People send me stuff. This one had an IP address originating in Durban today, but it lists as a proxy server, so the person may/may not be there. From WUWT Tips and Notes:
I am writing from the COP17 negotiations in Durban, anonymously because I can’t be identified due to working for a government here. Your readers might like to know that Oxfam is writing the negotiating strategy for Bolivia on financing. They are proposing a massive tax on shipping (bizarre for a land-locked country!). Oxfam have even got their consultant actually speaking on behalf of Bolivia in the negotiating sessions.
His name is Antonio Hill and he is listed under the Bolivian delegation in the official list of participants. Their proposal could have a bad impact on the shipping industry and global trade, ironically hitting shipments to least developed countries the most – try and expose this!!
There seems to be support for this elsewhere, though the Boliva issue may be rumors, from Green Times – COP17: Financing Climate Justice:
Oxfam, WWF and the International Chamber of Shipping, on the other hand, have proposed a global shipping tax in order to ensure that there isn’t “carbon leakages” from sectors not regulated under a less than global taxation mechanism. The Climate Action Network consisting of over 700 NGOs is demanding that the GCF is funded by such public sources of finances, as well as other possible sources of funding, such as special drawing rights, but, discussions on sources may be shot down before they get out of the blocks.
…
However, with discussion on the Green Climate Fund and long-term financing set to reopen today, that disagreement may come back to haunt the global community. If Saudi Arabia and America decide to reopen discussion on the report, this might stall decisions on climate finance for quite some time to come, and delay meaningful action on it. Furthermore, with rumors circulating that the Bolivian Alliance for the America’s and a few other countries might want to reopen the document as well, the threat of a can of worms opening up that will take forever to close, is quite real.
Here’s Antonio Hill from COP16:
Here’s how the tax would work, it would raise bunker fuel prices by 10% – follow the money, it looks like a seafaring gravy train:
Here’s the briefing prepared by Oxfam in PDF form: WWFBinaryitem24585
Tim Gore and Mark Lutes are listed in the properties of the document as the authors.
Tim Gore is from Oxfam Great Britain and Mark Lutes is from WWF. Here’s video of Tim Gore from COP16:
And here’s Lutes saying “A deal on greenhouse gas emissions from the shipping and aviation sectors could form the basis of a deal at Durban, says Mark Lutes of WWF”, which is unfortunately behind a paywall.
I find it very very troubling that NGO’s get to write tax laws to foist on private enterprise. Nobody elected the WWF nor Oxfam. Theses NGO’s are circumventing the democratic process.
These people have no business writing tax law proposals, especially when it appears part of the larder goes back to them. This is so wrong on so many levels.


Congress must grapple with conflict of interest.
Congress Hears Testimony On Conflict of Interest Issues Raised In The Inspector General’s Recent Report
Why not the IPCC/UN?
Canada Revenue Agency 1999… Greenpeace…”no public benefit”.
http://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&q=cache:qZZPd-1Ijv4J:www.ipa.org.au/library/review51-4%2520Its%2520Official%2520Greenpeace%2520serves.pdf+canada+revenue+agency+greanpeace+serves+no+public+benefit&hl=en&gl=ca&pid=bl&srcid=ADGEESiMn3kIOi3DzDPy7htbUe7SQs4LIbM1HSXBPjbBerkeL8ivIwRiVjDebt0Jl_Ir0G18TfvgybVZDbpRO4FKf267uSQjtxOIx43N6XhqkriiQBKds28Z4ewkt5p7wDmIvRPQEVVG&sig=AHIEtbRS0ufY8HGTBpdNnHbI25hO8SiygQ
http://www.google.ca/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=canada+revenue+agency+greenpeace+serves+no+public+benefit&source=web&cd=3&ved=0CCsQFjAC&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ipa.org.au%2Flibrary%2Freview51-4%2520Its%2520Official%2520Greenpeace%2520serves.pdf&ei=ivPfTto4iuvSAfKWvbwH&usg=AFQjCNFlcSZuUObgMpOsMcngVbNIcJ6KFQ&sig2=64yA4IoZTwk6-Pi-DQLpvQ&cad=rja
The emissions from international trade are growing less than the growth in world trade. There are three reasons for this. First the average size is increasing of the larger vessels. Second, the most recent large vessels are designed to go at lower speed than those of just five years ago. Third, there have been great strides made in efficiency improvements.
The major incentive has been the hike in the oil price. Compared to that any 10% tax is just showmanship.
When you look at the carbon impact of food, you must look at the total impact per kg of food. In Britain it is popular to shop at Farmer’s markets. Here the biggest carbon impact per kg of food is the shopper doing a 20 to 50 mile round trip to the market, on top of their normal trip to the supermarket. Fresh Welsh lamb might be much more flavorsome than the frozen New Zealand variety, and travel only 100 miles instead of 10,000 +, but the carbon emissions to get it to my house can be much higher if I travel to a farmer’s market to obtain it.
If you want a rough comparison, a small van with one tonne of cargo will use around 250 times per tonne mile of the largest bulk cargo or container ships. This is despite the biggest of the super-efficient engines weighing 2500 tonnes, producing 100,000 bhp and consuming 15000 litres per hour.
For those who want to The largest supplier of the large ship engines is MAN Diesel and Turbo. The second largest is Wärtsilä.
http://mandieselturbo.com/0000857/Products/Marine-Engines-and-Systems/Low-Speed/Marine-Engine-Programme.html
http://www.wartsila.com/en/engines/low-speed-engines
For those wondering about the ship … Details and more details.
