Newsbytes: Consensus And Controversy

 New Report On The Global Warming “Battlefield”

This report positively concludes that an alleged near unanimous scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW), that “the science is settled”, is overstated. The report finds a robust, critical scientific discourse in climate related research, yet it highlights that a “consensus-building” approach to science might represent a politicised and unscientific belief in science – a belief in tension with the ethos of “normal science”. The report calls for a continuing questioning, critical, and undogmatic public debate over man-made global warming, and a clearer separation between science and policy. –Consensus and Controversy, SINTEF April 2013

By insisting on scientific consensus and the “elimination of doubt”, seeking to declare the science of AGW settled once and for all, and imbuing this putative settlement with highly normative and pejorative allegations (to question is “irresponsible, reckless and immoral”), the consensus approach clings to being (solely) “science-based”, but its position is at the same time implicitly in direct opposition to the ethos of “normal science”. It is not supported, justified or endorsed by science in its canonical expression, where science, based on thinkers such as Kant,  Popper, Merton and Polanyi is seen to be constituted on continued discussion, open criticism, antidogmatism, (self)critical mindset, methodological doubt, and the organization of scepticism. –Consensus and Controversy, SINTEF April 2013

The authors of this paper recently presented their views on climate science at the Royal Academy of Belgium. No French or Belgian newspaper was willing to publish their assessment. Questioning the impact of mankind on climate change is evidently still a taboo in the French-speaking world. –István E. Markó, Alain Préat, Henri Masson and Samuel Furfari, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 14 April 2013

Since 1997, global temperatures have failed to rise. As a result, climate predictions and climate science are facing a crisis of credibility. We don’t know whether or not global warming will become a global problem this century. It is certain, however, that Britain’s unilateral climate policy is undermining the UK’s economy and is threatening its competitiveness. Benny Peiser, Cambridge Enterprise & Technology Club, 25 April 2013

Many blame the public’s confusion over global warming on a widespread ignorance of science. A scientific grounding wouldn’t hurt but it also wouldn’t help much — few laymen, no matter how well informed, could be expected to follow the arcane climate change calculations that specialized scientists wield. The much better explanation for the public’s confusion lies in a widespread ignorance of history, not least by scientists.  We learn that history trumps science when the science is speculative, politicized, and at odds with reality. — Lawrence Solomon, National Post, 19 April 2013

There is compelling evidence that, across the disciplines, peer review often fails to root out science fraud. Yet even basic errors in the literature can now be extremely difficult to correct on any reasonable timescale. –Philip Moriarty, Times Higher Education, 18 April 2013

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Austin
April 23, 2013 9:44 am

Record lows will be shattered tonight and tomorrow across the high plains. Amarillo’s low is 30 degrees for this date and the forecast low is 23 degrees. Similar setup for much of New Mexico, CO, UT, KS and NE. This hard freezing record cold will move East tomorrow and Thursday. Much of Canada and Alaska has been running 30 degrees below normal for the last month.

April 23, 2013 9:58 am

No matter how cold it gets, global warming is modeled to be ongoing.
How can the “consensus” survive?
Answer: Because it is not science, but politics at its worst.
See Lawrence Solomon: History trumps climate scientists (Financial Post, 13/04/23),
at http://opinion.financialpost.com/2013/04/18/lawrence-solomon/

April 23, 2013 10:03 am

Good stuff. I just wish this stuff got more play…

April 23, 2013 10:11 am

When you have political, economic, and social transformation premised on systems thinking, you also need a widespread belief of a crucial system in crisis. That merits action. That gets the Transformation ball going as Necessary.
Facts inconsistent with the narrative will simply go unreported. And absolutely will not be in the models or videogaming MUVEs our K-12 students are to be so engaged in.

Bob
April 23, 2013 10:12 am

@Austin: That’s weather. If you had high winds and blizzards it would be climate change caused by global warming.

Richard111
April 23, 2013 10:13 am

“few laymen, no matter how well informed, could be expected to follow the arcane climate change calculations that specialized scientists wield.”
They use ‘MODELS’, not arcane climate change calculations. If these were made public there would be much hilarity at how radiation from a cool source warms an already hot object.

Laws of Nature
April 23, 2013 10:17 am

Josh, l love your comics!!!

April 23, 2013 10:20 am

Its just weather.
Just weather.
Given Time.
Ice.
http://www.arapahoebasin.com/ABasin/snow-conditions/web-cams.aspx
Some chance Al Gore and buddies are spending some of his money near this ski area now.
Just snow.

