Climate Fact-Check July 2023 Edition

Reposted from ClimateREALISM

By Steve Milloy

Guest Post by: The Competitive Enterprise Institute, The Heartland Institute, the Energy & Environmental Legal Institute, the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow, and the International Climate Science Coalition, and Truth in Energy and Climate.

Editor’s note: This summary serves as a fact check on the biggest false claims made in the media in July, 2023. 

The media is calling July 2023 the “hottest month on record” and even the “hottest month in the history of civilization.” Keeping in mind that July is typically the warmest month of every year, NASA satellite data indicate that July 2023 was the warmest July in the satellite record. But that record only dates back to 1979 and there certainly were Julys before 1979.

In terms of monthly temperature anomalies (temperature differences relative to a common baseline used to evaluate the notion of emissions-driven “global warming”), February 2016 had a greater anomaly than July 2023. March 2016 had the same anomaly and April 1998 was only an unmeasurable 0.02°C lower (see graph, below, and data). So February-March 2016 and April 1998 are not really endorsements of the hypothesis that every emission warms the planet.

Recalling that average global temperature is on the order of 58°F, use of the term “hottest” is obviously quite an exaggeration. Finally, the notion of “average global temperature” is not really meaningful in the first place. It has no physical reality, and its component satellite and surface station temperature measurements lack precision to a significant degree.

Notwithstanding the above, was July 2023 the “hottest month in the history of civilization”? We will address that after you check out the 10 climate fact checks for July 2023 presented below.

Links: The Washington Post articleClimate ReanalyzerTemperature.global data.

Links: Climate ReanalyzerClimate Realism postTemperature.global dataAssociated Press article.

Links: The New York Times articleMet OfficeClimate Realism post.

Links: Associated Press articleArizona State Climate Twitter post.

Links: The Washington Post article, Real Climate Science post.

Links: The Washington Post article.

Links: Associated Press articleFort Myers News-Press article.

Links: USA Today articleThe Lancet Planetary HealthClimate Realism post.

Links: The Washington Post article.

Links: The Washington Post article.

So was July 2023 the “hottest month in the history of civilization”? Consider the following.

July’s warm temperature was skewed by the strong, short-term spike in Antarctic temperatures highlighted below. Such a short-term pike in temperatures is not indicative of a long-term climate trend, but rather anomalous, localized factors.

That heat wave was only detected and factored into average global temperature because of satellite coverage of the globe. But satellite coverage didn’t begin until 1979. So similar heat waves that may have occurred before 1979 would be unknown and not factored into average global temperature calculations. So it is not possible to claim that July 2023 was the “hottest month in the history of civilization” because such data does not exist.

Finally, it is important to recall that the basis of climate alarm is that emissions of greenhouse gases drive global warming. We believe recent warming has been driven by the series of El Nino events since 1980, not emissions. July’s warm temperatures do not alter this view as, in fact, a new El Nino seems to have started.

Until next month…

Reposted from JunkScience.com, to read the original PDF, click here.

Steve Milloy

https://junkscience.com/

Steve Milloy is a recognized leader in the fight against junk science with more than 25 years of accomplishment and experience. He is the founder of JunkScience.com and a policy advisor to The Heartland Institute.

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AlanJ
August 11, 2023 6:23 am

A lot of blathering to try and skirt the reality. July is the hottest month globally, and this July was the hottest July recorded. Therefore this July was the hottest month we have recorded. It’s not complicated.

The only part of this drivel I agree with is that we shouldn’t look at a single record warm month as proof of a long term change in the global climate. We should be looking at the long term trends, and the long term trend is unambiguous.

Nelson
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 6:45 am

Define “long Term” The Earth has clearly cooled since 5k years ago.

AlanJ
Reply to  Nelson
August 11, 2023 7:59 am

“Long term” is a change occurring outside of the typical range of internal (unforced) variability – so decades to centuries.

MarkW
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 8:34 am

How do you define typical? If you consider typical to be the average of the last 12000 years, then current temperatures are down right chilly

AlanJ
Reply to  MarkW
August 11, 2023 9:02 am

Typical scales of internal variability are on the order of a few decades at most. This is why scientists usually use 30+ years to define climate change.

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:21 pm

Do you have any scientific evidence that the slight warming out of the coldest period in 10,000 years is anything but totally beneficial, and totally natural?

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:22 pm

Similar temperature were experienced around the world in the 1930s and 1940s.

AMO cycle is some 60-80 years,

TheFinalNail
Reply to  bnice2000
August 11, 2023 4:12 pm

Similar temperature were experienced around the world in the 1930s and 1940s.

No they weren’t. The 30s and 40s were nowhere near as warm as they are now globally. This has been demonstrated to you many times here; so now I guess you are just gaslighting (pardon the pun).

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 6:20 pm

Yes, they were in basically every bit of untainted data.

GISS DELIBERATELY got rid of the 1930s,40s peak through mal-adjustment. They even announce that they were doing it.

Tantamount to deliberate fraud.

Pointless posting the many charts to prove that, again, since your deliberate ignorance and AGW tunnel-blindmess will not allow you to see them.

leefor
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 8:14 pm

Nope. That is not the reason. The reason was because the WMO reckoned they had 30 years of good data.

“The 30-year period of reference was set as a standard mainly because only 30 years of data were available for summarization when the recommendation was first made.”

