it would depend on which organization you asked. The National Weather Service (NWS) or the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), both of NOAA. Assuming the NCDC also stores the data for the NWS, in five years time, if you ask the NWS what the high temp was back in 8 July, I bet they’ll answer 108, but if you ask the NCDC the answer will be more equivocal, especially if the data from either station has been adjusted.
*covers eyes*. I see no UHI, UHI does not exist.
If you believe in UHI, you must also believe in a flat earth, the second gunman, and that the Trilateral Commission controls the planet. Or at least thus sayeth Hansen and Gore, twin prophets of AGW.
I checked further on the NCDC site and for Brookings, OR (Zip 97415), they list three stations — COOP ID’s 351058, 351055, and the Brookings Arpt. There is no data available online for the airport location. From such efficiencies are climate models built(?).
Anthony – How do you maintain your sanity when doing this work? I checked further on Brookings and it appears Brookings hasn’t yet been checked for Surfacestations. Upon yet further checking at the NCDC site I found that COOP 351005 operated from Oct ’36 to Apr ’02 and shared WBAN 24267 with the Brookings Arpt location. Discontinuity alert COOP 351058 began operations May ’02. I suppose that operation moved from the airport to its present location. Bet the adjustments to the historical record for this site are a gem.
And the Emperor still has new clothes.
Pierre, Bill
On AGW/UHI…UHI is AGW. Or, at least local and regional warming, with enough of it going on that it probably affects global averages. Of course, we know that.
Dodgy
While I’m skeptical of the 1200 km radius smoothing, it is said to correlate with temperature changes not absolute temperatures. So you can have differences in absolute temperatures within the radius, and it would still be valid, if temperature is changing by the same amount for all of them. Which isn’t likely.
Bill, UHI is a most basic concept in meteorology. No one denies it. Does it have a major impact on the temperature record? No, because we adjust for it, and while those adjustments might not be perfect (i’m aware of the issues in determining “rural” and whatnot), its well known and introduced into the uncertainity of the record.
I don’t see what the fuss is. The ASOS, for those of you who don’t know, is an automated observer station which is used in feeding real time informaiton back to the NWS and to help communicate weather condition with pilots. You can download the METAR generated by hte station directly from the NWS, and it is used by a number of services to generate current-weather web pages.
This is not clear cut as a skeptic would think on first site. Immediately, one should ask what the regional weather pattern was yesterday. Were conditions such that local breezes, particularly a sea breeze could dominate? The ASOS takes continuous readings while the COOP has one reading for the day – when was the thermometer reset and the reading taken? These two simple things could very easily account for the discrepancy between the two recorded highs.
But geeze, I thought that damned Hansen ordered all the stations re-sited to introduce a +20 degree warm bias in recent years!
Still cooler here in Enterprise, Oregon compared to last year. Just checked. I also was in Lewiston, Idaho yesterday, a notorious hot spot on the map. Cool there too (for Lewiston). Brookings may be hell on Earth but Wallowa County is like the Swiss Alps. We still have snow on the mountains.
The Portland weatherfolk were talking up another side of this last night: whether Brookings would set an Oregon State Record for “highest overnight low”, which is 89.
“..While I’m skeptical of the 1200 km radius smoothing, it is said to correlate with temperature changes not absolute temperatures. So you can have differences in absolute temperatures within the radius, and it would still be valid..”
I understand the assertion, but wonder if one-off events in the system (either hot or cold) would feed though into the averages and distort them. I am a tyro in this business, and some of the assertions in climate stats are quite hard to follow – is there a simple description somewhere of how point temperatures taken randomly around a system which is not in thermal equilibrium can be reliably converted into a mean temperature for the whole?
Dodgy Geezer (02:30:57) :
“The analysis method was documented in Hansen and Lebedeff (1987), showing that the correlation of temperature change was reasonably strong for stations separated by up to 1200 km…”
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/
I was going to squawk that only applied to the Arctic latitudes within the [I forget the name] circulation. However, your references states “The temperature changes at mid- and high latitude stations separated by less than 1000 km are shown to be highly correlated; at low latitudes the correlation falls off more rapidly with distance for nearby stations.”
It would be nice to associate numbers with the low/middle/high latitude, I thought that tropical temps didn’t vary much with distance.
I can set a record here in Ky. anytime you need one….do you want ice or heat? The media wants this GW so bad, it will do anything. Let’s see what the people think when gas is $7 a gallon and eveyone is losing their houses to forclosure.
This is a good example of an extreme UHI. Any large metropolitan centre will have UHI on a similar although probably lower level. Most (geniune) studies show an UHI of up to 3.5C for very large cities.
The question is, how much has this really impacted the global temperature trend? The average built into the stated temperature records of GISS, GHCN and Hadley is only an increase in the trend of 0.05C from 1900 to 2000.
Let’s check the math here and say the UHI is an average 2.0C for cities over 50,000. For the stated UHI temperature figure to be correct, only 2.5% of the stations in the record can have the normal 2.0C UHI. 97.5% of the stations have to be truly rural.
I’m sorry, the math does not add up. Way more than 2.5% of the stations are urban and the recorded temperature trend is much more contaminated by UHI than the stated 0.05C
REPLY: Bill, this has little to do with UHI. It is a downslope wind effect. See Chinook Wind
So two different places in the same city differ by 18F, that’s 10C.
Kind of puts a temperature rise of 0.6C over a century into perspective, doesn’t it?
Also interesting that the newspaper reporters keep mentioning AC – do they not realize AC blasts out heat?
Come to think of it, this is the first “record-breaking heat” story I’ve heard all summer. And even the official pum-pums are saying otherwise.
Has anyone else noticed this?
Its not the heat its the humidity, at least that is what we say here in the soggy Midwest. Wouldn’t a better metric than temperature for global warming be a measurement of the enthalpy of the air?
With all the devastation not only here in the United States, but around the w orld i wonder what it’s going to be like for all of our children, and grand children, we all have to do are part in stopping global warming. Classic46
For those of you who think NOAA just might have a problem dealing with numbers, read the following from their website found by googling’ NOAA Budget’:
In the Fiscal Year (FY) 2009 President’s Budget, the
Department of Commerce’s National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration requests a total of
$4,109,847, an increase of $202,561,000 or 5.2% over
the FY 2008 enacted level, and $294,443,000 or 7.7%
above the FY 2008 President’s Budget.
(That’s a direct cut & paste.)
I really can’t get the answer that $4 million is an increase over $202 million. Maybe I forgot to carry somewhere in the dense calculations.
Or maybe we should confiscate their computers and issue slide rules.
The actual temperature was 114. The data have not been adjusted yet,
I very much understand down slope winds. and the peak dosen’t have to be that high to cause the effect. Here in Alabama we often see differences of several degrees between the ridges and the valleys. Some times it is convection and sometimes down slope effects. That point is that it isn’t man made it is a natural weather event and is just part of the complexity of the earth weather system. There may be some UHI effect in Brookings but it isn’t this much.
Just my 2 cents.
Bill Derryberry
classic46: “With all the devastation not only here in the United States, but around the w orld i wonder what it’s going to be like for all of our children, and grand children, we all have to do are part in stopping global warming. ”
So you assign global warming as the reason for “all the devastation”? I am not even sure what you are calling devastation. In 2036 when the asteroid Apothos hits Earth, then you will see devastation, if you are one of the unlucky that survives.