Tips and Notes

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Cleaned 03/12/17

1. Be sure to check the front page of WUWT first, we often get duplicate tips here of stories already posted, sometimes days later.

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932 thoughts on “Tips and Notes

  1. Just had Norton [Symantec] telling me WUWT is an unsecured (I think) site.
    Now back.
    Possibly others, too have had that.
    Then trouble getting this [big] page to load.
    Now all seems fine.

    Was commenting on another thread about 12-15 minutes ago.

    Auto.

  2. A VERY interesting BBC story (well, it interested me…), though not directly about Climate Change….

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-40465399

    It’s about the Grenfell fire disaster. It’s an examination of how dangerous cladding can still obtain approval for use in housing. And it describes all the tricks that the ‘scientific experts’ use to produce documentation that seems to argue that the cladding is safe.

    No one seems to have noticed yet, but the tricks, and the general attitude lying behind the aim of corrupting civil engineering so as to enable profit to be made are exactly the same as the techniques used to corrupt climate science to enable profit to be made….

  3. Its Official
    https://www.businessinsider.com.au/climate-change-solutions-united-nations-2017-6

    A group of scientists says we have three years to save the planet from irreversible destruction
    Read more at https://www.businessinsider.com/climate-change-solutions-united-nations-2017-6#GvfAyP5uKswBxBDO.99

    BRIEFING
    A group of scientists says we have three years to save the planet from irreversible destruction
    LEANNA GARFIELD
    JUN 30, 2017, 6:01 AM
    FACEBOOK
    TWITTER
    REDDIT
    LINKEDIN
    EMAIL
    image: https://static.businessinsider.com/image/5542a0be6bb3f7c94082a699-1200/image.jpg

    Muir glacier 2 Alaska
    NASA
    Photos of Alaska’s Muir Glacier in August 1941 (L) and August 2004 (R).
    A planet devastated by climate change may seem like a distant future. But Earth is already experiencing effects today.

    Globally, the mean rate of sea level
    rise increased 50% in the last two decades. In 2017, temperatures have already reached their highest levels in history in some areas, from California to Vietnam. And the past three years were the hottest on record.

    In a new open letter, six prominent scientists and diplomats, including former UN climate chief Christiana Figueres and physicist Stefan Rahmstorf, wrote that the world has approximately three years before the worst effects of climate change take hold. Published June 28, the letter urges governments, businesses, scientists, and citizens to address the world’s greenhouse-gas emissions now.

    Read more at https://www.businessinsider.com/climate-change-solutions-united-nations-2017-6#GvfAyP5uKswBxBDO.99

    Looks like the pause has not filtered through.

  4. What do you do when you can’t trump the biggest bogeyman ever invented in catastrophic anthropogenic global warming and the dumb deplorables don’t seem to be alarmed enough or the evidence is wearing a bit thin and not cutting through? We even had a speculative post on that as to what would be the next big thing for the doomsayers and a number of possibilities were postulated.

    Well it seems Friends of the Earth have hit upon the obvious. You go to the other end of the spectrum and start banging on about the microscopic doom facing us all along with the babies and fluffy kittens-
    http://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/parenting/babies/potentially-dangerous-nanoparticles-found-in-australian-baby-formula/news-story/8cdf31244446a02d95c35b3ee5f27671
    They have form-
    http://www.foe.org.au/whats-story-nanoparticles-sunscreen
    even though when you read between the lines-
    “Some industry spokespeople have argued there are nanoparticles in everything and that our body does appear to have defences to deal with these. It’s true that any finely ground powder will have a small tail end of nanoparticles. However, it can’t be assumed that because our body has the defences to deal with occasional nanoparticles that it can deal with products that are entirely comprised of nanoparticles.”

    Just as it can’t be assumed that because a giant asteroid didn’t hit us last week it won’t tomorrow so naturally the precautionary principle applies as usual.
    Welcome to nano-doom. Oh and send more grants naturally.

  5. http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/06/30/fake-news-associated-press-engulfed-in-cnn-level-scandal-as-it-covers-up-invention-of-imaginary-pruitt-meeting/

    Fake News: Associated Press Engulfed in CNN-Level Scandal as It Covers Up Invention of Imaginary Pruitt Meeting

    “The Associated Press is at it again, pushing more fake news. Sadly, the once-great news wire service is trying to cover up its mistake—nearly the exact mistake that cost three editorial staffers at CNN their jobs in a scandal that first exploded a week ago today.

    A Breitbart News investigation has led to the correction by the Associated Press–which originally resisted–of the fake news it printed as deeper questions of responsibility, accountability, and journalistic ethics consume the AP heading into Fourth of July weekend.

    This time, the Associated Press invented an imaginary meeting between EPA administrator Scott Pruitt and Dow Chemical CEO Andrew Liveris, and then alleged that some kind of impropriety happened as a result.

    This is exactly the same mistake CNN made a week ago, when it alleged that Anthony Scaramucci—the founder of SkyBridge Capital and an associate and ally of President Donald Trump—held “meetings” with Russian investment fund leaders and was under investigation by the Senate Intelligence Committee and Treasury Department as a result.

    A Breitbart News investigation uncovered that no such “meetings” took place, the Senate Intelligence Committee was not investigating the matter, and the Treasury Department had already—at the urging of Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) to now Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin before Trump’s inauguration—looked into it and determined the matter to be entirely “without merit.”

    end excerpt

    We are living in an environment where the MSM will deliberately lie in order to promote the socialist agenda. This affects all areas of our lives including the debate on human-caused climate change.

    The Leftstream Media is not to be believed. The truth is not in them. They have an agenda to push.

  6. Can WUWT please add Prince Charles’ “100 months to save the planet” to its Climate Fail page, given that it is now 100 months since March, 2009?

  7. This is from wikipaedia under ‘Clean Development Mechanism’.

    Maybe someone more informed than I can confirm if I understand it correctly. It seems that this ‘mechanism’ allows carbon credits (CERs) – also known as cash? – to be given to India and China when they build coal-fired power stations. Is this an admission that the overt aims of climate chamge intiatives are just a front?

    “Coal thermal power generation in India and China

    In July 2011, Reuters reported that a 4,000 MW coal thermal electricity generation plant in Krishnapatnam in Andhra Pradesh had been registered with the CDM. CDM Watch and the Sierra Club criticised the plant’s registration and its eligibility for certified emission reduction units as clearly not additional. A CDM spokesperson dismissed these claims. According to information provided to Reuters, there are total of five coal-fired electricity plants registered with the CDM, four in India with a capacity of 10,640 MW and one 2,000 MW plant in China. The five plants are eligible to receive 68.2 million CERs over a 10-year period with an estimated value of 661 million euros ($919 million) at a CER price of 9.70 euros.[70]

    In September 2012, the Executive Board of the Clean Development Mechanism adopted rules confirming that new coal thermal power generation plants could be registered as CDM projects and could use the simplified rules called ‘Programmes of Activities’. The organisation CDM-Watch described the decision as inconsistent with the objective of the CDM as it subsidised the construction of new coal power plants. CDM-Watch described the CERs that would be issued as “non-additional dirty carbon credits”.[71]”

  8. http://idahonews.com/news/nation-world/un-chief-us-may-meet-paris-climate-goals-despite-exit

    UN chief: US may meet Paris climate goals despite exit

    “U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres says the United States may meet the Paris climate agreement’s targets despite pulling out of the deal.

    Guterres says Michael Bloomberg, a U.N. special envoy on climate change, is “convinced” the U.S. will reach the Paris goals. Guterres says that’s because some U.S. states, cities and businesses are committed to green energy regardless of the federal government.”

    end excerpt

    I’m still wondering which one of these States, Cities and Businesses are going to be contributing to the UN Green Climate Fund, and how much. The U.S. was going to be putting in $100 billion per year under the Paris Accord. I doubt these virtue signalers are going to be putting up anything like that kind of cash.

  9. Just in case my wording was ambiguous –
    notice I said “An extract from the latest climate garbage (IMHO) by ” dozens of laboratories around the world, including CSIRO, the Bureau of Meteorology’s Cape Grim Station, NOAA, AGAGE and the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, among others.””

  10. Delayed North Atlantic [SST Anomaly] Response to Solar Forcing of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex
    A delayed response of the winter North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) to the 11-year solar cycle has been observed and modeled in recent studies. However, the mechanisms creating this 2-4-year delay to the solar cycle have still not been well-understood. This study examines the effects of the 11-year solar cycle and the resulting modulation in the strength of the winter stratospheric polar vortex. A coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model is used to simulate these effects by introducing a mechanistic forcing in the stratosphere. The intensified stratospheric polar vortex is shown to induce positive and negative ocean temperature anomalies in the North Atlantic Ocean. The positive ocean temperature anomaly migrated northward and was amplified when it approached an oceanic frontal zone approximately 3 years after the forcing became maximum. This delayed ocean response is similar to that observed. The result of this study supports oa previous hypothesis that suggests that the 11-year solar cycle signals on the Earth’s surface are produced through a downward penetration of the changes in the stratospheric circulation. Furthermore, the spatial structure of the signal is modulated by its interaction with the ocean circulation.

    https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/13/0/13_2017-010/_article

    Full paper:
    https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/13/0/13_2017-010/_pdf

  11. Bus test driving on Formic Acid. Using formic acid, a liquid at room temperature, as hydrogen carrier. Catalytically released Hydrogen fed into fuel cell generating electricity.

    The formic acid is synthetised from water and CO2. At the end of the cycle CO2 returned to atmosphere. Claimed efficiency of prototype is 33%, higher than the about 25% of using high pressure Hydrogen.

    http://www.teamfast.nl

    DutchNews.nl

    • This purported rebuttal actially confirms the original point made. It says 2.4 years for an Audi 6 at 15000 m/year. A smaller car uses less fuel and at 20000 m/yr which is what my other half does in her Toyota you easily getup to 8 years.

  12. http://dailycaller.com/2017/07/05/exclusive-study-finds-temperature-adjustments-account-for-nearly-all-of-the-warming-in-climate-data/

    EXCLUSIVE: Study Finds Temperature Adjustments Account For ‘Nearly All Of The Warming’ In Climate Data

    “A new study found adjustments made to global surface temperature readings by scientists in recent years “are totally inconsistent with published and credible U.S. and other temperature data.”

    “Thus, it is impossible to conclude from the three published GAST data sets that recent years have been the warmest ever – despite current claims of record setting warming,” according to a study published June 27 by two scientists and a veteran statistician.

    The peer-reviewed study tried to validate current surface temperature datasets managed by NASA, NOAA and the UK’s Met Office, all of which make adjustments to raw thermometer readings. Skeptics of man-made global warming have criticized the adjustments.

    Climate scientists often apply adjustments to surface temperature thermometers to account for “biases” in the data. The new study doesn’t question the adjustments themselves but notes nearly all of them increase the warming trend.

    Basically, “cyclical pattern in the earlier reported data has very nearly been ‘adjusted’ out” of temperature readings taken from weather stations, buoys, ships and other sources.

    In fact, almost all the surface temperature warming adjustments cool past temperatures and warm more current records, increasing the warming trend, according to the study’s authors.

    “Nearly all of the warming they are now showing are in the adjustments,” Meteorologist Joe D’Aleo, a study co-author, told The Daily Caller News Foundation in an interview. “Each dataset pushed down the 1940s warming and pushed up the current warming.”

    “You would think that when you make adjustments you’d sometimes get warming and sometimes get cooling. That’s almost never happened,” said D’Aleo, who co-authored the study with statistician James Wallace and Cato Institute climate scientist Craig Idso.

    Their study found measurements “nearly always exhibited a steeper warming linear trend over its entire history,” which was “nearly always accomplished by systematically removing the previously existing cyclical temperature pattern.”

    “The conclusive findings of this research are that the three [global average surface temperature] data sets are not a valid representation of reality,” the study found. “In fact, the magnitude of their historical data adjustments, that removed their cyclical temperature patterns, are totally inconsistent with published and credible U.S. and other temperature data.”

    Based on these results, the study’s authors claim the science underpinning the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) authority to regulate greenhouse gases “is invalidated.”

    end excerpt

    Well, maybe there is a day of reckoning coming for the dishonest temperature record manipulators. The world will finally understand what a big lie they have been told by these charlatans.

  13. I made the mistake of trying to contact the Premier of South Australia to tell them that battery backup and storage was folly. They seem to have seen that as an invitation to send me their propaganda. I feel keeping a record here will be a great way to test whether or not their views are correct and help hold them to account. Fortunately I live in Western Australia where some smart politicans made attempts to reserve gas for domestic use and so we have no energy crisis over here and the cheapest electricity in Australia (even if the government is having to jack up prices because the previous government mismanaged the finances leaving the State worse than broke):

    South Australia is already leading the nation – today, we are leading the world.

    Today, we announced the world’s largest battery will be built in South Australia, under a historic agreement between French renewable energy company Neoen, US sustainable energy company Tesla and the South Australian Government.

    The battery will be located near Jamestown in the state’s north alongside Neoen’s Hornsdale wind farm.

    As promised, it will be built in 100 days or it’s free, ensuring it is in place before summer. The 100 day count will begin once the grid interconnection agreement has been signed.

    In March, we took a bold step forward to take charge of our energy future – and put forward a plan to deliver reliable and affordable power for all South Australians which included, among other things, a grid-level battery.

    This 100MW grid-level lithium ion battery will operate around the clock, providing stability services for renewable energy, while also being available to provide emergency back-up power when needed.

    This significant project will help bring new industries and jobs to South Australia.

    Importantly, it will improve reliability and drive down prices.

    Today’s announcement will make South Australia more self-reliant for its power.

    To find out more about Our Energy Plan, visit http://www.ourenergyplan.sa.gov.au

    Jay Weatherill
    Premier

  14. http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-american-mind-may-2017/

    40% of Americans think global warming will cause humans to become extinct. I don’t know of a single model supporting this belief. Most of the social cost of carbon is driven by increasing air conditioning costs in China (http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S2010007817500099?src=recsys). Scientists should improve their communication about what the realistic risks of climate change are.

  15. http://www.breitbart.com/tech/2017/07/06/nasa-seeks-nuclear-reactors-to-act-as-energy-source-for-future-mars-exploration/

    NASA Seeks Nuclear Reactors to Act as Energy Source for Future Mars Exploration

    “Scientific American reports that as part of their plans for a manned expedition to Mars, NASA has begun researching nuclear fission reactors that would provide power to equipment on the planet. For the past three years, NASA’s technology development branch has been funding a project called Kilopower which has been developing working nuclear fission reactors that can be transported to Mars. The project is set to be tested for the first time at the Nevada National Security Site near Las Vegas in September of 2018.”

    end excerpt

  16. http://dailycaller.com/2017/07/07/new-satellite-data-still-shows-less-global-warming-than-climate-models/

    New Satellite Data Still Shows Less Global Warming Than Climate Models

    “Satellite temperature data still shows about 40 percent less warming than the average climate model trend, despite more warming being added to the satellite record after researchers corrected for decaying satellite orbits.

    The new updates, published in a recent study, increased the post-1998 warming trend 140 percent for the Remote Sensing System (RSS) satellite temperature database. Now, RSS shows more global warming than surface temperature records.

    RSS still shows less warming than the average climate model predictions, according to a climate scientist who operates a competing satellite temperature data set.

    “Our globally-averaged trend is now about +0.12 C/decade, while the new RSS trend has increased to about +0.17 C/decade,” Dr. Roy Spencer wrote on his blog Thursday.

    “Note these trends are still well below the average climate model trend for [the lower troposphere (LT)], which is +0.27 C/decade,” wrote Spencer, who co-manages satellite-derived temperature data out of the University of Alabama-Huntsville.”

    end excerpt

  17. Power Grid is being tested today in California. Maximum demand projected at 46,000 MW or a bit more around 6 pm local. Good thing, though, the solar panels are all working just fine. Solar (PV plus thermal, grid-scale only) is producing right at 9,000 MW at the noon hour, with wind expected to pick up in the late afternoon (as usual) for around 2000 to 3000 MW. Marginal energy cost (per CAISO-fifteen minute) is $44.54 per MWh. That’s just 4.4 cents per kWh.

    A fine day, actually. Total renewables is 11,000 MW at the moment, with zero problems on the grid.

    Makes one wonder why the Europeans cannot figure this out, also.

  18. I agree with comments supporting this initiative.
    I have trouble explaining some of the detail and concepts to those unfamiliar with the climate debate. I find that diagrams with references to their source the best way to open up any discussion.

  19. Can someone explain to me the logic that is supposed to be in this article that links ‘climate change’ to damage to oysters’ ecoystems? http://features.weather.com/us-climate-change/washington/

    -As they say in the article, pH below 7 is acidic, and above 7 is basic.
    -Historical open ocean pH levels in the area have been around 8.1.
    -They recently measured the levels at a pH of 7.75.
    -This level is described as “a corrosive tipping point for the coast”
    -However this level is still basic.
    -Additionally as water warms, it out-gasses CO2.
    -They also cited a bunch of local polluting factors, but ‘climate change’ is the big ogre in the room.

    I am not getting it. How does a still-basic pH level of seawater become a ‘corrosive tipping point’? Any mollusk experts around?

  20. Saw this several years ago. If the environment is the issue, then forget reducing fossil fuel use…

    “In the 1960s Zimbabwean wildlife biologist-farmer Allan Savory made a significant breakthrough in understanding what was causing the degradation and desertification of the world’s grassland ecosystems and developed a way to restore the land to health using livestock as his primary tool.
    For centuries we believed livestock were a major cause of desertification, but Savory’s research showed that the cause lay in how those livestock were managed. His solution involved mimicking the behavior of the formerly vast herds of wild grazing animals he had witnessed as a young biologist. He devised a simple method any pastoralist can use to move massive amounts of carbon and water from the atmosphere back to the soil and begin reversing thousands of years of human-caused desertification – on the scale required, which no technology imaginable can accomplish. In the process, we can feed more people and enhance societal well-being.”

    Savory caused the slaughter of 40,000 elephants to save South African grasslands only to realize later that was the exact wrong thing to have done. Be forewarned he is a AGW believer, but with a different solution.

    http://www.savory.global/institute/#our-strategy

  21. My Bad.
    But ‘birds of a feather, flock together’ Aesop
    http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/728972/imf-chief-were-cooked-if-we-fail-on-climate-change

    —International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde said Wednesday that failure to take urgent action on global warming will condemn humanity to the same fate as the Peruvian poultry that so many delegates to the group’s annual meeting are enjoying this week in a country famed for its cuisine.
    “If we collectively chicken out of this we’ll all turn into chickens and we’ll all be fried, grilled, toasted and roasted,” said Lagarde.

  22. http://dailycaller.com/2017/07/08/listen-to-trumps-energy-secretary-slap-down-new-york-times-reporter-on-coal-audio/

    Listen To Trump’s Energy Secretary Slap Down New York Times Reporter On Coal

    “Perry was touring the Longview Power Plant specially to see how a highly efficient clean coal projects worked.

    Longview produces 700 net megawatts of electric power with a highly efficient heat rate of 8,700 Btu/per kilowatt-hour. That rate surpasses any other comparable coal-fired power plants in the country.”

    end excerpt

  23. This, for the battery-bears; those who fervently believe battery technology at grid-scale is a myth. News flash: it’s real, it’s here, and many of them are installed and working as designed. Australia has purchased a 100 MW battery from Tesla, for the grid and to assist with wind-turbine issues. The battery uses Li-Ion technology.

    https://www.tesla.com/en_EU/blog/tesla-powerpack-enable-large-scale-sustainable-energy-south-australia?redirect=no

  24. Top American Climatologist, an expert in climate modeling, exposes the fallacy that current climate models provide a realistic or reliable prediction of future climate change. In a 1-2-3 step guide to disposing of the global warming debate Dr. Duane Thresher says successful modeling with modern computers is “mathematically impossible.”

    Dr Thresher is among the elite of computer climate modelers. He has performed extensive work in climate proxy modeling at the University of Alaska and the Alfred Wegener Institute, Germany. He earned his PhD in Earth & Environmental Sciences (climate modeling/proxies) from Columbia University and at NASA he worked for Dr. James Hansen, the father of global warming, and Dr. Gavin Schmidt.

  25. I woke this morning and looked at the pacific water vapor maps and what do I see, a circulation pattern and an eye in the middle. Is this a real picture? Where is the news on this.

  26. The Newark (NJ) Star-Ledger has a scare story in today’s Sunday paper regarding forest loss due to sea level rise in the Pine Barrens of southeastern NJ. Although they mention land subsidence, they seem to wholly blame man-made climate change for sea level rise and encroachment on White ash forests and subsequent mortification, and they aver that the only fix for this is to refrain from emitting carbon.

    Here is the link:

    http://www.nj.com/entertainment/index.ssf/2017/06/new_jersey_ghost_forest_pine_barrens_climate_chang.html

  27. Tesla to build world’s biggest lithium ion battery in South Australia.

    On Friday the state’s premier, Jay Weatherill, confirmed the deal, which forms a key part of the government’s $550m energy plan.

    The state government said Musk had confirmed his pledge made on Twitter in March that he could deliver the battery within 100 days of signing the contract or it would be delivered free.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/jul/07/tesla-to-build-worlds-biggest-lithium-ion-battery-in-south-australia

  28. The G20 Annex on climate and energy
    https://www.g20.org/Content/DE/_Anlagen/G7_G20/2017-g20-climate-and-energy-en.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=5

    has many items of interest. One of the most marvelous distortions is the following section on subsidies

    “F.2. Inefficient Fossil Fuel Subsidies that Encourage Wasteful Consumption”

    Needless to say , there is no corresponding section on subsidies for renewables.

    They still promote a $100 billion per year fund to reach that value in 2020 and continue to 2025.

  29. http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-40518995

    The future of all alternative energy devices that never should have seen the light of day.

    Building these monstrosities is a waste of tax payers money, time effort and sensibilities.

    If you truly believe that the planet is in distress there is really only one answer to the energy solution, as per Dr Micheal Mann, James Lovelock and a host of other leading edge “greenies”, and that is go Nuclear. Because that is unpalatable to “middle earth greenies”, we are encouraged to invest in pipe dream garbage like this piece of floating, fit only for scrap, junk instead….

