Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

SEPP_Header2
The Week That Was: 2013-12-21 (December 21, 2013) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project

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Quote of the Week: • “We’re spending money that we don’t have, to solve a problem that doesn’t exist, at the behest of people we didn’t elect.” Douglas Carswell, Tory MP for Clacton, UK

Number of the Week: 80%

Please Note: There will be no TWTW on December 28. TWTW will resume on January 4, 2014

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THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, Executive Vice President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

House of Commons: In October, the Energy and Climate Change Committee of the U.K. House of Commons requested comments on the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The request included specific questions such as how robust are the conclusions, how much scope is there to questions the report’s conclusions, what areas need further effort to reduce the levels of uncertainty? This week the Committee published some of the responses.

In general, institutions such as the Royal Meteorological Society and the Royal Society supported the AR5. A number of independent groups did not. Craig Idso, Bob Carter, Fred Singer, and Willie Soon submitted comments on behalf of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC). The comments referenced the NIPCC reports and were severely critical of AR5. The criticisms include that the conclusions are not robust, a proper scientific investigation has not been conducted, the hypotheses are not falsifiable, the IPCC has not provided proof that recent global warming/climate change is beyond the range of natural variability, thus the IPCC has failed to meet the burden of proof that humans are the cause. Further, the IPCC ignores the work of many who disagree with its reports.

Independent climate researcher Nicholas Lewis uses the opportunity to extensively discuss the sensitivity of the climate to increasing carbon dioxide (CO2). Under a heading of “Poor experimental design and unsuitable data, Lewis asserts there are major problems with the estimates of the influence of aerosols (small particles or liquid droplets in the atmosphere that may be of natural or human origin) to include estimating the influence aerosols from global temperature data. [Since temperature data is used to estimate the influence of CO2, the influence of aerosols must be estimated separately.]

Richard Lindzen uses the opportunity to challenge the entire process. Given the destructive, expensive and corrupting nature of the proposed (or, alas, implemented) policies (as well as their demonstrable irrelevance to climate) leaves one with a disturbing view of the proposed agenda. It would appear that the privileged members of the global society regard as dogma that the rest of humanity is a blight on the planet, and all effort should be devoted to preventing their economic improvement and development.

Lindzen attaches a prior paper Falsification of climate models used in experimentation and scenario construction. The introduction in the paper underscores the major problems in the approach of the IPCC and those entities that are categorized as the climate establishment: The notion of ‘falsification’ plays a central role in science when applied to a theory which is a coherent chain of reasoning where each step depends on the preceding step. Theories frequently lead to models, but, unfortunately, climate models do not constitute a theory. Rather, the models at issue are attempts to solve the relevant equations for motion, energy, composition, etc. using numerical methods with inadequate resolution, where unresolved processes like boundary layer turbulence, convection, clouds, gravity waves, etc. are parameterized. The parameterizations are generally ad hoc devices designed to behave in a manner that is thought to be appropriate where ‘appropriate’ sometimes simply means that the parameterization is designed to compensate for obvious model problems. In addition, fundamental model inputs such as aerosol distributions and properties, solar forcing, and even the radiative forcing by important greenhouse gases are, at best, only approximate, and are sometimes almost completely unknown. In the latter case, they become little more than adjustable parameters. The problem, from the perspective of ‘falsification’ is that the resulting models get many things demonstrably wrong, but that does not mean that they get everything wrong. Thus, it is possible that though models may fail to predict something like global mean temperature over extended periods of time, they might still be right concerning the long term impact of greenhouse gases. Falsification, thus, does not simply mean showing that models fail for many things, but rather that specific aspects of the models are wrong. With respect to climate concerns, there are several aspects that are of central importance:

1) The sensitivity of global mean temperature anomaly to increasing greenhouse forcing.

2) The relation of global mean temperature anomaly to the various other features that are the current focus of much of our climate change concerns: extreme weather, sea level rise, etc.

It should be noted that the above concern models for which increases in greenhouse gases have been specified, and do not specifically concern the origins of these increases. There may be legitimate questions as to how much of the increase is due to emissions, but these are not addressed in the present context.

In short, climate science as proclaimed by the IPCC is a morass where what is scientific knowledge cannot be easily separated from speculation and what is wrong. The links to these responses and more are found under U.K. Parliament: Seeking a Common Ground.

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Enter the PNAS: The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) is publishing a special feature on climate impacts. The introductory piece starts with the fable of how blind men describe an elephant if each one can only touch a piece of it. Supposedly bringing these pieces together will illuminate us on the dire impacts from global warming/climate change. It states: By all accounts the impacts on our physical environment and society would be starkly different in our planet warmed by “just” 2ºC, by a “dangerous 4ºC, or by a “mind-boggling 6-8 ºC. The article announces the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-PIP).

The project includes more than 30 research teams from 12 countries systematically comparing state-of-the-art computer simulations of climate change impacts on a broad range of sectors. The effort is coordinated by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Austria and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany whose director is Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, a co-author of several of the articles, including the one quoted above.

The first article on water scarcity gives a flavor of what can be expected. “Here we use a large ensemble of global hydrological models (GHMs) forced by five global climate models and the latest greenhouse-gas concentration scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways) to synthesize the current knowledge about climate change impacts on water resources. We show that climate change is likely to exacerbate regional and global water scarcity considerably. In particular, the ensemble average projects that a global warming of 2 ºC above present (approximately 2.7 ºC above preindustrial) will confront an additional approximate 15% of the global population with a severe decrease in water resources…” [Boldface added]

In short, speculation from computer models that have not been validated is called knowledge. As John Christy emphasized last week, all groups of models overestimate the warming trends over the tropics by some 2 to 5 times. Rather than undergoing the difficult, but rewarding, task of validating a global climate model, the new effort will just add to the morass. See links under Lowering Standards – A PNAS Special Feature.

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Oscillations: German scientists H. Luedecke and C.O. Weiss had an interesting post on Watts Up With That in which they assert that 2 separate cycles can account for virtually all the global temperature change since about 1750. The cycles are the 65 year cycle called the Atlantic/Pacific oscillation (AMO/PDO) and a 200+ year cycle of solar activity. Based on their analysis the authors state the maximum warming influence of doubling of atmospheric CO2 would be 0.1° to 0.2° (C?). If correct, this renders the entire global warming/climate change apparatus obsolete. The historic part of the work was published by Climate of the Past.

Anthony Watts urges caution when considering the claim. All too often, scrupulous work turns out to be a curve fitting exercise. A tight statistical fit does not need to apply into the future.

In correspondence, Apollo scientist Harold Doiron said he found an approximately 62 year cycle in the surface temperature data published by the Hadley Centre and the Climatic Research Unit (HadCRUT4). Starting in 1850, the HadCRUT4 is a shorter data set than the central European one used by the German scientists. Doiron is focusing on an upper bound analysis on the maximum possible warming impact from a doubling of atmospheric CO2, which he estimates is about 1.5-1.6 ºC, or at the lower end of the range published by the IPCC of 1.5-4.5 ºC. Doiron is circulating his work among The Right Climate Stuff research team and hopes to publish it early next year. Would PNAS publish such an upper bound analysis after publishing statements such as: society would be starkly different in our planet warmed by “just” 2ºC, by a “dangerous 4ºC, or by a “mind-boggling 6-8 ºC?

The US Global Change Research Program has a budget in excess of $2 Billion, yet US government funded scientists have failed to perform an upper bound analysis. That retired scientists such as Doiron are doing this needed work speaks volumes on the quality of government funded climate science. TWTW will discuss Doiron’s critical work when it is finished. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy.

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How Low Can NOAA Go? This week NOAA announced that, globally, November 2013 was the hottest November in 134 years of record keeping. A quick look at the monthly atmospheric temperatures published by the University of Alabama at Huntsville shows this claim is false.

NOAA and the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) have repeatedly lowered historic US temperature records (such as the 1930s) so their pronouncements about temperature history cannot be accepted. Writing in ICECAP, following his amusing poem, Joe Bastardi of WeatherBELL Analytics states what he thinks of NOAA’s latest. See links under Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up, Measurement Issues, and Questioning the Orthodoxy

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EPA: John Beale, a senior regulator at EPA’s Office of Air and Radiation, which develops policies and regulations regarding air pollution and global warming/climate change, was sentenced to prison for theft of government property and impersonating a CIA officer. How he bilked the EPA for years, including under the current Administrator, is fascinating reading.

