CNN's View of Climate History

Some of you might notice that some other items of interest were left out… feel free to fill in the gaps.

 

A timeline of climate change science

By Matthew Knight for CNN

LONDON, England (CNN) Climatology was once a small and often overlooked branch of science. But important discoveries made as [early as] the early 19th century have contributed to what is the most important field of scientific study in the world today. Listed below are some key dates in climate change history.

1824

French physicist Joseph Fourier is first to describe a “greenhouse effect” in a paper delivered to Paris’s Académie Royale des Sciences.

1861

Irish physicist John Tyndall carries out research on radiant heat and the absorption of radiation by gases and vapors including CO2 and H2O. He shows that carbon dioxide can absorb in the infrared spectrum, and it can cause a change in temperature. Tyndall famously declares: “The solar heat possesses. . . the power of crossing an atmosphere. But when the heat is absorbed by the planet, it is so changed in quality that the rays emanating from the planet cannot get with the same freedom back into space. Thus the atmosphere admits of the entrance of the solar heat, but checks its exit. The result is a tendency to accumulate heat at the surface of the planet.”

1896

Swedish chemist Svante Arrhenius first proposes the idea of a man-made greenhouse effect. He hypothesizes that the increase in the burning of coal since the beginning of industrialization could lead to an increase in atmospheric CO2 and heat up the earth. Arrhenius was trying to find out why the earth experienced ice ages. He thought the prospect of future generations living “under a milder sky” would be a desirable state of affairs.

1938

British engineer Guy Stewart Callendar compiles temperature statistics in a variety of regions and finds that over the previous century the mean temperature had risen markedly. He also discovers that CO2 levels had risen 10 percent during the same period. He concludes that CO2 was the most likely reason for the rise in temperature.

1955

John Hopkins University researcher Gilbert Plass proves that increased levels of carbon dioxide could raise atmospheric temperature. By 1959 Plass is boldly predicting that the earth’s temperature would rise more than 3 degrees Fahrenheit by the end of the century.

In the same year chemist Hans Suess detects the fossil carbon produced by burning fuels, although he and Roger Revelle – director of the Scripps Institute of Oceanography – declare that the oceans must be absorbing the majority of atmospheric carbon dioxide, they decide to conduct further research.

1958

Revelle and Suess employ geochemist Charles Keeling to continuously monitor CO2 levels in the atmosphere. After only two years of measurements in Antarctica an increase is visible. The graph becomes widely known as the Keeling Curve and becomes an icon of global warming debate and continues to chart the year on year rise in CO2 concentrations to this day.

1970

The first “Earth Day” takes place on April 22nd across America. Twenty million people participate in the event organized by Democratic Senator Gaylord Nelson. It follows and precedes a series of U.S. Department for Energy reports highlighting concern about global warming.

1979

The first World Climate Conference is held in Geneva attended by a range of scientists and leads to the establishment of the World Climate Program.

1985

Scientists at the World Climate Program conference at Villach in Austria confidently predict that increased CO2 concentrations will lead to a significant rise in the mean surface temperatures of the earth. A hole in the ozone layer is discovered over Antarctica.

1987

Officially the hottest year on record to date. Three years later the 1980s is confirmed as the hottest decade since records began.

1988

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is set up by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and by the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP). The IPCC will provide reports based on scientific evidence which reflect existing viewpoints within the scientific community.

Parts of the Mississippi river are reduced to a trickle and Yellowstone National Park becomes a tinderbox. In June, Dr James Hansen of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies delivers his famous testimony to the U.S. Senate. Based on computer models and temperature measurements he is 99 percent sure that the [human caused] greenhouse effect has been detected and it is already changing the climate.

1990

The IPCC delivers its first assessment on the state of climate change, predicting an increase of 0.3 °C each decade in the 21st century — greater than any rise seen over the previous 10,000 years.

1992

The United Nations Conference on Environment and Development — better known as the Earth Summit — takes place in Rio de Janeiro attended by 172 countries. It is the first unified effort to get to grips with global warming and leads to negotiations which result in the Kyoto Protocol.

1995

The hottest year on record. Four years later the 1990s are confirmed as the hottest decade in 1000 years.

The IPCC report for that year states that “the balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate.”

1997

The Kyoto Protocol: Industrialized countries agree to cut their emissions of six key greenhouse gases by an average of 5.2 percent. Under the terms of the agreement each country — except developing countries — commits to a reduction by 2008 — 2012 compared to 1990 levels. Notably, the U.S. Congress vote 95 to 0 against any treaty which doesn’t commit developing countries to “meaningful” cuts in emissions.

2001

Newly elected U.S. President George W. Bush renounces the Kyoto Protocol stating that it will damage the U.S. economy. The third IPCC report declares that the evidence of global warming over the previous 50 years being fueled by human activities is stronger than ever.

2003

Europe experiences one the hottest summers on record causing widespread drought claiming the lives of over 30,000 people.

2005

Following ratification by Russia — the 19th country to do so — in November 2004, the Kyoto Protocol becomes a legally binding treaty. America and Australia continue their refusal to sign up claiming reducing emissions would damage their economies.

2007

175 countries in total have ratified the Kyoto Treaty. Under new Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, Australia ratifies the treaty. The IPCC report for a fourth time states that “warming of the climate is unequivocal” and that the levels of temperature and sea rise in the 21st century will depend on the extent or limit of emissions in the coming years.

Former vice-president Al Gore and the IPCC jointly win the Nobel Peace Prize for services to environmentalism.

2008

160 square miles of the Wilkins Shelf breaks away from the Antarctic coast. Scientists are concerned that climate change may be happening faster than previously thought.

Following the Bali talks/roadmap, negotiators from 180 countries launch formal negotiations towards a new treaty to mitigate climate change at the Bangkok Climate Change Talks.

Find this article at:

http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/science/03/31/Intro.timeline/index.html

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86 thoughts on “CNN's View of Climate History

  1. 1995 – The hottest year on record.
    Interesting that 1995 is mentioned but no mention of 1998.
    Four years later the 1990s are confirmed as the hottest decade in 1000 years.
    Tell that to the nordic tree lines.

  2. What a load. People are starving already due to global temperatures going off a cliff since early 2007, combined with food being taken out of the supply chain by the bio fuel debacle. And they mention none of it, for 2008.