  30. [snip – Links with no commentary get snipped. Please provide some context and description to accompany any links. -mod]

  31. Rush Holt, CEO of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) has sent out a fund raising letter to members declaring “Choosing not to address climate change would put current and future generations at great risk.”
    The body of the email claims, “At AAAS, we do not have a partisan political agenda. But we do have an urgent mandate to rise up when others seemingly ignore evidence or attempt to manipulate science for political purposes. Whether it is dismissing science advisors at the EPA, ending cooperation to deal with climate change, or trying to curtail biomedical research—all of us are affected.
    It’s up to us, as science advocates, to do everything we can to support research and innovation, to see that scientific understanding is sought and provided, and to fight crippling attacks to the science enterprise. AAAS is leading the way, but we need your help to continue to protect the advancement of science and give policymakers the tools they need to make evidence-based decisions. ”
    I, for one, am a scientist NOT a science advocate. And it is my evidence-based conclusion that the global warming hypothesis is disproven. To insist that future generations are at risk from a non-problem is to engage not just in advocacy, but in fear mongering. *sigh* This is where my money goes.

    • Mumbles–I saw that too, and just commented on it at Tony’s blog. While truly a creative and entertaining read (along the lines of The Book of Revelation), there are so many factual inaccuracies one simply cannot keep track. And yes, the visuals are a nice touch. Perhaps some bedtime reading for my children–so I commit legal child abuse? Unbelievable. Just disgusting.

  32. https://lnkd.in/f8j34Pe

    A shame to lose such a sensible and competent scientist. His name first came to my attention in the 90’s when the then Green Peace CEO, Stephanie Mills, came door knocking looking for money and I explained that I couldn’t support such an extreme organisation as hers and questioned their take on AGW, or dangerous Sea Level Rise as was being promoted then in the early 90’s. She accused me of colluding with Prof De Freitas, someone I have never met unfortunately. I have since read his papers and often refer to his commentary when addressing the AGW topic. He demonstrated back in 2002 that the Climate Models were in fact useless and did not reflect the transient climate sensitivity observed. https://lnkd.in/f-ZhyHX

    A run in with Nano Girl last year even exposed her ignorance of his position on AGW, despite the fact she no doubt has office space not far from his at AU. She even accused him of supporting AGW, which was complete nonsense on her part, then she deleted her comments. She could learn a lot from his example.
    https://lnkd.in/gYQCiH6

    https://lnkd.in/g4amGyB
    https://lnkd.in/f-ZhyHX
    https://lnkd.in/f8j34Pe

  33. Al Gore is at it again,

    Scheduled for July 28th at a theatre near you….

    http://www.imdb.com/title/tt6322922/videoplayer/vi1430763033?ref_=vi_prev_btn

    Official Trailer
    http://www.imdb.com
    A decade after An Inconvenient Truth brought climate change into the heart of popular culture comes the follow-up that shows just how close we are to a real energy revolution.

    I sent this to the Radio NZ host that has seen the preview and is trying to arrange a live interview with Al Gore to coincide with the general release after hearing him prattle on about keeping the content secret until release date for effect…..

    Gore is trying to use the accidental mismanagement and flooding of the 911 memorial site during storm Sandy in 2012 as proof of Climate change…..a very emotive and non scientific melo/psychodrama….

    Hello Jesse,

    Today after listening to your afternoon commentary and hearing about your preview of Al Gore’s latest efforts to scare 5 years olds at bedtime I found out the Prof Chris de Freitas died of cancer. This is a far more profound and locally relevant story concerning the supposed end of the World as death by CO2. Gore’s re-edit teaser is up on the net and has been for a few days actually….and its no surprise….

    No sea level rise needed, it was a construction management issue. Nano girl got into similar trouble last year trying to state that the Tamaki drive was flooded because of sea level rise, rather than the fact it slumped whilst being build because of local sedimentary issues and a poor understanding of ground loading pressures in the then infant science of geo-engineering . The Mangere Bridge also suffer similar slumpage.

    http://www.wnyc.org/story/248169-wtc-takes-water-officials-say-its-hurricane-proof/

    WTC Site Floods, But Officials Say Buildings Will Be …
    http://www.wnyc.org
    Millions of gallons of water streamed into the World Trade Center site during Sandy, cascading through the PATH terminal and down ramps used for construction vehicles …

    The storm incursion to the memorial site was more of a failed management issue than an fulfilled prediction. Gore is using very emotive arguments instead of scientifically based ones.

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11627190

    Try telling the residents of Kaikoura with a 2 meter sea bed rise due to the uplift from the recent earthquake, as the entire East Coast of NZ is susceptible, that supposed Sea level rise is even worthy of consideration. Napier another an example form the 30’s

    I keep an running commentary on these issues for my students to consider, if they feel so inclined. You my care to watch Viscount Ridley’s commentary on the increased Global Greening, which is real and is measurable and is attributable to increased CO2 emissions, unlike the failed Climate modeling fiasco.

    https://sites.google.com/site/nzchinatravels/climate-change

    https://sites.google.com/site/nzchinatravels/climate-change/statistical-analysis-1

  34. http://m.france24.com/en/20170710-france-hulot-could-close-nuclear-plants

    The French dilemma: too many nuclear plants all dying at once, so will shut down up to 17 plants by 2025.

    By the way, the oldest French plant is 40 years old this year. So much for running 60 or 80 years!

    The US is in a similar position. Must shut down 30 or 40 aging and money-losing nuclear plants within 10 years.

    Replacements won’t be nuclear, won’t be coal, and won’t be hydroelectric in the US.

    That leaves only renewables and natural gas.

    • “… it’s all about the money….”
      And especially so with this dangerously bigoted “head of state”.
      Notice how he easily extracted 3bn euros (and more to come) from the EU, by threatening to unleash every migrant on Europe; and installed a dictatorship at the first opportunity, after the failed coup.

      This man will be serious trouble for the EU, which has no mechanism, or statesmen – nor the balls – to counter his bullying, greedy tactics.

  35. World Community Grid, which supports distributive-computing medical and science projects through participants sharing their PCs to crunch data, recently announced solicitation of projects involving environmental and climate-change research. I wonder if they would accept research projects which have a hypothesis that some of the current “consensus” conclusions on climate change are incorrect. https://www.worldcommunitygrid.org/about_us/viewNewsArticle.do?articleId=529&utm_source=digestWeekly&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Digest&utm_content=body-article-link

  36. http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/341369-trump-triggers-fight-over-yucca-waste-site

    Trump triggers fight over Yucca waste site

    “Supporters and opponents of the proposed Yucca Mountain nuclear waste site in Nevada are ramping up their advocacy efforts in hopes of swaying Congress and the Trump administration.

    For the first time in at least seven years, the proposed repository for high-level nuclear waste is on the political agenda in Washington, D.C., and lobbyists are dusting off their playbooks to once again advocate for or against the site.

    President Trump sought $120 million in his budget proposal for fiscal 2018 to restart the licensing process for Yucca, and Energy Secretary Rick Perry has become a vocal defender of the project.

    Meanwhile, the House is moving bipartisan legislation to mandate that the planning process restart and is considering funding for federal agencies to do so.

    The flurry of activity on Yucca is a major shift from the last administration. President Obama and his staff opposed Yucca, shut down the licensing process and advocated for a “consent-based” siting process for a repository, in which a site would be selected only if the local community wanted it there.

    Now that Obama and former Nevada Sen. Harry Reid (D), a vocal Yucca opponent, are out of office, Yucca is making a comeback.

    That’s good news for the nuclear power industry, which welcomes the opportunity to move forward on the project.”

    end except

  37. http://www.newsmax.com/Finance/StreetTalk/Nevada-electric-car-factory-China/2017/07/11/id/801005/

    Electric Car Maker Cancels Plan to Build $1 Billion Nevada Factory

    “An electric car maker deserted its plan to construct a $1 billion manufacturing plant in southern Nevada in a move experts say could spell trouble for the company and the broader niche electric automobile businesses.

    Faraday Future Chief Financial Officer Stefan Krause said Monday’s decision to scrap the plant was due to a shift in business strategy. The Gardena, California-based company said in a statement that it will now look for an existing facility to produce its electric vehicles in California or Nevada.

    Faraday Future halted work on the project outside Las Vegas last November, at the time calling the stoppage a “temporary adjustment” that wouldn’t affect plans to begin production in 2018. It sunk more than $120 million into the project.

    “It can be somewhat hard to believe that a company that was so aggressively spending money and moving things forward in their claimed goals will suddenly change direction and still get to where they want to get to,” said Karl Brauer, executive publisher at Autotrader and Kelley Blue Book. “You kind of don’t know — is this just an adjustment or is there going to be a freefall here?”

    He and others who closely watch the industry said the decision comes amid several industry changes that could drastically affect companies like Faraday and Tesla that offer uniquely all-electric lineups. Established car companies are releasing more electric options and it’s unclear whether President Donald Trump’s administration will continue tax breaks that incentivize the industry and motivate buyers.

    “I think the next 12 months are going to be very telling,” Brauer said. “It could drastically change the look of the electric car industry.”

    end excerpt

  38. China invests in distribution and energy production in Pakistan with a showcase windfarm.
    https://en.dailypakistan.com.pk/business/first-pakistan-owned-wind-power-project-starts-operation/
    The 49.5mw facility is wholly financed by the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China.

    ‘Pakistan and China have signed $57-billion worth of energy and infrastructure projects under the CPEC framework. The bulk of the investment is going to energy projects, including renewable and clean energy to bridge the energy shortfall.’
    Perhaps the aim is to give Pakistan wind power and a grid.
    After that feed in coal fired power from China, just over the border.
    In the meanwhile build coal fired power in Pakistan.
    https://www.dawn.com/news/1330812
    The IEA forecasts that total electricity demand will rise to more than 49,000 MW by 2025 as the country’s population increases.

    Only 67 per cent of Pakistan’s approximately 190 million people have access to electricity, according to the World Bank.

    To improve access and keep pace with economic growth, the country needs to invest between 3.7 per cent and 5.5 per cent of its GDP each year in increasing electrical production, the bank said in a report on South Asian infrastructure published in 2013. Part of the motivation for building coal-powered plants lies in the availability of the fuel within Pakistan.

    The federal minister for planning, development and reform, Ahsan Iqbal, said that the sprawling desert region of Tharparkar in southern Pakistan, home to some of the world’s largest coal reserves, cannot be left unexploited.

    “Pakistan must tap these unutilised vast underground reserves of 175 billion tonnes of coal, adequate to meet the country’s energy needs for several decades, for powering the country’s economic wheel, creating new jobs, and fighting spiking unemployment and poverty,” Iqbal said.

    ‘Risks of worsening climate change
    Nevertheless, independent renewable energy experts say the government’s love affair with coal power plants is a huge worry.

    “No sane person would want electricity from dirty energy sources, even though supercritical technology is used,” said Malik Amin Aslam, a former state minister for the environment who serves as global vice-president of the International Union for Conservation of Nature.

    “These plants, not being completely free of carbon emissions, will still harm the public health and the country’s environment,” he said.

    Pakistan is considered one of the countries most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, from worsening floods and scalding summer temperatures to erratic rainfall that can kill crops.’

    Wonder who will win?

  39. http://www.projectmidas.org/blog/calving/
    Larsen C calves trillion ton iceberg
    A one trillion tonne iceberg – one of the biggest ever recorded – has calved away from the Larsen C Ice Shelf in Antarctica. The calving occurred sometime between Monday 10th July and Wednesday 12th July 2017, when a 5,800 square km section of Larsen C finally broke away. The iceberg, which is likely to be named A68, weighs more than a trillion tonnes. Its volume is twice that of Lake Erie, one of the Great Lakes.
    Map of Larsen C, overlaid with NASA MODIS thermal image from July 12 2017, showing the iceberg has calved
    NASA Suomi VIIRS panchromatic image from July 12 2017, confirming the calving

    The final breakthrough was detected in data from NASA’s Aqua MODIS satellite instrument, which images in the thermal infrared at a resolution of 1km, and confirmed by NASA’s Suomi VIIRS instrument.

  40. On shelves and bergs.

    Giant icebergs in the Weddell Sea, 1967–68
    Two giant icebergs are moving westwards along the coast of Antarctica in the Weddell Sea. They were conspicuous throughout the 1967–68 season in ESSA-3 satellite photographs supplied by the United States National Environmental Satellite Center to the British Antarctic Survey. The two icebergs were first unmistakeably seen during orbit No 4699 on 11 October 1967 and last clearly seen before the winter during orbit No 6408 on 24 February 1968. The leading iceberg, which is roughly 45 km by 100 km, was last seen moving out to sea westwards from a position about 100 km north of Halley Bay station. The second, some 70 km by 100 km, was parallel with Riiser-Larsen Ice Front in long 21°W, and separated from it by only a few kilometres of open water. Although there were periods of weeks in which there was no movement, presumably owing to the grounding of the icebergs on shoals, both moved some 500 km along the coast in four months.
    https://doi.org/10.1017/S0032247400064500

    OBSERVATION OF A GIANT ANTARCTIC TABULAR ICEBERG
    BY SATELLITE RADAR ALTIMETRY
    https://doi.org/10.1017/S0032247400007610
    The iceberg reported here was detected in radar altimeter data collected by NASA’s
    Seasat satellite, which operated between July and October 1978…..
    https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0032247400007610

  41. Abrupt emergence of a large pockmark field in the German Bight, southeastern North Sea

    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-05536-1

    Abstract

    A series of multibeam bathymetry surveys revealed the emergence of a large pockmark field in the southeastern North Sea. Covering an area of around 915 km2, up to 1,200 pockmarks per square kilometer have been identified. The time of emergence can be confined to 3 months in autumn 2015, suggesting a very dynamic genesis. The gas source and the trigger for the simultaneous outbreak remain speculative. Subseafloor structures and high methane concentrations of up to 30 μmol/l in sediment pore water samples suggest a source of shallow biogenic methane from the decomposition of postglacial deposits in a paleo river valley. Storm waves are suggested as the final trigger for the eruption of the gas. Due to the shallow water depths and energetic conditions at the presumed time of eruption, a large fraction of the released gas must have been emitted to the atmosphere. Conservative estimates amount to 5 kt of methane, equivalent to 67% of the annual release from the entire North Sea. These observations most probably describe a reoccurring phenomenon in shallow shelf seas, which may have been overlooked before because of the transient nature of shallow water bedforms and technology limitations of high resolution bathymetric mapping.

  42. “What we’re seeing here is the effect of back-to-back bleaching events,” he says. “But I believe it is not quite as bad as people have been saying. Remember, when you are talking about something as large as the Great Barrier Reef, you are talking about something bigger than the United Kingdom.”

    http://www.independent.co.uk/travel/ausandpacific/great-barrier-reef-endangered-demise-exaggerated-locals-claim-australia-queensland-unesco-world-a7827796.html

  43. Save the world, use Trojans! :)
    —————————————

    Serious about stopping climate change? Have one less child, UBC study says
    For one person to have any real impact on climate change, it would take some major sacrifices: give up the car, stop eating meat, avoid transatlantic flights and, most importantly, have one fewer child than you had planned, according to a new study by a researcher at the University of British Columbia.

    http://nationalpost.com/news/canada/want-to-stop-climate-change-have-one-less-child-ubc-study-says/wcm/13b6dfba-f535-454f-8cd6-cd261abea049

  44. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-017-2018-9

    The impacts of rising temperatures on aircraft takeoff performance

    Steadily rising mean and extreme temperatures as a result of climate change will likely impact the air transportation system over the coming decades. As air temperatures rise at constant pressure, air density declines, resulting in less lift generation by an aircraft wing at a given airspeed and potentially imposing a weight restriction on departing aircraft.

    We find that on average, 10–30% of annual flights departing at the time of daily maximum temperature may require some weight restriction below their maximum takeoff weights, with mean restrictions ranging from 0.5 to 4% of total aircraft payload and fuel capacity by mid- to late century. Both mid-sized and large aircraft are affected, and airports with short runways and high temperatures, or those at high elevations, will see the largest impacts

  45. Melting Arctic sea ice will cause polar bears to hunt people.
    —————————————————————–

    Polar bears hurt by climate change are more likely to turn to a new food source — humans
    The higher global temperatures go, the more likely polar bears are to interact with humans — and possibly attack and eat them
    http://nationalpost.com/news/world/polar-bears-hurt-by-climate-change-are-more-likely-to-turn-to-a-new-food-source-humans/wcm/d190a2d0-9241-4602-a3b8-f1d44890451f

    Polar bear attacks on humans: Implications of a changing climate
    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wsb.783/abstract

  46. Prime Minister of Australia addresses rank and file Liberal membership and says there is a future for coal.
    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/state-politics/turnbull-labels-coal-opponents-delusional/news-story/3f7b70519cd552a57af357a740b4024d
    However policies he is overseeing will mean Australia is not part of that future, only the more innovative developing countries such as India, Pakistan/China and most of ASEAN, Australia’s major trading blocs.
    Not to mention the US, which has opened up gas production and so lowered its price.

  47. Continual exposure to low but not freezing temperature causes most mortality in humans by a wide margin.
    http://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(14)62114-0.pdf
    People affected, of those studied, are mostly in Australia,China,Italy,Japan,South Korea,UK and USA.

    figure 2 pg 373 gives the histogram.
    Referenced from an article advertising CSR building products, especially those that insulate homes.
    http://www.csr.com.au/building-knowledge/internal-environments/australian-death-rate-due-to-cold-weather
    Original blog
    http://joannenova.com.au/

  48. Hooray! Another climate change study, based on tree rings, proxies and models.
    ——————-

    Regina researcher part of new study that shows it’s ‘virtually impossible’ to dispute climate change
    New database shows temperature records going back as far as 2,000 years
    http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/saskatchewan-climate-change-canada-research-1.4207880

    A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era
    https://www.nature.com/articles/sdata201788

  49. https://www.upi.com/Science_News/2017/07/17/Great-Plains-to-see-more-dust-storms-in-second-half-of-the-21st-century/7361500300959/?utm_source=fp&utm_campaign=ls&utm_medium=4

    Great Plains to see more dust storms in second half of the 21st century

    “July 17 (UPI) — Climate change will bring more dust storms to the Great Plains in the latter half of the 21st century, according to the latest prediction models.

    According to new models developed by climate scientists at Princeton University and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, already dry and dusty regions, like southwestern deserts and the central plains, will become drier and dustier in the second half of the 21st century. The increase in dry, dusty conditions in the southern parts of the Great Plains is expected to encourage an increase in the prevalence of dust storms.”

    end excerpt

    Here in the southern part of the Great Plains it is currently below average in temperatures for July, and it has rained more than normal for an average July. No dustbowls around here. We are not even close to currently being “already dry and dusty regions”.

  50. http://www.entrelemanetjura.ch/BLOG_WP_351/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/2017.01-20-FKR-sur-CO2.pdf

    A Swiss physicist finds that CO2 has far less effect on temperature than alarmists believe, and that a rise in atmospheric CO2 to ten times its current level would increase temperature just 0.8 degrees C.

    “Our results permit to conclude that CO2 is a very weak greenhouse gas and cannot be accepted as the main driver of climate change. The observed temperature increase since pre-industrial times is close to an order of magnitude higher than that attributable to CO2. We find that the increase of CO2 only might become dangerous, if the concentrations are considerably greater than 4000 ppm. At present rates of increase this would take more than 200 years. Therefore, demands for sequestering CO2 are unjustified and trading of CO2 certificates is an economic absurdity. The climate change must have a very different origin and the scientific community must look for causes of climate change that can be solidly based on physics and chemistry.”

  51. https://www.yahoo.com/news/natural-disasters-less-devastating-2017-munich-103904188.html

    Natural disasters less devastating in 2017: Munich Re

    “Frankfurt am Main (AFP) – Natural catastrophes worldwide were less devastating in the first half of 2017 than the average over the past 10 years, reinsurer Munich Re said Tuesday, while highlighting the role of climate change in severe US storms.

    Some 3,200 people lost their lives to disasters between January and June, the German group found — well short of the 10-year average of 47,000 for the period or the 5,100 deaths in the first half of 2016.

    April floods and landslides in Colombia that claimed 329 lives were the deadliest single event.

    Elsewhere, an April-June heatwave in India killed 264 people, while floods, landslides and avalanches claimed around 200 lives in Sri Lanka, 200 in Afghanistan and 200 Bangladesh.

    Disasters inflicted a financial cost of around $41 billion in the first six months, Munich Re reported.

    That was less than half of the $111 billion toll in the same period last year, or the average of $102 billion over the past 10 years”

    end excerpt

    The promoters of CAGW say we should be seeing more numerous and more severe natural disasters caused by CO2, but as we can see, just the opposite is happening. Back to the drawing board, CAGW promoters.

  52. Uh?

    http://news.unl.edu/newsrooms/today/article/why-a-single-nukes-impact-shouldnt-only-be-measured-in-megatons/

    “In a new report, a group of experts led by Adam Liska, a biological systems engineer at Nebraska, has determined that a single nuclear warhead could cause devastating climate change resulting in widespread drought and famine that could cost a billion lives.”

    http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00139157.2017.1325300

    “…use of as few as 1 to 10 deployed nuclear weapons, and fewer than 25 of these prevalent types, from the five official nuclear weapons countries could produce a nuclear drought…”

    I guess we were lucky that they did not have any advanced climate models when Tsar Bomba was detonated…

  53. http://freerangereport.com/index.php/2017/07/20/fired-epa-staffers-form-rogue-anti-trump-support-group/

    Alumni from Obama EPA seek new opportunities to oppress. They consider themselves very special indeed. If there is any doubt about deep state operatives this should put that to rest. This is the government funded Monkey Wrench Gang. It’s no wonder they don’t have to burn down ski resorts and lumber mills any more they are running the EPA shop!!!