Beale’s dishonesty should not be ascribed to EPA employees in general. However, the agency has developed a cult-like mission of regulation, without ever questioning the scientific basis for said regulations. This started under the first Administrator, William Ruckelshaus, who banned DDT on the claim it causes cancer in humans without adequate scientific evidence. It is doubtful that Beale’s conduct will serve to improve the attitudes at the EPA. See Article # 3 and links under EPA and other Regulators on the March

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Stiff Upper Lip: Last week TWTW commented that the UK Climate Change Committee insists that the UK continue its disastrous energy policy, which is driving up costs to those who can afford it the least. Writing in the Mail, David Rose reports that four of the nine-person Climate Change Committee, official watchdog that dictates green energy policy, are, or were until recently, being paid by firms that benefit from committee decisions. It is easier to keep a stiff upper lip when being well-paid. See link under Questioning European Green.

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Science and Religion: As discussed in last week’s TWTW, it has become fashionable among some politicians and climate alarmists to question the religious attitudes of skeptics. SEPP Board Member and Ph.D. in physics from MIT, Tom Sheahen writes why he finds nothing incompatible between religion and science. See Article # 1.

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Additions and Corrections: Reader Richard Karpinski pointed out missing critical word: “In general, the models over-estimated the observed temperatures trends by 2 to 5 times.” Dennis Ambler brought up the work he did on the CFC story which was published by SPPI. It can be found at: http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/another_day_another_dollar_cfcs_and_the_un.pdf

TWTW always appreciates additions and corrections. Thank you.

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Number of the Week: 80%. In its early release summary of the Annual Energy Outlook 2014, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports that fossil fuels will continue to provide 80%, or more, of US primary energy consumption to 2040. Renewables (except biofuels) will provide an estimated 10% in 2040, up from 8% now. The wind, solar, etc. industries are not happy with the report. It is refreshing to read a report that is not overly influenced by the administration and political trends. EIA apparently realizes that unreliable, expensive electricity is abhorrent to consumers.

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ARTICLES:

For the numbered articles below please see this week’s TWTW at: http://www.sepp.org. The articles are at the end of the pdf.

1. Faith within Science

By Thomas P. Sheahen, American Thinker, Dec 16, 2013

http://www.americanthinker.com/2013/12/faith_within_science.html

2. Hunger Games and Climate Games

By Charles Battig, Virginia Free Citizen, Dec 15, 2013

http://virginiafreecitizen.com/2013/12/15/hunger-games-climate-games/

3. John Beale’s EPA

An amazing fraud by an architect of government climate policies.

Editorial, WSJ, Dec 19, 2013

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303773704579266022892025230?mod=djemEditorialPage_h

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NEWS YOU CAN USE:

Suppressing Scientific Inquiry

Redditt went and Diddit: Critics blast Reddit over climate-change skeptic ban

By Adam Shaw, ICECAP, Dec 19, 2013

http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate/redditt_went_and_diddit_critics_blast_reddit_over_climate_change_skeptic_ba/

Challenging the Orthodoxy

Claim: Solar, AMO, & PDO cycles combined reproduce the global climate of the past

By H. Luedecke and C.O.Weiss, WUWT, Dec 17, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/17/solar-amo-pdo-cycles-combined-reproduce-the-global-climate-of-the-past/

Celebrated Physicist Calls IPCC Summary ‘Deeply Unscientific’

By Donna Laframboise NFC, Dec 20, 2013

http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2013/12/20/celebrated-physicist-calls-ipcc-summary-deeply-unscientific/

Whither went the warmer weather?

17 years, 3 months with no global warming

By Christopher Monckton, WUWT, Dec 16, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/16/whither-went-the-warmer-weather/

Defending the Orthodoxy

2014 Is Key to Fighting Climate Change

By Ned Helme, Real Clear Energy, Dec 16, 2013 [H/t Timothy Wise]

http://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2013/12/16/2014_is_key_to_fighting_climate_change.html

Last-minute deals kept alive the hope that a global effort could prevent what the New York Times called “a ruinous rise in temperatures” caused by air pollution.

[SEPP Comment: Every year since 2009 has been called a key year for this declining effort.]

Decarbonizing our future

No question carbon released in the burning of fossil fuels is contributing to climate change. Sid Morrison and K.C. Golden, who disagree on energy strategy, agree on this: we must decarbonize our energy system.

By Sid Morrison and K.C. Golden, Seattle Times, Dec 15, 2013 [H/t Tom Haywood.]

http://seattletimes.com/html/opinion/2022458489_guestkcgoldensidmorrisonclimatechange16xml.html

[SEPP Comment: Claiming that increase CO2 concentration is disrupting our climate is simple physics is false on its face.]

Questioning the Orthodoxy

Unveil the Truth About Global Warming | Commentary

By H. Leighton Steward, Roll Call, Dec 19, 2013

http://www.rollcall.com/news/unveil_the_truth_about_global_warming_commentary-229764-1.html?pos=oopih

Al Gore, Soothsayer

Editorial, Washington Times, Dec 16, 2013

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/dec/16/editorial-al-gore-soothsayer/

10 Headlines Show Why Global Warming Alarm Is Bunk

Editorial, IBD, Dec 17, 2013

http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/121713-683293-kerry-obsessed-with-nonexistent-global-warming.htm?p=full

A Visit From ‘Saint Joe’

By Joe Bastardi, ICECAP, Dec 18, 2013

http://icecap.us/index.php/go/new-and-cool/a_visit_from_saint_joe1/

[SEPP Comment: A needed bit of humor.]

AGW Science’s Constant Appeals To Authority Only Confirm Its Total Fallacy

On Consensus

By Ed Caryl, No Tricks Zone, Dec 18, 2013

http://notrickszone.com/2013/12/18/climate-sciences-constant-appeals-to-authority-only-confirm-its-total-fallacy/

Climate Scientist Blasts “Ruthless”, Dangerous And “Dictatorial” German Climate Science That Bullies And Silences Dissent

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Dec 17, 2013

http://notrickszone.com/2013/12/17/climate-scientist-blasts-ruthless-dangerous-and-dictatorial-german-climate-science-bullies-and-silences-dissent/

Global Warming Gone AWOL

By Jeffrey Folks, American Thinker, Dec 20, 2013

http://www.americanthinker.com/2013/12/global_warming_gone_awol.html

IPCC Called a ‘Global Thinker of 2013′

By Donna Laframboise, NFC, Dec 14, 2013

http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2013/12/14/ipcc-called-a-global-thinker-of-2013/

Luke Warming: Pan European Networks Interview With Benny Peiser

Pan European Networks speaks to the director of the Global Warming Policy Foundation about the findings and implications of the IPCC’s 2013 Report

Transcript by Staff Writer, GWPF, Dec 15, 2013

http://www.thegwpf.org/luke-warming-pan-european-networks-interview-benny-peiser/

Lack of science literacy helps global warmists spread their gospel

By Ron Arnold, Washington Examiner, Dec 19, 2013

http://washingtonexaminer.com/lack-of-science-literacy-helps-global-warmists-spread-their-gospel/article/2541007?utm_source=Washington%20Examiner:%20Opinion%20Digest%20Reoccurring%20-%2012/20/2013&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Washington%20Examiner:%20Opinion%20Digest

Social Benefits of Carbon

Can Migrating Plants Move Fast Enough to Avoid Projected Extinctions from Global Warming?

By Staff Writers, SPPI & CO2 Science, Dec 18, 2013

http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/originals/can_migrating_plants_move_fast_enough_to_avoid_projected_extinctions_from_global_warming.html

“… if the Earth did warm by a significant amount, for whatever reason, the best thing that could possibly happen to the planet would be for the air’s CO2 concentration to rise concurrently, or shortly thereafter; because there would then be either little need for the vegetation of the planet to migrate to cooler regions, or the required rate of migration and/or distance of travel would be much reduced from what overly-simplistic coupled climate-biology models have suggested.”