  3. 1801
    Royal Astronomer Sir William Herschel published his observation of an inverse link between the number of sunspots and the price of wheat. Desipite the status of his position his report was met with rejection and ridicule that he canceled subsequent public presentations.
    See http://arxiv.org/pdf/astro-ph/0312244 – “Influence of Solar Activity on Wheat Market in Medieval England”

  4. Irish physicist John Tyndall carries out research on radiant heat and the absorption of radiation by gases and vapors including CO2 and H2O. He shows that carbon dioxide can absorb in the infrared spectrum, and it can cause a change in temperature. Tyndall famously declares: “The solar heat possesses. . . the power of crossing an atmosphere. But when the heat is absorbed by the planet, it is so changed in quality that the rays emanating from the planet cannot get with the same freedom back into space. Thus the atmosphere admits of the entrance of the solar heat, but checks its exit. The result is a tendency to accumulate heat at the surface of the planet.”

    And a good thing for us!

    1985: Scientists at the World Climate Program conference at Villach in Austria confidently predict that increased CO2 concentrations will lead to a significant rise in the mean surface temperatures of the earth. A hole in the ozone layer is discovered over Antarctica.

    Actually the ozone polar anomaly was discovered in the mid-1950s, was observed for several years, and found to be a natural variation. Nothing has changed. It hasn’t gotten worse or better since.

  5. 2003
    Europe experiences one the hottest summers on record causing widespread drought claiming the lives of over 30,000 people.

    It was PART of Europe, hardly the entire landmass…

  6. 2007: Steve McIntire finds ANOTHER Hansen error, thus making 1934 the hottest year on record. But no one notices because it’s “only a tenth of a degree”.

  7. of course they’re making Bush the bad guy again on Kyoto, even though Clinton/Gore didn’t ratify the treaty either.

  8. Why not start the list a just a bit earlier
    1816 – The Year Without a Summer, also known as the Poverty Year, The Year There Was No Summer or Eighteen hundred and froze to death, was 1816, in which severe summer climate abnormalities destroyed crops in Northern Europe, the American Northeast and eastern Canada. Historian John D. Post has called this “the last great subsistence crisis in the Western world”.It appears to have been caused by a volcanic winter.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer

  9. A) First Let’s take out the fraud:
    ———————————–
    1995
    ” The hottest year on record. Four years later the 1990s are confirmed as the hottest decade in 1000 years.”
    HERE THEY ARE TALKING ABOUT THE DISCREDITED MANN CURVE
    ´
    2001
    “The third IPCC report declares that the evidence of global warming over the previous 50 years being fueled by human activities is stronger than ever”
    IN THIS TAR, IPCC DELETED STATEMENTS BY SCIENTISTS SAYING THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF HUMAN INFLUENCE, AND REPLACED THEM WITH THE FAMOUS “DISCERNABLE INFLUENCE” BUNK.
    B) What should be added:
    —————————————-
    1895 – 1925
    Scientists warn of global cooling.
    1930 – 1960
    Scientists warn of global warming.
    1960 – 1985
    Scientists warn of global cooling.
    1985 – Today
    Scientists warn of global warming.
    2004
    Mann’s curve exposed as a fraud.
    2006
    – Gore makes propoganda film & spreads global panic.
    – Not a single hurricane makes US landfall.
    1998 – 2008
    – Temperatures start gradual decline.
    – Antarctic sea ice exapnds and hits a record high amount.
    – Argos shows ocean temps begin to cool.
    – Solar activity begins to diminsh.
    – Not a single hurricane makes US landfall.
    2007
    – Snow in Johannesburg and Buenos Aires.
    2008
    – Record snows in China, Asia and North America.
    – Snow reported in Baghdad first time in 100 years
    – Barak Obama elected President of USA, signs Kyoto, raises energy taxes.#
    – Al Gore Director of the DOE, EPA, NWS, NASA, NOAA, DOD, IRS etc.
    2012
    – Scientists baffled by sudden global temperature drop…
    – but blame it on man-made global warming.
    – World food prices skyrocket.
    – Scientists still waiting for sunspot cycle 24.
    – Rush Limbaugh runs for President.
    2013
    – Al Gore innaugurated as President.
    2017
    – Gore re-elected.
    – U.N. replaces Congress.
    How am I doing so far? Shall I keep going?

  10. The title of the article should be “The complete incomplete and intermittent selectively intermittent history of climate change.”

  11. I notice that although they admit Arrhenius thought a warmer climate was a better one, they omitted to mention that he also thought the more CO2 in the atmosphere, the better, since that would increase agricultural production.
    Obviously one of the ten commandments of the Church of the Latter Day Warmists is ‘thou shalt not say anything positive about CO2’.

  12. Maybe I’m missing something, but that does seem to be a fairly complete account of the history of anthropogenic global warming theory. It looks like the authors mainly used Spencer Weart’s “A History of Global Warming” as their source. What items of interest were left out?

  13. Following the 1980 eruptions of Mount St. Helens a new Glacier forms inside the dome. Named the Crater Glacier, it has continued to grow even after the 2004-2006 eruption episode and even after the newest lava dome split it into two arms.
    Some nice photos of the glacier here:
    http://pubs.usgs.gov/sim/2006/2928/SIM2928.pdf
    And, what about other glaciers in the world?
    “high-elevation Mont Blanc glaciated areas not affected by the 20th century climate change”
    http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2006JD007407.shtml

  14. Alan, it is a history of AGW theory, but it calls itself “A timeline of climate change science”. It depends on whether you believe that all climate change is anthropogenic.

  15. 1997 to 2000
    Bill Clinton and Al Gore forget to submit Kyoto Protocol to Congress for ratification or return their library books.
    2008
    The Heroic Chinese Proletariat Wage War on Snow Havoc
    http://www.xinhuanet.cn/english/08snow/index.htm
    http://www.xinhuanet.cn/english/08snow/tn.htm
    2009
    Onset of Gore Minimum plunges Earth into new ice age.
    2010
    Chairman Al orders his Green Guards to deport all AGW Deniers to reeducation facilities at secure undisclosed locations.
    2012
    Chairman Al denounces greedy capitalists who are not burning enough petroleum in their SUV’s and private jets, and thus failing to increase CO2 levels; in a show of solidarity with the poor, who are freezing to death, forms a consortium of his fellow billionaires pledged to increase their carbon footprint using government subsidies petroleum products.
    2014
    Chairman Al identifies the Sun as an environmental polluter and enemy of the people; demands that the EPA take immediate action.
    2016
    In response to a class action law suite initiated by Chairman Al, the Supreme Count orders the Sun to resume normal sunspot cycles and fuse more hydrogen.
    Mike
    P.S. We should have done this on April 1.

