Up to 60 percent of the present population of Florida may have to be relocated. (within a few decades)
https://www.amazon.com/Earth-Balance-Ecology-Human-Spirit/dp/0395578213/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2KEIZ4MQPET7X&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.CLc6f8_54xnEwEFwMILQcEDYBI4QbsjRW811DmBh8uIG5uRKyaUcEzajZO4ENNlHU56byaXaNn0o6XAOOTYJvlnJ_3yVK-iUfB9yx0yXrKS_1p0vEwhoaChztjiY7fyYHrhQ_xlOrkEvduAcN_15MUjwiaLw-RuMq51ZCBZpmDzDgxL8KcOqF-sC8wOVW3IaMmWVhtSxM7PDN2MsrOdo3W7rxYclw085sHSWSUs_AtI.idwRJQFVs2w84Jar4GFsXnVJ419wr4O9Kotz9wVwlcw&dib_tag=se&qid=1714314260&sprefix=earth%20in%20the%20balance,aps,114
In 2024, Florida’s population is estimated to be 22,976,000. It is currently the fastest growing state in the US.
Here’s a graph of Florida population growth from 1992 to 2024
Up to 60 percent of the present population of Florida may have to be relocated. (within a few decades)
https://www.amazon.com/Earth-Balance-Ecology-Human-Spirit/dp/0395578213/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2KEIZ4MQPET7X&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.CLc6f8_54xnEwEFwMILQcEDYBI4QbsjRW811DmBh8uIG5uRKyaUcEzajZO4ENNlHU56byaXaNn0o6XAOOTYJvlnJ_3yVK-iUfB9yx0yXrKS_1p0vEwhoaChztjiY7fyYHrhQ_xlOrkEvduAcN_15MUjwiaLw-RuMq51ZCBZpmDzDgxL8KcOqF-sC8wOVW3IaMmWVhtSxM7PDN2MsrOdo3W7rxYclw085sHSWSUs_AtI.idwRJQFVs2w84Jar4GFsXnVJ419wr4O9Kotz9wVwlcw&dib_tag=se&qid=1714314260&sprefix=earth%20in%20the%20balance,aps,114
In 2024, Florida’s population is estimated to be 22,976,000. It is currently the fastest growing state in the US.
Here’s a graph of Florida population growth from 1992 to 2024
About 10 million people in Bangladesh will lose their homes and means of sustenance because of the rising sea level, due to global warming, in the next few decades. Where will they go? Whom will they displace? What political conflicts will result?
https://www.amazon.com/Earth-Balance-Ecology-Human-Spirit/dp/0395578213/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2KEIZ4MQPET7X&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.CLc6f8_54xnEwEFwMILQcEDYBI4QbsjRW811DmBh8uIG5uRKyaUcEzajZO4ENNlHU56byaXaNn0o6XAOOTYJvlnJ_3yVK-iUfB9yx0yXrKS_1p0vEwhoaChztjiY7fyYHrhQ_xlOrkEvduAcN_15MUjwiaLw-RuMq51ZCBZpmDzDgxL8KcOqF-sC8wOVW3IaMmWVhtSxM7PDN2MsrOdo3W7rxYclw085sHSWSUs_AtI.idwRJQFVs2w84Jar4GFsXnVJ419wr4O9Kotz9wVwlcw&dib_tag=se&qid=1714314260&sprefix=earth%20in%20the%20balance,aps,114
Scientists from the Dhaka-based Center for Environment and Geographic Information Services (CEGIS) have studied 32 years of satellite images and say Bangladesh’s landmass has increased by 20 square kilometres (eight square miles) annually.
Maminul Haque Sarker, head of the department at the government-owned centre that looks at boundary changes, told AFP [Agence France-Presse] sediment which travelled down the big Himalayan rivers—the Ganges and the Brahmaputra—had caused the landmass to increase. …
“Satellite images dating back to 1973 and old maps earlier than that show some 1,000 square kilometres of land have risen from the sea,” Sarker said.
https://www.geospatialworld.net/news/bangladesh-gaining-land-not-losing-scientists/
About 10 million people in Bangladesh will lose their homes and means of sustenance because of the rising sea level, due to global warming, in the next few decades. Where will they go? Whom will they displace? What political conflicts will result?
https://www.amazon.com/Earth-Balance-Ecology-Human-Spirit/dp/0395578213/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2KEIZ4MQPET7X&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.CLc6f8_54xnEwEFwMILQcEDYBI4QbsjRW811DmBh8uIG5uRKyaUcEzajZO4ENNlHU56byaXaNn0o6XAOOTYJvlnJ_3yVK-iUfB9yx0yXrKS_1p0vEwhoaChztjiY7fyYHrhQ_xlOrkEvduAcN_15MUjwiaLw-RuMq51ZCBZpmDzDgxL8KcOqF-sC8wOVW3IaMmWVhtSxM7PDN2MsrOdo3W7rxYclw085sHSWSUs_AtI.idwRJQFVs2w84Jar4GFsXnVJ419wr4O9Kotz9wVwlcw&dib_tag=se&qid=1714314260&sprefix=earth%20in%20the%20balance,aps,114
Scientists from the Dhaka-based Center for Environment and Geographic Information Services (CEGIS) have studied 32 years of satellite images and say Bangladesh’s landmass has increased by 20 square kilometres (eight square miles) annually.