Problems in the Orthodoxy

UK’s Cameron to EU: Don’t stifle fracking with new laws

By Staff Writers, Reuters, Dec 17, 2013 [H/t Carbon Brief]

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/17/britain-fracking-cameron-idUSL6N0JW2NU20131217?utm_source=Weekly+Carbon+Briefing&utm_campaign=c01680c943-Carbon_Brief_Weekly_18_7_137_18_2013&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_3ff5ea836a-c01680c943-215218249

72% of Britons say living standards more important than climate change

By Charlotte Malone, Blue and Green, Dec 18, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://blueandgreentomorrow.com/2013/12/18/72-of-britons-say-living-standards-more-important-than-climate-change/

U.K. Parliament: Seeking a Common Ground

UK Parliament: IPCC 5th Assessment Review

By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Dec 18, 2013

http://judithcurry.com/2013/12/18/uk-parliament-ipcc-5th-assessment-review/

Link to submissions: IPCC 5th Assessment Review

Commons Energy and Climate Change Committee,

http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/energy-and-climate-change-committee/inquiries/parliament-2010/the-ipcc/?type=Written#pnlPublicationFilter

Written evidence submitted by the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (IPC0042) To Committee on Energy and Climate Change

By Idso, Carter, Singer, and Soon, NIPCC, Dec 17, 2013

http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/WrittenEvidence.svc/EvidenceHtml/4288

Written evidence submitted by Professor Richard Lindzen (IPC0047) To Committee on Energy and Climate Change

By Richard Lindzen, Dec 17, 2013

http://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-committees/energy-and-climate-change/Professor-Richard-Lindzen-(IPC0047).pdf

Written evidence submitted by Nicholas Lewis (IPC0017) To Committee on Energy and Climate Change

By Nicholas Lewis, Dec 17, 2013

http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/WrittenEvidence.svc/EvidenceHtml/3989

Seeking a Common Ground

Looking back…and forward

By Martin Livermore, Scientific Alliance, Dec 20, 2013

http://scientific-alliance.org/scientific-alliance-newsletter/looking-backand-forward

The blogosphere and thought leaders

By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Dec 17, 2013

http://judithcurry.com/2013/12/17/the-blogosphere-and-thought-leaders/

Masters(?) of many trades

By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Dec 15, 2013

http://judithcurry.com/2013/12/15/masters-of-many-trades/

Lowering Standards

A discrepancy

By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Dec 19, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/12/19/a-discrepancy.html

[SEPP Comment: The Royal Meteorological Society covering up the divergence between model projections and observations.]

Agency: ‘Radical action’ needed on climate

By Laura Barron-Lopez, The Hill, Dec 16, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/193255-iea-says-coal-is-here-to-stay-but-change-is-needed

[SEPP Comment: The IEA is clearly a politicized entity.]

The foolishness of the overqualified

By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Dec 17, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/12/17/the-foolishness-of-the-overqualified.html

[SEPP Comment: The Royal Society of Arts supporting a report that: “The whole thing is intellectually vapid and so far removed from the reality of the climate debate as to suggest the author simply had nothing better to do with his time.”]

Lowering Standards – A PNAS Special Edition

Recognizing the elephant in the room: Future climate impacts across sectors

By Staff Writers, Potsdam, Germany (SPX), Dec 19, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Recognizing_the_elephant_in_the_room_Future_climate_impacts_across_sectors_999.html

The elephant, the blind, and the intersectoral intercomparison of climate impacts

By: Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Katja Frieler, and Pavel Kabat, PNAS, No Date

http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/12/13/1321791111

Water scarcity escalating due to climate change, report says

By Rebecca Shabad, The Hill, Dec 17, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/193350-water-scarcity-escalating-due-to-climate-change-report-says

Link to report: Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change

By Schewe, et al, PNAS, Dec 12, 2013

http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/12/12/1222460110.full.pdf+html

Assessing the impact of climate change on a global scale

By Staff Writers, Nottingham UK (SPX), Dec 19, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Assessing_the_impact_of_climate_change_on_a_global_scale_999.html

Apparently, 4 degrees spells climate doom

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Dec 16, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/16/apparently-4-degrees-spells-climate-doom/

[SEPP Comment: In a warmer world, carbon sinks will disappear. Such as those that created coal?]

Expanding the Orthodoxy

Climate Change: Federal Efforts Underway to Assess Water Infrastructure Vulnerabilities and Address Adaptation Challenges

By Staff Writers, GAO, Nov 14, 2013 [H/t Timothy Wise]

http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-14-23

Questioning European Green

The fat-cat ecocrats exposed: Web of ‘green’ politicians, tycoons and power brokers who help each other benefit from billions raised on your bills

Four of nine-person Climate Change Committee, official watchdog that dictates green energy policy, are, or were until recently, being paid by firms that benefit from committee decisions

By David Rose, Mail, UK, Dec 14, 2013 [H/t Timothy Wise]

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2523726/Web-green-politicians-tycoons-power-brokers-help-benefit-billions-raised-bills.html#ixzz2nV84KSiQ

Davey’s reckless gamble

By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Dec 20, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/12/20/daveys-reckless-gamble.html

Eating or heating: the stark choice for many Brits as energy prices soar

In the UK thousands are struggling with rising energy costs. After last winter’s record number of deaths from cold weather, pressure is mounting on the government to force energy companies to help the most vulnerable.

By Lars Bevanger, Deutsche Welle, DE, Dec 16, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://www.dw.de/eating-or-heating-the-stark-choice-for-many-brits-as-energy-prices-soar/a-17298898

Questioning Green Elsewhere

The great biofuels scandal

Biofuels are inefficient, cause hunger and air pollution, and cost taxpayers billions

By Bjørn Lomborg, The Telegraph, Dec 16, 2013 [H/t David Lessmann]

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/biofuels/10520736/The-great-biofuels-scandal.html

US: Science and journalism take a vacation

By Paul Driessen, Haceer, Dec 18, 2013

http://www.hacer.org/usa/?p=3433

Decarbonization Updates

By Roger Pielke Jr, His Blog, Dec 16, 2013

http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2013/12/decarbonization-updates.html

[SEPP Comment: Analysis of U.K. Japan, and Australia of the difference between what politicians promised and what will likely to be achieved.]

Environmental concern disappears with economic instability

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Dec 19, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/19/environmental-concern-disappears-with-economic-stability/

Communicating Better to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Vague?

Climate change will endanger caribou habitat

By Staff Writers, Calgary, Canada (SPX), Dec 19, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Climate_change_will_endanger_caribou_habitat_999.html

[SEPP Comment: Settlement and hunting, not climate change, drove the caribou out of the US.]

Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.

World experiences hottest November in 134 years: US

By Staff Writers, Space Daily, Dec 17, 2013

http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/World_experiences_hottest_November_in_134_years_US_999.html

Claim: November 2013 is the ‘warmest ever’ – but will the real November 2013 temperature please stand up?

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Dec 19, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/19/claim-november-2013-is-the-warmest-ever-but-will-the-real-november-2013-temperature-please-stand-up/

November 2013 Russian “Hotspot” – Alarmists Are Overlooking Something

By Bob Tisdale, WUWT, Dec 20, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/20/november-2013-russian-hotspot-alarmists-are-overlooking-something/

Climate alarmists’ search for proof going cold

Even China’s coal-burning is offered to explain lack of global warming.

By Mark Landsbaum, Orange County Register, Dec 13, 2013 [H/t Timothy Wise]

http://www.ocregister.com/articles/warming-593355-global-temperature.html

Models v. Observations

Causation And Correlation

By Matt Briggs, His Blog, Dec 18, 2013

http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=10601

Models Issues

Defining reality

By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Dec 16, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/12/16/defining-reality.html

[SEPP Comment: See link immediately below.]

A model world

In economics, climate science and public health, computer models help us decide how to act. But can we trust them?

By Jon Turney, Aeon, Dec 16, 2013

http://aeon.co/magazine/world-views/should-we-trust-scientific-models-to-tell-us-what-to-do/

[SEPP Comment: Even though models may describe some phenomena well, without predictive value, models remain an artifact with little policy value.]

How far should we trust models?

By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Dec 16, 2013

http://judithcurry.com/2013/12/16/how-far-should-we-trust-models/

[SEPP Comment: Commentary on the link immediately above.]

Climate-Model Misgivings

By Ian Roulstone, and John Northbury, Project Syndicate, Dec 17, 2013

http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/ian-roulstone-and-john-norbury-describes-improvements-in-the-accuracy-of-climate-predictions

We may not be inclined to trust politicians, but we do need to take the output of these well-honed algorithms seriously. Unlike many of us, our climate models are increasingly able to learn from their mistakes.

[SEPP Comment: What are the important climate predictions that have been confirmed, as claimed in the article?]

Measurement Issues

University of Alabama, Huntsville, Global Temperature Report

By John Christy, et al, November 2013

http://nsstc.uah.edu/climate/index.html

[SEPP Comment: No unusual November warming here.]

Changing Weather

The only difference between a hurricane, a cyclone, and a typhoon is the location where the storm occurs

By Staff Writers, NOAA, Accessed Dec 20, 2013 [H/t Clyde Spencer]

http://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/cyclone.html

At AGU 2013: Are tornadoes getting stronger? No.

