Tips and Notes


Cleaned 04/30/16

1. Be sure to check the front page of WUWT first, we often get duplicate tips here of stories already posted, sometimes days later.

2. Please remember this is not a discussion thread. Tips, notes, and links only please.

3. To put links in comments. simply copy the entire link URL and paste it into the comment. No need for code.


2,527 thoughts on “Tips and Notes

  1. UCS, still sucking
    ” At present rates of melting, Mt. Kilimanjaro glacier is likely to be gone before 2020. ”
    “25 percent of CO2 from fossil fuel combustion will remain in the atmosphere for thousands of years”
    “Tell ExxonMobil to stop funding climate deception”

  2. “Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action.” Vanuatu earthquake is the fourth or fifth magnitude 7+ earthquake around the ring of fire in a few months. Is this unusually active behaviour or more-or-less normal for the region?

  3. This link appeared in Climate Etc. today, but I saw no comments about it.

    The paper examines whether estimates of climate sensitivity reflect publication bias and finds that they do indeed in a big way (like overestimating climate sensitivity by a factor of 2). I think it may be the first such paper to do this in a formal mathematically rigorous fashion. Feynman of course knew how even physicists slant their findings so they don’t stray too much away from the accepted figures.

    Anyway, the paper even estimates the likely true climate sensitivity by analyzing only the 48 mostly-biased estimates. The number they come up with is 1.6, a completely independent way of hitting the same number as Nic Lewis!

    I can supply the full paper if anyone is interested.

  4. Funny! Greenwashing in can appreciate.

    Save the world by drinking beer. Biofuel made from beer dregs.

    DB Export Brewtroleum

  5. Hi Anthony,

    Please check the certificates that come with the site, my IE browser is freaking out about an error with one of the certificates and won’t show the site unless I accept it, bad certificates and all.
    Is someone trying to hack the site?

    Best regards,

  6. Down in Louisiana, climate scaremongering is front-page news today.

    Citing the work of Donald Boesch and Virginia Burkett, the author tries to convince readers that most of the bottom third of Louisiana will be submerged by 2100, unless emissions are checked by 2050 because “..water stored as ice in [Antarctic] glaciers and ice shelves IS NOW pouring into the oceans…” (emphasis added).

    They even throw in an estimate of 200′ sea level rise, if all ice on Antarctica were to melt.

    It’s encouraging that readers blasted the article in the comments.

  7. BBC radio 3 “Last Word” on the death of Professor Sir David Mackay. Mark Lynas quote on first encountering him and and attempting to debunk his statements on renewable energy. “It was almost like, that’s not fair, he’s using numbers”

    For me this perfectly illustrates the “green mentality”

  8. In Reference Pages, the ENSO 3.4 SST graph is not updating. It has shown 1.25 for at least two weeks, while the current number is actually 0.81.

    [Noted. .mod]

  9. The left continues their corporate bashing based on fearmongering and deception, this time working with North Carolina regulators to punish Duke Energy and scare North Carolinians over alleged ground water pollution.

    Here is a great article on how the left is using alarmism and highly calculated maneuvers to vilify conservatives and push their anti-energy agenda.


    Republican Attitudes on Climate Change Thaw
    Though politicians are increasingly willing to admit the planet is warming, they’re still reluctant to fund clean energy R&D.
    by Richard Martin April 29, 2016
    Subtly but steadily, Republican attitudes on climate change have been changing. That evolution was confirmed this week by a Yale University/George Mason University poll that found that 56 percent of Republicans nationwide believe that the climate is warming (although many still dispute the idea that human activity is the cause). Five years ago that figure was less than 40 percent.


    This new willingness to recognize reality stems partly from the fact that a strong majority of American voters view climate change deniers as flat-earthers. As Keith Gaby of the Environmental Defense Fund points out, it’s also driven by the fact that many clean energy jobs are located in Republican congressional districts. But that doesn’t mean that Republicans are suddenly eager to take action on clean energy technologies.

    – and so it goes…

  11. Still getting bogged down and then get “long running script” message which is hanging Firefox. Even in the time of this post after logging in afresh typing speed has gone down

  12. Safari won’t let me open WUWT on my iPhone from messages in my gmail account. Other links in emails open with no trouble.


  13. This week’s “the science is settled, astronomy division”:

    There was only one problem: Before TRAPPIST launched, the preponderance of astronomical opinion held that such planets couldn’t exist. “The prediction was that the protoplanetary disk around such small stars would be too thin to make planets,” says TRAPPIST team-member Julien de Wit, now completing a post-doc at MIT. Gillon was unbothered by such claims. “The theories for exoplanets are based on very few observations,” he says. “I didn’t believe the theorists. I decided to follow my intuition.”

  14. I’ll try to make this brief. Having an interest in local air temperatures, I set up a logger of my own design. Without going into details, I found that short-term air temperatures are highly variable. I shouldn’t have been surprised by that, but, I was. Using a 5 minute sampling rate, there were often swings of +/- 6 deg. F. This caused me to wonder about the method used by NWS, NOAA, etc. for establishing their reported current/daily temperatures. Via a contact at the National Data Center, I found this document:

    Section 3.1.2 (page 12) describes the method/algorithm used by the Automated Surface Observing System, ASOS. Note the last sentence of the third paragraph. The problem that I have with their algorithm is that all *midpoint* temperatures are rounded up. This potentially results in a worst-case reporting of +0.5 deg F., which is to say, a consecutive string of 3.5 deg. readings would be reported as 4 deg.

    If a series of ten readings were split 5/5 between 3.5 deg. and 3.4 deg. then, by inspection, we know that the average is 3.45 deg., but the method used would report 3.5 deg. which in turn would be rounded to 4 deg. Again, it is a very small bias, but it is there.

    Now, over time, and many samples, in the big scheme of things, that method doesn’t contribute a significant error in reported temperatures, BUT, it undeniably adds a tiny positive bias, but more importantly, it is sloppy methodology. If I had assigned the task to a Programming 101 student, I would deduct points. It is an easy thing to avoid, Midpoint temperatures should be, I think, rounded up or down via a ‘coin-toss’.

    As an aside I will note that, on average, a midpoint temperature will be collected once in every 10 samples.

  15. Anthony,
    FYI, I access your site with Safari 9.0.3 running OS X 10.10.5 and google is my search engine. Once the site has been accessed by typing the url into the search box and entered into history, the site cannot be accessed again this way without getting this message: “Safari can’t open the page “” because Safari can’t load any data from this location.” If I enter “watts up with that” into the search box the site appears in google search list which will then take me to the site. If I open a new browser window I can again access the site by entering the url into the search box. I can ultimately get to the site, but is anyone else having this problem? Your site is the only one of my regular sites visited that has this issue. It started happening about a week ago.

    • Have you tried making a bookmark, and putting that on your bookmarks toolbar? This avoids going through google each time: you just click on your tab

  16. Big conference on “unconventional resources technology” (mostly involving hydraulic fracturing) coming up in San Antonio in August. In addition to the petroleum geologists, major engineering societies will participate: chemical, civil, mechanical, mining. Apparently the folks who make the wheels turn don’t foresee an early end to the use of fossil fuels.


    Interior to Let Wind Farms Kill Up to 4,200 Bald Eagles a Year
    By Mark Drajem and Jennifer Dlouhy
    (Bloomberg) — Fish and Wildlife Service proposes regulation governing the number of eagles that developers of wind farms can unintentionally harm or kill each year.
    Plan would let wind developers “take” up to 4,200 bald eagles a year nationwide before the companies must take action or face a fine; current limit is 1,103
    “We estimate there are about 143,000 bald eagles in the United States (including Alaska), and that populations continue to increase,” proposal says; “Given their continued population growth above the 2009 baseline, there is considerable capacity to sustain take of bald eagles”
    Plan addresses “incidental take” of both bald and golden eagles; golden eagles could not be killed unless there is mitigation for those deaths; rule to be open to public comment
    Permits would last up to 30 years, instead of five; FWS says current five-year term discourages developers of wind projects

  18. A lack of faith ….
    Sainsbury’s [large UK supermarket chain] builds its own power plants amid energy shortage fears.
    Telegraph here

  19. Hi All,

    I remember seeing a Bugs & Elmer strip many years ago that I think is now timely (again).

    Bugs as the caged laboratory bunny (rabbit).
    Elmer Fudd as the white coated scientist.

    Elmer brings Bugs a platter with two carrots – one large, one small. Bugs takes the smaller one.

    The scene repeats.

    The scene repeats.

    Elmer finally explodes, exclaiming, “Wabbit, why do you keep taking the smallaw cawwot?”

    Bugs, “Because if I take the bigger one, you’ll stop bwinging me cawwots!).

    To me, this expresses in simplest terms the problems we have today with government funded science – unless the grantees produce the politically acceptable conclusions, their funding will end.

    I’d appreciate any help to locate the image. I think it would prove very popular again – and remind everyone of the power of cartoons and the wisdom of Bugs.

    • Everybody should watch this. For me the best take-away was his admission that until model resolution improves from the current 100 kilometer cell size to about 10 meter, and they learn to handle clouds, the model results are pretty much useless.

      • So they are only about 4 orders of magnitude away from meaningful predictions. If they can get their forcings right.

  20. A major hedge fund manager has been shorting SolarCity since last August. He is also shorting Tesla.

  21. A good illustration of the fear mongers mantra, “Never let a crisis go to waste” . . .

    In a story on the Fort McMurray, Alberta fire at:

    it is written:

    “Climate change models and research all point to the idea that fire season is going to be longer in the coming years, and the fires will be more severe,” says David Andison, adjunct professor with the faculty of forestry at *UBC.

    “It will really just be the new normal.”

    * UBC would be the University of British Columbia

  22. More a “data point” than a proper tip: The New Yorker is running a piece by Elizabeth Kolbert. It explicitly denies making a link between the fire at Fort McMurray and man-made climate change yet is plainly intended to make exactly that link. Elizabeth Kolbert has no science education; she is yet another literature major parroting “climate stuff”.

    I lived in Fort McMurray for three years in the mid-1970s. The entire area was pocked with the scars of fires recent and old—as you would expect in the Boreal forest. Alberta is a semi-arrid region. The only thing different this time is where the fire started. My money is on man-made ignition (cigarette butt, wickedness, could be lots of things) not man-made climate conditions. Sadly my old house was one of the first to burn down.

  23. Can’t be unknown. Don’t see on site. (Getting blind in old age?).

    Looking back seven thousand years into the Holocene—the current 11,500-year-old geological epoch—Ruddiman has proposed that early agriculture emitted enough methane and carbon dioxide to offset what would have been a global cold cycle. Ruddiman says that in contrast to the familiar view that human-caused greenhouse gases began with the industrial revolution, “the baseline of human effects on climate started earlier and that the total effect is larger.”

  24. If you’ve never heard of the red team concept, it’s a very useful management technique that’s been knocking around in certain organisations for a number of years. In essence, it’s a team of people, internal or external, who aggressively look for faults, flaws and loopholes in whatever an organisation is producing, whether that’s a product, a strategy or even an idea.

    Let’s do the red team on climate alarmism.


  25. Anthony and Moderators:

    Have you noticed that the upper ocean heat and temperature anomaly charts on the ENSO page haven’t been updating for a while? Clicking on a chart links to a current version so there is some problem with the page loading the right file.

  26. Against true imbecility even reasoning was useless since you couldn’t even appeal to your enemy’s self interest because they were too dumb to see it. “Against stupidity we are defenseless*,” he wrote, because imbeciles never feel a qualm. Against the stupid “neither protests nor the use of force accomplish anything … reasons fall on deaf ears; facts that contradict … simply do not need to be believed … and when facts are irrefutable they are just pushed aside as inconsequential, as incidental. In all this, the stupid person, in contrast to the malicious one, is utterly self-satisfied and, being easily irritated, becomes dangerous by going on the attack.”

    – Dietrich Bonhoeffer

    * I might add intentionally feigned stupidity in pursuit of political goals, as well.

  27. “Scientists have found electric, hybrid and other supposedly eco-friendly cars produce as much toxic particulate pollution as the “deadly diesels” they are meant to be replacing.”

    From today’s Sunday Times (behind paywall)

    Essentially because of the weight of the batteries there are more particulates produced from tyre wear and braking.

    “We found that non-exhaust emissions, from brakes, tyres and the road, are far larger than exhaust emissions in all modern cars,” said Peter Achten, whose research is published in the journal Atmospheric Environment.”

  28. Here’s an idea. I do not have the skills to do this, but it might be a useful exercise to creating a visual network looking at the people involved in the environmental CAGW scam.

    This kind of thing:

    Is anyone doing this? Is anyone here capable of doing this or know someone who might be inclined to do this?

    I’d say start with Michael Mann and the hockey stick team and see what shows up.

  29. There’s nothing like climbing on the bandwagon just as its wheels fall off.
    I can freshman Congressman Curbelo being suckered in on this, but disappointed that Illeana also signed on. Everytime there is a king tide that floods parts of Miami Beach, we get stories about rising sea levels and climate change. But it’s due to parts of Miami Beach sinking under the weight of all the new construction on a barrier island. *sigh*

  30. Study:
    Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands

    Five Solomon Islands Disappear Into the Pacific Ocean as a Result of Climate Change

    Sure sounds scary: “5 Solomon Islands Disappear” !!!

    But then I looked at the images in the study… These seem to be more like sandbanks to my untrained eye, on which vegetation managed to get a hold sometime in the past. The two (prime?) examples show (some) lost area some time between the mid and end of the 20th century – but what was lost (sand? barely above the waterline? was there any quantifiable vegetation to begin with?) isn’t clear to me.

    But sure, without humans the waves would not have touched these islands and the Solomons would remain unchanged for eternity …

  31. I rather suspect that the Solomons World Wide OMG study were sinking is more related to the fact that area is a Subduction zone and there have been some recent large EQ’s in the area. The Author of this paper and the lack of any thinking peer reviewers cognizant input is just appalling.

    This is a far more plausible explanation….

    And as a corollary

    How about the near by Spraty Islands, a little Cement and hey presto, submerged Atol becomes a modern harbour and landing strip. Hardly a catostrophe…and the reverse of the Solomons observations. Perhaps a reason the Pacific nations are so welcoming to the Chinese Yuan investment these days…instant adaptation…

  32. Luxury Cruise to Conquer Northwest Passage
    “A rise in traffic in the region has already translated into higher accidents rates. German insurer Allianz SE said in a March report that there were over 70 reported shipping incidents in Arctic Circle waters during 2015, up almost 30% from the year before.” WSJ
    The (second) planned cruise in 2017 will be the more interesting risky trip or no-show relative to the AMO decline.


    I have no confidence in my understanding of the article linked to, but I looked at the sea level chart, and it appears to my untrained eye that the max sea level change is maybe 20cm, according to tide gauges? 4 inches of sea level rise wiped out 5 islands, then?

    The article noted that other islands did not have the same problem: “However, islands in the more sheltered Roviana area of the southern Solomon Islands did not experience significant coastal recession.”

    So, I’m unclear whether this is a sea-level event or erosion or what….

    Maybe someone would like to take a look and offer an informed comment. I noted this because the article is referenced on CNET, which I think has a sizable readership.


    But we had so much snow this winter! But it’s only a couple degrees! But the temperature in my hometown feels fine! We’ve heard it all from climate change deniers. This elegant visualization sets the record straight.

    The data supporting climate change is undeniable; we live in a hot world that’s getting hotter. And yet, even though that change is easy to document, it’s sometimes hard to get people to really see the overall climate trend when they’re thinking mostly about the weather they are personally experiencing. That’s why this mesmerizing new graph from climate scientist Ed Hawkins of the National Centre for Atmospheric Science at the University of Reading gives such an excellent overview of what’s really going on.

    In the graph, Hawkins charts out every month’s temperature change since the 1850s into an outward expanding spirograph of climate data. Hawkins was also one of the contributing authors to the IPCC’s 5th climate assessment, which was full of plenty of alarming climate graphics and predictions of its own. This new presentation of that same climate data, though, lets the noise of tiny variations fade into the background while still showcasing, very simply, the undeniable trend.

    “I think there is lots to see—variations from month to month and decade to decade,” Hawkins told Gizmodo. “I wanted to try and visualize the changes we have seen in different ways to learn about how we might improve our communication. The spiral appeared to present the information in an appealing and straightforward way. The pace of change is immediately obvious, especially over the past few decades. The relationship between current global temperatures and the internationally discussed target limits are also clear without much complex interpretation needed.”

  35. This new global map of the mantle, the first of its kind, revealed that these supposedly gargantuan cycles are actually fairly small. Instead of being 10,000 kilometers (6,200 miles) in length, as many predicted, they are more often on the order of 1,000 kilometers (621 miles). If this is true, then it seems unusual that, at these scales, such convective cycles could cause such major changes in ocean crust height.

    ….Ultimately, they reasoned that the global variation in oceanic crust height can be explained if these shorter convective cycles are actually moving around 10 times faster than previously thought.

    “These results will have wider reaching implications, such as how we map the circulation of the world’s oceans in the past, which are affected by how quickly the sea floor is moving up and down and blocking the path of water currents,” added Hoggard. “Considering that the surface is moving much faster than we had previously thought, it could also affect things like the stability of the ice caps and help us to understand past climate change.”

  36. Anthony, (and you all),

    First, thanks for all you do. You are doing a great service to Mankind.

    I found this monograph while surfing the other day. It is by an Australian geologist, Timothy Casey (whom I know little about), and is titled:

    “The Shattered Greenhouse: How Simple Physics Demolishes the “Greenhouse Effect”.”

    I’m no expert but his argument makes a lot of sense to me. The thermodynamics comport with what I was taught in Physics (many years ago) and is very compelling. I think you will enjoy it. Perhaps it would be a good subject for a thread.

    Thanks Again,


  37. Climate Central: A new graphic shows Earth’s temperatures spiralling toward the 2C global warming limit:
    “The steady rise of Earth’s temperature as greenhouse gases accumulate in the atmosphere and trap more and more heat is sending the planet spiraling closer to the point where warming’s catastrophic consequences may be all but assure”

    Needs a rebuttal methinks….

  38. The price of solar power just fell 50% in 16 months – Dubai at $.0299/kWh!

    Dr. Moritz Borgmann at the Apricum – The Cleantech Advisory – added some color on the finance side of things:

    It can be expected that both JinkoSolar and the third-lowest Acwa Power pushed their proposals very close to what can be considered commercially feasible today. One may speculate how Masdar and FRV seemingly manage to play in a universe of their own. Because the majority of the expenses for a solar power plant lie in the upfront cost of construction, which gets recovered over numerous years, the cost of financing is a key overall cost driver. One can suspect that Masdar had access to long-term financing through the wealthy emirate of Abu Dhabi that no commercial banks, the primary source of capital for the other bidders, could match in cost.

  39. Water: we need to hear more about this major contributor to the “greenhouse effect” and the hydrologic cycle. Public (i.e., “pundit”) discussion is largely restricted to lack of it (drought) and phase change (melting glaciers). In terms of sea level, the role of evaporative loss and changes in return flow to the ocean related to groundwater, lakes and reservoirs is largely neglected. And don’t forget Perrault, the researcher who introduced empirical science (imagine that!)) to this field of study.

  40. Not climate related but interesting science: seems biotech is venturing into Frankenstein territory:
    “In a controversial move, a US biotechnology company has been given permission to recruit 20 clinically dead patients and try to bring their central nervous system back to life.”

  41. Speaking of misrepresentation…

    Here’s the text that accompanies the image below:

    “Our beautiful World through the lens of the Hubble telescope.”