Maminul Haque Sarker, head of the department at the government-owned centre that looks at boundary changes, told AFP [Agence France-Presse] sediment which travelled down the big Himalayan rivers—the Ganges and the Brahmaputra—had caused the landmass to increase. …
“Satellite images dating back to 1973 and old maps earlier than that show some 1,000 square kilometres of land have risen from the sea,” Sarker said.
https://www.geospatialworld.net/news/bangladesh-gaining-land-not-losing-scientists/
Simon Stiell, Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change said the next two years are “essential in saving our planet”.
“We still have a chance to make greenhouse gas emissions tumble, with a new generation of national climate plans. But we need these stronger plans, now,” he said.
https://www.reuters.com/world/un-climate-chief-says-two-years-save-planet-2024-04-10/
We will see what happens at the end of 2026
Sea levels surrounding New York City are expected to rise at least 6 to 9 inches in the 2030s and potentially up to 13 inches in some areas due to climate change, according to state projections.
The assessment done by the state Department of Environmental Conservations also claims that sea levels in the lower Hudson River could swell by 23 inches in the 2050s and up to 45 inches in the 2080s.
“Sea level rise is one of the most direct and observable effects of climate change in New York and DEC is required by law to develop science-based sea level rise projections to guide decision making and permitting in the areas most at risk,” the DEC said in a statement.
https://nypost.com/2024/03/03/us-news/sea-levels-in-nyc-could-surge-up-to-13-inches-in-2030s-due-to-climate-change-state-study/
Sea level rise in New York is one of the constantly shifting goal posts of Climate Change alarmism.
Here is a prediction from 1995
This current study uses an already discredited modeling scenario known as RCP 8.5
However, in 2023 the continued support of RCP8.5 in the face of overwhelming and undeniable evidence that it is out-of-date, certainly does have a political element.
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/how-climate-change-became-apocalyptic
The rising tide around New York has remained consistent for more than 175 years despite decades of alarmist predictions.
Oreskes Wrote:
“The loss of pet cats and dogs garnered particular attention among wealthy Westerners , but what was anomalous in 2023 soon became the new normal . … A shadow of ignorance and denial had fallen over people who considered themselves children of the Enlightenment”
https://www.amazon.com.au/Collapse-Western-Civilization-View-Future/dp/023116954X page 9
While specific statistics for 2023 are not available:
There are approximately 89.7 million dogs owned as pets in the US according to the American Pet Products Association’s 2017-2018 National Pet Owners Survey
https://financesonline.com/number-of-dogs-in-the-us/
There are between 60.2 million to 61.9 million domestic cats owned as pets in US households according to the American Veterinary Medical Association’s 2021 survey.
Oreskes Wrote:
“The loss of pet cats and dogs garnered particular attention among wealthy Westerners , but what was anomalous in 2023 soon became the new normal . … A shadow of ignorance and denial had fallen over people who considered themselves children of the Enlightenment”
https://www.amazon.com.au/Collapse-Western-Civilization-View-Future/dp/023116954X page 9
While specific statistics for 2023 are not available:
There are approximately 89.7 million dogs owned as pets in the US according to the American Pet Products Association’s 2017-2018 National Pet Owners Survey
https://financesonline.com/number-of-dogs-in-the-us/
There are between 60.2 million to 61.9 million domestic cats owned as pets in US households according to the American Veterinary Medical Association’s 2021 survey.
An article published in BNN Breaking News by author Aqsa Younas Rana, titled “Climate Change to Plunge 200 Million Africans into Severe Hunger by 2050” asserts that climate change will result in widespread hunger, starvation, and agricultural revenue decline in Africa by 2050. The claims are unsubstantiated and contrary to real world data and trends on food production and revenue.
The article opens describing a dystopian future in Africa:
Imagine waking up one day to find that the very ground under your feet, once fertile and life-giving, has turned barren. The streams that meandered through your village, brimming with life, now barely whisper. The crops that danced in the wind, promising a bountiful harvest, stand withered. This isn’t a scene from a dystopian novel; it’s a looming reality for millions in Africa, as recent studies project a grim future where 200 million Africans could face severe hunger by 2050 due to the impacts of climate change.
https://bnnbreaking.com/world/africa/climate-change-to-plunge-200-million-africans-into-severe-hunger-by-2050
The story doesn’t reference any data or a single study as basis for its prediction of the future, rather it issues a one sentence warning, “[a]ccording to recent findings, agricultural productivity is expected to plummet, with crop revenue forecasted to decrease by 30%.
There is no reference or citation given for the predicted 30 percent decline that Rana warns of, and the evidence that does exist actually indicates that during the recent modest warming, African crops and agricultural revenue have been regularly setting records.
