Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

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The Week That Was: 2013-03-02 (March 2, 2013) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project

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Quote of the Week: “In conclusion, I hope that, on reflection, you will recognise that there should be a difference between the behaviour appropriate to a President of the Royal Society and acting as a shop steward for some kind of scientists’ closed shop. Not to do so can only bring the Royal Society into further disrepute, which cannot be in the public interest.” Lord Nigel Lawson to Sir Paul Nurse, President of the Royal Society.

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Number of the Week: 0.04%

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THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, Executive Vice President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

Special Note: In honor of the Federal budget Sequester which may decrease outlays by 2%, TWTW will be 2% shorter this week.

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Climate Science Day: Led by the American Meteorological Society (AMS), a number of politically motivated science societies planned to individually lobby members of Congress on February 27. As a preemptive measure, SEPP, NIPCC, and VA-SEEE sponsored two briefings to selected Representatives and senior staffers on February 26. The briefing, Climate Facts and Extreme Weather, featured Fred Singer of SEPP addressing salient climate issues and Joseph D’Aleo of WeatherBell Analytics, LLC addressing extreme weather events. Given the timing was immediately before automatic spending cuts were taking effect, the attendance was not overwhelming. However, those who did attend asked penetrating questions. The questions indicated concern on the subject and understanding of broad issues.

Fred Singer suggested three questions for staffers to ask global warming / climate change / extreme weather event advocates. One, Please explain to me why there has been no warming for more than a decade, even though atmospheric carbon dioxide continues to rise. The question was supported by graphic evidence. The follow-up was a quote from Phil Jones of HadCRU admitting there has been no statistically significant surface warming for at least 15 years.

The second question was: Can you explain why the Antarctic has been getting colder and GAINING ice? (2.1 trillion tons/yr for past 150 yrs)? The scientific articles supporting the question were cited.

And the third question was: Could the Sun (or cosmic rays) be responsible for the major warming of 20th century? A graph by E Friis-Christensen and K Lassen, published in Science, shows a strong relationship between the temperature anomaly (departure from the normal) and the sunspot cycle length while the relationship between temperature anomaly and CO2 concentration is much weaker. The follow-up is an admission by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) appearing in the Second Order Draft of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) that cosmic ray changes can affect earth’s clouds and climate.

Joe D’Aleo focused on questionable claims President Obama made in his State of the Union speech. Point one is the claim that 12 of the hottest years on record have come in the last 15 years. Joe pointed out that the record has flat lined, which Rajendra Pachauri, the head of the IPCC, has acknowledged. Also, Joe brought up the serious data integrity issues in which the data has been manipulated in a way that has lowered historic high temperatures in the US in the 1930s.

Point two was the statement that “Heat waves, droughts, wildfires, and floods – all are now more frequent and intense.” The claim is so factually challenged that it is a wonder it got by the White House staff. Looking at the weather stations that have 80 years of data shows heat records were set in the 1930s, the Palmer drought index shows the 1930s and the 1950s were hotter and dryer with the 1930’s dust bowl lasting a decade. Amazingly, when he briefed the Senate, AMS President Shepherd ignored these droughts. Increased floods are not supported by the data, and, according to the National Interagency Fire Center, wildfires are declining.

Point three was: “We can choose to believe that Superstorm Sandy….a freak coincidence…” Sandy was neither unique nor extreme. Hurricane direct hits on NYC occurred in 1815, 1821 and 1893 in prior active periods

Other points included that since the 1970s snow is increasing, not decreasing and this decade appears to be approaching the weather of the 1960s with frequent, heavy snows.

In sum, it is one thing for the President to use the State of the Union speech for political purposes. It is something else for the head of a scientific society to ignore salient facts, in order to support the President’s politics.

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Quote of the Week: Last week’s TWTW mentioned that, in an interview, Paul Nurse, the President of the Royal Society, made some unflattering statements about Nigel Lawson, the Chairman of the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF), which is skeptical that human emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases are causing unprecedented and dangerous global warming. This week GWPF posted an open letter from Lawson to Nurse. The concluding paragraph applies to other science societies, which are becoming involved in the politics of global warming / climate change. Please see links under Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.

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Antarctic Ice Cores: Using a new technique, a recently published study indicates that the estimated temperatures from Antarctic ice cores are more in parallel with estimate CO2 concentrations that prior research had indicated with changes in temperatures leading changes in temperatures by about 800 years plus or minus several hundred years. The suggested lag is significantly less. It remains to be seen if this study withstands independent analysis.

However, global warming advocates are claiming that it vindicates Al Gore’s claim that ice cores prove that changing CO2 concentrations cause global temperature changes. It does not. Gore’s claim was contradicted by the best science available at the time. According to the abstract, the new study focuses on the end of the last ice age (deglacial warming). It does not go into cause – especially, what causes temperatures to start falling when atmospheric CO2 concentrations remain high? This is not to say that increased CO2 does not enhance warming from other causes. Please see links under Defending the Orthodoxy.

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Myth of Scalability of Wind Power: Proponents of wind power have assumed that wind power is virtually inexhaustible. A new study indicates that wind turbines create a wind shadow, similar to mountains creating a rain shadow. This finding questions the scalability of wind farms. Can additional turbines be added to accommodate growth in the same proportion as when first installed? Apparently, they cannot. None of the goes with the fundamental deficiency of wind power, it is unreliable.

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Barnett Shale: Key issues regarding the deep underground hydraulic fracturing and directional drilling of dense shale for oil and natural gas include the life of individual wells and the productive life of a shale formation. [Note that proper sized gravel forced into the fractures is an important component of this technology.] The results have been uneven and some wells drop off in production very quickly. This combination of techniques was first successfully applied to the Barnett Shale formation, which is includes Fort Worth and Dallas, Texas, and extends significantly to the west and south.

The Jackson School of Geosciences of the University of Texas has announced what it calls a rigorous assessment of the resources in the Barnett Shale formation. [The assessment was not yet available for public review, but the Wall Street Journal received an advanced copy.] The conclusions may be disturbing for climate change alarmists. The researchers conclude that at the current rate of drilling, the current rate of production of 2 Trillion Cubic Feet will plateau, then slowly decline to about 900 Billion Cubic Feet per year by 2030, and the formation will continue to produce for several decades later.

