Ever wonder why NASA’s Jim Hansen (and many others) see red at high northern latitudes?
Above 2011 Temperature Anomaly. Source: NASA GISS interactive plotter
With all that red up north, you’d think Jimbo, Gore, and Trenberth would want to get a look at that firsthand, instead of making a fossil fueled boat trip to Antarctica during peak of the southern summer melt season so they could give us grand proclamations about the melting there.
All the “hot action” is up north according the the latitude plot that accompanies the GISS anomaly map:
Funny how in the anomaly map above, with the great Texas Heat Wave this year, Texas is not red. WUWT? (The way it was portrayed in media, you’d think it was a permanent condition).
It seems to be all in the adjustments. Cooling the past helps the slope of the trend:
How GISS Has Totally Corrupted Reykjavik’s Temperatures
Guest post By Paul Homewood
GISS Surface Temperature Analysis
Now that GHCN have created a false warming trend in Iceland and Greenland , and GISS have amended every single temperature record on their database for Reykjavik going back to 1901 (except for 2010 and 2011), we should have a look at the overall effect.
The red line reflects the actual temperature records provided by the Iceland Met Office and shows quite clearly a period around 1940, followed by another 20 years later, which were much warmer than the 1970’s. GISS, as the blue line shows, have magically made this warm period disappear, by reducing the real temperatures by up to nearly 2 degrees.
Meanwhile the Iceland Met Office say that “The GHCN “corrections” are grossly in error in the case of Reykjavik”.
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Just for completeness, here is the GISS trend map and latitude plot for the start of the GISS baseline (1951) to 2011.
UPDATE: 1/26/2012 10:30AM
I added (The way it was portrayed in media, you’d think it was a permanent condition) to the body of this post. since my intent with that statement about Texas wasn’t clear. I got distracted by phone calls and other business in the middle of writing this post and lost my train of thought (and I haven’t been following comments on it either). It is one of the pitfalls of trying to run a business and family while trying to keep up with the demands of this venue. Apologies to anyone who thought I was suggesting Texas summer temp data would show up in December data. Such transient events are just one more indication of the synoptic scale blocking high which caused that event, not any long term climate issue.
Paul Homewood sends his email correspondence and supporting data from the Icelandic Met Office. Here is a PDF file containing the data (referenced in the emails): Reykjavik-1871_Akureyri-1881_Stykkisholmur-1845
From: Trausti Jónsson
To: paul homewood
Cc: Halldór Björnsson
Sent: Monday, 23 January 2012, 17:40
Subject: Re: monthly temperatures
We have sent a questions to the GHCN database regarding this and they will look into the problem. Regarding your questions:
No we were not aware of this.
No, but we are asking for the reasons
GHCN are both valid and of the correct value? If so, why?
The GHCN “corrections” are grossly in error in the case of Reykjavik but not quite as bad for the other stations. But we will have a better look. We do not accept these “corrections”.
No.
No changes have been made in the Stykkisholmur series since about 1970, the Reykjavík and Akureyri series that I sent you have been slightly adjusted for major relocations and changes in observing hours. Because of the observing hour changes, values that where published before 1924 in Reykjavík and before 1928 in Akureyri are not compatible with the later calculation practices. For other stations in Iceland values published before 1956 are incompatible with later values except at stations that observed 8 times per day (but the differences are usually small). The linked paper outlines these problems (in English):
Click to access Climatological1960.pdf
The monthly publication Vedrattan 1924 to 1997 (in Icelandic) is available at:
http://timarit.is/view_page_init.jsp?pubId=278&lang=is&navsel=666
and earlier data (in Icelandic and Danish – with a summary in French) at:
http://timarit.is/view_page_init.jsp?pubId=240&lang=is&navsel=666
http://timarit.is/view_page_init.jsp?pubId=241&lang=is&navsel=666
Monthly data from all stations from 1961 onwards :
http://www.vedur.is/Medaltalstoflur-txt/Manadargildi.html
Best wishes,
Trausti J.
Til: “Trausti Jónsson”
Sent: Mánudagur, 23. Janúar, 2012 17:09:30
Efni: Re: monthly temperatures
From: Trausti Jónsson
To: phomewooduk
Cc: Guðrún Þórunn Gísladóttir
Sent: Tuesday, 17 January 2012, 11:19
Subject: monthly temperatures
I attach a table including the monthly temperature averages for Reykjavik (1871), Akureyri (1881) and Stykkisholmur (1845).
Best wishes,
Trausti J.
Lýsing: Could you please send me, or let me know where I can access, annual mean temperatures for Reykjavik and Akureyri, back to 1900,(or when records are available from).. Many thanks Paul Homewood –
When are the legal people going to be brought into this?
um…Iceland seems to be in the blue…
REPLY: You are confusing single year anomaly and trend, see the trend map, I’m just pointing out where the red is. – Anthony
Note that the temperature plot at the top of the article is December 2011 only, not all of 2011. So of course the summer heat wave in Texas doesn’t show up. It is noticeable on the Annual plot.
Paul earlier posted on the 18th:
Seriousely need a FOI request on this. This is a big deal as I imagine that one sensor has big impacts on a large area due to a lack of nearby temp stations. Someone should go to jail if this is tampering as it appears.