  54. In searching for a story on the closing of the Ontario turbine factory I ran across this old (2014) story on windmills killing bats by causing low pressure zones they can’t tolerate. That was the first I’d heard of it and thought I’d pass it along given all the concerns lately with the bat populations. Maybe you know someone knowledgable enough about the issue to do a followup article?

    http://nationalpost.com/g00/news/canada/wind-farms-causing-thousands-of-bats-to-die-of-collapsed-lungs-annually-in-alberta-top-bat-expert/wcm/58dec358-dc69-4d88-933f-8ddcfccba6d2?i10c.referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2F

  55. Haven’t seen much commentary on the HONEST Act. Passed by the House when I checked on 21/07/2017, but not by the Senate.

    https://www.congress.gov/bill/115th-congress/house-bill/1430

    Honest and Open New EPA Science Treatment Act of 2017 or the HONEST Act

    This bill amends the Environmental Research, Development, and Demonstration Authorization Act of 1978 to prohibit the Environmental Protection Agency from proposing, finalizing, or disseminating a covered action unless all scientific and technical information relied on to support such action is the best available science, specifically identified, and publicly available in a manner sufficient for independent analysis and substantial reproduction of research results. A covered action includes a risk, exposure, or hazard assessment, criteria document, standard, limitation, regulation, regulatory impact analysis, or guidance. Personally identifiable information, trade secrets, or commercial or financial information obtained from a person and privileged or confidential must be redacted prior to public availability.

    https://www.congress.gov/bill/115th-congress/house-bill/1430/text

    An Act: To prohibit the Environmental Protection Agency from proposing, finalizing, or disseminating regulations or assessments based upon science that is not transparent or reproducible.

    (Not sure why they put Sec. 2(3)(C) in there though – there must be a cunning plan…)

  56. Wow! Capitalism is evil.
    Exxon’s GHG emissions cause GW doom and gloom, droughtfloods, extreme weather, and war.
    —————————————
    Naomi Klein: how power profits from disaster
    After a crisis, private contractors move in and suck up funding for work done badly, if at all – then those billions get cut from government budgets. Like Grenfell Tower, Hurricane Katrina revealed a disdain for the poor
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/jul/06/naomi-klein-how-power-profits-from-disaster

    • This was also run about two weeks ago in the daily Telegraph, Sydney Australia.

      Just to recap the scientists were taken into a bay with two years of floating pack ice and 12 inches of fresh snow where they were trapped.
      http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/editorials/stuck-on-a-ship-of-cold-fools/news-story/77fb2d5d56974d2f83a30b849ecb87ab

      Unluckily for us, there appears to have been a mass breakout of thick, multiyear sea ice on the other side of the Mertz Glacier; years after the loss of the Mertz Glacier tongue. There was nothing to suggest this event was imminent. We have had regular updates on the state of the sea ice in the area and had been monitoring the region for the last year. We also had regular weather forecasts from two different sources: one from the Australian Antarctic Division base at Casey and the other a European company called Meteoexploration used by expeditioners. Both forecasts suggested consistent conditions.

      The forecasts were correct, but it was soon clear that the armadas of ice that started to appear were thick and old. Captain Igor tried to beat a path to open water but the size of the sea ice overwhelmed the Shokalskiy. In places the ice was three metres thick with little open water to push aside. With the southeasterly winds, the ice would not budge and we were caught just two to four miles from the sea-ice edge. Getting stuck is not unusual for ships here. The vessel we are on now, the Aurora Australis, was stuck for four weeks earlier in the season.

      Let’s be clear. Us becoming locked in ice was not caused by climate change. Instead it seems to have been an aftershock of the arrival of iceberg B09B which triggered a massive reconfiguration of sea ice in the area.
      https://newsroom.unsw.edu.au/news/science/chris-turney-responds-critics-antarctic-science-expedition

      A disconnect opened between ‘correct forecasts’ and observational reality.
      A metaphor for the climate debate.

      We still don’t know who paid..
      The Russians who got stuck
      The Australians who diverted an icebreaker
      The Uni of NSW and the Climate Team
      Us Taxpayers.

  57. “Manhattan has a higher density of human beings, so a higher density of garbage,” he explained.

    The city is doing what it can to wipe out the whiskers, though.

    The Health Department recently began placing dry ice in several parks and “rat reservoir” sites. The dry ice dissipates into carbon dioxide, asphyxiating the rats in their burrows.

    … I wonder if they bought CO2 offsets

  58. GAR ALPEROVITZ: Well, that’s what’s interesting. Because if you use the common techniques –- they call it quantitative easing –- if you use those techniques, you could create sufficient funds, essentially, to buy out the oil companies and nationalize them. And to create that kind of a fund, and get them out of the way politically, for doing what has to be done on climate change, urgently.

    Because they are the major blocking power that’s stopped us from doing all the solar insulation, and doing all the solar development, wind development, insulation in general. There’s a whole series of things we know ought to be done — and stopping using fossil fuels.

  59. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-40699986

    I would be interested to hear what people think of this. UK rules coming in to effect which will allow electricity users to save money. How? By agreeing to have your washing machine switched on by the internet when there is surplus power around and by accepting your freezer being switched off for a while when there is too much demand.

    I thought Big brother just watched you not switched things on and off in your house. Yikes.

    • More at The Guardian
      https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/jul/24/uk-winter-rain-met-office-supercomputer-record-rainfall-flooding
      Prediction of one in 3 chance of record flooding.
      Richard Allan, professor of climate science and joint head of the department of meteorology at the University of Reading, said exceptional seasonal rainfall in the UK was the result of a “perfect storm” of atmospheric influences.
      “As the planet continues to warm due to human-caused greenhouse gas emissions, extra moisture in the air will fuel increasingly intense rainfall causing a continued rise in the risk of damaging events into the future.”

      His colleague, Prof Len Shaffrey, from the university’s National Centre for Atmospheric Science, added: “Using weather and climate models to better understand the probability of extreme weather is an important method that is becoming more widely used to help inform those dealing with weather impacts about the risks of extreme events.

      “Future research needs to evaluate how well weather and climate models are able to accurately simulate other extreme weather events, for example droughts and heatwaves, if we want to use models to better understand extreme weather risks and how they might be changing.”

      Shaffrey’s point is well argued.

      The irony is that the trailer Ad on the top of the page advertises Tim Flannery and a trip with him.
      Remember he was the one that predicted endless drought in Australia.
      Our dams would not fill. Despite this they are near full.
      We do indeed need better models.
      With the above prediction, any way the cards fall, it can be explained as either a record or one that we dodged.
      If one waits long enough the prediction will surely become true.
      Natural and so inevitable climate change needs to be understood before any model can work.

  60. http://dailycaller.com/2017/07/24/report-scott-pruitt-may-ask-former-obama-official-to-lead-a-climate-red-team/

    Report: Scott Pruitt May Ask Former Obama Official To Lead A Climate ‘Red Team’

    “Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Scott Pruitt might ask a former Obama-era official to head the agency’s climate debate team, according to a report published Monday.

    Steve Koonin, a physicist and former Department of Energy head during the Obama administration, is being considered to lead a “red team, blue team” tactic on climate change, said Myron Ebell, who headed President Donald Trump’s transition team.

    “It makes sense because he has positioned himself as an honest broker,” Ebell said. “He doesn’t think that the consensus is what some of the alarmists claim it is, and there’s a lot that needs to be discussed.”

    Koonin did not respond to reporter’s questions about the veracity of Ebell’s claims, but added: “I think it would be a good idea if that kind of exercise took place.” He made generally supportive remarks about the red team idea earlier this year, writing in an April editorial earlier that the approach could help deflate the politics surrounding climate change.

    “A Red/Blue exercise would have many benefits,” Koonin wrote. “It would produce a traceable public record that would allow the public and decision makers a better understanding of certainties and uncertainties. It would more firmly establish points of agreement and identify urgent research needs.”

    The idea essentially pits climate skeptics against academics who argue that human beings are the primary drivers of climate change. Pruitt first announced the idea in June, and has since suggested that the debates should be televised.”

    end excerpt

  61. 25 July 2017 – 11:57 am

    “Heat Deaths Rise To 217” “Eight Day In a Row At 100 or Higher”
    —————————————————————————————
    — St. Louis Post Dispatch, 25 July 1934, Page 1 —

    Story resurrected on 21 July 2017 by the same paper, including its
    positioning at the left margin of Page 1.

    https://stltoday.newspapers.com/clip/12522390/1934_heatrelated_deaths_reach_217/

    https://stltoday.newspapers.com/image/?spot=12522390&fcfToken=52704c6869535a326563472f78484f336d677269444d5a366f7577794a6e6a3166454f4438685a362b4649414c687844415457653156774c6e32676e74332b5073327846773577496965553d

    Miguel Rakiewicz
    ————————

  62. Is CTE the next climate climate? Contact sports may very well be an underlying cause of CTE, but right now it seems we just have some observations without the appropriate controls or tests. Had a discussion with a colleague about this today after the big news and it seems like it’s building up much the same way as climate change. The news today is 110/111 former football players had CTE. Very intriguing. Were they all part of same control group? What are the other control groups? Could it be something else (perhaps climate change causes this)? We are really just scratching the surface on these observations, but do not yet have the appropriate science to back up the contention that football = CTE. If I didn’t trust this colleague I wouldn’t even have brought the topic up as everyone seems to assume this too is settled science.

  63. Wow! Al Gore pitches his new film, with lots of misinformation about the climate crisis, CO2 pollution, and GW doom and gloom.
    ———————
    Al Gore re-enters climate change conversation with new film
    Al Gore talks about his award-winning 2006 film and his new documentary, which looks at the climate change fight and what he thinks needs to happen next.
    http://www.cbc.ca/news/thenational/al-gore-re-enters-climate-change-conversation-with-new-film-1.4220063

  64. UK to follow France in banning all new petrol and diesel vehicles from 2040.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-40723581

    Pointless gesture politics. Previous posts/comments have touched on the massive practical difficulties in building a new nationwide infrastructure capable of providing the electricity needed to recharge everyone’s cars at home, AND LORRIES across the country. This announcement doesn’t address, nor even seem to consider, the huge practical difficulties.

  65. Urban Heat Island…

    “…the estimated urban-induced trends in the daily minimum and mean temperature are 0.167 and 0.085 °C decade−1, accounting for 33.6 and 22.4% of total surface warming, respectively.”

    Estimated influence of urbanization on surface warming in Eastern China using time-varying land use data
    Authors
    Weilin Liao,
    Dagang Wang,
    Xiaoping Liu,
    Guiling Wang,
    Jinbao Zhang
    First published: 11 October 2016

    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4908/full

  66. http://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-geoengineering-idUSKBN1AB0J3?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=Social
    “OSLO (Reuters) – Scientists are sucking carbon dioxide from the air with giant fans and preparing to release chemicals from a balloon to dim the sun’s rays as part of a climate engineering push to cool the planet.”
    What could possibly go wrong?

    Buried in the story:
    “… isolating carbon dioxide is complex because the gas makes up just 0.04 percent of the air.”
    What a monstrously powerful substance!!!!

  67. https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2017/07/26/heartlands-6-reasons-to-be-a-climate-change-skeptic-are-six-demonstrable-lies.
    I’m trying to use my phone to do this. Sorry I’m not that good at copying and pasting. I have been a follower of WUWT for quite some time and felt the need to forward this story to you. It’s basically a rebuttal of a heartland story. All pertaining to skepticism over cliamate change
    I really get a kick out of these journalist view .

  68. IAG in Australia puts a submission to the senate enquiry on cladding materials.
    They claim high non compliance with existing and changing regulation in Australia.
    Details of UK,Chinese,French and Melbourne, Australia high rise fires.
    Consider cladding insulates buildings and part of green design.
    Avoids discussing marginal improvement cost aspects of insulating concrete structures which are already insulated by their structural concrete.
    Describes the initiating event of the UK fire as an electrical fault.
    Careful to avoid questions of green butane refrigerant exploding causing the fire from within.
    Refers to the May enquiry.
    Points out that without knowing the danger of fire they cannot quantify risk.
    Corollary not stated is they cannot protect their margin.
    States risk assesment is better for the client as insurability is better calculated.
    Implication is that there will otherwise be under as well as overinsurance.
    https://www.iag.com.au/submission-non-conforming-cladding

    No doubt other insurers will make a submission.

  69. There’s an article (http://www.silver-phoenix500.com/article/why-economists-cannot-forecast-recessions) which, especially in the first 1/3 of it, shows that economic forecasting has been lousy. Only 2 recessions worldwide have been predicted successfully over the last 30 years.

    And yet, WG3 reports of the IPCC (and other economic forecasts dealing with CAGW) are not criticized as originating from an incompetent source. Economists should be brought into the criticism that we heap on alarmist ‘climate scientists.’

  70. Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics, etc., quoted in Tools of Titans: The Tactics, Routines, and Habits of Billionaires, Icons, and World-Class Performers by Timothy Ferriss

    “If you want to solve a problem—any problem that you care enough about to want to solve—you almost certainly come to it with a whole lot of ideas about it. Ideas about why it’s an important problem, what is it that bothers you exactly, who the villains are in the problem, etc.

    “So if you’re an environmentalist, and you believe that one of the biggest tragedies of the last 100 years is people despoiling the environment, the minute you hear about an issue that kind of abuts the environment, whether it’s honeybee collapse or something having to do with air quality, your immediate moral position is, ‘Well, I know exactly what the cause of that is. It’s caused by people being stupid and careless and greedy’ and so on.

    “Now that may be true, but it also may not be true. Our point is, if you try to approach every problem with your moral compass, first and foremost, you’re going to make a lot of mistakes. You’re going to exclude a lot of possible good solutions. You’re going to assume you know a lot of things, when in fact you don’t, and you’re not going to be a good partner in reaching a solution with other people who don’t happen to see the world the way you do.””

  71. Article in “The Australian” on the Oz Bureau of Meteorology caught “tampering” with temperature records from some stations. The BoM claims all is above board but it’s unsurprising the deleted records were of low temperatures. Apparently the equipment in some places is set so that if temps go below a low threshold (in this case -10degC), they revert to the threshold; lower temps then have to be manually checked and reentered. Does this happen elsewhere in the world or is it just that we are using cheap/faulty/inadequate equipment?
    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/climate/bureau-of-meteorology-opens-cold-case-on-temperature-data/news-story/c3bac520af2e81fe05d106290028b783

  72. Title: Pulse of the Planet: Monitoring the world and national climate for, and with, NOAA

    Date/Time: Wednesday August 2, 2017 from 12pm-1pm

    https://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

    Speaker: Derek “Deke” Arndt, Chief, Monitoring Branch, Center for Weather and Climate, NOAA/NESDIS National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

    Abstract: Twice each month, once for the US climate and once for the global climate, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) issues its monthly climate reports and associated data. These reports synthesize several NOAA datasets, as well as those from outside partners, to provide the “play by play” of the climate system. This presentation will share some details of how these reports come together, the various associated tools that accompany the reports, and a brief overview of the state of the climate system as of mid-2017.

    About the Speaker: Deke Arndt is the Chief of the Climate Monitoring Branch (CMB) at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information in Asheville, NC. The CMB staff are the scorekeepers of the global climate system. They track climate on large scales (global warming) and on smaller scales (regional drought). The U.S. Drought Portal (drought.gov) is also housed in the CMB. Mr. Arndt is the lead editor of the State of the Climate report, the “annual physical” of the climate system, published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. This year’s version was written by 460 authors from 62 countries. Mr. Arndt is the chair of the U.S. Global Change Research Program’s (GCRP’s) Climate Indicator Working Group. He holds a Bachelor’s and Master’s degree in meteorology from the University of Oklahoma.

  73. Yahoo front page welcomed me minutes ago with…

    “Study: Earth’s temp could rise 35-40 degrees by 2100”

  74. WaPo invests in weapons grade stupid.

    “We only have a 5 percent chance of avoiding ‘dangerous’ global warming, a study finds”

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/07/31/we-only-have-a-5-percent-chance-of-avoiding-dangerous-global-warming-a-study-finds/?utm_term=.2f0cf56e6bb8

    “… Last week, a group of climate researchers published research suggesting the climate has been warming for longer than we thought due to human influences — in essence, pushing the so-called “preindustrial” baseline for the planet’s warming backwards in time. The logic is clear: If the Earth has already warmed more than we thought due to human activities, then there’s even less remaining carbon dioxide that we can emit and still avoid 2 degrees of warming.”

    For a settled science it’s worse than we thought a lot.

    “… The research finds that the median warming is likely to be 3.2 degrees Celsius, and further concludes that there’s only a 5 percent chance that the world can hold limiting below 2 degrees Celsius and a mere 1 percent chance that it can be limited below 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit). That will come as bad news for vulnerable small island nations in particular, which have held out for a 1.5 degree target, along with other particularly vulnerable nations.”

    Fright-porn at its finest. Even Figueres gets Trotskyed out.

  75. Get ready for the next Google tax credit moonshot.

    Alphabet Sees Power in Molten Salt, a New Moonshot
    Google parent developed plans to store electricity from solar panels or wind turbines as thermal energy in hot salt and cold liquids, such as antifreeze

    • That site is amusing. Arctic ice is always melting there at alarming rates, no matter what.

      The fact is that 2017 extent is higher at this point than in the record low year of 2012. So if, as then, we have cyclones in August or September, this year is still liable not to record a new low. If there is a cyclone, or even two, as last year, the ice is still not going to be “gone”, since it wasn’t even in the exceptionally low year of 2012.

    • Also higher than 2007, the record low year before 2012.

      Extent will probably soon cross over the super El Nino years of 2015 and 2016 as well.

      Sea ice started out low last spring because of the 2016 low.

  76. As of late July Google has ended its instant search results feature. (There were claims here that it presented biased results, with omissions of skeptics.) Google says half of all searches are now done on mobile devices, where such results aren’t much use.

  77. For the last 18 consecutive days the sun has been mostly spotless (12 days) or presenting tiny spots only (6 days with SESC sunspot number <15).

  78. Trump administration delivers notice U.S. intends to withdraw from Paris climate deal

    The notice, which will be released by the State Department and transmitted by the U.S. delegation to the United Nations, will be the first written notice that the administration plans to pull out of the 2015 pact, which has won the support of nearly 200 nations.

    ….Under the terms of the Paris deal, the U.S. can’t fully withdraw until Nov. 4, 2020 — one day after the next presidential election. The next president could decide to rejoin the agreement if Trump doesn’t win a second term.

    http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/04/trump-notice-withdraw-from-paris-climate-deal-241331

  79. I have been playing with this site: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/grad/surfrad/
    I have noted that the net IR depends on temperature (higher temperature gives more net radiation from Earth) and even more dependent on RH (higher RH gives less net radiation).
    I have not the tools or the skills to really dig into those data, but they could show some interesting climate data regarding waters influence.

  80. Pakistan decided to build the terminal and ship LNG to Karachi rather than overland from Iran built by the Chinese.
    https://en.dailypakistan.com.pk/business/pakistan-abandons-2b-gwadar-nawabshah-gas-pipeline-project/

    A key decision was taken during a high-level meeting, chaired by Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif in the first week of June, while the Federal Ministry of Petroleum was directed to drop the Gwadar-Nawabshah gas pipeline project and commence work on the new Port Qasim LNG terminal in Karachi. The PML-N government reportedly took the critical decision after American objections.

    This project was considered as an alternate to the Iran-Pakistan (IP) gas pipeline since the US sanctions on Iran for their nuclear programmes.

    On the other hand, the decision would be a setback for the Chinese, who had signed an agreement in April 2015 for the laying of the Gwadar-Nawabshah gas pipeline project.

    An outcome would be US LNG to Pakistan.

  81. McManus did not respond to a request for evidence of Gore’s offsets. But let’s set aside the dispute over Gore’s carbon footprint, because the report raises a much bigger question: Should prominent climate advocates be expected to live a carbon-neutral lifestyle? Are they hypocrites if they don’t? Right-wing critics would have you believe so—that these moralizing elitists are making rules for the public that they themselves don’t have to follow. This has a powerful appeal, especially today. But ultimately the argument is deceitful faux-populism, and the real hypocrites here are the purveyors of it.

    But the hypocrisy charge simply doesn’t hold up to scrutiny. An anti-abortion advocate who believes abortion is immoral and should be illegal, but gets one herself, is a hypocrite. But climate change advocates who don’t live a carbon-neutral lifestyle aren’t hypocrites because, for the most part, they’re not asking you to live a carbon-neutral lifestyle. They’re asking governments, utilities, energy companies, and large corporations to increase their use of renewable energy so that you can continue to live your life as you please, without contributing to global warming.

    https://newrepublic.com/article/144199/al-gores-carbon-footprint-doesnt-matter

  82. Roger Sowell’s promotional article in defence of offshore industrial wind turbines has more comments than most articles get, if my assessment is correct. This is an extremely hot topic and people are weighing in on the information he has packed into this unusually long article.
    He seems to be selectively responding with his comments and has ignored the topic of infrasound and harm to human health.
    Might you consider publishing an article like this one?
    https://patch.com/massachusetts/falmouth/wind-turbines-killing-whales-save-polar-bears

    I don’t expect that the author will respond to my request for his argument to the two issues I brought forth on infrasound.

  83. US has already been affected by climate change.

    Now the warmist narrative is that Trump will suppress this report.
    The opportunity is to trial the Red /Blue Team, on it.
    With the lowest prices for electricity and a real fall in CO2 output compared with its economic rivals,the US
    led by Trump, can afford to ‘let the games begin’.

  84. One of the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) longest and most successful air pollution standards is based on a taxpayer-funded study plagued by “data fabrication and falsification,” according to a veteran toxicologist.

    Toxicologist Albert Donnay says he’s found evidence a 1989 study commissioned by EPA on the health effects of carbon monoxide, which, if true, could call into question 25 years of regulations and billions of dollars on catalytic converters for automobiles.

    “They claimed to find an effect when there wasn’t one,” Donnay told The Daily Caller News Foundation. “They even fabricated the methods they used to get their results.”

    http://dailycaller.com/2017/08/07/exclusive-researcher-claims-to-have-evidence-one-of-epas-most-successful-clean-air-rules-is-based-on-fabricated-data/

  85. “The National Climate Assessment seems to be on autopilot because there’s no political[sic] that has taken control of it,” said Myron Ebell, a senior fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute. He was referring to a lack of political direction from the Trump administration.

    • Here are the details on the beast from Wiki, the heicht really is 220m.