The base price is $4 per million BTUs (1,000 Cubic Feet), slightly higher than the price today. No doubt, this study will undergo intense scrutiny by those in the energy business and by others. The team that did the study plans to study other shale formations as well. Please see Article # 1 and links under Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?

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Keystone XL: The environmental industry has bitterly fought the upgrade and extension of the Keystone pipeline to bring oil from oil sands from Alberta, Canada, (and some oil from North Dakota) to refineries along the Gulf of Mexico. Alberta is land locked and any pipeline that does not go through the US must go over the high mountains to the West or a further distance to the east across Canadian (Laurentian) Shield in Ontario. Both routes will be very expensive and bitterly opposed. As brought up in prior TWTWs, the oil producers in Alberta are being forced to sell at a deep discount because it is difficult to bring the oil to the global market. Washington must approve the Canada – US crossing and it has delayed its decision, ostensibly for further environmental studies.

In Washington, Friday afternoons are a slow news day, and, traditionally, unwelcomed news is announced late on Fridays. This Friday, the State Department announced that it found that the pipeline will cause no significant environmental damage. [Nebraska, the other obstacle, had already announced it found no issues with the revised route.] The environmental industry will be furious. Will the administration quickly approve the pipeline, which will create thousands of jobs at no cost to the government? Or will the administration postpone any decision until after the Congressional elections in the fall of 2014? Please see links under Washington’s Control of Energy.

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Book Review: The Mad, Mad, Mad World of Climatism: Mankind and Climate Change Mania by Steve Goreham

[SEPP Comment: There are a number of books that address the failings of global warming science, but books written for the general public are rare. We asked a thirty-year-old artist to review this book. Except for one course in oceanography, she has no course work beyond basic mathematics and science. Below are her comments:]

 

Difficulties in understanding the dryer sections of the book (especially the “Positive Feedback from Water Vapor”-pg 86), but the graphs were helpful aiding to better understanding of the topics.

Misspelling on pg 113, 1st paragraph; “…severe thunderstorm warming…” I believe it should say warning.

Fully appreciate the book’s tactfulness of not coming out saying how idiotic the people of Climatism are, but using their own words to illustrate it.

The cartoons were a good visual touch in a long text.

The money aspect was quite the eye-opener and important to point out. I have never heard any of the information in classroom, media, or common conversation about Global Warming. I now really question the conviction of the leaders of this movement. Would Al Gore be into saving the Earth if he saw no money from it? Would he be spending his green to “greenerize” the Earth?

I will recommend this book to any person that I have a conversation with about Global Warming. I am keeping the book in my household for reference in future debates. When my daughter starts going to school, and they are teaching her the false facts, this book will be a tool to the truth.

The Mad, Mad, Mad World of Climatism: Mankind and Climate Change Mania by Steve Goreham, New Lenox Books, New Lenox, IL, ISBN-13: 978-0982499627, 312 pages, 113 figures, 50 sidebars, 13 cartoons; Notes, index, and bibliography

By Ellen Haapala, March 1, 2013

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Number of the Week: 0.04% or 400 ppm. On his web site, The Reference Frame, Luboš Motl presents a simple model he used to estimate when the atmospheric CO2 concentrations, as measured at Mauna Loa, Hawaii, will first record a concentration above 400 parts per million. This is not straightforward, because plant life in the Northern Hemisphere is far exceeds plant life in the Southern Hemisphere. Thus, carbon dioxide concentrations go down with the growing seasons in the Northern Hemisphere and go up when the growing seasons stop. Motl estimates that in Mid-May of 2013, the measured CO2 at Manual Loa will exceed 400 ppm, then fall back. No doubt this event will cause great consternation among global warming alarmists who prophesize calamities are about to befall the earth. However, it should be a time of rejoicing among environmentalists who recognize that plant life is benefiting from increased CO2, thus the environment is benefiting. Please see link under Seeking a Common Ground.

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ARTICLES:

For the numbered articles below please see this week’s TWTW at: http://www.sepp.org. The articles are at the end of the pdf.

1. Gas Boom Projected to Grow for Decades

By Russell Gold, WSJ, Feb 28, 2013

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323293704578330700203397128.html?mod=ITP_pageone_0

2. Desertec Industrial Initiative Drops 2050 Electricity Target

By Summer Said, WSJ, Feb 27, 2013

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323478304578330221459821536.html?mod=WSJ_Energy_2_4_Left

3. California Girds for Electricity Woes

Increased Reliance on Wind, Solar Power Means Power Production Fluctuates

By Rebecca Smith, WSJ, Feb 26, 2013

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323699704578328581251122150.html?mod=WSJ_hps_MIDDLE_Video_second

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NEWS YOU CAN USE:

 

Climategate Continued

It’s Time For The Person Who Leaked the CRU Emails To Step Forward

By Tim Ball, WUWT, Feb 27, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/02/27/its-time-for-the-person-who-leaked-the-cru-emails-to-step-forward/

Challenging the Orthodoxy

Yes! We Should Defund The U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change

By Larry Bell, Forbes, Feb 24, 2013

http://www.forbes.com/sites/larrybell/2013/02/24/yes-we-should-defund-the-u-n-s-intergovernmental-panel-on-climate-change/

[SEPP Comment: Over two decades of misleading the public is too much.]

The NOAA USHCN RAW Data from Boulder, Colorado Restore the Beginning and End of the Modern Warming Regime

By Samuel Outcalt, Professor Emeritus of Physical Geography, The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, WUWT, Feb 27, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/02/27/the-noaa-ushcn-raw-data-from-boulder-colorado-restore-the-beginning-and-end-of-the-modern-warming-regime/

[SEPP Comment: A technical presentation estimating the start of the recent warming period as 1976 and the end about 2000.]