Makes this Texan red in the face. I want due credit for suffering through last summer. We should be ochre, damnit!
When we look at the all-year 2011 map (not the December-only map), then we see Texas showing plenty hot .
“Wrongway Hansen strikes again!
Red crayon, meet red hand.
In the 2011 anomaly map, the north pole seems to have a 15 degree temperature swing depending upon which way you are facing. Unless this map is cropped at 85 N, I would have expected the anomaly to converge at the pole. The south pole directional variation seems to be a bit smaller.
As long as we are discussing GISS distortions….
Let’s look at the Map. It is a equi-lat, equi-longitude map that is real handy for making quick computer plots with Long,Lat plotting point. The problem is, that the plot distors area.
Apparent Area = Real Area * (1/cos(Latitude)) The Map shows Latitude 0 to 10N as the same area as Latitude 70-80 North (warm anomally) area. But the 70-80 N band is only 25% of the equatorial band.
The same goes for the Normal Mean by Latitude graph above. The X-axis should be changed to be spaced as cos(Latitude) so that 0 to 30 degrees is about 4 times bigger than 60 to 90 deg.
suddenly that spike in the right hand look a lot less important and more spurious.
Rogelio says:
January 25, 2012 at 2:20 pm
When are the legal people going to be brought into this?
That’s what I want to know as well. Especially in anticipation of the outcome of the Antarctic Oh-No Tour in progress, which is sure to be a huge lie. How can one LEGALLY challenge these adjustments hiding declines and peaks and the like? It has gone beyond foolish, and through ludicrous, to settle at the bottom of the spin cesspool.
This is pure fraud and should carry a custodial sentence, how can they get away with this? and what has Iceland’s Met Office got to say about it, are they complicit or not.We need answers.What ever reason they have for doing it, it can NEVER be good enough
Keith Gordon
Long term forecast (up to 2020) for the Iceland’s winter and annual temperatures
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/RF.htm
I love Iceland. It has the best water and the best air I ever tasted.
Life in Iceland is tough, and people there tend to be on par with it.
At the same time, there is a surprising number of intellectuals there (not in the the ignoble way of the American Academia but in the noble way of the 19th-century intelligentsia).
I talked to many Icelanders; most of them hope for global warming. No wonder, considering their climate that changes every hour, usually for the worse. But when I ask Icelanders if there is, really, any indication of warming upon their shores and glaciers, they scratch their heads and shake them sorrowfully.
here we go again. The GISTEMP package uses only publicly available data (specifically GHCNv3 for these areas) and performs analysis for which all the code is available, and has been replicated by outside groups.
So given that the post itself points to GHCN v3 as being the source of the change (and according to the Iceland met office, this change is an error), what do you expect the GISTEMP algorithm to do with it?
But I suppose it’s easier to blame GISS than look into why GHCN v3 (produced by NOAA) might be different.
“Funny how in the anomaly map above, with the great Texas Heat Wave this year, Texas is not red. WUWT?”
Probably because the map is for December only?
Paul – do you have a source or reference for the Iceland Met Office comment? TIA
This is just like an ancient map of the world, showing fabulous sea monsters and other strange artefacts outside known regions. You cant challenge the existence of the fabulous sea monsters and strange lands, because you’ve never been there to see for yourself whether they are there.
If you want to claim dangerous warming, but you cant find it, you put it in a place where noone is looking.
My comment lifted verbatim from the notalotofpeoleknowthat site. I hope the moderators will allow this call for support…
@Paul Homewood
“..Their Met Office was not aware of these adjustments, but are now!..”
Good. Now we need someone to chase this through the technical press, someone else to chase this through the ‘political’ pressure groups around GISS via the newspapers, and a third party to look at all the other ‘adjustments’ for other country’s Met Offices and compare them to the real data.
I am sure the readership of WUWT will provide….
No use looking for Texas heat waves here. This is the map for just December 2011. The trend map is just for Decembers.
The Texas Heat Wave plot is for July 2011, the “NASA GISS interactive plotter” shown on the WUWT Web page is for Dec. 2011. The only legal people that need to be brought are those required to permanently shut down the WUWT Web site for deliberately misinforming people.
Amazing how GISS is able to root out all those (dear departed) dummies of the past who weren’t able to read thermometers, and correct their readings. People were shorter back then, and looking up at a thermometer induced parallax errors on the high side, apparently.
This is the same stuff GISS has been doing for years, aped more recently in the USHCN v2 climate set.
JPY says:
January 25, 2012 at 3:17 pm
Which “outside group” replicated a presumed 3°C measurement error in the 1940s? The Teletubbies? How do you replicate ad hoc adjustments to verified historical data?
What effect does the location of monitoring stations have on the raw data and would it not requier newer temps to be lowered and older left alone or inflated. I look at temp records like currency inflation graphs where one is stated in terms a given point with changes ballanced out.
JPY says:
January 25, 2012 at 3:17 pm
Here we go again. The GISTEMP package uses only publicly available data (specifically GHCNv3 for these areas) and performs analysis for which all the code is available, and has been replicated by outside groups.
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I suppose if you ask them, “Which Outside Groups?”, they’d answer, “TOP …. outside groups” 😉