Do Climate Projections Have Any Physical Meaning?

Guest essay by Pat Frank This essay expands on a point made in a previous post here at WUWT, that climate models do not produce a unique solution to the energy state of the climate. Unique solutions are the source of physical meaning in science, and make a physical theory both predictive and falsifiable. Predictive…

More on Curry’s climate model study saying they are ‘not useful as projections for how the 21st century will actually evolve.’

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin The new climate model study by Dr. Curry addressed in the February 21 WUWT article provides some very powerful conclusions regarding the unsuitability of using climate models for purposes of projecting future global climate behavior. In the Executive Summary of this study Dr. Curry delivers the bottom line on the…

Madness: climate ‘projections’ can now be used as evidence to list endangered species

From the Center for Biological Diversity and the “data, we don’t need no steekin data!” department: Appeals Court Reinstates Endangered Species Act Protections for Bearded Seals Judges Cite Loss of Sea Ice, Predictions by ‘Overwhelming Majority of World’s Climate Scientists’ ANCHORAGE, Alaska— A federal appeals court today upheld the National Marine Fisheries Service’s decision to protect…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #303

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project   Quote of the Week.“Akin to, and largely responsible for the sweeping changes in our industrial-military posture, has been the technological revolution during recent decades. “In this revolution, research has become central, it also becomes more formalized, complex, and costly. A steadily increasing…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #301

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) Skepticism: In an essay titled “Be Skeptical of Those Who Treat Science as an Ideology” appearing in the Wall Street Journal, Dr. Sue Desmond-Hellmann discusses the difference between anti-science and skepticism,…

Claim: Climate sensitivity narrowed to 2.8°C

From the University of Exeter, comes this statistical prediction that doesn’t seem to be getting a lot of press, and rightly so. Read on. Future Climate Change Revealed by Current Climate Variations Uncertainty surrounding the extent of future climate change could be dramatically reduced by studying year-on-year global temperature fluctuations, new research has shown. A…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #299

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project   Quote of the Week. All things are poison and nothing is without poison; only the dose makes a thing not a poison.” — Paracelsus, Swiss physician and chemist. Number of the Week: More than 77% THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and…

‘The 97% climate consensus’ starts to crumble with 485 new papers in 2017 that question it

by THOMAS D. WILLIAMS, PH.D.10 Jan 20183,113 From Breitbart and No Tricks Zone: A broad survey of climate change literature for 2017 reveals that the alleged “consensus” behind the dangers of anthropogenic global warming is not nearly as settled among climate scientists as people imagine. Author Kenneth Richard found that during the course of the year 2017, at…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #298

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) Frigid Weather: Since Christmas North America, east of the Rockies, has been very cold. In addition, the Atlantic Seaboard experienced an intense Nor’easter that brought rain, ice, and snow from Georgia…

Modeling human behavior in response to climate alarmism yields a ‘rational basis for hope’

From the NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR MATHEMATICAL AND BIOLOGICAL SYNTHESIS (NIMBIOS) and the “herding cats is easier” department comes this inane suggestion demonstrating the “importance of factoring human behavior into models of climate change”. Amazingly, their humanized climate model predicts a temperature 3.4 to 6.2°C by 2100, which renders the Paris Climate Accord limit of 2°C completely…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #297

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project Quote of the Week. “Nullius in verba” – “Nobody’s word is final.” Motto of the Royal Society, Freeman Dyson Number of the Week: 54 Hoover Dams THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) Warming and Cooling? S. Fred Singer, our…

Cutting edge statistics for climate

From the AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION. You have to love the title of the publication “CHANCE”. Special issue of Chance explores complexities of global climate change models that prove existence of climate change, project future events and impact on mortality, economy ALEXANDRIA, Va. (Dec. 21, 2017) – Projecting the future of extreme weather events and their impact…

At #AGU17, in an attempt to prove ‘climate change creates more severe weather’, scientists resort to ‘p-hacking’

From the “If your experiment needs statistics, you ought to have done a better experiment.- Ernest Rutherford” department. From the American Meteorological Society via press release: AMS TO RELEASE REPORT EXPLAINING EXTREME EVENTS OF 2016 New research links notable weather and climate events to human influence The American Meteorological Society is releasing the strongest evidence yet that…

ExxonMobil caves to climate activists

by Mike Bastasch Oil giant ExxonMobil has capitulated to activist shareholders and will begin issuing detailed reports on potential risks “climate change policies” pose to its business operations. “These enhancements will include energy demand sensitivities, implications of two degree Celsius scenarios, and positioning for a lower-carbon future,” Exxon wrote in a federal regulatory filing submitted Monday night.…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #295