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/normals/WMO/Guidelines%20for%20the%20Calculation%20of%20Climate%20Normals.WMO%20No1203_en.pdf

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:17 pm

So you care comparing to the LIA, the COLDEST period in 10,000 years.

That is pretty STUPID thing to do, isn’t it !

And no, the current temperature is WELL WITHIN NATURAL VARIABILITY.

Apart from urban heating, jet engine sites, air-conditioner outlets , brick and metal walls, mal-adjustments etc etc etc…

…. there is no evidence that the current “slightly warm” period is anything but a recovery from the LIA.

Energywise
Reply to  Nelson
August 11, 2023 12:04 pm

It makes me laugh how the alarmists cherry pick specific dates or have to tweak data to make it fit the narrative – that’s not science, it’s fraud

William Howard
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 7:03 am

so what – a mini ice age ended about 1850 & the earth, thankfully, has been warming since – what is unambiguous is that the amount of CO2 from man’s industrial & transportation, which has raised the standard of living for billions of people, and which comprises an insignificant amount of the composition of the atmosphere (something like 1 one hundredth of 1%) is utterly irrelevant to changes in the earth’s temperature or its climate

Ron Long
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 7:37 am

AlanJ, for Geologists, especially regarding Sequence Stratigraphy, wherein EXXON recognized the first order stratigraphy control world-wide was sea level, and that sea level has cycled through 40 meters higher than today and 140 meters lower than today, your view is a trivial time-slice, and leads you to false conclusions.

AlanJ
Reply to  Ron Long
August 11, 2023 7:52 am

“Things that happen rapidly do not matter” may be the goofiest take I’ve heard this week.

MarkW
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 8:35 am

Where is you evidence that anything is happening more rapidly?

AlanJ
Reply to  MarkW
August 11, 2023 9:05 am

The last ice age was about 6 degrees colder than present. It took about 12,000 years to warm up to the Holocene maximum, so about 1 degree per 2000 years. The glaciation took about 10x longer. We’ve warmed by >1 degree in about 150 years. I would classify that as rapid.

Richard Page
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 9:32 am

You just got the time wrong by a factor of about 10. The end of the last glaciation was around 10-11, 000 years ago so, by your reckoning we should be hitting the holocene climactic optimum in the next thousand years or so! Monumentally moronic!
The hottest part of the Holocene climactic optimum was about 6-9,000 years ago whilst it started immediately after the last glaciation so less than 2,000 (probably 1,500) years to go from glacial temperatures to the hottest temperatures of this interglacial.

AlanJ
Reply to  Richard Page
August 11, 2023 10:16 am

We have been in the Holocene interglacial for the past 12 or so thousand years, not a deglaciation. The last deglaciation began around 21kyr ago at the LGM. Perhaps you would be better served studying some climate history instead of arguing with people online about things you don’t have a strong grasp of.

Matt G
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 12:03 pm

The last deglaciation ocurred after the Younger Dryas about 11,600 years ago.

comment image

AlanJ
Reply to  Matt G
August 12, 2023 5:50 pm

That of course is not correct:

comment image

So I’m interested to know if you’re merely ignorant or intentionally lying.

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:26 pm

We have been in the Holocene interglacial for the past 12 or so thousand years”

Yep and nearly ALL of that was warmer than now.

You mindless point is .. what ???

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:29 pm

And the planet has been in the NEOglaciation period for most of the last 3000 or more years, as the temperature dropped down to the LIA.

Yes there has been some very beneficial warming since the LIA.. thank goodness.

Did you know that glacial retreat is uncovering trees from the MWP.

How much warmer it must have been for them to grow then.

Or do you think trees grow under glaciers.

Richard Page
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 2:10 pm

Sorry but just no. I think my post is more accurate than the silliness you posted.
FYI – deglaciation started just before the beginning of this interglacial and it is an ongoing process – if the ice cores from the Greenland ‘bowl’ are an indication then there has not been a complete deglaciation in the last 2 interglacial periods.

John Power
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 11:18 am

‘ “Things that happen rapidly do not matter” may be the goofiest take I’ve heard this week.’
 
I don’t think that is what Ron said or implied, Alan. I don’t see anything ‘goofy’ in what he did say either.
 
But on a scale of goofiness, where would you rank UN ‘Chief’ Antonio Guterres’ recent ex-cathedra declaration that “The era of global warming has ended; the era of global boiling has arrived.”?
 
I would have to locate it at the far-extreme end of the range in the positive direction, because it is just about the most asinine statement of contrafactual unreality that I have ever seen or heard anyone make with a straight face outside of a mental asylum. Is there even any mere region of the planet’s surface – let alone the whole global surface – that is actually boiling, other than in a geothermal hot spring, I mean? The man must be a raving lunatic if he honestly believes that there is.

Energywise
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 12:08 pm

Is that a J in AlanJ, or Manns hockey stick?

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:25 pm

You aren’t really going to try to blame humans for the SUDDEN rise in Antarctic temperature, are you.

I really want to see the fakery behind that non-science. 😉

Alarmists are such predictably stupid things.

cosmicwxdude
Reply to  Ron Long
August 11, 2023 8:03 am

Naive = Alan J and all of the Alarmists. Scientific Ignorance and naivety.

MarkW
Reply to  cosmicwxdude
August 11, 2023 8:36 am

Perhaps we can set up a go-fund me site so that WUWT can afford more professional trolls?

cosmicwxdude
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 7:58 am

since 1979, but a few 1/100ths… Good lord, give it up and enjoy life for once.

