“Unfortunately, oil production will likely peak by 2020 and start declining. Without a change, developing countries will ultimately be left in the dark, and developed countries will struggle to keep the lights on. Conflict is inevitable. My guess is that this won’t become a big issue unless there is a thalidomide event. We will have to see in the rear-view mirror that we are past the peak in worldwide oil production.”
Outcome:
World Oil production did not peak in by the year 2020 although it has leveled off amidst economic slowdown and anti-fossil fuel policies enacted in Western nations.

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