New book on the IPCC coming:
A new book about the IPCC will be revealed soon by Donna Laframboise, the title is inspired by this statement from Dr. Judith Curry:
Does the problems with the IPCC mean that WG1 science is incorrect? Not necessarily, but I agree that a “new trial” is needed. WG2 and WG3 reports pretty much belong in the dustbin, as far as I can tell.”
More on the book later. In related news, a new paper in Nature Climate Change says IPCC uses statistical techniques ‘out of date by well over a decade’ http://bit.ly/1ab7iVZ
Antarctic continues to set sea ice records:
September 4th (Day 247) saw the 39th Daily Record of the Year for Antarctic Sea Ice Extent.
Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is 19.16 million sq km.
If you add up the number of daily records, 2013 is a distant 3rd behind 2008 and 2010. However, if you also add in 2nd place finishes, 2013 slightly edges out 2010. And 118 days remain in the year.
The warming, it’s all in the adjustments:
Well worth a read:
Chris de Freitas responds to comments on his “ENSO drives the pause” paper with an addendum: http://wp.me/p7y4l-obN
Satellite Data Shows a Very Active Tropical Atlantic, Gabrielle Weakens
Tropical Storm Gabrielle has weakened to a depression by 11 a.m. EDT on Sept. 5, while three other low pressure areas struggle to develop in the Northern Atlantic Ocean. NOAA’s GOES-East satellite captured a panoramic view of all four systems while NASA’s Aqua satellite captured infrared data on Gabrielle and an adjacent low.
NOAA’s GOES-East satellite captured a view of Gabrielle, an unnamed system east of it, and Systems 99L and 98L on Sept. 5 at 10:45 a.m. EDT. NOAA’s GOES-East satellite captured all four systems in a view across the entire Atlantic Ocean. The image was created by NASA’s GOES Project at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. More: http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2013-09/su-gwh090413.php
Actual man (or animal) made climate change?
Overgrazing turning parts of Mongolian Steppe into desert
Overgrazing by millions of sheep and goats is the primary cause of degraded land in the Mongolian Steppe, one of the largest remaining grassland ecosystems in the world, researchers say in a new report. The degraded land holds implications both for local food production and global climate.
Let’s hope it doesn’t involve a realtor and federal home loan programs:
Scientists at the Zoological Society of London have devised a novel method to identify suitable new homes for animals under threat from climate change.
But they are totally convinced AGW is in there somewhere:
‘We don’t have evidence that we are seeing things that could not have happened without natural weather variability doing its stuff,’ said Peter Stott of the UK Met Office, one of the report’s editors. “But potentially climate change can in some cases add something on top.”
Throwing out the Krudd with the dirty bathwater:
Fifteen million registered voters in Australia will go to the polls and render their judgment on September 7. It is a vote that should be reported upon in the United States, but it more likely to be ignored or buried.
What’s 100% among friends?
A paper published today in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics demonstrates the huge uncertainties of computer modeling of aerosol–cloud interaction effects, which are one of the “major sources of uncertainty in climate models.” According to the authors, the standard deviation around the mean cloud condensation nuclei varies globally between a minimum of about ± 30% over some marine regions to ± 40–100% over most land areas and high latitudes. This is only one of the factors affecting clouds in climate models, and clouds are but one of the many major uncertainties in climate models.