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Dec 15, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/15/at-agu-2013-are-tornadoes-getting-stronger-no/

Holy Land hit by heaviest snowfall in decades

By Staff Writers, Jerusalem (AFP), Dec 14, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Holy_Land_hit_by_heaviest_snowfall_in_decades_999.html

US snowpack in December is largest in a decade

By Douglas Main, NBC News, Dec 17, 2013 [H/t Clyde Spencer]

http://www.nbcnews.com/science/us-snowpack-december-largest-decade-2D11764485

Tropics Go Wintery! … Northern Thailand Declared Cold Disaster Zone … Snow In Vietnam … In Turkey “Animals Literally Freeze Where They Stand”!

By P. Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Dec 19, 2013

http://notrickszone.com/2013/12/19/tropics-go-wintery-northern-thailand-declared-cold-disaster-zone-in-turkey-animals-literally-freeze-where-they-stand-middle-east-shivers/

[SEPP Comment: Headlines are usually exaggerations.]

Post-Sandy, Long Island barrier systems appear surprisingly sound

By Staff Writers, Austin TX (SPX), Dec 16, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Post_Sandy_Long_Island_barrier_systems_appear_surprisingly_sound_999.html

[SEPP Comment: The Long Island barrier islands were built by storms far more severe than Sandy.]

Changing Climate

‘Little Ice Ages’ Caused Suffering in Spain—as They Always Do

By: Dennis T. Avery, Center for Global Food Issues, Dec 18, 2013

http://www.cgfi.org/2013/12/little-ice-ages-caused-suffering-in-spain-as-they-always-do-by-dennis-t-avery/

German Scientists Show Natural Climate Cycles Dominated Over Last 7000 Years…Blaming Man Is “Witch-Hunting

New study from the Geosciences Center Potsdam: There have been 18 flooding phases in upper Austria over the last 7000 years

By Sebastian Lüning and Fritz Vahrenholt, Translated by P. Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Dec 21, 2013

http://notrickszone.com/2013/12/21/german-scientists-show-natural-climate-cycles-dominated-over-last-7000-years-blaming-man-is-witch-hunting/

Study: Earth was warmer in Roman, Medieval times

By Michael Astasch, Daily Caller, Dec 13, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://dailycaller.com/2013/12/13/study-earth-was-warmer-in-roman-medieval-times/

Changing Seas

Quelling The Rising Tide Of Sea Level Alarmism

By Larry Bell, Forbes, Dec 16, 2013

http://www.forbes.com/sites/larrybell/2013/12/16/quelling-the-rising-tide-of-sea-level-alarmism/

If Manmade Greenhouse Gases Are Responsible for the Warming of the Global Oceans…

By Bob Tisdale, WUWT, Dec 19, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/19/if-manmade-greenhouse-gases-are-responsible-for-the-warming-of-the-global-oceans/

[SEPP Comment: We should find it in the top layer of the oceans.]

Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Alpine glacier, unchanged for thousands of years, now melting

By Staff Writers, San Francisco CA (SPX), Dec 16, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Alpine_glacier_unchanged_for_thousands_of_years_now_melting_999.html

[SEPP Comment: Just like Oetzi, the Iceman, how did it get there?]

Good news for Arctic, as sea ice volume up by half

By Staff Writers, Paris (AFP), Dec 16, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Good_news_for_Arctic_as_sea_ice_volume_up_by_half_999.html

Nature proves Al Gore wrong again

Gore’s “ice free Arctic” prediction from five years ago, falsified by nature itself

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Dec 16, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/16/nature-proves-al-gore-wrong-again/

Changing Earth

Rising mountains dried out Central Asia

By Ker Than for Stanford News, Stanford CA (SPX), Dec 16, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Rising_mountains_dried_out_Central_Asia_999.html

Review of Recent Scientific Articles by NIPCC

For a full list of articles see www.NIPCCreport.org

On the Origin of Extreme Climatic Events

Reference: Kumar, A., Chen, M., Hoerling, M. and Eischeid, J. 2013. Do extreme climate events require extreme forcings? Geophysical Research Letters 40: 3440-3445.

http://nipccreport.org/articles/2013/dec/17dec2013a2.html

[SEPP Comment: The May-July 2012 drought in the Great Plains was within natural variability.]

Atmospheric Blocking in the Northern Hemisphere

Reference: Masato, G., Hoskins, B.J. and Woollings, T. 2013. Winter and summer Northern Hemisphere blocking in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate 26: 7044-7059.

http://nipccreport.org/articles/2013/dec/17dec2013a3.html

[SEPP Comment: Models do not match historic observations.]

The Broad View of Holocene Climate from the Swedish Scande

Reference: Kullman, L. 2013. Ecological tree line history and palaeoclimate – review of mega-fossil evidence from the Swedish Scandes. Boreas 42: 555-567.

http://nipccreport.org/articles/2013/dec/18dec2013a1.html

[SEPP Comment: Warmer during the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period.]

Modeling the Tibetan Plateau Summer Monsoon

Reference: Duan, A., Hu, J. and Xiao, Z. 2013. The Tibetan Plateau summer monsoon in the CMIP5 simulations. Journal of Climate 26: 7747-7766.

http://nipccreport.org/articles/2013/dec/18dec2013a2.html

Litigation Issues

‘MASSIVE SEIZURE OF POWER’: Climate scientists, economists challenge EPA

By Michael Bastasch, Daily Caller, Dec 18, 2013

http://dailycaller.com/2013/12/18/massive-seizure-of-power-climate-scientists-economists-challenge-epa/#ixzz2nyUgnBkH

Supreme Court Global Warming Case: What Legislative History Reveals about Congressional Intent

By Marlo Lewis, Master Resource, Dec 19, 2013

http://www.masterresource.org/2013/12/supreme-court-global-warming-case-what-legislative-history-reveals-about-congressional-intent/

EPA, Climatology And The Courts: The Issue is Corrupted, Not Poor Science.

By Tim Ball, WUWT, Dec 19, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/19/epa-climatology-and-the-courts-the-issue-is-corrupted-not-poor-science/

Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Taxes

Remind me again why the West needs a carbon tax?

Man-made CO2 emissions 1965 -2012

By Ed Hoskins, WUWT, Dec 15, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/15/remind-me-again-why-the-west-needs-a-carbon-tax/

[SEPP Comment: Contrary to many politicians in Europe and Washington, the political leaders of many developing countries are not lemmings, ready to follow the west over the cliff.]

Subsidies and Mandates Forever

National Renewable Electricity Standard: Why raise electricity prices?

By Steve Goreham, Washington Times, Dec 18, 2013

http://communities.washingtontimes.com/neighborhood/climatism-watching-climate-science/2013/dec/18/national-renewable-electricity-standard-why-raise-/

Regulators pose threat to EU green energy and industry

By Barbara Lewis, Reuters, Dec 16, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/12/16/stateaid-idUKL6N0JT0FE20131216

Commission expected to announce formal probe on Wednesday

* Some say investigation alone will shatter confidence

* Carbon targets seen as too weak to encourage investment

[SEPP Comment: A look into Germany’s alternative energy subsidies.]

Ugh: Senate Democrats pushing for an eleventh-hour extension of wind’s all-important tax credit

By Erika Johnsen, Hot Air, Dec 18, 2013 [H/t Timothy Wise]

http://hotair.com/archives/2013/12/18/ugh-senate-democrats-pushing-for-an-eleventh-hour-extension-of-winds-all-important-tax-credit/

Dems call for extension of clean-energy tax incentives

By Laura Barron-Lopez, The Hill, Dec 16, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/193290-dems-call-for-extension-of-clean-energy-tax-incentives

[SEPP Comment: Apparently the wind advocates on the Hill do not believe the press releases by the wind industry on how well it is doing.]