  42. Anthony, I worked up a sort of ‘Greatest Hits’ of Gina McCarthy discussing the Clean Power Plan. If of interest…

    EPA Chief concedes no climate impact from climate rule; it’s about ‘reinventing a global economy’

    Over a period of twenty months, EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy repeatedly concedes that the Agency’s sweeping climate-regulation of America’s fossil fuel-fired power plants will have no impact on the Earth’s climate. McCarthy openly admits that the Clean Power Plan “is not about end of pipe controls.” Instead, she says the rule is about “driving investment in renewables…, [and] advancing our ongoing clean energy revolution”. McCarthy says, “That’s what… reinventing a global economy looks like.”


    “The value of this rule is not measured [by its climate impact]. It is measured by showing strong domestic action…”
    -US House Science Committee
    -July 9, 2015

    “[T]here is absolutely no reason to” measure the climate impact of the Clean Power Plan “because we know it will take a lot of efforts to actually make those reductions”.
    -Senate Appropriations Committee
    -April 20, 2016

    “We don’t have to prove that any reduction [in greenhouse gas emissions] will actually make a precipitous difference” in global warming.
    -IHS Energy CERA Week
    -February 24, 2016

    The “benefit” of the Clean Power Plan is “in showing sort of domestic leadership as well as garnering support around the country for the agreement we reached in Paris.”
    -House Energy and Commerce Committee
    -March 22, 2016

    “[The Clean Power Plan] is not about pollution control. […] This is an investment strategy…”
    -Senate EPW Committee
    -July 23, 2014

    “[The Clean Power Plan] is about advancing our ongoing clean energy revolution […] That’s what… reinventing a global economy looks like.”
    -Council on Foreign Relations
    -March 11, 2015

    “[The Clean Power Plan] is a fundamental way of relooking at where the United States is heading and how to maintain our competitive edge… That’s what this is all about.”
    -Council on Foreign Relations
    -March 11, 2015

  43. Here is another one of the DoE con jobs with due diligence on holiday.
    from WSJ
    Clinton Charity Aided Clinton Friends
    A $2 million commitment arranged by the nonprofit Clinton Global Initiative in 2010 went to a for-profit company part-owned by friends of the Clintons

    Mr. Clinton also personally endorsed the company, Energy Pioneer Solutions Inc., to then-Energy Secretary Steven Chu for a federal grant that year, said people with knowledge of the endorsement.

  44. New Greenpeace climate doomsday propaganda tools using animated gif image.

    “That metaphoric spiral has become a literal one in a new graphic drawn up by Ed Hawkins, a climate scientist at the University of Reading in the United Kingdom. The animated graphic features a rainbow-colored record of global temperatures spinning outward from the late 19th century to the present as the Earth heats up.”

    • Wow. DeSmogBlog is the outfit that aided and abetted Peter Gleick’s forged document smear of Heartland in 2012 (“fakegate”), and despite abundant proof that the damning “strategy memo” was forged, probably by Gleick, himself, DeSmogBlog, even to this day, stands by the lies. Yet it turns out that for the last five years DeSmogBlog co-founder has been writing a book lamenting “toxic rhetoric” and “the divisive state of public debate.”

      Now that’s truly world-class chutzpah!

      Here’s an excerpt from the announcement:

      After five years of research and writing, DeSmog co-founder James Hoggan will release his latest book, I’m Right and You’re an Idiot on May 25th.

      The book emerged from Hoggan’s observations on the divisive state of public debate we see today. Toxic rhetoric seems to affect virtually all important issues we face, whether in discussions about climate change, refugee immigration or gun control. So, Hoggan set out to examine the growing trend of propaganda and polarization in the public square.

  45. They have found another lake hiding under Antarctic ice, second only to Lake Vostok in size. The long channels and canyons that seem to extend from the lake appear to spread for more than 1000 kilometres towards the eastern coast of Antarctica on Princess Elizabeth Land, between Vestfold Hills and the West Ice Shelf. Near the Australian base of Davis.

    • They must have it backwards. Must be the cold! My bird shrinks in the cold.
      Sorry couldn’t resist.

  46. Interesting arguments from Germany for coal against nuclear by Energiewende advocate:

    “Second, Germany did not get 95 (or whatever) percent renewable electricity for the entire day, but only for a few hours. And third, Germany did not, a put it, have “so much renewable energy on Sunday that it had to pay people to use electricity.” It had so much baseload running below the must-run level that it had to pay people to consume electricity. Wind and solar will never cause negative prices on their own. (If you’re not sure what “must-run” means, read this first.)

    Germany’s power plant fleet cannot easily produce less than 20 GW at any time. On Sunday, these conventional plants were pushed down below 16 GW from around 11:30 AM to 4 PM. As the must-run level is approached, power prices dip into the negative.

    The next data I can share with you are, fortunately, already certain: the intraday trading prices for this electricity on Sunday. The lowest price was -32 cents per kWh, though the average at the time (between 2 and 3 PM) was -15 cents. To understand how low that is, consider that the average price is currently around three cents, down from around six cents eight years ago.

    Conventional power plants in Germany were thus willing to pay lots of money for wholesale buyers to take electricity off their hands. And yet, only 8 GW could be exported; at least twice as much is physically possible. Demand in neighboring countries was simply too low (France also had slightly negative intraday prices briefly on Sunday; see the previous link above).

    The real news is therefore not that Germany may have reached a record-high level of renewable electricity, but that its base load power plants are in real trouble. Proponents of decarbonization in the Anglo world like to claim that nuclear is a good complement to wind and solar for low-carbon power supply. Germany on Sunday is a good example of why that is not true. (Actually, every country is all the time, but we can’t even make such a comparison above in the US for a lack of published visualizations.)

    A lot of attention is paid to power storage, and the need for it is admittedly on the horizon. But there is another issue that must be attended to first: getting rid of baseload. The nuclear phase-out serves this purpose extremely well. By removing its remaining eight nuclear reactors, Germany will reduce the must-run level considerably.

    You may wish – for the sake of the climate – that Germany would close its coal plants first, but they at least are more flexible than nuclear, as I recently illustrated here. As a result, Germany may not reduce its carbon emissions as much as we would all like in the midterm, but inflexibility has to go first unfortunately when the long-term focus is on solar and wind. The early retirement of baseload power plants precedes the need for power storage. At “only” a 20 percent share of solar and wind power in 2015, Germany clearly already needs to retire baseload”.

    • The problem isn’t baseload generation, it is fluctuating, unreliable wind and PV. Nuclear is not the problem. It’s not demand which is fluctuating unpredictably, it is supply: wind and PV.

      When there’s too much electricity being generated, on clear but windy Spring day, it’s the spiking wind and PV which are causing the problem, and which should be cut off to solve it.

  47. Anthony, thought you might be interested in this, Mitch W4OA

    ZL1SIX Ocean Floater
    Fri May 13, 2016 5:43 pm (PDT) . Posted by: “Bob Sutton” zl1rs
    A small project inspired by Hans’ Voyager ideas at … the Floater is a 100mW
    transmitter on the 30m band with a short base-loaded whip antenna
    mounted on a buoy that will drift in the Pacific Ocean. It is sending a
    standard WSPR transmission once and hour, followed by two JT9
    transmissions giving its position, the temperature, and the battery voltage.

    The project was deliberately kept very simple. A QRP-Labs U3S
    transmitter and firmware made the electronics side easy. The U3S was
    rebuilt on a board with a more open layout to allow experimentation and
    the addition of a PICAXE controller to switch things on/off as required
    to reduce overall battery consumption. Most of the “hard work” was in
    the buoy body and antenna. More information about how this went
    together can be found at

    Today the Floater left on the yacht Windflower to be released into the
    south-west Pacific Ocean in a few days time. This will ensure the
    Floater is well clear of the coastal currents around ZL that would
    otherwise have ‘beached’ it along the coast if it been launched from the
    shore. Unlike balloon flights, things will happen very very slowly, so
    updates to the webpage and tracking map will probably only be made on a
    daily basis. WSPRnet spots will show the 4 character Maidenhead
    locator position, and the JT9 decodes have a 6 character Maidenhead
    resolution. Any JT9 decodes you receive will be appreciated via e-mail

    73, Bob ZL1RS

  48. Anthony,

    An interesting experiment from New Zealand by a ham radio fellow. See below.

    Mitch W4OA

    ZL1SIX Ocean Floater
    Fri May 13, 2016 5:43 pm (PDT) . Posted by: “Bob Sutton” zl1rs
    A small project inspired by Hans’ Voyager ideas at … the Floater is a 100mW
    transmitter on the 30m band with a short base-loaded whip antenna
    mounted on a buoy that will drift in the Pacific Ocean. It is sending a
    standard WSPR transmission once and hour, followed by two JT9
    transmissions giving its position, the temperature, and the battery voltage.

    The project was deliberately kept very simple. A QRP-Labs U3S
    transmitter and firmware made the electronics side easy. The U3S was
    rebuilt on a board with a more open layout to allow experimentation and
    the addition of a PICAXE controller to switch things on/off as required
    to reduce overall battery consumption. Most of the “hard work” was in
    the buoy body and antenna. More information about how this went
    together can be found at

    Today the Floater left on the yacht Windflower to be released into the
    south-west Pacific Ocean in a few days time. This will ensure the
    Floater is well clear of the coastal currents around ZL that would
    otherwise have ‘beached’ it along the coast if it been launched from the
    shore. Unlike balloon flights, things will happen very very slowly, so
    updates to the webpage and tracking map will probably only be made on a
    daily basis. WSPRnet spots will show the 4 character Maidenhead
    locator position, and the JT9 decodes have a 6 character Maidenhead
    resolution. Any JT9 decodes you receive will be appreciated via e-mail

    73, Bob ZL1RS


    “The problems with renewable energy such as solar power, is that, as The Economist points out, it’s overwhelmingly dependent on subsidies and regulations, it’s making backup power less economic, it risks destabilizing electricity grids, and it poses a disaster for conventional producers, who are absolutely essential for backup power when the sun isn’t shining. Rather than accelerating the deployment of costly energy options such as wind and solar power that sent power prices soaring in Ontario, policymakers need to facilitate the production of abundant and affordable energy. As we recently observed, even in energy-rich Canada, eight per cent of households put out more than 10 per cent of their spending just to pay for home energy consumption, a recognized definition of “energy poverty.”

  50. Readers might like to take a critical look at this crowdfunding campaign:

    At first sight it looks like an idea to improve the accuracy of scientific reporting… but then check out what the campaigners say in detail, especially in the video.

    Appears to be run by a division of the University of California, Merced.

    For reference:

  51. Swedish Govt Spends Millions Telling Citizens To Eat Insect “Meat” To End Climate Change

    The Swedish government is taking an extremely bizarre commitment to fighting climate change by spending large sums of taxpayer money to develop ‘meat’ made from mealworms and crickets.

    Vinnova, the Swedish government agency that distributes money for research and development, is spending some 2.7 billion kronor ($261 million) to replace conventional meat with ‘climate-friendly’ insect ‘meat’ and other strange alternatives.


  52. Is it possible this is part of the whole CAGW game?

    Circle Jerk: Analyst’s Disease. “A” releases a bit of dubious information. “B” reads the claim and puts it in his report. “A” reads the information in B’s report and decides that his information may actually be true. “C” picks up “A’s” and “B’s” reports and expands on it creatively. “A” and “B” now both believe their original piece of bullshit is absolutely true. Actually, there’s not a word of truth to any of it. IT’S A CIRCLE JERK.

  53. I just came across this interview with a Harvad Geologist who makes some claims about sea level rise and fall due to melting ice that I’ve never seen before:

    Lots of strange claims about the gravitational force of the ice sheets, such as this;

    “Gravity has a very strong effect. So what happens when an ice sheet melts is sea level falls in the vicinity of the melting ice sheet. That is counterintuitive. The question is, how far from the ice sheet do you have to go before the effects of diminished gravity and uplifting crust are small enough that you start to raise sea level? That’s also counterintuitive. It’s 2,000 kilometers away from the ice sheet. So if the Greenland ice sheet were to catastrophically collapse tomorrow, the sea level in Iceland, Newfoundland, Sweden, Norway—all within this 2,000 kilometer radius of the Greenland ice sheet—would fall. It might have a 30 to 50 meter drop at the shore of Greenland. But the farther you get away from Greenland, the greater the price you pay. If the Greenland ice sheet melts, sea level in most of the Southern Hemisphere will increase about 30 percent more than the global average. So this is no small effect.”

    Anyone know if this, and other claims made in the interview, are true?

      • Thanks. This type problem has happened before and it took emails to the respective sources and WUWT to get the link updated. Other cases involved Solar and AMO ocean charts.

    • For interest: There is a paper cited in your article and available here: “Solar Rooftop Policy Coalition – Unleashing private investment in rooftop solar in India” which gives enough detail of their costing proposals to allow a view to be gained of the likely viability and how it compares to alternatives.
      I have seen only a little of the Indian grid supply situation, but ‘suspect’ that what they are planning would be of significant interest to many Indian small industrial and commercial users (who are a major target of this incentive). Estimated residential demand varies by state and appears to be in the 15%-50% range. (Stacked bar graph – reference provided but not followed up on).

  54. The ENSO 3.4SST chart on the ENSO page is “stuck” on an old chart and is not up to date. I tried it on two browsers and got the same result.

  55. More from the “snow will be a thing of the past” department. Record snow in Maine today:

    And snowing in Colorado as well:

    1248 PM MDT MON MAY 16 2016

    4 INCHES. LOWS 28 TO 34.

  56. Anthony,
    The Federal Highway Department is getting in on the act too!! The link below will download a .pdf file. Search for “greenhouse” as in greenhouse gas to get to the meat of the matter. Dollars that could go to repairing potholes and bridges will now be diverted to chasing “carbon”.
    Another interesting .pdf from the Federal Highway Department: Search for “emissions” to see they make no distinction between CO and CO2 anymore.

    • Tesla subcontractors paid 10% of current wages:
      “He was one of 140 foreign workers who came to the country to work for Tesla subcontractors either with tourist visas or business visas, known as B1/B2 visas, the report alleges, often paying them as little as $5 an hour as independent contractors without benefits or other protections.

      American workers performing similar jobs in that part of the country earn an average of $52 US an hour, data from the Government of California shows.”


    “One of the largest groups on Facebook is titled “I f—ing love Science!” (a name which, combined with the group’s penchant for posting scarcely any actual scientific material but a lot of pictures of natural phenomena, has prompted more than one actual scientist of my acquaintance to mutter under her breath, “What you truly love is pictures”). Some of the Cult’s leaders like to play dress-up as scientists—Bill Nye and Neil deGrasse Tyson are two particularly prominent examples— but hardly any of them have contributed any research results of note. Rather, Cult leadership trends heavily in the direction of educators, popularizers, and journalists.”

  58. Chaos in the ranks
    Sci Am:
    Genetically Engineered Crops Are Safe and Possibly Good for Climate Change

  59. A couple headline typos, I think. Rational should be rationale and attorney generals should be attorneys general.

  60. Anthony,

    You and your readers might be interested in this piece of legislation apparently intended to protect true believer researchers from “deniers”.

    emphasis added

    By – Associated Press – Wednesday, May 18, 2016

    PROVIDENCE, R.I. (AP) – A bill introduced in the Rhode Island General Assembly would shield public access to records involving scholarly research at public universities.

    The Providence Journal reports ( ) the bill is scheduled for a committee hearing Wednesday.

    Rep. Carol Hagan McEntee, who introduced the bill, says the intent is to protect researchers from being targeted with requests from climate change deniers.

    The Democrat from Kingstown says the legislation would allow faculty to research without worrying about their communications.

    But open records advocates say the bill’s broad exemption could be interpreted to cover almost anything an employee at a public university does.

    A University of Rhode Island professor says Delaware, Georgia, Maine, New Jersey, Ohio, South Carolina and Utah have enacted laws to shield scholarly research and public university professors’ emails.


    Information from: The Providence Journal,

    Copyright © 2016 The Washington Times, LLC.

  61. Oh my goodness this will not end well.
    YOUTH WIN CLIMATE CASE AGAINST MASSACHUSETTS — InsideClimate News’ John Cushman: “The Supreme Judicial Court of Massachusetts ruled on Tuesday that the state must impose comprehensive cuts in greenhouse gas emissions to comply with the Global Warming Solutions Act, a law passed by the legislature in 2008.”

  62. URGENT:

    [This is WRONG and MUST READ. Corrupt adults abusing children and the legal system to promulgate the financial fiction called Global Warming? This apparently is also being looked at in other states.]

    Children Win Another Climate Change Legal Case In Mass Supreme Court

    In another surprising victory for children suing the government over climate change, the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court last Friday found in favor of four youth plaintiffs against the Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protection.

    The Court found that the DEP was not complying with its legal obligation to reduce the State’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and ordered the agency to “promulgate regulations that address…greenhouse gas emissions, impose a limit on emissions that may be released…and set limits that decline on an annual basis.”

    This case is one of several similar cases in federal district courts in Oregon and Washington, and in the state courts of North Carolina, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Colorado. All of these legal cases are supported by Our Children’s Trust, that seeks the legal right of our youth to a healthy atmosphere and stable climate in the future.

    At the heart of this particular case, is the Massachusetts Global Warming Solutions Act (GWSA). Signed into law in 2008, this Act created a framework for reducing state GHG emissions by 25% over those of 1990 by 2020, and an 80% reduction by 2050.

    DEP has seemed reluctant to comply with the GWSA, and the youths filed this case arguing that the DEP has failed to promulgate the regulations required by Section 3(d) of the GWSA establishing declining annual levels of GHGs. Massachusetts is not on track to meet its 2020 greenhouse gas reduction goal of 25% below 1990 levels – a problem that is directly related to DEP’s failure to issue the required regulations. The plaintiffs are working to ensure that Massachusetts complies with the law and does everything necessary to protect their constitutional and public trust rights to clean air, a healthy atmosphere, and a stable climate system.

    Said Julia Olson, Executive Director and Chief Legal Counsel at Our Children’s Trust, “Today, the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court called Massachusetts to task and underscored the need to take significant action now, so youth are not unfairly consigned to a disproportionately bleak future.”

  63. Sea level changes geting a lot of attention – but not from the marine viewpoint. A rise in sea level means extension of the continental shelves – extremely productive parts of the oceanic ecosystem. Consider the great expansion since the end of the last glaciation. The ocean is too often perceived by alarmists as a menacing enemy.

    • And anyone notice, when flying across NV, how incredibly BLINDING the light from these facilities is? From 40+ miles away–I have to close my window shade. Makes a laser pointer look like a match next to a flamethrower.

  64. Ivanpah solar plant takes a break for torching errant birds, and starts to torch itself.

    Oh, this cannot be good…
    “Misaligned mirrors are being blamed for a fire that broke out yesterday at the world’s largest solar power plant, leaving the high-tech facility crippled for the time being. It sounds like the plant’s workers suffered through a real hellscape, too….

    A small fire was reported yesterday morning at the Ivanpah Solar Electric Generating System (ISEGS) in California, forcing a temporary shutdown of the facility. It’s now running at a third of its capacity (a second tower is down due to scheduled maintenance), and it’s not immediately clear when the damaged tower will restart. It’s also unclear how the incident will impact California’s electricity supply.
    A spokesperson for the plant said it’s too early to comment on the cause, but it appears that misaligned mirrors are to blame. The Associated Press quoted Mike McClintock, the San Bernardino County fire captain, who said that some mirrors delivered sunlight to a different level on the third unit, causing electrical cables to catch fire.

    A Test Of Nevada’s Solar Tower Project Torched Over A Hundred Birds

    In what’s turning into a public relations headache for the solar industry, news has emerged…
    Inevitably, the incident reveals the inherent dangers of concentrated solar power as well as the need to ensure that the mirrors are always on target. Concentrated solar power plants, in addition to being a menace to themselves, can also pose a hazard to local wildlife. Last year, a plant in Nevada torched over a hundred birds when they flew through the plant’s “flux field.”

    It’s yet another setback for the Ivanpah facility. For the past few months, the plant has been unable to meet the output levels stipulated in its power purchase agreement, and it was given an extension until July 31, 2016 to improve performance. This fire obviously isn’t going to help.