MarkW
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 8:32 am

I love the way you completely ignore the arguments made, and just declare them to be “blather’.

Better than thinking for yourself I guess.

The whole point is that the claim that July was the hottest recorded was because of models, not actual data. It also ignored many other factors that influence temperature.

AlanJ
Reply to  MarkW
August 11, 2023 9:08 am

The claim of July being the warmest month recorded is based on satellite data from UAH, not climate reanalysis. Perhaps you shouldn’t have ignored the arguments being made in the post.

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 2:22 pm

Not according to the anomalies.

2016 was warmer..

Remember, this a “global” temperature, and most of the warming was around the Antarctic.

So using the NH summer as a straw to clutch onto, is pretty stupid. !

Warmest anomaly in the NH was a lot higher than now.

TheFinalNail
Reply to  bnice2000
August 11, 2023 3:10 pm

Not according to the anomalies.

2016 was warmer..

How many times, o lord…?

The 2016 anomalies occurred in February, March and April. Globally these are much cooler months than July.

Dr Spencer specifically states this in his monthly update.

Since the satellite record began in 1979, July 2023 was:

warmest July on record (global average)

warmest absolute temperature (since July is climatologically the warmest month)…

What do you not understand about this?

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 6:25 pm

Suddenly anomalies don’t matter

Suddenly Antarctic heat is in the NH

What don’t you understand about not using Antarctic temps to say the NH was warm ????

Now , where is your evidence that Antarctic warming (wrongly attributed to the NH summer) …

.. has any human causation.

Still running around like a headless chook, I see.

Matt G
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 9:46 am

“A lot of blathering to try and skirt the reality. July is the hottest month globally, and this July was the hottest July recorded. Therefore this July was the hottest month we have recorded. It’s not complicated.”

Why do you misrepresent the english Language?

The claim was the warmest recent days in July over the last 120,000 years not during the satellite era.

It is correct on the article and not only that, the resolution of temperature proxies are significantly lower than a month, week or a day.

For example the graph below represents the same data with a resolution of 12 months compared with one month.

https://www.woodfortrees.org/graph/uah6-land/from:2021/to:2022/plot/uah6/mean:12/from:2021/to:2022

The hot month is not shown because the resolution is too low. Therefore it is not possible to compare short periods with proxy temperatures thousands of years ago.

AlanJ
Reply to  Matt G
August 11, 2023 10:27 am

July was the hottest month we have recorded, that is the claim being made. It is accurate. You’re trying, like Milloy, to equivocate, saying, “well there could be a hotter month that we didn’t record.” Of course that’s hypothetically true, but we only compare the months we did record, not hypothetical months we didn’t record. That’s how records work.

And, again, I don’t think the record is climatologically all that important – these records are stark, but they are just symptoms of the ongoing long term warming trend. This won’t be the hottest month of the next 10 years. The trend is the thing, and it persists.

Matt G
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 10:40 am

“July was the hottest month we have recorded, that is the claim being made. It is accurate.”

That is not what the claim was being made, sorry you don’t understand english.

A clue below.

“hottest July day in 120,000 years?” was the headline and discussed about in the article.

The hottest month recorded in July doesn’t support this claim.

“This won’t be the hottest month of the next 10 years. The trend is the thing, and it persists.”

It might not be, but with a pause of 8+ years on a regular bases, it will only warm slowly.

AlanJ
Reply to  Matt G
August 11, 2023 10:51 am

The article begins with the words, “The media is calling July 2023 the “hottest month on record”.” That is what I am responding to. I suggest you go and actually read the words of the article you are trying to argue with me about.

Matt G
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 10:58 am

“The media is calling July 2023 the “hottest month on record” and even the “hottest month in the history of civilization.” Keeping in mind that July is typically the warmest month of every year, NASA satellite data indicate that July 2023 was the warmest July in the satellite record. But that record only dates back to 1979 and there certainly were Julys before 1979.”

So you have cherry picked the first part of the paragraph and excluded the rest.

They was already agreement that the hottest month was recorded since 1979.

AlanJ
Reply to  Matt G
August 11, 2023 11:20 am

My point is that Milloy is blathering – he can’t escape the simple fact that July is the hottest month on record, so he tries to sweep it under the rug with a bunch of hot air, equivocation, and misdirection. “But but but but!” The media is completely correct to call July the hottest month on record, because it was.

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:38 pm

Point is that YOU are the one blathering mindlessly

You are trying to sweep the last 10,000 years of warmer climate under the rug.

Anomalies say, NO, July wasn’t the hottest month recorded

Get over it !

And using the MSM as anything but alarmist crap.. makes you look pretty dumb.

TheFinalNail
Reply to  bnice2000
August 11, 2023 3:27 pm

Anomalies say, NO, July wasn’t the hottest month recorded

You really don’t get it, do you? You really don’t understand how monthly anomalies work.

Once again, in case there is someone reading this who actually does have the capacity to comprehend this simple concept, a monthly temperature anomaly is just the difference from a long-term (typically 30-year) average.

Each value shows the difference for that month and that month only from the long term average.

You will be aware that each month has a different absolute temperature. Some months are warmer than others, globally. July happens to be the warmest month globally, once both northern and southern hemisphere temperatures are averaged.

