Another paper confirms “the pause” in global warming – cites issues with methods of obtaining average temperature

Spatiotemporal Divergence of the Warming Hiatus over Land Based on Different Definitions of Mean Temperature Chunlüe Zhou & Kaicun Wang Abstract Existing studies of the recent warming hiatus over land are primarily based on the average of daily minimum and maximum temperatures (T2). This study compared regional warming rates of mean temperature based on T2 and T24 calculated from hourly observations…

How They airbrushed out the Inconvenient Pause

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley In November 2015, just before the faithful gathered around their capering, gibbering witch-doctors and shamans in Paris for the New Superstition’s annual festival of thanks and praise, hugs and back-slapping, the Inconvenient Pause lengthened to 18 years 9 months. One-third of Man’s entire influence on climate since the Industrial Revolution…

Confidential: How to Hide the Pause

Guest essay by Iain Aitken Dear Colleagues – As President Trump hints at the withdrawal of our country from the Paris climate accord there has never been a greater threat to the Cause of saving our planet from catastrophic man-made global warming – so now, more than ever, we must be adroit in all dealings…

NEW STUDY CONFIRMS: THE WARMING ‘PAUSE’ IS REAL AND REVEALING

by Dr David Whitehouse, GWPF Science Editor A new paper has been published in the Analysis section of Nature called Reconciling controversies about the ‘global warming hiatus.’ It confirms that the ‘hiatus’ or ‘pause’ is real. It is also rather revealing. It attempts to explain the ‘Pause’ by looking into what is known about climate…

Global temperatures plunge in April – “the pause” returns

Global temperatures have dropped 0.5° Celsius in April according to Dr. Ryan Maue. In the Northern Hemisphere they plunged a massive 1°C . As the record 2015/16 El Nino levels off, the global warming hiatus aka “the pause” is back with a vengeance. He writes: Some good news to end April, global temperature anomaly has fallen to only +0.1°C today…

A ground-breaking new paper putting climate models to the test yields an unexpected result – steps and pauses in the climate signal

A ground-breaking new paper has recently been published  in Earth System Dynamics that really turns the idea of direct linear warming of the atmosphere on it’s ear, suggesting a “store and release mechanism” by the oceans, which explains why there seemed to be a shift in global temperature during the 1997/98 super El Nino followed…

Fresh Congressional Probe into Flawed Karl “Pausebuster” Scandal

Guest essay by Eric Worrall In the wake of revelations by whistleblower Dr. John Bates, Congressman Lamar Smith, Chairman of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology, has renewed demands for access to documents and correspondence relating to the release of the flawed Karl “Pausebuster” paper. US Congress launches a probe into climate data…

BOMBSHELL – NOAA whistleblower says Karl et al. “pausebuster” paper was hyped, broke procedures

They played fast and loose with the figures -NOAA whistleblower The Mail on Sunday today reveals astonishing evidence that the organisation that is the world’s leading source of climate data rushed to publish a landmark paper that exaggerated global warming and was timed to influence the historic Paris Agreement on climate change. A high-level whistleblower…

Ocean cycles, The Pause and Global Warming

By Andy May h/t Joachim Seifert There is a new post by Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Professor Fritz Vahrenholt, translated by Pierre Gosselin, on the effect of ocean cycles on 20th century warming and the 21st century pause. They had previously written about this in their popular book The Neglected Sun, in English here. Marcia…

Study by Mann: admits ‘the pause’ in global warming was not predictable, but lets models off the hook

From AGU EOS —Terri Cook, Freelance Writer Was the Recent Slowdown in Surface Warming Predictable? The temporary deceleration in warming across the Northern Hemisphere earlier this century could not have been foreseen by statistical forecasting methods, a new study concludes. SOURCE: Geophysical Research Letters From the early 2000s to the early 2010s, there was a temporary…

The Pause hangs on by its fingernails

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley The sharp el Niño spike is just about to abolish the long Pause in global temperatures – at least for now. This column has long foretold that the present el Niño would be substantial, and that it might at least shorten if not extinguish the Pause. After all, theory requires…

The Oddities in NOAA’s New “Pause-Buster” Sea Surface Temperature Product – An Overview of Past Posts

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale NOAA revised their global surface temperature product in June 2015 to show more global warming during the post-1998 period. Those data manipulations supposedly ended the slowdown in global warming over that period. The changes to NOAA’s global ocean surface temperature product were the primary cause of the NOAA’s hiatus-disappearing act.…

El Niño shortens the Pause by just one month

No global warming at all for 18 years 8 months By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley The Paris agreement is more dangerous than it appears. Though the secession clause that this column has argued for was inserted into the second draft and remained in the final text, the zombies who have replaced the diplomatic negotiators of…