EPA admits the ethanol mandate has become unrealistic

By Michael Bastasch, Daily Caller, Dec 12, 2013

http://dailycaller.com/2013/12/12/epa-admits-the-ethanol-mandate-has-become-unrealistic/

Government urged to cut cash to green energy in order to reduce bills

Thinktank says renewable energy subsidies should be cut if technologies fail to come down in cost under strict time limits

By Staff Writers, Guardian, UK, Dec 15, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/dec/16/government-cut-cash-green-energy-reduce-bills

Lobbying, Cronyism and Section 1705 Loan Guarantees

Why the Department of Energy should stop guaranteeing loans for green energy projects

By Victor Nava and Julian Morris, Reason Foundation, Dec 3, 2013

http://reason.org/studies/show/federal-loans-lobbying-cronyism

Link to paper, Stimulating Green Electric Dreams

By Victor Nava and Julian Morris, Reason Foundation, Dec 3, 2013

http://reason.org/files/green_electric_dreams.pdf

EPA and other Regulators on the March

Climate change expert’s fraud was ‘crime of massive proportion,’ say feds

By Michael Isikoff, NBC News, Dec 16, 2013

http://investigations.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/12/16/21911592-climate-change-experts-fraud-was-crime-of-massive-proportion-say-feds?lite

EPA’s fake spy sent to prison for 32 months

By Julian Hattem, The Hill, Dec 18, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/193525-epas-fake-spy-sent-to-prison

EPA unveils carbon capture regulations

By Ben Goad, The Hill, Dec 19, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/regwatch/energy-environment/193684-epa-unveils-carbon-capture-regulations

Link to regulations: Hazardous Waste Management System: Conditional Exclusion for Carbon Dioxide Streams in Geologic Sequestration Activities Rulemaking

By Staff Writers, EPA, Dec 17, 2013

http://www.epa.gov/wastes/nonhaz/industrial/geo-sequester/

[SEPP Comment: 75 Days for public comment.]

EPA Power Plant Regulations: A Backdoor Energy Tax

By Nicolas Loris, Kevin Dayaratna and David W. Kreutzer, Heritage Foundation, Dec 5, 2013

http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2013/12/epa-power-plant-regulations-a-backdoor-energy-tax?utm_source=heritagefoundation&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=&utm_content=&utm_source=Newsletter&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=Morning%2BBell

[SEPP Comment: Contains a state by state breakdown of coal resources, enough for 500 plus years at current rates of consumption.]

The Power-Mad EPA

By Alan Caruba, Warning Signs, Dec 16, 2013

http://factsnotfantasy.blogspot.com/2013/12/the-power-mad-epa.html

Energy Issues – Non-US

Global energy demand to increase 35 percent: ExxonMobil

By Staff Writers, Irving, Texas (UPI), Dec 13, 2013

http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/Global_energy_demand_to_increase_35_percent_ExxonMobil_999.html

Australia ‘To Be An Energy Superpower’ By Mid 2017

Morgan Stanley report predicts that gas exports will help country eliminate its current account deficit for the first time in four decades

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Daily Telegraph, Via GWPF, Dec 16, 2013

http://www.thegwpf.org/australia-to-energy-superpower-mid-2017/

Australian coal projects at risk of being ‘stranded’

By Staff Writers, Brisbane, Australia (UPI), Dec 16, 2013

http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/Australian_coal_projects_at_risk_of_being_stranded_999.html

Energy Issues — US

EIA: Natural Gas to Overtake Coal by 2035

By Tomas Overton, Power, Dec 16, 2013

http://www.powermag.com/eia-projects-natural-gas-to-overtake-coal-by-2035/?hq_e=el&hq_m=2804252&hq_l=6&hq_v=5e660500d0

Link to early release: AEO 2014 Early Release Overview

By Staff Writers, EIA, Dec 16, 2013

http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/er/pdf/0383er(2014).pdf

Fossil fuels will continue to supply > 80% of US energy through 2040, while renewables will play only a minor role

By Mark Perry, AEIdeas, Dec 16, 2013 [H/t George Nicholas]

http://www.aei-ideas.org/2013/12/fossil-fuels-will-continue-to-supply-80-of-us-energy-through-2040-while-renewables-will-play-only-a-minor-role/

US Annual Energy Outlook Continues To Low-Ball Renewable Energy Forecasts

By Staff Writers, Washington DC (SPX), Dec 17, 2013

http://www.solardaily.com/reports/US_Annual_Energy_Outlook_Continues_To_Low_Ball_Renewable_Energy_Forecasts_999.html

Becoming Saudi America Isn’t The Answer To Our Energy Problems

By Ken Backwell and James Conway, IBD, Dec 16, 2013

http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials-on-the-right/121613-683103-becoming-saudi-america-isnt-the-answer-to-our-energy-problems.htm?p=full

[SEPP Comment: Is the solution to changing oil prices an oil industry with both production and consumption controlled by an authoritarian state?]

Oil Trains Raise Concerns in Small Town, Cities

By Matthew Brown and Josh Funk, AP, Dec 19, 2013

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_OIL_TRAINS_FIRST_RESPONDERS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

Washington’s Control of Energy

Oil shipments to begin in Keystone XL’s southern leg

By Laura Barron-Lopez, The Hill, Dec 17, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/193409-oil-shipments-to-begin-in-keystone-xls-southern-leg

[SEPP Comment: If it were not for Washington, the northern leg would be nearing completion.]

Feds not getting fair share of oil and gas dollars, report finds

By Zack Colman, Washington Examiner, Dec 17, 2013

http://washingtonexaminer.com/feds-not-getting-fair-share-of-oil-and-gas-dollars-report-finds/article/2540865?utm_source=Washington%20Examiner:%20Politics%20Today%20Reoccurring%20-%2012/18/2013&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Washington%20Examiner:%20Politics%20Today

GAO: Outdated Interior regs costing taxpayers

By Laura Barron-Lopez, The Hill, Dec 17, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/193362-lacking-interior-system-muddles-taxpayer-returns-on-petroleum-royalties

Interior Dept. Nominee Helped Steer Millions to Environmentalist Groups

Could potentially obstruct energy projects in new role

By Lachlan Markay, Washington Free Beacon, Dec 19, 2013 [H/t Timothy Wise]

http://freebeacon.com/interior-dept-nominee-helped-steer-millions-to-environmentalist-groups/

Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?

Fracking, the Larger Picture

By Donn Dears, Power for USA, Dec 20, 2013

http://dddusmma.wordpress.com/2013/12/20/fracking-the-larger-picture/

EU plan for fracking law threatens UK’s shale gas boom

Owen Paterson plots fightback against European Commission over dinner in Brussels to win support for Britain’s fracking industry on eve of new shale gas drilling round

By Tim Ross, The Telegraph, UK, Dec 15, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/10518120/New-EU-fracking-law-plan-threatens-Britains-shale-gas-boom.html

It Shale Be Done: Green Light For Fracking

THE government is to open up thousands of square miles to drilling for shale gas reserves, potentially leading to hundreds of rigs dotting the countryside.

By Jack Grimston and Danny Fortson, Sunday Times, UK, Via GWPF, Dec 15, 2013

http://www.thegwpf.org/shale-done-green-light-fracking/

Return of King Coal?

Coal Must Embrace All-Out Battle with Eco-Bullies

Meekly accepting blame for climate change dooms the industry and the greater economy.

By Tim Ball and Tom Harris, PJ Media, Dec 18, 2013

http://pjmedia.com/blog/coal-must-embrace-all-out-battle-with-eco-bullies/?singlepage=true

Oil Spills, Gas Leaks & Consequences

Nuclear Energy and Fears

NuScale SMR wins second DoE funding round

By Staff Writer, WNN, Dec 13, 2013

http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NN-NuScale-SMR-wins-second-DoE-funding-round-1312137.html

[SEPP Comment: Funding for small modular reactors (SMR).]

TEPCO to decommission surviving Fukushima reactors

By Staff Writers, Tokyo (AFP), Dec 18, 2013

http://www.nuclearpowerdaily.com/reports/TEPCO_to_decommission_surviving_Fukushima_reactors_999.html

USEC to Restructure, Seek Bankruptcy to Stimulate American Centrifuge Project

By Sonal Patel, Power, Dec 18, 2013

http://www.powermag.com/usec-to-restructure-seek-bankruptcy-to-stimulate-american-centrifuge-project/?hq_e=el&hq_m=2804252&hq_l=10&hq_v=5e660500d0

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

Wind Power Unclothed: ‘Economics in One Lesson’ Applied (Hazlitt in 1946 versus AWEA today)

By Travis Fisher, Master Resource, Dec 16, 2013

http://www.masterresource.org/2013/12/wind-hazlitt-2/#more-28948

[SEPP Comment: The special pleadings that applied in 1946 apply to the wind industry today.]

Wind Power Rivals Coal With $1 Billion Order From Buffett

By Ehren Goossens, Bloomberg, Dec 17, 2013

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-12-17/wind-power-rivals-coal-with-1-billion-order-from-buffett.html

Wind is the cheapest source of power in Iowa, and the deal indicates that turbines are becoming profitable without subsidies, according to Tom Kiernan, chief executive officer of the American Wind Energy Association trade group.