So when we have the warmest/hottest July in a global temperature record, then that will also be the warmest temperature record for any month in absolute terms.

This is what has happened in July 2023. Even Roy Spencer of UAH, hardly a ‘warmist’ scientist, states plainly, and to his credit, in his monthly update that July 2023 was the warmest month ever recorded in his data set.

It’s that simple. Nicey doesn’t get it, though.

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 4:19 pm

I get that you are a low-IQ nutter, incapable of basic understanding of anything.

Yes, Roy using the Antarctic to say the NH is warmest ever was not very clever. Wouldn’t you agree.

Where is the evidence of human causation of the only major hot-spots in the Antarctic and in the Arctic?

Why are you SO PETRIFIED of a tiny amount of warming out of the coldest period in 10,000 years?

leefor
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 8:21 pm

Do you know the difference between intensive and extensive properties?

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:32 pm

The record period is only 45 years

Temperature was probably similar around the 1930s, 40s..

but we will never know because the data has been completely corrupted by the AGW agenda scammers and fraudsters.

Certainly most of the last 10,000 years has been warmer than now.

There is no evidence that the slight warming out of the LIA has anything BUT natural causation.

Matt G
Reply to  Matt G
August 11, 2023 12:50 pm

“For example the graph below represents the same data with a resolution of 12 months compared with one month.

https://www.woodfortrees.org/graph/uah6-land/from:2021/to:2022/plot/uah6/mean:12/from:2021/to:2022

The hot month is not shown because the resolution is too low. Therefore it is not possible to compare short periods with proxy temperatures thousands of years ago.”

Sorry, I accidentally selected the wrong data for one of them, but still shows the same thing.

https://www.woodfortrees.org/graph/uah6/from:2021/to:2022/plot/uah6/mean:12/from:2021/to:2022

or

https://www.woodfortrees.org/graph/uah6-land/from:2021/to:2022/plot/uah6-land/mean:12/from:2021/to:2022

Sunsettommy
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 9:47 am

HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW,

meanwhile, you ignore the STUPID hyperbolic posts published by the Washington Post where they try hard to scare warmist/alarmists like you and they have succeeded because you are being easily mislead by a day-old weather event when originally it was supposed to be a 30 year trend before getting worried now it has become the hottest month on record and scream over it then recently into a single hot day on record and scream over it.

Will it become a 6-hour heat record next to scream over….?

The progression from 30 years to a single day is indicative on how stupid warmists/alarmists have become over the years being so easily mislead by the media, politicians and a few dishonest scientists.

No one here disputed the warming trend we have seen experiencing since the late 1970’s thus your mendacious comments are stupid and boring warmist/alarmists constantly imply climate realists deny the warming trend which is a common lie people like YOU promote everyone here knows it has been warming since the end of the LIA.

The real issue is how much of the warming is caused by CO2 and how much is caused by natural weather and climate cycling.

AlanJ
Reply to  Sunsettommy
August 11, 2023 10:56 am

The progression from 30 years to a single day

There has been no “progression” from talking about the long term trend to talking about single days. Scientists have and continue to talk about the importance of the long term trend. New heat records are stark and interesting, and so tend to get media attention, but what matters is that the long term trend is progressing unabated and will continue to do so. Climate records will become more and more commonplace.

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:40 pm

Climate records will become more and more commonplace.”

LOL.. so your crystal balls say so do they . 😉

Any evidence that the warming out of the coldest period in 10,000 years is anything but totally natural ?

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 2:29 pm

the importance of the long term trend.”

In UAH data, Apart from El Ninos… there is basically NO WARMING

Is that what you mean ?

So in UAH the long term trend is ZERO with 2 steps at El Nino Events.

There is absolutely no evidence of human causation of the slight warming in the UAH data.

Sunsettommy
Reply to  AlanJ
August 12, 2023 9:08 am

Now you are lying because you are doing it right here in the thread, which is why I brough it up and it is written that way elsewhere too because you are a science illiterate who falls for every misleading media claims you can’t see with your own eyes.

No one is disputing a warming trend since 1979 a fact you need to accept otherwise you will continue to pretend that many here deny warming.

Then you admit that most of the warming is natural, and we are surviving it well as the world population continues to increase and the food supply continues to increase with it.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 11:26 am

“A lot of blathering to try and skirt the reality. July is the hottest month globally, and this July was the hottest July recorded.”

Not in my neck of the woods. It was a fairly normal summer here, and it definitely was not the hottest July we have ever had. Not even close.

AlanJ
Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 11, 2023 11:33 am

Well your back yard is exactly representative of the whole entire planet so if you didn’t see it then it didn’t happen.

TheFinalNail
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 12:19 pm

Amazing how often the ‘it wasn’t warm where I live’ argument is used here to dismiss global temperature records.

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 2:35 pm

Amazing how stupid alarmist pick single day or month warm spikes and El Ninos to dismiss the basically zero trend in most UAH data.

You do know the planet is only a degree or so warmer than the coldest period in 10,000 years, don’t you.

Be very happy about that slight warming

You should be hoping it doesn’t start cooling, instead of going into a manic hysterical panic about a fraction of a degree of natural warming.

You still haven’t explained how humans caused the warming spike in the Antarctic….

…. you just keep using a child-like cop-out, as I’m sure you will again.

TheFinalNail
Reply to  bnice2000
August 11, 2023 3:36 pm

If I reply to you using child-like language it’s because I’m trying to engage with you on a level that you might better comprehend. Even then I’m not hopeful.