  65. In case you missed it: Portland school bans all climate change denying materials which means anything that does not state unequivocally that climate change exists and is caused by man will not be allowed to be in any books used by the school to teach.

    In other words (as you well know) they’ve decided that any reporting or discussion using the scientific method in reference to climate change shall be banned.

    Saw this at on 5-20-2016, link below.

  66. Dear Anthony and co.

    As you know, satellites have started giving bad data for ice now when many of us were expecting ice areas to start gaining area again.

    So, f.ex. NCDC show these white dash lines in many places, they show data with wrong content for the area.

    Then.. grey areas in their graphics show areas… with no data. For these areas something was wrong with datatransmission as i understand it. No data.

    My point:

    -> How can there be “wrong data” white dashes in areas where there were no transmission?
    Who made these white lines and what are they?

    Kind Regards, Frank Lansner

  67. I tried the ClimateFeedback link, the site is back up.

    What I found interesting in the article:
    “We try to be neutral and explain the science and why some people get it wrong in the media.”

    Notice the word ‘Try’…

    He is aiming it at the media, trying to get their mind right:
    “Vincent said the site is aimed at the general public, but particularly journalists, editors, and those who influence public opinion.”

    Looks like he’s trying to make this a money making operation:
    “He is currently raising money to do even more by launching a “Scientific Trust Tracker” that would grade various media on reliability when it comes to climate change stories.”

    I wonder what his thoughts on WUWT will be? And what his traffic will be compared to Anthony’s?

  68. Well, who’d have thunk it?

    Non-linear dynamical systems are slippery things.

    “Replicating computer-simulated science is harder than you think, as a group of aerospace researchers from George Washington University have found.”

    Trying to reproduce earlier results …
    “.. to get where they expected to get needed “three years of dedicated work that encountered a dozen ways that things can go wrong, conquered one after another, to arrive finally at (approximately) the same findings and a whole new understanding of what it means to do “reproducible research” in computational fluid dynamics.”
    They turned up “vexing and unnerving” challenges in setting up their CFD runs on different programs, and “unexpected tricks of the trade” in software that only the authors of a project knew about.
    Even more mystifying, the boffins write, their own software delivered different results, depending on whether it was running on GPUs (using the Cusp library) or parallel CPUs (using the PETSc library).”

  69. Nuccitelli is writing about Lewandowsky’s latest “climate contrarian” study in the Guardian.
    Climate contrarian? I think I know what he really wants to say…

    Climate denial arguments fail a blind test (By Nuccitelli)
    In a ‘Pepsi challenge’ test, economist and statisticians find mainstream climate arguments accurate and contrarian arguments wrong and misleading

    A blind expert test of contrarian claims about climate data (By Lewandowsky)

  70. WaPo reports on May in DC …

    This May’s average high temperature is just 66 degrees, the second coldest on record month-to-date. It is an amazing 15 degrees cooler than last year’s average month-to-date high of 81 degrees. Month-to-date, the only cooler year on record is 1882 (average high of 65.5 degrees).
    All 22 days have had highs below 80. 1935 is the only other year not to have an 80-degree day this deep into May. (1935 finally hit 80 on May 26, but it’s unlikely this year will go that deep given the forecast for highs in the 80s on Wednesday, May 25).
    We’ve had 15 (of 22) days with highs below 70, tied for the most on record with 1954.
    We’ve had five days (of 22) with highs below 60, tied for 4th most on record.

  71. I read in the news today a story linking to an article in ( about how the UN will expand its bureaucracy by creating two new positions for has-been politicians to act as special envoys responsible for “raising the profile and sounding the alarm” on gullible warming and El-Nino.
    Former Irish president Mary Robinson and Kenyan ambassador to the UN Macharia Kamau are the official alarmists for El-nino and gullible warming

    The articles says:
    …The El Nino weather phenomenon, which occurs every two to seven years, affects rainfall patterns and causes both drought and flooding.
    Its effects can be seen in places like Sudan, where the UN estimates 400,000 people will need food aid due to El Nino-related drought. Neighboring Ethiopia is experiencing its worst drought in 50 years.
    The phenomenon has “created massive needs across the world,” the UN said in a statement, particularly in east Africa, southern Africa, Central America and the Pacific.

    “This year’s El Nino is taking place in a world already dramatically affected by climate change. More extreme weather events are expected in the future, and these hit the poorest communities—those least responsible for climate change—first and hardest,” the statement said.
    “Aid is not enough; a longer term approach is required in order to build the resilience of the most vulnerable.”

    The new special envoys will be responsible for “raising the profile and sounding the alarm,” Ban said in the statement.

    “It is vital that we scale up our humanitarian response urgently. To do that we need the full support and attention of the international community,” he was quoted as saying.

    Read more at:

    So the Gullible Warming cause will apparently now try to hitch a ride with El-Nino while it’s currently newsworthy, perhaps this is also intended to seed the idea that El-Nino is somehow related to gullible warming, which makes it worse than we thought?

  72. This web site claims to get the “facts ” right about climate change articles.

    “Scientific Reference to Reliable Information on Climate Change”

    A consortium of scientists is trying to set the on-the-record record straight about climate change
    As reported by

    Anthony; Is it a fact finding climate site or a mouth piece for alarmist?

  73. This is the “Hippo Roler”:

    It is primarily polyethelene – you know, one of those “eeevil” Big Oil products.

  74. The North American Electric Reliability Corporation, NERC, (the major national regulator of the electric utility industry) has issued a bulletin, “Operational Risk Assessment with High Penetration of Natural Gas-Fired Generation,” which deals with concerns over the increased penetration of natural gas as fuel for generators. Some impact on electric reliability is possible.

  75. The controversies over the end-Cretaceous extinctions continue – impact, volcanism, both, or something else? Here’s another possibility. There was a severe decline in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere in the late Cretaceous Period. Did “carbon-starvation” soften life forms up for the major blow at the end of the Period? Are we emerging from a form of “cabon starvation” at present? Lots to learn!!?q=cretaceous+period+co2+levels&view=detailv2&&id=7F425DE363246733B4ED114A6B3CE68C62E35FAA&selectedIndex=11&ccid=HMG%2fDivD&simid=608049387373922946&thid=OIP.M1cc1bf0e2bc31ad222acd2eea1304d36o0&mode=overlay

  76. An Oregon magistrate has ruled that a lawsuit filed against the U.S. government by a children’s eco-action group (and supported by James Hansen) can proceed to trial.

    Is it legal for kids to be used by activist adults as proxy plaintiffs in a lawsuit against the federal government demanding more “climate change action?”

    Four law professors who believe climate action by government is warranted opine in the NYTimes. Three say “yes,” one says “no.”

  77. 8 May: UK Telegraph: Christopher Booker: The founding members of some of Britain’s greatest charities must be spinning in their graves
    It is intriguing to contrast the current agendas of some of our more celebrated environmental charities with the aims of those who first set them up. The Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB), for instance, originated in 1889 with some Victorian ladies wanting “to discourage the wanton destruction of birds” – which for decades was what the RSPB very laudably did.
    Yet its latest publication – a report headed “The RSPB’s 2050 Energy Vision” – says little about birds. Not only does it call for Britain’s target for cutting CO2 emissions to be raised from an improbable 80 per cent to an impossible 100 per cent, it also says “our research shows the UK could have six times the current level of onshore wind turbines”. Since we already have 5,500 of them, the RSPB would thus be happy to see 25,000 more littering our countryside.
    Yet studies show that the prime victims of turbine blades are birds and bats, notably birds of prey that like to hunt over just the kind of landscapes that are most profitable for wind-farm owners. The Spanish Society for Ornithology found that Spain’s 18,000 turbines kill up to six million birds a year, averaging as many as 300 birds per turbine….
    Then consider the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), founded in 1961 by Prince Philip, Prince Bernhard and leading conservationists to protect the world’s wildernesses and endangered species…READ ALL, INCL “Did no one tell the flowers about climate change?”…

  78. 28 May: Townhall: Paul Driessen:SEC issues Climate Chaos “Guidance”
    Shouldn’t wind turbine companies have to disclose that generating just 20% of US energy with wind power would require some 186,000 turbines, 19,000 miles of new transmission lines, 18,000,000 acres of land, and 270,000,000 tonnes of concrete, steel, copper, fiberglass and rare earths? Is that sustainable?…
    Perhaps the 2016 elections will finally bring long overdue change…READ ALL

  79. 29 May: NPR: Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz Says Government Can Help Clean Energy Innovation
    Government officials in charge of energy policy from around the world are scheduled to gather in San Francisco on Wednesday and Thursday for the seventh Clean Energy Ministerial. It’s a conference to serve as a follow-up to December’s climate change talks in Paris.
    Organizers describe it as the “world’s largest and most forward-leaning countries working together to accelerate the global transition to clean energy.” Along with U.S. Secretary of Energy Ernest Moniz, government officials involved in energy policy from China, Australia, Argentina and Chile are scheduled to attend…
    Secretary Moniz, who was heavily involved in last year’s climate talks, spoke with NPR’s Michel Martin about funding clean energy innovation and why he thinks the Obama administration’s clean energy plans will continue after the election:
    (includes) MONIZ: Well first of all, let me reinforce the point that I will not comment on any candidate’s position. But the Paris agreement is not binding on targets. However, all the steps that have been taken are based upon existing authorities and following what are typically many-year processes spelled out in law to establish rules.
    If any president wants to change those, they will have to go through the same multiyear process to alter those. And so, those will go forward unless, again, a new president and a new Congress decide to redo the entire processes of rule making, and I do not believe there would be a lot of success in that attempt. So I believe what President Obama’s put in place will keep us on our trajectory to meeting our Paris commitments…

  80. 29 May: Commentary: Wind energy about to face major test
    By Chris Tomlinson Houston Chronicle
    NEW ORLEANS — The wind energy industry is on the clock to lower costs and address nagging questions around variability and scalability.
    The production tax credits that gave rise to thousands of wind farms across the country will likely be gone after 2020. Wind developers will no longer have a 2.3 cent per kilowatt hour advantage when offering their electricity to utilities and large corporations.
    An industry that claimed for decades that with a strategic boost it could eventually stand on its own two feet now has to live up to that promise. Accomplishing that was the main topic at the American Wind Energy Association’s annual conference held in New Orleans…
    The wind industry has already lowered the cost per hour of electricity 60 percent over the last five years. But to compete without subsidies, average costs still need to drop from roughly $55 a megawatt hour to $35 a megawatt hour over the next four years, said Chris Brown, president of U.S. sales for Vestas, one of the largest turbine manufacturers in the world.
    Every year the industry needs to lower equipment costs 2 percent to 4 percent, boost productivity 3 percent and reduce capital costs, he added…
    General Electric and other manufacturers announced new lines of turbines that will decrease the unit cost of electricity, and they insist there’s room to improve.
    “It’s going to come in a number of different areas: longer blades, taller towers, bigger nameplates (larger generators),” said Anne McEntee, CEO of GE’s Onshore Wind business…
    Optimism does not make money, though, and there are those who worry that without new emissions limits on fossil-fuel plants, wind can’t compete with cheap natural gas…READ ALL FOR OTHER POSITIVE SPIN

  81. Editorial Climate change is the most pressing issue of our time. So why isn’t it getting more play in the election?
    From Google Cache I found this amazing editorial and the comments were worth the read, they were lambasting the latimes, at least an hour of comments to read ripping on the editorial board. While the latimes intent was to draw attention to climate change the comments destroyed their effort and fortified the fact it’s a ripe off.

  82. I went to the Hay Literary Festival yesterday to hear CHRISTIANA FIGUERES talk about her work as the Executive Secretay of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. Her arrogance and hubris was amazing to behold. When asked about recent progress she said there had been a marked reduction in climate deniers. In fact they should be places on the SITES endangered list, not to be saved, of course!

  83. You’re probably already aware of this fellow’s work, but if not I thought you might be interested in what he had to say
    “A semi-periodic pattern can also be roughly seen. This covers the episodes of relatively high and sustained runoff running for several years in a row, followed by multi-year periods of relatively low flow. The stochastic landscape in fact contains sufficient information for a variety of interesting pattern extractions. Our approach focuses on objective extractions of periodic patterns over climatic scale (~10 years or more) to inform more ‘local-in-time’ forecasting exercises. As numerous posts show, the periodic patterns of the PDO show the highest correlations of any other natural or unnatural time series known, to Upper Rio Grande runoff patterns.

    This example also includes quantitative evaluation of correlations for the past 15 years of data. The results both qualitative and quantitative suggest that in spite of the seasonal effect, there is a poor overall correlation between moisture and temperature for the Upper Rio Grande watershed.

    This, along with the competing high correlation of Upper Rio Grande temperatures to the AMO, is among many reasons why our methodologies for streamflow and temperature forecasting are based on independent ocean drivers.”

  84. Remember the old saying “What goes around comes around”

    Forestry Company Sues Greenpeace Under Anti-Mafia Law For Conspiracy

    Energy and Environmental Reporter

    5:44 PM 05/31/2016

    A forestry company filed a civil Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO) lawsuit against Greenpeace Tuesday for misrepresenting the company’s environmental record to raise funds and promote its agenda.
    Greenpeace knowingly and deliberately made false claims about the company while fundraising, and fabricated evidence of Resolute’s alleged environmental malfeasance, according to the forestry and paper company Resolute Forest Products. RICO is an anti-mafia law designed to combat organized crime.
    “‘Greenpeace’ is a global fraud,” states the 124-page legal complaint. “For years, this international network of environmental groups collectively calling themselves ‘Greenpeace’ has fraudulently induced people throughout the United States and the world to donate millions of dollars based on materially false and misleading claims about its purported environmental purpose and its ‘campaigns’ against targeted companies. Maximizing donations, not saving the environment, is Greenpeace’s true objective.”
    Resolute alleges Greenpeace outright fabricated and digitally modified photos to damage the company and increase fundraising efforts. It accuses the environmental group of being “consistently based on sensational misinformation untethered to facts or science, but crafted instead to induce strong emotions and, thereby, donations.”

    Read more:

    • That’s a good one. As I live just a few degrees north of the equator, I’ll keep everybody posted about the Great Extinction, but right now it is a bright sunny morning and no dead birds in sight…

  85. UNEP’s “poison chalice”!

    1 Jun: Deutsche Welle: Study: Climate change makes our food more poisonous
    Extreme weather is increasing toxins in our food – which can be fatal. As temperatures keep rising, it seems the problem will only get worse. DW interviews a chief scientist at UNEP.
    Extreme weather is increasing the levels of toxins in our food, according to a new report by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).
    With global temperatures set to rise by more 3 degrees Celsius, scientists warn the problem will only get worse. DW spoke with UNEP chief scientist Jacqueline McGlade out of Nairobi.
    Deutsche Welle: What were the main findings of the report?
    Jacqueline McGlade: The United Nations “Environment Frontiers Report” this year identifies emerging issues that include what we call the “poison chalice”: toxin accumulation in crops in response to climate change…

  86. 31 May: WSJ: Brian Spegele: China’s Coal-Plant Binge Deepens Overcapacity Woes
    China is building power plants it doesn’t need amid low coal prices and local efforts to create jobs
    In a whir of hammering and welding, construction crews in the industrial town of Shouguang put finishing touches on a new coal power plant that testifies to a building binge by Chinese companies—one that is compounding an oversupply of power…
    Tens of billions of dollars will be spent over the next two years. Investment in thermal power projects jumped 20% last year even as China’s power demand fell…
    China already has more power-generating capacity than any other country. It is projected to add nearly 200 gigawatts worth of new thermal power capacity between 2015 and 2017, according to an analysis by Fitch Ratings Inc. That is more than the entire electrical capacity of Canada. While some capacity would be for natural gas, most will be coal-powered…

    1 Jun: Reuters: Nina Chestney: Record new global renewable capacity installed in 2015: report
    New installations of renewable power generation capacity (including hydropower) rose to 1,848.5 gigawatts (GW) globally in 2015, an increase of 147.2 GW from the previous year, Paris-based REN21’s annual renewables global status report showed…
    Global new investment in renewable power and fuels (excluding large hydropower) rose to $285.9 billion last year from $273 billion in 2014, the report said.
    Including large hydro projects, new investment was at least $328.9 billion, REN21 added…
    “The renewables train is barrelling down the tracks, but it’s running on 20th century infrastructure – a system based on outdated thinking where conventional baseload is generated by fossil fuels and nuclear power,” said Arthouros Zervos, chair of REN21.
    For governments to achieve their emissions cut targets under a global deal to tackle climate change called the Paris Agreement they need to integrate more renewables into the grid; design policies to financially discourage fossil fuel investment and remove risks from investing in renewables, the report added.


    Frozen Caveman From The Paleolithic Era Discovered in Himalaya
    “A group of climbers on an expedition in the Himalaya Mountains, have stumbled upon a complexe of caverns that seem to have recently surfaced after a series of violent avalanches in the region. Inside one of the caves, the team of Norwegian and Swedish mountaineers, found the remains of a humanoid male from the paleolithic era.

    According to the primary analysis of the skeleton, it seems the bones belong to an adult male Homo habilis, which is believed to have lived from approximately 2.33 to 1.44 million years ago, during the Gelasian Pleistocene period. Further tests and analysis will be done to determine the exact nature of the remains, their age, and the individual’s cause of death. A crude stone spear and a few badly damaged leather objects were also recovered on the site and are currently being studied.

    According to some experts, this could be by far the oldest sign of human life ever found in the region, dating possibly millions of years. Others seem to believe that the man was part of a small group that long-outlived the extinction of the majority of his species.

    Whatever the results of the carbon dating test, this opens a whole new interpretation of generally accepted views of the colonization of the planet by the human species. According to most widely accepted theories on the subject, Homo habilis isn’t normally believed to have travelled this far from Africa and lived in such hostile climates.

    The remains of the man seem extremely well preserved considering their age, a miracle due to to the very constant and extremely cold temperature of the area, that would have kept his body constantly covered in ice for milleniums. They were discovered in a large cave, part of of a complexe of at least 65 separates cavities of varying sizes, that could have been a prehistoric settlement. A thorough search of the site could reveal many more artefacts and possibly other human and animal remains, but unfortunately the hostility of the climatic conditions and the remoteness of its location will certainly pose a lot of logistic and organizational problems for the preparation of a scientific expedition.

    The misspellings alone send up a red flag in my book. Especially the mistaken use of millenniums as the plural for millennium. The correct term is millennia.

  88. 1 Jun: UK Telegraph: Emily Gosden: Plans to curb diesel power ‘could raise risk of blackouts’
    Britain could face increased risk of blackouts in coming winters if ministers are too heavy-handed in their attempts to curb diesel generation, KPMG has warned…
    This could result in “a greater chance of blackouts” at a time when Britain’s electricity system is already stretched, it concludes in a report commissioned by UK Power Reserve, which builds small gas generators…
    A spokesman for the energy department said: “Keeping the lights on is non-negotiable.”