It’s “tiny” by today’s standards. Appears to be transporting gas from Algeria to France.
If the WWF want to stop that, then they have to come up with an affordable alternative which doesn’t deprive Algerians of income or the French of useful heat. The trans-Mediterranean pipelines don’t seem to have the necessary capacity/security.
Growing poverty is in their best interest. Stopping exports stopping jobs, raising import prices is good for them. The poor, overbeed, dark skin peasants, not so good. But the sooner these places are depopulated by these means, the sooner the places can become Parks for rich leftist.
Has anyone told Oxfam that Africa is a net food importer?
Have they thought about the implications of that?
“This paper shows that doing so is possible while ensuring developing countries face no net costs.”
Well yet another misrepresentation in a long list of misrepresentations.
Fuel is typically between 60% and 80% of operating costs. 10 years ago or thereabouts it was $120 a ton. Todays price, which includes a 460-$70 per ton low sulphur premium, is between $620 and $712 a ton for heavy fuel oils and for gas oils it is currently $920 to $1040 a ton.
The Greens have persistently categorised ships as “belching toxic fumes” and heavy fuel oil as “the bottom of the barrel”.
The fact is that despite saying that “A single ship can emit more in one year than many small island states.” or that shipping emits as much pollution as the third most polluting country, shipping is in fact one of the most efficient forms of transport. In fact the figures are somewhere in the range of 3-5% of total anthropogenic emissions. Any significant reduction will not significantly affect the overall burden but will be highly damaging.
The Greens have happily promoted a range of mutually exclusive policies, rather like backing multiple horses in a race, and some of their proposals have bordered in the idiotic.
On the one hand they want a tax on shipping or on bunker fuels but such a tax would not be universal and as has been pointed out many times the primary effect would be to divert shipping from treaty ports to non treaty ports. Calls for unilateral legislation by the USA would lead to an increase in pollution simply because ships would choose to bunker in Mexican or Canadian ports and then ship goods internally by road and rail rather than, as at present, using the great river systems.
Equally they have called for an end to using heavy fuel oils.
This would probably double costs because of the increased competition for MDO and MGO and at the same time, because of the refining costs, add between 2% and 11% to CO2 emissions.
And, for example, the claim that regulation will do no more than put 50cents on a pair of jeans is disingenuous.
Friends of the Earth claimed that switching to MGO or MDO (basically diesel, a refined product which HFO is not) would cost no more. But their comparison was with every vessel fitting exhaust gas scrubbing and assumed that all vessels would do one or the other. A false assumption because the choice is still to use HFO and exhaust gas scrubbing, at that time, was only a potentially affordable solution of r vessels conituously operating in an Emissions control area – e.g. ferries – and then only if they could offset some of the costs through emissions trading and other market based mechanisms, none of which has come to pass. Yet.
To say that shipping is unregulated is also wrong.
The IMO has been putting in place legislation for 30-40 years now and some years back MARPOL Annex VI 73/78 was finally ratified. This primarily limits sulphur emissions but also addresses NOX and COX.
In addition, the move to larger and more efficient vessels is making the industry more efficient and less polluting than otherwise together with a number of other initiatives such as the substantial advances in engine technology.
AT the moment, the claim that shipping is growing in leaps and bounds isn’t born out by the facts. At the ,moment there is excess capacity in the industry. but let’s let that one slide.
The claim that $25 a on is a minor added cost is not god enough. This is on top of all the other added costs and it assumes no change in the current fuel usage. Yet in 2012 not only does the North American ECA (Emission Control Area) come into force but they also will make a major reduction in the permitted sulphur content with no provisions as to how the demand will be met. The refiners have no intentions of introducing fuel de-sulphurisation so shipping is stuck with maximising the use of the available low sulphur fuels or switching to MGO and MDO. This switch will both increase CO2 emissions and potentially double the fuel price (at 60-80% of operating costs) for a significant number of vessels.
Fuel sulphur is a major factor with COX and NOX close behind. But fuel sulphur emission reductions benefit only those people who live all their lives in congested ports and who have the longest life expectancy ofn the planet, the best nutrition and best health care and may extend their lives by a couple of weeks. Maybe.
But what do higher fuel prices do?
Well, shipping cost is a key factor in the equation of low labour rates and low shipping costs that ensures third world countries can ship goods to the markets.
Some years back China made a fuel grab which pushed fuel prices up dramatically. Some US car manufacturers switched the supply of car seats from China to Mexico.
This is the effect of increased fuel prices. For some countries the price differential will effectively cut them off from their markets. The countries that will be the most seriously affected will be those where life expectancy is already low, where they have subsistence level living standards and poor health care.
But no one wants to measure and report on the losers. Instead they characterise shipping pollution as causing 60,000 deaths a year which is a canard. It affects life expectancy. Figure for the UK show that most particulates are consistently below the threshold level for harm and mostly only peak at rush hour – the majority of harmful particulates in the atmosphere are effective only when close to the source.
So just as warmists talk about the number of heat deaths hotter summer will cause but fail to account for the much greater number of cold weather deaths averted by warmer winters, so they don;t want to measure just how much damage changing trading patterns will cause to those people least able to withstand the changes.
So even a few dollars a ton extra on fuel prices have a major impact.
Sorrym the irony is that OXFam should be considering the nutrition and health care of the worlds poor yet here they are on the anti-shipping band-wagon sponsoring actions that will cause untold harm to the very people they should be concerned about.