Defending the Orthodoxy

Study of Ice Age Bolsters Carbon and Warming Link

By Justin Gillis, NYT, Mar 1, 2013

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/01/science/earth/at-ice-age-end-a-smaller-gap-in-warming-and-carbon-dioxide.html?nl=todaysheadlines&emc=edit_th_20130301&_r=0

Link to study: Synchronous Change of Atmospheric CO2 and Antarctic Temperature During the Last Deglacial Warming

By Parrenin, Masson-Delmontte, et al, Science, Mar 1, 2013

http://www.sciencemag.org/content/339/6123/1060.abstract

A Better Way to Fight Climate Change

By Jeffrey Sachs, Project Syndicate, Feb 28, 2013

http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/lessons-of-europe-s-emissions-trading-system-by-jeffrey-d–sachs

[SEPP Comment: The usual exaggerations about climate from a Special Adviser to the UN Secretary-General on the Millennium Development Goals.]

A visit to Santa Fe and James Hansen

By Robert Endlich, Climate Realists, Feb 26, 2013 [H/t Climate Depot]

http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=11204

[SEPP Comment: James Hansen doing a tap dance around a pointed question he will not answer.]

Questioning the Orthodoxy

Von Storch Blasts Climate Scientists: Not The “Keepers Of The Truth” – Says They “Oversold” The Science

By P. Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Feb 26, 2013

http://notrickszone.com/2013/02/26/von-storch-blasts-climate-scientists-not-the-keepers-of-the-truth-says-they-oversold-the-science/

[SEPP Comment: A member of the orthodoxy calling for less extremism from the warmists.]

The Carbon Cycle – Nature or Nurture?

By Ed Caryl, No Tricks Zone, Mar 2, 2013

http://notrickszone.com/2013/03/02/most-of-the-rise-in-co2-likely-comes-from-natural-sources/

[SEPP Comment: A debatable issue. But the author proposes a possible test. Should the earth begin to cool as some scientists suggest, will the CO2 concentrations start to fall?]

The price of life: the IPCC’s first and forgotten controversy

By Bernie Lewin, Bishop Hill, Feb 26, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/2/26/the-price-of-life-the-ipccs-first-and-forgotten-controversy.html

Movement! German Media Reopen Climate Discussion – Concede Warming Has Stopped, Other Factors At Play

By P. Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Feb 28, 2013

http://notrickszone.com/2013/02/28/movement-german-media-reopen-climate-discussion-concede-warming-has-stopped-and-other-factors-at-play/

Collapsing Consensus – Another German Meteorology Site Wonders About The Global Temperature Stagnation

By P. Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Feb 25, 2013

http://notrickszone.com/2013/02/25/collapsing-consensus-another-german-meteorology-site-wondering-about-the-global-temperature-stagnation/

Climate Consensus? What Climate Consensus?

By Peter Glover, Energy Tribune, Feb 25, 2013

http://www.energytribune.com/73949/climate-consensus-what-climate-consensus

Questioning European Green

The green, the crooked and the incompetent

By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Feb 25, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/2/25/the-green-the-crooked-and-the-incompetent.html

Link to minutes: https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/66751/6993-sag-meeting-minutes-11-sep-2012.pdf

[SEPP Comment: According to the minutes from the UK Department of Energy and Climate Change Science Advisory Group, the desired energy efficiency cannot be achieved if energy prices are too low! Incentives such as substantial price on carbon are needed! These bureaucrats claim they serve the public.]

One day, turning off the lights won’t be up to you

Governments have taken suicidal gambles with our energy supplies

By Christopher Booker, Telegraph, UK, Feb 23, 2013

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/9889184/One-day-turning-off-the-lights-wont-be-up-to-you.html

Is renewable energy affordable?

By Martin Livermore, Scientific Alliance, Mar 1, 2013

http://www.scientific-alliance.org/scientific-alliance-newsletter/renewable-energy-affordable

[SEPP Comment: Not if it continues to be unreliable.]

Wind farms will create more carbon dioxide, say scientists

Thousands of Britain’s wind turbines will create more greenhouse gases than they save, according to potentially devastating scientific research to be published later this year.

By Andrew Gillian, Telegraph, UK, Feb 23, 2013 [H/t Stefan Björklund]

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/windpower/9889882/Wind-farms-will-create-more-carbon-dioxide-say-scientists.html

[SEPP Comment: Based on the study, it applies only to pristine peat soils.]

The unbearable detachment of EU beings

By Pat Swords, Bishop Hill, Mar 1, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/3/1/the-unbearable-detachment-of-eu-beings.html

[SEPP Comment: If it sounds good for the environment, many politicians and bureaucrats will buy virtually any scheme from the wind industry and foist it onto the public.]

Blackout Britain: EU environmental directive puts millions at risk of power cuts

ONE million homes narrowly escaped a power cut last month as bitterly cold weather placed a massive strain on Britain’s creaking electricity network.

By Tracey Boles, Express, UK, Feb 24, 2013

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/379845/Blackout-Britain-EU-environmental-directive-puts-millions-at-risk-of-power-cuts

A New Climate Alarmist Scare About Loss of Arctic Sea Ice Volume

By James Rust, Somewhat Reasonable, Feb 24, 2013

http://blog.heartland.org/2013/02/a-new-climate-alarmist-scare-about-loss-of-arctic-sea-ice-volume/

Questioning Green Elsewhere

World cools on global warming as green fatigue sets in

Worldwide concerns about climate change have dropped dramatically since 2009

By Sam Masters, Independent, UK, Feb 27, 2013

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/world-cools-on-global-warming-as-green-fatigue-sets-in-8513826.html

[SEPP Comment: Is Steven Schneider saturation setting in?

Not easy being green

Series of disasters for the climate doomsayers

By Lawrence Solomon, Financial Post, Feb 28, 2013

http://opinion.financialpost.com/2013/02/28/lawrence-solomon-not-easy-being-green/

Green Energy Has A Brownout Problem

Editorial, IBD, Feb 27, 2013

http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/022713-646095-wind-and-solar-promise-high-cost-low-reliability.htm

Green Fantasies, Hard Realities

The only place wind energy is free and easy is in the minds of green activists.

By Donna Laframboise, NFC, Feb 28, 2013

http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2013/02/28/green-fantasies-hard-realities/

Using energy and happy about it

By Steve Goreham, Washington Times, Feb 27, 2013

http://communities.washingtontimes.com/neighborhood/climatism-watching-climate-science/2013/feb/27/using-energy-and-happy-about-it/

Green-Jobs Survey Dies as U.S. Readies Sequestration Cuts

By Lorraine Woellert & Todd Shields, Bloomberg, Mar 1, 2013

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-28/green-jobs-survey-republicans-faulted-shelved-in-cutbacks.html

[SEPP Comment: Most green jobs are traditional jobs with a special classification.]