    1 Jun: Guardian: Reuters: Angela Merkel strikes deal with German states to put brakes on green energy
    Pact addresses concerns that burgeoning output from renewables is putting strain on electricity grid and pushing up prices
    After a meeting with the leaders of Germany’s 16 states that stretched into the early hours of Wednesday, the government agreed to cap the expansion of onshore wind power at 2.8 gigawatts in capacity per year.
    In addition only a certain amount of new capacity will be permitted in north Germany to avoid overburdening the electricity grid…

  89. 1 Jun: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: Energy ministers gather in San Francisco to reboot climate ‘moon-shot’
    Bill Gates and officials from over 20 governments will meet to discuss plans for a vast hike in clean-tech funding by 2020
    That’s where the San Francisco meet – the seventh Clean Energy Ministerial – fits in.
    Speakers at the meeting include US special envoy for climate change Jonathan Pershing and Laurence Tubiana, French ambassador for climate negotiations.
    Taking part are 23 countries that cover 90% of clean energy investments and 75% of global greenhouse gas emissions…
    Finance is not an issue, (White House energy secretary Ernest) Moniz argued. ***This collection of millionaires and billionaires are prepared to take a hit on their investments…
    But a separate study issued today by the Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) in San Francisco paints a gloomier picture.
    Low coal, oil and gas prices pose a threat to long-term clean energy growth, said its Energy Technology Perspectives 2016 (LINK).
    Between 2016 and 2050, $9 trillion is needed to decarbonise the energy sector, with a further $6.4 trillion needed to clean up buildings, industry and transport over the same time period…READ ALL

    Clean Energy Ministerial 7
    Speakers include: Tom Steyer…
    see “Parallel Events”
    CEM7 Event Sponsors: Dignity Health, the fifth largest health system in the nation and the largest hospital provider in California; NextGen Climate America (Tom Steyer etc); Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E); Prelude Ventures, platform for venture investing in the cleantech sector…

  90. 1 Jun: Washington Examiner: Mariana Barillas: Kerry to students: ‘Your parents’ money’ helps fight climate change
    Secretary of State John Kerry told a group of students on Wednesday the government is “spending billions” of “your parents’ money” to combat the effects of climate change.
    Kerry explained during his visit to Montgomery Blair High School in Silver Spring, Md., that the “long-term future of this planet” depends on dealing with and understanding “the crisis of the ocean as it is linked to the challenge of climate change, as it is linked to the quality of life that we have here on Earth itself.”
    “So we’re spending billions of dollars today of taxpayer money. Your parents’ money is going to pay for the harder impact of storms that we’re suffering — much more damage than ever before as a result of the intensity of the storms that we suffer because of climate change,” he said…
    After one student asked him what the ocean would look like 100 years from now if humans continue along the present course, Kerry said he could not predict the consequences with “absolute precision.”…

  91. 31 May: WaPo: The world is about to install 700 million air conditioners. Here’s what that means for the climate
    By Chris Mooney and Brady Dennis
    Overall, the Berkeley report projects that the world is poised to install 700 million air conditioners by 2030, and 1.6 billion of them by 2050. In terms of electricity use and greenhouse gas emissions, that’s like adding several new countries to the world…
    To try to address this problem, (U.S. Energy Secretary Ernest) Moniz’s department is participating in the Advanced Cooling Challenge, which is to be launched Thursday in San Francisco at the 7th Clean Energy Ministerial, a global meeting of national energy policy leaders. The goal will be to find creative solutions to lessen the energy and climate impact of an unstoppable trend toward more global air conditioning — by making air conditioners much more energy efficient, and also less dependent on HFCs or hydrofluorocarbons as refrigerants, because these substances themselves act as an extremely powerful greenhouse gas in the atmosphere…READ ALL

  92. 31 May: WaPo: The world is about to install 700 million air conditioners. Here’s what that means for the climate
    By Chris Mooney and Brady Dennis
    Overall, the Berkeley report projects that the world is poised to install 700 million air conditioners by 2030, and 1.6 billion of them by 2050. In terms of electricity use and greenhouse gas emissions, that’s like adding several new countries to the world…
    To try to address this problem, (U.S. Energy Secretary Ernest) Moniz’s department is participating in the Advanced Cooling Challenge, which is to be launched Thursday in San Francisco at the 7th Clean Energy Ministerial, a global meeting of national energy policy leaders. The goal will be to find creative solutions to lessen the energy and climate impact of an unstoppable trend toward more global air conditioning — by making air conditioners much more energy efficient, and also less dependent on HFCs or hydrofluorocarbons as refrigerants, because these substances themselves act as an extremely powerful greenhouse gas in the atmosphere…

    Canadian blogger & Guardian contributor, Madeleine (How I deal with the unbearable hypocrisy of being an environmentalist) Somerville, has a simpler solution:

    1 Jun: Guardian: Madeleine Somerville: Want to help fight climate change? Start with reproductive rights
    With overpopulation a key environmental concern, safe access to birth control, abortion and reproductive health services offer a simple solution
    But the difference between men and women in environmental issues doesn’t just come down to who controls the purse strings. Women are statistically more likely to believe the science about climate change in the first place and, what’s more, believe it will affect them personally…
    In Mother Nature v the human race, the actions we take against her are almost always framed as male: raping, pillaging, conquering, plundering. Doesn’t it make sense that women would empathize?…
    At the 2014 UN Climate Summit, the Chilean president, Michelle Bachelet, noted that women and children are 14 times more vulnerable than men in a climate disaster such as floods or droughts, especially in developing nations…
    We’ve discussed it before, and although overpopulation isn’t the only problem (how much each population consumes is almost equally important) it’s a big one. And unlike many issues related to climate change, it’s one which is incredibly simple to solve. David Attenborough states it plainly and often: “Wherever women are given political control of their bodies, where they have the vote, education, appropriate medical facilities and they can read and have rights and so on, the birth rate falls – there’s no exceptions to that.”…

  93. The gift that keeps on giving: Jay Inslee, left-leaning Gubnor of the Once-Great State of Washington, has directed his minions at the State Department of Ecology to draft and implement ‘carbon’ reduction rules for the top 70 ‘carbon pollution emitters’ in the State:

    utilizing this method, he effectively bypasses the State Legislature to get to his Nirvana of ‘carbon pollution reduction’, and as he says it will ‘help kids with asthma’. This friggin’ goon just won’t leave this alone, will he?

    Billions in costs for industry to comply with the new rules; costs passed through to end users; total ‘carbon’ emissions reductions along with fictitious benefits not quantified; what is not to like about this?????? (/sarc/, in case it was missed).

    I have been railing about the prior attempts by the State ‘Goof-Ball-in Chief” to implement his pet project of ‘carbon reduction’ through any and all means, and here is his latest and it looks like this will be implemented, couched as allowable under current Clean Air regulations in the State. BOHICA, residents of Washington State!

    Suitable for a post unto itself?

    Respectfully submitted,



    “A landmark California bill gaining steam would make it illegal to engage in climate-change dissent, clearing the way for lawsuits against fossil-fuel companies, think-tanks and others that have “deceived or misled the public on the risks of climate change.”

    The first-of-its-kind legislation — Senate Bill 1161, or the California Climate Science Truth and Accountability Act of 2016 — is scheduled for floor action Thursday after clearing Senate committees in April and May.

    The measure would allow state and local prosecutors to pursue claims against climate-change skepticism as a violation of the state’s Unfair Competition Law [UCL], as well as extend the four-year statute of limitations for such claims retroactively to Jan. 1, 2021.

    “This bill explicitly authorizes district attorneys and the Attorney General to pursue UCL claims alleging that a business or organization has directly or indirectly engaged in unfair competition with respect to scientific evidence regarding the existence, extent, or current or future impacts of anthropogenic induced climate change,” says the state Senate Rules Committee’s floor analysis.

    While the measure enjoys broad support by a bevy of environmental groups, the bill has also been described as an effort to ban free speech on climate change as well as chill donations to free-market groups.

    Stephen Frank, editor of the conservative California Political Review, called the bill a “totalitarian statement by Democrats that the First Amendment is now dead.”

    “Did you donate to the Pacific Legal Foundation? Do you support Americans for Prosperity? Are you a member of the California Republican Party, which has a platform approving of all forms of energy, including fossil fuel (oil)? Do you work for a gas station, an oil company, have your written a letter to the editor in favor of oil drilling?” asked Mr. Frank in a May 31 post.

    “If so, you could find yourself with being charged in a court of law, thanks to SB 1161,” Mr. Frank said.”

  95. If you live along the California coast you could hardly miss references to our “marine layer” – cool, moist air moving in from the Pacific Ocean. It has been very active lately, and it should be a reminder of the enormous heat capacity of the (mostly very cold) ocean waters compared to that of the atmosphere.

  96. Anthony

    I’m now getting a “long running script” message and whatever it is is tying things up – including typing this

  97. Carl Mears does a bit on Youtube describing his personal problems with the RSS satellite data here:

    when this video was used in response to a criticism I had previously made of the ground station data; I hadn’t seen the video before today, it looks like it came from the recent US Senate hearing led by Cruz. After reviewing the video in that context I had the following thoughts. If you find them useful it could be appropriate to publish a similar critique. It’s my opinion that Mears is using obfuscation and hand waving to discredit the satellites, and may be actively distorting the data received from them by using ground data to “validate” the satellites and “adjusting” the satellite data accordingly.


    In this example I was referring to the UAH data set, the record of corrections made to it are available on Wikipedia. I thought it was very interesting that I couldn’t find a record of the RSS corrections easily. The UAH corrections are here:

    Carl doesn’t get specific. The video you reference doesn’t go very deeply into that subject at all, but I’d encourage anyone interested in it to review the video. There is a very briefly flashed chart of overlapping records from different satellite generations, but it doesn’t appear long enough to really understand. I’ll go back into it and see if I can either source the still image or perhaps freeze a frame from it. It’s very clear from the film Carl isn’t comfortable discussing the subject.

    From that context, I suspect he isn’t comfortable simply because he appears to be using the ground data to verify the satellite data and then “correcting” the satellite data to agree with the ground. Surely you can understand why this would be a foolish thing to do?

    Prior to Carl’s reign, the satellites were verified using radiosonde instruments launched to the altitude measured by the satellites. No attempt was made to make them agree with ground stations. The temperature at 10,000′ above MSL is not the same as the temperature at 1′ above MSL. Any attempt to make that happen through the application of “correction” is doomed. It’s frankly a very bad idea.

    Carl discusses uncertainty, but doesn’t mention that “his” calculations of uncertainty are based on “his” measures of disagreement between ground stations and satellites. The two instruments are measuring different things entirely and can’t be used to calibrate one another. This is a very fundamental measurement error on Carl’s part. It’s like listening to the “Who’s on first” skit (Laurel & Hardy). It’s absurd. They aren’t the same thing. And it’s also important to remember it isn’t “his” data. He calls it “his” about 8 times in the first few minutes. Those satellites went up while Carl was in junior high school.

    Carl neglects to mention the systematic error and uncertainty in the ground station measures that result from sparse sampling (there aren’t enough stations to cover the global grid) along with model based altitude “corrections”. The ground stations aren’t at a uniform altitude. That’s a very big problem. Those two reasons (combined) were the rationale for putting the birds in orbit to begin with.

    Sorry, but Carl doesn’t describe the corrections made, their magnitude, or why they were made. He doesn’t address the uncertainties in the ground measures. He falsely presents the difference between ground and satellite data as “uncertainty” in the satellite data. Bad science across the board. Bad measurement. Bad data.

    On top of all that he’s very obviously nervous. He isn’t at all comfortable and appears to be hiding something.

    Believe it or not, you’ve single handedly convinced me I should be using the UAH satellites after watching that video.

  98. Climate change moves earth’s spin Axis.
    Climate-driven polar motion: 2003–2015. Science Advances 08 Apr 2016: Vol. 2, no. 4, e1501693 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1501693

    ” … We analyze space geodetic and satellite gravimetric data for the period 2003–2015 to show that all of the main features of polar motion are explained by global-scale continent-ocean mass transport. The changes in terrestrial water storage (TWS) and global cryosphere together explain nearly the entire amplitude (83 ± 23%) and mean directional shift (within 5.9° ± 7.6°) of the observed motion …”

  99. ‘Professional Engineering’, the house journal of the UK’s Institute of Mechanical Engineers (the professional body for Mechanical Engineers in the UK), has just published a scathing editorial about UK Energy Policy in its latest (June 2016) edition.

    It points out that UK Energy Policy is a mess, and effectively out of control, due to ‘politicians, financiers and locals’. Perhaps they should have added ‘activists’?

  100. This is a biggie:

    Behind a paywall – but you can get the full story by opening a new window on a Google search result for the article. I could post it here, but would be too long.

    What makes it a biggie is that the Head of the Government-run department is speaking out against intentionally bias claims of climate change induced destruction of the Great Barrier Reef

  101. The Sun is spotless! Is this worth a short article? How long and deep will the Cycle 24/25 minimum be?


  102. In the left hand column on today, I found this. The beginnings of the new normal for our sun. Same column reports 0 (zero) sunspots.

    For the first time in almost two years, the sun is blank–no sunspots! Credit: SDO/HMI

  103. Anthony,

    Remember the Ed Hawkins animation from a couple of weeks ago that Josh lampooned so successfully? Well Clive Best has made an excellent new animation in that style for the past 200,000 years using EPICA temp data.

  104. Hey Anthony,
    Maybe this guy would like to submit an article about his techniques:

    Mr. Wallace is a practicing hydroclimatologist who is also enrolled in a Ph.D. program in the Department of Nanoscience and Microsystems at the University of New Mexico. His work in progress there relates to hydroclimatology and solar cycles.

    MW&A was founded in the early 1990s to provide advanced hydrologic and programming capabilities toward solutions of modeling and stochastic challenges in the earth sciences. Recently MW&A has achieved breakthrough performances in practical hydrologic forecasting extending from monthly to decadal time scales.

  105. Romm funny

    With No End in Sight for Texas Drought, ABC News Explains: “Every Farmer in the World Will Be Affected by Climate Change”

    “Every state — along with much of Asia — has been hit by record temperatures this summer. And thanks in large part to extreme weather around the globe, food prices are stuck at record levels, causing hardship for tens of millions:”

    in this pdf link its romms 2011 post showing the record food prices

    in this version of the same 2011 story it has the same FAO food price chart except that the chart updates to present


    Calif. Senate backs away from bill criminalizing climate change doubt

    The California Senate won’t take up a bill that would make it illegal for businesses to not believe in climate change.

    Senate Bill 1161 would turn not believing in climate change into an unfair business practice in California and would extend the statute of limitations on the charge. The bill has been criticized as being anti-free speech.

    Democratic State Sen. James Monning took the bill off the Senate floor on Wednesday. The bill had passed both the state Senate’s environmental and judiciary committees and can be reconsidered at a later date.

    State Sen. Ben Allen, a Democrat, introduced the bill after reading reports in the Los Angeles Times and Inside Climate News about Exxon Mobil’s alleged coverup of climate science dating to the 1970s.


  107. Here again is an example of a “science writer” who has to spout green garbage, although you would think her 10 years as a paleoclimatologist would have given her some perspective. Catherine Jex wrote:

    Climate change is in part responsible for the emergence of these grolar hybrids, as polar bears that live and hunt on the ever-shrinking Arctic sea ice are forced on land during mating season in spring and summer.”

    Smug ***

  108. I’m currently watching Al Gore’s “Inconvenient Truth” CAGW movie on the Pivot channel. Another showing of it comes on after this one.

    I had forgotten it was all about Al Gore.

    On the screen it says if you want to take part in a discussion of it go to:

    Someone should go over there and redirect them here. :)

  109. Article by an ignoramus claiming that scientists in the 1970s didn’t predict more global cooling:

    I wonder if the perpetrator of this garbage was even alive then. The fool mentions predictions of man-made global warming from previous decades, but apparently doesn’t know that a leading proponent thereof in 1938, Callendar, considered that his forecast had been falsified by the severe winters of the 1960s.

    He also seemingly didn’t look at the actual global average temperatures as they were calculated in the 1970s, rather than the science fiction foisted on the public by today’s gatekeepers.

    Ars Technica should be ashamed for publishing this easily demolished trash.

  110. Experts Debunk Obama’s ‘Social Cost Of Carbon’ Estimate — It Might Be Negative!

    “A soon-to-be-published paper challenges the Obama administration’s so-called “social cost of carbon” estimate, which puts a monetary value on the supposed future damages from global warming.

    But the new study’s authors not only say the administration’s “social cost of carbon” (SCC) is overblown, they also argue it might actually be negative based on observed temperature increases, not just climate models. That means there’s actually benefits to emitting carbon dioxide.”

    Found at:

  111. I’m a litigation support professional and have been working on the CEI FOIA documents. These have been:
    1) Separated by document
    a. Searchable, of course, within the accuracy limits of OCR.
    b. Single page Tiff of each document.
    2) Meta-data coding (email addressees, date/time, subject, etc.
    3) Normalization of email addressee
    4) Domain parsing to permit searches of To/From/CC domains.
    5) Email threading analysis and textual near duplicate identification.

    Know anybody that would be interested in a copy? Like, say, CEI?

  112. Floods in Tasmania.
    Prime minister says that they are caused by climate change and steps should be taken to mitigate them.
    Local member says there have been worse floods before, wedging Prime Minister.
    His view on mitigation not given.

    Greens, who get the best billing, the last, say we caused it all because of AGW, as the water around Tasmania is warmer.
    Tasmania is the state where the Greens voted to stop the CSIRO investigating the Southern Ocean.
    The Greens are a science free zone.
    Fairfax report so climate change warriors filtering this one.
    Grist for the mill in an election climate.

  113. 8 Jun: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: Christiana Figueres: Protecting the vulnerable is my priority
    Outgoing UN climate chief talks ‘project smile’, women’s rights, Donald Trump and her belief the world will avoid 1.5C warming
    The fires still rage in Christiana Figueres…
    The sight of the UN climate chief crying at what she terms the “unfair and immoral” injustice a warming world will heap on future generations has become a potent part of her arsenal…
    Six of the top positions in the UN climate process are held by women, while the Paris agreement made five references to gender…
    Yet away from the gilded halls of power, lack of opportunity for women remains commonplace, an injustice she plans to fight…
    Equally, her praise of China’s rapid investments in green technologies and critique of the damaging aspects of unregulated markets have drawn sharp criticism from right wing media commentators.
    “I do know I have been called a communist,” she says, laughing down the phone line from Bonn.
    “I think maybe there are a couple of reasons… part of my commitment to the public good is through common goals that can only be best reached by working together – if that’s called communism so be it.”…
    As she prepares to hand implementing the Paris deal to former Mexico environment minister Patricia Espinosa, Figueres rejects claims a US presidency under Donald Trump would kill her work.
    “He needs to look more into facts… to renege all other 194 countries will have to agree – I just don’t think that’s possible,” she says…
    Asked by the BBC last week if she had plans to run for UN secretary general she demurred. “We’ll see,” she said…
    “I have a fundamental faith in the transformational nature of mankind so long as we understand we each have unique interests – like natural resources,” she says.
    “What’s important is that uniqueness does not have to crowd out the common good as we progress as a society”

    • George W. Bush, who was a governor of a state with a high Latino population and is somewhat bilingual, garnered only 44% which is the high water mark for Republican candidates. To take it one step further, Republicans only get 11% non-white votes in a typical presidential election. If Trump gets 45% of female voters, 40% Latinos, and 10% African America then he will be the next president and CAGW will be in serious trouble in the US.

  114. Mark Steyn is presently on US AM radio, filling in for Rush Limbaugh.

    Wasn’t sure if it was our Mark Steyn, until he mentioned the Mann Hockey Stick.

    Listen in if you get the chance.. (Google WHAM 1180 IHeart radio for one venue currently streaming.)

  115. I suggest that you cover the EPA’s recently proposed rule change that would invalidate 40 CFR 70.6(g) and 71.6(g).

    This would eliminate the “emergency” affirmative defense for any holder of a Title V air emissions permit. Currently, an plant which has emissions exceeding its permit limits can claim an affirmative defense and not get fined if they can prove that it was an unavoidable and unforeseeable event, such as a compressor that had been properly maintained breaking without warning, or a lightning strike shutting down several pieces of equipment at once.

    This proposal would eliminate all affirmative defenses of the sort, including acts of God, natural disasters, and unforeseeable events.

    It’s a pretty major deal in the environmental world.

  116. Found this at Retraction Watch courtesy a WSJ article that included some quotes:

    Conservative political beliefs not linked to psychotic traits, as study claimed

    Researchers have fixed a number of papers after mistakenly reporting that people who hold conservative political beliefs are more likely to exhibit traits associated with psychoticism, such as authoritarianism and tough-mindedness.