Crop production and yields have improved dramatically in most places in Africa during the recent period of modest warming. One recent article by Linnea Lueken, Wrong, Washington Post, Warming Hasn’t Harmed African Crop Production, shows the extent to which climate change has benefitted African farmers:
Data clearly show that the IMF’s claims about warming causing a decline in African crop production is patently and obviously false. Crop production in Africa in general, and Ethiopia in particular increased dramatically over recent decades, even as the planet has experienced a warming of more than 1℃. To reiterate the point, as warming has occurred, crop production and yields have increased, not decreased. Also, real world data and peer reviewed agronomy research provides no reason for believing these trends will change in the future, absent political interference in to use of fossil fuels to plant, fertilize, harvest, and deliver crops.
This graph showing agricultural yields and production for primary cereal grains dramatically increased since 1990 at the same time that climate change was supposedly warming the continent of Africa:
Rana mentions Ethiopia, Kenya, and Malawi as specifically threatened by crop losses, yet since 1990 foundational cereal crops and roots and tubers have increased dramatically in each of those countries. Since 1990 (1993 Ethiopia), the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization reports that:
- In Ethiopia, despite civil strife, cereal crop production grew by approximately 496 percent, and root and tuber production increased by a little over 176 percent;
- In Kenya, cereal crop production expanded by about 35 percent, and root and tuber production enlarged by almost 97 percent;
- In Malawi, cereal crop production expanded by about nearly 185 percent, and root and tuber production grew by an astonishing 3,082 percent. (see the figure below)
In 1969, Daniel Patrick Moynihan sent a one-page memo to a top Nixon advisor on “the carbon dioxide problem.”
“The process is a simple one. Carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has the effect of a pane of glass in a greenhouse. The CO2 content is normally in a stable cycle, but recently man has begun to introduce instability through the burning of fossil fuels. At the turn of the century several persons raised the question whether this would change the temperature of the atmosphere. Over the years the hypothesis has been refined, and more evidence has come along to support it.”
“It is now pretty clearly agreed that the CO2 content will rise 25% by 2000. This could increase the average temperature near the earth’s surface by 7 degrees Fahrenheit. This in turn could raise the level of the sea by 10 feet. Goodbye New York. Goodbye Washington, for that matter. We have no data on Seattle.” —Memo by Daniel P. Moynihan, September 17, 1969
Using the BEST temperature index from Berkely Earth, the temperature difference between 1969 and 2001 is approximately 1 degree Fahrenheit.
And New York and Washington D.C. have yet to be flooded.
The researchers found that what was until recently a barren expanse of frozen peat is turning into a broken landscape of mud and lakes, some more than a kilometre across.
Dr Kirpotin told the magazine the situation was an “ecological landslide that is probably irreversible and is undoubtedly connected to climatic warming”. He added that the thaw had probably begun in the past three or four years.
Climate scientists yesterday reacted with alarm to the finding, and warned that predictions of future global temperatures would have to be revised upwards.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2005/aug/11/science.climatechange1
That extended warming and melting just isn’t happening. While the researchers sounded alarm over a warm summer in Siberia in 2005, this past year has been completely the opposite. For example, this Washington Post Story from Jan 10, 2023: Siberia sees coldest air in two decades as temperature dips to minus-80
Or how about the story covered on WUWT: Russia Reels From -60°C Cold Blast… And Munich Breaks December Snow Record
It must be tough to keep that permafrost at a melting tipping point with winter temperatures like that. Here is the view of the region today, note the widespread below zero temperatures:
The researchers found that what was until recently a barren expanse of frozen peat is turning into a broken landscape of mud and lakes, some more than a kilometre across.
Dr Kirpotin told the magazine the situation was an “ecological landslide that is probably irreversible and is undoubtedly connected to climatic warming”. He added that the thaw had probably begun in the past three or four years.
Climate scientists yesterday reacted with alarm to the finding, and warned that predictions of future global temperatures would have to be revised upwards.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2005/aug/11/science.climatechange1
That extended warming and melting just isn’t happening. While the researchers sounded alarm over a warm summer in Siberia in 2005, this past year has been completely the opposite. For example, this Washington Post Story from Jan 10, 2023: Siberia sees coldest air in two decades as temperature dips to minus-80
Or how about the story covered on WUWT: Russia Reels From -60°C Cold Blast… And Munich Breaks December Snow Record
It must be tough to keep that permafrost at a melting tipping point with winter temperatures like that. Here is the view of the region today, note the widespread below zero temperatures:
Greta has since deleted this tweet, however it has been captured for posterity.
Humanity still seems to be chugging away at life just fine.
Greta has since deleted this tweet, however it has been captured for posterity.
Humanity still seems to be chugging away at life just fine.
As of 2021 according to the Satellite Record UAH 6.0, Global temperatures are less than .5 degree Celsius warmer than in 1986.
https://woodfortrees.org/plot/uah6/from:1986/to:2021/plot/uah6/from:1986/to:2021/trend
Even using the potentially contaminated HADCRUT4 it’s less than one degree.
https://woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1986/to:2021/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1986/to:2021/trend
Environmentalists in 1970 truly believed in a scientific consensus predicting global famine due to population growth in the developing world, especially in India.
“Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions,” Peter Gunter, a professor at North Texas State University, said in a 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness.”By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
According to data from the United Nations, as recently as 1992, over a quarter of the world’s population was undernourished. Since then, a dramatic decline in hunger has occurred, particularly in places like China where economic liberalization has led to rapid development. In 2015, the share of the world population suffering from undernourishment had fallen to about 18 percent, while in China it had fallen even further, to less than 10 percent.
Not only do fewer people go hungry as a share of the population, but the total number of people suffering from hunger has also declined. Despite population growth, the number of undernourished persons has fallen from over 950 million in 1992 to about 685 million in 2015. That’s almost 270 million fewer undernourished people or a 28 percent reduction. China saw a more dramatic reduction of 51 percent. In 2015, 150 million fewer Chinese were undernourished than in 1992.
Environmentalists in 1970 truly believed in a scientific consensus predicting global famine due to population growth in the developing world, especially in India.
“Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions,” Peter Gunter, a professor at North Texas State University, said in a 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness.”By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
According to data from the United Nations, as recently as 1992, over a quarter of the world’s population was undernourished. Since then, a dramatic decline in hunger has occurred, particularly in places like China where economic liberalization has led to rapid development. In 2015, the share of the world population suffering from undernourishment had fallen to about 18 percent, while in China it had fallen even further, to less than 10 percent.
Not only do fewer people go hungry as a share of the population, but the total number of people suffering from hunger has also declined. Despite population growth, the number of undernourished persons has fallen from over 950 million in 1992 to about 685 million in 2015. That’s almost 270 million fewer undernourished people or a 28 percent reduction. China saw a more dramatic reduction of 51 percent. In 2015, 150 million fewer Chinese were undernourished than in 1992.
The Uppsala forecast for global oil production assumed all production would begin to decline around 2009 when the prediction was made.
The Uppsala forecast shows currently oil of all types declining to approximately 65 mbd by 2020.
As of 11/26/23, crude oil production is currently exceeding 80 mbd
The Uppsala forecast for global oil production assumed all production would begin to decline around 2009 when the prediction was made.
The Uppsala forecast shows currently oil of all types declining to approximately 65 mbd by 2020.
As of 11/26/23, crude oil production is currently exceeding 80 mbd
The June 23, 1988 Democratic Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources hearing opened the door on climate alarmism in the nation with testimony from scientific “experts” and Committee Senators who offered speculation and conjecture on a host of weather and climate topics while sharing their scientifically unsupported and sensationalized doomsday perspectives. The complete record of the hearing’s proceedings can be found here.
Environmental Defense Fund Senior Scientist Dr. Michael Oppenheimer claimed the following regarding increasing global sea level rise acceleration as follows:
“Global mean temperature will likely rise at about 0.6 degrees F per decade and sea level at about 2.5 inches per decade.”
“These rates are about six times recent history.”
“Furthermore, as long as greenhouse gases continue to grow in the atmosphere, there is no known natural limit to the warming short of catastrophic change.”
“Because the oceans are slow to heat, there is a lag between emissions and full manifestation of corresponding warming, a lag which some estimate at 40 years.”
“The world is now 1 degree F warmer than century ago and may become another 1 degree warmer even if conditions are curtailed today.”
“Every decade of delay and implementation of greenhouse gas abatement policies ultimately adds perhaps a degree F of warming, and no policy can be fully implemented immediately in any event.”
We are now 3 and 1/2 decades beyond Dr. Oppenheimer’s incredibly flawed and failed alarmists sea level rise acceleration hyped claims with global CO2 emissions having never declined from 1988 levels of 20.82 billion metric tons but instead having now reached 34.37 billion metric tons in 2022 with the rate of relative sea level rise at NOAA’s Battery Station showing little if any change from its 1988 rate of about 11.4 inches per century.
The latest UAH satellite measured global average temperature anomaly for the period from 1979 to 2023 shows a decadal rate of increase of about 0.14 degrees C. For the period staring from 1986 to 2021 the rate of UAH global average temperature anomaly is also about 0.14 degrees C per decade which results in an increase of about 0.49 degrees C during this period.
The June 23, 1988 Democratic Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources hearing opened the door on climate alarmism in the nation with testimony from scientific “experts” and Committee Senators who offered speculation and conjecture on a host of weather and climate topics while sharing their scientifically unsupported and sensationalized doomsday perspectives. The complete record of the hearing’s proceedings can be found here.
Environmental Defense Fund Senior Scientist Dr. Michael Oppenheimer claimed the following regarding increasing global sea level rise acceleration as follows:
“Global mean temperature will likely rise at about 0.6 degrees F per decade and sea level at about 2.5 inches per decade.”
“These rates are about six times recent history.”
“Furthermore, as long as greenhouse gases continue to grow in the atmosphere, there is no known natural limit to the warming short of catastrophic change.”
“Because the oceans are slow to heat, there is a lag between emissions and full manifestation of corresponding warming, a lag which some estimate at 40 years.”
“The world is now 1 degree F warmer than century ago and may become another 1 degree warmer even if conditions are curtailed today.”
