A few years ago, the best solar models predicted that Solar Cycle 24 would be larger than Solar Cycle 23. Here is a plot from NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center…
Search Results for: consensus
The Perils of Consensus
Victor Grauer writes: The film, “The Big Short,” and the book, “No One Would Listen,” offer instructive object lessons on the dangers of blindly accepting a consensus, no matter how…
Ooops! Not all 31 scientific societies actually signed the AAAS ‘consensus’ letter
Recursive Lies and “Scientific Consensus” Letters Guest opinion by Leo Goldstein The ”Consensus” Letter on Climate Change (06/28/2016), allegedly signed by leaders of 31 scientific organizations and published on the…
Attempt by AAAS at climate consensus underscores the fact the 'science is not a democracy'
From the “so what?” department and the American Association for the Advancement of Science via Eurekalert: Thirty-one top scientific societies speak with one voice on global climate change In a…
Consensus=Nonsensus – Reviewing Cook et al (2016)
Michelle Stirling writes: A critical review of the most recent Cook et al (2016) consensus study. There can’t be much more consensus than getting all the lead consensus study authors…
Already 240 Published Papers In 2016 Alone Show the “97% Climate Consensus” Is A Fantasy
From Friends of Science Newsletter by Albert Jacobs Kenneth Richard has compiled a list of 770 papers published since January 1, 2014 that contradict the IPCC consensus statement, see here.…
Newsbytes: Brexit: Green Industry Fears Break-Up Of Climate Consensus
Britain & Germany May Delay Coal Phase-Out The financial uncertainty triggered by the UK’s vote to leave the EU has sent shudders through virtually every industry, but Europe’s renewable energy…
John Cook is cooking up more 97% consensus, while two papers refute his statistical sleights of hand
We’ve had the climate wars, now we have the consensus wars, and it appears Cook’s side and his publisher aren’t playing fair with the numbers, or with the review/rebuttal process.…
New AMS survey busts the 97% climate consensus claim
Fully a third don’t agree that man is the primary driver Another survey of 4,092 members of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) from George Mason University (home of Shukla and…
The Cook '97% consensus' paper, exposed by new book for the fraud that it really is
I don’t like to use the word “fraud”, and I can’t recall if I’ve ever used it in a title. In this case it is warranted. Brandon Shollenberger writes of…
A case study bearing on the nature of “consensus” in normal science and in the AGW controversy
Guest essay by Rick Wallace A useful method for gaining an initial understanding of complex social-psychological phenomena is to collect and compare case studies. Despite the humble character of such…
More settled science consensus: the formation of coal in the Caboniferous looks to be "grounded in abiotic processes"
Researcher cites a tendency in science to ignore, rather than go after, theories believed to be false. Two Stanford geologists are disputing the decade-old explanation of the large amount of…
Poll: 73% of Americans reject so-called AGW consensus (but you wouldn't know it from the headline)
Guest post by David Middleton From The Hill… Poll: 70 percent believe in climate change By Timothy Cama – 01/05/16 10:41 AM EST A new survey finds that 70…
Is Antarctica's Climate Change Natural or CO2 Driven? There Is Absolutely No Consensus
Guest essay by Jim Steele, Director emeritus Sierra Nevada Field Campus, San Francisco State University The record growth of Antarctic sea ice has long been a troubling contradiction for global…
Pause Buster SST Data: Has NOAA Adjusted Away a Relationship between NMAT and SST that the Consensus of CMIP5 Climate Models Indicate Should Exist?
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale In this post, we’re going to discuss one of the three adjustments with the greatest impacts on the new NOAA “pause buster” sea surface temperature…
Another attempt at Cooking settling consensus on climate change
From the “Cooking up another 97% consensus” department and Purdue University: WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. – A Purdue University-led survey of nearly 700 scientists from non-climate disciplines shows that more than…
No Consensus: Earth’s Top of Atmosphere Energy Imbalance in CMIP5-Archived (IPCC AR5) Climate Models
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an initial look at climate model simulations of the top of the atmosphere (TOA) energy budget and its three components. It includes…
Consensus-smensus: 97% of UK voters hiding in the deep ocean
Josh writes: One of the main things we learned from the recent UK General Election was that the forecasters got it catastrophically wrong – catastrophic in that the pollsters reputations…
Talking Truth to the Climate Consensus
A sound bite summary* Guest essay by Rud Istvan The climate consensus has two levels of derogation for those who disagree. Climate ‘contrarians’ like Bjørn Lomborg disagree about mitigation policies.…
Aussie Government gives $4 million to Bjørn Lomborg, to set up a "Consensus Centre" at Lewandowsky's old university
The Australian Abbott government has granted Bjørn Lomborg $4 million, to set up a “consensus centre” at the University of West Australia. According to The Guardian; The Abbott government found…
Richard Tol’s Excellent Summary of the Flaws in Cook et al. (2013) – The Infamous 97% Consensus Paper
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale It’s been almost 2 years since Cook et al. (2013) Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature was published. If you’re…
Settled science? The IPCC's premature consensus is demonstrated by the Orbiting Carbon Observatory
Guest Opinion: Dr. Tim Ball From the start, Richard Lindzen, former professor of meteorology at MIT, said about the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) anthropogenic global warming (AGW) hypothesis: The…
97 Articles Refuting The '97% Consensus' on global warming
The 97% “consensus” study, Cook et al. (2013) has been thoroughly refuted in scholarly peer-reviewed journals, by major news media, public policy organizations and think tanks, highly credentialed scientists and…
How 'scientific consensus' ended up with a bad reputation
At Arstechnica, they say: Fiction author Michael Crichton probably started the backlash against the idea of consensus in science. Crichton was rather notable for doubting the conclusions of climate scientists—he…
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