      Starting November 2013, a prototype was installed at Østerild test station. The bottom tower sections weighs over 200 tonnes and is 24 metres long and 7 metres in diameter. The nacelle weighs 390 tonnes. The turbine weighs 1,300 tonnes and the foundation weighs 4,000 tonnes. The total height is 220 m (720 ft).[14] It became operational in January 2014.[15] Later that year favourable winds allowed it to sustain its rated 8 MW power for 24 hours for a record one-day production of 192 MWh.[16] In 2017 the 9 MW version did the same for a new one-day production record of 216 MWh.[17]

  86. The Seattle Times yesterday carried a lengthy article entitled Outdoor enthusiasts hot on the trail of climate change

    The title was misleading; the article barely mentions climate change. It is really about citizen science, which it largely endorses. It mentions citizen involvement in collecting observations of two life forms recently discussed on this site: The Edith’s Checkerspot butterfly, and the pika. Example:
    “I see these (pika) all the time–I’d like to help these guys out,

  87. … what Mazda is doing is offering a sort-of diesel engine that runs on gasoline. This is said to have all sorts of benefits ranging from power, torque, fuel economy to emissions. It would be offered in Mazdas starting in 2019.

    This kind of innovation may be partially what’s behind Toyota’s increasing partnership with Mazda: here.:
    http://corporatenews.pressroom.toyota.com/releases/toyota+mazda+enter+business+capital+alliance.htm?view_id=41553

    Wide ranging in nature, from equity cross-ownership to factories and technology, the most visible portion of this Toyota-Mazda agreement will be the building of a new factory in North America.

    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4096302-mazdas-new-invention-diesel-without-diesel?li_source=LI&li_medium=liftigniter-widget

    Yambol (1st comment on the thread above)
    LOL it is funny how I posted few comments around 2 weeks ago about the new ICE inventions and how this will make ICE cars superior for 50 to 100 more years. Combine that with the Toyota hybrid technology and no new technology will beat such ICE engine(s.) LOL good luck to all who believe in the alternative energy engines sci-for instance.

  88. I won’t have time to write a post about this for a couple days.

    Pen Hadow is back – he is attempting to sail to the North Pole this year.

    http://www.arcticmission.com/
    The main page, but only works for me if I disable CSS. Little content.

    http://www.businessinsider.com/pen-hadow-arctic-mission-sailing-to-the-north-pole-2017-8
    Much better source.

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/15/top-ten-reasons-why-i-think-catlin-arctic-ice-survey-data-cant-be-trusted/
    A summary of the Catlin Arctic Ice Survey, a stunt hike to the north pole by Hadow in 2009.

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/?s=pen+hadow+catlin
    More bad memories, if you can stand them.

  89. What’s a greater threat to Guam? North Korea, or climate change?

    HONG KONG — The island of Guam made rare headlines this week when North Korea, responding to blustery language from President Trump, threatened to fire four ballistic missiles into waters near the American territory’s shores. Some Guam residents told reporters that they worried what might happen if North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-un, were actually to follow through.

    Scientists in Guam, however, say they have at least one other major threat in mind: climate change.

  90. Would a more green earth absorb more heat because green absorbs heat better than brown dirt and rock? Some years back somebody programmed their climate program as if the entire US were 100% forest and the program found that the temperature of the US went up several degrees. An increase in moisture was not figured in.
    https://judithcurry.com/2016/04/26/rise-in-co2-has-greened-planet-earth/
    ” “The greening over the past 33 years reported in this study is equivalent to adding a green continent about two‑times the size of mainland USA (18 million km2), and has the ability to fundamentally change the cycling of water and carbon in the climate system,” says lead author Dr. Zaichun Zhu.”
    So if the total land area is about 510 million km2 that would be about 3.5%.

  91. http://dailycaller.com/2017/08/11/feds-spend-22-8-million-helping-california-fix-the-dam-it-neglected-for-years/

    Feds Spend $22.8 Million Helping California Fix The Dam It Neglected For Years

    “California is receiving $22.8 million from federal disaster officials to aid in cleanup procedures for the February collapse of the Oroville River Dam spillway, the Federal Emergency Management Agency announced Wednesday.

    The Oroville River Dam crisis led Lake Oroville to overflow and endangered hundreds of thousands of people.

    Both federal and state governments had been warned about the condition of the spillway from as far back as 2005. The crisis caused $500 million in damages. California contends the federal government should pay 75 percent but, depending on the findings of federal investigators, the state may receive significantly less, the Ventura County Star reports.

    “That [$22.8 million] was just the first of many reimbursements,” California Department of Water Resources (DWR) spokeswoman Erin Mellon said, according to the Ventura County Star.

    Despite what Mellon says, emergency federal funds to the state may be cut off if federal regulators believe the crisis was caused by lack of routine maintenance.

    “Is there a maintenance issue here, because they’re not going to cover that. If it’s an emergency response, they’re going to cover,” then-DWR director Bill Croyle told lawmakers in May according to the Ventura County Star.”

    end excerpt

  92. I just have an off the wall question, if you don’t mind thinking or touching on it in a post. I haven’t seen anything written about it, but maybe I have missed it, no one has thought about it, or people have but dismissed it.

    Obviously there are many weather related or weather affecting oscillations that have been identified, the El Nino / La Nina one for example. There are the on/off “atmospheric” oscillations which produce hurricanes and in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific and typhoons in the western Pacific. Is there any evidence of a overall atmospheric oscillation or more accurately a rotation wherein temperatures generally of warmer or cooler conditions will travel over a period of time. What I mean is warmer temps covering almost continental size areas will move slowly in say and easterly direction thus affecting North America, then Europe, onto Western Asia, Eastern Asia and returning again to North America, with all that happening over a 15 or 20 year period?

    Just curious. I’ll keep an eye out for comment or you can just email me with a curt “No, but thanks for asking.”

  93. Mazda’s New “Skyactiv-X” Gasoline-Powered Diesel Engine

    On August 8, on the finance-oriented website Seeking Alpha, at https://seekingalpha.com/article/4096302-mazdas-new-invention-diesel-without-diesel?li_source=LI&li_medium=liftigniter-widget, Anton Wohlman posted an article titled “Mazda’s New Invention: Diesel, Without The Diesel.” Its summary contains the following:

    * Mazda looks to be first to mainstream production with a sort-of diesel engine that takes gasoline as its fuel.

    * This technological breakthrough looks to combine many of the best characteristics of diesel and gasoline engines alike.

    * Building on Mazda’s agreement with Toyota from April 2015, this may account for some of the expanded Mazda-Toyota partnership announced this week. … the most visible portion of this Toyota-Mazda agreement will be the building of a new factory in North America.

    * Mazda leads the Japanese diesel market, and perhaps it will now conquer the U.S. market with innovative engine technology as well.

    Here’s an impressive 3-minute video touting the “Skyactiv” diesel technology that preceded its new “Skyactiv-X” announcement: https://www.mazda.se/filmer/technology/skyactiv-diesel/

    Mazda’s August 8 press release is here: https://insidemazda.mazdausa.com/press-release/mazda-announces-long-term-vision-technology-development-sustainable-zoom-zoom-2030/ Its Item #2, about 2/3 down the page, describes the technological innovations and desirable features of the “Skyactiv-X Next-Generation Engine.” The key innovations are “maximizing the zone in which compression ignition is possible and achieving a seamless transition between compression ignition and spark ignition.”

    Here is a January 13 article on Autoguide.com, at http://www.autoguide.com/auto-news/2017/01/mazda-s-new-engine-tech-will-cut-fuel-consumption-by-a-third.html, titled “Mazda’s New Engine Tech Will Cut Fuel Consumption By a Third.” It states:

    The engine will be the first practical use of the technology, which is called homogeneous charge compression ignition. Although hybrids are becoming increasingly popular, the company believes the internal combustion engine will live on for the foreseeable future and its investment into a new engine reinforces that idea.

    By igniting the mix of air and fuel by subjecting them to pressure, the new engine will make combustion more efficient than conventional motors featuring spark plugs. The technology will also reduce exhaust emissions.
    …………
    As for electrified Mazdas, look for the Japanese automaker to begin mass producing EVs by 2019 and a plug-in hybrid introduced by 2021.

    Greater efficiency implies lower CO2 emissions. Several commenters defend the viability of EVs, partially in response to the first commenter on the Seeking Alpha thread, Yambol, who wrote:

    “LOL it is funny how I posted few comments around 2 weeks ago about the new ICE inventions and how this will make ICE cars superior for 50 to 100 more years. Combine that with the Toyota hybrid technology and no new technology will beat such ICE engine(s.) LOL good luck to all who believe in the alternative energy engines sci-fi.” (I.e., EV vehicles.)

    I don’t know if this is a flash in the pan, like the sort of never-heard-of-again breakthroughs sometimes featured in Popular Mechanics-type magazines. The expanded partnership with Toyota and the new North American factory they’re building gives me hope that this has real substance.

  94. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/2026-solar-eclipse-already-has-energy-chiefs-in-a-spin-z83mgzs35

    This story has to be the biggest load of rubbish ever. It comes from a pdf available on the website of the British National Grid which can be found by entering ‘eclipse 2026’ into the search option on the National Grid website. There are pages and pages of total rubbish about a possible power disruption from a partial eclipse which will affect Britain at around 19.10 on 12th August 2026. Quite apart from the fact that sunset that day will be at 20.26 and so I wonder if they have some sort of plan for that, or indeed every other day when the sun sets. I really think this story should have a date of April 1st on it.

    • http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4786564/Scientists-uncover-91-volcanoes-Antarctica-ice.html
      ‘The most volcanism that is going in the world at present is in regions that have only recently lost their glacier covering – after the end of the last ice age. These places include Iceland and Alaska.
      ‘Theory suggests that this is occurring because, without ice sheets on top of them, there is a release of pressure on the regions’ volcanoes and they become more active.’
      Significant warming caused by climate change in west Antarctica has already affected its ice sheets.
      If they reduce significantly, this could release pressure on volcanoes lying below.
      This would lead to eruptions that could further destabilise ice sheets and enhance sea level rises, something Dr Bingham is keen to monitor.
      ‘It is something we will have to watch closely.’

      Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4786564/Scientists-uncover-91-volcanoes-Antarctica-ice.html#ixzz4pm1cpBQi
      Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
      Now this has been discussed here for years.
      Homogenisation ‘warmed’ Antarctica using volcanic influenced data from the West of Antarctica.
      Now we are told the warming was caused by climate change and the volcanoes make it worse.
      The ice dome on Antarctica keeps on growing.
      Yet it is feared the volcanoes will erupt.
      Another level of fear ratched up.

      ‘The most volcanism that is going in the world at present is in regions that have only recently lost their glacier covering – after the end of the last ice age. These places include Iceland and Alaska.’
      This of course is true, but the last ice age was millennia ago.
      The work itself looks really interesting.

  95. This ran in the Toronto Sun. The columnist was quoting a BBC radio documentary.

    The great carbon scam
    We pay to reduce our emissions, other nations hide theirs

    lorrie-goldstein BY LORRIE GOLDSTEIN, TORONTO SUN
    FIRST POSTED: SATURDAY, AUGUST 12, 2017 02:04 PM EDT | UPDATED: SATURDAY, AUGUST 12, 2017 02:06 PM EDT

    pertinent:
    By contrast, in the UK, one of many examples of serious reporting is a new radio documentary by the BBC’s environment correspondent, Matt McGrath.

    Called “Carbon Counting,” McGrath reveals how many nations that signed the Paris accord are inaccurately reporting and/or hiding their greenhouse gas emissions from the United Nations.

    Reporting is done once every two years, but the accord doesn’t require independent verification of the numbers.

    check out: http://www.torontosun.com/2017/08/12/the-great-carbon-scam

  96. recent paper climate and habitat changes https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/07/170724155603.htm
    Journal Reference:

    Frank A. La Sorte, Daniel Fink, Peter J. Blancher, Amanda D. Rodewald, Viviana Ruiz-Gutierrez, Kenneth V. Rosenberg, Wesley M. Hochachka, Peter H. Verburg, Steve Kelling. Global change and the distributional dynamics of migratory bird populations wintering in Central America. Global Change Biology, 2017; DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13794

  97. Hmm… there is no “Green House Effect” –

    New Insights on the Physical Nature of the Atmospheric Greenhouse Effect Deduced from an Empirical Planetary Temperature Model

    From the paper:

    “A key entailment from the model is that the atmospheric ‘greenhouse effect’ currently viewed as a radiative phenomenon is in fact an adiabatic (pressure-induced) thermal enhancement analogous to compression heating and independent of atmospheric composition. Consequently, the global down-welling long-wave flux presently assumed to drive Earth’s surface warming appears to be a product of the air temperature set by solar heating and atmospheric pressure. In other words, the so-called ‘greenhouse back radiation’ is globally a result of the atmospheric thermal effect rather than a cause for it.”

  98. ….”In coordination with SDG&E, two automakers are offering anyone who can show a copy of their SDG&E bill and a discount flier $10,000 off the manufacturer’s suggested retail price for the purchase of a new 2017 Nissan LEAF or any new 2017 BMW i3 plug-in model at participating local dealerships.

    These discounts are on top of existing state and federal EV incentives, which can total another $10,000 in savings….”

    http://sdgenews.com/clean/sdge-customers-eligible-10k-discounts-nissan-and-bmw-electric-vehicles

    Reply: Nice implied huge savings. Here in the Bay Area, with one of the highest cost of livings in the US, these are priced online at 9K under MSRP. I’m sure you could haggle the extra 1K. There is a surplus. Not much of a news item though.~ctm

  99. More dangers of a destabilized grid by removing reliable base load power, like what Australia is experiencing.
    This is a big deal for Taiwan which has much of the worlds semiconductor fabrication plants.
    These fabs take days or more to recover from even brief power interruptions, at the cost of millions in scrapped wafers.

    “Chipmakers
    Taiwan on Tuesday suffered a blackout after an accident occurred at a gas-fired plant, according to a report from Bloomberg. The outage, which lasted from 5 p.m. to 10 p.m., impacted more than 6 million homes and disrupted some IC production on the island, according to the report. Taiwan’s president was criticized for the event, as the government plans to shutter the island’s nuclear plants and cut the use of coal.”

    https://semiengineering.com/the-week-in-review-manufacturing-168/

  100. Dr. Roy Spencer announces:
    So, I was inspired to do something about [Al Gore’s latest publication]. I’d like to announce my new e-book, entitled An Inconvenient Deception: How Al Gore Distorts Climate Science and Energy Policy, now available on Amazon.com.

  101. I posted this comment on a recent article about Arctic ice loss. I am wondering whether this theory has been discussed on Whatsupwiththat. Does it have merit?

    corkyboyd

    August 19, 2017 at 8:23 pm

    Has anyone correlated the amount of particulate matter in the atmosphere to the loss of Arctic ice? Are we chasing the wrong cause by laying the blame on greenhouse gasses alone? China’s rapid industrialization has seen massive releases of particulate matter into the northern hemisphere. They lag the west in the use of scrubbers for coal fired generation plants. Major cities are almost unlivable because of particulate pollution. In the 1960s and 70s the Soviets ran tests in Siberia to see whether powdered coal spread by bombers could be used to accelerate the natural spring thaw. You can see this effect yourself by spreading sand on ice in daytime. It would explain the difference between Arctic and Antarctic ice loss.

    Reply: Yes, look for the term “black carbon” `ctm

  102. http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11907789

    Tackling Climate Change Head on in New Zealand, it’s election time folks……..The new Labour leader’s campaign launch was today….The Election Slogan, “We can Do this”, should probably read, “We can Tax this”.

    In her speech, Ardern said the first time she was boo-ed in politics was at a public meeting in Matamata when asked about climate change.

    “But I will never stop talking about it, because it’s the challenge that defines my generation.

    This is my generation’s nuclear-free moment and I am determined that we will tackle it head on.”

    If ever there was an upfront concession to an ideology and politically motivated reason to promote AGW in a naked attempt at vote catching, here it is in black and white.

    A large part of New Zealand’s Emissions are actually methane in the form of Cow Farts, so she is welcome to tackle those head on…..

  103. Statistical analysis of weekend death rates in NHS hospitals in the UK leads to two statements which typify the problems in climate science.
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/aug/19/jeremy-hunt-says-stephen-hawking-is-wrong-on-the-nhs

    “Speaking as a scientist, cherrypicking evidence is unacceptable. When public figures abuse scientific argument, citing some studies but suppressing others, to justify policies that they want to implement for other reasons, it debases scientific culture,” Hawking will say.

    Dr Lauren Gavaghan, a consultant psychiatrist‏ whose speech about the junior doctors dispute on James O’Brien’s LBC radio show last year went viral, told the Guardian that Hunt “purposefully misinterpreted statistics from a faulty paper around NHS weekend deaths, when the authors explicitly said that to use the figures would be ‘rash and misleading’. As a consequence of this, sick people did not seek medical help at weekends.

    “Subsequent research has shown his ‘analysis’ to be wrong, yet the harm has unfortunately already been done. For Jeremy Hunt to now have the audacity to dispute Professor Stephen Hawking, arguably the world’s most brilliant mind and a man who has dedicated his life to the complex analysis of data, on the interpretation of these academic papers is quite simply laughable.”

    Not sure about the Professor’s predictions in climate science, but good to see the points being made.
    We need to fix those BOM thermometers.

  104. Found a reference to this alleged poll in today’s 8/21/2017 “Best of the Web” WSJ column.

    “By Scott Rasmussen

    August 21, 2017: Twenty-eight percent (28%) of Americans think that climate scientists understand the causes of global climate change “very well.” A Pew Research study found that only 19% believe that the climate scientists have a very good understanding of the best ways to address the issue.[1]

    In general, the study found that Americans trust climate scientists more than politicians on the topic. Two-thirds (67%) believe scientists should play a major role in addressing policy issues on the matter. Most (56%) also believe that energy industry leaders (56%) and the general public (56%) should have a major say in such policy topics.

    The Pew study, however, also found that people believe there are differences of opinion among the climate scientists. Only 27% believe that there is a consensus on the issue and that just about all climate scientists believe human behavior is mostly responsible for global climate change. Another 35% think more than half hold this view.

    The survey also explored the degree of trust and confidence in those researching climate science. Thirty-six percent (36%) believe that, most of the time, scientists’ research findings are motivated by a desire to advance their own careers. Only 32% say that they mostly rely on the best scientific evidence. Twenty-seven percent (27%) believe that political views of the scientists generally influence their work.

    Liberal Democrats tend to express high levels of confidence in the climate scientists and their motives. Conservative Republicans are often quite skeptical. Most other Americans have mixed views.

    Research findings influenced by…

    Percentage responding “most of the time”

    Desire to advance their own career 36%
    Best available scientific evidence 32%
    Personal political leanings 27%
    Desire to help the industries they work with or for 26%
    Concern for best interests of the public 23%

    Most Americans (55%) believe that new technology will probably solve most of the problems from climate change. ”

    Ostensibly, this poll was conducted by Pew Research; though I was unable to verify the number with the Aug 1, 2017 Pew poll or last years poll.

    Though reading portions of both polls highlights the vast gulf between what Pew actually asked and in what context, then how Pew phrases their findings.

    Stretched is one word describing what Pew releases about the questions and the results.

    The recent poll picked up responses from almost 43,000 people. Against March 2016 Earth population estimate of 7.4 billion; that represents something like 0.00058% were polled.

  105. https://www.upi.com/Energy-News/2017/08/22/In-a-first-US-ships-coal-to-Ukraine/7931503393328/?utm_source=fp&utm_campaign=ts&utm_medium=24

    In a first, U.S. ships coal to Ukraine

    “Aug. 22 (UPI) — Coal shipped from the United States could help address energy security issues in Ukraine, the nation’s energy secretary said.

    U.S. Cabinet officials, the U.S. envoy to Ukraine and representatives from XCoal were on hand for the first shipment of coal from a Pennsylvania facility to Ukrainian energy company Centrenergo. U.S. Energy Secretary Rick Perry said coal sent from the United States would serve as a secure and reliable form of energy for Ukrainian consumers.

    “The department and this administration look forward to making available even more of our abundant natural resources to allies like Ukraine in the future to promote their own energy security through diversity of supply and source,” he said in a statement.

    Coal exports from the United States were around 37 million tons total for the first five months of the year, a level that’s 60 percent higher than the same time last year.”

    end excerpt

    Who was it that was saying coal is dead?

  106. Farming causes CO2 emissions!
    ——————————————-

    Farming has changed climate almost as much as deforestation
    Harvesting, tilling remove large amounts of carbon from soil
    http://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/agriculture-climate-change-1.4257023

    Soil carbon debt of 12,000 years of human land use
    Land use and land cover change has resulted in substantial losses of carbon from soils globally, but credible estimates of how much soil carbon has been lost have been difficult to generate. Using a data-driven statistical model and the History Database of the Global Environment v3.2 historic land-use dataset, we estimated that agricultural land uses have resulted in the loss of 133 Pg C from the soil. Importantly, our maps indicate hotspots of soil carbon loss, often associated with major cropping regions and degraded grazing lands, suggesting that there are identifiable regions that should be targets for soil carbon restoration efforts.
    http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2017/08/15/1706103114

  107. An interesting story in the Spectator on analysis of proxy data.

    Big data finds the Medieval Warm Period – no denial here
    https://web.archive.org/web/20170822210040/https://www.spectator.com.au/2017/08/big-data-finds-the-medieval-warm-period-no-denial-here/
    ” after applying the latest big data technique to six 2,000 year-long proxy-temperature series we cannot confirm that recent warming is anything but natural – what might have occurred anyway, even if there was no industrial revolution.”

    I believe this is the research link
    http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214242817300426

  108. Just wanted to share this scarcely reported news story as an example of stochastic resonance in nature:

    http://www.noticiasrcn.com/internacional-america/el-fenomeno-hizo-retirar-el-mar-costas-uruguay-y-brasil

    It applies to climate science because this is the phenomenon that the alarmists completely miss when they say that natural variability cannot explain much of the recent warming. Not properly modeling stochastic resonance has caused them to overestimate the effect of anthropogenic CO2 on climate and underestimate solar variability influence.

    https://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/17/431/2010/npg-17-431-2010.pdf

  109. Yet another example of Government Research funding that is developing designer sugar from algae-like organisms, precursors to biofuels. Economics are yet unknown.

    “A Bay Area ( San Francisco, CA) company has patented a group of three single-celled, algae-like organisms that, when grown together, can produce high quantities of sugar just right for making biofuels. Sandia National Laboratories is helping HelioBioSys Inc. learn whether farming them on a large scale would be successful.”

    https://share-ng.sandia.gov/news/resources/news_releases/biofuels_bacteria/

  110. Here is a potential blowout discovery:(see)

    Smoking Gun Of Fraud At NOAA
    Posted on August 24, 2017 by tonyheller

    It took about one second with my new software to identify fraud in the handling of the US temperature record. The very first record I looked at showed it..