    As one of the notices specifies, now it appears that liberal political beliefs are linked with psychoticism. That paper also swapped ideologies when reporting on people higher in neuroticism and social desirability (falsely claiming that you have socially desirable qualities); the original paper said those traits are linked with liberal beliefs, but they are more common among people with conservative values.

    We’re not clear how much the corrections should inform our thinking about politics and personality traits, however, because it’s not clear from the paper how strongly those two are linked. The authors claim that the strength of the links are not important, as they do not affect the main conclusions of the papers — although some personality traits appear to correlate with political beliefs, one doesn’t cause the other, nor vice versa.

    In total, three papers have been corrected by authors, and a correction has been submitted on one more.

    We’ll start with an erratum that explains the backstory of the error in detail. It appears on “Correlation not Causation: The Relationship between Personality Traits and Political Ideologies,” published by the American Journal of Political Science:

    “The interpretation of the coding of the political attitude items in the descriptive and preliminary analyses portion of the manuscript was exactly reversed. Thus, where we indicated that higher scores in Table 1 (page 40) reflect a more conservative response, they actually reflect a more liberal response. Specifically, in the original manuscript, the descriptive analyses report that those higher in Eysenck’s psychoticism are more conservative, but they are actually more liberal; and where the original manuscript reports those higher in neuroticism and social desirability are more liberal, they are, in fact, more conservative.”

  117. neither India nor the US committed to anything:

    9 Jun: BusinessStandardIndia: Nitin Sethi: Domestic compulsions prompt India, US to stop short of Paris agreement ratification
    Neither the US nor India has committed to a formal ratification of the Paris agreement by the end of 2016 in the much-hyped joint statement on climate change. The political imperatives before outgoing US President Barack Obama, domestic legal requirements in India and the procedural complications of the Paris agreement collectively ensured that the two didn’t.
    The statement, issued during Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Washington, reads: “The United States reaffirms its commitment to join the Agreement as soon as possible this year.” The US has shied from using the word ‘ratification’, as it would require approval from the US senate, which President Obama is unlikely to secure from the Republican citadel…
    ***Consequently, the joint statement reads, “India similarly has begun its processes to work toward this shared objective.” Indian negotiators insisted upon this insertion to replace the single and asymmetric sentence that the US had offered, binding only India to ratification by the end of this year, sources told Business Standard…
    For the US, a ratification of a non-trade agreement necessarily requires approval from the Senate, which President Obama is keen to avoid. But other terms, which provide options for the US President to adopt the agreement through an executive order, also leave the door open for the future US Presidents to walk out…READ ALL


    Scientists Turn Chief Global Warming Gas Into Harmless Stone


    JUNE 9, 2016, 2:04 P.M. E.D.T.

    WASHINGTON — Scientists have a found a quick way — but not a cheap one — to turn heat-trapping carbon dioxide gas into harmless rock.

    Experts say the results of a two-year, $10 million experiment called CarbFix , conducted about one-third of a mile (540 meters) deep in the rocks of Iceland, offer new hope for an effective weapon to help fight man-made global warming.

    When an international team of scientists pumped a carbon dioxide and water mix into underground basalt rocks, basic chemistry took over. The acidic mixture dissolved the rocks’ calcium magnesium and formed limestone, a permanent natural jail for the heat-trapping gas, according to Juerg Matter of the University of Southampton in England. He is the lead author of a study detailing the experiment published Thursday in the journal Science.

    “It’s no longer a gas,” Matter said. “Basically carbon dioxide is converted into stone.”

    Scientists, who had done this before in the lab, thought the process could take thousands or even hundreds of thousands of years. But after just two years, 95 percent of the gas was captured and converted, the study said.


    Earth’s Super-Sized El Nino Is Over; Coming Up, La Nina


    JUNE 9, 2016, 11:49 A.M. E.D.T.

    WASHINGTON — This year’s monstrous El Nino, nicknamed Godzilla by NASA, is dead. It heated up the globe, but didn’t quite end California’s four-year drought.

    In its monthly update Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said the El Nino has ended, 15 months after its birth in March 2015. El Nino is a natural warming of parts of the central Pacific that changes weather worldwide.

    “There’s nothing left,” NOAA Climate Prediction Center deputy director Mike Halpert said. “Stick a fork in it, it’s done.”

  120. excerpt from the article above:

    “In parts of the central Pacific, ocean temperatures were even hotter and caused more harm than 1997-98, leaving scars “written in the geography and appearance of global reefs for decades to come,” said Georgia Tech climate scientist and coral expert Kim Cobb .

    “This El Nino has caused some of the worst coral bleaching and death of any event we’ve ever seen,” said NOAA coral reef watch coordinator Mark Eakin. “We’ve had enough of this.”

    We’ve had enough of this, he says! As if he, or anyone could do anything about it.

  121. Hi Anthony,

    I ran across something odd with my electric company. They have a page that tracks your electrical usage over the course of a year. I noticed at the bottom it said that the average temp for the year was 70, the low temp was 27, and the high temp war 189. Yes, that is one hundred an eighty nine degrees. I sent them an email asking where they get their data and they replied yesterday with:

    “Thank you for your inquiry. The temperature information in our My Usage reports are provided by NOAA’s National Weather Service based on your zip code.

    We appreciate your patience until we can correct the 189 high temperature.”

    Today the high temp shows 104. I don’t really have the time to dig through station data, but it seems worth investigating by someone. Since they say it is was based on zip code, the data would have come from the 78641 area.

    If NOAA did indeed have a 189 temp in their Central Texas dataset for my zip code, then who knows what else is hiding in there.

  122. increasing revenue to fund your pet projects, by selling CO2 emissions seemed like such a good idea, Gov!

    10 Jun: CarbonPulse: COMMENT: What undersubscribed auctions mean for California’s carbon market
    By Liz Hardee, Senior Analyst, The Climate Trust
    (The Climate Trust is a nonprofit carbon financing investor and developer)
    With allowance prices at the high $12 range, each auction typically provides several hundred million dollars in revenue to the state. Revenue is then reinvested in targeted mitigation efforts such as transit improvements, energy efficiency retrofits, and the installation of renewables. According to the California Air Resources Board (ARB), which runs the program, the state has spent $1.44 billion in revenue on such projects to date, with 43% of this funding spent in low income and other disadvantaged communities…
    The most recent allowance auction sold just 11% of the allowances it offered, resulting in only $10 million in revenue to the state. In market lingo, this is called undersubscription, and its causes are largely political…
    Oversupply drives down demand.
    Secondly, a lawsuit, brought against ARB by the California Chamber of Commerce, alleges that allowance auctions constitute an unlawful tax and should not be allowed to continue, creating uncertainty about the market’s future. The Wall Street Journal and The Sacramento Bee newspapers have both speculated on the imminent demise of the market in California since the auction. They insist that California is now experiencing the same market dynamics that caused the crash of carbon prices in the European Union several years ago; however…READ ON

    26 May: Sacramento Bee: Dan Walters: California’s cap-and-trade carbon emission system may be failing
    The impact is mostly financial – slowing or even blocking plans by Brown and legislators to spend what they thought would be billions of dollars that they wouldn’t have to raise though direct taxes…
    Brown has a $3.1 billion spending plan in his 2016-17 budget, based on an assumption that auctions would generate more than $2 billion during the fiscal year. A big chunk of that money was to go to Brown’s pet bullet train – keeping alive a project that otherwise is woefully short of the money its construction would require…
    It would be foolhardy for Brown and legislators to dip into a barrel of pork that may be, in fact, virtually empty, just as it was foolhardy for politicians to ignore private warnings from cap-and-trade market analysts about the likelihood of the collapse now occurring.

    27 May: San Francisco Chronicle: Melody Gutierrez: High-speed rail takes hit as cap-and-trade cash falls short
    The rail authority was expecting to receive $150 million Wednesday from the auction, but will instead receive $2.5 million after the state took in 2 percent of what it had anticipated netting from the final quarter of this fiscal year’s cap-and-trade auctions…
    Peters said the analyst’s office found it problematic that the rail authority’s business plan relies heavily on the cap-and-trade revenue in future years, particularly given that the program is authorized only through 2020…

  123. Epic Correction of the Decade – Study Conservatives Exhibit Psychoticism

    Hoo-wee, the New York Times will really have to extend itself to top the boner and mother-of-all-corrections at the American Journal of Political Science. This is the journal that published a finding much beloved of liberals a few years back that purported to find scientific evidence that conservatives are more likely to exhibit traits associated with psychoticism, such as authoritarianism and tough-mindedness, and that the supposed “authoritarian” personality of conservatives might even have a genetic basis (and therefore be treatable someday?). Settle in with a cup or glass of your favorite beverage, and get ready to enjoy one of the most epic academic face plants ever.

    The authors regret that there is an error in the published version of “Correlation not Causation: The Relationship between Personality Traits and Political Ideologies” American Journal of Political Science 56 (1), 34–51. THE INTERPRETATION OF THE CODING OF THE POLITICAL ATTITUDE ITEMS IN THE DESCRIPTIVE AND PRELIMINARY ANALYSES PORTION OF THE MANUSCRIPT WAS EXACTLY REVERSED.

  124. Utah District Court rejects legal challenge to previously approved Bingham Canyon Mine expansions

    The District Court of Utah has recently rejected a legal challenge under the Clean Air Act to pollution resulting from several historic expansions of the Bingham Canyon Copper Mine.

    Despite the expansions being approved by state mining authorities over the past 17 years, the recent challenge essentially sought to have the approvals negated under the CAA, which doubtless would have lead to costly reparations eventually becoming due and financially crippling the project.

    The charges were brought forward in Sep. 2013 by a coalition of environmental groups including the Sierra Club, Utah Physicians for a Healthy Environment, Utah Moms for Clean Air and WildEarth Guardians, which claimed the operation was exceeding the maximum amount of pollutants accepted by Salt Lake County under the Clean Air Act.

    In particular, they said the state wasn’t authorized to approve a 2011 permit allowing Kennecott to expand operations because such plan violated the mentioned act.

    But federal judge Robert Shelby said that the state granted Kennecott all the necessary permits each time it increased the amount of materials at the mine, without violating any laws.

    The finding is available here:

  125. DISQUS ran a quick contest for the best science blog. The intent was to identify blogs they could then solicit to join DISQUS login control policies/program.

    Most Popular Science Website: NASA

    “Last week, we asked you for you nominations of the top science websites. Then we put the top ten candidates to the vote. Today, we’re ready to announce the community’s top choice. Here are the final ballot results:

    What is the best science website? (Poll Closed)

    Nasa 21.68% (129 votes)

    National Geographic 19.66% (117 votes)

    Nautilus 18.32% (109 votes)

    Watts Up With That? 12.44% (74 votes)

    Science Daily 8.07% (48 votes)

    IFL Science 6.05% (36 votes) 4.71% (28 votes)

    Retraction Watch 4.2% (25 votes)

    Bad Science Debunked 2.69% (16 votes)

    Science Alert 2.18% (13 votes)

    Total Votes: 595 ”


    University Censures Science Prof For Fact-Checking Global Warming Claim

    An Australian university recently censured marine scientist Paul Ridd for “failing to act in a collegial way and in the academic spirit of the institution,” because he questioned popular claims among environmentalists about coral reefs and global warming.

    What was Ridd’s crime? He found out two of the world’s leading organizations studying coral reefs were using misleading photographs to make the case that global warming was causing a mass reef die-off. Ridd wasn’t rewarded for checking the facts and blowing the whistle on misleading science. Instead, James Cook University censured Ridd and threatened to fire him for questioning global warming orthodoxy.

    At the Nuuk airport Greenland witnessed its highest June temperature ever recorded.
    However, only 3 km apart at the Nuuk Godthaab station the temperature was over 5°C lower.
    What a fantastic natural oven here.
    Below a Google Earth link, where the both stations are visible
    and below a link to the Nuuk Godthaab station description

  128. Threre is something very strange on 10th of June records at Nuuk. Every second measure is way > 5 degrees less than the record one’s:

    – 3.00 PM 17 degrees celcius
    – 3.50 PM 23 degrees
    – 4.00 PM 18 degrees
    – 4.50 PM 24 degrees
    – 5.00 PM 18 degrees
    – 5.50 PM 20 degrees
    – 6.00 PM 18 degrees


    “California congressmen wrote a letter to state attorney general Kamala Harris claiming the freedom of speech “is not designed to protect fraud and deceit” of the likes being spread by oil company ExxonMobil about global warming.

    Nineteen Democratic lawmakers told Harris her “investigation as to whether ExxonMobil lied about the truth of climate change and misled investors does not constitute an effort to silence speech or scientific research.”

    Looks like the Left is trying to preempt the claims that these Democrat AG’s are conspiring to stop the free speech of Skeptics. They must be feeling a little heat.

  130. i have not heard mention of this one yet:
    Space-based detection of missing sulfur dioxide sources of global air pollution

    but i bet it will appear as the number one excuseplanation for the pause that didn’t happen.
    ” These missing sources are scattered throughout the developing world—over a third are clustered around the Persian Gulf—and add up to 7 to 14 Tg of SO2 yr−1, or roughly 6–12% of the global anthropogenic source.”

  131. Just read your story about banning plastic bags- great story thank you!- not sure where to add this information- but you are probably not aware (because so many cities/counties in California HAVE banned them, but the approved ban on bags in the whole of california has not gone into effect, and joy of all joys we are actually re- voting on it in November….

    I live in contra costa county and my city (Danville) will be banning them in July 1st, but as of today I am still getting them at my local safeway!

    Again, thanks for the great article!

  132. WSJ story
    Exxon Seeking Injunction Against Climate-Change Investigation
    Oil company wants to block a Massachusetts subpoena seeking documents dating back 40 years

  133. Antony
    You might like to note that since the Daily Telegraph revamped its website the link to Christopher Booker’s column no longer works.
    He is only accessible now through the main website and then to ‘comment’ and ‘columnists”.
    And the site is paywalled after about 10 free pages (and I think that number has been reduced recently).

  134. Ouch!
    “Personal attacks on climate experts and advocates are not uncommon when it comes to their own behavior. For example, environmentalist and former vice president Al Gore was criticized for home energy use that far exceeded the national average.”

    Climate scientists are more credible when they practice what they preach
    People are more willing to take advice from climate researchers who reduce their own carbon footprint

  135. Exxon Sues a Second Attorney General To Fight Off Climate Fraud Probe
    “In its lawsuit, Exxon said the Massachusetts investigation under consumer and securities fraud statutes is “nothing more than a weak pretext for an unlawful exercise of government power to further political objectives.” The attorney general is “abusing the power of government to silence a speaker she disfavors,” according to the lawsuit.”

    Exxon’s legal claim


    “Thirteen months of consecutive record breaking heat is really unprecedented, and it’s yet another visceral glimpse of what is yet to come as the planet warms up even a lot more,” Overpeck said in an email. “No doubt about it, the planet is warming fast and we’re feeling the impacts.”

    Not according to the satellite record. According to the satellite record, 1998, is the hottest year.

  137. Citizen science crowdfunding success story. Over $100,000 pledged to study star KIC 8462852, otherwise known as “WTF Star”


    If Democratic attorneys general can pursue climate change skeptics for fraud, then also at risk of prosecution are climate alarmists whose predictions of global doom have failed to materialize.

    The “cuts both ways” argument was among those raised by 13 Republican attorneys general in a letter urging their Democratic counterparts to stop using their law enforcement power against fossil fuel companies and others that challenge the climate change catastrophe narrative.

  139. 17 June 2016 – 10:58 am

    =| Ursus Maritimus surviving just fine. Al Gore’s pants, however, are on fire.|=

    [ Polar bears off the northern coasts of Alaska and Norway are breaking away from their traditional seal-based diets, behavior that correlates with reduced sea ice and tracked through chemistry, according to research presented at the 24th International Conference of Bear Research and Management held in Anchorage this week.
    GPS tracking collars and isotope analysis are documenting how animals from the Southern Beaufort Sea population off northern Alaska and northwestern Canada are eating bowhead-whale scraps and how bears around the Svalbard Archipelago are dining on a variety of non-traditional food sources, from bird eggs to reindeer.

    “We’re seeing bears almost act like scavengers. They’re really starting to show this ability to diversify their diet,” Jeff Welker, a biology professor at the University of Alaska Anchorage, said in a Wednesday presentation of the research. “This is something that may lead to their success, the ability to adapt to these new conditions and these other resources.”

    Meat and blubber scraps at the bowhead bone piles might be providing another benefit to Southern Beaufort Sea whales, according to other research presented at the conference: lower mercury levels than would be ingested from a seal-only diet. ]


    Want to know how a changing climate is affecting polar bears? Look at what they’re eating. (16 June 2016) Alaska Dispatch News [Anchorage]

    IBA 2016 –


  140. interesting calculations from the “Political Calculations” blog. [Compared to 2014, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere has been increased by a maximum of 0.051 parts per million, given the incremental increase in human fossil fuel consumption by people during 2015.

    By comparison, the 2015 Indonesia wildfire had well over four times the impact, increasing atmospheric CO2 by at least 0.224 parts per million.

    And if we consider the 1997 Indonesia wildfires, which increased the concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxided by approximately 0.54 parts per million in 1997 and 1998, that event had nearly 10 times the impact.] Are these calculations correct.

  141. My mention of modern Luddites (in context of genetically modifying E.coli bacteria) got me thinking about the well-funded body of such people. Can someone illuminate us all better about those who would have society rolled-back to the Dark-Ages? In this context, I have read articles mentioning Joel Solomon, the Hollyhock (Cortes) cabal, Gregor Robertson (Mayor of Vancouver), all backed by a sophisticated network of funding bodies seeking to transfer funds across borders (in the most tax-efficient way??) to finance Green-initiatives to stall future development in Canada.
    (I personally would like to have these people labelled subversives and brought to trial on Treason charges.)

  142. Who to believe? Alberta’s left wing, NDP government, or the Alberta Treasury Board?

    Leaked forecast says climate plan could cost Alberta billions, but NDP say study invalid
    Alberta’s climate plan could lead to 15,000 fewer jobs, a $4-billion drop in household income, as well as lower corporate profits, oil exports and overall economic activity.

  143. Anthony. This morning’s The Times newspaper (London) carries a half-page item on a cruise ship going to sail the “ice free” North West passage. “Arctic cruise gets a frosty reception” sub titled: “Scientists object as research ship helps £15.000-a-head tourists see the melting ice caps”.

    A better title would have been: “Ship of fools: the Sequel”.

    Unfortunately the paper is paywalled but I have made pics of the article. However, there appears to be no mechanism to get them to you.

  144. And from the NYT, ever so green, NASA Unveils Plans for Electric-Powered Plane: NASA does not seem to be able to spend our tax dollars fast enough so they build something that has no use:

    “The design does not overcome the shortcomings of electric propulsion. Its 800 pounds of batteries will replace the rear two passenger seats, and the seat next to the pilot will be replaced with instrumentation, leaving space for only the pilot and no passengers. It can stay aloft for only about one hour.”

    But feels good for the greens. 1 person, 1 hour, millions of dollars on our tax dime. This is a project someone should have said no to, that they built it shows how out of control our government has become.

  145. Anthony, here is a site that apparently gets hold of and publishes the Guardian’s deleted comments:
    At the moment mostly about the Brexit, but CAGW comment are bound to follow. Most of the comments are pretty innocuous. The Guardian has an incredibly thin skin.


    Bill would establish climate change teaching curriculum

    “A new bill from Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.) would create a curriculum for teaching students and others about climate change.

    Markey introduced his bill, the Climate Change Education Act, on Friday to celebrate the first anniversary of Pope Francis’s encyclical urging the world to fight climate change.

    Under the bill, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration would be required to develop a climate curriculum not just for students, but for people of all ages.”

    The Alarmists are putting up a stiff fight.


