Do Climate Projections Have Any Physical Meaning?

Guest essay by Pat Frank This essay expands on a point made in a previous post here at WUWT, that climate models do not produce a unique solution to the energy state of the climate. Unique solutions are the source of physical meaning in science, and make a physical theory both predictive and falsifiable. Predictive…

More on Curry’s climate model study saying they are ‘not useful as projections for how the 21st century will actually evolve.’

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin The new climate model study by Dr. Curry addressed in the February 21 WUWT article provides some very powerful conclusions regarding the unsuitability of using climate models for purposes of projecting future global climate behavior. In the Executive Summary of this study Dr. Curry delivers the bottom line on the…

Madness: climate ‘projections’ can now be used as evidence to list endangered species

From the Center for Biological Diversity and the “data, we don’t need no steekin data!” department: Appeals Court Reinstates Endangered Species Act Protections for Bearded Seals Judges Cite Loss of Sea Ice, Predictions by ‘Overwhelming Majority of World’s Climate Scientists’ ANCHORAGE, Alaska— A federal appeals court today upheld the National Marine Fisheries Service’s decision to protect…

Study: Climate Models Need More Historical Fudge Factors

Guest essay by Eric Worrall The researchers claim adding historical data derived fudge factors to correct the discrepancy between climate models and historical observations, producing a Frankenmodel mix of fudge factors and defective physics, will make climate predictions more reliable. New approach to global-warming projections could make regional estimates more precise Computer models found to…

A look at the workings of ‘Climate Propaganda Inc.’

By Larry Kummer. From the Fabius Maximus website. Summary: Left and Right in America are in thrall to propaganda. Here is the latest in climate doomsterism. This shows how it turns science into propaganda. It does not explain why we love these stories. It does not explain how we can regain our skepticism and desire…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #313

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President Where’s the Theory? Last week’s TWTW discussed the report by the National Association of Scholars presenting the causes, consequences, and recommendations for reforms in the failure to be able to reproduce studies in the medical profession. The…

Claim: Baby Birds Can’t Cope with Climate Change

All the baby birds will starve unless we change our wicked ways. Climate change leaves birds hungry as chicks hatch too late to eat caterpillars Earlier springs in UK are throwing animals’ natural rhythms into disarray, resulting in population declines Josh Gabbatiss Science Correspondent Monday 23 April 2018 16:15 BST Warmer springs due to climate…

CHALLENGING THE SCIENCE BASIS OF THE PARIS CLIMATE AGREEMENT

Guest essay by Antero Ollila This rather long story is based on the research study be name “Challenging the scientific basis of the Paris climate agreement” published in International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management in April 2018. The Paris Agreement or COP21 (21st Conference of the Parties) into effect on 4th November, 2016.…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #312

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) Which Trends? Last week’s TWTW may have given a wrong impression to some readers. In discussing the estimate by Christy, et al., of the rate of warming of the bulk atmosphere…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #311

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project   THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President Adjusting Data: SEPP Chairman emeritus Fred Singer has an essay in The Hill, a newspaper targeted for Capitol Hill, namely the US legislature. In the essay, Singer recognizes the importance of adjusting data. But, there is…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #310

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President California Litigation, Monckton: Last week’s TWTW discussed on the public nuisance lawsuits by San Francisco and Oakland against oil companies claiming carbon dioxide (CO2)-caused global warming / climate change will cause harm in the future. It focused…

Climate chaos claims continue causing consternation

From the Oakland v. oil company lawsuit to ridiculous “research,” the onslaught never ends Guest essay by Paul Driessen Anyone who thought “manmade climate cataclysm” rhetoric couldn’t possibly exceed Obama era levels should read the complaint filed in the “public nuisance” lawsuit that’s being argued before Federal District Court Judge William Alsup in a California…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #309

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project By Ken Haapala, President   California Litigation, General: The public nuisance lawsuits by San Francisco and Oakland against oil companies continue to attract attention by those interested in carbon dioxide (CO2)-caused global warming. Global warming is now generalized into climate change, as promoted…

The Climate Dictionary

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I see that there is some confusion over terminology in the climate field. In response, I’ve put together a list of common terms, along with what far too often they mean in climate science. So without further ado, here’s my climate dictionary. TERM               …

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #307

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President. Bureaucratic Science Continued: Last week, TWTW discussed the concept Bureaucratic Science which occurs when a government entity, or a similar organization, charged with applying the best science possible, drifts from its purpose and institutes policies and procedures…

Doomsday Climate Scenarios Are a Joke

Climate economic models refuse to consider how society will evolve and adapt.  By Oren Cass One study says world GDP will drop 20% by 2100, but Iceland and Mongolia will be rich beyond imagining. Debates over climate change are filled with dire estimates of its cost. This many trillions of dollars of damage, that large a…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #305