Do you understand yet that the highest monthly temperature anomaly doesn’t necessarily mean the highest absolute monthly temperature? Even when the guy who publishes the data specifically states that July 2023 was the highest absolute monthly temperature record he has ever published?

You don’t, do you?

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 4:15 pm

As I said,, a child-like cop-out. No rational thought of your own.

Not the highest anomaly, Just a large anomaly in Antarctica which is being used to say it warmest in the NH.

Now, where’s that evidence of any human causation of warm spikes in the Antarctic, and near the North pole?

Or are you going to continue running round like a mindless parrot.

Sunsettommy
Reply to  bnice2000
August 12, 2023 9:22 am

They duck that part all the time because they can’t show a specific CO2 warming effect in it which is why they focus on heatwaves and records so much while they totally ignore the numerous cold and snow records of just last winter.

They constantly ignore this post showing there is NO Climate Emergency developing.

Where Is The “Climate Emergency”?

They have to ignore it since it can’t be rationally addressed in detail.

Sunsettommy
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 12, 2023 9:13 am

Amazing that the two of you place a grotesquely exaggerated importance of a single global temperature number now that is a clear sign that you two are utter morons since there are large areas of the world that doesn’t have any unusual summer weather such as my area which has been ordinary and cooler regions scattered around the world that a single number doesn’t see.

Cold weather kills far more people than hot weather a fact that has been known for decades.

Energywise
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 12:03 pm

Try reading again AlanJ – you didn’t understand it first time
Trying to invent causation from data from 1979 onwards, is akin to humans trying to fly by flapping their arms – it looks stupid and won’t ever fool anyone

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:16 pm

Yep Alan, all you can do is blather. !

Current global temperature are just a degree or so above the COLDEST they have been in 10,000 years

They are almost certainly below those of the MWP and most of the rest of the Holocene.

bnice2000
Reply to  AlanJ
August 11, 2023 1:54 pm

Re UAH July chart….
 
Notice that all the dark orange places are towards the poles, except the slight one on South America… in winter.

Slightly warm Australian July.. in winter (after 6 months of very average or below.)

No dark orange across the Mediterranean area the alarmists were all yelping about a couple of weeks ago.

The two dark orange spots in the NH, one just below Greenland and one over the Canadian Archipelago… Who is going to be concerned about them ?

The so called warmest month .. a complete nothingburger over most of the planet

UAH Jul23.png
TheFinalNail
Reply to  bnice2000
August 11, 2023 3:44 pm

Slightly warm Australian July..

Yes, warmest July in the UAH record for Oz.

No dark orange across the Mediterranean area the alarmists were all yelping about a couple of weeks ago.

You may need to see your optician.

The so called warmest month .. a complete nothingburger over most of the planet

lol! Even the guys who produced the chart admit it was the warmest month globally that they have ever recorded.

This is getting too funny!

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 4:12 pm

Seems foolish nitwit doesn’t know the difference between light orange and dark orange

Back to kindy for you , little child.

Warmest July in winter after 5 months on ordinary

Australia year-to-date is in 19th place (out of 45)

Apart from one month, it’s been pretty normal

Jan… 31st place
Feb… 24th place
Mar… 9th place
Apr… 17th place
May… 24th place
Jun… 16th place

July, btw, is the middle of winter down here

Nobody is complaining about a single slightly warmer winter month. !

In fact, everybody I know is saying how glorious it has been !

Mostly full-on blue skies, not too windy, very brisk mornings though. Nice days, warm enough to remove the jumper.

Now, what possible idiocy can you dream up to put any human causation on this absolutely glorious weather ?

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  AlanJ
August 12, 2023 5:24 pm

The only blathering is by you

Or maybe twaddle

gdtkona
Reply to  AlanJ
August 14, 2023 5:40 am

Yo, Alan. Sadly, even if you are correct concerning the global warming/climate crisis scenario, you have no solution other than leaving billions in abject poverty while dramatically reducing the standard of living in western countries. Furthermore, the warmest on record only means that it is warmer now than when it was colder I the recent little ice age.
PS: Your use of the word ‘drivel’, a thinly veiled ad hominem comment, clearly tells us that you actually have nothing to say other than to repeat the GW/CC narrative.

strativarius
August 11, 2023 6:59 am

Facts run counter to the narrative

We know what happens to inconvenient truths – they go down the memory hole doubleplusquick

nhasys
August 11, 2023 7:55 am

 
With reference to the Washington post article: “Ocean temperatures are off the charts. Here’s where they’re highest”, indicated above, the following may be of interest:
 
We’re changing the clouds.’ An unintended test of geoengineering is fueling record ocean warmth
‘Pollution cuts have diminished “ship track” clouds, adding to global warming’
 

Richard Page
Reply to  nhasys
August 11, 2023 4:09 pm

Is it me or are there several pieces of contradictory information they’re using in the article?

cosmicwxdude
August 11, 2023 7:56 am

Here in MN the warmer the better. I hear people complain it’s too cold when we have a month 2F to 3F departures from ‘normal’ (sprin/summer for example), yet they are all in on global warming will kill us all in (5, 10, 1 or whatever # of years). As a meteorologist I just roll my eyes at them.

Bellman
August 11, 2023 8:27 am

July’s warm temperature was skewed by the strong, short-term spike in Antarctic temperatures highlighted below.

Yet despite that it still managed to be the warmest July in the UAH data in the Northern Hemisphere and by a long way in the tropics.

strativarius
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 8:49 am

Lol

Count the U.K. out of the global warming nonsense

TheFinalNail
Reply to  strativarius
August 11, 2023 12:35 pm

UK just had its warmest year (2022) and warmest June (2023) on a record that starts in 1884, so…

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 1:46 pm

Cherry picking again hey, Foolish Nitwit.

Sudden have to change to June.. was that urban surface data ?

Why are you so stupid…. is it intentional ?

TheFinalNail
Reply to  bnice2000
August 11, 2023 3:51 pm

Like I said before, if I wasn’t stupid I wouldn’t be wasting my time posting here. What’s your excuse?

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 4:09 pm

You poor little child. !

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 4:22 pm

Someone has to correct your rampant stupidity. !

Redge
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 12, 2023 2:04 am

I downloaded the data from the Met Office and yes, June 2023 was the warmest June on record since temperatures were recorded for the UK as a whole.

The longest temperature set in the world (CET), paints a different picture, however, with June 2023 barely making it into the top 20.

In fact, 2023 is the only year since “global warming” began to make it into the top 20 years – and that’s with UHI and population growth.

Year June
1846 18.2
1676 18.0
1826 17.3
1822 17.1
2023 17.0
1762 16.9
1798 16.9
1976 16.9
1858 16.8
1775 16.6
1726 16.4
1728 16.4
1818 16.4
1940 16.4
1970 16.4
1781 16.2
1896 16.2
1950 16.2
1772 16.1
1785 16.1

Picture2.png
Redge
Reply to  Redge
August 12, 2023 4:08 am

UK June temps since 1884:

2023 21.2
1940 20.5
1976 19.9
2018 19.9
1887 19.8
1970 19.7
1899 19.4
2006 19.4
1893 19.3
1960 19.3
1950 19.1
1992 19.1
2003 19.1
2010 19.1
1889 19.0
1896 19.0
1933 19.0
1957 19.0
2021 18.7
1895 18.6
1930 18.6
1949 18.6
2014 18.6

A big so-what as far as I’m concerned

Picture1.png
Bellman
Reply to  Redge
August 12, 2023 1:31 pm

Yes, June temperatures always seem a bit odd in the CET. I think the point graph makes it clearer. A lot of really warm months during the little ice age, but also a lot of cold ones. Then since this century no cold months, but until this June no really hot ones, and still a long way below 1846.

20230812wuwt1.png
Redge
Reply to  Bellman
August 12, 2023 1:48 pm

Nothing you shouldn’t expect of the recovery from the LIA

For anyone to claim CO2 is the cause of a hot June in the UK, they must first explain why the majority of warm June’s occured prior to the claimed anthropogenic global warming

Bellman
Reply to  Redge
August 12, 2023 2:28 pm

Nearly all the hottest Junes were during the LIA.

Sunsettommy
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 9:35 am

Yawn the hysterical moaning over a slow warming trend never ceases to amaze me.

Bellman
Reply to  Sunsettommy
August 11, 2023 10:26 am

Who’s moaning? All I see here at the moment is article after article making all sorts of effort to claim it’s not as warm as the data suggests, and then people having hysterics everytime someone points out why one of the claims might be misleading.

bnice2000
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 1:48 pm

It is not warm.. nowhere near as warm as most of the last 10,000 years. !

We are lucky to be living in the ..

Modern Slightly Warm Period

Redge
Reply to  bnice2000
August 12, 2023 2:05 am

Modern Slightly Pleasantly Warm Period

Sunsettommy
Reply to  Bellman
August 12, 2023 9:26 am

Yeah, while you COMPLETELY ignore all those record cold and snow records of recent years because that doesn’t support your delusions.

Bellman
Reply to  Sunsettommy
August 12, 2023 2:12 pm

What record cold months am I ignoring? I’m pretty sure if UAH does post a record cold month I will not be ignoring it. But globally the last record cold month was in April 1993.

 Mo Year Anomaly
  1 1989   -0.54
  2 1985   -0.64
  3 1985   -0.59
  4 1993   -0.47
  5 1985   -0.45
  6 1985   -0.48
  7 1985   -0.64
  8 1992   -0.58
  9 1984   -0.67
 10 1985   -0.59
 11 1985   -0.42
 12 1978   -0.48

The same for the Northern Hemisphere

 Mo Year Anomaly
  1 1979   -0.64
  1 1989   -0.64
  2 1986   -0.74
  3 1985   -0.84
  4 1993   -0.68
  5 1992   -0.62
  6 1985   -0.58
  7 1985   -0.80
  8 1992   -0.67
  9 1984   -0.64
 10 1982   -0.61
 11 1982   -0.60
 12 1984   -0.64

The Tropics did have a couple of record cold months in 2008

 Mo Year Anomaly
  1 1989   -0.67
  2 1989   -0.84
  3 1989   -0.84
  4 1985   -0.63
  4 2008   -0.63
  5 1989   -0.65
  5 2008   -0.65
  6 1989   -0.65
  7 1985   -0.99
  8 1985   -0.63
  9 1985   -0.70
 10 1991   -0.61
 11 1992   -0.56
 12 1988   -0.81

And the Southern Hemisphere also had a record cold in May 2008

 Mo Year Anomaly
  1 1993   -0.48
  2 1985   -0.68
  3 1993   -0.53
  4 1981   -0.49
  5 2008   -0.51
  6 1984   -0.45
  6 1999   -0.45
  7 1982   -0.56
  8 1992   -0.49
  9 1984   -0.71
 10 1985   -0.64
 11 1979   -0.50
 12 1978   -0.52

The only region I can see setting cold records was the South Pole in June 2017

 Mo Year Anomaly
  1 2000   -1.44
  2 1985   -1.27
  3 1982   -1.23
  4 1982   -1.09
  5 1989   -1.26
  6 2017   -1.33
  7 2004   -1.51
  8 2010   -1.08
  9 1992   -1.07
 10 1983   -0.84
 11 1983   -1.47
 12 1999   -1.20

Would be interesting to check if anyone pointed out this was skewing the global temperature then.

bnice2000
Reply to  Sunsettommy
August 11, 2023 1:47 pm

Climate hysterics in a deep-seated MENTAL condition.

Not based on any sane or rational thought process.

bnice2000
Reply to  bnice2000
August 11, 2023 2:42 pm

To maintain that hysteria, they have to be in total denial of past temperatures.

In total denial that we are still in a cooler period of the Holocene.

In total denial that the slight warming is NATURAL and BENEFICIAL.

Their whole basis of their hysteria is built around deliberate ignorance.

Energywise
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 12:12 pm

Lol – ask those in Northern Europe who donned umbrellas, coats and wellies

bnice2000
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 1:44 pm

Warmest anomaly in the tropics is 1.15

Cherry-picking one month again hey, bellboy !

Bellman
Reply to  bnice2000
August 11, 2023 4:40 pm

It was Dr Spencer who pointed out it was the warmest July in the tropics by some way. If you think that’s cherry picking take it up with him, or do you need help thinking up a witty nickname for him?

bnice2000
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 6:31 pm

Again, just one month, and not the highest anomaly, by a long shot.

You do know that “the Tropics” is 50/50 NH and SH., don’t you?

So, is it summer or winter in the tropics ?

Or are you ignorant of that , as well.

Now, that proof of human causation….

Proof that this isn’t just part of the natural Modern SLIGHTLY Warm Period.

bnice2000
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 6:32 pm

And you should read what Roy actual said, save making even more of a fool of yourself.

bnice2000
Reply to  bnice2000
August 11, 2023 6:40 pm

Not even the highest anomaly for tropical land either.

Cherry-picking one month in the Tropics lacks logical thought.

Two anomalies higher in 1998

Bellman
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 6:47 pm

Gosh three rambling replies to a comment that was merely pointing out what Dr Spencer had said. Someone is getting very obsessed with me.

Bellman
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 7:00 pm

I’ll repeat my point, as it will get lost in all these straw man attacks. This article claims

July’s warm temperature was skewed by the strong, short-term spike in Antarctic temperatures highlighted below.

My point is that ignoring the antarctic it was still the warmest June in the UAH record in both the Tropics and the rest of the Northern Hemisphere.

bnice2000
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 7:56 pm

June now,

Cherry-pick your month…

Yep ignore the massive warm spot in the Antarctic.. there’s a good little child.

What season is it in the “tropics” at the moment…

… and no NOT the warmest anomaly in the Tropics.. or the NH…

You are wrong again.

Now, where’s that evidence of any human causation of warm spikes in the Antarctic, and near the North pole?

Bellman
Reply to  Bellman
August 12, 2023 3:39 am

Typo, of course that should have been warmest July in the UAH record…

Streetcred
August 11, 2023 9:15 am

Well, I was in Athens on those hot days, dusty hot dry winds must have come from somewhere. BTW, the day after, they arrested 9 people for arson in connection with the fires.

Rossmore
August 11, 2023 9:42 am

Just to add some further facts; here is a graph of the temperatures recorded in central Stockholm the last 120+ years. Source is the City of Stockholm’s website and it covers the period up until 2022. Living in Stockholm I can assure you that 2023 does NOT exceed previous temperature records. Rainy and cold this year.

https://miljobarometern.stockholm.se/klimat/klimat-och-vaderstatistik/manadsmedeltemperatur/juli

Rossmore
August 11, 2023 9:47 am

Forgot to clarify that the graph illustrates monthly average temperature in July.

strativarius
August 11, 2023 9:51 am

Dry things can burn…..

“”Katharine Hayhoe, the chief scientist at the Nature Conservancy, said that global heating is causing vegetation to dry out, priming it as fuel for an outbreak of fire. “Climate change doesn’t usually start the fires; but it intensifies them, increasing the area they burn and making them much more dangerous,” Hayhoe tweeted.””
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/aug/11/hawaii-fires-made-more-dangerous-by-climate-crisis

Richard Page
Reply to  strativarius
August 11, 2023 10:06 am

By the same yardstick, Katharine Hayhoe’s house should now be demolished as it far more of a fire hazard now than when it was built.

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  strativarius
August 12, 2023 5:28 pm

Hayhoe isn’t a scientist, so all the rest is instant garbage can liner.

JohnC
August 11, 2023 10:21 am

The earth would be boiling if the seas were acetone!
Apparently our ancestors were forced out of Europe about 1.1 million years ago when the temperature dropped by more than 5 Celsius
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66331558

Fran
Reply to  JohnC
August 11, 2023 11:17 am

WRT the disappearance of Homo erectus from Eurasia, I have wondered if it happened when humans went through a severe bottleneck after the Toba eruption 73,000 years ago.

JohnC
August 11, 2023 10:22 am

U.K. economy grew more than anticipated because of warm weather in June https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-66465616

Richard Page
Reply to  JohnC
August 11, 2023 2:15 pm

The rain got in and caused it to swell up!

TheFinalNail
Reply to  Richard Page
August 11, 2023 3:56 pm

Rainfall in the UK was well below average for the month in June. It was by far the warmest June on record, though. Have you forgotten already?

Richard Page
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 4:15 pm

Forgotten? My June was far from warm, dry and sunny. You might well be talking about other areas of the UK but my recollection is of a cold, wet and overcast June.

Bellman
Reply to  Richard Page
August 11, 2023 5:39 pm

You must live in a rather unlucky part of the country, or lucky depending on how much you like the heat.

MOJunemaps.png
Bellman
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 5:47 pm

Now July on the other hand …

MOJulyMap.png
Matt G
Reply to  Bellman
August 11, 2023 6:21 pm

For the first 9 days of June 2023 it was quite cool/average in most central and eastern areas of the UK. The north easterly/easterly winds brought cloud cover from the North sea. The main reason for the temperature difference between western areas and central/eastern areas.

Notice the sunshine levels for this month, where higher levels occur and less cloud cause high temperatures. The global decline in cloud albedo is causing warmer temperatures.

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 4:24 pm

Ohm, we are using June now?

Doesn’t July suit your cherry-picking??

Oh look at UAH.. July has been well below average.

Pathetic attempt, even from you.

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 6:43 pm

It was by far the warmest June on record”

Measured at which urban and airport sites.

Or are you still in total denial of urban warming and aircraft engines being hot.

Mumbles McGuirck
August 11, 2023 10:53 am

This is like playing Whak-å-Mole. One silly story, based one isolated measurement, pops up and then propagates. By the time we hammer it down, a dozen more such stories pop up. And then we are on to the next fire, drought, flood, etc. But the whole media/alarmist complex is geared toward churning this nonsense out and spreading it without any thought or
questioning. It takes us time to compose an answer or correction. I feel like the Red Queen in “Alice Through the Looking Glass”, who had to run very, very hard to just to stay in place.

Energywise
Reply to  Mumbles McGuirck
August 11, 2023 12:14 pm

It’s all the alarmists have – group hysteria
Darwin was right

TheFinalNail
Reply to  Energywise
August 11, 2023 3:58 pm

Darwin was right

Yes he was. But what did he say about group hysteria?

bnice2000
Reply to  TheFinalNail
August 11, 2023 4:25 pm

what did he say about group hysteria”

Off you go and read all about yourself. !

Sunsettommy
Reply to  Mumbles McGuirck
August 12, 2023 9:28 am

They do it because they have realized deep down inside themselves that CO2 at the 435-ppm level isn’t driving weather events.

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  Sunsettommy
August 12, 2023 5:26 pm

Piltdown Mann, among many, will never be able to climb down
His entire existence is bound up in his fraud and lies.

Energywise
August 11, 2023 11:59 am

Well done Steve – a concise, accurate analysis
If only the alarmists could present some science facts to support their wild theories, but they can’t, they’re losing the high ground

Energywise
August 11, 2023 12:06 pm

As with any reference to climate, don’t forget to include solar activity in the mix – it’s most probably the single largest driver of natural earth systems

John Oliver
August 12, 2023 9:16 am

This entire idea of “the trapping” of the “ heat” till a “ run away” event happens is so counter the the fundamental principles( ie movement from hotter to colder and yes I know there is a lot more to it than just that) I boil with frustration.

The fundamental characteristic in a this vast fluid atmosphere of ours ultimately moves the heat OUT , no matter how much one attributes almost magical power to certain molecules ;so this maniacal quest by warmest to find some place that the “ heat is trapped”. my god it is trapped, trapped ! And we caused it. Repent ye sinner. See ye, the end is near.

Pat from Kerbob
August 12, 2023 5:22 pm

Looking at the UAH graph it can be seen that July is not even the hottest month in the satellite record. Close but so what.
Maybe the resident alarmist trolls can explain how much Antarctic ice melted because the temps went up to -30C?
Do we hear a “none”.

And without that short anomaly the UAH peak would not even be close.
Lying liars that lie, or, climate Scientologists.

And of course the atmosphere can’t warm the ocean noticeably, I see that at my lake is Saskatchewan every summer.
It does not matter how cool the spring and summer is, it warms to 24C by 3rd week of July and then it doesn’t matter if the temps are in the high 30s until the end of august the lake will cool to 18c by then.
Because only the angle of the sun matters.

Bellman
Reply to  Pat from Kerbob
August 12, 2023 6:22 pm

Looking at the UAH graph it can be seen that July is not even the hottest month in the satellite record. Close but so what.

How many more times – it is not the hottest anomaly, but it is the hottest month. The only warmer anomaly was February 2016 at 0.70°C. March 2016 had the same anomaly.

But February and March are cooler months than July, by around 2°C, so July 2023 was much hotter in absolute terms than either of these months.

Using UAH figures for the monthly base line supplied by bgdwx in another thread, here are what the absolute temperatures look like.

20230813wuwt1.png
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