    120-degree ‘rare, dangerous, deadly’ heat headed to Arizona, southern California and other parts of the west

    “Extreme heat is likely to become more common, scientists say, blaming man-made greenhouse gas pollution.

    ‘We should anticipate more and more of this extreme heat, and we’re getting to feel it firsthand. It is what global warming looks and feels like,’ University of Arizona climate scientist Jonathan Overpeck said in an email.”

    We get this kind of weather just about every year. Nothing to see here.

  148. Regarding the recent record temperature at Nuuk Greenland. There seems to be something odd with the data. The METAR is consistently reporting much higher temperatures than the SYNOP. Which seems very odd. AFAIK they are just different reporting formats. Look at this and this

    Other stations don’t show this difference, e.g.

    It’s the METAR that “claimed” the record, but is it a faulty station?

    Data from

    The same data as the Thinkprogress article…

  149. Here is some poop on Eric Schneiderman, who is running the climate witch hunt,,,

    Is Eric Schneiderman a crook?

    Is the Attorney General of New York a crook?

    Who is Neal Kwatra?

    Who is Melvin Lowe?

    What exactly was that federal sentencing memorandum all about?

    Why isn’t Jon Corzine being prosecuted?

    And exactly what went on in a closed-door meeting between New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman and President Obama — hours before Schneiderman filed a Saturday afternoon lawsuit against Obama’s famous critic –- Donald Trump?
    Sources say the ‘investigate Schneiderman’ movement is gaining traction among congressional Republicans, particularly in the House Financial Services Committee. One obvious reason: Schneiderman, a Democrat, seems to spare no expense in attacking critics of President Obama but hasn’t lifted an investigative finger when it comes to the sleaze involving fat cats in his own party.
    Gasparino goes on to suggest as Exhibit One of Schneiderman failing to have “lifted an investigative finger when it comes to the sleaze involving fat cats in his own party:

    The case of Jon Corzine.


    Schneiderman sex scandal…

  150. I am delightfully flabbygasted to see the rift between nuclear and green take shape, and here of all places. The blue vs. green graphic is brilliant! I am a firebrand for nuclear in general and Thorium in particular and have just introduced links to some letters I have written in comment # 2242686, the latest being a ~5k word letter to Trump delivered 2-May which I have kept embargoed up to now.

    The Trump letter is a collection of issues and sentiments I have never seen gathered all in one place — perhaps because I am a lunatic — but I believe it makes a good read. Central to the nuclear issue now is that one can not advocate nuclear without raking some one or something through the coals, I do both with extreme prejudice and a bit of foul language at times.

    There is a fair bit of Yankee Doodle flag waving but I’m coming to realize that the core issues of climate madness and energy malfeasance — perhaps even infrastructure decay and loss of domestic industry — are faced on both sides of the pond.

    *IF* you believe the Trump letter might make for a brazen guest article sure to help people to oxygenate and hyperventilate healthfully, do let me know. I’d cloak the filthy words with asses to risk. Feel free to suggest a title and approach, or to bug off. Thanks kindly and keep up the good works.

  151. The mining industry is finally catching on that it is considered “part of the problem” of “climate change”. Tim Arnold, President of SME (Society for Mining, Metallurgy and Exploration) has discovered to his dismay in a nationwide trip that there really is “climate mania” out there.

  152. We need a solar update heading into the coming LaNina. (With the associated Clear tropical Pacific skies conditions).
    TSI Appears to be down near the important 1360 w/sm level. F10.7 has been well below 100 for more than 30 days( a full solar cycle). No spots. Lots of coronal holes.

  153. This has nothing to do with climate but about the “Socialist (Fascist)” New York Times.

    In a front page article (beneath the fold Oregon edition) it was lamented that Cameron of Britain created this problem of BREXIT himself. How??? My allowing the British people a vote. The people should never have been allowed to vote! That is why this BREXIT problem exists.

    Essentially The New York Times is saying on its front page — Can’t allow the people to vote! They might do something the elite does not like.

    No guns. No voting. So sayeth The New York Times. Oh! Brave New World! Sorry could not help myself.

    Eugene WR Gallun

  154. anthony your graph showing DMI artic temp north of 80 degrees north is not updating. If you follow the link to the DMI site their data has been updating daily. I’m sure you are busy but your graph needs something to get it to catch up and show accurately daily.

  155. Anthony
    your DMI Artic temp north of 80 degrees north has not updated since March. The Actual DMI site is updating daily. Can you fix your site so your data catches up and your site shows correct temp daily?

    [Use only one login_ID. .mod]

  156. From Joe Bastardi’s Twitter thread, a post from Ryan Maue.

    Of Climate Science and Peer Review
    Climate scientists are rushing to self-publish papers ahead of formal peer review as a form of climate activism. Will it work?”

    “A few weeks ago, torrential rains caused heavy flooding in Germany and France, forcing the evacuation of thousands and killing at least nine. Within days of the natural disaster, a group of climate researchers published a scientific paper concluding that the flooding, at least in France, had been made far more likely by climate change.

    The study used state-of-the-art modeling and the work was performed by a group of highly regarded climate researchers.

    It was not, however, peer reviewed.”

  157. Another link from Joe Bastardi’s Twitter thread. An analysis of the major world’s weather forecasting ensembles. With GFS sliding from third ranked to a poor fourth ranking.

    Cliff Mass Weather Blog

    This blog provides updated forecasts and comments on current weather or other topics
    Tuesday, June 21, 2016

    U.S. Numerical Weather Prediction is Falling Further Behind: What is Wrong and How Can It Be Fixed Quickly?

    Updated (see addition at the end)

    It is a disappointing. The U.S. has the largest meteorological community in the world and led the development of numerical weather prediction for decades. The National Weather Service, stung by its relatively poor performance on Hurricane Sandy and publicity about inferior computers, was given tens of millions of dollars to purchase a world-class weather prediction system and to support forecast model development.

    But the latest forecast statistics reveal an unfortunate truth: U.S. operational weather prediction, located in NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS), is progressively falling behind the leaders in the field. Even worse, a private sector firm, using the National Weather Service’s own global model, is producing superior forecasts.”

    Something is very wrong and this blog will analyze why NWS global models are losing the race and what can be done to turn this around. As I will show, this situation could be greatly improved within a year, but to do so will require leadership, innovation, and a willingness to partner with others in new ways. I will also highlight a critical NOAA/NWS decision that will be made in the next several weeks, one that will decide the future of US weather forecasting for decades.

    The Problem

    A number of media reports and several of my blogs have described the fact that U.S. numerical weather prediction (NWP) has fallen behind other nations and is a shadow of what this nation is capable of. Global NWP is the foundation of all weather forecasts, so it is critical to get this right. As we will see, it is not that U.S. global NWP is getting less skillful, but that other nations are innovating and pushing ahead faster…”

  158. EPA Science Panel Stacked With Experts Paid Millions By EPA

    “Of the 20 scientific advisers sitting on EPA’s Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee (CASAC) Ozone Panel, 17 have received a total of $192 million in EPA grants, according to an analysis by the blog

    This news only fuels the argument that EPA’s science committees aren’t “independent” as required by federal law, because they are stacked with experts who rely on the very agency they are overseeing for money.”

  159. Data manipulation anyone..? Naaww, Never Happens!
    Federal Lab Forced To Close After ‘Disturbing’ Data Manipulation

  160. I have a question that I’m sure that someone here will have the answer to. What happens when snow falls on 30F sea water?

  161. Nearly two decades and $108 million worth of “disturbing” data manipulation with “serious and far ranging” effects forced a federal lab to close, a congressman revealed Thursday.

    Read more:

    “Tell me what you want and I will get it for you. What we do is like magic,” a former USGS official told auditors a former employee linked to the manipulation would say, according to Westerman.


  162. Climate allegedly caused the Mongols to withdraw. However, Ghengis Khan’s law required “ALL his descendants, wherever they may be, must return to Karakoram to elect a new Khan.”

    “Given this pace and their performance in Persia, they could probably have overrun Europe in a year. But just as they were regrouping, a messenger came with the news of the death of the Khan. Genghis Khan had made a law, to ensure the permanence of his dynasty, that all his descendants, wherever they may be, must return to Karakoram to elect a new Khan. The Mongols broke off the invasion, never to return. This is surely one of the most important but least-known turning points in history.”

    Because Batu then pulled of a coup does not negate than Ghengis’ Khan’s law triggered the return.

    The Mongols

    Climatic and environmental aspects of the Mongol withdrawal from Hungary in 1242 CE


    Most Debunked Global Warming Paper Ever Passes Half Million Download Mark

    “The most thoroughly debunked global warming paper in modern history just hit 500,000 downloads.

    The mark is significant because this paper in particular — authored by John Cook and his colleagues from Skeptical Science — gave birth to the most widely cited [false] statistic in alarmist circles: 97 percent of scientists agree man is largely responsible for global warming.”

  164. 100% certain …. we’re all doomed, Earth too!

    The sun will expand and fry us all into — what? — CO2 perhaps, in the next 4-5 billion years.

    This is an unavoidable, but instructional framework of reference, of which it behoves us to take very good note.

    Just as we individually are born, live & die, so do whole species come into existence and become extinct, so what makes us any different?

    Many elitists (including Naomi Klein and the uber-rich Green-Set, out-of-touch with the masses) reckon on turning the clock back to the “pure environment of the Medieval times” or somesuch. To do so wd reverse societal progress over the last few centuries in terms of health, hygiene, social services, education, wealth, personal security and advancement of the vast majority of the population; life-spans will revert to the 30s-40s and we will be reduced to living in squalor (except for the Green-Elite in their manicured grounds behind impenetrable walls, tended by a few serfs like us who are sufficiently forelock-tugging as to get jobs …. prob’ly having to keep their jobs by offering-up our daughters to the breeding-pool for genetically-diverse propagation of future Elitist generations. In short a return to Feudal Times.) “They” have no interest in the Average Joe, only the future well-being of “Their” blood-lines. (Hello Naomi Klein, Joel Solomon, Gregor Robertson, Hollyhock elite and their plutocratic supporters in USA, David Suzuki, et al: where are you on this? Obama, with his pronouncement that there’s 99.5% [did I hear that right?] consensus among relevant scientists that “the Science is Settled”, which sure puts him in the “moron” & “propagandist-without-shame” category.)

    The greater the purity of ‘Greenist’ expostulations, the greater the threat to democracy & progress for the majority of World denizens.
    My 2c worth is: “Don’t rock the boat!” It’s not a perfect boat, but it’s the only one the majority of us have. There’s room for improvement (the classic example being plastic-micro-bead pollution of the oceans) but let’s approach our problems collectively, starting — I suggest — with the easier ones on which we can get consensus (an additional benefit of which is establishing precedents for negotiating the more contentious issues).

    To repeat: WE ARE DOOMED!

    In the meantime, let’s make the best we can of it, using what we have achieved societally over centuries, improve it where we can, advance the good of society World-wide, and DON’T TURN THE CLOCK BACK!

    Eat, drink & be merry …. all is not lost!

  165. El Nino heat peaked in February. Global temps will post their fourth consecutive rapid monthly drop in June.

    The Wood For Trees Index fell 0.08 in Mar, 0.12 in Apr, 0.20 in May and the June number is most likely to be down another 0.13

    That’s a drop of 0.53 deg in four months.

    Graphically, the WTI

  166. Something amiss with ability to comment on thread : USGS data fr@*d, closes environmental chemistry lab…
    suspect it is the word in the title, which has been modded to allow post here.

  167. Idea for an experiment:
    Take a normal greenhouse used for growing plants and determine how much c02 you would need to pump into to it in order to raise the temperature by 6.0C


    11:45 a.m.

    Though Britain has voted to leave the European Union, the nearly 1,000 British nationals who work for the bloc’s executive body won’t have to quit their jobs if they don’t want to.

    EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker wrote in an internal memo circulated to the executive’s staff that according to regulations, they are “union officials” and work for Europe.

    He wrote: “You left your national ‘hats’ at the door when you joined this institution and that door is not closing on you now.”

    The British didn’t like their representatives leaving their “national hats at the door.” So now the EU can pay their salaries.


    Nigel Farage jeered and booed as he tells MEPs they are ‘in denial’ over Brexit

    “Isn’t it funny? When I came here 17 years ago and I said that I wanted to lead a campaign go get Britain out of the European Union, you all laughed at me. Well, I have to say, you’re not laughing now, are you?”

    No, they definitely are not laughing, but I am. :) Go get them, Nigel!

  170. Don’t know if you’ve mentioned it, bot Marc Morano is pre-selling DVDs and Blue-ray discs of “Climate Hustle”
    It’s Coming! CLIMATE HUSTLE DVDs and Blu-rays are NOW AVAILABLE! Pre-order yours today! Groundbreaking film that packed theaters across America on May 2nd called “brutal and extremely funny” by National Review, “tremendous” by Cal Thomas, and World Net Daily says it “could be the most important movie of the year.” (Order now:


    Science Groups to Congress: Climate Change Is Real Threat

    “WASHINGTON — Thirty-one of the country’s top science organizations are telling Congress that global warming is a real problem and something needs to be done about it.

    The groups, which represent millions of scientists, sent the letter Tuesday, saying the severity of climate change is increasing and will worsen faster in coming decades.”

  172. Canada’s extreme winters within range of normal variations: study

    Ivan Semeniuk – SCIENCE REPORTER

    The Globe and Mail

    Published Monday, Jun. 27, 2016

    What they discovered is that such conditions can arise naturally without the need for a trigger in the tropical Pacific or anywhere else apart from normal regional fluctuations. Most significantly for Canadians living in the eastern half of the country, the excessively cold winters do not appear to be some sort of cruel byproduct of climate change, which means they are not destined to become more frequent, despite the recent spate of cold snaps.

    Not everyone is convinced. Kevin Trenberth, a senior scientist at the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., took issue with the way the Canadian study deals with climate anomalies and noted that excessive precipitation over the tropical Pacific in 2013-14 had “major consequences for the atmosphere,” setting up effects that rippled across North America.


    Getting Rid Of California’s Last Nuclear Reactor Will Increase CO2 Emissions

    “Environmentalists promised last week that the electricity generated by the soon to be closed Diablo Canyon nuclear power plant would be replaced with wind and solar, but plans to do so are already collapsing.

    Media reports acknowledged Tuesday that shutting down the reactor would actually boost greenhouse gas emissions, even if it was replaced entirely with wind and solar power. Studies have shown that replacing nuclear with wind and solar power would double CO2 emissions by making the electrical grid unreliable. This unreliability would need to be compensated for by building new conventional power plants, which would create more CO2 emissions.”

    Unless, of course, those conventional powerplants were *new* nuclear powerplants. Then you could have your reliable electricity and no CO2 production, too.

  174. Germany waters down climate protection plan.

    “Germany has abandoned plans to set out a timetable to exit coal-fired power production and scrapped C02 emissions reduction goals for individual sectors, according to the latest draft of an environment ministry document seen by Reuters on Wednesday.”

    “The new version, which was revised following consultation with the economy and energy ministry, has also deleted specific concrete C02 emissions savings targets for the energy, industry, transport and agriculture sectors. ”


    • Although I have no actual scientific background, I’ve been following climate issues for several years now, and have read four or five books about climate. Please correct me if I’m wrong, but it seems to me that, if the northern jet stream crosses the equator, cold air is extending very far south. However, if the southern jet stream is extending north, it still would indicate cooling–which is typical in the Southern Hemisphere at this time of year. .

  175. That should be “counterclockwise circulation pattern south of the equator.

    The subpolar jet was being sucked down the western side of this circulation pattern yesterday, and for the last few days, but as you can see, that is not quite so evident today.


    Biden threatens funding cut if cancer trials conceal results

    Vice President Joe Biden threatened Wednesday to pull federal funding for cancer studies that fail to publicly disclose their results, putting pressure on researchers, clinicians and drug companies to speed up progress toward cancer cures.

    – so this will undoubtedly mean that this will be a precedent for other researchers, in other areas, to follow – Haa haa haa!

  177. Still nuts….
    JUNE 29, 2016
    U.K. to Continue With Climate-Change Policy Following Brexit Result
    The U.K. will continue with its climate change policy regardless of last week’s vote to leave the EU, Britain’s Energy and Climate Change Secretary Amber Rudd said.

  178. Bjorn Lomborg is at it again! Using logic, observations and data against political ninnys.
    Commentary published today at WSJ

    As Bjorn seems to attract quite a few vilifying trolls, it always worthwhile to support his honesty!

    Obama’s Climate Policy Is a Hot Mess
    The president hails the Paris Agreement again—even though it will solve nothing and cost trillions.”

    “By Bjorn Lomborg
    June 30, 2016 7:06 p.m. ET

    When President Obama flew to Ottawa, Canada, on Wednesday to meet with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto, promoting their climate-change policies was near the top of the agenda. “The Paris Agreement was a turning point for our planet,” the leaders’ joint statement said, referring to the climate pact signed with fanfare in April by nearly 200 nations. “North America has the capacity, resources and the moral imperative to show strong leadership building on the Paris Agreement and promoting its early entry into force.”

    Attracting rather less attention than the Ottawa meeting was a June 22 hearing on Capitol Hill. Testifying before the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology, Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Gina McCarthy extolled the Paris Agreement as an “incredible achievement.” But when repeatedly asked, she wouldn’t explain exactly how much this treaty would actually cut global temperatures.

    The Paris Agreement will cost a fortune but do little to reduce global warming. In a peer-reviewed article published in Global Policy this year, I looked at the widely hailed major policies that Paris Agreement signatories pledged to undertake and found that they will have a negligible temperature impact. I used the same climate-prediction model that the United Nations uses.

    First, consider the Obama administration’s signature climate policy, the Clean Power Plan. The U.N.’s model shows that it will accomplish almost nothing. Even if the policy withstands current legal challenges and its cuts are totally implemented—not for the 14 years that the Paris agreement lasts, but for the rest of the century—the Clean Power Plan would reduce temperatures by 0.023 degrees Fahrenheit by 2100…”

  179. Climate Change at the Edge of Space

    Noctilucent clouds are such a mystery that in 2007 NASA launched a spacecraft to study them. The Aeronomy of Ice in the Mesosphere satellite (AIM) is equipped with sensors specifically designed to study the swarms of ice crystals that make up NLCs. Researchers call these swarms “polar mesospheric clouds” (PMCs).

    A new study published in the Journal of Geophysical Research (doi:10.1002/2015JD024439) confirms what some researchers have long suspected: PMCs in the northern hemisphere have become more frequent and brighter in recent decades—a development that may be related to climate change.

    A graphic prepared by Prof. James Russell of Hampton University shows how methane, a greenhouse gas, boosts the abundance of water at the top of Earth’s atmosphere. This water freezes around “meteor smoke” to form icy noctilucent clouds.


    New Federal Rule Strikes Another Devastating Blow Against Coal Industry

    Someone should ask Hillary if she supports this move to cut more jobs out of the energy industry. West Virginia, and Pennsylvania, and Ohio used to be big Democrat states, but now Obama and Hillary are taking away all their jobs. They may not stay Democrat states in the next election.

  181. Tesla driverless car with ‘driver’ watching a video aboard, hits the articulated part of a truck from the side.
    The car then goes under the trailer [the articulated part],killing the ‘driver’ of the Tesla car.
    The software did not discriminate between the side of the white painted truck and the glare from the horizon.Because the truck was higher than a usual vehicle the Tesla kept driving at full speed without any corrective breaking, the software distinguishing the truck, apparently, as sky.


    Carbon tax, fracking divide Democrats writing party’s platform

    WASHINGTON – Hillary Clinton supporters may have given a nod to rival Sen. Bernie Sanders by calling for tougher banking laws and highlighting other positions he’s championed in drafting the Democratic Party’s platform.