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project   THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President UN – Protection of Four Freedoms: On December 10, 1948, the three-year old-UN adopted its Universal Declaration of Human Rights. Among others, Eleanor Roosevelt lobbied heavily for this declaration, invoking what was called the Four Freedoms.…

Claim: Adding Fudge Factors Makes Climate Models Scarier

Guest essay by Eric Worrall h/t Willie Soon – Climate models do a poor job of reproducing observed climate. But climate scientists seem to think they can produce more accurate projections by adding fudge factors to their models, to force better agreement between models and observations. The most accurate climate change models predict the most…

Another climate feedback found: ‘cooling effect of natural atmospheric particles is greater during warmer years’

  From the University of Leeds and the “settled science” department, comes this new idea that combines measurements with a model. Understanding the climate impact of natural atmospheric particles An international team of scientists, led by the University of Leeds, has quantified the relationship between natural sources of particles in the atmosphere and climate change.…

A must read: A Veneer of Certainty Stoking Climate Alarm

In Private, Climate Scientists Are Much Less Certain than They Tell the Public By Rupert Darwall* Foreword by Judith Curry, President of the Climate Forecast Applications Network and former Professor and Chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology While the nations of the world met in Bonn…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #291

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President USGCRP Science? As reported in TWTW last week, a search for the current budget of the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) found nothing newer than the requested budget for FY 2017, which ended in September 2017.…

Save the world from climate threats, myths and fears

By Larry Kummer. From the Fabius Maximus website Summary: An eminent European climate scientist discusses climate threats, myths, and fears. All are dangerous. “It is the mark of an educated man to look for precision in each class of things just so far as the nature of the subject admits …” — Aristotle in The…

What You Won’t Find in the New National Climate Assessment

Guest essay by Dr. Pat Michaels Under the U.S. Global Change Research Act of 1990, the federal government has been charged with producing large National Climate Assessments (NCA), and today the most recent iteration has arrived. It is typical of these sorts of documents–much about how the future of mankind is doomed to suffer through increasingly erratic…

Study: A new method to evaluate overall performance of a climate model

From the INSTITUTE OF ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES and the “pyramid schemes” department: A new method to evaluate overall performance of a climate model Many climate-related studies, such as detection and attribution of historical climate change, projections of future climate and environments, and adaptation to future climate change, heavily rely on the performance…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #289

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project Quote of the Week. “The important thing is not to stop questioning. Curiosity has its own reason for existing. One cannot help but be in awe when he contemplates the mysteries of eternity, of life, of the marvelous structure of reality. It is…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #286

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project Quote of the Week. “Do not feel absolutely certain of anything.” – Bertrand Russell, “A Liberal Decalogue” from his autobiography. Number of the Week: 87 Seconds THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Which Science – Empirical? Modern empirical science is a great accomplishment of…

Climate models overheat

Guest essay by Michel de Rougemont Without questioning the observed global warming or the emissions to the atmosphere of infrared-absorbing gases, three central issues remain without properly quantified responses, without which no other climate policy than that of a gradual adaptation can be justified: the sensitivity of the climate to human contributions, the disadvantages and…

Are Climate Models Overstating Warming?

From Climate Etc. by Ross McKitrick A number of authors, including the IPCC, have argued that climate models have systematically overstated the rate of global warming in recent decades. A recent paper by Millar et al. (2017) presented the same finding in a diagram of temperature change versus cumulative carbon emissions since 1870. The horizontal…

“Is Climate ‘Lukewarmism’ Legitimate?”

Guest post by David Middleton A very thoughtful column by Ross Pomeroy at Real Clear Science… Is Climate ‘Lukewarmism’ Legitimate? By Ross Pomeroy September 25, 2017 To many, prominent writers Matt Ridley, Ross Douthat, and Oren Cass are a baffling bunch. They are the visible proponents of the position that climate change is real, manmade, and occurring…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #285

The Week That Was: 2017-09-23 (September 23, 2017) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week. “Long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run, we are all dead.”— John Maynard Keynes, the British Economist who earlier predicted that the extreme punitive…

2014 HGS Presentation: “Climate Change: Facts and Fictions”

Guest post by David Middleton Dr. Rusty Riese’s May 2014 presentation to the Houston Geological Society… Speaker:  W.C. Rusty Riese Adjunct Professor, Rice University Climate Change: Facts and Fictions The past several years have seen several opinion pieces regarding climate change appear in the pages of many publications, both scientific and secular.  Although both sides…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #284

The Week That Was: 2017-09-18 (September 18, 2017) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week. “It is very obvious that we are not influenced by ‘facts’ but by our interpretation of the facts.”— Alfred Adler, Austrian medical doctor, psychotherapist, and founder of the school of…