Expanding the Orthodoxy

Bipartisan Center Outlines 50 Policy Recommendations for More Secure U.S. Energy Future

By Sonal Patel, Power News, Feb 28, 2013

http://www.powermag.com/POWERnews/5425.html?hq_e=el&hq_m=2626381&hq_l=7&hq_v=5e660500d0

[SEPP Comment: Does the nation need another bureaucracy touting unreliable wind and solar, and needless Biofuels in the name of energy security?]

White House official: Power grid upgrades needed to mitigate extreme weather

By Zack Colman, The Hill, Feb 26, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/284899-white-house-official-power-grid-upgrades-needed-to-mitigate-extreme-weather-

[SEPP Comment: As if extreme weather events never occurred before. A cover story for the real issue: expansion of the grid is needed for unreliable wind and solar.]

Did you know that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has an “associate director for climate change”? That guy suggests that CO2 causes “a huge mental toll on people”

By Tom Nelson, His Blog, Feb 27, 2013

http://tomnelson.blogspot.com/2013/02/did-you-know-that-centers-for-disease.html

[SEPP Comment: As if the climate never changed in the past. What would he have recommended during the Dust Bowl?]

Tom Ridge: ‘Climate change is a national security threat’

By Robert Vickers, Patriot News (PA), Feb 25, 2013 [H/t Timothy Wise]

http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2013/02/tom_ridge_joins_group_calling.html#incart_m-rpt-2Former

SciTech committee looks at public attitudes

By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Feb 28, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/2/28/scitech-committee-looks-at-public-attitudes.html

[SEPP Comment: One question to ask: Is climate alarmism undermining public trust in science?]

Seeking a Common Ground

Mauna Loa carbon dioxide: a fit

By Lubos Motl, Reference Frame, Feb 23, 2013

http://motls.blogspot.com/2013/02/mauna-loa-carbon-dioxide-fit.html

Communicating Better to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Vague?

Interesting Update on the Sandy “Hurricane Deductible”

By Roger Pielke, Jr, His Blog, Feb 23, 2013

http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2013/02/interesting-update-on-sandy-hurricane.html

As a case study in the application of “evidence-based policy” you won’t find a better one than the hurricane deductible. Sometimes “evidence” matters, sometimes it does not. Sometime we care about whether it matters, sometimes we do not.

Giant waves of atmospheric energy driving extreme weather

By Staff Writers, Potsdam, Germany (SPX), Feb 26, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Weather_extremes_provoked_by_trapping_of_giant_waves_in_the_atmosphere_999.html

[SEPP Comment: These climate experts should read a little about climate history, such as Lamb’s Climate, History and the Modern World.]

Given link does not work.

Blockheaded thinking on well known weather patterns and ‘extreme weather’

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Feb 27, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/02/27/blockheaded-thinking-on-well-known-weather-patterns-and-extreme-weather/

[SEPP Comment: See article immediately above.]

1970s global cooling alarmism

By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Mar 1, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/3/1/1970s-global-cooling-alarmism.html

[SEPP Comment: A reminder of the last climate change fear.]

Goodbye to a Very Green Business Week

By Alan Caruba, Warning Signs, Feb 25, 2013

http://factsnotfantasy.blogspot.com/2013/02/goodbye-to-very-green-business-week.html

Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.

Lord Lawson’s Letter to Sir Paul Nurse

By Lord Lawson, GWPF, Feb 27, 2013

http://www.thegwpf.org/lord-lawsons-letter-sir-paul-nurse/

Link to transcript by Nurse: http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/scienceshow/paul-nurse—making-science-work/4508096#transcript

Less Snow, But More Blizzards: Climate Alarmists Have it All Ways

By James Rust, Somewhat Reasonable, Feb 26, 2013

http://blog.heartland.org/2013/02/less-snow-but-more-blizzards-climate-alarmists-have-it-all-ways/

Changing Weather

Over 650 snow records set in USA this week – another wonky surface station located

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Feb 23, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/02/23/over-650-snow-records-set-in-usa-this-week-another-wonky-surface-station-located/

[SEPP Comment: Since most of the new records are in the mid-West, the alarmists cannot blame a fictional warming of the Atlantic.]

 

Overly Overcast: Germany Weathers Darkest Winter in 43 Years

By Staff Writers, Spiegel, Feb 26, 2013 [H/t Bishop Hill]

http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/germany-weathers-darkest-winter-in-43-years-a-885608.html

[SEPP Comment: 100 hours of sunshine over the meteorological winter of December to February. The average is 160 hours. Bishop Hill points out that according to Wiki, Germany is “the world’s top photovoltaics (PV) installer with a solar PV capacity as of December 2012 of more than 32.3 gigawatts.” What is the production as a percentage of installed capacity?]

The Winter of 1947 [in England]

Before “Climate Disruption” bought on heavy snows

By Paul Homewood, WUWT, Feb 25, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/02/25/the-winter-of-1947/

New satellite to warn of severe weather by watching lightning

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Mar 1, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/03/01/new-satellite-to-warn-of-severe-weather-by-watching-lightning/

Changing Climate

New paper finds no increase in tropical cyclones over past 200 years

The Hockey Schtick, Feb 28, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.uk/2013/02/new-paper-finds-no-increase-in-tropical.html

Link to paper: Reconstructing tropical cyclone frequency using hydrogen isotope ratios of sedimentary n-alkanes in northern Queensland, Australia

By Soelen, et al, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, Feb 28, 2013

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018213000953

[SEPP Comment: For the area studied.]

 

Changing Seas

New projections of ‘uneven’ global sea-level rise

By Staff Writers, London, UK (SPX), Feb 26, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/New_projections_of_uneven_global_sea_level_rise_999.html

[SEPP Comment: Areas of subsidence will have greater local sea level rise. But using projections of ice melt from unverified models is pure speculation.]