NOAA’s New “Pauses-Buster” Sea Surface Temperature Data – The Curiosities Extend into the 1st Half of the 20th Century…

…PLUS AN OBVIOUS ERROR IN THE NEW NOAA ERSST.V4 PAPER Guest Post by Bob Tisdale We’ve discussed NOAA’s new ERSST.v4 “pauses-buster” sea surface temperature reconstruction in a number of posts this year. They are linked at the end of this post. We can add yet another curiosity to the list…this time relating to the global…

The robust Pause resists a robust el Niño Still no global warming at all for 18 years 9 months

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley The Christmas pantomime here in Paris is well int0 its two-week run. The Druids who had hoped that their gibbering incantations might begin to shorten the Pause during the United Necromancers’ pre-solstice prayer-group have been disappointed. Gaia has not heeded them. She continues to show no sign of the “fever”…

Pause Buster SST Data: Has NOAA Adjusted Away a Relationship between NMAT and SST that the Consensus of CMIP5 Climate Models Indicate Should Exist?

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale In this post, we’re going to discuss one of the three adjustments with the greatest impacts on the new NOAA “pause buster” sea surface temperature dataset. That is, I’m going to discuss and illustrate that NOAA based one of their recent adjustments (the adjustment with the greatest impact during the…

Is NOAA About to Crack? ‘Pausebuster’ study under intense scrutiny

Guest essay by Eric Worrall According to House Science Committee Chairman Lamar Smith (R-Tex.), who is leading a Congressional investigation into the infamous Karl et al 2015 “Pausebuster” study, NOAA whistleblowers have come forward, with information which cast doubt on the scientific integrity of NOAA’s global temperature reconstructions. According to the Washington Post; Smith told…

The Pause lengthens again – just in time for Paris

No global warming at all for 18 years 9 months – a new record By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley As the faithful gather around their capering shamans in Paris for the New Superstition’s annual festival of worship, the Pause lengthens yet again. One-third of Man’s entire influence on climate since the Industrial Revolution has occurred…

Dissent in the climate ranks over Karl’s “pause buster” temperature data tweaking

WUWT readers may recall that on June 4th, 2015, WUWT published a scathing criticism of the paper by Karl et al (“Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus”) that purported to erase the pause in the surface temperature record by applying some highly questionable, and apparently desperate  adjustments to SST…

There’s life in the old Pause yet

Still no global warming at all for 18 years 8 months By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley To the growing embarrassment of the world-government wannabes who are preparing to meet in Paris next month to inflict upon the world a Solomon Binding treaty that will, in all but name, create an all-powerful global tyranny-by-clerk for the…

When messaging collides with science: The ‘Hottest Year Ever’ Inside a Global Warming ‘Pause’?

Excerpt  from a story by statistician William M. Briggs There are two stories floating around about the state of the earth’s atmosphere. Both are believed true by government-funded scientists and the environmentally minded. The situation is curious because the stories don’t mesh. Yet, as I said, both are believed. Worse, neither is true. Story number one…

The latest head in the sand excuse from climate science: the global warming pause ‘never happened’

From the “fighting denial with denial” department comes this desperate ploy and press release written to snare headlines with gullible media. Meanwhile, just a couple of days ago the UK Met office said the global warming pause may continue. Global warming ‘hiatus’ never happened, Stanford scientists say A new study reveals that the evidence for…

UK MET: Global warming pause may continue

Guest essay by Eric Worrall h/t The Register – the UK MET Office has published a report which suggests the pause in global temperatures might continue for many years to come. Or the pause might not continue. They’re not really sure. According to The UK MET (talking about the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation); Despite these signals…

The Pause lengthens yet again

A new record Pause length: no warming for 18 years 8 months By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley One-third of Man’s entire influence on climate since the Industrial Revolution has occurred since January 1997. Yet for 224 months since then there has been no global warming at all (Fig. 1). With this month’s RSS temperature record,…

Another excuse for the pause, Trenberth says ‘Internal climate variability masks climate-warming trends’

From the  AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF SCIENCE and the “if warming can’t overcome Nature, is it really there at all?” department. Amid climate change debates revolving around limited increases in recent global mean surface temperature (GMST) rates, Kevin Trenberth argues that natural climate fluxes – larger than commonly appreciated – can overwhelm background…

UAH Global Temperature Report: July 2015 – the pause continues

Global climate trend since Nov. 16, 1978: +0.11 C per decade July temperatures (preliminary) Global composite temp.: +0.18 C (about 0.32 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for July. Northern Hemisphere: +0.33 C (about 0.60 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for July. Southern Hemisphere: +0.03 C (about 0.05 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for July. Tropics: +0.48…