  16. When asked if he would consider Al Gore for a cabinet position Barak Obama recently stated “I would,” Obama said. “Not only will I, but I will make a commitment that Al Gore will be at the table and play a central part in us figuring out how we solve this problem. He’s somebody I talk to on a regular basis. I’m already consulting with him in terms of these issues but climate change is real.”
    If that happens it is unlikely that there were ever be a real science based public debate on AGW.

  17. 2007
    California Weatherman Anthony Watts discovers that 85% of temperature stations used to measure global warming violate NWS siting guidelines and most properly sited stations lie within urban heat islands.

  18. 1843
    The solar cycle was discovered in 1843 by Samuel Heinrich Schwabe, who after 17 years of diligent observations of the sun noticed a periodic variation in the average number of sunspots seen from year to year on the solar disk (from Wiki)

  19. It’s a time-line of selective climate change which illustrates global warming.
    I vote for Al Gore playing an important part, then we know who to blame. I wonder if Al Gore wants to expose himself this way though. After all, Gore has a pretty cozy scam enriching him as it is, why blow it.

  20. Ångström cleaned Arrhenius’s clock 108 years ago.
    http://www.esc.boun.edu.tr/files/55123co2.pdf

    As much as I’d like to believe that, the article goes on to say that Ångström didn’t account for different pressures at different altitudes. And apparently the absorption bands at high altitudes do not overlap. I suppose this is why the models predict more warming in the upper atmosphere. Too bad it doesn’t seem to be happening.

  21. 2002 NASA`s Aqua satellite is launched which totally disproves the H2O positive feedback loop and therefore totally disproves the AGW hoax.
    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23411799-7583,00.html
    2008 March – Global average temperature as documented by all 4 groups – have now fallen so much that the entire rise of the 20th century has been reversed.
    2008 April – The AGW hoax reaches it’s peak, with what is undoubtedly the most ludicrous statement ever made in the history of all mankind :
    Ted Turner: quote: “We’ll be eight degrees hottest in ten, not ten but 30 or 40 years and basically none of the crops will grow. Most of the people will have died and the rest of us will be cannibals.”
    http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/warming_creates_cannibals/
    Jan 2010 – Global average temperatures have fallen 2 degrees and the new ice age know as a the “Gore Minimum” is creating famine around the world. Al Gore is facing Treason and Sedition charges. James Hansen and Robert Mann are facing fraud and deception charges. 184 countries have requested Al Gore’s extradition to face charges for his crimes against humanity.

  22. Erik,
    Ah, I see what you’re saying. I agree it’s a poorly worded title. But since most people tend to use the terms “anthropogenic global warming” and “climate change” synonymously anyway, I don’t think it’s that big an issue.

  23. the interesting thing about this is that in the early years, all the major milestones were scientific discoveries. The last 10 years of highlights in climate science are almost all political moves. Climate science seems to me to be currently more political than scientific.

  24. 2020:
    Road network starts to collapse.
    2023:
    Barbarian invasions commence.
    2030:
    The fief system is renewed.
    2050:
    The second Great Plague – 2 billion die

  25. 2007, Winter sea ice extent in Antarctica sets a record max….and no one even pays attention.
    2008, A bit of Antarctic ice breaks up, and suddenly Antarctica is AGW central again.
    Early 1950’s, Ernst Hofer discovers “Warming Island”
    2005, The island reappears and gets “discovered” by Dennis Schimdt, who starts the Cult of Warming Island
    http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2008/03/31/warming-island-another-global-warming-myth-exposed/
    For a real history of climate science theories, see here:
    http://icecap.us/docs/change/Historicalpersectives-CLIMATECHANGETHEORIES.pdf
    Well, in fairness, they do say that Arrhenius predicted AGW would be a good thing.

  26. AEGeneral:
    “The solar cycle was discovered in 1843 by Samuel Heinrich Schwabe, who after 17 years of diligent observations of the sun noticed a periodic variation in the average number of sunspots seen from year to year on the solar disk (from Wiki)”
    May not count – I noticed that Schwabe was just an amateur scientist at the time. Isn’t science supposed to be left to the true scientists? At least, that’s what I hear at RealClimate. So perhaps the solar cycle has not yet been described in a seminal paper and therefore cannot be implicated in climate change. 🙂

  27. Most historical discoveries have been made by amateur scientists, because they do what they do, out of a love for the subject.
    Professional scientists must justify their research and obtain grant money to earn their income.
    If you are a professional, taking risks in your research is the last thing that you want do to. An amateur scientist has nothing to risk, so they take the time to study a subject which got their interest.
    Today, at my own home, I obtain scientific data which was impossible for any professional to obtain only 20 years ago. I do it out of a quest for knowledge and a simple love of the subject.

  28. The first entry should be 1801, when British amateur astronomer William Herschel discovered a statistical correlation between wheat prices and sunspots. From the Christian Science Monitor last September:

    In 1801, the eminent British astron­­omer reported that when sunspots dotted the sun’s surface, grain prices fell. When sunspots waned, prices rose.
    He suggested that shifts in grain prices were a stand-in for shifts in climate. Large numbers of sunspots led to a warmer sun, he reasoned. With more warmth reaching Earth, crop yields would increase, depressing grain prices.

    He thought he was looking at a direct effect rather than an indirect effect of the solar wind and Galactic Cosmic Radiation and cloud formation, but he nailed resulting correlation.
    I believe an economist towards the end of the 19th century made the connection between sunspots, wheat prices and cloudiness, on the theory that sunspots caused cloudiness, resulting in less sun reaching the wheat, less wheat, and higher wheat prices. Can’t find the citation.