 

Fact check for Andrew Glikson – Ocean heat has paused too

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Feb 25, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/02/25/fact-check-for-andrew-glickson-ocean-heat-has-paused-too/

[SEPP Comment: The consistency of the earlier measurements is open to question.]

Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Antarctic Ice: Is It Going To Take Over The Planet?

Editorial, IBD, Feb 22, 2013

http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/022213-645488-arctic-ice-antarctic-ice-contradict-global-warming.htm

[SEPP Comment: If everyone wrote as the alarmists do!]

Agriculture Issues & Fear of Famine

Global Warming to Endanger Breakfast by 2080!!!

By David Middleton, WUWT, Feb 27, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/02/27/global-warming-to-endanger-breakfast-by-2080/

[SEPP Comment: Demolishing another alarmist farce.]

Increased greenhouse-gas intensity of rice production under future atmospheric conditions

By Kees Jan van Groenigen,, Chris van Kessel & Bruce A. Hungate, Nature Climate Change, Oct 21, 2012

http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n3/full/nclimate1712.html?WT.ec_id=NCLIMATE-201303

[SEPP Comment: Projecting a warming ranging from +0.8 °C to +6 °C!]

Review of Recent Scientific Articles by NIPCC

For a full list of articles see www.NIPCCreport.org

In Search of a CO2-Induced Increase in the Mean Rate-of-Rise of Global Sea Level

Reference: Zhang, X. and Church, J.A. 2012. Sea level trends, interannual and decadal variability in the Pacific Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters 39: 10.1029/2012GL053240.

http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/2013/feb/26feb2013a1.html

The Net Effect of Simultaneous Increases in Air Temperature and CO2 Concentration on Plant Biomass Production

Reference: Dieleman, W.I.J., Vicca, S., Dijkstra, F.A., Hagedorn, F., Hovenden, M.I., Larsen, K., Morgan, J.A., Volder, A., Beier, C., Dukes, J.S., King, J., Leuzinger, S., Linder, S., Luo, Y., Oren, R., de Angelis, P., Tingey, D., Hoosbeek, M.R. and Janssens, I.A. 2012. Simple additive effects are rare: a quantitative review of plant biomass and soil process responses to combined manipulations of CO2 and temperature. Global Change Biology 18: 2681-2693

http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/2013/feb/26feb2013a2.html

Low-Level Liquid-Containing Arctic Clouds

Reference: Cesana, G., Kay, J.E., Chepfer, H., English, J.M. and de Boer, G. 2012. Ubiquitous low-level liquid-containing Arctic clouds: New observations and climate model constraints from CALIPSO-GOCCP. Geophysical Research Letters 39: 10.1029/2012GL053385.

http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/2013/feb/26feb2013a3.html

CMIP5 Model Representations of Cloud Vertical Structure

Reference: Cesana, G. and Chepfer, H. 2012. How well do climate models simulate cloud vertical structure? A comparison between CALIPSO-GOCCP satellite observations and CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters 39: 10.1029/2012GL053153.

http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/2013/feb/26feb2013a4.html

Litigation Issues

Monckton explains why taking climate extremists to court works (and Uni Tas agrees to investigate).

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Mar 1, 2013

http://joannenova.com.au/2013/03/monckton-explains-why-taking-climate-extremists-to-court-works-and-uni-tas-agrees-to-investigate/

[SEPP Comment: Includes Monckton’s essay.]

Court ruling keeps polar bear as threatened species

By Zack Colman, The Hill, Mar 1, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/285737-court-ruling-keeps-polar-bear-as-threatened-species

[SEPP Comment: Once a Federal agency makes a scientific finding, no matter how inane, it is difficult for the public to have it overturned.]

Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Taxes

Global Warming Alarmists Chant ‘Forget The Carbon, We Demand The Tax’

By James Taylor, Forbes, Feb 28, 2013

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/28/global-warming-alarmists-chant-forget-the-carbon-we-demand-the-tax/

EU carbon market boosts emissions, NGOs say

By Nikolaj Nielsen, Euobserver, Feb 18, 2013 [H/t Catherine French]

http://euobserver.com/environment/119096

EPA and other Regulators on the March

Environmental Protection Agency Funding Up 51% Since 2008

By Fred Lucas, CNS News, Feb 27, 2013 [H/t Timothy Wise]

http://cnsnews.com/news/article/environmental-protection-agency-funding-51-2008

 

EPA Increases Mandates For Fuels That Don’t Exist

Editorial, IBD, Feb 26, 2013

http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/022613-645843-epa-mandates-fuels-that-dont-exist.htm

EPA Directs 36 States to Revise SIPs for Emissions during Plant Startup, Shutdown, Malfunction

By Staff Writer, Power News, Feb 28, 2013

http://www.powermag.com/POWERnews/5426.html?hq_e=el&hq_m=2626381&hq_l=8&hq_v=5e660500d0

[SEPP Comment: If unreliable wind and solar force startups, should the reliable sources pay for the costs.]

EPA Discovers Its ‘Renewable Fuels’ Program Is Vulnerable to Fraud

By Susan Jones, CNS News, Feb 26, 2013

http://cnsnews.com/news/article/epa-discovers-its-renewable-fuels-program-vulnerable-fraud

Chamber study claims to debunk EPA figures on job-creating regulations

By Ben Goad, The Hill, Feb 27, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/regwatch/energyenvironment/285359-chamber-study-claims-to-debunk-epas-job-creation-figures

[SEPP Comment: EPA job creation applies to the EPA.]

Energy Issues – Non-US

Deliverance from discounts and deficits

By Claudia Cattaneo, Financial Post, Feb 28, 2013

http://business.financialpost.com/2013/02/28/deliverance-from-discounts-and-deficits/?__lsa=fb40-a569

Germany lays down rules for ‘fracking’

By Staff Writers, Berlin (AFP), Feb 26, 2013

http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/Germany_lays_down_rules_for_fracking_999.html

Germany to Add Most Coal-Fired Plants in Two Decades, IWR Says

By Stefan Nicola, Bloomberg, Feb 27, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-27/germany-to-add-most-coal-fired-plants-in-two-decades-iwr-says.html

Energy Issues — US

Shell freezes Alaska drilling until 2014

By Staff Writers, Washington (AFP), Feb 27, 2013

http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/Shell_freezes_Alaska_drilling_until_2014_999.html

[SEPP Comment: No doubt, some will claim that this pause justifies a ban on further drilling.]