“If Congress were to remove all the subsidies from every energy source, the wind industry can compete on its own,” Kiernan said

[SEPP Comment: Further reason to stop tax credits for wind farms.]

More Wind Turbine Problems

By Donn Dears, Power for USA, Dec 17, 2013

http://dddusmma.wordpress.com/2013/12/17/more-wind-turbine-problems/

Scottish Power becomes third firm to scrap UK offshore wind farm

By Karolin Schaps, Reuters, Dec 13, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/12/13/us-britain-scottishpower-wind-idUKBRE9BC0IZ20131213

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

Algae to crude oil: Million-year natural process takes minutes in the lab

By Staff Writers, Richland WA (SPX), Dec 19, 2013

http://www.biofueldaily.com/reports/Algae_to_crude_oil_Million_year_natural_process_takes_minutes_in_the_lab_999.html

[SEPP Comment: At what cost?]

California Dreaming

California Energy Update: Part III

By Wayne Lusvardi, Master Resource, Dec 17, 2013

http://www.masterresource.org/2013/12/california-energy-update-iii/

Environmental Industry

The Endangered Species Act & Counterfactual Arguments

By Matt Briggs, His Blog, Dec 20, 2013

http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=10637

The Endocrine-Disruptors Scare

More junk science takes aim at another American industry — agriculture.

By James Delingpole, National Review, Dec 19, 2013 [H/t Timothy Wise]

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/366686/endocrine-disruptors-scare-james-delingpole

Other Scientific News

Pollen has bigger influences on optical properties of the atmosphere than previously known

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Dec 18, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/18/pollen-has-bigger-influences-on-optical-properties-of-the-atmosphere-than-previously-known/

A Matter Of Gravity: Russia And Asia Pursue High Frontier As America Drifts Lost In Space

By Larry Bell, Forbes, Dec 17, 2013

http://www.forbes.com/sites/larrybell/2013/12/17/a-matter-of-gravity-russia-and-asia-pursue-high-frontier-as-america-drifts-lost-in-space/

Behold the ‘Plastisphere’

Colonies of microbes flourish on tiny bits in the ocean

By Lonny Lippsett, Oceanus, Dec 17, 2013

http://www.whoi.edu/oceanus/feature/behold-the-plastisphere

[SEPP Comment: The Woods Hole Center for Oceans and Human Health reports how life finds a way in the strangest of places.]

Change in Pacific nitrogen content tied to climate change

By Anne M Stark for LLNL News, Livermore CA (SPX), Dec 17, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Change_in_Pacific_nitrogen_content_tied_to_climate_change_999.html

Other News that May Be of Interest

The “Wager of the Decade” and Its Unfortunate Legacy

By Bill Gates, Gates Notes, Dec 12, 2013 [H/t Tom Sheahen]

http://www.thegatesnotes.com/Books/Personal/The-Bet?WT.mc_id=12_13_2013_TheBet_tw&WT.tsrc=Twitter

Climate Change Could Boost British Wine Industry

By Staff Writer, Environmental Leader, Dec 16, 2013

http://www.environmentalleader.com/2013/12/16/climate-change-could-boost-british-wine-industry/

[SEPP Comment: A return to the good-old-days of the Medieval Warm Period when Britain was self-sufficient in wine production – without the use of frost resistant hybrids, or Canadian root stock to prevent the vines roots from freezing. The discussion about declines in production elsewhere is non-science.]

Saving the Great Plains water supply

By Staff Writers, East Lansing MI (SPX), Dec 17, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Saving_the_Great_Plains_water_supply_999.html

################################################

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:

How Offal! Global Warming Threatens the World’s Haggis Supply!

By Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger, CATO, Dec 19, 2013

http://www.cato.org/blog/how-offal-global-warming-threatens-worlds-haggis-supply

Climate craziness of the week: Yes, we have no bananas, thanks to climate change

Going Bananas: Another Climate Change Hustle

By Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger and Patrick J. Michaels, WUWT, Dec 18, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/18/climate-craziness-of-the-week-yes-we-have-no-bananas-thanks-to-climate-change/

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In 2014, we will continue to hear false claims of global warming/climate change, and face a large number of proposed EPA regulationsthat will do little for the environment but will certainly retard or even stop economic growth.

Our task for 2014 is to challenge the false claims and to show that most of these regulations are destructive, unscientific, and unnecessary. For a more complete statement of goals please see www.SEPP.org.

Also, we will address regulations from other Federal agencies that desire to control or stop the clean use of coal as a fuel, the expansion of oil and natural gas production in the US, and invoke false issues such as the “social cost of carbon”, to support needless environmental regulations restricting economic growth and general prosperity.

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28 Responses to Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

  1. Kohl says:

    I note the comment on “Science and Religion: As discussed in last week’s TWTW, it has become fashionable among some politicians and climate alarmists to question the religious attitudes of skeptics.”
    I have to say that I have been an atheist for 50 years or so. Nevertheless I do not think that the catastrophism which many think is attendant upon global warming is in fact justified.
    If one wishes to be brutally frank: just because one is wrong about one thing does not make one wrong about another unrelated thing. So, whether one is a theist or an atheist, and no matter which particular ‘brand’ of theism or atheism one espouses, that is irrelevant to the truth or otherwise of one’s ideas on any other subject. It is absurd to conflate these beliefs with someone’s position on the matter of climate – and that goes for any side of the debate.

  2. catweazle666 says:

    Happy Christmas Anthony, and all at WUWT that keep the show on the road!

    Not forgetting all blog contributors, of course.

    [He forgot the mods. The mods will remember who gets the lump of coal "this" Christmas. Mod]

  3. Brian H says:

    climate change is likely to exacerbate regional and global water scarcity

    Since the atmospheric moisture increases with warmth, and plants become more efficient users of water with heightened CO2, this statement seems to be counterfactual on the face.

  4. Brian H says:

    Anthony, Edit:

    the observed temperatures trends by 2 to 5 times.

    Temperature, singular. Makes no sense as it stands.


    REPLY:
    Talk to SEPP about it. Not my writing so don’t know what they mean – Anthony

  5. Brian H says:

    In fact, I believe the orginal says “warming”, not “temperature(s)”.

  6. Brian H says:

    Saint Joe;
    nice try, but the scansion sucks. Try reading it aloud. Virtually impossible.

  7. I’ve been working on a Xmas present for the climate community: uclimate.com. It is just the latest news from the climate blogs.

    Batteries not included

  8. Eliza says:

    COLA has got rid of its temperature anomaly maps (1 month now)
    http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp1.html too inconvenient to show all that cold

  9. jimmaine says:

    I’m sure this question has already been answered somewhere…but,

    Has anyone figured out how many “researchers” and “climate scientists” would be out of a job if/when the sheeple figure out that there’s nothing to see here, and they move along? I’m sure it’s tens of thousands…maybe more.
    And how many government agencies around the world would get shuttered?

    Now THAT would be a Christmas present.

    Happy Holidays to Anthony, bloggers, AND the mods ;)

    Jim from Maine

  10. Coach Springer says:

    jimmaine says:
    December 23, 2013 at 3:45 am
    Has anyone figured out how many “researchers” and “climate scientists” would be out of a job if/when the sheeple figure out that there’s nothing to see here, and they move along? I’m sure it’s tens of thousands…maybe more.
    And how many government agencies around the world would get shuttered?

    Now THAT would be a Christmas present.

    ==================================

    Now THAT’s a study that only Heartland would fund – and then be discredited for.

    And Merry Christmas to all the moderators. They have to read what we all post.

  11. Ed Mertin says:

    ‘…So let’s sing a song of cheer again, HAPPY DAYS ARE HERE AGAIN!’ 3rd quarter GDP growth numbers came in at 4.1%! Wowwee zowwee that’s something we’ve rarely seen since the ‘Quail Dynasty’ brothers Nixon, Sam Walton and Ronnie Reagan set about the crushing of our economy to the benefit of 1% of Americans. In the old days of New Deal Keynesian economics this level of growth was normal. Conservatives wish you to believe that such a number just simply isn’t possible without slashing taxes on the wealthy. The Chinese have been maintaining a pace two or three times that for decades following New Deal, or more accurately, Alexander Hamilton policies.

    The Chinese are big fans of our Founding Fathers and it has really paid off for them. The USA went from Samuel Slater’s cotton-spinning mill to undisputed industrial power of the world with Hamilton’s policies enacted by Congress in 1792. China has gone from steam engines to landing a rover on the moon in just 30 years or so. They will progress in ways we can’t even imagine during this century.

    There are 33 countries that do better for their children than we do. But we do rank above Romania in child poverty. China still has an awful lot of poor people, but they have more middle class than the USA even has people. A smart kid in China will get a world class education, no ifs ands or buts about it. Odds are in the US the parents pay for it. So we have a lot of Dubya types at Harvard and Einstein types doing unskilled labor. We need to find a way back to making stuff or become a group of colonies for the predominant industrial power like we were prior to 1776.

    That got me to investigating our infrastructure, Google it and up pops all kinds of sink holes and pipeline ruptures. You may remember last spring a large sink hole opened up a few blocks from the White House, it turned out to be a washed out crumbling sewer line from an improvement project back in …1896. This is not an unusual event for cities that depend on drainage projects done during the Progressive Era or at best New Deal. As little as possible has been done since the Reagan Revolution defined ‘government is the problem, not the solution.’

    The estimated 3 trillion public infrastructure maintenance shortfall (like bridges that could collapse) doesn’t include stuff such as an oil wave rushing up your driveway from a bursted pipeline, like happened in Mayflower, or old high pressure Nat Gas lines that are ticking time bombs. There are abandoned chemical waste dumps, overlooked and failing mine waste containment ponds and unregulated fertilizer and chemical plants waiting to explode. Then there’s old nuclear reactors.

    ‘But we don’t have any money for that’ whine the conservative. Fact is that the US government can and should buy any and all unused production and put it to use. 20 million full time jobs could be created next week. US factory production is running around 80% capacity, buy everything they produce that can be used to improve US infrastructures. You can bet if Uncle Sam accepted bids somebody would step up to the plate to produce it. Factories would go to 200% of capacity from 80.

    Where would the money come from? The US is selling treasuries at near zero interest, failing that we can print our own money. As long as the creation of money doesn’t exceed the supply of goods and services there can be no serious inflation. They take money out of supply to fix inflation and add money to combat deflation. Building the economy will produce the revenue to ‘pay it back’ especially if the rich are no longer allowed to dodge taxes. That alone brings in an additional 1T per year without even addressing offshore or corporate tax evasion. The death tax? Don’t wait for them to croak to take back the excesses of the last thirty years.

    Of course you would need to do all the other things that are required for a successful economy. Trade, financial, energy, manufacturing, farm and education policies. You get the idea, put smart people in charge and tell the extremists to sit down and shut up. That is the ones that you don’t put in prison orange jump suits and there are plenty that deserve a stint.

    So much for what we should be doing, let’s look at what is really happening in terms of us becoming third world. A company from The Peoples Republic bought our biggest pork producer, Smithfield Farms. Gee, why would they want to do that? The Chinese love pork and since they have more middle class people than we have people they need more bacon, ribs and chops. It takes corn to fatten up nice pigs and our farmers produce a lot of corn. China has as many acres devoted to corn as we do but half the yield. They would like to shift that land to other crops and get one of their colonies to raise the hogs. That would be us!

    Factory farm pork production has actually been leaving because manure runoff has been a problem downstream. A large pork farm can produce the same sewage of a mid size city and the preferred methods of disseminating the waste is in holding ponds waiting for the next big rains to flush it downstream. The Chinese actually do a better job with this because they don’t have a Quail Dynasty inventing an EPA and a EDF, and maybe it’s one of those ‘free trade deals’ that state and local governments cannot interfere.

    Where did the money come from to buy Smithfield? They didn’t pay in Chinese Yuans. Just as they don’t loan us money like the Cons want us to believe, they bought it with US dollars from the $700b yearly trade deficit we run. Every time you shop at Wal~Mart you assist China in taking over the world. Remember when we used to fight communism? Well they won thanks to the Conservatives.

    http://mediamatters.org/blog/2013/12/15/pope-francis-rebukes-marxist-attack-from-rush-l/197273

    Just ignore Limbaugh, his version of even conservatism is over the top. Rush is neither a fundamentalist nor a fascist. He doesn’t have an ounce of Christian charity in his corpulent body. With respect to government, he doesn’t seem to favor a strong national government except for national defense, instead he sounds like he wants a weak, decentralized government and wants to see the real power invested in THE PRIVATE SECTOR, especially the wealthy elite who run large private sector businesses.

    The noise machine over at Faux News is losing it and they know it. Maybe that’s why they peddle so many books nowadays. Republican disapproval is range bound in the 70% range. Obama is down in the polls and with Millennials, but they still say they’d vote for him again.

    So to wrap up, the economy is looking much better, too bad Wall Street can still kill it. A brand new dollar store opens in the US every 6 hours, that’s where Wal~Mart associates shop. Duck Commander is worth $15b, he’s either trying to hit the big money or crazy or both. Bit Coin, when being suckered by penny stocks and/or gold isn’t enough losses for you.

  12. M Courtney says:

    Thanks Scottish Sceptic but any chance of a translation (even just Google Translate) for the German articles?

    And Merry Christmas to you all at WUWT.

  13. catweazle666 says:

    “Since the atmospheric moisture increases with warmth,”

    At the moment it seems it isn’t doing, however.

    Solomon et al [1] indicates stratospheric water vapour declined ~10% in the decade following ~1998, and Vonder Haar et al [2] shows no evident trend- or possibly slightly negative – over the same period.

    1. http://www.sciencemag.org/content/327/5970/1219.abstract

    2. https://ams.confex.com/ams/Annual2005/techprogram/paper_84927.htm

    So despite an ~8% increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration over that period, it seems that there has been no concomitant increase in either atmospheric water vapour or surface temperature, hence causing some problem for the water driven positive feedback hypothesis.

  14. Hi, James,

    Just wanted to follow up and say that was extremely helpful. Hope you have a Merry Christmas and a happy, prosperous New Year!

    Tom Burkhalter

  15. UK Marcus says:

    Thank you Ed Mertin, great article!

    “Where would the money come from?” That was the problem faced by Guernsey (one of the UK Channel Islands) when all the conscripted soldiers returned from the Napoleonic Wars in 1820.

    There was only one industry on the Island – fishing, but with no harbour or fish market, poverty and starvation loomed. But there were many willing and able workers, so the States of Guernsey (the local government) with no other option open to them decided to issue their own local currency to kick-start employment – The Guernsey Pound was born. It’s still going strong today.

    The harbour got built as did the fish market and also many roads, schools, hospitals and churches. The money was issued interest-free so it circulated amongst all businesses who used it to pay their (low) taxes to The States of Guernsey. Inflation and deflation were easily controlled by adjusting money in circulation. Everyone was happy.

    Then the Bank of England came down on this heretical idea like a ton of bricks; they were acting on complaints from established banks on Guernsey who could not compete with interest-free currency… Well there’s a surprise! But the Guernsey Pound was so well established and appreciated by the Islanders that it was not possible to eliminate it, agreement was reached just to restrict the amount in circulation.

    The “Guernsey Experiment” is one of the main reasons why the Channel Islands (Jersey, Guernsey, Alderney and Sark) are the most prosperous areas of the UK today.

  16. mike says:

    Well, I know that the list of articles included in this post is, like really long and interesting and all that good stuff. But the one thing I’ve been lookin’ for, that I think is critical to the “climate” debate, and all, is once again missing from the “menu.”

    Let me be frank and say that I’ve been holding off on this matter, hoping that I wouldn’t have to be so crude to just come out and explicitly inquire about the whole deal and that the other “shoe” would just fall of its own accord, and everything. But now I’m beginning to wonder enough to, once-and-for-all, just address the whole, unresolved issue straight-out.

    I mean, like, remember that guy from the Philippines at that boondoggle, eco-fiasco conference, held in Warsaw, a month or two ago? You know, the one who vowed to fast until some sort of climate agreement was reached, or something like that. Remember him?

    Well the conference went on for almost two weeks and I, for one (and I know I’m not alone), was really hoping for a super-sized, breathless, daily-update, heart-wrenching photo-record of the the guy’s fast, that would rival that iconic image of a forlorn, baby-harp-seal-eating, photo-shopped polar bear on an ice-floe that our beloved hive has gotten such great, hyped mileage out of . You know, like day-one, a picture showing there’s hardly any difference in the guy’s appearance until day 13 of his fast when he has that sunken-cheek, death’s-head, Egyptian-mummy look hunger-strikers acquire over time. And, you know, with, like, a bunch of agit-prop shots about how many notches the guy has taken-in in his belt and clothes hanging off his emaciated frame and everything. I mean, like, a hunger-strike is a PR stunt–I think we can all agree with that. So where’s the “publicity” on this one–SO WHERE’S THE PHOTOS?!!!!!

    And I probably wouldn’t have even mentioned this whole business if the fake-skeptic, anti-science, Republican-brain, Merchants-of-Doubt, flat-earther, complete-asshole deniers, with their incessant little conspiracy-theory “ideations” haven’t been picking up on the whole thing and making their typical, stupid, little jokes about it, like:

    -”Hey!–Maybe the guy looked a little bit too “well-fed” there, at the end, and so maybe the hive-propagandists thought whole deal would look like a bunch of flim-flam if a photo of the guy was released [like those bad-faith denier-scum have never even heard of the rare genetic condition that gives some persons the look of sleek, well-fed chubby-ness despite an advanced state of starvation]!”

    -Hey!–maybe the NGO hot-babes were slippin’ the guy cheese-burgers and freedom fries when they visited his carbon-piggie, luxurious, executive suite! HAR! HAR!”

    -Hey!–I bet the guy was so weak, towards the end, that he could hardly even fire off an idle, lazy afternoon’s bolide or two of zit-crud into his hotel-bathroom-mirror reflection, even! SNICKER! SNICKER!”

    Of course, I can ignore denier, so-called “humor”, as well as anyone else, but like the problem is that regular people–I mean, like, people who aren’t, in any way, denier-creeps–are beginning to pick-up on this matter and are even responding to the denier’s truly vicious, fossil-fuel-industry-funded, malicious, juvenile humor. I mean, like, of course, everyone tries to hide their reaction, but I’m seein’ more and more examples of ordinary people–you know, the sort who used to absent-mindedly go along with the whole CAGW hustle, and everything–like suddenly holding their breath, when the repugnant deniers start joshing around about the that no-chow, noble gesture that added such a touch of class to the Warsaw proceedings, and then, like, making a bee-line dash for the bathroom and then you, like, hear a big-outburst of guffaws from behind the closed door–that sort of thing.

    So could someone please publish a photo-journalism, chronological series of photos of that Filipino guy’s xerophagia-for-Gaia ordeal so I can get take the tacky deniers, who are always taunting me about the whole-thing with their pestiferous, snide, little innuendos, down a notch? Thanks for any help you can offer!

  17. The Sage says:

    Meanwhile if your cheque for speaking against the official cult of CAGW is lost in the post, this seems to be the list of people to bug about it : http://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2013/12/23/who-is-bankrolling-climate-change-denial/

  18. DirkH says:

    Ed Mertin says:
    December 23, 2013 at 7:15 am
    “‘…So let’s sing a song of cheer again, HAPPY DAYS ARE HERE AGAIN!’ 3rd quarter GDP growth numbers came in at 4.1%! ”

    I take it you also believed the 7.8 % unemployment right before Obama’s re-election.

  19. DirkH says:

    mike says:
    December 23, 2013 at 9:56 am
    “And I probably wouldn’t have even mentioned this whole business if the fake-skeptic, anti-science, Republican-brain, Merchants-of-Doubt, flat-earther, complete-asshole deniers, with their incessant little conspiracy-theory “ideations” haven’t been picking up on the whole thing and making their typical, stupid, little jokes about it, like: ”

    Is that humour or are you a manic-depressive in the manic phase? And what are you talking about?

  20. Janice Moore says:

    @ Dirk H (re: 6:58pm today ) LOL, I’m pretty sure he could comment ALL evening and “lightyears of letters” (you, you witty German, you) later, we will still be wondering.

    Likely, it will get even more weird (doesn’t blood alcohol peak about 2 hours later…)?

    It kind of looked like he mish-mashed about 20 different posts together. Could be a serious case of Cut-and-Paste Error. Poor guy. He’s probably too embarrassed to post, now.

    Froeliche Weinachten,

    Janice

    @Mike — don’t sweat it. Just post something reasonable next time. Very soon, no one will even remember what happened this evening. Seriously, get sober and KEEP ON POSTING! And Merry Christmas. #(:))

  21. Brian H says:

    DirkH says:
    December 23, 2013 at 6:58 pm

    mike says:
    December 23, 2013 at 9:56 am
    “And I probably wouldn’t have even mentioned this whole business if the fake-skeptic, anti-science, Republican-brain, Merchants-of-Doubt, flat-earther, complete-asshole deniers, with their incessant little conspiracy-theory “ideations” haven’t been picking up on the whole thing and making their typical, stupid, little jokes about it, like: ”

    Is that humour or are you a manic-depressive in the manic phase? And what are you talking about?

    Obviously a send-up of the mental processes of a Leftist trying to send up the sceptics. Or SLT. A lead pipe wrapped in sandpaper.

  22. Ed Mertin says:

    Hey Dirk, what I should have said is that the US economy is recovering despite every effort from the Conservatives to stop it. Also, the New Deal ended ‘Soup Kitchens’ and ‘Hoovervilles’. The Grand Obstruction Party think this should be a normal way of life for the bottom 20% of Americans.

    Hope you all enjoyed this years Conservative Holiday Classic, ‘Yes, Janice, there’s a war on Christmas’ featuring Sarah Palin as the Little Dumber Girl.

    So what is your point, Dirk? Most have figured out that Republicans are about destruction of this country and all the Dems are about is allowing it to happen. It appears that when confronted with the facts you hide behind what shrinks call ‘Transference’. Happy Holidays

  23. Ed Mertin says:

    Well thank you for that very interesting comment, UK Marcus. Please remember that if a CON screams and throws poop at you, then you know that you are really a good person.

  24. Ed Mertin says:

    Oops, my mistake, Duck Commander Phil is worth 15 million, not b. His latest is that he’s not ‘uneducated’. That means being ignorant is not an excuse, it is just plain hatred.

  25. mike says:

    @ Ed Mertin,

    Hey, ed! What’s the deal guy? I mean, like, I click on your name and it takes me to a website that appears to have a “Victoria Bidwell” hawking something or other (a button is offered that, if pushed, will take you to Vicky’s “home page”, which, we are warned, might take some time to fully download–sure, ed, like I’m gonna push a button like that?).

    And Vicky’s page also appears to need a little updating since it advises that her website will be accepting credit cards “later in 2002″!

    Since you, ed, seem to share, with moi, a “skepticism” about “things”–with the two of us maybe even entertaining a conspiracy-theory “ideation” or two in common, please forgive me if my cynical, questioning, initial reaction to the website, to which you name-linked, is that the whole thing looks, ever so slightly, like some sort of flaky who-knows-what .

    I mean, like, ed, you have boldly presumed to use this blog to promote Vicky’s site so why don’t you fill us all in a bit about just who you and Vicky are, what exactly you’re peddling, and what all that has to do with your wound-up, little, multi-comment rant above. And spare me any puffery, please. Rather, please stick with how you and Vicky make a buck off her advertised business, if any, and what your customer demographic is, in the main, and what those buying your wares really get for their money.

    Thanks, ed.

    P. S. There is a “Victoria Bidwell” that I’ve found on the web who claims to have received a Ph.D.–both in “Natural Hygiene”– from each of two institutions of higher learning. One Ph.D. was received from the “University of Natural Health” (perhaps an on-line outfit?) and the other from the “College of Life Science” (haven’t been able to figure this one out–several candidate institutions with approximately that title). So, ed, is the above “Victoria Bidwell” related to the Victoria Bidwell in your link?–and, if so, could you tell us a bit more about these academic institutions that awarded her a coveted “Ph.D.” degree? O. K. guy?

  26. Ed Mertin says:

    Sure, Mike, I don’t know where to start. I was having some health problems back in 2007 and a woman appeared in my life. Not Victoria Bidwell but someone who knows her well and studied Natural Hygiene with her from T.C. Fry and thusly under Dr. Herbert M. Shelton. If you Google them, I believe they are the ones who founded those institutions. They were using fasting to cure various health problems related to toxicity within your body. It was controversial because it didn’t use the medical establishment and their drugs.

    My tumors disappeared with a six week fast and a change of diet to much more raw fruits, nuts and vegetables and I lost sixty pounds of overweight. The experience of fasting improved my life and probably saved me. I used what I had learned about fasting from this woman on my own without anyone’s supervision.

    I just desire to spread the word about this way of improving your health and since Victoria Bidwell has a treasure trove of information I link to her site. I have no business interests in natural hygiene. She and I have never communicated, but the lady who came into my life was regularly talking to her. She gave me a lot of material written by Dr. Herbert M Shelton and T. C. Fry.

    Would you recommend I change it to this instead?
    http://www.allaboutfasting.com/

  27. mike says:

    @Ed Mertin,

    Good reply, ed. Thank you.

Comments are closed.