Guest post by Robert Phelan
One of our commenters last week was going on about how the Northwest Passage was opening up and ships were making the passage… there is a website which tracks world wide shipping…. So my question was, “gee, how many ships are using this nifty new passage?”
http://www.sailwx.info/shiptrack/shiplocations.phtml
West of Greenland, there appear to be only three manned vessels, the Russian tanker Volgoneft-131, which has been making it’s way south at about three or four miles per day for the last week ( http://www.sailwx.info/shiptrack/shipposition.phtml?call=UFTA ), the French yacht Vagabond (call sign FLAO http://www.damocles-eu.org/press/Images_from_the_polar_yacht_Vagabond_85.shtml ) which has been anchored in Jones Sound off Ellesmere Island for the last week, and the Royal Arctic Line container ship Irena Artica ( http://www.ral.gl/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=215&Itemid=192&lang=en ) crawling up the west coast of Greenland in Baffin Bay.
The answer seems to be “none”. Only those three north of 70N. WUWT?
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Cosmology has “dark matter” and “dark energy”. Climate scientology has Trenberth’s “dark heat”, also known as “in the pipeline”. No doubt the abundant but undetectable vessels taking the northwest passage will be classified as “dark shipping”. 🙂
Yet watch this get reported as “fact,” then re-reported and spread. Another card in the AGW house.
Does the truth really matter to these morons? A young TV news announcer at my local station introduced a comment about the weather this morning with, “Since it it heating up everywhere in the world,….”
I don’t remember the rest of her statement. It’s discouraging; I don’t see how anyone can fight such stupidity.
Maybe in August or September the vast armada will appear to cruise the balmy NW Passage in stately splendor.
I think those “dark ships” are sometimes referred to as “nuclear submarines.”
Mark
Maybe the dark ships’ cargo is the missing heat? That’s why no one can find the heat. They can’t find the ships!
jbird says:
July 11, 2012 at 6:43 pm
You can fight such stupidity, but don’t expect to win.
The other day a good-looking but otherwise lacking commentator on the Global TV news hour opined on the rolling power blackouts we experienced in Alberta on Monday, caused by the highly improbable coincidence of six major power generating stations (four were coal-fired and two were natural-gas-fired) having to be shut down for various reasons. She observed that the problems had been compounded by, and I kid you not, “windy turbines” (because it so happened that along with the hot weather there was an absence of wind and therefore no wind-power generation, but she did not mention that, even though the lack of wind-power generation accounted only for an infinitesimally small fraction of the total power shortfall).
What is the use of fighting? Stupidity is a gift by the gods and should not be punished.
Wasn’t able to connect to sailwx.info, but did get into http://www.marinetraffic.com/ais/ Zooming into the Bearing Sea is a China cargo carrier “XUE LONG” heading up and around to Iceland. Pull the map around and you will see the potential paths available.
Lol, Robert, I hope you gave them a heads up! Last year, I did a post using the ship tracker, and it was down for days. ……. oops.
Not used the site you mention but I believe that AIS positions available on the internet are dependant on land based receivers which are located only in major ports or population centres. The site I normally use is marinetraffic.com. When tracking a certain vessel it will generally dissapear for long periods when away from populated areas.
I can’t resist throwing this little tidbit into the discussion. Apparently the huge ice melt isn’t cooperating according to Shell Oil. See the link here. http://www.worldoil.com/Ice_delays_Shell_Alaska_drilling.html Story was from July 9th. See bottom for date line.
PhilMB says: July 11, 2012 at 7:47 pm
James Sexton says: July 11, 2012 at 7:58 pm
Grumble, Grumble. The sailwx.info map is loading a lot slower than it was this afternoon. If their server crashes and they come looking for someone to blame, I’ll tell them it was that Phelan guy at Trinity wot done it. Cryosphere Today seems to be showing 60% concentration through most of the Canadian Archipelago and that poor tanker seems to be slogging its way south through 80%. Xue Long is still down near the Aleutians. Clear sailing there.
jbird said:
July 11, 2012 at 6:43 pm
Does the truth really matter to these morons? A young TV news announcer at my local station introduced a comment about the weather this morning with, “Since it it heating up everywhere in the world,….”
I don’t remember the rest of her statement. It’s discouraging; I don’t see how anyone can fight such stupidity.