April 23, 2013 10:23 am

One of these days, the main stream media will decide to allow this topic into the debate that they control. To allow public policy to be driven by a “not-so-settled” science is in and of itself a criminal perpetration of fraud upon society. When people realize that ther gasoline and utility bills, and for that matter, the cost of every single product that is produced under the ridiculous policies of the EPA, are all driven by political science with no true science allowed into the debate. “Settled science”, is not science at all, and the only desire of the skeptical side of the debate is to actually utilize science to create policies based upon actual observations. Climate change is and always has been “real”. To what extent man has or ever can truly control or affect climate is still highly speculative. None of the climate models have proven to be accurate, and observations provide the evidence that the models and their basic premise is flawed. Maybe this new paper will at least open the door to a true debate. The skeptical community wants that debate!

Aldous
April 23, 2013 10:24 am

Best Josh cartoon of all time

Kev-in-Uk
April 23, 2013 10:36 am

great cartoon – although I personally would consider homeopathy reasonable?

Doug UK
April 23, 2013 10:42 am

Josh – how do you do it so well and so quickly?
Superb – on a par with Giles i would suggest – and I mean that as a very high compliment indeed.
What about a Christmas compilation book?

Anymoose
April 23, 2013 10:42 am

In real science, all theories, anthropogenic global warming included, are just crackpot ideas until they are proven. See Galileo, Newton, Boyle, Charles, et al as examples.

Dagfinn
April 23, 2013 10:47 am

If anyone is interested, here is a Google translation of the what the SINTEF researchers wrote in the Norwegian newspaper Aftenposten. http://translate.google.com/translate?sl=no&tl=en&js=n&prev=_t&hl=no&ie=UTF-8&eotf=1&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.aftenposten.no%2Fmeninger%2Fkronikker%2FDen-tvilsomme-utvilsomheten-7172257.html%23.UXbIc4I73rM

jc
April 23, 2013 10:52 am

A definitive cultural statement on what was Civilization, showing the true standard of what is now the life of the mindless that has usurped the Mind. Should be obligatory in schools.

April 23, 2013 10:57 am

That cartoon is absolutely hilarious. Congrats to Josh.

April 23, 2013 11:07 am

All have good intentions, Homeopathy, Reflexology, Astrology and Climatology all seem to be the beginning of understanding a scientific issue, infantile science, valuable in itself. But, as all educated people can discuss all issues of a scientific nature, they will tell you, they have observed the hijacking of science for an alliterative subjective motivation.

Box of Rocks
April 23, 2013 11:08 am

Anymoose says:
April 23, 2013 at 10:42 am
In real science, all theories, anthropogenic global warming included, are just crackpot ideas until they are proven. See Galileo, Newton, Boyle, Charles, et al as examples.
Box of Rocks replies…
Me knows you are wrong.
Galileo was actually trying to solve a problem for the catholic church. The data from that problem solving just happened to turn that periods thinking on it’s head.
You see the question back then had to do with setting the dates of the major feast days within the church. And for all the bashing the catholic church has received at the hands of the liberals, it chose the problem the best way possible – using science.

April 23, 2013 11:16 am

The only problem with Josh’s comics this time is how to explain the placebo effect(homeopathy)…..
Its a real effect. I would not lump MMann in with anything that might have some tenuous science behind it… It would be an insult to unexplored science…..
Other than that, very funny…..

the1pag
April 23, 2013 11:27 am

Here’s a link to another very interesting debunker from “The Weekly Standard” magazine:
http://www.weeklystandard.com/print/articles/climate-circus-leaves-town_718070.html

April 23, 2013 11:48 am

I am a little surprised no one has made the anology between the wall of denial erected by the warmists and the Berlin Wall. Just as the Berlin Wall crashed overnight I deeply hope the climate wall falls as quickly. This article is another crack in the base of the denial wall.

April 23, 2013 12:08 pm

Box of Rocks said:
April 23, 2013 at 11:08 am
“…the catholic church … chose [to solve] the problem the best way possible – using science.
————————————-
The church rejected science when its findings didn’t coincide with their model of reality.
Hmmm – sounds familiar.
Good thing we have Anthony “Martin Luther” Watts to hammer skepticism onto the creaky doors of religified climate science.

April 23, 2013 12:13 pm

paper is garbage. 82 pages of fluff. yes I read the whole thing.

Doug Huffman
April 23, 2013 12:19 pm

If I recall correctly, Karl Popper directly addressed homeopathy and astrology in his Logic of Scientific Discovery and discussion of the problem of demarcation of science from non-science. His razor is falsifiability.

M. Nichopolis
April 23, 2013 12:30 pm

It hit 27 degrees F over here in Massachusetts last night (lower in some parts), and our reluctantly budding trees aren’t too happy about it either.
Punxatawney Phil should be shot (and then roasted with gravy of course).

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