    But their rejection of a carbon tax and a fracking ban has enraged some environmentalists and validated the concerns of some in the Sanders camp that Clinton is too tied to corporate interests to press as hard as they’d like on issues such as climate change.”


    Let Germany Offer Young Britons Citizenship, Merkel Deputy Says

    “Vice Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel suggested that Germany could offer citizenship to young Britons, saying they shouldn’t be punished by the majority that voted to leave the European Union in the U.K. referendum.

    “They wanted to stay in Europe because they know the world is changing” and the U.K. can’t go it alone, Gabriel said in a speech to a Social Democratic Party conference in Berlin on Saturday. “So it’s a good sign that young people in Britain are smarter than their strange political elite.”

    There is a wonderful solution. All the whining Remains in England can move to Germany!


    A Carbon-Free, Nuclear-Free California Is Within Reach

    California’s well-earned reputation as a leader in developing and deploying renewable energy just got a new boost. In recent years, the state has set many impressive goals for the future, such as a goal to get 50 percent of its electricity from renewable resources by 2030. In April 2015, Governor Jerry Brown signed an executive order that requires the state to cut greenhouse gas emissions to 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030. But the most promising move of all came recently with the announcement that Diablo Canyon, California’s lone remaining nuclear power plant, will close by 2025, once its remaining federal licenses expire. This long-awaited decision is a tremendous victory for supporters of safe, renewable energy.

    – California Dreaming on Such a Summer’s Day…

  185. Mr. Watts:
    Many of us were both overjoyed for you and genuinely interested in your report of the improvement in your hearing some time ago. I would like to think you could follow up with a report that the corrections are long term and the technology is continuing to evolve. I couldn’t help being struck at the time by the contradiction between billions being spent to no effect on ‘warming’ while a small number of people and a small investment were making such progress in an area that so impacts the human condition. I recently had to look up your story again to give to a friend who has lost the ability to fly due to his hearing deterioration, in hopes of helping him to the kind of improvement you experienced. How is it going?


    Major Coal Company Warns It May Slash 80 Percent Of Workforce, Blames Obama

    Maybe the boss can just lay them off temporarily, until Trump gets elected. Then, the boss can put the coal miners back to work. Seven more months.

    I heard this coal boss on Fox News this morning. He said coal-supplied electricity cost 4 cents per kilowatt hour and renewable electricity costs 24 cents per kilowatt hour.


    “US ambassador says Britain IS at the back of the queue for a trans-Atlantic trade deal”

    Notice how petty and vindictive the American Leftwing Loons really are. Saying this kind of thing to our best ally in the world.

    Trump will put England back at the front of the line where they belong. Seven more months and the world may look completely different. For the better. Sanity will reign again.

  188. The latest from CERN, 6/24/2016:

    the present experiments we measured the formation and growth of particles purely from organic vapours emitted by trees (so-called biogenic vapours). The particular vapour studied was alpha-pinene, which gives pine forests their characteristic pleasant smell. Alpha-pinene is rapidly oxidised on exposure to ozone, creating vapours with extremely low volatilities but only tiny concentrations of around one molecule per trillion (1012) air molecules…

    What has CLOUD discovered? CLOUD has found that oxidised biogenic vapours produce abundant particles in the atmosphere in the absence of sulphuric acid. Previously it was thought that sulphuric acid – which largely arises from sulphur dioxide emitted by fossil fuels – was essential to initiate particle formation. We found that ions from galactic cosmic rays strongly enhance the production rate of pure biogenic particles – by a factor 10-100 compared with particles without ions, when concentrations are low. We also show that oxidised biogenic vapours dominate particle growth in unpolluted environments, starting just after the first few molecules have stuck together and continuing all the way up to sizes above 50-100 nm where the particles can seed cloud droplets. The growth rate accelerates as the particles increase in size, as progressively higher-volatility biogenic vapours are able to participate. We quantitatively explain this with a model of organic condensation…

  189. The writer reports on the green cab in Hawaii that the driver thought used windpower for electricity.
    “I informed him that Hawaii’s 100-plus windmills generate only 5 per cent of the state’s power. The other 95 per cent comes from carbon-emissions-intensive, diesel-fuelled power plants. Then I gave him a short physics lesson explaining the scientific axiom that, each time an energy source is changed to another form, an “efficiency loss” occurs.”


    We go to so much trouble to save one American eagle. People care about the birds, as should be obvious.

    After this bird has been rescued and rehabilitated, it will be released back into the wild, only to be put in danger of running into a windmill blade.

    So many American eagles are being killed by windmills that the Obama administration has found it necessary to exempt the Windmill industry from penalties for the killing of up to 4,000 American eagles per year.

    Many hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of other birds and bats are killed by windmills every year, and the plan is to build many more windmills.

    Windmills should be banned. They are not necessary to our future, and they are harmful to the wildlife of the Earth.

  191. In related bad science and statistics-

    MRI software bugs could upend years of research

    “In this paper at PNAS, they write: “the most common software packages for fMRI analysis (SPM, FSL, AFNI) can result in false-positive rates of up to 70%. These results question the validity of some 40,000 fMRI studies and may have a large impact on the interpretation of neuroimaging results.”

    For example, a bug that’s been sitting in a package called 3dClustSim for 15 years, fixed in May 2015, produced bad results (3dClustSim is part of the AFNI suite; the others are SPM and FSL).

    That’s not a gentle nudge that some results might be overstated: it’s more like making a bonfire of thousands of scientific papers.

    Further: “Our results suggest that the principal cause of the invalid cluster inferences is spatial autocorrelation functions that do not follow the assumed Gaussian shape”.

    The researchers used published fMRI results, and along the way they swipe the fMRI community for their “lamentable archiving and data-sharing practices” that prevent most of the discipline’s body of work being re-analysed.”

    PNAS paper:

    So, over a decade of papers has to be thrown out because of systemic statistical errors and poor archiving of data. Where have we heard that before?

    • Hardly heard it at all, actually, as the so-called Scientists & Climate Researchers (who have repeatedly told us that the data & analysis thereof is irrefutable, peer-reviewed, & conclusive) DON’T WANT US TO KNOW that it’s crappy results based on crappy research. “OK, guys, let’s ‘deep-six’ this news, otherwise we’ll all be outta jobs, right?”


    Court Rules Against White House Science Office in Email Case

    By THE ASSOCIATED PRESSJULY 5, 2016, 6:31 P.M. E.D.T.

    WASHINGTON — A federal appeals court ruled Tuesday that work-related emails from a private account used by the White House’s top science adviser are subject to disclosure under federal open records laws.

    The ruling from the three-judge panel is a win for government watchdog groups and media organizations concerned that public officials may be skirting public disclosure requirements by relying on private email.

    The court sided with a conservative think tank that had filed a lawsuit seeking emails from John Holdren, director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. The decision overturns a lower court judge that said Holdren’s office did not have to comply with the Freedom of Information Act request from the Competitive Enterprise Institute.

  193. U.S. wind energy has received $176 billion of taxpayer subsidies. How do I smell crony capitalism? Let me count the ways.

  194. Hi Anthony

    I would like to let you know that the Department of Energy has blocked access to your site on all DOE computers. I can not access it on my organization’s network nor on DOE wifi.

    Other sites such as Bishop Hill and Climate Audit are still available.

    My guess is that you have been identified as a threat to the administration. Perhaps it is a sign of your success!

  195. Heads up in case the Florida algae bloom gets blamed on CAGW.
    Laura Sanchez • July 6, 2016
    As gloppy, green cyanobacteria overtake southern Florida’s waterways, a debate has erupted over who is to blame for the state’s algae bloom emergency.

    It’s a perfect storm, really, and the sort of environmental nightmare that happens precisely when water management issues and inadequate infrastructure funding collide.
    [. . .]
    Typically, the state funnels water to Lake Okeechobee, the New York Times reports. As water levels in the lake rose this year, however, the Army Corps of Engineers had to increase the amount of water that it released from the lake in an effort to protect the almost 80-year-old Herbert Hoover Dike from rupturing.
    [. . .]
    Regardless of who is responsible, the Army Corps of Engineers is faced with a delicate dilemma: control the inordinate amount of water and risk the dam’s failure, or release it downstream and upset the fragile ecosystem, polluting the water ways and damaging the area’s economy.

  196. “Over the last seven years, we have doubled renewable energy in this country,” he said. “Remember when we were all concerned about our dependence on foreign oil? Well, let me tell you — we’ve cut the amount of oil we buy from other countries in half. Remember when the other team was promising they were going to get gas prices down in like 10 years? We did it. Did it.” — Barack Obama, 5-July-2016, Charlotte NC

    Thanks to President Obama’s unwavering support in the face of radical environmentalists for fracking and the Keystone pipeline, he did it.


    ‘Hot, Wet and Wild’ 2016 Weather as US Has Warmest June

    “WASHINGTON — America’s warm, wild and costly weather broke another record with the hottest June, federal meteorologists say. And if that’s not enough, they calculated that 2016 is flirting with the U.S. record for most billion-dollar weather disasters.

    The month’s average temperature in the Lower 48 states was 71.8 degrees, 3.3 degrees above normal, surpassing the Dust Bowl record set in 1933 by a couple tenths of a degree, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported Thursday.”

    “Surpassing 1933 by “a couple of tenths of a degree”. My, my, what do you know about that.

    Of course, the Climate Change Gurus said the 1930’s was hotter than 1998, and the hottest temp evah! of Feb. 2016, was one-tenth of a degree hotter than 1998, so I’m a little skeptical of NOAA’s claim that June 2016 is hotter than the hottest part of the 1930’s, especially since June 2016, is much cooler than Feb 2016.

    At least NOAA is acknowledging that the 1930’s was comparable in temperature to any year in the 21st century. It would be nice (and accurate) if their surface temperature charts reflected the same.


    Science groups blasted for crossing line into activism with climate-change letter to Congress

    “Critics are attacking as a “climate power play” a letter to Congress from 31 science associations advocating for domestic and natural-security policies predicated on climate change.

    Judith Curry, professor at the Georgia Institute of Technology School of Earth and Atmospheric Science, described the June 28 letter as a “blatant misuse of scientific authority to advocate for specific socioeconomic policies.” She added that the professional societies, led by the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), have “damaged public trust in science” by putting scientists on the same level as lobbyists.”


    Navy’s ‘Great Green Fleet’ Proves More Costly, Less Green

    “The failure of the biofuel price to become competitive even after more than a decade of mandates and subsidies is why the blending fractions are falling instead of rising. This is an inescapable consequence of the low EROI (or energy return on investment) of biofuel and its critical dependence upon fossil fuels.”

    The biofuel used is made from palm oil, which according to Kiefer is “recognized by the bulk of Europe and by informed environmentalists everywhere as the absolute worst biofuel, as it triples GHG (or greenhouse gas) emissions over fossil fuels.” Harvesting palm oil also leads to environmental destruction by plantation operators, he said.

    “The U.S. Navy is hurting the climate, and food security, and biodiversity, and international stability by ignoring the proven damaging consequences of biofuels and pretending, against all evidence, that they are clean and green and renewable,” Kiefer said.”

  200. Kevin “Trainbreath” Trenberth is giving a talk at NOAA’s Central Library about how humans are throwing Earth’s energy ‘balance’ out of whack. The talk can be remotely accessed, see below:
    The NOAA Central Library will host a brown bag seminar on Monday, July 11th:

    All Brown Bag Seminars (unless otherwise noted) are held from 12:00pm – 1:00pm in the NOAA Central Library, 2nd Floor, SSMC#3, 1315 East-West Highway, Silver Spring.

    Date: Monday, July 11th from 12:00PM to 1PM EST

    Title: Insights into Earth’s energy imbalance from multiple sources

    Speaker: Kevin E Trenberth, Distinguished Senior Scientist, NCAR

    About the Speaker: Dr. Kevin E. Trenberth is a Distinguished Senior Scientist in the Climate Analysis Section at the National Center for Atmospheric Research. He was a lead author of the 1995, 2001 and 2007 Scientific Assessment of Climate Change reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and shared the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize which went to the IPCC. Recently his primary research has focused on the global energy and water cycles and how they are changing. His work mainly involves empirical studies and quantitative diagnostic calculations. Trenberth is a primary advocate for the need to develop a climate information system that is an imperative for adaptation to climate change.

    Abstract: The current Earth’s energy imbalance (EEI) is mostly caused by human activity, and is driving global warming. The absolute value of EEI represents the most fundamental metric defining the status of global climate change, and can best be estimated from changes in ocean heat content (OHC), complemented by radiation measurements from space. Sustained observations from the Argo array of autonomous profiling floats and further development of the ocean observing system to sample the deep ocean, marginal seas and sea ice regions are crucial to refining future estimates of EEI. New estimates of EEI and corresponding rates of change of OHC will be presented to highlight major outstanding issues that include lack of sufficient continuity in many OHC estimates. The energy imbalance problem can also be done locally and the framework provides a new way of dealing with surface fluxes in the context of a fully coupled ocean-atmosphere system. For instance, we can estimate observed meridional ocean heat transports observed by the Rapid Array indirectly. Combining multiple measurements in an optimal way holds considerable promise for estimating EEI and thus assessing the status of global climate change, improving climate syntheses and models, and testing the effectiveness of mitigation actions. Progress can be achieved with a concerted international effort.

    For remote access: Audio: Dial toll-free US 866-833-7307, participant code is 8986360#. Webcast at Under “Participant Join”, click “Join an Event”, then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plug-in (or run the plug-in as a temporary application) for WebEx before the seminar starts. During the presentation, please mute your phone by pressing *6.

  201. Hoo-boy. How many of these tactics do we see all the time from the planet-saving doomsters feeding at the public trough?

    20 Diversion Tactics Highly Manipulative Narcissists, Sociopaths And Psychopaths Use To Silence You

    1. Gaslighting.
    2. Projection.
    3. Nonsensical conversations from hell.
    4. Blanket statements and generalizations.
    5. Deliberately misrepresenting your thoughts and feelings to the point of absurdity.
    6. Nitpicking and moving the goal posts.
    7. Changing the subject to evade accountability.
    8. Covert and overt threats.
    9. Name-calling.
    10. Destructive conditioning.
    11. Smear campaigns and stalking.
    12. Love-bombing and devaluation.
    13. Preemptive defense.
    14. Triangulation.
    15. Bait and feign innocence.
    16. Boundary testing and hoovering.
    17. Aggressive jabs disguised as jokes.
    18. Condescending sarcasm and patronizing tone.
    19. Shaming.
    20. Control.

  202. Jul 8, 2016
    CERN experiment points to a cloudier pre-industrial climate

    New results reported in two papers in Nature from the CLOUD experiment at CERN imply that the pre-industrial climate may have had brighter and more extensive clouds than previously thought, sharpening our understanding of the impact of human activities on climate….

    The increase in aerosols and clouds since pre-industrial times is one of the largest sources of uncertainty in climate change, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The new CLOUD results show that organic vapours emitted by trees produce abundant aerosol particles in the atmosphere in the absence of sulphuric acid. Previously, it was thought that sulphuric acid – which largely arises from burning fossil fuels – was essential to initiate aerosol particle formation. CLOUD finds that oxidized biogenic vapours dominate particle growth in unpolluted environments, starting just after the first few molecules have stuck together and continuing all the way up to sizes above 50–100 nm, where the particles can seed cloud droplets….


    ‘Intimidation Game’ Links Soros, Media in Plot to Silence Conservatives

    The left’s dedication to “disclosure and campaign finance laws” is nothing more than an attempt to “silence those who question them,” according to a new book by Wall Street Journal columnist Kimberley Strassel.

    The Intimidation Game: How the Left is Silencing Free Speech catalogs how liberals have turned transparency into a weapon to bully conservatives out of politics, from attacking groups like The American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC), to bullying donors through disclosure requirements.

    In 2014, ALEC was falsely accused of being a “climate denier,” and as a result Google, eBay, Yahoo, and Facebook all left the organization, Strassel recounted. It was part of an ongoing campaign against the organization.

    “ALEC does not have a position or a model policy on climate change. Never has. Probably never will,” but that didn’t matter to either the left or the public. “The press believed it, and sometimes that’s all that matters,” Strassel concluded.”


    In Platform Draft, Sanders Wins on Climate, Loses on Trade

    “ORLANDO, Fla. — Bernie Sanders’ still-impassioned campaign electrified debate over a draft of the Democratic Party’s policy positions Saturday, winning concessions on climate change but failing to include opposition to the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal.

    During a frequently combative session in an Orlando hotel ballroom Saturday, members of the Democratic National Convention’s full Platform Committee voted down amendments to the party platform to explicitly oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal. But Sanders supporters exploded in cheers when they won environmental amendments that included support for pricing greenhouse gases, prioritizing renewable energy and limiting fracking.”


    Green Attorney Says Virgin Island AG Was In ‘Way Over His Head’ With ExxonMobil Investigation

    “An environmental legal analyst said Thursday it is a good thing U.S. Virgin Islands Attorney General Claude Walker decided to withdraw his subpoena against ExxonMobil, because he was in “way over his head.”

    “The Virgin Islands attorney general is really not capable of taking on Exxon and this quick retreat confirms that,” Pat Parenteau, an environmental law professor at Vermont Law School, told reporters.

    He said taking on Exxon in such a risky way “was a distraction,” and one likely to result in the attorney general getting “pounded” by the oil company.

    Other environmental attorneys agreed with Parenteau.”

    Gotta love it!

  206. New Subject: Micro-plastic ‘soup-plumes’ in oceans:
    Revisiting a (now closed) topic 7 months ago, my Q. is:
    What credible evidence is there re:
    1. Average oceanic pollution by micro-plastic particles;
    2. Concentration of ditto, by area and by depth
    3. Particulate accumulation in marine life, by taxonomic groups.
    4. Decay stats. and how decay occurs. 1/2 lives?
    5. Reported propensity for particulate soup-plumes to lack oxygen and be ‘dead-waters’ for fish.
    6. Particulate bottom-sludge in estuarine conditions
    7. Co-ordinated environmental action plans, if any.
    Would your readers kindly leave comments & links, and I thank you in anticipation of your kind responses.

  207. “Sometimes the most important step one can take in science is back.” … “Science is corrupted when it abandons the discipline of empirical validation or dis-confirmation. It is also weakened when it mistakes its assumptions for facts and its ready-made philosophy for the way things are.”

    “The Singular Universe and the Reality of Time”
    “Cosmology is in crisis. The more we discover, the more puzzling the universe appears to be. How and why are the laws of nature what they are? A philosopher and a physicist, world-renowned for their radical ideas in their fields, argue for a revolution. To keep cosmology scientific, we must replace the old view in which the universe is governed by immutable laws by a new one in which laws evolve. Then we can hope to explain them. The revolution that Roberto Mangabeira Unger and Lee Smolin propose relies on three central ideas. There is only one universe at a time. Time is real: everything in the structure and regularities of nature changes sooner or later. Mathematics, which has trouble with time, is not the oracle of nature and the prophet of science; it is simply a tool with great power and immense limitations. The argument is readily accessible to non-scientists as well as to the physicists and cosmologists whom it challenges.”

  208. my favorite paragraph from the article:

    “But in 2011, a surge of ocean temperatures between 37 and 41 degrees above normal — conditions that for the kelp represented “the hottest in recorded history, and that’s going back 215 years,” Wernberg says — took a devastating toll on a major part of this ecosystem.”

    that’s some really* warm water they got there… LOL

  209. WSJ article on regulating farmers.

    He compares biogenic carbon (atmosphere, to plants, consumed by animals, back to atmosphere) to the “one-way trip” of burning fossil fuels. However, fossil fuel carbon was biogenic when the dinosaurs were alive. In the ECS calculation is the net sequestration a recent stats model or is it based on analyzing such long-term deposits? Also, how was it replenished? If you assume net carbon sequestration then there is zero CO2 as t goes to infinity. Article highlighted my ignorance of the full carbon cycle, data, and analysis methods given the earth is a closed system.