“Every decade of delay and implementation of greenhouse gas abatement policies ultimately adds perhaps a degree F of warming, and no policy can be fully implemented immediately in any event.”
We are now 3 and 1/2 decades beyond Dr. Oppenheimer’s incredibly flawed and failed alarmists sea level rise acceleration hyped claims with global CO2 emissions having never declined from 1988 levels of 20.82 billion metric tons but instead having now reached 34.37 billion metric tons in 2022 with the rate of relative sea level rise at NOAA’s Battery Station showing little if any change from its 1988 rate of about 11.4 inches per century.
The latest UAH satellite measured global average temperature anomaly for the period from 1979 to 2023 shows a decadal rate of increase of about 0.14 degrees C. For the period staring from 1986 to 2021 the rate of UAH global average temperature anomaly is also about 0.14 degrees C per decade which results in an increase of about 0.49 degrees C during this period.
As of 2021 according to the Satellite Record UAH 6.0, Global temperatures are less than .5 degree Celsius warmer than in 1986.
https://woodfortrees.org/plot/uah6/from:1986/to:2021/plot/uah6/from:1986/to:2021/trend
Even using the potentially contaminated HADCRUT4 it’s less than one degree.
https://woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1986/to:2021/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1986/to:2021/trend
Oil did not run out in 1976. Production kept increasing.
Oil did not run out in 1976. Production kept increasing.
As of 1975 and even 2023, no global famine has occurred.
As of 1975 and even 2023, no global famine has occurred.
Paul Ehrlich Published The Population Bomb in 1968
The widespread famines predicted for the 1970’s never occurred nor did most of the apocalyptic predictions for the 80’s. Too this day, Ehrlich states that all his work was based on peer-reviewed science and therefore his work is above reproach.
Paul Ehrlich Published The Population Bomb in 1968
The widespread famines predicted for the 1970’s never occurred nor did most of the apocalyptic predictions for the 80’s. Too this day, Ehrlich states that all his work was based on peer-reviewed science and therefore his work is above reproach.
New York Times
As of August 1989, we were apparently extremely lucky and did not dissolve into a cloud of blue steam.
As of 2023 that continues to be the case.
New York Times
As of August 1989, we were apparently extremely lucky and did not dissolve into a cloud of blue steam.
As of 2023 that continues to be the case.
“In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution,” reported Life magazine in 1970. “At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable,” said ecologist Kenneth Watt.
As nebulous as this prediction was, there is no buildup of Nitrogen or nitrogen compounds in the atmosphere and crop production is at an all time high.
https://www.humanprogress.org/india-sets-new-wheat-production-record/
“In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution,” reported Life magazine in 1970. “At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable,” said ecologist Kenneth Watt.
As nebulous as this prediction was, there is no buildup of Nitrogen or nitrogen compounds in the atmosphere and crop production is at an all time high.
https://www.humanprogress.org/india-sets-new-wheat-production-record/
Barry Commoner was an American biologist and educator who warned of the environmental threats posed by modern technology since the 1950s. One of his predictions was that decaying organic pollutants would use up all of the oxygen in America’s rivers, causing freshwater fish to suffocate.
People are still fishing in waters all across the US.
Barry Commoner was an American biologist and educator who warned of the environmental threats posed by modern technology since the 1950s. One of his predictions was that decaying organic pollutants would use up all of the oxygen in America’s rivers, causing freshwater fish to suffocate.
People are still fishing in waters all across the US.
Boston Globe
As of January 1st 2001, the world has not entered into a new ice age.
As of 2023, still no ice age.
Boston Globe
As of January 1st 2001, the world has not entered into a new ice age.
As of 2023, still no ice age.
Paul Ehrlich Redlands Daily Facts
As of 1980, the oceans did not die and the USA was not subject to food rationing or water rationing.
As of 2023, except for some minor short term government induced water rationing in California in some dry periods there has not been water or food rationing in the United States.
Lake Erie has also has bounced back from the dead although it does suffer from pollution from surrounding agricultural and municipal runoff.
Paul Ehrlich Redlands Daily Facts
As of 1980, the oceans did not die and the USA was not subject to food rationing or water rationing.
As of 2023, except for some minor short term government induced water rationing in California in some dry periods there has not been water or food rationing in the United States.
Lake Erie has also has bounced back from the dead although it does suffer from pollution from surrounding agricultural and municipal runoff.
Washington Post
As of 2023 there is no sign of dust reducing incoming sunlight and an impending ice age.
Eight more years to reach the full failure of this prediction.
As of 2023, the UK still exists and is no longer part of the European Union.
As of 2023, the UK still exists and is no longer part of the European Union.
US Oil production did not die in 1992, nor after the shale revolution has it died as of today. Today’s limitations are due to regulatory barriers, not resource availability.
US Oil production did not die in 1992, nor after the shale revolution has it died as of today. Today’s limitations are due to regulatory barriers, not resource availability.
Predictions of an impending ice age made in 1972 with the forecast date being “due very soon” and “bring glacial temperatures in about a century” do not by definition falsifiable yet.
We’ll keep watching.
2023, no Ice Age yet. Mixed signs of warming and cooling.