  29. Spring Break, 2008
    Paraphrased from the Oregonian: Portland, Oregon experiences the latest snowfall in the last 50 plus years, with more to come.

  30. the most important field of scientific study in the world today.
    Now that’s rich. Curing cancer? Curing AIDS? Heck, providing clean water for people to drink? I’d say any of those are more important than climate change science. The absolute hubris and condescension is astounding.

  31. Great catch Christopher had to go check to see if it was an April 1 joke.
    They missunderstood the theory completely and only talk about earths weak magnetic field solar wind,while ignoring the main driver of the whole theory, the suns magnetic field as it relates to sunspot activity.

  32. Aaron,
    I really think that if Barak Obama becomes Prez, then Gore will play a vital role in his government. Gore sees his movement threatened by skeptics, who are armed with huge amounts of data that are casting doubt on his science. So Gore naturally will try to take over these sources of data. He’ll order the data be changed so the data supports his science – no matter what the climate does. Gore is a trapped animal in a corner, and will do anything to survive, to save face. Look at his $300 million campaign. He’s in a state of panic.
    The part about Gore taking over these climate data agencies I find, unfortunately, to be very plausible.
    I’m not in the business of weather and climate, and so perhaps someone could tell us if such a takeover of weather and climate administrations is possible. Are there any checks and balances built into these aganecies, to assure we get unmanipulated data?
    As much as hate to say it, I think Hillary would be the better choice of the two. I think the Clintons now realise that they’ve unleashed a left wing monster, and they no longer have control of it. The monster has turned on them. I think they’d be glad to chain it back down.

  33. Interestingly Herschel’s sunspot – wheat price relationship holds today. Rice also hit a record price today.
    This gets little coverage in the media, but we are on the verge of major social disruption due to food shortages.

  34. Excerpt from aforementioned link (found via IceCap).
    “But Monckton points out that in the U.K., Gore is not allowed to speak in public about his “green investment company” because to do so would violate racketeering laws by “peddling a false prospectus.” He says that fact came about after a British high court found Gore’s movie, An Inconvenient Truth, riddled with errors.”

  35. The last time I looked Google Earth was still the same, we are covered 70% by water. That to me signifies that this is the greatest % of the planet.
    Unfortunately Scientists are only interested in the 30% and they call this research? But then research on the 70% does not exist so don’t admit that its there. There are almost no records of what happens in or on the worlds oceans but the 3,000 temp. sensors placed by NASA, ( which I read have problems) Water depths of 3-4 miles are common, what effects Co2 at these depths, or even 50 ft.
    I once was on a ship in the Pacific between Australia and New Zealand, the engine sea water intake temperature increased 18c at its highest point, we were in a volcano’s heat discharge we estimated at that time that the water was ‘heated’ for approx. 10 miles, the depth sounder showed no bottom, it was good only for depths of 3 miles, and this is only one of hundreds of volcano’s under the sea, discharging heat and Co2 into the atmosphere that ‘AGW science’ is not interested in.

  36. Re: Christopher
    Just read the BBC article, it says the following:

    “For example; sometimes the Sun ‘burps’ – it throws out a huge burst of charged particles,” he explained to BBC News.
    “So we looked to see whether cloud cover increased after one of these bursts of rays from the Sun; we saw nothing.”

    If the “burp” is a solar flare then there is an associated increase in X-rays, UV light and often a coronal mass ejection that you don’t get with cosmic rays. What effect (if any) does this have?
    I believe there are plans to test the cosmic ray/cloud formation theory using the Large Hadron Collider when it is completed.
    Strange isn’t it how those who have alternate theories to AGW have to put their theories to the test by rigorous experimentation and yet AGW climate “scientists” don’t even have to use a decent thermometer.

  37. 2012: Al Gore, using profits from his carbon trading scheme, buys the entire earth and declares it “his”.
    2037: Asteroid destroys Earth, global warming argument ends.

  38. The BBC definitely has a AGW bias, it’s possible to see that in most climate-related reports they publish.
    What surprises me (although perhaps it shouldn’t) about those who bang the drum about global warming, is their sense of proportion. Witness the concern about the inhabitants of Tuvalu, where no-one has yet (to my knowledge) died due to rising sea levels (ascribed to global warming.)
    To put that in perspective, a report from the International Rescue Committee this year estimated that 45,000 people each month die as a result of the fighting in the Congo.
    Of course, actual deaths due to boring old causes such as tribal violence, infectious diseases, malnutrition and general poverty pale into insignificance in comparison with the hypothetical millions who (could, might, will possibly) die (or perhaps not, it depends) as a result of climate change sometime in the future.

  39. 1976
    Hays, J. D., J. Imbrie and N. J. Shackleton publish “Variations in the earth’s orbit: Pacemaker of the ice-ages” and demonstrate the primary cause of the great ice ages are variations in Earth’s orbital parameters – eccentricity, tilt, and precession – the Milankovitch cycles.
    Leaving this milestone out of the list strongly suggests the author is a victim of “CO2-poisoning.”

  40. 1970-2004
    Landscheidt contineus the work of Jose et al regarding “Shaker Theory” and the impact it has on climate and weather phenomenon. Shows how the past warming trends and ice ages are directly assoicated with torque forces exterted with in the solar system as related to the center of mass of the solar system.
    Because of the precise mathmatical and mechanical nature of this system, he accurately predicts many phenomenon, including increased temps, El Ninos, La ninas, droughts, etc .. and predicts that a cooling will occurr around 2007-2010 and a full blown ice age by 2030. Also predicts that Solarcycle 24 and 25 would be weak, and would be responsible for the comming cooling.
    2007 – numerous astrophysics groups in Russia and other places come to the same conclusion as Landscheidt based on different methods.
    2006-2008. – Solar Cycle 24 acting according to the Landscheidt and other astrophysics guys, fulliling predictions.
    2007 – 2008 – see largest cool down in recent history, as confirmed by ARGOS, Satellites, and land based measurments.
    2009 and onward – bafoons pass carbon caps. … Globe continues to cool … crop yeilds decrease due to carbon caps and cooling … food prices skyrocket …. Billions of people (primarily the poor) starve to death. World population cut by 50%.

