IPCC’s Diversion Tactics Criticised
The Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) is criticising the IPCC for its deliberate attempt to obscure the reality of an ongoing temperature standstill and its failure to come clean about the failure of its models.
The IPCC has decided to discount the global warming standstill since 1997 as irrelevant and has deleted from its final document its original acknowledgement (in its 7 June draft) that climate models have failed to ’reproduce the observed reduction in surface warming trend over the last 10-15 years.’
Not only has the IPCC failed to predict the ongoing temperature standstill, its climate models actually predicted accelerated warming due to the increase of CO2 emissions.
Instead of acknowledging empirical facts and growing uncertainties, the IPCC is trying to divert attention from these key issues by claiming increased certainty about the reliability of climate models and their outputs.
“Today the IPCC has taken a huge gamble that will soon determine whether it is still fit for purpose. Unless global temperature will begin to rise again in the next few years, the IPCC is very likely going to suffer an existential blow to its credibility,” said Dr Benny Peiser, director of the Global Warming Policy Foundation.
Another big contradiction is this: they limit both natural “forcing” and “variation” to 0.1 degree in half a century – astonishing hubris for them to go on record with this derisory figure. But at the same time they invoke decadal variations to account for the current “Mannopause” of static temperatures.
From this figure:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/bild-923937-548145.html
the divergence between current temperature and the 2007 IPCC projection is already 0.3 degrees!
[Please do not label skeptics as “climate deniers”. It violates written site Policy. Thank you. — mod.]
JustAnotherPoster says:
September 27, 2013 at 10:01 am
Ain’t it the truth. Pride goeth before a fall, and the massive hubris of the climate alarmists is going to impact with an Earth shattering Ka-Boom!
Kev-in-Uk says:
September 27, 2013 at 10:10 am
“The skeptics cannot claim there is enough evidence to completely dismiss AGW…”
Sure we can. I claim it. The problem is in getting the claim accepted. For that, we are almost surely going to need Providence to kick in and give us some substantial cooling in direct and undeniable contradiction to the AGW advocates’ position.
cynical_scientist says:
September 27, 2013 at 3:04 pm
“You seem to think that radiation somehow “knows” the temperature of the object it came from and bounces off all objects that are hotter.”
While not necessarily or fully agreeing with Richard111’s position, I must point out that if the relevant energy states are already occupied, that is precisely what will happen.
@Kev-in-UK
I would respectfully disagree that we can’t prove AGW is false. There are 4,500 years of historical records documenting changes in the climate that are absolutely uncorrelated to CO2, starting with ancient Egypt, continuing with the Hittite-Minoan-Mycenean warm period, the Roman Climate Optimum, the Medieval Warm Period, and the modern period from 1850, which is now ending with the resumption of cooling and which never reached the maxima of prior warming periods. There is also ample evidence of periods in the past when ice ages occurred during period of high CO2 content in the atmosphere.
As for the recent warm period, it peaked in the 1930s and despite minor ups and downs since, even the temps of the 1990s did not match those of the 1930s, and now temps are much lower than in the 1930s. That’s 80 years of a net decline in temps despite a 40 percent increase in CO2.
It can be proven that any effect of CO2 or human activity on climate is statistically equivalent to zero, therefore, in a practical sense, there is no effect. Q.E.D.
I have been doing some paleo research. I own some land in a karst area in Ky. I am digging a sinkhole with uninterupted sediments starting with the Holocene I am down past the terminal pleistocene. Looking at the sedimentology you can see seasons and individual weather events. You can see the results of events such as the hipsothermal climatic starting at about 8 KY it lasted approx 4000. Years it was more extreme than all the global warming predictions. Also the sangamonium interglacial prior to the last glacial maximum was so warm the arctic was ice free in the summer ant the tree line extended all the way to the Arctic Ocean and tropical species lived north of StLouis Mo. Alligators and parrots. Ok global warming alarmist wats up with that.