Finding the 1859 Carrington Event in Tree Rings

A research group coordinated by the University of Helsinki was able to measure a spike in radiocarbon concentration of trees in Lapland that occurred after the Carrington flare. This discovery helps to prepare for dangerous solar storms.

The Carrington Event of 1859 is one of the largest recorded solar storms in the last two centuries. It was seen as white light flares on a giant sunspot group, fires at telegraph stations and disturbances in geomagnetic measurements, as well as aurorae even in tropical regions. 

In a joint study carried out by the University of Helsinki, Natural Resources Institute Finland and the University of Oulu, a sign of an increase in radiocarbon concentrations following the Carrington storm was detected for the first time in tree rings. Previously, radiocarbon traces have only been detected from far more intense solar storms.

Discovery through a cosmic marker

Encounters between strong magnetised clouds of charged particles released from the Sun, known as solar plasma flows, and Earth’s geomagnetic field result in geomagnetic storms. The geomagnetic field directs the solar storm particles into the atmosphere primarily through the Polar regions. The most visible consequence of the phenomenon are aurorae. 

In the upper atmosphere, sufficiently high-energy particles can, through nuclear reactions, also produce radiocarbon (14C), a radioactive isotope of carbon. Over the course of months and years, radiocarbon ends up in the lower atmosphere as part of atmospheric carbon dioxide, and eventually in plants through photosynthesis. The process of photosynthesis preserves the information contained in carbon dioxide in the annual rings of trees.

To obtain the information held by radiocarbon, samples are extracted by carving from the wood material grown over individual years. The samples are processed to cellulose and the cellulose into pure carbon by burning and chemical reduction. The fraction of radiocarbon in pure carbon is measured using a particle accelerator. 

“Radiocarbon is like a cosmic marker describing phenomena associated with Earth, the solar system and outer space,” says Markku Oinonen, Director of the University of Helsinki’s Laboratory of Chronology, who headed the study.

Mapping solar storms

A solar storms corresponding to the Carrington event in modern times would disrupt electrical and mobile networks and cause major problems for satellite and navigation systems, leading to problems in, for example, air traffic. This is why accurate knowledge of solar behaviour benefits society.

Solar storms smaller and more common than the Carrington storms can be studied with measuring devices and satellites nowadays, while larger ones can be investigated, for example, by measuring radiocarbon concentration in tree rings. 

So far, it has not been possible to study specifically medium-sized storms such as the Carrington event, which have not occurred in modern times, using conventional radiocarbon techniques. This recent study opens up a potential new way of investigating the frequency of Carrington-sized storms, which may help to better prepare for future threats.

Increasingly accurate information on the carbon cycle

The results were interpreted using a numerical model of radiocarbon production and transport developed by researchers at the University of Oulu.

“The dynamic atmospheric carbon transport model was specifically developed for describing geographical differences in the distribution of radiocarbon in the atmosphere,” says Postdoctoral Researcher Kseniia Golubenko from the University of Oulu. 

What was significant in the recently published study was how the radiocarbon content of trees in Lapland differed from that of trees at lower latitudes. The first measurements were carried out at the Accelerator Laboratory of the University of Helsinki, while repeat measurements conducted in two other laboratories significantly reduced the previous uncertainties.

The discovery can help to better understand atmospheric dynamics and the carbon cycle from the time before human-generated fossil fuel emissions, enabling the development of increasingly detailed carbon cycle models.

“It’s possible that the excess of radiocarbon caused by the solar flare was primarily transported to the lower atmosphere through northern regions, contrary to the general understanding of its movement,” muses Doctoral Researcher Joonas Uusitalo from the Laboratory of Chronology.

Other sources of radiocarbon

“It’s also possible that the cyclic change in the production of radiocarbon in the upper atmosphere caused by the variation in solar activity has resulted in the local differences on the ground level seen in our findings,” Uusitalo adds.

According to Uusitalo, the dominant fraction of radiocarbon is produced by galactic cosmic rays coming from outside the solar system, even though exceptionally strong solar storms generate individual bursts of the isotope in the atmosphere. Cosmic rays, in turn, are weakened by solar wind, a continuous flux of particles originating in the Sun that fluctuates between stronger and weaker in 11-year cycles. 

The topic requires further research. Historical records show that significant geomagnetic storms also took place in 1730 and 1770, which is why their tracking is likely to be in focus next.

The recently published study was carried out as a collaborative project of the University of Helsinki’s Laboratory of Chronology and Department of Physics, and Natural Resources Institute Finland. Researchers from the University of Oulu, Nagoya University, Yamagata University and ETH Zurich also contributed to the study. The study received funding from the Research Council of Finland, the Finnish Cultural Foundation and the Emil Aaltonen Foundation.