  41. Althought this is slightly “off topic,” I’m not certain where else to post it (help me, Tony)!
    The other day I promissed Pierre I’d begin digging through my research papers on the “Equatorial Pacific Warm Pool” (also known by other names). As I began the task of sorting through thousands of papers, I came across “Reverberations Of The Pacific Warm Pool,” an article I believe is one of the best overall descriptions of this mysterious body of water.
    And I do mean mysterious: billions and billions of dollars have been spent by just about every major country in the world in an attempt to unravel its secrets. And no wonder: many, many scientists believe this is the key to worldwide weather patterns. The article, which I believe was published around 1999, may be a little outdated but it’ll give you a jump start into this incredible mystery! It can be found on the ‘net at: http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Study/WarmPool/printall.php
    Jack Koenig, Editor
    The Mysterious Climate Project
    http://www.climateclinic.com

  42. 1engineer said:
    “Now that’s rich. Curing cancer? Curing AIDS? Heck, providing clean water for people to drink? I’d say any of those are more important than climate change science. The absolute hubris and condescension is astounding.”
    Interesting comments. Don’t make any sense, but interesting none the less.
    From what I understand about cancer and AIDS, they’re both viruses and until someone can crack the code to cure viruses, you’ll have to rely on minimizing their impact.
    For cancer, keep away from known carcenigens. For AIDS, a good start would be to keep your thingy in your pants and out of others, and keep others’ out of yours.
    As far as clean water is concerned, that has little to do with research and more to do with money. Unfortunately, those areas in greatest need of clean water also have some of the most dispicable, greedy, and oppressive governments. Until those social problems can be cleaned up, no amount of money poured into such areas will do any good.
    Jack Koenig, Editor
    The Mysterious Climate Project
    http://www.climateclinic.com

  43. 2008, April 1:
    “Today, on April Fool’s Day, we’re proud to announce that the Antarctic Peninsula, reaching northwards towards South America and at present experiencing catastrophic local warming due to anthropogenic global warming, has been renamed Al Gore Peninsula to honor the unparalleled work done by Al Gore to heighten public awareness of the serious predicament in which the burning of fossil fuels by the industrialized world has put mankind.
    There was a close tie between the new name given today to the stricken peninsula and Anthropogenic Global Warming Peninsula or AGW Peninsula for short. However, despite the emphasis that the alternative name places on the cause of the cataclysmic global warming that our planet is experiencing, we decided in favor of stressing the dominating role of the former US Vice President in putting a face to climate change.
    Although he recently shared the Nobel Peace Prize with an Indian former diesel locomotive industry captain called Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, head of the famous IPCC, Mr. Gore is a highly qualified scientist himself who has been nominated for the Nobel Prize in Physics by several prominent personalities in the AGW community. Mr. Gore has a strong background in climatology, physics, statistics, and mathematical modeling of climate trends and has done research on the impact of global climate change, especially the soon-to-be-observed effects of rising sea levels on the coastline of Lower Manhattan.
    Mr. Gore responded to the renaming of this important Antarctic peninsula by stating that he feels extremely proud to have been chosen for this honor. Mr. Gore also mentioned that he is, in his own words, “worried sick about the climate. The former US VP added, almost like an afterthought, that he now sees “many opportunities to rename quite a few other geographical hot spots to emphasize not only the rising global temperature but, in particular, the accelerating global temperature rise that has been witnessed this past winter season with record high temperatures and practically no snow fall across the United States and Canada”. What comes to mind is the possibility of substituting CO2 Island for Manhattan.
    Mr. Gore will shortly attend a meeting on Al Gore Peninsula to celebrate the renaming and to highlight the melting of the entire Antarctica.
    Message delivered on April Fool’s Day by the .7C International Commission on Global Temperature Rise, so named after the .7C rise in the global temperature since the end of the 19th century.

  44. if CNN don’t believe the globe is warming then none of us should believe the globe is warming…aren’t they giving news, view and reviews minus bias? i mean it’s ted turner’s network! why would they peddle lies and mis.information. blog writer discipline yourself

  45. 2011
    After Solar Cycle 24 still hasn’t shown any signs of starting, Satellite sources say that temps around the world have now droped 1.43 C (2.57 F) since they peaked in 1998. James Hansen claims in his GISS temp database that 2010 tied for the 2nd hottest year on record.
    The average growing season, particularly north and south of 30 degrees have shrunk by 3-4 weeks, destroying many crops including devastating effects on fruit trees.
    Al Gore is campaigning to raise another 300 million dollars to renew his TV ad blitz to convince people that if they don’t reduce CO2 levels, the world will burn up, as soon as the mini-ice age ends, which according to him is caused by burning too many fossil fuels. However the Nobel Peace commitee voted to ask that he reimburse the $750,000 prize money back. Al Gore demands a recount of the Nobel Committee.
    The Southern Polar Ice, has bridged the gap between Antartica and the Southern tip of South America. However a 160 sq mile chunk of ice broke off of that ice bridge broke off during the Southern Hemisphere summer and Al Gore claims this is proof of Global Warming.
    Several scientists are proposing a new name for the prolonged solar minimum. A 90% scientific consensus calls for naming it the Algorian/Millivanillian Minimum. (give back the award cause you are a fraud)

  46. Deanster,
    Your post started off well, but in the end you suddenly mutated into Paul Ehrlich.
    Not to worry, billions will not die.

  47. I forwarded the post by Watts on solar cycles to my brother who is the head of a team at CERN for an opinion about the data. His reply was: look arround you, everythings melting, only today the BBC have information on their website.
    As posted before I have very little faith in anything the BBC writes, however it is difficult to refute without some simple authorative and well researched appraisals of the global weather debate. Are there any one or two sets of data that refute the BBC claims that I can use to set my brother on the right track? Do you have data on the thickness of the ice caps, are they really disappearing if so why? or are they getting thicker? I hear both opinions and it is surprisingly hard to find information on the web.
    REPLY: Take a look at the following link:
    http://www.griffith.edu.au/conference/ics2007/pdf/ICS176.pdf

  48. Kent (21:13:27):
    [On BBC article at http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7327393.stm ]
    “They missunderstood the theory completely and only talk about earths weak magnetic field solar wind,while ignoring the main driver of the whole theory, the suns magnetic field as it relates to sunspot activity.”
    The BBC article and the real paper read like different stories. While the BBC talks about solar burps, the paper spends more time talking about neutron and muon flux. It does mention sporadic events, but they are clearly not solar sourced because they show up in neutron counters and one showed up in a muon counter. The abstract and links to the full paper are at http://www.iop.org/EJ/abstract/1748-9326/3/2/024001/
    The BBC article has changed since I saw it last night, I think the original did not have Svensmark’s comments.
    I am not impressed with Sloan’s “the IPCC has got it right,” that conclusion is a reach. (It is in the BBC article, not the paper.) Even if Sloan completely disproved the GCR connection, he would still have to explain away the centuries of sun/climate correlations before his scientific skepticism should allow him to conclude that the IPCC is right.