    In NOAA’s adjusted USHCN data set, they mark months which they fabricated data with an “E”. They say that inadequate or no data was available from the station that month.

  111. The streak may be about to end:

    Tropical Storm Harvey expected to make landfall as Category 3 hurricane

    HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) — Tropical Storm Harvey is expected make landfall as a “major hurricane” according to the latest forecast data from the National Hurricane Center. The direct impact will be felt along the Texas coast Friday evening into Saturday morning.

    A Hurricane Warning has been issued for the Texas coast from Port Mansfield to Matagorda.

    A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from north of Matagorda to High Island Texas.

    A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass.

    A prolonged heavy rain event is likely for our area beginning Friday and persisting into early next week. It is likely some areas will see 10-15 inches of rain, with some spots getting over 25″.

    http://abc13.com/weather/watch-live-ts-harvey-expected-to-be-major-hurricane/39346/

  112. Not really too concerned..about Gorebull warming now.This is because In Feb and March, an adapted 1926 “Gravity Feed” furnace in MN, using a microwave magnetron to make a “synthetic combustion plasma” out of flue gasses, used 40% less CH4 with a “cold fusion/electrolysis” device feeding into that CO2/H2O plasma. And as the Monty Python folks say, “Now for something completely different”. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0By1NAnjjcIPNeXEzeDZOcjlaMTg/view This one is the “impluse version” of the same work. In the long run dear Martin Fleischmann and Stanley Pons will end up being heroes!

  113. Hurricane Harvey may be a major hurricane by the time it makes landfall in Texas on Saturday.
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?cone#contents
    This will be the first major hurricane landfall since 2005. But worse is to come. The models (yes, I know) forecast it to stall after landfall. That means dumping tropical gulleywashers for days on end. This could be as bad as Tropical Storm Allison in 2001.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Allison

  114. A scientist that have published climate papers with Hansen and Gavin Schmidt has turned skeptic:

    “We are the most qualified real climatologists to ever come out as global warming skeptics (including even more than Dr. Richard Lindzen and Dr. Judith Curry, although we acknowledge their revolutionary courage). Unlike most scientists counted in the scientific consensus on global warming we are real climate scientists. Our graduate careers included numerous courses in climate and we have done extensive research in climate, including climate modeling and climate proxies (past climates). Doing both is unusual. Not only have we actually used and run climate models but we have actually programmed them and so fully understand their (huge) weaknesses. Unlike many we don’t just ignorantly use the climate proxy data produced by others but we have taken courses and done research on climate proxies and so fully understand their (huge) weaknesses.”

    http://columbia-phd.org/RealClimatologists/AboutUs/index.html

  115. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2017/08/24/3700-year-old-babylonian-tablet-rewrites-history-maths-could/

    3,700-year-old Babylonian tablet rewrites the history of maths – and shows the Greeks did not develop trigonometry

    A 3,700-year-old clay tablet has proven that the Babylonians developed trigonometry 1,500 years before the Greeks and were using a sophisticated method of mathematics which could change how we calculate today.

    The tablet, known as Plimpton 332, was discovered in the early 1900s in Southern Iraq by the American archaeologist and diplomat Edgar Banks, who was the inspiration for Indiana Jones.

    The true meaning of the tablet has eluded experts until now but new research by the University of New South Wales, Australia, has shown it is the world’s oldest and most accurate trigonometric table, which was probably used by ancient architects to construct temples, palaces and canals.

    However unlike today’s trigonometry, Babylonian mathematics used a base 60, or sexagesimal system, rather than the 10 which is used today. Because 60 is far easier to divide by three, experts studying the tablet, found that the calculations are far more accurate.”

    “Our research reveals that Plimpton 322 describes the shapes of right-angle triangles using a novel kind of trigonometry based on ratios, not angles and circles,” said Dr Daniel Mansfield of the School of Mathematics and Statistics in the UNSW Faculty of Science.

    “It is a fascinating mathematical work that demonstrates undoubted genius. The tablet not only contains the world’s oldest trigonometric table; it is also the only completely accurate trigonometric table, because of the very different Babylonian approach to arithmetic and geometry.

    “This means it has great relevance for our modern world. Babylonian mathematics may have been out of fashion for more than 3000 years, but it has possible practical applications in surveying, computer graphics and education.

    “This is a rare example of the ancient world teaching us something new.”

    end excerpt

  116. Reduce your pet’s environmental footprint, caused by meat’s GHG emissions!
    ———————————————-

    Could vegan dogs help solve climate change?
    Research suggests plant-based diets could have environmental benefits — but veterinarians are divided
    http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/could-vegan-dogs-help-solve-climate-change-1.4260838

    Environmental impacts of food consumption by dogs and cats
    In the US, there are more than 163 million dogs and cats that consume, as a significant portion of their diet, animal products and therefore potentially constitute a considerable dietary footprint. Here, the energy and animal-derived product consumption of these pets in the US is evaluated for the first time, as are the environmental impacts from the animal products fed to them…
    http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0181301

  117. Going, going, gone

    WSJ….
    Duke Pulls Plug on Nuclear Plant; Cancellation Is Latest Blow to Sector
    Lee nuclear project had planned to use Westinghouse reactors

  118. So much for more extreme heat. Haven’t set a state record in 22 years.

    By decade….

    2010 0
    2000 0
    1990 7
    1980 3
    1970 2
    1960 1
    1950 4
    1940 0
    1930 26
    1920 2
    1910 6
    1900 0
    1890 2
    1880 1

    Record Highest Temperatures by State
    State Temp.
    °F Temp.
    °C Date Station
    Alabama 112 44 Sept. 5, 1925 Centerville
    Alaska 100 38 June 27, 1915 Fort Yukon
    Arizona 128 53 June 29, 1994 Lake Havasu City
    Arkansas 120 49 Aug. 10, 1936 Ozark
    California 134 57 July 10, 1913 Greenland Ranch
    Colorado 118 48 July 11, 1888 Bennett
    Connecticut 106 41 July 15, 1995 Danbury
    Delaware 110 43 July 21, 1930 Millsboro
    D.C. 106 41 July 20, 1930 Washington
    Florida 109 43 June 29, 1931 Monticello
    Georgia 112 44 Aug. 20, 1983 Greenville
    Hawaii 100 38 Apr. 27, 1931 Pahala
    Idaho 118 48 July 28, 1934 Orofino
    Illinois 117 47 July 14, 1954 E. St. Louis
    Indiana 116 47 July 14, 1936 Collegeville
    Iowa 118 48 July 20, 1934 Keokuk
    Kansas 121 49 July 24, 19361 Alton (near)
    Kentucky 114 46 July 28, 1930 Greensburg
    Louisiana 114 46 Aug. 10, 19361 Plain Dealing
    Maine 105 41 July 10, 19111 North Bridgton
    Maryland 109 43 July 10, 19361 Cumberland & Frederick
    Massachusetts 107 42 Aug. 2, 1975 New Bedford & Chester
    Michigan 112 44 July 13, 1936 Mio
    Minnesota 114 46 July 6, 19361 Moorhead
    Mississippi 115 46 July 29, 1930 Holly Springs
    Missouri 118 48 July 14, 19541 Warsaw & Union
    Montana 117 47 July 5, 1937 Medicine Lake
    Nebraska 118 48 July 24, 19361 Minden
    Nevada 125 52 June 29, 19941 Laughlin
    New Hampshire 106 41 July 4, 1911 Nashua
    New Jersey 110 43 July 10, 1936 Runyon
    New Mexico 122 50 June 27, 1994 Waste Isolat. Pilot Pit
    New York 108 42 July 22, 1926 Troy
    North Carolina 110 43 Aug. 21, 1983 Fayetteville
    North Dakota 121 49 July 6, 1936 Steele
    Ohio 113 45 July 21, 19341 Gallipolis (near)
    Oklahoma 120 49 June 27, 19941 Tipton
    Oregon 119 48 Aug. 10, 18981 Pendleton
    Pennsylvania 111 44 July 10, 19361 Phoenixville
    Rhode Island 104 40 Aug. 2, 1975 Providence
    South Carolina 111 44 June 28, 19541 Camden
    South Dakota 120 49 July 5, 1936 Gannvalley
    Tennessee 113 45 Aug. 9, 19301 Perryville
    Texas 120 49 June 28, 19941 Monahans
    Utah 117 47 July 5, 1895 Saint George
    Vermont 105 41 July 4, 1911 Vernon
    Virginia 110 43 July 15, 1954 Balcony Falls
    Washington 118 48 Aug. 5, 19611 Ice Harbor Dam
    West Virginia 112 44 July 10, 19361 Martinsburg
    Wisconsin 114 46 July 13, 1936 Wisconsin Dells
    Wyoming 115 46 Aug. 8, 1983 Basin

  119. “Fears uni may sack marine scientist over comments on reef health” – published today in http://www.theaustralian.com.au/higher-education/fears-uni-may-sack-marine-scientist-over-comments-on-reef-health/news-story/
    “Professor Ridd has given a series of high-profile media interviews over the past several weeks … to pro­mote a new Institute of Public ­Affairs book on climate change. He wrote the opening chapter …”…
    “His crime was to encourage the media to question two leading reef institutions … on whether they knew that photos they had published and claimed to show the long-term collapse of reef health could be misleading and wrong”, and “…was disciplined for breaching Principle 1 of JCU’s code of conduct by ‘not displaying responsibility in respecting the reputations of other colleagues’. “…

  120. Lawfare against Adani mine in Australia passes a tipping point.
    http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/queensland-legal-centre-vows-to-continue-adani-fight-20170826-gy4vel.html
    Native title and environmental objections rebutted.Adani welcomes outcome.
    John Podesta, past counselor to the President of the United States, had his fingerprints all over this campaign,
    but, as in climate science, no hard evidence for catastrophe, in this case, of interference in the internal affairs of Australia.

  121. Coal exports to burn elsewhere…

    WSJ….

    The Big Name in Coal’s Resurgence: China
    American coal producers filling voids created by overseas producers shifting exports to China

    “China’s reemergence as a coal importer has boosted the fortunes of U.S. producers who are now shipping more coal abroad than any time in the last two years.

    The trend has helped solidify a business that at the beginning of last year was suffering through a spate of bankruptcies and threatened with more. Revenue at publicly traded U.S. coal companies grew 19% in the first half of this year compared with the same period a year ago, and the biggest gains came at companies helped the most by exports, according to data compiled by Doyle Trading Consultants, a coal-market-analysis firm.”

  122. Apparently, climate change is a huge threat to Iran. They will have 200,000 people being flooded every year by 2070 and 2 feet of sea level rise by 2100.

    The Iranians are obviously much more enlightened than the United States…”Unlike President-elect Donald Trump, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has said that he believes that fossil-fuel consumption is the main driver of climate change.”

    This is all according to Carolyn Kormann, who is a member of The New Yorker’s editorial staff….

    http://www.newyorker.com/culture/photo-booth/a-witness-to-irans-intensifying-struggle-with-climate-change

  123. I received an email for a NAS webcast that includes Mr Gleick. I immediately thought, given his history, you might know some people who might like to join in, hopefully able to comment, in real-time.

    I’ve followed the Climate Wars since the 20th century, and have found the behavior of the likes of Peter Gleick, offensive. Back, during my grad. research, Mr Gleick’s antics would have afforded him 24 hours to vacate campus, and never return! His past deserves remembrance.

    http://mailchi.mp/nas/register-now-sept-5-event-on-grand-challenges-in-environmental-engineering-and-science

    The Future of Water, Food, and Energy
    by The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

    Grand Challenges in Environmental Engineering and Science: Meeting 2

    Tuesday, September 5, 2017
    7:00 PM – 9:30 PM PDT
    California Academy of Sciences or via webcast

    The demand for clean water, food, and energy is expected to rise sharply as the global population expands toward 10 billion by 2050, while at the same time standards of living are increasing for much of the world. The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine invite you to join an evening with three experts who have studied the past, present, and future of these basic human needs. Peter Gleick of the Pacific Institute will share his work on the future of water, Jonathan Foley of the California Academy of Sciences will outline the size of the food challenge, and Saul Griffith of OtherLab will share his recent work on energy. The event is free and open to the public to attend in person or via webcast.

    (Registration)

    https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-future-of-water-food-and-energy-registration-36495918274?utm_source=Division%2Bon%2BEarth%2Band%2BLife%2BStudies&utm_campaign=371e2489ae-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_08_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_3c0b1ad5c8-371e2489ae-262642621&mc_cid=371e2489ae&mc_eid=31bd7cfb95

  124. The Royal Society’s About Us | History page states:

    The Royal Society’s motto ‘Nullius in verba’ is taken to mean ‘take nobody’s word for it’. It is an expression of the determination of Fellows to withstand the domination of authority and to verify all statements by an appeal to facts determined by experiment.

    But climate science isn’t predicated on that statement of verifiability. It’s based on projections of a flawed computer model. And it proponents seemingly readily yield to the dominant (dubious) authority of the IPCC.

    Everything about climate science is contrary to the Society’s basic statement. Just why is global warming widely accepted as a special case, such that it doesn’t fall under the normal rules of science?

  125. @ https://newrepublic.com/article/144392/america-verge-ratpocalypse

    Rat boom — caused by human contribution to climate change
    “Public health is not just a local issue, and neither is climate change. Researchers admit that it’s extremely difficult to study rats, but many are confident that if temperatures continue to rise, rat populations—and the problems that come with them—will continue to grow. “I personally feel there is a connection with climate change, just because of logic and the biology of rats’ reproductive cycle,” Corrigan said. ”
    ““The reason the rats are so bad now, we believe, is because of the warm winters,” said Gerard Brown, program manager of the Rodent and Vector Control Division of the D.C. Department of Health, at a 2016 rat summit.”

  126. To go with the cooling Barents SST I posted above , new paper:

    Toward an ice-free Barents Sea
    Published August 25, 2017
    Abstract

    Arctic winter sea ice loss is most pronounced in the Barents Sea. Here we combine observations since 1850 with climate model simulations to examine the recent record low winter Barents Sea ice extent. We find that the present observed winter Barents Sea ice extent has been reduced to less than one third of the pre-satellite mean and is lower than the minimum sea ice extent in all multicentury climate model control simulations assessed here. The current observed sea ice loss is furthermore unprecedented in the observational record and appears as an uncommon trend in the long control simulations. In a warming climate, projections from the large ensemble simulation with the Community Earth System Model show a winter ice-free Barents Sea for the first time within the time period 2061–2088. The large spread in projections of ice-free conditions highlights the importance of internal variability in driving recent and future sea ice loss.
    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL074304/full

  127. Just ran across this, a fair sized California winery running on a generator rather than PG&E.
    http://napavalleyregister.com/news/local/can-a-napa-winery-run-on-a-generator-not-pg/article_5c5eb702-f034-546c-86fc-852ca5f106b9.html

    I’m not a Californian, and this raises questions.
    1. The stated reason for the generator is the high cost of running power lines. Is the cost of the power to be delivered just as large a concern?
    2. How competitive is a private generator with PG&E rates in Napa?
    3. Is California power so expensive that people will begin considering diesel self-generation?

    Thanks for all WUWT does.

  128. Global Warming LOL: Obamas Eye Spending BIG MONEY For Oceanfront Property
    http://www.dailywire.com/news/20473/global-warming-lol-obamas-eye-spending-big-money-james-barrett

    Though local realtors are “tight-lipped” on the Obamas’ rumored property shopping in the famed elitist haven of Martha’s Vineyard, anonymous sources told the The Boston Globe that the Obamas are looking for either land or houses in the less populated northern areas (all of which, just to remind you, were stolen from the Native Americans) …

    Just how much money are we talking? The lots above are $15 million and $12 million alone. Building in the area is outrageously expensive, even for a couple with “political advantage” like the Obamas, …

    [The mods request you pick a single username and stick with it when commenting here on WUWT. Thank you. -mod]

  129. Anthony, there’s a significant difference developing (on the Sea Ice Page) between NSIDC’s 15% sea ice extent (now just at 2 SD’s below the average) and the DMI’s 15% graph immediately below it (operational product now nearly 4 SD’s below the average.) Maybe the grayed area on the DMI graph is really only 1 SD instead of the 2 SD claimed?

    Such a significant difference in reporting on the same measure (15% sea ice extent) raises several possible issues, including whether it’s even possible to accurately measure what they’re attempting to measure. It would be interesting to post the two graphs and see if those generating them care to explain their quite different results. Plus, as usual, the comments would be interesting.

    It’s possible I’ve misinterpreted something, or overlooked a plausible explanation, by the way. If so, disregard.

    • Added: I did just notice that the long-term averages are based on different time periods, which could partly explain the difference.

  130. I’m seeing signs that the next climate fraud front is in pensions and investments. We’ll see how far it gets into irresponsible fiduciary rule violations.

  131. Looks like Bechtel will replace Westinghouse as Southern Power goes ahead without Duke Energy …

    Bechtel, a global leader in engineering, procurement, construction, and project management, today announced the company has been selected by Georgia Power to complete construction of the two-reactor expansion of a nuclear power plant near Augusta, Georgia. Plant Vogtle Units 3 & 4 will be the first new units built in the U.S. in the last three decades and are currently the only new units being constructed in the country.

    http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/bechtel-selected-to-complete-construction-of-us-nuclear-plant-expansion-300512272.html

  132. With dismay I refer to this article which states that the Australian high quality temperature recording network
    has not been using automatic measuring thermometers as they are designed, thus altering raw data.
    http://jennifermarohasy.com/2017/09/two-decades-temperature-data-australia-not-fit-purpose/

    Two Decades of Temperature Data from Australia – Not Fit for Purpose

    by Jennifer on September 1, 2017 in Information
    Australia is a large continent in the Southern Hemisphere. The temperatures measured and recorded by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology contribute to the calculation of global averages. These values, of course, suggest catastrophic human-caused global warming.

    Two decades ago the Bureau replaced most of the manually-read mercury thermometers in its weather stations with electronic devises that could be read automatically – so since at least 1997 most of the temperature data has been collected by automatic weather stations (AWS).

    Before this happened there was extensive testing of the devises – parallel studies at multiple site to ensure that measurements from the new weather stations tallied with measurements from the old liquid-in-glass thermometers.

    There was even a report issued by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) entitled ‘Instruments and Observing Methods’ (Report No. 65) that explained because the modern electronic probes being installed across Australia reacted more quickly to second by second temperature changes, measurements from these devices need to be averaged over a one to ten-minute period to provide some measure of comparability with the original thermometers. The same report also stated that the general-purpose operating range of the new Australian electronic weather stations was minus 60 to plus 60 degrees Celsius.

    This all seems very sensible, well-documented, and presumably is now Bureau policy.

    Except, this winter I have discovered none of this policy is actually being implemented.

  133. Another gem from ‘Canada’s national newspaper’, the Globe and Mail, related to climate change causing more floods and exceptionally rapid sea level rise:

    Houston is just a dress rehearsal for what’s to come when the sea level rises, as it is guaranteed to in the next 85 years. (Nearly two metres is the optimistic scientific guess.)

    https://beta.theglobeandmail.com/news/hell-and-high-water-floods-are-getting-worse-failure-to-plan-ahead-is-not-an-option/article36145091/

  134. Another gem from the Globe and Mail, Canada’s self-appointed ‘national newspaper’, conflating climate change, global warming, flooding, sea level rise and more, and warning:

    Houston is just a dress rehearsal for what’s to come when the sea level rises, as it is guaranteed to in the next 85 years. (Nearly two metres is the optimistic scientific guess.)

    Too bad, Ian Brown is otherwise a good writer.

  135. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2017/09/02/trump-nominates-oklahoma-congressman-next-nasa-administrator/628263001/

    Trump nominates Oklahoma congressman as next NASA administrator

    “WASHINGTON — Jim Bridenstine, the Oklahoma Republican congressman President Trump tapped late Friday as NASA’s next administrator, is someone who champions commercial access to space, thinks a return to the moon is vital to U.S. strategic interests, and has dismissed the science behind climate change.”

    end excerpt

    Here’s what Bridenstine said about CAGW before Congress:

    Rep. Jim Bridenstine Oklahoma

    “Mr. Speaker, global temperatures stopped rising 10 years ago. Global temperature changes, when they exist, correlate with Sun output and ocean cycles. During the Medieval Warm Period from 800 to 1300 A.D.—long before cars, power plants, or the Industrial Revolution—temperatures were warmer than today. During the Little Ice Age from 1300 to 1900 A.D., temperatures were cooler. Neither of these periods were caused by any human activity.”

    end excerpt

    Sounds like my kind of guy!

  136. A good article in the UK Spectator this week by Fraser Nelson and Rupert Darwall titled – Resilience, not devastation, is the real story of the Texas floods
    Link -https://www.spectator.co.uk/2017/09/resilience-not-devastation-is-the-real-story-of-the-texas-floods/

  137. Dr. Ryan Maue announced on Twitter – @RyanMaue – today he had resigned from Weatherbell. Wish him well in his future endeavors. A voice of sanity when so many others (usual names) have been running around lately spouting nonsense about Harvey.

  138. Whilst discussing near misses…
    Earth is temporarily spared once again.

    Large Asteroid to Safely Pass Earth on Sept. 1

    “Asteroid Florence, a large near-Earth asteroid, will pass safely by Earth on Sept. 1, 2017, at a distance of about 4.4 million miles, (7.0 million kilometers, or about 18 Earth-Moon distances). Florence is among the largest near-Earth asteroids that are several miles in size; measurements from NASA’s Spitzer Space Telescope and NEOWISE mission indicate it’s about 2.7 miles (4.4 kilometers) in size.

    “While many known asteroids have passed by closer to Earth than Florence will on September 1, all of those were estimated to be smaller,” said Paul Chodas, manager of NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) at the agency’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California. “Florence is the largest asteroid to pass by our planet this close since the NASA program to detect and track near-Earth asteroids began.”

  139. Does Pierre Gosselin fall for ‘Fake Science’ to disprove CO2 influence in warming. ?
    http://notrickszone.com/2017/09/04/ph-d-physicist-uses-empirical-data-to-assert-co2-greenhouse-theory-a-phantasm-to-be-neglected/#sthash.yVsY9wkH.dpbs

    I’m purely an interested civilian in these wars, -and the ‘mitigation following’ but I know enough about the physics, feedbacks, the background and history to smell something rotten here.
    Is it just me or does the chart disprove the postulation?