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President Group Think: Author and journalist Christopher Booker has produced an extensive booklet for the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) applying the concept of groupthink to the climate establishment. This is not the first time the concept has…

Something else to worry about: road salt and climate change

Scientists examine link between surface-water salinity, climate change Syracuse University Ph.D. candidate Kristina Gutchess authors paper on impact of road salts on Tioughnioga River watershed The interplay between surface-water salinity and climate change in Central New York is the subject of a recent paper by researchers in Syracuse University’s College of Arts and Sciences.  …

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #303

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project   Quote of the Week.“Akin to, and largely responsible for the sweeping changes in our industrial-military posture, has been the technological revolution during recent decades. “In this revolution, research has become central, it also becomes more formalized, complex, and costly. A steadily increasing…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #301

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) Skepticism: In an essay titled “Be Skeptical of Those Who Treat Science as an Ideology” appearing in the Wall Street Journal, Dr. Sue Desmond-Hellmann discusses the difference between anti-science and skepticism,…

Claim: Climate sensitivity narrowed to 2.8°C

From the University of Exeter, comes this statistical prediction that doesn’t seem to be getting a lot of press, and rightly so. Read on. Future Climate Change Revealed by Current Climate Variations Uncertainty surrounding the extent of future climate change could be dramatically reduced by studying year-on-year global temperature fluctuations, new research has shown. A…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #299

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project   Quote of the Week. All things are poison and nothing is without poison; only the dose makes a thing not a poison.” — Paracelsus, Swiss physician and chemist. Number of the Week: More than 77% THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and…

‘The 97% climate consensus’ starts to crumble with 485 new papers in 2017 that question it

by THOMAS D. WILLIAMS, PH.D.10 Jan 20183,113 From Breitbart and No Tricks Zone: A broad survey of climate change literature for 2017 reveals that the alleged “consensus” behind the dangers of anthropogenic global warming is not nearly as settled among climate scientists as people imagine. Author Kenneth Richard found that during the course of the year 2017, at…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #298

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) Frigid Weather: Since Christmas North America, east of the Rockies, has been very cold. In addition, the Atlantic Seaboard experienced an intense Nor’easter that brought rain, ice, and snow from Georgia…

Modeling human behavior in response to climate alarmism yields a ‘rational basis for hope’

From the NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR MATHEMATICAL AND BIOLOGICAL SYNTHESIS (NIMBIOS) and the “herding cats is easier” department comes this inane suggestion demonstrating the “importance of factoring human behavior into models of climate change”. Amazingly, their humanized climate model predicts a temperature 3.4 to 6.2°C by 2100, which renders the Paris Climate Accord limit of 2°C completely…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #297

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project Quote of the Week. “Nullius in verba” – “Nobody’s word is final.” Motto of the Royal Society, Freeman Dyson Number of the Week: 54 Hoover Dams THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) Warming and Cooling? S. Fred Singer, our…

Cutting edge statistics for climate

From the AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION. You have to love the title of the publication “CHANCE”. Special issue of Chance explores complexities of global climate change models that prove existence of climate change, project future events and impact on mortality, economy ALEXANDRIA, Va. (Dec. 21, 2017) – Projecting the future of extreme weather events and their impact…

At #AGU17, in an attempt to prove ‘climate change creates more severe weather’, scientists resort to ‘p-hacking’

From the “If your experiment needs statistics, you ought to have done a better experiment.- Ernest Rutherford” department. From the American Meteorological Society via press release: AMS TO RELEASE REPORT EXPLAINING EXTREME EVENTS OF 2016 New research links notable weather and climate events to human influence The American Meteorological Society is releasing the strongest evidence yet that…

ExxonMobil caves to climate activists

by Mike Bastasch Oil giant ExxonMobil has capitulated to activist shareholders and will begin issuing detailed reports on potential risks “climate change policies” pose to its business operations. “These enhancements will include energy demand sensitivities, implications of two degree Celsius scenarios, and positioning for a lower-carbon future,” Exxon wrote in a federal regulatory filing submitted Monday night.…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #295

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project   THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President UN – Protection of Four Freedoms: On December 10, 1948, the three-year old-UN adopted its Universal Declaration of Human Rights. Among others, Eleanor Roosevelt lobbied heavily for this declaration, invoking what was called the Four Freedoms.…

Claim: Adding Fudge Factors Makes Climate Models Scarier

Guest essay by Eric Worrall h/t Willie Soon – Climate models do a poor job of reproducing observed climate. But climate scientists seem to think they can produce more accurate projections by adding fudge factors to their models, to force better agreement between models and observations. The most accurate climate change models predict the most…