Dividing Fracking Regulation Efficiently

By Staff Writers, NCPA, Feb 25, 2013

http://www.ncpa.org/sub/dpd/index.php?Article_ID=22879&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=DPD

Link to report: “Institutional Choices for Regulating Oil and Gas Wells

By Lee Lane, Hudson Institute, Feb 2013

http://www.hudson.org/files/publications/Lane–OilGasWells–0213web.pdf

[SEPP Comment: The oil and gas industries are exempt from federal control under the Safe Drinking Water Act. Hydraulic fracturing of deep underground shale takes place far below water aquifers.]

Washington’s Control of Energy

Keystone XL pipeline would have little impact on climate change, State Department analysis says

By Juliet Eilperin & Steven Mufson, Washington Post, Mar 1, 2013, [H/t Cooler Heads]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/keystone-xl-pipeline-will-not-have-huge-impact-on-climate-draft-analysis-says/2013/03/01/715491b0-82a5-11e2-b99e-6baf4ebe42df_story.html

Aide distances White House from Keystone pipeline decision

By Ben Geman, The Hill, Feb 27, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/285343-aide-distances-white-house-from-keystone-pipeline-decision

EU climate chief: Obama would send ‘strong signal’ by nixing Keystone

By Ben Geman, The Hill, Feb 28, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/285505-eu-climate-chief-obama-would-send-strong-signal-by-nixing-keystone-pipeline

Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?

New, Rigorous Assessment of Shale Gas Reserves Forecasts Reliable Supply from Barnett Shale Through 2030

By J.B. Bird, Press Release, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas, Feb 28, 2013

http://www.utexas.edu/news/2013/02/28/new-rigorous-assessment-of-shale-gas-reserves-forecasts-reliable-supply-from-barnett-shale-through-2030/

For FAQ: http://www.jsg.utexas.edu/news/2013/02/frequently-asked-questions-faq-beg-barnett-shale-assessment-study/

No link to the actual study as of yet.

Shale Gas Revolution: Greatest Boom Ever For The U.S. Economy?

By Stephan Dube, Seeking Alpha, Feb 26, 2013 [H/t Gordon Fulks]

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1224031-shale-gas-revolution-greatest-boom-ever-for-the-u-s-economy?source=yahoo

[SEPP Comment: Good graphics showing the different classifications of natural gas by source.]

The End of the Shale Era: Big Shift in Junior Oil Exploration

By. James Stafford of Oilprice.com, Washington DC (SPX) Feb 25, 2013

http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/The_End_of_the_Shale_Era_Big_Shift_in_Junior_Oil_Exploration_999.html

[SEPP Comment: An executive of a mid-sized oil company is pessimistic about the future of oil from hydraulic fracturing of dense shale due to the high cost of the wells.]

Peak Oil, The Shale Boom and our Energy Future: Interview with Dave Summers

By James Stafford, Oil Price.com, Feb 28, 2013

http://oilprice.com/Interviews/Peak-Oil-The-Shale-Boom-and-our-Energy-Future-Interview-with-Dave-Summers.html

[SEPP Comment: Another pessimist.]

Domestic Oil Production At Record Level Despite Obama

Editorial, IBD, Feb 28, 2013

http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/022813-646276-obama-shuts-federal-land-oil-not-private.htm

Return of King Coal?

Coal To Win 2013 Battle With Gas, As Coal Regains Significant Generation Market Share

By John Hanger, His Blog, Feb 28, 2013 [H/t GWPF]

http://johnhanger.blogspot.co.uk/2013/02/coal-to-win-2013-battle-with-gas-as.html

Link to report: By Staff Writers, EIA, Feb 2013

http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/pdf/steo_full.pdf

[SEPP Comment: Some may strongly disagree.]

AEP to Shutter or Refuel 2 GW of Coal Power in Return for Cheaper SO2 Control Option

By Sonel Patel, Power News, Feb 28, 2013

http://www.powermag.com/POWERnews/5419.html?hq_e=el&hq_m=2626381&hq_l=9&hq_v=5e660500d0

[SEPP Comment: The litany of illnesses and deaths is pure illusion.]

NYC Mayor Bloomberg: ‘Coal is a dead man walking’

By Zack Colman, The Hill, Feb 27, 2013

http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/285217-nyc-mayor-bloomberg-coal-is-a-dead-man-walking

[SEPP Comment: Political irresponsibility.]

Oil Spills, Gas Leaks & Consequences

Deepwater Horizon: the Government on Trial?

By Bruce Thompson, American Thinker, Feb 26, 2013

http://www.americanthinker.com/2013/02/deepwater_horizon_the_government_on_trial.html

[SEPP Comment: Should the incompetence of Washington be exposed?]

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

Solar power may eclipse oil in fifty years: Shell

By Yadullah Hussain, Financial Post, Feb 28, 2013

http://business.financialpost.com/2013/02/28/solar-may-eclipse-oil-in-fifty-years-shell/?__lsa=e631-34fb

[SEPP Comment: That may become true. But it is no reason for government forcing expensive and unreliable solar on consumers today.]

Rethinking wind power

By Staff Writers, Boston MA (SPX), Feb 26, 2013

http://www.winddaily.com/reports/Rethinking_wind_power_999.html

Link to study: Are global wind power resource estimates overstated?

By Amanda Adams and David Keith, Environmental Research Letters, Feb 25, 2013

http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/015021/pdf/1748-9326_8_1_015021.pdf

Big wind just got smaller

By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Feb 26, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/2/26/big-wind-just-got-smaller.html

[SEPP Comment: See link immediately above.]

Global wind energy capacity grows 19 percent in 2012

By Staff Writers, Ottawa, Canada (SPX), Feb 25, 2013

http://www.winddaily.com/reports/Global_wind_energy_capacity_grows_19_percent_in_2012_999.html

[SEPP Comment: Why does such a growth industry need subsidies?]