    Germany Votes To Abandon Most Green Energy Subsidies

    “Germany’s legislature voted Friday to sharply cut back on subsidies and other financial incentives supporting green energy due to the strain wind and solar power placed on the country’s electricity grid.

    Germany’s government plans to replace most of the subsidies for local green energy with a system of competitive auctions where the cheapest electricity wins. The average German pays 39 cents per kilowatt-hour for electricity due to intense fiscal support for green energy. The average American only spends 10.4 cents per kilowatt-hour.”


    The revised Gergis paper has been “re-accepted” April 26th, 2016. The above link is for an article published at The Conversation (British Edition) yesterday.

    Quote from linked article:

    “The mammoth process involved three extra rounds of peer-review and four new peer-reviewers. From the original submission on 3 November, 2011, to the paper’s re-acceptance on 26 April, 2016, the manuscript was reviewed by seven reviewers and two editors, underwent nine rounds of revisions, and was assessed a total of 21 times – not to mention the countless rounds of internal revisions made by our research team and data contributors. One reviewer even commented that we had done “a commendable, perhaps bordering on an insane, amount of work”.

    Finally, today, we publish our study again with virtually the same conclusion: the recent temperatures experienced over the past three decades in Australia, New Zealand and surrounding oceans are warmer than any other 30-year period over the past 1,000 years.

    Our updated analysis also gives extra confidence in our results. For example, as the graph below shows, there were some 30-year periods in our palaeoclimate reconstructions during the 12th century that may have been fractionally (0.03–0.04℃) warmer than the 1961–1990 average. But these results are more uncertain as they are based on sparse network of only two records – and in any event, they are still about 0.3℃ cooler than the most recent 1985–2014 average recorded by our most accurate instrumental climate network available for the region.”

    Steve McIntyre has had an extensive discussion about this paper and uncovered a flaw. It was also discussed at WUWT.

  212. Scientists may have solved a mystery: Why is Antarctic sea ice growing? The small minority of climate change models accurately predicted the expansion of Antarctic sea ice, and now scientists think they know why. By Nicole Orttung, Staff July 6, 2016
    “Out of “262 realizations of 20th century climate, 10 of those got this observed slowdown of global warming happening at about the same time as in the observations, at the same magnitude,” Dr. Meehl told The Washington Post. “And for those 10, there was the negative phase of the IPO, and it also has the signature of Antarctic sea ice.”
    Finally something right on Antarctic sea ice?


    19 Democratic Senators Submit Climate Change “Web of Denial” Concurrent Resolution

    Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) and 18 other democratic senators have introduced a concurrent resolution aimed at “expressing the sense of Congress relating to the disapproval of certain activities of certain companies, trade associations, foundations, and organizations.” The resolution denounces the tobacco and lead industries for misleading the public about the safety of their products. But their real villain is the fossil fuel industry. The resolution declares:

    – I guess 19 not-so-Democratic Senators…

  214. It seems that with all of these Senators and AG’s trying to prevent us D’ers from opining, that.what they are actually doing is legislating science via laws. This does not bode well for scientists, all that time and money spent on research becomes unnecessary. Don’t like the law of gravity: Just change it, or even do away with it.

  215. I was rummaging through Google maps and noticed the many high & dry areas of the extreme north Greenland. Undoubtedly, the images are in summertime, but it still makes me wonder how there can be such contrast with glaciers next door. Honestly, these valleys look like they were under glaciers for a long time and haven’t recovered. Maybe if someone at WUWT is looking for an article, I would love to hear about the contrasting landscape in Greenland

  216. Very early days of course, and bearing in mind that power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely but Theresa May might be good news.

    “May also has a negative approach to environmental issues. She has generally voted against measures to fight climate change and was in favour of the UK’s recent failed attempt to combat the spread of tuberculosis by culling badgers. She is also against environmental regulation for fracking in the UK.”

    If the New ‘Scientist’ is unsettled, then all the better.

  217. Facebook Live event to feature climate scientist Michael Mann on July 15

    See the link below. From the article:

    “UNIVERSITY PARK, Pa. — Last month was the hottest June on record in the U.S., and more than a year’s worth of global monthly temperatures broke known records. These all-time highs and other aspects of climate change will be the focus of an upcoming Facebook Live event featuring Michael Mann, Distinguished Professor of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science.

    The real-time, online talk, which is being hosted by Penn State, will take place at 1 p.m. Friday, July 15. Anyone interested can join the event by logging on to Facebook and visiting the Penn State Facebook page at 1 p.m. EST.

    During the open discussion, audience members can pose questions in the comments section about the pressing issue of climate change — how scientists identify the effects of climate change, what effects climate change is having today and could have in the future, whether 2016 will be hotter than 2015, and more.

    “I want people to feel empowered to engage in this discussion about one of the greatest challenges we face as a civilization,” said Mann, who also holds joint appointments in the Department of Geosciences and the Earth and Environmental Systems Institute.”…eature-climate-scientist-michael-mann-july-15


    Report: Senate Democrats Assigned Conservative Groups to Attack

    “Senate Democrats have been assigned various conservative nonprofit groups to target during floor speeches on their climate policies Monday and Tuesday, The Washington Free Beacon reports.

    The website says it obtained emails sent by Emily Enderle, environmental policy adviser to Rhode Island Democratic Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, who is heading up the effort.

    The schedule contains 19 Democrats who are set to attack the organizations that oppose the party’s policies in what the Democrats call a “web of denial.”

    According to the Free Beacon, the internal emails show a coordinated effort between Democrats in Congress and environmental groups to take on the fossil fuel industry and groups that support it.”

    Skeptics support real science. Skeptics support scientific proof. Skeptics do what they do because they are looking for answers, not because they are supporting some cause.


    3,200 Greens Strip Naked And Paint Bodies Blue For Global Warming

    “Thousands of environmentalists stripped naked and painted themselves blue in Britain Saturday to protest global warming in what activists are calling a performance art display.

    An estimated 3,200 volunteers stripped and painted their bodies with a collection of four shades of blue selected by a photography team, then marched through the tiny town of Hull in East Yorkshire.

    “It’s the idea that the bodies and humanity is flooding the streets,” Spencer Tunick, who organized and photographed the event, told The Guardian. “I was very surprised to see so many older people take part and so many people who had problems walking – wheelchairs, crutches, leg braces. They were resilient and we had young and old and I am so thankful to them.”

    The protesters blocked traffic and shut down roads for 10 hours to represent the rising sea levels caused by global warming.”

    I don’t suppose they could gather in an open field somewhere and do their protesting, instead of inconveniencing innocent people by blocking traffic.


    Academics Worry About The Carbon Footprint Of Crime

    “Politicians aren’t concerned enough about the environmental impact of crime and policing, according to an academic study published Monday by the University of Surrey.

    The study used computer modeling to estimate that over 4 million metric tons of carbon dioxide (CO2), equivalent to the emissions of 900,000 British homes, were emitted by crime in England and Wales in 2011.

    The largest single sources of CO2 emissions from crime was burglary due to large volume of offences. The criminal justice system aimed at preventing crime was also a major source of emissions and use “money currently spent addressing crime might be spent in the absence of crime.”

    The authors even speculated that the if the criminal justice system were eliminated entirely, there’d be fewer CO2 emissions.”

    You can’t make this stuff up. I guess they got paid well to say this.

  221. Some of WUWT regulars may be interested in the dates revealed by these findings. (see my bold)
    Wonder what Milankovitch would say about the dates in findings like these?

    A Supernova Might Have Abetted A Mass Extinction On Earth
    Popular Science Kate Baggaley
    11 hrs ago

    …It’s generally accepted that several stars have gone supernova about 300 light years from Earth within the past few million years. Recent evidence for these supernovae comes from two studies published in April. In one, researchers traced the amount of iron-60, a radioactive form of iron, in deep-sea crusts. Iron-60 is catapulted into space by supernovae or in winds from massive stars; its presence can reveal when a star exploded nearby. Scientists found two influxes of iron-60, one about 1.5 to 3.2 million years ago, another at 6.5 to 8.7 million years ago. Another group calculated the likely trajectories of recent supernovae, and found that the stars were probably nine times the size of our own sun, and exploded about 300 light years from Earth….

    …Cosmic rays might also have influenced Earth’s climate by ionizing, or changing the charge of, particles in the atmosphere. “The high-energy cosmic rays…tear up molecules, they can rip electrons off atoms, and that goes on right down to the ground level,” coauthor Adrian Melott, of the University of Kansas, said in a statement. “Normally that happens only at high altitude.”

    This would have caused a tenfold increase in the ionization in the lowest layer of Earth’s atmosphere for at least 1,000 years. “It is possible that this could trigger climate change, especially if instability was already present,” wrote Melott and his colleagues….

    B. C. Thomas1 E. E. Engler1 M. Kachelrieß2
    A. L. Melott3 A. C. Overholt4 D.V.Semikoz5,6

    Recent results have strongly confirmed that multiple supernovae happened at distances
    ~100 pc consisting of two main events: one at 1.7 to 3.2 million years ago, and the other
    at 6.5 to 8.7 million years ago. These events are said to be responsible for excavating
    the Local Bubble in the interstellar medium and depositing 60Fe on Earth and the Moon.
    Other events are indicated by effects in the local cosmic ray (CR) spectrum. Given this
    updated and refined picture, we ask whether such supernovae are expected to have
    had substantial effects on the terrestrial atmosphere and biota. In a first cut at the most
    probable cases, combining photon and cosmic ray effects, we find that a supernova at
    100 pc can have only a small effect on terrestrial organisms from visible light and that
    chemical changes such as ozone depletion are weak. However, tropospheric ionization
    right down to the ground due to the penetration of ≥TeV cosmic rays will increase by
    nearly an order of magnitude for thousands of years, and irradiation by muons on the
    ground and in the upper ocean will increase 20-fold, which will approximately triple the
    overall radiation load on terrestrial organisms. Such irradiation has been linked to
    possible changes in climate and increased cancer and mutation rates. This may be
    related to a minor mass extinction around the Pliocene-Pleistocene boundary, and
    further research on the effects is needed. ………………………………………………………


    Arctic sea ice falls to record low in June

    “TORONTO — Sea ice cover in the Arctic beat a hasty retreat throughout June, reaching record-breaking levels by month’s end.

    Data published by the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center last week showed average sea ice extent for June was 100,000 square miles smaller than in 2010, the year of the previous June record.

    Almost every month this year has set new record lows for sea ice extent. March, however, was the second-lowest, slightly greater than 2015. The average sea ice extent for June was 4.09 million square miles.

    “In 30 years, the area has shrunk approximately by half. There doesn’t seem to be anything able to stop this trend,” said Christian Haas, an Arctic sea ice geophysicist at York University, Toronto.”


    Barbara Boxer and the Democratic Party Hold Two-Day Festival Against Free Speech
    Reason Foundation among the many groups targeted outrageously—and falsely—for global-warming thoughtcrime

    Matt Welch|Jul. 12, 2016 8:20 am

    Yesterday, as normal Americans were wrapping up their work day, gearing up for baseball’s home-run derby, or playing cell-phone video games in the park, 19 senators from the Democratic Party began taking to the floor of the World’s Greatest Deliberative Body to express their collective “disapproval” of the way 33 organizations speak about climate change, and to urge these allegedly “interconnected” groups to cooperate maximally with various ongoing government investigations into their uncorrect opinions. The purpose of this two-day name-and-shame exercise, the senators bragged in a press release, is “to call out Koch brothers- and fossil fuel industry-funded groups that have fashioned a web of denial to block action on climate change.”

    Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), a co-sponsor of the concurrent resolution under discussion, embodied the spirit of the exercise yesterday by decrying oil companies’ “huge secret contributions” to “fake-science think tanks,” which are “so dangerous” because they enable politicians “to keep right on blocking meaningful action while the earth slowly chokes on its own filth”:


  224. Glitch in sea ice anomalies for both arctic and antarctic.

    The Northern hemisphere sea ice anomaly shows a huge upward spike as of now.

    The Southern Hemisphere Sea Ice Anomaly shows a huge downward spike also occurring right now.

    Both of these are way outside the norm. Looks like a glitch to me.


    22 Free Market Groups Call Dems ‘Tyrants’ For Targeting Them On Senate Floor

    “Several free market and conservative groups called Democratic senators tyrants Tuesday for criticizing their opposition to global warming policies on the Senate floor.

    The Heritage Foundation, Heartland Institute, American Legislative Exchange Council, and Americans For tax Reform, among others, lashed out Tuesday in a letter obtained by The Daily Caller News Foundation at Democratic senators Harry Reid, Barbara Boxer, Al Franken, and Sheldon for calling them conspirators in a web of denial.

    “We hear you,” the letter read. “Your threat is clear: There is a heavy and inconvenient cost to disagreeing with you. Calls for debate will be met with political retribution. That’s called tyranny. And, we reject it.”

  226. Anthony,
    If the article at this link is true then the world’s power needs would appear to be solved.

    Five independent validators using four cross confirming methodologies, two absolute spectroscopic and two thermal techniques using a commercial calorimeter and a heat exchanger on the SunCell, have established that the power demonstrated in this video is megawatt level with about 8 kW total input.

    Let’s hope.


    ExxonMobil Is Still Funding Climate Science Denier Groups

    ExxonMobil officials may hem and haw when reporters ask them if the company still funds climate science denier organizations, but the numbers don’t lie.

    The company says it acknowledges the reality of global warming and claims it supports a carbon tax, but its recently disclosed list of 2015 “public information and policy research” grantees shows it spent nearly $2 million last year on more than a dozen think tanks, advocacy groups and associations that dispute climate science and disparage renewable energy.

    That’s significant from both a legal and political perspective.

    – so, get on with it, and sue them…

  228. Anthony –

    A friend sent me this thirteen-month-old NYT article today:

    Haven’t seen anything about it, but it goes to the core of whether or not scientists will continue to follow the Scientific Method, which has worked well for centuries, or go off into la-la land.

    It would appear to me that many particle physicists are trying to play the “climate science” game that they don’t need to verify or validate their ideas before they can be called hypotheses or theories.

    I’m not the person to write an article about this, but maybe another of your readers would take it on.

  229. Has anyone else noticed that google makes the first search result for any climate change topics come up with the “Skeptical Science” site?
    Doesn’t happen as much with Yahoo. Seems suspicious


    White House Watch: Trump 44%, Clinton 37%

    ” Just days before the Republican National Convention is expected to formally nominate him to run for president, Donald Trump has taken his largest lead yet over Hillary Clinton.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 44% support to Clinton’s 37%. Thirteen percent (13%) favor some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided”

    How sweet it is!

    I wonder if the Dishonest Leftwing News Media will report this Rasmussen poll. They didn’t report last weeks poll, that showed Trump closing the distance with Hillary. This week he has surpassed her.

    If you are listening to the Leftwing News Media, assume you are hearing distortions of the truth, and you will be correct about 90 percent of the time.


    “President Gerald Ford continued: “Men and women must prevail over the endless agencies and bureaus that would reduce human beings to computerized abstractions and program people into numbers and statistics. Today’s mounting danger is from mass government … we must not let them prevail. … Never forget that in America our sovereign is the citizen. … The state is a servant… It must never become an anonymous monstrosity that masters everyone.”

    This menace President Ford is describing is called the modern Democrat Party and Hillary Clinton, who want to be the masters of everyone.


    High-Tech Solar Road Surface to Be Tested on Historic Highway

    “A new type of high-tech pavement is being tested on one of the nation’s historic roads in Missouri.

    Called Solar Roadways, the system involves hexagonal blocks of roughly 4.4 square feet. Made of a special type of glass, they fit together, have traction like that of conventional pavement, and are solar panels that absorb sunlight. That solar energy is turned into electricity.”

  233. Oh, noes! Global warming has resulted in record-breaking wheat crops! From the London (Ontario, Canada) Free Press:

    “London area farmers reporting extraordinary yields of wheat crop”

    “At this point in time I am absolutely ecstatic with the wheat crop, it’s unbelievable,” said Peter Johnson, a London-area agronomist with Real Agriculture.
    Johnson said he expects some farms will break the all time yield record of 141 bushels an acre.
    Yields as high as 136 bushels an acre have already been documented and on one farm there is an unconfirmed yield of 148 bushels an acre.”

  234. Just a reminder that the great “cruise through the Northwest Passage” is due to sail 8/16/2016.

    Their planned voyage is:

    But the Arctic still looks like this on 7/13/2016:

    The current ice drift and currents as of 7/14/2016 are:

    Arctic sea ice concentration as of 7/13/2016 was:

    Technically there are two more months before the Arctic minimum is established, but there are only about thirty days of above freezing temperatures left.

    Right about the time that the temperatures begin to fall below freezing again, the intrepid passengers and brave crew of the ship Serenity will set sail from Anchorage.

    Does anyone know a legal gambling establishment setting odds for voyages?

  235. Gerghis explains away the 2012 fiasco as a ‘typo’ in an article at the conversation. Link from ATTP site. Only took four years to correct – must be a slow typist. Also says they discovered the problem just before Jean S at CA.
    Looked again at that 2012 CA post – favourite comment from that (Posted Jun 9, 2012 at 2:20 AM) “Seriously folks, nobody believes they were sitting around saying “Let’s just check we selected those proxies correctly” after the claimed years of strenuous research effort, strenuous networking to get the data, 3000 spaghetti permutations, peer review and publication and triumphant press release. It is not remotely plausible that anyone would re-check their very basic selection process after all that unless some problem had been raised elsewhere.
    Prof Karoly’s ‘also’ is completely implausible.
    We should be polite about it, as if someone audibly farted at a cocktail evening and looked around as though trying to identify the offender. Not convincing, but understandable.”


    I Can’t Believe It’s Not Science

    By Michelle Minton
    Consuming butter does not increase the risk of heart disease, a recent study found. Those who believed in the accuracy of U.S. government dietary guidelines — which for decades have demonized saturated fats — were doubtless taken by surprise. But for those of us who follow nutrition and politics, it’s just another government nutritional “gospel” that science has revealed to be misguided.

    – and what about other ‘gospels’?


    Brexit aftershock: British researchers already being dropped from EU projects

    “In the wake of the UK’s vote to leave the European Union, British researchers are already being asked to “leave EU-funded projects or to step down from leadership roles,” because they are considered a “financial liability” as a result of the looming Brexit.

    The findings are the result of a confidential survey of the UK’s top 24 universities—which form the elite Russell Group—carried out by the Guardian.

    The newspaper found that the backlash began immediately after the Brexit result due to fears that British researchers would not be viewed favourably when EU research funds were allocated. The impact is apparently being felt right across the academic spectrum, with the natural sciences, engineering, and social sciences all affected.”


    Sheldon Whitehouse calls for news outlets to suppress ‘extreme’ op-eds by climate skeptics

    Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse wants newspapers to stop publishing “extreme” and “phony” op-eds written by climate-change skeptics, blasting such articles as “industry propaganda.”
    The Rhode Island Democrat said he was stunned by the “extraordinary barrage of opinion pieces” that followed his May 2015 op-ed recommending that Attorney General Loretta Lynch investigate fossil-fuel companies and their supporters for possible civil violations of federal racketeering laws.

    – Sheldon OutHouse just doesn’t know when to shut up….

  239. Don’t know whether you’ve seen it, but yet another polar expedition sailing trip has just set off – this one looks to be less ambitious, merely sailing around the arctic circle, but the stated goal to ‘highlight climate change’ remains depressingly similar:
    Even though they’ve chosen the best time to attempt this, I’m betting they won’t make it – only choice now is which country they’ll have to fly home from?

  240. Anthony
    Vis Willis on police shootings analysis:
    Recommend linking to a similar analysis by Prof. Robert Richardson, Univ. Toledo Richard Richardson, Professor Criminal Justice Program, University of Toledo
    Examining the Prevalence of Deaths from Police Use of Force.
    Also posted at: