New findings from the Neotropics suggest contraction of the ITCZ

Another “what if”, and then …and we can tell you what will happen. B.S. Meter at full tilt here.

“In the last five years there have been mass migrations of people in Guatemala and Honduras – partially driven by political instability, but also driven by drought-related conditions and changes in seasonality.”
“Partially driven by political instability…..” Partially? Really???

Stable and citizen beneficial governments act to ameliorate the damage to public infrastructure and citizens real property caused by adverse weather events. You don’t see mass migrations from countries with stable and citizen beneficial governments.

Conversely, Guatemala and Honduras are characterized by civil war, corruption, disease, and political persecutions. Pretending ‘Climate Change’ has anything to do with their problems is ludicrous.

In the last five years there have been mass migrations of people in Guatemala and Honduras – partially driven by political instability, but also driven by drought-related conditions and changes in seasonality.

Here we have the intersection between Climate Change and Political Change.
What are the metrics? Where are the error bars?
This is science?

From the article: “Research by an international team of scientists led by University of New Mexico Professor Yemane Asmerom suggests contraction of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) during a warming Earth, leading in turn to drying of the Neotropics, including Central America, and aggravating current trends of social unrest and mass migration.”

“Including Central America”, huh. That’s funny. The next thing you know these scientists are going to try to blame the thousands of illegal aliens trying to enter the U.S. on CAGW. I have a feeling that’s what they are building up to. I’ll continue reading.

Build that Wall! Build that Wall! 🙂

From the article: “The behavior of the ITCZ in response to the warming of the Earth is of vital scientific and societal interest.”

Well, in that case, these scientists should go study what the ITCZ was doing during the hot 1930’s.

Hansen said that 1934 was 0.5C hotter than 1998, which makes 1934 0.4C hotter than 2016. The year 1934 was at the so-called “IPCC tipping point” of 1.5C above the global average from 1850 to the present. The globe is about 0.8C cooler today than in 1934.

Yet there was no tipping point in 1934, although the weather was severe all around the globe. But we recovered and are doing just fine today. So what was the ITCZ doing during the time of the warm 1930’s?

Oh, that’s right, you scientists have been hypnotized by that fraudulent, Modern-era Hockey Stick surface temperature chart so you don’t know that the 1930’s were a very hot period, do you.

That would make sense since the fraudulent Hockey Stick turned the 1930’s into an insignificant time period. You see, the Climategate Charlatans and their spawn couldn’t promote the CAGW Lie without erasing the warmth of the 1930’s. So they did.

It might be worth checking out what the ITCZ was doing during that 1930’s timeframe, just the same, if you want to study a time that was 1.5C warmer than the global average from 1850 to the present, including warmer than all of the 21st century.

Here’s the fraudulent, Modern-era “hotter and hotter” Hockey Stick chart. Note the position of 1934 and 1998 on the chart. Both of those years should be shown to be just as warm as 2016, the so-called “hottest year evah!”. You could draw a straight line connecting all three dates, 1934, 1998, and 2016, and that would represent the true temperature profile of the globe. Actually, we are in a slight downtrend in temperatures from the 1930’s.

All regional Tmax charts from both hemispheres show that the 1930’s were just as warm as today, yet we are plagued with this bogus, fraudulent Hockey Stick chart that has fooled millions of people into believing it actually is getting hotter and hotter and hotter. But nothing could be further from the truth. The Tmax charts tell the tale.

Here’s the UAH satellite global temperature chart. Look at 1998. You will see that it shows to be just one-tenth of a degree cooler than 2016, the “Hottest year evah!”, and both dates temperatures are within the margin of error so they could be tied for the “hottest year evah”, except we know from Hansen that 1934 was even warmer.

Does the UAH chart downgrade 1998? No, it doesn’t. It looks nothing like the fraudulent Hockey Stick chart, does it.

The UAH chart is the only one you can trust. All the rest have been manipulated for political reasons to make it appear as though the Earth is at the hottest point in human history.

UAH satellite chart:

http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_January_2020_v6.jpg

I saw Australia’s Turnbull on the 60 Minutes show tonight. He’s a real piece of work. He wants to blame the skeptics for everything.

Say what???
I thought settled science had already concluded that the Medieval Warm Period only impacted Europe.

“Stable isotopic data obtained at Durham University, and trace element data and a precise uranium-series chronology, with an average 7 year uncertainty, obtained at the University of New Mexico, provided us with a nearly bi-monthly record of past climate variability between 400 CE to 2006.”

This might be some very useful data. I wonder if anyone has graphed it.

I lived in Kenya for 7 yrs during which time the United Nations Environment Programme (Nairobi) did an intensive study there (late ’90s) showing how removal of tree cover in tropical zones causes a multiplier effect of aridification, and thus changes in local and regional climactic conditions: reduced cloud formation so less moisture; rapid soil erosion; loss of fertility; loss of forest watercourses otherwise created continually by deep-rooted tropical species breaking into underground water sources; denuded land made vulnerable to storm and landslides and top soil loss. Add to this: multinational monoculture agriculture using water resources on an industrial scale (flower farming especially etc) AND impoverished smallholder farming methods AND the rural population using mainly wood for cooking and heating AND a multitude of small charcoal making businesses destroying the bush AND poor governance = an unholy downward spiral to mass poverty and climate degradation and migration. And all actually man-made. Much can be fixed too – where there’s a will. E.g. World Bank-China’s massive Loess Plateau regeneration scheme
https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2007/03/15/restoring-chinas-loess-plateau