  49. Nice job picking out the facts and “discoveries” what fit to your bias. I just wondering when you where going to pick up the facts of such things, like the fact that this year is so cold and it doesn’t seem to be getting warmer. There is a lot more pressing matters ,then if global warming is real or not, like aids, world hunger, or cancer take your pick.
    Besides us humans as a producer of population are nothing compared to nature. With all the pollution that we produce it can’t compare to the amount of CO2 like from volcanoes or a wildfire. There’s even more CO2 being produced by decomposing plants and animals then by us. Sure I agree that CO2 couldn’t be great is large amounts for us or the environment, but there is no sure facts and statistical proof that Global warming exists. If you look at all the facts there is evidence being brought forth to show that Global warming probably doesn’t exist. Remember it’s not just weather the facts are true, but to also have ALL the facts, not the parts that are convenient for you.

  50. Julian Williams, Glaciers and ice sheets transport ice from where it doesn’t melt to where it does melt. This is true of all glaciers and icesheets, at all times. At the height of the glacial maximum when icesheets were 20 miles north of London those icesheets were melting.
    The issue is whether glaciers and icesheets are gaining or losing mass. This is a fairly easy question to answer for a small well studied glacier, but a much harder question to answer for continental icesheets (Antarctica and Greenland). And even if we knew the answer (overall for all the Earth’s icesheets) with some precision, which we don’t, large icesheets are effected by climate changes going back centuries and even millenia.
    So glaciers and icesheets tell us nothing useful about recent climate change, which is what we are primarily interested in.
    However, sea ice does. Sea ice extent can be accurately measured and seems highly sensitive to short term climate change. Over the last year we have seen the largest increase in sea ice on record (and by a large margin).
    It remains to be seen whether this trend continues, but there is no question that the Earth’s climate has cooled sharply over the last year. The sea ice says so unambiguously.
    http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg
    Note i understand this is the complete satellite record.
    Otherwise, I could go on at length at the dishonesty of the media and others of (deliberately?) confusing glacier and icesheet melting which would happen whether the climate was warming or cooling, and changes in sea ice extent and glacier mass.

  51. Also seemingly left put of the article is the recent IPCC report downgrading the amount of warming (again), as well as stating that even if everyone signed onto Kyoto it would basically have no effect on climate.

  52. BTW 3/4 of what I read on this site goes over my head but what I do understand looks like common sense, especially when you moderate your language to my level.
    I am curious; There is a lot of consensus on this forum, how far does that consensus spread? Have I struck on a bunch of mavericks that are largely ignored in teh wider scientific community or are the opinions expressed here representative.
    I keep hearing that the scientific community really are in agreement about global warming. My brother is a scientist and he seems welland truely taken in.
    For myself I came to this site because the same proponents for centralised undemocratic government (IE the EU) have latched on to green issues as a reason for giving them even more powers. (They are really flogging this global warming scares for political ends)
    One of the most striking aspects of this EU debate is that there is no debate allowed. Sceptics are really locked out by all sorts of tricks, I can see some of the same tricks happening in the climate debate.
    Recently I have begun to wonder are we living in a new cultural period. The age of enlightenment brought us democracy and debate, maybe the age of technology is bringing us a new sort of society, one where people live in a bubble of unreality and do not really want to know the truth (debate) and do not really want to be responsible for their own destiny (democracy). The two go hand in hand.
    Think of it this way, they are sitting in their living rooms eating popcorn watching wars where their enemies get zapped. The supermarkets remain supplied, the economy goes on booming. Then they watch the glaciers melting and the supermarkets are still full.
    What I am wondering is are these people hooked on hysterical news because that sort of news gives them something gripping to watch on television. In their hearts they think the world will go on as before, someone else will always look after the outside world and keep their supermarkets stuffed.
    If you have this sort of mentality you really are not interested about whether the news is true or not. Suppose the media have unconsciously understood that their paymasters are not interested in the truth, in fact truth is bad for their sales figures, their audience would switch off if the film they were watching lost it’s hold on them.
    Fortunately you are scientists and in the end our scientific instincts for the truth will prevail, but in politics it is the opposite. The lies that have been seeded by the proponent of centralized government were put down 30- 50 years ago and they are still not exposed properly.
    Anyway this is one of the reasons I have been fascinated watching what is going on on this forum

  53. Julian Williams:
    Not all, or necessarily even a majority, of those who post here or at other climate sites are scientists.
    As a scientist, but not a “climate” scientist, I find some of the material here of great interest as it often goes unreported in the media and is , more often than is justified, deliberately shut out of the principle scientific journals.
    But be wary, there is lot of crap out there masquerading as science. A lot of it is being pushed by the AGW cultists, but some is peddled by self-proclaimed climate skeptics too.
    This is good site. There are many others. I find the best way to navigate them is to look for cross-links at the good sites. See The blogroll above.

