Via Spaceweather.com Sunspot AR4366 is shaping up to be the most active sunspot of Solar Cycle 25. In only two days, it has produced five X-class solar flares, and shows no signs of slowing down. The giant sunspot is turning to face Earth, and we will be squarely inside its ‘strike zone’ for the rest of the week.
NOAA says that minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are likely on Feb 5-6 when a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is expected to graze Earth’s magnetic field. The CME was hurled into space by a powerful X8-class solar flare on Feb.1st. Even a glancing blow from such a CME can be potent, so don’t be surprised if the storm is stronger than expected.
“I captured this image of the sun on Feb. 2nd using my H-alpha telescope at a moment of intense solar activity,” says Poupeau. “The main feature is sunspot AR 4366, a true solar flare factory, which has produced dozens of M-class flares and 5 X-class flares, including a powerful X8 event, all within a few days.”
This sunspot is just getting started. It has an increasingly unstable ‘delta-class’ magnetic field, and it is rapidly adding new spots. More X-flares are likely in the days ahead, and they will be Earth directed.
Any chance this could warm up my part of the country?
I mean -14C is purdy frosty…
I use spaceweather.com as my main source of solar (and other semi-related) activity.
Don’t miss Solarham.com
Nice…
Has anyone contacted Al Gore or Greta? One of them should be able to do something about this.
You mean, like, Al Gore pontificating that he believes (paraphrasing his 2009 UN COP-15 speech in Copenhagen):
“. . . there is a 75 per cent chance that the entire Sun will become sunspot free, during the summer months, and could be annually free of spots within five to seven years.”
Such a proclamation wouldn’t surprise me if he starts running low on admiring fans or cash on hand.
The Gore effect.
Al was famous for visiting places to preach Global Warming and being greeted by a sudden cold snap.
Do we have the means to launch him him into the Sun spot to cool it off?
(Wouldn’t bother launching Greta. All she generates is stupidity.)
While Greta can see CO2, she is blinded by sunspots.
Ummmmm . . . all the more reason to postpone starting on my tax returns for a couple of months.
Congratulations to Mr. Poupeau on a spectacular photo!
Poupeau’s solar photo is amazing.
I really miss the comments of Stanford University’s solar scientist Leif Svalgaard, who frequently participated in this forum here years ago.
We can still get timely technical news about solar activity from Kevin VE3EN’s “Solar Ham” website which caters to amateur radio operators who use solar activity to understand and predict radio proprogation around the world.
https://www.solarham.com/
Sunspot AR4366 is only halfway through its transit across the solar disk, but has spewed out dozens of flares, including 6 flares in the X-class, in this current solar cycle (#25)
https://www.raben.com/maps/
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression
Sooner or later one of these CME events just might distract from the climate change narrative. No CO2 involved.
Wot! Are you alleging that climate change doesn’t cause sunspots? I am confident we’ll soon see some attribution studies proving that they do!
I’m sure they can fabricate something 😉
Mr. 2000: If they can fabricate consensus, they have experience on their side.
UAH out, +0.35ºC (very scary)… basically the same as last month.
Item to watch is the tropics, which has dropped by 0.1C
What does this mean, please?
UAH global was +0.30 in December, down from +0.43 the previous month.
Again, what are you talking about? Globally the tropics were about -0.05C cooler in December than in November; well within the normal range of variability.
January..2026.. Do try to keep up. !!
Yes, atmospheric temperature has been all well within the range of natural variability.. since.. for ever…
… because it is just natural variability.
How can “worse than we thought” be within the “normal range of variability”?
And how can it be “worse than we thought” if the science is settled?
Shouldn’t “we” have known?
January 2026.. try to keep up.
Of course its in the range of natural variability.
That is because it all just natural variability..
Yes, even the recent strong El Nino was totally natural.
JANUARY 2026
Yes, all the last 100 years have been within natural variability…
… because all the variability has been totally natural
Sorry for the multiple posts.
I seem to be having problems with comments getting through..
Sometimes they can be delayed for over 12 hours, if they appear at all
I forget I have already made a similar comment… so try again.
Sun spots even look like melanoma.
I wonder if Ol’ Sol has an oncologist.
The big sun spot is said to be 10X wider than Earth.
Earth-Compared-To-Sun-Size-1.png (634×388)
Electrical systems can experience disruptions induced by geomagnetic storms. The March, 1989 flares were class X-15. Then, grids were a lot less vulnerable than today’s barely stable grids, due to the “energie wende”. All that extra HT cable will not help things, either.
IF there is a large X-class flare, then it would be advisable to enclose your hard drive backups in aluminum foil until the threat is past. You will have about a day’s notice. Just keep apprised.
How about keeping them in a steel filing cabinet? [serious question]
That works.
Best they be unpowered in either case.
And a good idea to unplug them.
Thanks. That’s where I normally keep it (unplugged) between backups.
If that particular solar flare fries up the circuits of those supercomputers the climatecfarce modellers use it would do mankind a huge favour. sarc
Alternatively drying up Spain a bit would be equally good, despite climate farce and “chemtrails” supposedly impeeding rain we’re currently a little bit sick of it right now… ribbit…lol.
I understand it stays mainly on the plain.
“If that particular solar flare fries up the circuits of those supercomputers the climatecfarce modellers use it would do mankind a huge favour. sarc”
So … bye, bye AI?
Never ignore a Poupeau!
The three greatest threats to humanity are:
Greed
(although the elites will safeguard themselves as they sacrifice the deplorables)
Politics
(the lust for power and control can easily be coupled to greed)
The sun
(a charred planet will likely not sustain any life)
One might think to add the random rogue asteroid or other ELE cause, and one might include such under a celestial category, but such rare events will have survivors.
Watch your internet over the next few days. There will be brief, random connectivity interruptions.
The Internet, evolved from DARPANET, was specifically designed—via TC/ICP protocols (packet messaging over multiple paths, combined with error-correction and message receipt verification features)—to be essentially immune to disruptions in its communications even for the situation of multiple EMPs as might result from worldwide nuclear war.
IMHO, as long as users have stable electrical power they’ll be OK.
I did not say disruptions.
There will be brief, random connectivity interruptions.
These generally are annoying but short lived.
That said, the protocols do not protect the servers.
And EMP caused power surge can fry computers.
I cannot say any more. I am not allowed to talk about this.
Excellent!
In other words, my obligations to the United States forbids me from correcting your errors.
Again, excellent!
So you prefer to continue in ignorance.
Sad.
You left out Envy.
Envy, while real, is not directly impactful and generally falls under greed.
You missed the greatest of all threats facing mankind: its own collective STUPIDITY.
Collective stupidity ranks, but not in the top 3.
Consider the possibility that collective stupidity is the result of Greed (elites) and Politics as bedfellows.
I have noted multiple spurious short interruptions and one loss of service since I posted this on the 4th.
The spurious short interruptions manifest as extended latencies, which tracks with the known phenomena.
What does it take to get a Carrington Event?
Just asking for a friend.
Instead of women wearing “daring” and/or revealing outfits at awards ceremonies, they start to wear cardigan sweaters?
I think they should forego clothing altogether and donate the savings to charity.
In addition to the disruptions in communications and such, I have to wonder what cumulative effect these X-flares will have on cloud cover around the earth.
If the theory is even remotely correct, the solar flares will inflate the heliosphere in earth’s region and possibly reduce the intensity and/or volume of the cosmic rays hitting the atmosphere, thus reducing cloud cover in those regions.
The flares can disrupt the magnetic field allowing more cosmic ray entry.
The flares can also push the cosmic rays away from the planet.
There are other possibilities and likely a bit of each could come into play.
I tried to get this inserted in the comment but I wasn’t able to do it quick enough but I was referring to a Forbush decrease… from Wiki.
Svensmark has proposed/shown/theorized, you pick your term, that… with the earth being a giant cloud chamber… when cosmic ray intensity goes down, and does it quickly, that cloud formation also goes down and can be observed to do so as the cosmic ray intensity, first fades and is slowly restored to its present intensity as the CME ejection fades.
Thank you for the confirmation.