Original article: Joonas Uusitalo, Kseniia Golubenko, Laura Arppe, Nicolas Brehm, Thomas Hackman, Hisashi Hayakawa, Samuli Helama, Kenichiro Mizohata, Fusa Miyake, Harri Mäkinen, Pekka Nöjd, Eija Tanskanen, Fuyuki Tokanai, Eugene Rozanov, Lukas Wacker, Ilya Usoskin, Markku Oinonen. Transient Offset in 14C After the Carrington Event Recorded by Polar Tree Rings. AGU, 2024. DOI: 10.1029/2023GL106632

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Neil Pryke
January 3, 2026 10:14 pm

Humanity is very puny…

altipueri
January 4, 2026 12:56 am

Another 25 years or so of increasing dependence on the internet for everything followed by a Carrington Event will be interesting.
That is interesting in the sense of the Chinese curse: “May you live in interesting times.”

Reply to  altipueri
January 4, 2026 1:38 am

I always understood it was a wish, not a curse. Who wants to live in boring times?

Reply to  Oldseadog
January 4, 2026 6:05 am

I do. In boring times, there are no wars, few hurricanes, typhons and cyclones, no protests and riots, no heat waves or cold snaps, etc.

Reply to  Harold Pierce
January 4, 2026 7:01 am

The older I get, the more boring I want everything to be.

Reply to  Harold Pierce
January 4, 2026 8:20 am

No new good writings, no exiting new music, no interesting new science, no new good family news, etc.?

Reply to  Oldseadog
January 4, 2026 12:33 pm

No joining the throng of refugees.

Reply to  Oldseadog
January 4, 2026 9:01 am

“interesting times” – war, revolution, political upheaval, natural disasters. I’ll take boring TIMES with an interesting life. At least I have control over the latter.

Reply to  Oldseadog
January 4, 2026 12:32 pm

When you join the masses scurrying out of town with all your belonging in a pillow case, you’ll long for stability.

Bruce Cobb
January 4, 2026 3:14 am

But, accurate knowledge of solar behavior could threaten Climate Ideology, and we can’t have that now, can we?

Reply to  Bruce Cobb
January 4, 2026 1:07 pm

Try displaying a graph coordinating El Nino Southern Oscillations with solar cycles will get one cancelled in many locations.

January 4, 2026 5:32 am

‘Previously, radiocarbon traces have only been detected from far more intense solar storms.’

Does anyone know offhand when these far more intense solar storms occurred?

Tom Johnson
Reply to  Frank from NoVA
January 4, 2026 6:07 am

I had the same question. I assumed the Carrington Event was quite high intensity, which happens only once a century, or so. It’s not obvious to me what would be “far more intense”, how frequent that might be, and how we might know about it in the long ago past.

GeorgeInSanDiego
Reply to  Frank from NoVA
January 4, 2026 7:30 am

The 774-775 event was about 15 times as powerful as the Carrington Event.
The 993-994 event was about 7 times as powerful as the Carrington Event.
Because humanity have allowed ourselves to become so dependent on electronics; another such occurrence would almost certainly result in a shocking loss of life, and in economic disruption that would last for years.

Reply to  GeorgeInSanDiego
January 4, 2026 9:04 am

The 774-775 event was about 15 times as powerful

I’m curious how we know that?

GeorgeInSanDiego
Reply to  Tony_G
January 4, 2026 10:53 am

Carbon-14 in tree rings; Beryllium-10 and Chlorine-36 in ice cores.

Reply to  GeorgeInSanDiego
January 4, 2026 1:08 pm

George, thanks for the explanation. John, thanks for the link.

John Hultquist
Reply to  Frank from NoVA
January 4, 2026 12:02 pm
Len Werner
January 4, 2026 7:04 am

To be picky–percentage of C14 is measured with a mass spectrometer, not a particle accelerator. (although a mass spec does accelerate particles, technically). I suspect that was a translation error.

January 4, 2026 1:11 pm

Solar storms (or the sun in general) is a major source of Carbon in atmospheric CO2?

Curious George
Reply to  Lil-Mike
January 4, 2026 3:27 pm

Of radioactive C14. Half life 5,730 years.

January 4, 2026 1:31 pm

A Layman’s question.
How do all these events affect the results of carbon-14 dating?
It would seem to call into question some of the past estimated ages, especially the ages before we had a good guess about when such events occurred, wouldn’t it?
Other dating methods depending on isotopes would have also been affected, wouldn’t they?

GeorgeInSanDiego
Reply to  Gunga Din
January 4, 2026 2:21 pm

If such an event coincided with the death of the organism being dated it could skew the number some. Most radiometric dating requires a certain amount of educated guesswork.

January 4, 2026 4:34 pm

I have serious doubts about the effect of another Carrington being as bad as everyone seems to think. Every piece of electrical and electronic equipment has been designed and constructed with the effects of the1859 Carrington event in mind. Steps have been taken to harden electrical devices and circuitry. It would go hand in hand with protection from an EM pulse. Which we know the military has put a big effort into.

Fishlaw
January 4, 2026 5:22 pm

How do they chronologically relate an event to tree rings? Do they separate the rings of the tree into individual years? Seems iffy to me.