TIME Magazine
2023, no Ice Age yet. Mixed signs of warming and cooling.
Kingsport News
But no such ‘great peril to life’ has been observed as the ozone remains as of 2017:
There are ominous signs that the Earth’s weather patterns have begun to change dramatically and that these changes may portend a drastic decline in food production – with serious political implications for just about every nation on Earth. The drop in food output could begin quite soon, perhaps only 10 years from now. The regions destined to feel its impact are the great wheat-producing lands of Canada and the U.S.S.R. in the North, along with a number of marginally self-sufficient tropical areas – parts of India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indochina and Indonesia – where the growing season is dependent upon the rains brought by the monsoon.
The evidence in support of these predictions has now begun to accumulate so massively that meteorologists are hard-pressed to keep up with it. In England, farmers have seen their growing season decline by about two weeks since 1950, with a resultant overall loss in grain production estimated at up to 100,000 tons annually. During the same time, the average temperature around the equator has risen by a fraction of a degree – a fraction that in some areas can mean drought and desolation. Last April, in the most devastating outbreak of tornadoes ever recorded, 148 twisters killed more than 300 people and caused half a billion dollars’ worth of damage in 13 U.S. states.
To scientists, these seemingly disparate incidents represent the advance signs of fundamental changes in the world’s weather. The central fact is that after three quarters of a century of extraordinarily mild conditions, the earth’s climate seems to be cooling down. Meteorologists disagree about the cause and extent of the cooling trend, as well as over its specific impact on local weather conditions. But they are almost unanimous in the view that the trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century. If the climatic change is as profound as some of the pessimists fear, the resulting famines could be catastrophic. “A major climatic change would force economic and social adjustments on a worldwide scale,” warns a recent report by the National Academy of Sciences, “because the global patterns of food production and population that have evolved are implicitly dependent on the climate of the present century.”
As in other predictions of an impending Ice Age, no near time date is given. So we are still watching.
Eventually it will probably happen hundreds, thousands, or tens of thousands of years from now.
As in other predictions of an impending Ice Age, no near time date is given. So we are still watching.
Eventually it will probably happen hundreds, thousands, or tens of thousands of years from now.
“As a nation, Americans have been reluctant to accept the prospect of physical shortages. We must recognize that world oil production will likely peak in the early 1990’s, and from that point on will be on a declining curve. By the early part of the 21st century, we must face the prospect of running out of oil and natural gas.”
— 1977 US Department of Energy Organization Act
World Oil production did not peak in the 90’s nor has it peaked since.
“As a nation, Americans have been reluctant to accept the prospect of physical shortages. We must recognize that world oil production will likely peak in the early 1990’s, and from that point on will be on a declining curve. By the early part of the 21st century, we must face the prospect of running out of oil and natural gas.”
— 1977 US Department of Energy Organization Act
World Oil production did not peak in the 90’s nor has it peaked since.
But according to NASA satellite data there is a slight warming trend since 1979
But according to NASA satellite data there is a slight warming trend since 1979
But 10 years later, the US government program formed to study acid rain concluded:
But 10 years later, the US government program formed to study acid rain concluded:
But the last really dry year in the Midwest was 1988, and recent years have been record wet.
But the last really dry year in the Midwest was 1988, and recent years have been record wet.
As of 1992, drinking water supplies did not dry up in the Maldives the Indian Ocean did not completely cover the Maldives in 2018.
In 2022 the Maldives opened a new International Airport. https://maldives-magazine.com/news/maldives-new-madivaru-airport-ready-for-2022.htm
Seven new major resorts are scheduled to open in 2023.
As of 1992, drinking water supplies did not dry up in the Maldives the Indian Ocean did not completely cover the Maldives in 2018.
In 2022 the Maldives opened a new International Airport. https://maldives-magazine.com/news/maldives-new-madivaru-airport-ready-for-2022.htm
Seven new major resorts are scheduled to open in 2023.
As of 1992, drinking water supplies did not dry up in the Maldives the Indian Ocean did not completely cover the Maldives in 2018.
In 2022 the Maldives opened a new International Airport. https://maldives-magazine.com/news/maldives-new-madivaru-airport-ready-for-2022.htm
Seven new major resorts are scheduled to open in 2023.
But the number of hot days in the DC area peaked in 1911, and have been declining ever since.
But the number of hot days in the DC area peaked in 1911, and have been declining ever since.
Source: Salon.com, October 23, 2001
As of 2019, the tail end of the prediction, the West Side Highway is still not underwater.
Source: Salon.com, October 23, 2001
As of 2019, the tail end of the prediction, the West Side Highway is still not underwater.
Sea level rise continues at the same rate it has for the last 200 years.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/12/06/the-clever-ruse-of-rising-sea-levels
Sea level rise continues at the same rate it has for the last 200 years.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/12/06/the-clever-ruse-of-rising-sea-levels
“Unfortunately, oil production will likely peak by 2020 and start declining. Without a change, developing countries will ultimately be left in the dark, and developed countries will struggle to keep the lights on. Conflict is inevitable. My guess is that this won’t become a big issue unless there is a thalidomide event. We will have to see in the rear-view mirror that we are past the peak in worldwide oil production.”
