NGOs: It's Worse Than We Thought

The official numbers of partygoers to the 17th Conference of Parties in Durban, South Africa, shape up like this: Figure 1. Theoretical distribution of the 14,570 partygoers at the Durban…

Chinese Deal Breakers

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The lead Chinese negotiator at the 17th UN COP (United Nations Conference of Partygoers) being celebrated in Durban is a man named Xie Zhenhua. He…

The Dark Future of Solar Electricity

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The “Annual Energy Outlook” for 2011 is just out from the US Energy Information Administration. The section called “Levelized Cost of New Generation Resources” looks…

What Didn't Kyoto Do?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach There has been some discussion over the years regarding Tom Wigley’s 1998 estimate that even if Kyoto were to be 100% successful in meeting its…

An Open Letter to Dr. Phil Jones of the UEA CRU

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Dear Dr. Jones: You and I have been interacting, albeit at a distance, since I first asked you for your data some five years ago.…

Mr. David Palmer Explains The Problem

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Whoever took the Climategate emails from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia (UEA) are certainly playing the long game. Two…

Duking It Out With Foreign Investors

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The Duke of Edinburgh, the husband of Queen Elizabeth, has spoken out about windmills, and he’s not happy at all. Chris Huhne, the UK Energy…

Make 29% On Your Money, Guaranteed!

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Sounds like a scam, huh? But it’s real. Let me explain how people (no, not you or me, don’t be foolish) can make a guaranteed…

I Blame The Australian Carbon Tax for Price Increases

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach You likely didn’t realize that the First Rule for the Carbon Tax Club is … nobody talks about the Carbon Tax Club. And not only…

Finally Some Good News!

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach As reported in the Guardian (so it must be true), we are treated to some great news: World headed for irreversible climate change in five…

Short Splice, Long Splice

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach When I was a kid I had the great fortune to be taught to splice rope by a grandson of Richard Henry Dana. He taught…

What Hath Kyoto Wrought?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The Kyoto Protocol is the quixotic attempt by some countries around the world to reduce each participating country’s CO2 emissions to their emission levels in…

The Durban Game

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In the run-up to the next-to-last big meeting of the UNFCCC (United Nations Frequent Climate Change Carnival) held in Copenhagen in 2009, I showed the…

Why Reanalysis "Data" Isn't

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach There is a new paper out by Xu and Powell, “Uncertainty of the stratospheric/tropospheric temperature trends in 1979–2008: multiple satellite MSU, radiosonde, and reanalysis datasets” (PDF,…

Uncertain about Uncertainty

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was reading a study just published in Science mag, pay-walled of course. It’s called “The Pace of Shifting Climate in Marine and Terrestrial Ecosystems”,…

OCCUPY COP 17–CMP 7 !

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Anyone concerned about the huge influence of Wall Street on our lives should definitely be protesting the influence of Wall Street on the upcoming climate…

Pre-Prints and Pre-Data

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Folks have said that I’m far too hard on Dr. Richard Muller of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST Project). So let me stick to…

A Modest Proposal—Forget About Tomorrow

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach There’s a lovely 2005 paper I hadn’t seen, put out by the Los Alamos National Laboratory entitled “Our Calibrated Model has No Predictive Value” (PDF).…

Increase of extreme foolishness in a warming world

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Stefan Rahmstorf and Dim Coumou have published a paper (paywalled, of course) in one of the best-known vanity presses of science, PNAS (Proceedings of the National…

The Reef Abides

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I love the coral reefs of the planet. In my childhood on a dusty cattle ranch in the Western US, I decorated my mental imaginarium…

What the BEST data actually says

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach My theory is that the BEST folks must have eaten at a Hollywood Chinese restaurant. You can tell because when you eat there, an hour…

Not Alarmist Enough

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Normally, I might not deal with a four year old paper by James Hansen, the NASA doyenne of serial doomcasters. However, I note that this…

A preliminary assessment of BEST's decline

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach With altogether far too much fanfare for my taste, the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project has not released its preliminary results. Or at least…

The Alligator Model

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I wrote my first computer program in 1963. It was an implementation of the Sieve of Erastosthenes, used to find prime numbers. I haven’t stopped…