    While it references ‘warmed plate’ physics, he seems to focus on direct solar radiation as influences.
    Further he references gas convection and conduction as primary factors of heat conveyance, noting this is ‘proven’, without attribution. How do these convected molecules get warmed in the first place? By touching each other?!!
    To my layman’s mind this guy is attempting to disprove some original Arrhenius postulations with no real results that are helpful.
    Would sure like to see someone with credibility look at this. Like news, Fake science is worse than no science.

  140. MODS

    There has been a recently published paper that casts doubt on the GHE. It carried out an empirical experiment to ascertain the effect (if any).

    See: A Novel Investigation about the Thermal Behaviour of Gases under the Influence of IR-Radiation: A Further Argument against the Greenhouse Thesis

    https://www.omicsonline.org/open-access/a-novel-investigation-about-the-thermal-behaviour-of-gases-under-theinfluence-of-irradiation-a-further-argument-against-the-greenh-2157-7617-1000393.pdf

    Hopefully, this paper will be discussed in this site.

  141. climate change . . .sustainable . . . . .carbon intensive . . and so on.
    “… a computer model of the United States of Corn. It allows everyone to judge with previously impractical detail where corn has the biggest impact on the environment. ” @
    http://www.southeastfarmpress.com/corn/study-examines-united-states-corn reports on recent study
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-05/here-s-how-corn-makes-america-go-round
    To contact the author of this story: Eric Roston in New York at eroston@bloomberg.net
    To contact the editor responsible for this story: David Rovella at drovella@bloomberg.net
    © 2017 Bloomberg L.P

  142. “What You Need to Know About Climate Change” Joe Romm on Sam Harris’ podcast:

    Claim: ‘Earth’s temperature has risen 50 times faster in the last century than in the time before that, since the last ice age.’ (paraphrase)

  143. P t BBC – http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-41166778 – the Met Office is looking to get old data from Ben Nevis – the highest mountain in the British Isles – at a staggering 4,411 feet – transcribed by citizen scientists.
    Published 06 September.
    There is a link in the website referenced.
    It may be possible to download the [undigitized] data, to compare later with the published data.
    I am sure the Met Office will have the work done accurately.

    Auto

  144. Anthony and Team, just saw this brand new meme that’s hot off the propaganda meme press and was wondering if you and some of your team would provide an article debunking this kind of anti-scientific non-rational thought that is being used to attempt to convince people that weather events are caused by human caused global warming climate change. Thanks…

    Meme text: “When you have two “once in every 500 years” stormes in the same week IT IS TIME TO ACCEPT CLIMATE CHANGE IS REAL.” Caps theirs.

    Original link: https://www.facebook.com/TheOther98/photos/a.115969958413991.17486.114517875225866./2005765382767763

  145. I think this is an important paper that merits broader discussion.

    Radiation Transfer Calculations and Assessment of Global Warming …
    https://www.hindawi.com/archive/2017/9251034/
    by H Harde – ‎2017 – ‎Cited by 1 – ‎Related articles
    We present detailed line-by-line radiation transfer calculations, which were performed under different atmospheric conditions for the most important greenhouse gases water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, and ozone.

  146. https://www.inverse.com/article/36176-firebricks-mit-thermal-energy-storage

    ‘A new proposal from MIT researchers looks at how firebricks, clay bricks used in ovens as far back as 3,000 years ago, could play a role in fueling a world that’s independent of carbon energy.
    What makes a firebrick — a brick made of refractory ceramic material — so ideal for this use is that they’re able to retain heat for long periods of time if properly insulated.’

    Huh?

  147. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/new-battery-technology_us_59aea591e4b0dfaafcf28e20

    With Revolutionary Battery Tech, We Can Shift Global Energy To Renewables, Says Bill Joy

    ‘And cheap batteries should make renewables vastly more interesting as a source of energy on the grid, but as utilities are so heavily regulated we will need policy support to make the change quickly. To hold the line at 2 degrees Celsius, I think we will need to accelerate the retirement of fossil fuel-based generating plants, and turn off coal and even natural gas plants before the end of their normal lifetimes; this process will hopefully be accelerated by a suitable government-supported early-retirement program.’

    and if wishes were horses, beggars would ride…

  148. Please keep the red projected value plots in place and whole on your solar activity plots so we can compare predicted versus observed sunspot values throughout an entire cycle.

  149. Racist Baby Murder wins every debate. Yesterday I watched the video of Lord Christopher Monckton’s keynote address to the 12th ICCC. In the address he explained the need to provide a refutation of Climate Change that the cultural elite will have to accept. He then attempted to explain just such a mathematical proof. Unfortunately, this is too complicated for a layperson to understand. A simpler proof would be simply to show how climate alarmism regulations raise fuel prices. Then show how higher fuel prices correlate directly with higher grain prices. Then show how higher grain prices correlate with higher infant mortality in developing nations. Then shrilly accuse climate alarmists of racist baby murder. Also, it would not hurt to show how higher fuel prices increases profits at oil companies.

  150. 09/08/2017, Could companies be made to pay for stoking climate change? https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-fossil-science/could-companies-be-made-to-pay-for-stoking-climate-change-idUSKCN1BJ1DE

    See the following at https://link.springer.com/journal/10584

    The rise in global atmospheric CO2, surface temperature, and sea level from emissions traced to major carbon producers
    • B. Ekwurzel et al

    Responsible for what? Carbon producer CO2 contributions and the energy transition
    Henry Shue

  151. Hurricane force reduction by laminar flow disruption of the eye wall.

    So here is an idea. I have been studying these types of laminar flows and I think that something can be done to disrupt hurricanes right befor they make landfall. So I thought I would present it here. I’m not sure if it will help with Irma because there are only two days to do this.

    The loss of wind power over land is caused by disruption of air flow along the surface of the earth. There is nothing to stop this flow over water and the heat of the water adds to the power. The central eye wall is the location of the greatest speed in a relatively thin laminar column of air. Maybe 2-5 miles wide. The MOAB ordinance has a significant power out to a mile radius. A sequence of MOAB explosions approximately 1 mile above the ocean surface at or near the surface of the inner wall would cause disruption of the air flow in a significant manner. This is a laminar fluid flow and pushing on it would cause the flow to change course. The wall would not be destroyed but the disruption would use the force of the moving air to cause the power to work against itself enough to lower the intensity of the hurricane as it makes landfall. The eye is only 30 miles wide. Disrupting the flow in one spot with a sequence of MOAB explosions at that location of the eye wall would impact the strength of the eye wall winds on a significant percentage basis.

  152. I realize that biology isn’t one of the scientific disciplines routinely covered here, but I have noticed that sex is of interest to some readers and commenters, if not posters.

    Researchers at Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Berkeley, CA, and Harvard Medical School, Cambridge, MA, have recently discovered the origin of animal sex.

    Mating in the Closest Living Relatives of Animals Is Induced by a Bacterial Chondroitinase

    http://www.cell.com/cell/abstract/S0092-8674(17)30930-3

    Choanoflagellates, the unicellular organisms most closely related to animals, usually reproduce asexually. However, the authors show that an enzyme in flagellated bacteria of Genus Vibrio (a species of which causes cholera), chondroitinase, which breaks down chondroitin, familiar to sufferers of osteoarthritis, causes choanoflagellates to mass together and mate, ie fuse and share DNA.

    Choanoflagellates are practically animals (metazoans) themselves. They resemble sperm, naturally form colonies, and are virtually identical to the feeding cells of sponges, choanocytes. Not only do they produce chondroitin, but also collagen, the key structural protein of animals. Their colonies lack metazoan cell signaling systems, but this adaptation was evolved in their descendants the sponges, which have four different kinds of cells, but no tissues or organs.

    That flagellated bacteria, from a genus associated with pathogens, should have played such an important role int he evolution of animal sex is, to say the least, somewhat surprising.

    • OK, so I guess sex doesn’t sell. At least not involving unicellular eukaryotes and bacteria.

      But then what are sperm and egg but unicellular eukaryotes?

  153. https://www.thenation.com/article/climate-denialism-is-literally-killing-us/

    ‘Climate Denialism Is Literally Killing Us’

    ‘The horrors hurled at Houston and the Himalayan lowlands in late August were heartbreaking—but also infuriating. How many times must we see this disaster movie—titled Hurricane Harvey in 2017, Hurricane Sandy in 2012, and Hurricane Katrina in 2005, along with many lesser-
known foreign releases—before we intervene and change the ending? And how long before we hold the ultimate authors of such climate catastrophes accountable for the miseries they inflict?’

    Ok, ok, I confess, please don’t hit me anymore!

  154. Aerosols are actually warming the climate?

    Riuttanen, L., Bister, M., Kerminen, V.-M., John, V. O., Sundström, A.-M., Dal Maso, M., Räisänen, J., Sinclair, V. A., Makkonen, R., Xausa, F., de Leeuw, G., and Kulmala, M.: Observational evidence for aerosols increasing upper tropospheric humidity, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 14331-14342, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-14331-2016, 2016.

    “Abstract. Aerosol–cloud interactions are the largest source of uncertainty in the radiative forcing of the global climate. A phenomenon not included in the estimates of the total net forcing is the potential increase in upper tropospheric humidity (UTH) by anthropogenic aerosols via changes in the microphysics of deep convection. Using remote sensing data over the ocean east of China in summer, we show that increased aerosol loads are associated with an UTH increase of 2.2 ± 1.5 in units of relative humidity. We show that humidification of aerosols or other meteorological covariation is very unlikely to be the cause of this result, indicating relevance for the global climate. In tropical moist air such an UTH increase leads to a regional radiative effect of 0.5 ± 0.4 W m−2. We conclude that the effect of aerosols on UTH should be included in future studies of anthropogenic climate change and climate sensitivity.”

    https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/14331/2016/

  155. As I noted in a comment today, yesterday 2017 crosses over 2008 to become at the moment the seventh lowest Arctic sea ice year, after 2012, 2016, 2007, 2015, 2011 and 2008. It might also end up higher than 2010. Thus, for five consecutive years, ice extent has been higher than in the record low year of 2012, whose record is liable to stand for a long time.

    Hence, Arctic sea ice has bottomed and remains in a growing trend.

    Since alarmist commenter Griff is so popular, how about a special sea ice blog post when the ice turns sometime in the next week or so, reminding him or her of his or her prediction that this year was “sure” to set a new low, and inviting a response to the fact that, yet again, he or she has been shown wildly wrong, as so many others here assured him or her would be the case?

  156. The 5PM hurricane update for Irma dropped Irma’s category to cat 2.

    So much for Irma remaining a category 4 throughout the length of FL.

    Landfall was at Naples just South of Fort Meyers. Not counting the brush by of Key West barrier islands.

  157. Checking through the Key West twitter feed, it does not read as Irma being a cat 4 at Key West Landfall.
    A strong category 2 yes.
    Possibly a weak category 3; (that’s an oxymoron if there was ever one).


  158. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/good-news-energy-demand-will-peak-for-the-first-time_us_59b5217be4b0c50640cd6837

    ‘Good news! Energy demand will peak for the first time in human history’

    ‘Historically, energy demand and CO2 emissions have moved broadly in line with GDP and population growth, but that relationship will unravel. Electrification, particularly with the uptake of renewables, will change the way in which energy is supplied and consumed. While the global economy and world population are set to grow modestly, energy demand will flatten out and CO2 emissions will drop sharply.’

    Well, I won’t be around then, but I wouldn’t bet on that outcome (not my death, but the imaginations of climate vultures)

  159. Two new Pope stories from reuters:

    Pope bumps head, hurts left eye, but is well: Vatican

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-pope-eye/pope-bumps-head-hurts-left-eye-but-is-well-vatican-idUSKCN1BL0WK

    Pope says humanity will ‘go down’ if it does not address climate change

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-storm-irma-pope-climatechange/pope-says-humanity-will-go-down-if-it-does-not-address-climate-change-idUSKCN1BM1M4

    I wonder if the two are related?

  160. “Pope Francis has warned history will judge world leaders who do not act as he blasted climate change sceptics in the wake of Hurricanes Irma and Harvey.
    The pontiff said the recent storms meant the effects of climate change could be seen “with your own eyes”.”

    BBC story today.

  161. First Atlanta tropical storm warning is all over media. When did they start issuing tropical storm warnings for inland areas? Didn’t they used to issue high wind warnings for things like this? Atlanta has to have had 50+ mph winds from other hurricane that have gone thru Florida or coast of Georgia.

  162. I’m concerned about our ability to get our side of the climate science debate out. I was googling attempting to find this chart:

    I can only find it on non-NOAA sites. Between all the left sites like Google, Microsoft (Bing), Wikipedia, New York Times, Washington Post etc, the truth is getting lost in the spam of poorly written papers purporting that the pause never happened. They seem to put this junk out so fast its hard to debunk it all.

    Do we have a page where people can go to see what is wrong with these papers?

  163. Florida is a good test case, for Nuclear vs Renewables. The nuclear plants are being brought back on line this week

    https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/11/reuters-america-fpl-begins-to-bring-back-nuclear-reactors-after-irma.html

    How long will it take to get whatever windmill and photovoltaic power sources back up? That would be a good investigation of the robustness of fossil/nuclear vs wind/solar power systems.

    Are there any photos of roofs blown off taking the solar panels with them?

  164. I’d like to call the minimum of the Arctic Sea Ice Extent. Following data from JAXA:

    Sep 07 4515297
    Sep 08 4486326
    Sep 09 4472225
    Sep 10 4473157
    Sep 11 4500947

    That is only 2 days of increases, and the first was less than 1000 Km^2. But the second is a hefty +28K which I think will be sufficient to cover any minor downturns.

    Rich.

  165. No more excuses and deflection…..

    WSJ
    Tesla’s ‘Autopilot’ Shares Blame in Fatal Crash, U.S. Investigators Say
    U.S. officials said Tesla Inc.’s Autopilot feature contributed to a fatal crash last year, faulting the Silicon Valley company’s semiautonomous technology.

  166. Arctic sea ice didn’t melt yesterday. This would be early for the melt season to end, so it might well resume. But right now, Arctic sea ice extent is above the lows for 2008 and 2010, as well as 2007, 2011, 2012, 2015 and 2016. IOW, of the past decade, only 2009, 2013 and 2014 had higher lows. The past two years of course were affected by the Super El Nino.

  167. http://www.sacbee.com/opinion/op-ed/soapbox/article172858086.html

    ‘California should go all in on clean energy’

    ‘Right now the need for fossil-fuel-free energy and climate leadership couldn’t be higher. Any day, the state Assembly will consider Senate Bill 100, which would commit us to 100 percent clean energy by 2045. We will be the largest economy in the world to set this goal….

    Making a commitment to more renewable energy has not only protected us from blackouts of massive proportions, but it has also created thousands of jobs, grown our economy and reduced air pollution.’

    I ask myself: Would anyone propose that the US unilaterally disarm? Would those who propose such a thing be considered patriots, or plain traitors. And those who propose unilaterally divesting ourselves of reliable energy? Are they patriots, or just plain traitors..;

  168. President Trump’s economic advisor Gary Cohn is headed to a UN meeting to discuss climate change. Cohn is a known advocate of the alarmist agenda.

  169. https://consortiumnews.com/2017/09/11/the-militarys-warning-on-global-warming/

    The Military’s Warning on Global Warming

    ‘Let’s admit it. The military can be right. Secretary of State Colin Powell, a retired general, warned President George W. Bush privately against the crazy invasion of Iraq though he later betrayed his own good sense and joined the criminal conspiracy.

    What the military recognizes and the civilian government does not, is that the biggest security threat, the biggest security threat our species has faced in 10,000 years, is global warming. The military doesn’t call it a hoax. The 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review calls climate change “an accelerant of instability” and a “threat multiplier.”

    In October 2015 a diverse group of experts, including three former Defense Secretaries, said that climate change is “shaping a world that is more unstable, resource-constrained, violent, and disaster-prone.”’

    – Yes, what better way to disarm the military than through the use of ‘sustainable’ energy?

    • The military, more under Bill-Hillary Clinton and Obama than under GW Bush (but his administraton was not immune to the pressure from the academic-enviro-government lobby!), DID MANDATE the ilitary push social goals over EVERY military goal. Which means saving US military lives and equipment and money and war-gained territory and budgets had NO priority nor importance over ANY political goal the administration declared. To claim the “military” “leaders” who were promoted during these 24 years of ineptitude and political pressure are qualified to judge the relative importance of “climate change” (the single most important threat to the US” as declared by our former Secretary of State himself!) over military threats (that were themselves explicitly downrated as “junior varsity” by the President) is itself a revelation of the political corruption in Washington. It is NOT a “fact” that supports your claim, but a “fact” that reveals how weak your claim is.

      Climate change is ENTIRELY political science and political propaganda. Not measurable science.

  170. “The great nutrient collapse” aka CO2 caused doomsday food collapse.

    ” Across nearly 130 varieties of plants and more than 15,000 samples collected from experiments over the past three decades, the overall concentration of minerals like calcium, magnesium, potassium, zinc and iron had dropped by 8 percent on average. The ratio of carbohydrates to minerals was going up. The plants, like the algae, were becoming junk food.”
    https://flipboard.com/@flipboard/-the-great-nutrient-collapse/f-7c56f68f7d%2Fpolitico.com

    It’s very interesting that this long article doesn’t mention commercial greenhouses. It’s almost as if the researchers ignore the existing commercial greenhouses for a comparison. Now maybe that’s just the “politico” non-scientist author slanting things, maybe the underlying researchers did study plants from greenhouses and compare them, maybe not. It’s obvious to me in a second that one would want to study for comparison the nutrient food grown at commercial greenhouses and I was reading the article for such comparisons to field grown crops nutrients values. If in all the years of study they never compared greenhouse grown food nutrient profiles, well, one would have to conclude they’re doing it wrong… but I’ve not read their papers yet but such an obvious comparison wasn’t mentioned in the very long political article.

      • “The systemic aspect of the CO2 effect.
        Change (%) in the mean concentration of minerals in plants grown in eCO2 relative to those grown at ambient levels. All the results in the figure reflect the combined data for the foliar and the edible tissues. The number of total mean observations (m) for all the measured minerals across all the studies for each crop/plant group, experiment type, country, or region is shown with the respective statistical power. Country specific and regional results reflect all the FACE and Open Top Chamber (OTC) studies carried in any given country/region. The number of total observations (with replicates) for all the minerals (not counting C and N) for each country is as follows: Australia (926), China (193), Finland (144), Germany (908), and USA (1156). Other details are in the legends for Figures 2 and 3.”

  171. While following up a link that I’d posted on Kip Hansen’s piece on SLR, I came across this website, https://www.sunamp.com/ . Knowing that you have PV, I thought you might find it of personal interest if not for
    wuwt, though it’s quite possible that you’ve already come across it.

  172. Venus’ mysterious night side revealed

    14 September 2017
    Scientists have used ESA’s Venus Express to characterise the wind and upper cloud patterns on the night side of Venus for the first time–with surprising results.

    The study shows that atmosphere on Venus’ night side behaves very differently to that on the side of the planet facing the Sun (the ‘dayside’), exhibiting unexpected and previously-unseen cloud types, morphologies, and dynamics – some of which appear to be connected to features on the planet’s surface.

    http://sci.esa.int/venus-express/59498-venus-mysterious-night-side-revealed/

    My comment:
    I find it interesting how much there is to learn about our own solar system. The fiery end of the Cassini spacecraft today shows how singular every mission is.

    • Minimum was day before yesterday in NSIDC “data”, unless it drops today or later this month.

      But it’s likely the turn came yesterday, with a small build in Arctic sea ice area.

      Boy, was Griff ever wrong, just as wider heads told him he would be. Not even close to the new record low he predicted. The old record from 2012 remains and is liable to stay so indefinitely. If yesterday ended the melt season, the 2017’s extent will be higher than in 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2015 and 2016, ie seven of the past ten years.

      • With JAXA data, on September 12th I “called” the minimum for the 9th:

        Sep 07 4515297
        Sep 08 4486326
        Sep 09 4472225
        Sep 10 4473157
        Sep 11 4500947

        Since then, the figures dipped back to 4.49 (not less than 4.47 for the 9th and 10th) and is now up to 4.54 with a big leap that doesn’t look like being overturned. Why hasn’t WUWT posted anything on this??

        Rich.

  173. An alternative explanation for the apparent red-shifted supernova observations which led to the concepts of dark energy and the accelerating expansion of the universe.

    https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article-abstract/472/1/835/4002695/Apparent-cosmic-acceleration-from-Type-Ia?redirectedFrom=fulltext

    The authors suggest that the apparent acceleration of the universe is actually due to matter within it not being more or less evenly distributed, as assumed in dark energy theory. While the CMB radiation is fairly uniform, it could be that since the Big Bang matter has become unevenly distributed, such that time will run at different rates in various parts of the universe, and it will look different in disparate regions as well.

    The hypothesis has the advantage for researchers of needing more data to be confirmed or shown false.

  174. This video is making the rounds. Beautiful calm presentation of innuendo and fear mongering about jet trails and conspiracy.

    Best clue that it is garbage is the statement that jet trails exacerbate global warming!

  175. Anthony and/or moderators(?)

    Recently when I access the WUWT Home page and after a 30-40 seconds or so delay my browser, Firefox 52.3.0ESR, pops up an “Allow” redirect to the link posted below.

    https://publisherhub.plaimedia.com/nlp/index.php?key=6qw6dofpvrmerxemt7b0&t1=409403&t2=stream6&amp; t3={subzone}&cost=usdcost&url=http://publisherhub.plaimedia.com/click.php

    I suspect, but am not certain, that in one instance this redirect led to a “Zeus” virus page; a fake page which tries to lure one into calling “Microsoft” techs to “fix” the “problem”.
    Another test of the link, this time on a Linux based pc, supposedly led to a $50 drawing giveaway.

    I am definitely not a pro on viruses or redirects, etc. so I present this information to you as is.

    I also have used two different versions of Opera (12.17 & 36.0.213.65) to access WUWT and neither one of those popped a redirect “Allow” message.

    Additionally, in the link window “https://wattsupwiththat.com” at the top of the Firefox browser, the “Secure” padlock displays a cautionary yellow triangle which, on further inspection says:
    “Connection Not Secure”
    “Parts of this page are not secure”, etc.

    I don’t know if the above is of any interest or concern to you so I’m just presenting this for your information.
    If you have any questions or want any further information, I will be happy to assist to the best of my abilities.

    **************************************************
    When the above redirect “Allow” displays I’m using:
    Gateway PC
    Win XP, ver 3
    FirefoxESR52.3.0(32-bit)

      • Thanks for suggestion.
        .
        Have already done that plus complete HD scan and much more. I’m already almost bald so I don’t have much more hair to pull out.

        Any other suggestions welcome

    • To anyone who may have similar problems with URL “redirect”, I believe MY problem was because of a fake Shockwave player update which I had as an add-on to Firefox and the direct result of a “phishing” notice that the update was available..

      • I’m seeing a redirect from a Firefox browser window as well, to a “survey”. I have been able to get back to WUWT with 2 clicks on the back arrow, but it is annoying.

  176. Hi Anthony,

    I am one of the volunteer moderators of the /r/climateskeptics subreddit at reddit.com. Just thought you should know that we moderators there have recently learned that the wattsupwiththat.com domain has been banned across all of reddit.com. All comments and submissions linking to WUWT are automatically and silently removed, and only later appear if explicitly approved by a subreddit moderator (volunteer).

    I have an inquiry into a reddit administrator (employee) asking how you, the owner of WUWT, could contact them to straighten this out. Feel free to contact my email address.

  177. David Suzuki says CO2 emissions make crops unhealthy, and GW deuiers say CO2 is plant food.

    David Suzuki: CO2 and food: We can’t sacrifice quality for quantity
    Bigger isn’t always better. Too much of a good thing can be bad. Many anti-environmentalists throw these simple truths to the wind, along with caution.
    https://www.straight.com/news/969381/david-suzuki-co2-and-food-we-cant-sacrifice-quality-quantity

    The study.
    Hey, look! Models!

    Hidden shift of the ionome of plants exposed to elevated CO2 depletes minerals at the base of human nutrition
    Mineral malnutrition stemming from undiversified plant-based diets is a top global challenge. In C3 plants (e.g., rice, wheat), elevated concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide (eCO2) reduce protein and nitrogen concentrations, and can increase the total non-structural carbohydrates (TNC; mainly starch, sugars).
    https://elifesciences.org/articles/02245

  178. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/planetpolicy/2017/09/18/why-the-wiring-of-our-brains-makes-it-hard-to-stop-climate-change/

    ‘Houston has barely begun to dry out from Hurricane Harvey, and Florida faces a massive rebuilding effort after the Irma catastrophe. These two storms, among the most powerful in American history, are typical of the extreme weather events that are likely to become more common as the planet warms. A third hurricane, Jose, waits offshore and the storm season is far from done.

    So why isn’t the public heeding scientists and demanding climate action by politicians that could help deal with these destructive extremes? You can point fingers at the influence of fossil fuel companies, at misinformation from climate deniers and at political obstructionism, notably from a fragmented Republican party. But a much deeper force is also at work: the way our brains function.

    Humans aren’t well w….’

    – Yes, I guess we are just stupid, except for those bright lights that can see the Truth…

  179. https://www.hakaimagazine.com/article-short/can-united-states-afford-another-hurricane

    Can the United States Afford Another Hurricane?
    Repeated storms are stretching the public and private sectors thin.
    by Jackie Snow
    Published September 21, 2017

    ‘The 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season still has about five weeks to go, but it’s already one of the most expensive on record.

    According to Gavin Magor, a senior financial analyst at rating agency Weiss Ratings, claims on damages caused by Hurricane Harvey will cost from US $160- to $190-billion, and Irma will cost $50- to $60-billion. This toll makes the two storms more expensive than 2005, when four hurricanes caused $143-billion in damages. It’s just as bad for some of the islands in the Caribbean, with an early estimate putting the damage from Irma at $10- to $13-billion, the most expensive storm on record in the region.

    Such massive expenses force the question: can the United States afford to take another hit?’

    – hmm, let me think about that…ok, yes….

  180. Maybe this has already been considered regarding recorded data. If not, maybe something to pursued?
    A couple of comments I made:

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/09/22/a-climate-science-milestone-a-successful-10-year-forecast/#comment-2617706

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/09/22/a-climate-science-milestone-a-successful-10-year-forecast/#comment-2617734

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/09/22/a-climate-science-milestone-a-successful-10-year-forecast/#comment-2617789

    A possible “test” I didn’t mention regarding a data point actually being stored and retrieved, after the first “test” drops numbers that won’t be stored, they can be passed to another “test” where only the middle value that passed the first test in, say, a time frame is stored. More actual values dropped.
    Now, when one goes to retrieve the value for, say, a 10 pm on Jan 1 2017, the value will be generated.
    But that value may not be the actual number if that time and day’s number didn’t had not been stored because it didn’t pass the “tests”. It would be interpolated from the the values that did pass the tests.

    Perhaps an area of investigation to pass on to those who know more about this stuff than I do?

  181. The Price of Climate Deregulation: Adding Up the Costs and Benefits of Federal Greenhouse Gas Emission Standards
    By Nadra Rahman* and Jessica Wentz**
    August 2017

    http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2016/06/Rahman-and-Wentz-2017-08-The-Price-of-Climate-Deregulation.pdf

    noted this:
    …”We added up the projected economic impacts of major federal rules aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and found that the net benefits could reach nearly $300 billion per year by 2030.”….

  182. I came across this video because my daughter- in-law liked it on Face Book. I have no way of expressing my doubts about this beautiful but seriously flawed story without bursting someone’s unicorn bubble. I won’t do it. But, I couldn’t help but think what would Jim Steele say about this. Having seen George Monbiot’s Ted talk on how wolves change rivers, I put this video in the same bin of dubious environmentalist religious tracts as said Ted Talk. I think we have entered into an era of highly developed tall tails that fall not in the realm of entertainment but rather the overt destruction of rational objective thought for not only entertainment but a certain “feel good” bull shit not unlike an opium addiction. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M18HxXve3CM

  183. Higher bar for data retrieval and storage of open sourced documents.
    https://eos.org/editors-vox/do-you-expect-me-to-just-give-away-my-data

    We need the numbers – all the numbers – behind the published figures, graphs, contour plots etc. And these need to be specific; that is not averages within regions and so on. Your readers may well wish to re-plot these data to test a pet theory, or to assign them as a class problem, or to combine the results in a major review article. That is what your work is for.
    credit Mosher/ cf Judith Curry

  184. The campaign relied far too heavily on something that campaign technicians call “data analytics.” This refers to the use of models built from a database of the country’s 200 million voters, including turnout history and demographic and consumer information, updated daily by an automated poll asking for vote preference to project the election result. But when campaign developments overtake the model’s assumptions, you get surprised by the voters—and this happened repeatedly.
    Ravensfan2000/Creative Commons

    Campaign manager Robby Mook and his team believed that identity politics, demographic trends, and Trump’s temperament would be enough to win, so they could avoid confronting the “trust problem.”

    Astonishingly, the 2016 Clinton campaign conducted no state polls in the final three weeks of the general election and relied primarily on data analytics to project turnout and the state vote. They paid little attention to qualitative focus groups or feedback from the field, and their brief daily poll didn’t measure which candidate was defining the election or getting people engaged.

    The models from the data analytics team led by Elan Kriegel got the Iowa and Michigan primaries badly wrong, with huge consequences for the race. Why were they not then fired?

    http://prospect.org/article/how-she-lost

    Live by the model, lose by the model.

  185. http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2017/09/harvey-proved-how-fragile-the-oil-and-gas-industry-really-is/

    ‘Harvey Proved How Fragile the Oil and Gas Industry Really Is’

    ‘During this year’s record-breaking hurricane season, oil rigs and refineries were just as exposed as any structure on the precarious Gulf Coast, and their owners were limited to the same options as everyone else: evacuate, prepare, and hope the storm was merciful. The devastation Harvey and other storms left behind illuminates just how defenseless oil and gas infrastructure is in the face of hurricanes that are growing in magnitude and frequency and challenging the permanence of the oil and gas industry’s presence in the Gulf.’

    – ‘record-breaking’? Just what records would those be?

  186. From 2011 but I have not seen this. Verifies climate models. Concludes a basic time series models does better.

    http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207011000604

    Abstract
    Forecasting researchers, with few exceptions, have ignored the current major forecasting controversy: global warming and the role of climate modelling in resolving this challenging topic. In this paper, we take a forecaster’s perspective in reviewing established principles for validating the atmospheric-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) used in most climate forecasting, and in particular by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Such models should reproduce the behaviours characterising key model outputs, such as global and regional temperature changes. We develop various time series models and compare them with forecasts based on one well-established AOGCM from the UK Hadley Centre. Time series models perform strongly, and structural deficiencies in the AOGCM forecasts are identified using encompassing tests. Regional forecasts from various GCMs had even more deficiencies. We conclude that combining standard time series methods with the structure of AOGCMs may result in a higher forecasting accuracy. The methodology described here has implications for improving AOGCMs and for the effectiveness of environmental control policies which are focussed on carbon dioxide emissions alone. Critically, the forecast accuracy in decadal prediction has important consequences for environmental planning, so its improvement through this multiple modelling approach should be a priority.

  187. This is a pretty cool sea level rise viewer from NOAA. You just move the ocean up and see what gets flooded on a map.

    https://coast.noaa.gov/slr/

    The funny thing is… not so funny actually… is that the minimum you can change the sea level is one foot. That’s 150 years from now at the current and long term rate.

    The bias is even built into the mapping tools.

  188. It appears there’s a problem at ‘Reference Pages/Sea Ice Page/Northern Regional Sea Ice Page/

    When I click the link I get the following Windows dialog box notification (this is only a partial list):

    550 Can’t change directory to /DATASETS/NOAA/G02186/plots/r05_Kara_Sea_ts.png: No such file or directory

    550 Can’t change directory to /DATASETS/NOAA/G02186/plots/r16_Cook_Inlet_ts.png: No such file or directory

    550 Can’t change directory to /DATASETS/NOAA/G02186/plots/r08_Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence_ts.png: No such file or directory

    550 Can’t change directory to /DATASETS/NOAA/G02186/plots/r07_Greenland_Sea_ts.png: No such file or directory

    550 Can’t change directory to /DATASETS/NOAA/G02186/plots/r13_Baltic_Sea_ts.png: No such file or directory

    550 Can’t change directory to /DATASETS/NOAA/G02186/plots/r09_Canadian_Archipelago_ts.png: No such file or directory

    550 Can’t change directory to /DATASETS/NOAA/G02186/plots/r15_Yellow_Sea_ts.png: No such file or directory

    550 Can’t change directory to /DATASETS/NOAA/G02186/plots/r12_Bering_Sea_ts.png: No such file or directory

    Reply: I’ll send this to Anthony for future review. I may take a look myself this week. ~ ctm

  189. China uses coal derived carbon fibre amphibious drones to supply troops on islands in the South China Sea.

    https://en.dailypakistan.com.pk/world/china-unveils-worlds-first-amphibious-drone/
    ‘China unveils world’s first amphibious drone
    U650 will enter commercial operation this year
    The seaplane is able to stay aloft 15 hours with a cruising speed of 180km/hr and a flight range of 2,000km
    The unmanned aircraft can carry up to 250 kg of cargo
    Almost all of China’s large couriers, such as China Post and SF Express, have begun to invest in research and development on delivery drones. Analysts have said drones will play an increasingly important role in the country’s skyrocketing online shopping industry.’

  190. I thought the New York Times supported green energy and moving away from using oil for electric generation?

    Here is an article about Puerto Rica and the Jones Act, which has to do with requiring only US built, flagged and owned ships free access between US ports. This causes higher prices for everything imported to Puerto Rico from anywhere, including the mainland.

    But there is one interesting mention of oil.

    “And it will give islanders access to international oil markets — crucial for running its electric grid — devoid of a 30 percent Jones Act markup.”

  191. To those having issues with comments disappearing into the ‘ether’, I have found that this usually happens after composing a comment in the leave a comment box, but sometimes linger getting it written and submitted. It seems leaving that for too long might be one problem with how the comment update integrates into the WordPress program. Especially if it is a busy post with a lot of comments flooding in. I now compose the comment, but refresh the page just prior to submitting and re-copy a fresh copy of the comment, and have never had a comment disappear after doing that.

  192. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world-0/donald-trump-dangerous-mental-illness-yale-psychiatrist-conference-us-president-unfit-james-gartner-a7694316.html

    A bunch of pychiatrists have written a book suggesting Trump may have a mental illness and is not fit to be president. I would love to hear everyone’s views on this. The BBC also covered the story on Radio 4 but did point out that maybe it is unwise to diagnose someone without actually meeting them.

  193. I found this interesting…
    Zealandia: Earth’s Hidden Continent
    Abstract
    A 4.9 Mkm2 region of the southwest Pacific Ocean is made up of continental crust. The region has elevated bathymetry relative to surrounding oceanic crust, diverse and silica-rich rocks, and relatively thick and low-velocity crustal structure. Its isolation from Australia and large area support its definition as a continent—Zealandia. Zealandia was formerly part of Gondwana. Today it is 94% submerged, mainly as a result of widespread Late Cretaceous crustal thinning preceding supercontinent breakup and consequent isostatic balance. The identification of Zealandia as a geological continent, rather than a collection of continental islands, fragments, and slices, more correctly represents the geology of this part of Earth. Zealandia provides a fresh context in which to investigate processes of continental rifting, thinning, and breakup.
    http://www.geosociety.org/gsatoday/archive/27/3/article/GSATG321A.1.htm

  194. http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/352849-poll-majority-says-climate-change-is-responsible-for-severity-of

    Poll: Majority says climate change responsible for severity of hurricanes

    More than half of Americans believe that climate change is responsible for the severity of recent hurricanes, according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll published Thursday.

    The survey found that 55 percent of respondents blamed climate change for the rough 2017 hurricane season, while 41 percent said it was “just the kind of severe weather that happens from time to time.”

    – Gosh, another consensus…

  195. I was googling our friend William Connolley, and I noticed most links referring to what he did with wikipedia has been disappeared. Strange?

  196. Anthony… I’d like to see you do a story/column about the following: North Korea has been playing with Hydrogen bombs, and now is threatening to detonate a nuclear bomb over the Pacific… so… Where is GreenPeace now? Where are all the anti-nukes demonstrators? Why are these people silent?

  197. Accused NSA leaker called America ‘the worst thing to happen on the planet’
    Reality Winner, 25, told FBI agents she was disappointed in her job as a government contractor, court records show.
    In their latest filing Wednesday, prosecutors also included a partial transcript of a Facebook chat between Winner and her sister in February.

    “Look, I only say I hate America like 3 times a day,” Winner wrote. “I’m no radical. It’s mostly just about Americans obsession with air conditioning.”

    Her sister asked: “But you don’t actually hate America, right?”

    Winner replied: “I mean yeah I do it’s literally the worst thing to happen on the planet. We invented capitalism the downfall of the environment.”

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2017/09/28/accused-nsa-leaker-confession/715062001/

  198. WSJ story

    Calculation Captures Economic Growth’s Role in ‘Billion-Dollar Disasters’
    NOAA doesn’t account for how growth has increased the potential for damages

  199. Modi to electrify 3000 remaining villages in India so replacing kerosene lighting and heating.
    https://en.dailypakistan.com.pk/world/modi-secures-2-5-billion-for-electrifying-every-home-in-india/

    ‘Modi announced the program’s funding and goals on Monday. The effort, called Saubhagya, promises to extend last-mile power connections to villages without electricity, of which there are nearly 3,000. The program will deliver free or low-cost electricity to poor and rural households.

    Roughly one quarter of India’s population, about 304 million people, live without access to electricity.’

  200. Just listened to our local radio station in London, Ontario Canada. Water wells in Chatham(halfway between london and Michigan border) are producing black water where new turbines are being installed. Thought you might be interested. The radio show was on am 1290 at about 5:25pm. Andy Ouddman show.

  201. http://www.breitbart.com/big-hollywood/2017/09/29/delingpole-bill-nyes-new-science-guy-movie-is-more-climate-change-propaganda/

    Delingpole: Bill Nye’s New ‘Science Guy’ Movie is More Climate Change Propaganda

    “Part of the problem is, of course, Bill Nye himself. He can’t help the way he looks, but he really can help the way he dresses and acts. Everything about him from that fruity bow tie to the creepy uncle twinkle in his eye says: “The only time a guy like this should be allowed anywhere near children is in a Stephen King movie, wearing a clown suit.”

    But worse, far worse, is what he actually says:

    Nowadays, I’m talking to adults and I’m not mincing words. Climate is changing, it’s our fault, we gotta get to work on this.”

    end excerpt

    • Forgot about the flooding in the U.K. Stories here where a lack of dredging was the real cause but AGW got the blame. Now they have circled back and the dredging industry itself is blaming AGW for what they didn’t do.

  202. http://www.techtimes.com/articles/213955/20170930/methane-from-livestock-scientists-underestimated-impact-of-cow-fart-on-climate-change.htm

    Methane From Livestock: Scientists Underestimated Impact Of Cow Fart On Climate Change

    Researchers of the new study made new calculations on how methane emissions from animals contribute to global warming. Taking into account the changes in the way humans use and keep livestock, they found that previous estimates that served as basis for the 2006 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, were off by 11 percent.

    USDA plant physiologist Julie Wolf and colleagues reevaluated the data that were used to calculate the IPCC 2006 methane emissions estimates. These estimates were based on relatively modest rates of increase in methane emission from 2000 to 2006 but things dramatically changed after this period as methane emission increased by 10-fold over the next decade.

    “In many regions, livestock numbers are changing, and breeding has resulted in larger animals with higher intakes of food,” Wolf said. “This, along with changes in livestock management, can lead to higher methane emissions.”

    The study, which has been published in the journal Carbon Balance and Management, also showed that methane is responsible for about 16 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions in 2006. Besides cattle operations, other human activities such as the production and transport of oil, coal and gas, as well as the decay of organic waste contribute to methane emissions.

    – Something about this ‘study’ smells…

  203. Astrophysicist Neil DeGrasse Tyson had some seriously weird thoughts on hurricanes in an interview on Sunday, telling Sunday TODAY he believes man should harness the power of hurricanes for good rather than run from them, as one tends to do when 155mph winds and catastrophic storm surge are heading towards one’s beach house.
    https://gizmodo.com/neil-degrasse-tyson-what-if-we-just-turned-the-hurrica-1819041414

    Yeah. And nuclear explosion, solar flares, CMEs, supernovas and pyramid power too.

  204. No wonder there was more recent talk of trips to Mars….it beats reality checks back home

    WSJ
    Tesla Misses Model 3 Production Goals
    Tesla badly missed its goal of building 1,500 Model 3 cars in the third quarter, the first sign that the production ramp-up for the new sedan isn’t going as smoothly as planned.
    The Silicon Valley electric-car maker built 260 of the Model 3s between July and September, the company said in a statement. In August, the auto maker predicted it would build more than 1,500 Model 3s before cranking up production to 5,000 a week by the end of the fourth quarter.

  205. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/innovations/wp/2017/10/02/death-of-diesel-begins-as-gm-announces-plans-for-all-electric-future/?utm_term=.baf5b85cffba

    Death of gas and diesel begins as GM announces plans for ‘all-electric future’

    After nearly a century of building vehicles powered by fossil fuels, General Motors — one of the world’s largest automakers — announced Monday that the end of GM producing internal combustion engines is fast approaching.

    The acceleration to an all-electric future will begin almost immediately, with GM releasing two new electric models next year and an additional 18 by 2023.

    At a media event at GM’s technical campus in Warren, Mich., on Monday, Mark Reuss, the company’s chief of global product development, said the transition will take time, but the course has been set.

    “General Motors believes in an all-electric future,” Reuss said. “Although that future won’t happen overnight, GM is committed to driving increased usage and acceptance of electric vehicles.”

  206. CTM:

    With regard to Q-lav, I must point out the copy on the website is terrible in places. A good proofreader needs to go through the entire website and correct these errors.

    Note that [x] means an extra space has been (in my view) erroneously typed in the text content.

    For example the home page, arguably the single most important page of any website, is horribly in need of grammar/syntax/spelling repair (see bolded sections):

    DiscovDiscover-QLav® cleaner fresher hygiene that provides far superior results!. Washing your “Q” (our word for your bottom)[x] with a powerful stream of pure water. is the most comfortable-(way more comfortable than toilet paper)-, it is the hygienic way to clean your bottom while saving paper, saving money and save time when a shower or bath is unavalable or inconvienent., . Now you can enjoy the benefits of [x] bidet quality [“bidet quality” what???]wherever you go. The QLav® is a portable bidet that is simple to use, easy to transport, and virtually indestructible. Made from medical quality materials.

    • CTM:

      Even more here: https://www.qlav.com/personal-hygiene.html

      Easy on the Environment & Your Wallet

      Save money and trees by switching to the QLav®. Users report a 50-75% reduction in toilet paper use, and this method also eliminates the need for wet wipes or similar wasteful products. That means more money in your pocket and fewer trees that have to be turned into toilet paper. You’ll also save water, as you won’t have to take a full shower or bath in order to ensure you are clean and fresh. Saves water and energy and yes it has an environmentally frienly carbon footprint.

      • and again on the same page:

        More Hygienic Than Toilet Paper obviously taking a shower is best-the Qlav® is like a mini shower!

        [Inconsistent syntax (caps on first 4 words only) and confusing…if “obviously taking a shower is best” why would I buy the Qlav??]

        Wiping with dry paper alone is simply not hygienic.[x] Residues stick to hair and skin.

    • That’s what it’s for! I was too frightened to click. Could be very useful on a small sailing boat with limited water supply.

  207. I enjoyed this quote.

    Solar 3.10.2017 AFP

    “North Korea is probably the most solar-powered country on earth. But it’s not incidental that once you cross the border from North Korea into China you see very few solar panels. Because if you have reliable grid supply it doesn’t make sense.” Andrei Lankov, Korea Risk Group. (Breitbart, ‘The Wires’)

  208. Bullshit alert: Air turbulence is going to triple by 2050 due to climate change, according to ‘science’ done at the university of Reading. Needless to say, the ‘science’ is a computer model, and the scare story is all over the gullible media (just google climate and turbulence).