— Richard Smalley, Nobel Laureate in Chemistry, 1996
https://gizmodo.com/weve-been-incorrectly-predicting-peak-oil-for-over-a-ce-1668986354
World Oil production did not peak in by the year 2020 although it has leveled off amidst economic slowdown and anti-fossil fuel policies enacted in Western nations.
“Unfortunately, oil production will likely peak by 2020 and start declining. Without a change, developing countries will ultimately be left in the dark, and developed countries will struggle to keep the lights on. Conflict is inevitable. My guess is that this won’t become a big issue unless there is a thalidomide event. We will have to see in the rear-view mirror that we are past the peak in worldwide oil production.”
— Richard Smalley, Nobel Laureate in Chemistry, 1996
https://gizmodo.com/weve-been-incorrectly-predicting-peak-oil-for-over-a-ce-1668986354
World Oil production did not peak in by the year 2020 although it has leveled off amidst economic slowdown and anti-fossil fuel policies enacted in Western nations.
It continues to snow as much as in previous decades. California may be setting all time snow records in the 2023 season.
It continues to snow as much as in previous decades. California may be setting all time snow records in the 2023 season.
World Oil production did not peak in by the year 2010 nor has it peaked since.
World Oil production did not peak in by the year 2010 nor has it peaked since.
Since 2000, global hunger has been reduced by a quarter, child mortality by half and extreme poverty by no less than 70 percent, despite the devastating effects of the pandemic and a worldwide lockdown. Clearly, global capitalism has delivered – at least compared to every other era of human history.
https://www.humanprogress.org/open-the-story-of-human-progress/
In the year 2020, Britain continued to have normal seasons.
In the year 2020, Britain continued to have normal seasons.
BY December 2008 Adelaide’s reservoirs were 75% full, Perth’s 40%, Sydney’s 63%, and Brisbane’s reservoir’s were 46% full.
BY 2009 dams for Brisbane, Canberra and Sydney were filled to overflowing.
And more recently, historical flooding in 2022
https://appliedsciences.nasa.gov/what-we-do/disasters/disasters-activations/australia-floods-2022
BY December 2008 Adelaide’s reservoirs were 75% full, Perth’s 40%, Sydney’s 63%, and Brisbane’s reservoir’s were 46% full.
BY 2009 dams for Brisbane, Canberra and Sydney were filled to overflowing.
And more recently, historical flooding in 2022
https://appliedsciences.nasa.gov/what-we-do/disasters/disasters-activations/australia-floods-2022
The Associated Press reports that melting in the Artic has surpassing previous estimates, prompting scientist to issue new warnings.
- “The Arctic is screaming,” said Mark Serreze, senior scientist at the government’s snow and ice data center in Boulder, Colo.
- NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: “At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.”
AP
Ominous Arctic Melt Worries Experts
By SETH BORENSTEIN –
WASHINGTON (AP) — An already relentless melting of the Arctic greatly accelerated this summer, a warning sign that some scientists worry could mean global warming has passed an ominous tipping point. One even speculated that summer sea ice would be gone in five years.
Greenland’s ice sheet melted nearly 19 billion tons more than the previous high mark, and the volume of Arctic sea ice at summer’s end was half what it was just four years earlier, according to new NASA satellite data obtained by The Associated Press.
“The Arctic is screaming,” said Mark Serreze, senior scientist at the government’s snow and ice data center in Boulder, Colo.
Just last year, two top scientists surprised their colleagues by projecting that the Arctic sea ice was melting so rapidly that it could disappear entirely by the summer of 2040.
This week, after reviewing his own new data, NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: “At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.”
https://www.markey.senate.gov/imo/media/globalwarming/resources/articles_id=0018.html
While Arctic sea ice did hit a minimum in 2012 it has largely recovered and has been stable for the last decade.
The Associated Press reports that melting in the Artic has surpassing previous estimates, prompting scientist to issue new warnings.
- “The Arctic is screaming,” said Mark Serreze, senior scientist at the government’s snow and ice data center in Boulder, Colo.
- NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: “At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.”
AP
Ominous Arctic Melt Worries Experts
By SETH BORENSTEIN –
WASHINGTON (AP) — An already relentless melting of the Arctic greatly accelerated this summer, a warning sign that some scientists worry could mean global warming has passed an ominous tipping point. One even speculated that summer sea ice would be gone in five years.
Greenland’s ice sheet melted nearly 19 billion tons more than the previous high mark, and the volume of Arctic sea ice at summer’s end was half what it was just four years earlier, according to new NASA satellite data obtained by The Associated Press.
“The Arctic is screaming,” said Mark Serreze, senior scientist at the government’s snow and ice data center in Boulder, Colo.
Just last year, two top scientists surprised their colleagues by projecting that the Arctic sea ice was melting so rapidly that it could disappear entirely by the summer of 2040.
This week, after reviewing his own new data, NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: “At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.”
https://www.markey.senate.gov/imo/media/globalwarming/resources/articles_id=0018.html
While Arctic sea ice did hit a minimum in 2012 it has largely recovered and has been stable for the last decade.
While Arctic sea ice did hit a minimum in 2012 it has largely recovered and has been stable for the last decade.
While Arctic sea ice did hit a minimum in 2012 it has largely recovered and has been stable for the last decade.
Fifty million climate refugees by 2010. Today we find a world of asymmetric development, unsustainable natural resource use, and continued rural and urban poverty. There is general agreement about the current global environmental and development crisis. It is also known that the consequences of these global changes have the most devastating impacts on the poorest, who historically have had limited entitlements and opportunities for growth.
| Sources | Norman Myers, ‘Environmental refugees, An emergent security issue’, 13. Economic forum, Prague, OSCE, May 2005 ; Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005 ; Liser, 2007. |
Despite frivolous claims attributing anything to Climate Change, in 2023, there is still no mass migration of climate refugees, or any climate refugees for that matter.
Fifty million climate refugees by 2010. Today we find a world of asymmetric development, unsustainable natural resource use, and continued rural and urban poverty. There is general agreement about the current global environmental and development crisis. It is also known that the consequences of these global changes have the most devastating impacts on the poorest, who historically have had limited entitlements and opportunities for growth.
| Sources | Norman Myers, ‘Environmental refugees, An emergent security issue’, 13. Economic forum, Prague, OSCE, May 2005 ; Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005 ; Liser, 2007. |
Despite frivolous claims attributing anything to Climate Change, in 2023, there is still no mass migration of climate refugees, or any climate refugees for that matter.
While Arctic sea ice did hit a minimum in 2012 it has largely recovered and has been stable for the last decade.
While Arctic sea ice did hit a minimum in 2012 it has largely recovered and has been stable for the last decade.
As of 2015, New York City was not underwater and in 2023 we can confidently say that New York City is still not underwater.
As of 2015, New York City was not underwater and in 2023 we can confidently say that New York City is still not underwater.
As of both 2017 and 2023, the world is still here.
As of both 2017 and 2023, the world is still here.
No catastrophe in 2009, now, or on the current horizon.
https://www.humanprogress.org/india-sets-new-wheat-production-record/
No catastrophe in 2009, now, or on the current horizon.
https://www.humanprogress.org/india-sets-new-wheat-production-record/
Ice still there as of 2014 and Sea Ice still there as of 2023
Ice still there as of 2014 and Sea Ice still there as of 2023
While just over 20% of this century is over as of 2023, there has been no trend in hurricanes to date. In fact, not long after Emanuel’s prediction, the US broke the record for the longest Hurricane Drought in US history. The drought finally ended with Hurricane Irma in 2017.
https://www.livescience.com/50704-hurricane-drought.html
So while this prediction still has over 70 years to go, it’s not looking good at this time.
Source: The Guardian, July 24, 2013
The paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-02550-9 (open access)
Gas hydrate dissociation off Svalbard induced by isostatic rebound rather than global warming
Abstract
Methane seepage from the upper continental slopes of Western Svalbard has previously been attributed to gas hydrate dissociation induced by anthropogenic warming of ambient bottom waters. Here we show that sediment cores drilled off Prins Karls Foreland contain freshwater from dissociating hydrates. However, our modeling indicates that the observed pore water freshening began around 8 ka BP when the rate of isostatic uplift outpaced eustatic sea-level rise. The resultant local shallowing and lowering of hydrostatic pressure forced gas hydrate dissociation and dissolved chloride depletions consistent with our geochemical analysis. Hence, we propose that hydrate dissociation was triggered by postglacial isostatic rebound rather than anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, we show that methane fluxes from dissociating hydrates were considerably smaller than present methane seepage rates implying that gas hydrates were not a major source of methane to the oceans, but rather acted as a dynamic seal, regulating methane release from deep geological reservoirs.
Source: The Guardian, July 24, 2013
The paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-02550-9 (open access)
Gas hydrate dissociation off Svalbard induced by isostatic rebound rather than global warming
Abstract
Methane seepage from the upper continental slopes of Western Svalbard has previously been attributed to gas hydrate dissociation induced by anthropogenic warming of ambient bottom waters. Here we show that sediment cores drilled off Prins Karls Foreland contain freshwater from dissociating hydrates. However, our modeling indicates that the observed pore water freshening began around 8 ka BP when the rate of isostatic uplift outpaced eustatic sea-level rise. The resultant local shallowing and lowering of hydrostatic pressure forced gas hydrate dissociation and dissolved chloride depletions consistent with our geochemical analysis. Hence, we propose that hydrate dissociation was triggered by postglacial isostatic rebound rather than anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, we show that methane fluxes from dissociating hydrates were considerably smaller than present methane seepage rates implying that gas hydrates were not a major source of methane to the oceans, but rather acted as a dynamic seal, regulating methane release from deep geological reservoirs.
There was still lots of ice in the summer of 2016 and beyond.
“Today with His Majesty King Charles III we launched the Climate Clock—a visual reminder of the urgency of the climate crisis,” said Nick Henry, CEO and Founder of Climate Action.
FAIL
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