———————-
Against stupidity, even the gods contend in vain.
-Friedrich Schiller
@ur momisugly Walter H. Schneider :
July 11, 2012 at 7:35 pm
I’m quite sure that the news report that I read about the Alberta power problems ended with the note that wind power had made up part of the “missing” power. I’ll check in the mornng. Now is bedtime
IanM
Mark and two Cats says:
” Against stupidity, even the gods contend in vain.
-Friedrich Schiller”
Stupid is as stupid does.
-Forrest Gump
You can cure ignorance, you can’t cure stupid.
-Some smart guy.
Taphonomic says:
July 11, 2012 at 9:28 pm
From Ron White: “You can’t fix stupid”
“Ignorance is curable, stupid is forever.” –Robert A. Heinlein
@ur momisugly PhilMB
Nice link, thank you. Map doesn’t seem to show where the ice is.
But sure are lots of potential paths. 🙂
“You can lead a person to knowledge…. but you can’t make them think.”
MtK
One of our commenters last week was going on about how the Northwest Passage was opening up and ships were making the passage…
Link? Perhaps he was referring to the Northern Sea Route? Shipping might well again double there this year.
It is a modern day Marie Celeste – not only are all the passengers missing but ships are missing as well!
(It is worse than we thought!!)
Günther says: July 11, 2012 at 10:22 pm
Günther: If I’d known Anthony was going to turn my e-mail into a post I would have taken a bit more time and care. The commenter was Jesse Fell in a number of comments in the thread about The Folly of Blaming the Eastern U.S. Heat Wave on Global Warming. Jesse seemed unaware of a number of things about the Northwest Passage, including that it was navigated by a wooden-hulled RCMP schooner, the St. Roch, in 1942. And here we are, half-way through the melt season, and the traffic is sparse.
This nonsense about the Northwest Passage is just that – nonsense. Even if the Northwest Passage were completely free of ice year round it could not compete with the Northeast Passage for two important reasons – one, the distance to the Far Eastern markets from Europe through the NE Passage is shorter: two, the NW passage is uncharted – that is, the risk of running aground is greater. The NE passage has been regularly traversed since the 1920’s with the aid of Soviet (and later Russian) icebreakers and is extensively charted. The NW passage has had no commercial traffic pass through it on a regular basis and has several incidents of vessels grounding because of the poor charts.
Encyclopedia Britannica
“In the 1920s the newly established Soviet Union began developing the Northern Sea Route as a shipping lane, and domestic cargo ships started using portions of it during the summer months in the 1930s; the first successful one-season through-transit of the passage was by a Soviet icebreaker in 1934. Portions of the route were used between 1942 and 1945 during World War II by ships carrying Allied supplies from cities on the U.S. West Coast to ports in northern Siberia, notably Tiksi at the eastern edge of the Lena River delta. Domestic regional shipping grew after the war, made easier by improved navigational aids, a growing fleet of icebreakers to allow passage through the sea ice, and a lengthening shipping season—the latter having become year-round in the western section by 1980.
In the late 1960s the Soviet Union made some overtures toward allowing foreign ships to use the Northern Sea Route, but they did not officially open it to foreign shipping until 1991. However, with the dissolution of the Soviet Union late that year, Russia subsequently experienced years of economic slowdowns and political instability, which negatively affected the operation of the passage. Shipping through it thus declined into the early years of the 21st century, after which domestic use of it began to increase again. Interest by foreign shippers in using the passage also grew at that time as the Russians introduced more sophisticated icebreakers and made improvements to port facilities along the route—aided also by a general trend toward longer ice-free periods each year. The first full traverse of the route by foreign merchant ships occurred in 2009. In 2010 a passenger ferry and a tanker ship (both Russian) each became the first of its kind to successfully navigate the passage’s entire length.”
Interestingly, from a historical perspective, the German Commerce Raider ‘Komet’ sailed through the NE Passage into the Pacific with the aid of Soviet icebreakers in 1940 and Soviet warships frequently used this passage to travel from Murmansk to Vladivostok. Domestic Russian commercial traffic is quite extensive and international traffic is modest but growing.
It’s very interesting how the east coast of Africa is barren of shipping. What ever could be causing that? Pirates? (use Church Lady voice)
LOL. Everyone who does not have to transit the NW passage seems to know an awful lot about it.