Dominion Virginia’s “Green” Solar Program: Bad Economics for a Misplaced Cause

By Charles Battig, Master Resource, Feb 27, 2013

http://www.masterresource.org/2013/02/dominion-virginia-solar-program/#more-24477

[SEPP Comment: Regulated utilities love schemes that increase their costs that can be passed onto the consumer along with a profit margin on those increased costs.]

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

France seeks to boost marine energy

By Staff Writers, Cherbourg, France (UPI), Feb 27, 2013

http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/France_seeks_to_boost_marine_energy_999.html

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles

Delaware Taxpayers on the ‘Green’ Hook as Fisker Can’t Pay Bills

By Alyssa Carducci, Heartland, Feb 7, 2013

http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2013/02/07/delaware-taxpayers-green-hook-fisker-cant-pay-bills

California Dreaming

Golden State’s green jobs bust

By Conn Carol, Washington Examiner, Feb 27, 2013

http://washingtonexaminer.com/day-4-californias-green-jobs-bust/article/2522728

[SEPP Comment: One article of a five part series.]

Environmental Industry

Greens and the rule of law

By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Feb 28, 2013

http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/2/28/greens-and-the-rule-of-law.html

[SEPP Comment: Greenpeace guilty of piracy?]

Kenji sniffs out stupid claims by the Union of Concerned Scientists

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Feb 26, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/02/26/kenji-sniffs-out-stupid-claims-by-the-union-of-concerned-scientists/

[SEPP Comment: Anthony’s dog, Kenji, is an official member of the Union of Concerned Scientists which “puts rigorous, independent science to work to solve our planet’s most pressing problems.”]

Other Scientific News

Deep Impact

What Exploded over Russia?

By Tony Phillips for NASA Science News, Huntsville AL (SPX), Feb 28, 2013

http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/What_Exploded_over_Russia_999.html

Researchers Find New Information About ‘Snowball Earth’ Period

By Staff Writers, Science Daily, Feb 28, 2013 [H/t WUWT]

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/02/130228155626.htm

Link to Article: Sedimentary constraints on the duration of the Marinoan Oxygen-17 Depletion (MOSD) event. By Killingsworth, Hayles, Zhu, and Gao, PNAS, No date

http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/02/05/1213154110.1

[SEPP Comment: Did extremely high concentrations of atmospheric CO2 save the earth from the snowball’s grasp? What caused the increase in CO2?]

Dust’s excellent global adventure ends in California’s Sierra Nevada

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Mar 1, 2013

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/03/01/dusts-excellent-global-adventure-ends-in-californias-sierra-nevada/#more-81090

[SEPP Comment: Anthony adds an interesting portrait of global aerosols to the dusty article.]

NASA Deciphering the Mysterious Math of the Solar Wind

By Karen C. Fox for Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt MD (SPX) Feb 27, 2013

http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/NASA_Deciphering_the_Mysterious_Math_of_the_Solar_Wind_999.html

NASA’s Aquarius Sees Salty Shifts

By Maria-Jose Vinas for Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt MD (SPX) Feb 28, 2013

http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/NASAs_Aquarius_Sees_Salty_Shifts_999.html

Other News that May Be of Interest

Russia calls for united meteor defense

By Staff Writers, Krasnogorsk, Russia (UPI), Feb 26, 2013

http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Russia_calls_for_united_meteor_defense_999.html

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BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:

The Russian Meteor and Global Warming

By Roger Pielke Jr, His Blog, Feb 24, 2013

http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2013/02/the-russian-meteor-and-global-warming.html

[SEPP Comment: Sometimes humor is much needed.]

Sir Ranulph Fiennes’ frostbite highlights global warming

By Lubos Motl, Reference Frame, Feb 27, 2013

http://motls.blogspot.com/2013/02/sir-ranulph-fiennes-frostbite.html#more

[SEPP Comment: Using simple numbers, Motl explains the foolishness of such ideas to publicize global warming, which is no longer occurring. Assume global warming contributed 0.3 °C to the temperatures of the Antarctic. “But there’s still about 50 °C by which Antarctica is colder than what your fingers would find comfortable!”]

Geoengineering by coalition

By Staff Writers, Washington DC (SPX), Feb 26, 2013

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Geoengineering_by_coalition_999.html

[SEPP Comment: Protect us from the sun!]

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14 thoughts on “Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

  1. And the third question was: Could the Sun (or cosmic rays) be responsible for the major warming of 20th century? A graph by E Friis-Christensen and K Lassen, published in Science, shows a strong relationship between the temperature anomaly (departure from the normal) and the sunspot cycle length while the relationship between temperature anomaly and CO2 concentration is much weaker. The follow-up is an admission by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) appearing in the Second Order Draft of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) that cosmic ray changes can affect earth’s clouds and climate.
    (1) The Friis-Christensen graph and claim have already been thoroughly debunked
    (2) IPCC did not admits any such relationship. They noted that there were claims of such, but then went one to judge those claims to be without merit.

    It is sad that the skeptic ’cause’ need to be propped up with such dubious points.

  2. Lord Lawson’s quote should be the quote of the year. Nurse probably thought he could get away with such an insult down in Australia after releasing a text of the speech that did not have the offensive language in it. But he got caught.

    Nurse should, of course, resign as President of the Royal Society, but as he is apparently incapable of shame or doing the right thing, I expect that will not happen.

  3. :D Love the Funny Pages !

    Looks like Obama is trying to pull a George (Johnny) Walker Bush and fein drunkenness, as if he ever needed to fein drunkenness as we all know he (and Obama) is drunk 24/7/365 (+1 per leap year).

    Guess he (Obama) will stumble along while trying to find the door, the out door. Yet such an elusive beast is a nightmare on Elm Street when thee be surrounded by thee Press.

    Hardy har har.

    XD

  4. Antarctic Ice Cores: Using a new technique, a recently published study indicates that the estimated temperatures from Antarctic ice cores are more in parallel with estimate CO2 concentrations that prior research had indicated with changes in temperatures leading changes in temperatures by about 800 years plus or minus several hundred years.

    (My bold) I presume this is SEPP’s error, but I don’t see a quick way to call their attention to it.

  5. Did you mean that changes in temperatures leading changes in CO2…??? Something seriously wrong with that sentence…

    “prior research had indicated with changes in temperatures leading changes in temperatures by about 800 years plus or minus several hundred years.”