  209. Anthony, given that the NASA evidence of climate change website still talks about sea level rise accelerating and all of the general alarmist nonsense, I thought this study from the University of Colorado altimetry folks was interesting. Not only is there no acceleration, but they show a deceleration. And they are shocked.
    Edit: I just noticed it is older than I thought. August 2016. Maybe it had been covered somewhere.

    “New group publication: “Is the detection of accelerated sea level rise imminent?” by Fasullo et al.”

    “In stark contrast..current altimeter products show the rate of sea level rise to have decreased from the first to second decades of the altimeter era.”

    http://sealevel.colorado.edu/content/new-group-publication-detection-accelerated-sea-level-rise-imminent-fasullo-et-al

    • It still includes a lot of unscientific wording that amounts to wishful thinking and lusting for changes to validate biases.

  210. Here are extracts from an email I received from the Center For Inquiry (CFI), a Skeptics’ organization affiliated with the Center for Skeptical Investigation (CSI), formerly CSICOP. (That Skeptics’ organization, and others, has been peevishly warmist, imagining that skeptics are just unaware of the evidence and are mindlessly denying it out of hostility to Science, their idol.) It says in part:

    CFI Welcomes Jason Lemieux as Director of Government Affairs

    The Center for Inquiry is proud to welcome Jason Lemieux as its new Director of Government Affairs as of Monday, October 2. A veteran of both the U.S. military and Capitol Hill, Jason will lead CFI’s efforts in advancing public policy based on reason, science, and humanist values.
    ………….
    After earning a master’s degree from Columbia University in International Affairs, Jason was a fellow in the congressional offices of Representatives Mike Thompson (D-CA) and Charlie Rangel (D-NY), and most recently served as a legislative correspondent for U.S. Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ).
    ……………….
    “Jason will be advocating for reason and humanist values in policymaking,” said Robyn Blumner, President and CEO of the Center for Inquiry. “To cut through the thicket of science denial, and hostility toward atheists, we need someone sharp, tough, and persuasive. That someone is Jason Lemieux, and we are looking forward to having him at the helm of the Center for Inquiry’s domestic advocacy work.”

    “It’s my honor to join CFI as the Director of Government Affairs,” said Lemieux. “We humans are connected to each other and to the cosmos by our relationship to the evidence revealed by a scientific worldview. To be truly representative, governments must be guided by this evidence, and I look forward to advancing CFI’s work at this critical moment in history.”

  211. I just looked at the Photo of the Day submission and realized I need to change the e-mail because of a local computer store closing. This comment is just a way of doing that.
    Cheers, John

  212. Trump picks coal lobbyist for EPA deputy role, drawing mixed reaction. Those mixed reactions include some rather predictable comments:

    The Sierra Club, an environmental group, called his nomination “absolutely horrifying,”

    A coal industry group and some Republican politicians said he was well qualified for the job.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-epa-wheeler/trump-picks-coal-lobbyist-for-epa-deputy-role-drawing-mixed-reaction-idUSKBN1CB014

  213. Oh Please!!!
    Breitbart Exclusive: EPA Document Proposes to Eliminate Clean Power Plan ‘in Its Entirety’
    The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) plans to repeal the agency’s Obama-era climate change program, the Clean Power Plan (CPP), “in its entirety,” according to a document obtained by Breitbart News.

    The 43-page document, titled, “Repeal of Carbon Pollution Emission Guidelines for Existing Stations Sources: Electric Utility Generating Units” details how the EPA plans to repeal CPP through a Notice of Proposed Rule making (NPRM). This version of the document obtained by Breitbart News remains subject to change through inter-agency review.

    The agency contends that the EPA, under former Administrator Gina McCarthy, exceeded its authority to regulate carbon emissions as stipulated by the Clean Air Act. The document proposes to eliminate the Clean Power Plan, and then suggested that they might release an Advanced Notice of Proposed Rule making (ANPRM) that will reflect a more thoughtful and modest approach to regulating air pollution given the EPA’s limited statutory authority.
    http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/10/06/exclusive-epa-document-proposes-eliminate-clean-power-plan-entirety/

  214. From The Lancet

    http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(17)32151-7/fulltext?
    The document is public.

    “If, to limit greenhouse gases, countries move away from fossil fuels, the sizeable economic shift might enable the wealthy to dominate investment in replacement (greener) technologies—an opportunity to become even wealthier. We might expect health disparities to widen, even if the global trend toward improved health continues. Thus, the health of two populations is threatened by global warming: those at risk from direct effects (flooding, drought, famine) and those who might experience health disparities worsened by further income and wealth inequalities caused by climate change interventions.

    They are saying that the health effect of the anti-climate-change interventions may negatively impact the poor.

  215. Anthony & Moderators:

    The Washington State Department of Ecology is requesting input for its upcoming Carbon Emission Trading and/or CO2 Cap and Trade market scheme (they call it a ‘system’), as explained in the attached YouTube PowerPoint slide with narrative:

    As you may recall, the WADOE was tasked by Jay “I’ll Pass a Carbon Control Rule of Some Description on my Watch” Inslee to come with a punitive plan to slap down large ‘carbon’ emitters through a mandated State ETS (Emissions Trading System or Scheme), after such plans were not made into law via legislative due process:

    http://www.governor.wa.gov/issues/issues/energy-and-climate/2015-carbon-pollution-reduction-legislative-proposals

    Soon in this state, emitters will be required to expend capital funds to purchase these ET credits, and will more than likely pass those added costs on to consumers.

    I know with other issues pressing in the world at large this may be small potatoes, but I have followed this for a few years, and I find it fascinating that this once-great State has slipped this far into the ‘Carbon Abyss’.

    If you see fit, please consider posting for any and all concerned that they become aware, and maybe go to the Ecology website and provide comment during the Public Comment period, which is open through next Friday 13 OCT.

    Thanks for your consideration,

    Respectfully submitted,

    MCR

  216. https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/puerto-rico-tesla-musk/2017/10/06/id/818204/

    Puerto Rico Asks Musk for Tesla’s Help Solving Energy Woes

    “The government of storm-battered Puerto Rico has taken to Twitter to engage Tesla Inc.’s Elon Musk to help with solving the island’s energy woes.

    “Do you want to show the world the power and scalability of your #TeslaTechnologies?” Ricardo Rossello, Puerto Rico’s governor, tweeted Thursday at Musk. “PR could be that flagship project.”

    Musk replied on Friday that he “would be happy to talk.” Rossello told reporters he expects to have a conversation with the Tesla chief executive officer and said Puerto Rico needs to consider meeting its energy needs with more environmentally friendly technology.”

    end excerpt

  217. http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/10/06/exclusive-epa-document-proposes-eliminate-clean-power-plan-entirety/

    Exclusive: EPA Document Proposes to Eliminate Clean Power Plan ‘in Its Entirety’

    “The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) plans to repeal the agency’s Obama-era climate change program, the Clean Power Plan (CPP), “in its entirety,” according to a document obtained by Breitbart News.

    The 43-page document, titled, “Repeal of Carbon Pollution Emission Guidelines for Existing Stations Sources: Electric Utility Generating Units” details how the EPA plans to repeal CPP through a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM). This version of the document obtained by Breitbart News remains subject to change through inter-agency review.

    The agency contends that the EPA, under former Administrator Gina McCarthy, exceeded its authority to regulate carbon emissions as stipulated by the Clean Air Act. The document proposes to eliminate the Clean Power Plan, and then suggested that they might release an Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) that will reflect a more thoughtful and modest approach to regulating air pollution given the EPA’s limited statutory authority.

    President Donald Trump signed an executive order in March ordering a review of the Clean Power Plan as well as other environmental regulations. Instead of Obama’s stifling energy regulations, the Trump administration will promote policies that favor American “energy dominance.”

    end excerpt

  218. Walls Street Journal’ Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.
    Warren Buffett Bets on the Fossil-Fuel Highway

    “A sucker is born every minute, and Warren Buffett just proved it. He agreed to spend an undisclosed sum of his shareholders’ money to buy a controlling stake in Pilot Flying J, the truck-stop chain that sells food, coffee and diesel fuel to truckers. After all, aren’t truckers about to be replaced by robots, and diesel by battery power?

    The sucker in this scenario, we add, is anyone who believed such futuristic forecasts in the first place.

    “A growing irony is almost completely unnoticed. China, the U.K. and France now talk of banning the internal combustion engine as soon as 2030. Jerry Brown, California’s 79-year-old, term-limited governor, is pressing his state regulators to set a similarly aggressive date to burnish his green legacy.

    In the meantime, to prove they’re making progress, they’ve all adopted the same interim strategy: They mandate that car makers sell a set number of electric cars in return for being allowed to sell gasoline-powered cars. Fiat admits to losing $20,000 on every electric vehicle it sells in Europe. General Motors loses $9,000 on every Chevy Bolt. Even Tesla is partly sustained by selling zero-emissions credits to conventional car companies that actually make money (unlike Tesla).

    The implication is worth pausing over: In banning gasoline-powered cars, then, California and other jurisdictions would be banning the very product whose profits allow electric cars to exist in the marketplace today.

    This story has ripples and ripples. Ford fired its CEO, Mark Fields, in May when electric- and autonomous-car hype failed to loft Ford’s stock the way it had Tesla’s. He was replaced by Jim Hackett, manager of Ford’s futuristic mobility division. Mr. Hackett this week announced his own strategy and, lo, Ford will double-down on gas-powered SUVs and pickups.

    Ford’s stock price is indeed up on Mr. Hackett’s watch—because of expectations that lots of Houstonians will be replacing their flood-damaged pickups. ”

    So much for renewable energy and electric car hype!

    Smart investors have already benefited from the Ponzi part of the green energy scam. Now it is time to re-invest in the battered fossil fuel world and benefit from the World’s return to reliable consistent quality energy and transportation.

    Then there is also the side note:

    Behind Tesla’s Production Delays: Parts of Model 3 Were Being Made by Hand“.

  219. The International Fact-Checking Network (IFCN) at Poynter has certified Climate Feedback (climatefeedback.org) as a third-party fact-checking organization, meaning climatefeedback.org is eligible to act as a third-party fact-checker on Facebook and to rate the content of other websites. Poynter has certified no third-party fact-checkers who are not advocates of the anthropogenic global warming agenda.

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B-dqYAuRL4RxUnRoaVVqbHpvQ1E/view

  220. https://phys.org/news/2017-10-obama-impassioned-plea-energy-argentina.html

    Obama makes impassioned plea for clean energy in Argentina

    “Former US president Barack Obama made an impassioned plea on Friday for the world to embrace clean energy and overcome climate change at a gathering of experts in Argentina.

    Obama told an audience of government ministers, business leaders and young environmental activists they were part of a generation with the scientific means and imagination to begin to repair the planet.

    “This is no longer speculation, this is no longer an issue that we can put off, this is firmly in the present.”

    end excerpt

  221. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/10/171005141808.htm

    What Earth’s climate system and topological insulators have in common

    “Marston and his collaborators, Pierre Delplace and Antoine Venaille from the University of Lyon in France, showed that analogous dynamics are at play with Earth’s equatorial waves. In the case of the Earth, the role of the magnetic field is played by the Coriolis effect — an apparent force caused by the planet’s rotation. It’s what causes hurricanes to spin in opposite directions in the Northern and Southern hemispheres. The role of the edge is played by the equator, where the Coriolis force breaks down.

    “In each of the two hemispheres, you have the Coriolis force pushing in opposite directions,” Marston said. “That traps the waves at the equator in a way that’s very similar to how the current in a topological insulator is trapped at its edges. While the Earth doesn’t have an ‘edge’ per se, the equator is essentially the edges of the two hemispheres stuck together. . .”

    “The research helps to explain the existence of several types of equatorial waves. One of them, known as the equatorial Kelvin wave, delivers periodic pulses of warm water to the coast of South America, which is the El Niño oscillation. The findings also explain how these waves persist despite being battered by storms and shifting wind, and how they pass straight by islands that might be expected to cause the waves to scatter.

    “In topological insulators, the current is able to move right through impurities in the material as if they weren’t there,” Marston said. “That’s because of their topological nature, and it helps us understand why equatorial waves and the El Niño oscillation persist despite being jostled around by weather and other obstacles.”

    end excerpts

  222. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/10/171005125028.htm

    12,000 years ago, Florida hurricanes heated up despite chilly seas

    “Category 5 hurricanes may have slammed Florida repeatedly during the chilly Younger Dryas, 12,000 years ago. The cause? Hurricane-suppressing effects of cooler sea surface were out-weighed by side effects of slowed ocean circulation. That’s the finding of USGS researcher Michael Toomey and colleagues in their Geology article published online today.

    As the last ice age waned, undersea landslide deposits called turbidites captured the fury of Florida’s stormy days. Previously, Toomey linked turbidites in the Bahamas with modern hurricanes. For this study, the group examined turbidites in cores spanning the shift from the Younger Dryas into the warmer early Holocene, collected offshore the Dry Tortugas, Florida. The turbidites, complete with smashed up shells and jumbled sediments, reveal that in Younger Dryas days Florida was surprisingly hurricane-prone, at a time when cooler sea surface temperatures may have put the brakes on such intense storms elsewhere in the Atlantic.”

    end excerpt

  223. https://arstechnica.com/science/2017/10/with-nate-the-last-nine-atlantic-storms-have-reached-hurricane-status/

    Nate makes nine Atlantic hurricanes in a row—unprecedented in modern era

    “On August 9th, deep in the southern Gulf of Mexico, Hurricane Franklin reached 85mph winds before moving into Mexico. Although the storm dropped some heavy rains over the Mexican state of Veracruz, Franklin’s effects were relatively moderate, and it was soon forgotten.

    But following Franklin’s formation two months ago, eight additional tropical systems have developed and been assigned names by the National Hurricane Center. And during this frenetic season, all of those systems have become hurricanes as well. That’s nine in a row, which is unprecedented in the modern hurricane era.”

    end excerpt

  224. You have an ad that pops up for “Saxenda” that upsets the viewing of the website. Every time it auto-starts the page auto-scrolls to display the ad. It is bad enough that there is no way on page to mute it, but the auto-scrolling makes reading the content impossible until the ad quits auto-starting.

  225. This user name:

    “kokoda – AZEK (Deck Boards) doesn’t stand behind its product”

    is getting dangerously close to libel.

  226. This is pretty shocking, but I guess shouldn’t be surprising. Google, Bing and Yahoo search all block access to skeptic site principia-scientific.org.

  227. Natural Climate Variability, part 2: Interpretation of the post 2000 temperature standstill
    Nicola Scafetta 1, Aberto Mirandola 2*, Antonio Bianchini 3,4

    ABSTRACT
    The period from 2000 to 2016 shows a modest warming trend that the advocates of the anthropogenic global warming theory have labeled as the “pause” or “hiatus.” These labels were chosen to indicate that the observed temperature standstill period results from an unforced internal fluctuation of the climate (e.g. by heat uptake of the deep ocean) that the computer climate models are claimed to occasionally reproduce without contradicting the anthropogenic global warming theory (AGWT) paradigm. In part 1 of this work, it was shown that the statistical analysis rejects such labels with a 95% confidence because the standstill period has lasted more than the 15 year period limit provided by the AGWT advocates themselves. Anyhow, the strong warming peak observed in 2015-2016, the “hottest year on record,” gave the impression that the temperature standstill stopped in 2014. Herein, the authors show that such a temperature peak is unrelated to anthropogenic forcing: it simply emerged from the natural fast fluctuations of the climate associated to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. By removing the ENSO signature, the authors show that the temperature trend from 2000 to 2016 clearly diverges from the general circulation model (GCM) simulations. Thus, the GCMs models used to support the AGWT are very likely flawed. By contrast, the semi-empirical climate models proposed in 2011 and 2013 by Scafetta, which are based on a specific set of natural climatic oscillations believed to be astronomically induced plus a significantly reduced anthropogenic contribution, agree far better with the latest observations.

    http://www.iieta.org/sites/default/files/Journals/IJHT/35.Sp01_03.pdf

  228. Huge science media release and arrangements being made for Monday 16th October. Last time we had an event of this size it was for LIGO sighting of first gravity wave.

  229. Michael Mann’s recent “academic freedom” lecture at the University of Michigan can be seen here:

    The Mann Act begins at about 18:10.

  230. http://newsok.com/oklahoma-legislature-considering-restrictions-on-wind-turbines-near-military-bases/article/5567519

    Oklahoma Legislature considering restrictions on wind turbines near military bases

    “At a legislative hearing Tuesday that began with a congressman’s dire warnings, state lawmakers debated whether further regulation of wind turbines is necessary to prevent interference with military air space.

    The House Transportation Committee spent five hours listening to military officials concerned about turbines, wind energy experts who see no need for further regulation, and agricultural groups worried about their private property rights.

    The hearing began with recorded testimony from U.S. Rep. Steve Russell, R-Oklahoma City, who said the construction of wind turbines near Oklahoma’s military bases could make those bases vulnerable to closure. He accused wind companies of refusing to consider the ramifications of their development.

    “This is not a property rights issue. This is a national security issue,” Russell said.

    Lt. Gen. Lee Levy, the senior ranking military member in Oklahoma, said airmen have been placed in “an unenviable situation” of avoiding wind turbines during their training flights.

    “It is worrisome. We basically manage around the current encroachment,” Levy said.”

    end excerpt

  231. I thought that Prof. Bruno Latour’s perspective on how to fight climate “deniers” might be of interest to all and perhaps generate a good discussion. In the interview of this social scientist, he explains how science has been corrupted by “deniers” and says “…the uncertainty [of climate science] is no legitimate reason to block or postpone policy. And certainly, it is no reason to defund the research. That is the real crime: defunding research which might produce unwelcome results. By the way, calling it “skepticism” is an abuse of the term.” See the interview at: http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/10/latour-qa?utm_source=MIT+Technology+Review&utm_campaign=0c7320d6f0-The_Download&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_997ed6f472-0c7320d6f0-153892521

  232. The Climate Science disease has spread to Cosmology.
    https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/a-cosmic-controversy/
    Three scientist dared challenge inflationary theory and got published in Scientific America.
    A group of leading Cosmologists have signed a letter admonishing SA for publishing the article, based on reasons you can read but the main one is “invoking authority”.
    I guess next up they go for the 97% of cosmologist believe in inflation theory and deal with deniers.

  233. Climate scientist Steven Sherwood has attacked Tony Abbott’s ‘misleading’ claims about climate change in his speech to the Global Warming Policy Forum.

    s.sherwood@unsw.edu.au

    One of Sherwood’s statements contains this :

    In fact models are nearly dead-on in predicting overall global warming so far. They don’t predict every detail, but were never expected to.”

    My reply :
    Your claim requires scientific proof.

    My questions :
    1. The models are, in fact, supposed to predict nearly every detail which is why they are used by climate hysterics and politicians to justify their policies.
    2. When has any model been ‘dead-on’? Provide proof for this statement. As far as I can tell, all the climate models have been 100% wrong and even the IPCC says they have failed. So where are all these magical climate models that have been ‘dead-on’?

    Sherwood’s answer :

    See these two web sites:

    https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming

    https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2017/09/25/climate-models-an-essential-tool-for-guiding-policy/

    As for your statement #1, it would be like saying that if you can’t predict what someone will roll on a pair of dice, you don’t know anything about dice. Short-term climate variations are stochastic and mostly unpredictable. What we are trying to predict is the underlying dependence of the mean on the CO2 concentration (or other equivalent warming influences).

    OK. Let’s take a look at Sherwood’s proof :

    Met Office :
    Met Office Claim : Policy makers need to have reliable information about greenhouse gas emissions because there is a direct link between the amounts of total CO2 we have emitted and the amount our world warms.
    https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2017/09/25/climate-models-an-essential-tool-for-guiding-policy/

    Met Office Proof :
    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/news/2015/global-average-temperature-2015

    So there you have it; that is all the ‘man-made global warming’ proof needed by a climate scientist.

    ###

    Joanne Nova’s view of Sherwood’s work :
    http://joannenova.com.au/2012/12/alec-rawls-responds-to-steven-sherwood-the-bad-professor-is-inverting-the-scientific-method/

  234. James Corbett has produced and recently released a documentary: https://www.corbettreport.com/bigoil/
    Using his outstanding research skills, he has pieced together the history of how we got to the energy crisis we face. It’s a two part documentary with more to come in the near future.
    This is recommended viewing for all of the government agents who are ushering in the agenda of the oil oligarchs and have no idea what the end goal actually is.

  235. Criticism of the use of Likelihood Ratio in the presentation of expert testimony.
    Application: IPCC opinions, need for transparency in the presentation of expert opinions
    May relate to the call for transparency in the InterAcademy Council’s
    “Climate Change Assessments. Review of the Processes and Procedures of the IPCC”
    http://reviewipcc.interacademycouncil.net

    https://phys.org/news/2017-10-nist-urges-caution-courtroom-evidence.html
    NIST urges caution in use of courtroom evidence presentation method

    QUOTES:
    Two experts at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) are calling into question a method of presenting evidence in courtrooms, arguing that it risks allowing personal preference to creep into expert testimony and potentially distorts evidence for a jury.

    The method involves the use of Likelihood Ratio (LR), a statistical tool that gives experts a shorthand way to communicate their assessment of how strongly forensic evidence, such as a fingerprint or DNA sample, can be tied to a suspect. In essence, LR allows a forensics expert to boil down a potentially complicated set of circumstances into a number—providing a pathway for experts to concisely express their conclusions based on a logical and coherent framework.

    “We’re a bit presumptuous as expert witnesses that our testimony matters that much,” Champod said. “LR could perhaps be more statistically pure in the grand scheme, but it’s not the most significant factor. Transparency is. What matters is telling the jury what the basis of our testimony is, where our data comes from, and why we judge it the way we do.”

    The NIST authors, however, maintain that for a technique to be broadly applicable, it needs to be based on measurements that can be replicated. In this regard, LR often falls short, according to the authors.

    “Our success in forensic science depends on our ability to measure well. The anticipated use of LR in the courtroom treats it like it’s a universally observable quantity, no matter who measures it,” Lund said. “But it’s not a standardized measurement. By its own definition, there is no true LR that can be shared, and the differences between any two individual LRs may be substantial.”

    • Added: I see that MarkW suggested the same article earlier. It is indeed one of those having it both ways articles. Thus the article references only climate change, not global warming, but the commenters weren’t buying it. Most of them t