  54. Ted Turner’s view of climate future:
    If steps aren’t taken to stem global warming, “We’ll be eight degrees hotter in 30 or 40 years and basically none of the crops will grow,” Turner said during a wide-ranging, hour-long interview with PBS’s Charlie Rose that aired Tuesday.
    “Most of the people will have died and the rest of us will be cannibals,” said Turner, 69. “Civilization will have broken down. The few people left will be living in a failed state — like Somalia or Sudan — and living conditions will be intolerable.”
    Source: http://www.ajc.com/metro/content/news/stories/2008/04/03/turner_0404.html

  55. Climate predictions from the BBC
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7329799.stm
    2008
    Global temperatures ‘to decrease’
    La Nina caused some of the coldest temperatures in memory in China
    2013
    But experts have also forecast a record high temperature within five years
    I am truly amazed that any word processor at the BBC could type the letters “C O L D”. It must have required a high level management security override. The public may start to think, can’t have that now can we, that there is some connection between high world food prices and extreme weather events in Asia. See I didn’t use the “C” word.
    Who what event is the BBC counting on in five years to keep the AGW fraud going? Now let me think! An image if forming, yes I can see it clearly now.
    http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/sunspot.gif
    To bad the BBC can’t fall back on that old-time-religion and sacrifice a few virgins to the Sun. I suspect the problem is that virgins are in short supply in England these days. Perhaps burning a few Witches or AGW Deniers would do instead. But wait, can’t burn Witches either, alternate lifestyle minorities as protected, AGW Deniers will have to do!
    The spin machine is starting up and the game is afoot. I will bring the dip and chips if you bring the beer.
    Mike

  56. 2013
    Global temperatures show signs of warming.
    “Global temperatures this year [2008] will be lower than in 2007 due to the cooling effect of the La Nina current in the Pacific, UN meteorologists have said.

    This would mean global temperatures have not risen since 1998, prompting some to question climate change theory.
    But experts have also forecast a record high temperature within five years.
    Experts at the UK Met Office’s Hadley Centre for forecasting in Exeter said the world could expect another record temperature within five years or less, probably associated with another episode of El Nino.”
    So, I guess the debate is on hold for a while. Let’s all go home and fix the insulation. See http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7329799.stm

  57. @Julian in UK
    That ice is melting only proves that it is getting warmer in that particular region.
    Warming in itself does not prove an anthroprogenic link. Indeed the s. hemispere and Artarctica are cooling.
    When your brothere says: “Look around you, everything is melting!”, it’s like saying on a November day that summer is coming just because the temperature is going up on that particular day.
    This only underscores the weakness of their science. That’s all they have for arguments.

  58. Following on from Ric Werme’s “2013” comment, the BBC broadcast the report about the cooling effect of La Nina in last night’s (Thursday) 10 o’clock main evening news, with the nice animated sequence, provided by Hadley, showing how it’s cooling the Pacific.
    They predicted we’re in for a cooler summer this year – not to be confused with an earlier Hadley forecasts during the day of “wetter and warmer”. (Warmer? Cooler? Who cares – it’s all consistent with AGW, as was stated by a Hadley talking-head on Channel 4’s Midday News ).
    The BBC showed a temperature chart, with temperatures reaching a maximum in what looked liked about 2002, and dropping since then. Wasn’t made clear if this was supposed to be for the UK or for the world, but as 1998 didn’t stand out as anything special it looked decidedly odd.
    The BBC also said that some climatologists believe temperatures have peaked and that the climate may be much more resistant to change then was previously thought, although the overwhelming majority of scientists (sic) still believe Global Warming is continuing and is being caused by Man. No need to worry, though – this year’s expected dip in the temperature would only be a temporary blip.
    Not sure what to make of this. Was it just another example of the BBC pushing it’s usual AGW line? Or does it show them beginning to have doubts?

  59. There was a spot on BBC news last night about the fact that 2007 will be cooler, but weasel words about “the trend is upwards” – the tone seemed rather “Methinks he dost protest too much”. I’m wondering whether the March 08 HADCRUT3 figure (which we should get any time now) is going to be particularly low, and this is management of expectations…
    But they have made a testable prediction – another ‘record’ temperature within 5 years or less. It’s going to be an interesting 5 years…

  60. Paul Clark: Not so sure if “testable predictions” mean that much to Hadley, quite honestly.
    Remember their “it’s going to be the hottest summer ever”, at the start of 2007? Turned out to be unusually wet and cold – the wettest summer, in fact, in over 100 years.
    When queried about this on yesterday’s Channel 4 Midday News, a Hadley spokesman stated that weeks of torrential rain and a truly miserable summer were all quite consistent with Global Warming theory. The interviewer – Krishnan Guru-Murthy – had difficulty concealing his amusement.
    Made me laugh as well – but then I’m easily amused. No wonder these people have so little credibility amongst the population at large.