  6. “…plant life in the Northern Hemisphere is far exceeds plant life in the Southern Hemisphere. Thus, carbon dioxide concentrations go down with the growing seasons in the Northern Hemisphere and go up when the growing seasons stop. “

    Perhaps it should be noted that during the NH growing season, the SH oceans (which far exceed the NH sea surface) are dropping in temperature, increasing their ability to absorb carbon dioxide.

  7. Leif says: “IPCC did not admits any such relationship [that cosmic ray changes can affect earth’s clouds and climate]. They noted that there were claims of such, but then went one to judge those claims to be without merit.”

    He is wrong as usual. What the IPCC admitted is that there is EVIDENCE that changes in cosmic rays (or changes in the solar activity that modulates cosmic rays) can affect earth’s climate. They then went on to consider one possible mechanism that might account for that evidence (the GCR-cloud mechanism), estimated that it would be a weak effect, and used this as an excuse for ignoring the evidence that they had already admitted to: that SOME mechanism of solar amplification seems to be at work.

    In other words, they used theory (their dismissive assessment of the GCR-cloud theory) to dismiss evidence, an exact inversion of the scientific method, and Leif backs this definitional anti-science every chance he gets.

  8. “There is little doubt that these events will continue to become worse, the hottest temperature will become hotter, of longer duration and more frequent,” said Professor Steffen, who authored the report.[Angry Summers]

    “This is virtually certain because of the extra heat that is in the atmosphere … We have a climate on steroids.”

    At the going down of the sun and in the morning we Will remember those brave words.
    Lest we forget steroids man-

    http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/breaking-news/summer-was-hottest-ever-report/story-e6freuz0-1226589614861

    We’ll all look forward to your picture being juxtaposed so scintillatingly alongside the other great predictors and prevaricators of our times-

    http://blogs.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/timblair/index.php/dailytelegraph/comments/embiggen_the_unfillable_dams/

  9. I should let JoNova explain in detail how our BOM primed the Federal election year ether, ready for the public statements by the usual cacophany of catastrophists on steroids-

    http://joannenova.com.au/2013/03/mystery-black-box-method-used-to-make-all-new-australian-hottest-ever-records/

    The climate and weather realists among you will note the very familiar strain of ‘scientific methodology’ at work here again, hot on the heels of Steve McKintyre’s expose’ of Mannian graphicss at the AGU.These taxeaters all dress and sing from the same hymn book.

  10. Dear Isvalgaard, Being as I am only a lowly peasant,I have taken notice of what I believe is factual. In our history the sun has been monitored,in a primitive but scientific manner. Rather oddly the temperature of the Earth has followed the moods of the sun historically.

    To me this would suggest that the reasons for the suns moods and those moods effect on us is the most important thing to study for all those scientists worried about our climate. We have but one source that gives us life, if switched off we are but a dead cold rock in the void.

    The influences on the sun seem to be manifold, and subtle over long periods, the synodic periods of glaciation and interglacials give us some clues as to where to look for our suns behaviour, and, the peregrinations of the Earth seem to fit into a pattern that needs exploration by worthy scientists. Blaming our planets interglacials or ice ages on CO2 seems a far fetch.

    Thus I ask all those with the mathematics and scientific background to dig deeper, for it is coldening that is the curse of our planet.

  11. Ice cores: I don’t quite get how a change from 800 yr CO2 lag to 200 yr CO2 lag (or less!) disproves skeptic arguments as the lag still exisits. Was there an increase in the temperature rate as CO2 increased? I am not qualified to judge the paper’s results but the NYT proves themselves to be activists by the hatchet job of reporting on this paper. 25 foot sea level rise? Give me a break!

  12. Regarding the new study which attempts to re-write the timelines of the CO2 versus Temperature lag in the Antarctic ice cores, I wouldn’t put any stock in it.

    http://www.sciencemag.org/content/339/6123/1060

    CO2 changes lag behind by 800 to 2000 years after the temperature changes in the ice cores but this study argues that the gas is really 500 years older than previously estimated. It takes time for the gas bubbles to be fully encapsulated (not sure why they only used 500 years in this study versus the 800 year lag commonly quoted but that is what their data shows – they moved it back 400 to 500 years).

    However, the facts are that glacial ice only takes to 25 to 100 years to become solid.

    The high resolution Law Dome ice cores, show that there is only a lag of 30 years before the CO2 is fully trapped and does not change.

    1939 ice (ice from snow which fell in 1939 and becomes fully solid glacial ice by 1969) traps 1969-type CO2 levels in it – 323 ppm CO2.

    This lag extends all the way through the record so that we can see 1738 ice for example (snow which fell in 1738) already starts to show the rise in CO2 at the start of the industrial revolution from 1765. This study would suggest it would be impossible for that.

    So, there is no 500 year delay in CO2. On its face, this new study is just another attempt at distorting history but it is already making the rounds and will enter the myth-making hall that climate science is increasingly based on. It also implies that ice now forming from snow that fell in 1980 and buried 30 feet down, is trapping CO2 from the year 2480 in it, a time machine.

    Law Dome CO2 record, the highest resolution ice core there is.

    ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/icecore/antarctica/law/law_co2.txt

  13. Alec Rawls says:
    March 3, 2013 at 11:37 pm
    What the IPCC admitted is that there is EVIDENCE that changes in cosmic rays (or changes in the solar activity that modulates cosmic rays) can affect earth’s climate.
    They admitted that there are CLAIMS of evidence, thne go on to show that the claims don’t hold up and that the mechanism the claimants advocate is not sufficient. Even the authors of that section in the assessment stress that your interpretation of ther language is wrong.

    wayne Job says:
    March 4, 2013 at 2:14 am
    Blaming our planets interglacials or ice ages on CO2 seems a far fetch.
    Nobody blames CO2 for that. The real cause of interglacials and ice ages is the planet Jupiter, changing the shape of the Earth’s orbit. These changes and the climate changes they cause have nothing to do with the ‘moods’ of the Sun.

  14. So, ravaged peatlands will release humongous amounts of CO2! The first good argument for building windfarms that I’ve read.

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