I hate it when that happens…

I was initially concerned that my stats were down this month, then I remembered that April has 30 days and March has 31.

Of course there’s that nice spring weather, and I recall that TV station ratings suffer a drop during the spring since people are digging out from their winter igloos. But even though I broke even, there was a nice surprise at the end of the month, WordPress put me as the top “hawt” post, even if only for awhile:

It was a nice way to end the month, thanks to all my readers for your help in getting me to NCDC @ Asheville and for the continued patronage!

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April 30, 2008 7:40 pm

You have accomplished a huge amount — my unsolicited advice: Do not think that a somewhat down month is a sign you are doing anything wrong, or that your readers are turning away, etc. My own blog traffic has been surprisingly volatile month to month, even while the overall trend has been rising.

April 30, 2008 7:53 pm

Maybe it was the 5.2 earthquake in your region yesterday. 😉

Jeff Alberts
April 30, 2008 9:35 pm

Why is there a picture of Saddam Hussein with the article? 😉

Jeff B.
April 30, 2008 9:47 pm

Congrats Anthony. Richly deserved. The overall curve tells the story.

April 30, 2008 10:31 pm

Love your blog, Anthony!
Keep up the good work!

May 1, 2008 3:57 am

I wish my stats were as bad as yours short month and all.

May 1, 2008 4:38 am

According to traffic statistics et alexa.com you have since two month ago as many readers as Realclimate.org. Climateaudit.org in the lead.
You have also as good “reach” statistics as Realclimate.org. Climateaudit.org is a bit behind with not that broad public?
Remember that 16 month ago Realclimate.org had about 10 times as many readers than Climateaudit.
Poor Realclimate.org. 🙁 A 15-20 years of “natural” cooling “lull” will probably cool the visitor statistics too. Can Michael Mann do it one more time?
Will media success in keeping the AGW steam hot enough through and beyond a Kyoto II? Please, don’t let them! Not even rational analyzing economists believing in the IPCC predictions, e.g. Bjorn Lomborg, think there is a need to drastically curb CO2 emissions. IPCC advice us to do so, but with no support in analyze of consequences.
REPLY: Thanks for pointing this out, that’s very “cool” !

May 1, 2008 4:39 am
May 1, 2008 6:32 am

While I do not have as many readers, I also saw a decline in readership over the same period. Could be spring has come and people are more interest in other stuff such as the economy. Less interest in global warming, when it is just harder to make ends meet economically.

Diatribical Idiot
May 1, 2008 7:29 am

And to think I was excited when my monthly stats hit 2,500!
Don’t worry, Anthony. I think once your site is discovered, people get hooked. When I don’t have time to visit for a few days, I still catch up on past articles, and I guess I’m not clear on how all that gets measured, but it probably reduces the recorded hits in those cases.
That’s quite a trend from January – March. If you ran that through a climate model, it would show you being the cause of all computers exploding worldwide by the end of 2009.
REPLY: Thnaks, that made me LOL!

Evan Jones
May 1, 2008 7:45 am

I was initially concerned that my stats were down this month, then I remembered that April has 30 days and March has 31.
Doesn’t that allow for a 3% TOBS adjustment?
REPLY: Correct, based on the running average, my adjusted stats would show that I had 371,000 visits for a 31 day period. Thank God for adjustments, I’d hate to have to live with raw data to determine my blog visitor signal trend. Given the adjusted numbers, my visitor trend from March to April is up slightly, and the overall trend remains positive.
I think I’ll write a paper, “Trends in blog traffic: a new algorithm for calculating the true visitor signal.”

Evan Jones
May 1, 2008 7:59 am

Don’t forget that years ending in “00” are not leap years!

May 1, 2008 10:37 am

Evan Jones (07:59:54) :
“Don’t forget that years ending in “00″ are not leap years!”
I’ll assume there’s a missing 🙂
This was resolved once and for all in 1983. Well, it was really resolved several hundred years ago and also in 2000. And not really for all, but for long enough.
The 1983 reference is worth reading, even if you’ve seen it before. Stan is a mathematician, road rally designer, and has years of experience writing tight assembly language code on PDP-8s, so this SPR answer was what we expected from him.
BTW, my informal obvservations of hits on my site drop off in spring and around holidays. They’re also lowest on Saturday but Sunday often makes up for it and then some. March had five of each. The raw data does need to be adjusted – or people should look at week by week stats. Or four week groups, or week year-over-year (with adjustments for holidays and the Super Bowl) or scaled vs RealClimate, or ….
It’s a long story, but somehow I have a Pame Smart web page that is one of the best on the net. When there’s a news story about the case that page goes from being the most popular of all my pages to more popular than all the rest combined. Maybe I should link to my climate science page from there.

May 1, 2008 12:06 pm

March and October should almost always give you more visits than other months. Long-winded explanation, complete with elderly blog cattiness, here;

Evan Jones
May 1, 2008 6:40 pm

Omigod! The the DOBS adjustment for days of the week and holidays! (No fair! “Last month had an extra Saturday!”)
The possibilities are endless.
The Robopost Adjustment.
The Google Access Adjustment.
The Web History Adjustment.
The Hostile Hit Adjustment.
The HotGirlz Adjustment.
The Nigerian Treasure Trove Adjustment.
All that and Leap Year Drift, too!
Before long we’ll be giving the Hanseatic League a run for its money. Any blog will have any number of hits we want!

Evan Jones
May 1, 2008 6:42 pm

Right. The Seasonal Adjustment (hooked into surface temperature measurements). How could I have forgotten?

May 2, 2008 4:34 am

Glad to contribute to your stats. In exchange, I get a very readable, reliable source of info on climate, so IMHO I get the better deal.
I think your weather station survey is one of the more important efforts climate/temperature debate, and congratulate you for thinking of it and DOING it (with the help of others who are also to be commended). We sure can’t count on the government and other establishment/entrenched interests to do it.
Keep up the great work!
REPLY: Thanks for the kind words!

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