  61. In continuation of what others have posted on future Global Warming Headlines
    2017
    Newly Elected US President, and former Senator James Inhofe, signed legislation today overturning all CO2 emissions caps, restrictions, credits, etc, allowing the US to produce unlimited amounts of CO2, and banning all CO2 credit trading in the US.
    Former UN Secretary General Al Gore criticized the action claiming that the US disregard for greenhouse gas limits will only cause more enhanced greenhouse effect which will increase anthropogenic climate change/global warming, which will further cause more global cooling which will only prolong the current CO2/AGW induced mini-ice age which is causing devastating severe cold weather and more disastrous anthropogenic climate change stretching around the world.
    Solar cycle 24 has still not started, although NASA has delayed the prediction for the start of the new cycle another 2 months from Mar 2017 to May 2017.
    The Satellite temps for 2016 were released and global temps have now dropped 1.93 C (3.51 F) since the peak in 1998 showing what many people refer to as a mini-ice age is still continuing. James Hansen also released the official GISS/NASA temps, which show that 2016 tied for 2nd hottest year on record.
    In response to GISS temp data, Surfacestations.org released “How not to measure temperature part 3275”, revealing that 71% of weather/temperature stations used in the 2016 GISS temp statistics have now been located indoors to due to new cabling guidelines.
    Atmospheric CO2 levels reached 475 ppm. CNN and the Weather Channel report that this largely due to the increased burning of fossil fuels for heating homes and business because of the severe colder global temperatures from the current mini-ice age, which is directly caused by global warming, which is directly caused by enhanced greenhouse effect which is caused by dramatically increased CO2 levels, which is caused by burning more fossil fuels, due to the severe colder temps from the current mini-ice age….etc, etc. etc.
    Wattsupwiththat.com and Junkscience.com ran a story on a new controversial study that shows that the current prolonged solar minimum accounts for only about 30% of the temperature decline since 1998. According to that study, the other 70% is actually caused by “artificial volcanic ash generator” systems implemented in 2009 to block sunlight in the upper atmosphere to counteract enhanced greenhouse effect and curb global warming, funded by billions of Euros in global CO2 carbon taxes and CO2 carbon credit trading.
    The Realclimate.com blog questioned those findings, claiming that this study is “bogus because it was funded by Exxon/Mobile”. Realclimate.com also claims that if it were not for the artificial volcanic ash generators blocking sunlight to counteract increased greenhouse effect, the anthropogenic global warming induced mini-ice age would be even more severe than it has been. However, in a bold response to that claim, Wattsupwiththat.com concedes that although originally climate change/global warming was not anthropogenic, the current severe colder global climate change is indeed partially man-made. The IPCC invited Wattsupwiththat.com to submit their results for the IPCC version 22 report on anthropogenic climate change, although they disagree with the conclusions.
    Leslie Stahl interviewed former UN General Secretary Al Gore on KGBS 60 minutes from his homeless shelter. “You were a few hundred votes away from becoming President of the United States. You were UN Secretary General for 3 weeks, before the 2nd set of recounts, which overturned your election, after the first set of recounts you sued for, overturned the original vote in which you first, and eventually lost to former Russian President Putin.”
    “You have been stripped of your Nobel Peace Prize. You invested everything you owned into your CO2 carbon credit programs which have now gone bankrupt. Tipper left you because she just can’t stand that beard again. And now you are homeless after losing your mansion that you spent millions on to make retrofitted green. It seems like you have now lost everything?”
    “No, Leslie, I still have my Oscar!” grasping the battered gold statuette with pride. “It is the most prized possession I have left!” he continued. “At least Hollywood didn’t take that away from me. Although I did feel shunned I didn’t win another Academy Award for my second film ‘An Incon-Venus Truth’ which was nominated in 2009 for Best Special Effects for it CGI generated film sequences. You know,” with a glimmer of envy in his eye, “I didn’t ask for a recount in that voting. I respect Hollywood voting.”
    “There’s still a lot of skepticism about whether global warming, and now this recent global cooling and mini-ice age, is man made. Well, there’s pretty impressive people like the president,” Stahl pointed out.
    “You’re talking the newly elected President James Inhofe?” Gore added.
    “Yeah, but others. And they say: we don’t know what causes it and why spend all this money till we really know,” Stahl said.
    “”I think that those people are in such a tiny, tiny minority now with their point of view. They’re almost like the ones who still believe that the Manned Venus landing scenes in my 2009 blockbuster Academy Award CGI Special Effects Nominated movie “An Incon-Venus Truth” where the astronauts, after landing on Venus, discovered massive SUV’s, highways, factories, coal burning power plants, and other signs of civilization on Venus that were all destroyed by CO2 induced aphroditeogenic Global Warming, was staged in a movie lot in Arizona and those who believe the earth is flat. That demeans them a little bit, but it’s not that far off,” Gore stated, with a familiar smirk on his face.

  62. The BBC also said that some climatologists believe temperatures have peaked and that the climate may be much more resistant to change then was previously thought, although the overwhelming majority of scientists (sic) still believe Global Warming is continuing and is being caused by Man. No need to worry, though – this year’s expected dip in the temperature would only be a temporary blip.

    “Resistant to change”. That’s got to be the funniest thing I’ve heard in a long time.
    Actually global warming is caused by Mann. 😉

  63. RE: “we are on the verge of major social disruption due to food shortages.”
    A war to dwarf all previous ones is coming.
    Well, the Greenies will get their wish. Population will dive. Then, there will be a long Dark Age.

  64. Food-based biofuels signifies all that is wrong with AGW pseudoscience. It’s truly sickening. It’s environmentalism turned on its head, and in the end actually causing great environmental and social damage for absolutely no benefit, not even the mythical one of reducing C02. As usual, it’s the poor who will suffer, and die. Thank you, Al Gore, and those of your ilk. That will be your legacy.
    Hitler would be proud of you.

  65. It should be “A Timeline of Climate Change Politics”
    My prediction for 2020.
    1) Paul Jose gets post humous ‘Nobel Prize of Science’ for spawning a whole raft of work on ‘physical models’ for Solar Cycles and the Earth’s resulting climate.
    2) UN convenes to discuss how to cope with 80 more years of the Landscheidt Minimum.
    3) NASA is mandated by Congress to create an independent body to thwart consensus science so we never get caught with our pants down again (until the next time 😉 )

  66. Correction for 2017. It should read:
    Newly sworn-in President Ted Nugent (R Michigan) cancelled his plans to be the first President to perform at his own inaurgal ball because of bitterly cold weather. This afternoon high temperatures managed to hit only -5 deg F at Dulles. As his first act as President, Nugent closed down Camp David and says he will convert the large reservation into a nature perserve where he intends to hunt elk, wild boars, and cougars. With frigid cold again dominating the news worldwide and with home heating bills skyrocketing, President Nugent gave a quick press conference and demanded that Congress temporairily revoke all federal taxes on gasoline, natural gas and heating oil. Today the low over Chicago fell to -33 deg F, while the daytime high over Boston was just -10 deg F. The newly elected House Speaker Chuck Norris (R California) promised immediate support for President Nugent’s request as well as support for declarations of federal disaster zones all across Florida, where citrus crops have been devastated.
    Commenting about the wroldwide drop in surface temperatures, retired NASA Chief Scientist James Hansen and now Professor Emeritus of Enviormental Studies at East Anglia University, argued that surface temperatures do not tell the entire story, “You just cannot look at what’s going on at the surface. If you look at the ocean in depth, you will find that AGW has just gone underground so to speak. Our studies have shown runaway warming below the surface which will be sure to manifest itself in the coming decades.” The rest of the interview could not be concluded due to downed power lines caused by one of the worst blizzards in the UK since 1706.
    In other inaugural news, President Nugent was able to team up with other members of the Damn Yankees and performed a small concert to a delegation of EU ministers. Vice President Chelsea Clinton was enroute to Switzerland to investigate the warnings of a rapid advancement in Alpine Glaciers. Former Vice President Al Gore, now one of Forbes Richest Men, made news recently, when his alpine chalet had to evacuated due rapidly advancing ice. Now President of the Stop The Ice foundation, Mr Gore is leading efforts to raise public awareness about AGGA (Anthropegenic Global Glacier Advance). He will team up with Michael Moore in producing a documentary….

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