From mountain peaks to ocean depths, climate change continued its advance in 2022, … Droughts, floods and heatwaves affected … every continent … Antarctic sea ice fell to its lowest extent .. melting … European glaciers …
WMO annual report highlights continuous advance of climate change
Climate Publicado 21 April 2023 Press Release Number: 21042023
Geneva, 21 April 2023 (WMO) – From mountain peaks to ocean depths, climate change continued its advance in 2022, according to the annual report from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Droughts, floods and heatwaves affected communities on every continent and cost many billions of dollars. Antarctic sea ice fell to its lowest extent on record and the melting of some European glaciers was, literally, off the charts.
The State of the Global Climate 2022 shows the planetary scale changes on land, in the ocean and in the atmosphere caused by record levels of heat-trapping greenhouse gases. For global temperature, the years 2015-2022 were the eight warmest on record despite the cooling impact of a La Niña event for the past three years. Melting of glaciers and sea level rise – which again reached record levels in 2022 – will continue to up to thousands of years.
“While greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise and the climate continues to change, populations worldwide continue to be gravely impacted by extreme weather and climate events. For example, in 2022, continuous drought in East Africa, record breaking rainfall in Pakistan and record-breaking heatwaves in China and Europe affected tens of millions, drove food insecurity, boosted mass migration, and cost billions of dollars in loss and damage,” said WMO Secretary-General Prof. Petteri Taalas.
“However, collaboration amongst UN agencies has proven to be very effective in addressing humanitarian impacts induced by extreme weather and climate events, especially in reducing associated mortality and economic losses. The UN Early Warnings for All Initiative aims to fill the existing capacity gap to ensure that every person on earth is covered by early warning services. At the moment about one hundred countries do not have adequate weather services in place. Achieving this ambitious task requires improvement of observation networks, investments in early warning, hydrological and climate service capacities,” he said.
The new WMO report is accompanied by a story map, which provides information for policy makers on how the climate change indicators are playing out, and which also shows how improved technology makes the transition to renewable energy cheaper and more accessible than ever.
In addition to climate indicators, the report focuses on impacts. Rising undernourishment has been exacerbated by the compounded effects of hydrometeorological hazards and COVID-19, as well as of protracted conflicts and violence.
Throughout the year, hazardous climate and weather-related events drove new population displacement and worsened conditions for many of the 95 million people already living in displacement at the beginning of the year, according to the report.
The report also puts a spotlight on ecosystems and the environment and shows how climate change is affecting recurring events in nature, such as when trees blossom, or birds migrate.
The WMO State of the Global Climate report was released ahead of Earth Day 2023. Its key findings echo the message of UN Secretary-General António Guterres for Earth Day.
“We have the tools, the knowledge, and the solutions. But we must pick up the pace. We need accelerated climate action with deeper, faster emissions cuts to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 degree Celsius. We also need massively scaled-up investments in adaptation and resilience, particularly for the most vulnerable countries and communities who have done the least to cause the crisis,” said Mr Guterres.
The WMO report follows the release of the State of the Climate in Europe report by the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service. It complements the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment report, which includes data up to 2020.
Dozens of experts contribute to the report, including National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and Global Data and Analysis Centers, as well as Regional Climate Centres, the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW), the Global Cryosphere Watch and Copernicus Climate Change Service operated by ECMWF.
United Nations partners include the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO (UNESCO-IOC), International Organization for Migration (IOM), the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) and the World Food Programme (WFP).
Global mean temperature in 2022 was 1.15 [1.02 to 1.28] °C above the 1850-1900 average. The years 2015 to 2022 were the eight warmest in the instrumental record back to 1850. 2022 was the 5th or 6th warmest year. This was despite three consecutive years of a cooling La Niña – such a “triple-dip” La Niña has happened only three times in the past 50 years.
Concentrations of the three main greenhouse gases – carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide – reached record observed highs in 2021, the latest year for which consolidated global values are available (1984-2021). The annual increase in methane concentration from 2020 to 2021 was the highest on record. Real-time data from specific locations show levels of the three greenhouse gases continued to increase in 2022.
Reference glaciers for which we have long-term observations experienced an average thickness change of over −1.3 metres between October 2021 and October 2022. This loss is much larger than the average of the last decade. Six of the ten most negative mass balance years on record (1950-2022) occurred since 2015. The cumulative thickness loss since 1970 amounts to almost 30 m.
The European Alps smashed records for glacier melt due to a combination of little winter snow, an intrusion of Saharan dust in March 2022 and heatwaves between May and early September.
In Switzerland, 6% of the glacier ice volume was lost between 2021 and 2022 – and one third between 2001 and 2022.For the first time in history, no snow survived the summer melt season even at the very highest measurement sites and thus no accumulation of fresh ice occurred. A Swiss weather balloon recorded 0 C at a height of 5 184 m on 25 July, the highest recorded zero-degree line in the 69-year record and only the second time that the height of the zero-degree line had exceeded 5 000 m (16 404 feet). New record temperatures were reported from the summit of Mont Blanc.
Measurements on glaciers in High Mountain Asia, western North America, South America and parts of the Arctic also reveal substantial glacier mass losses. There were some mass gains in Iceland and Northern Norway associated with higher-than-average precipitation and a relatively cool summer.
According to the IPCC, globally the glaciers lost more than 6000 Gt of ice over the period 1993-2019. This represents an equivalent water volume of 75 lakes the size of Lac Leman (also known as Lake Geneva), the largest lake in Western Europe.
The Greenland Ice Sheet ended with a negative total mass balance for the 26th year in a row.
Sea ice in Antarctica dropped to 1.92 million km2 on February 25, 2022, the lowest level on record and almost 1 million km2 below the long-term (1991-2020) mean. For the rest of the year, it was continuously below average, with record lows in June and July.
Arctic sea ice in September at the end of the summer melt tied for the 11th lowest monthly minimum ice extent in the satellite record.
Ocean heat content reached a new observed record high in 2022. Around 90% of the energy trapped in the climate system by greenhouse gases goes into the ocean, somewhat ameliorating even higher temperature increases but posing risks to marine ecosystems. Ocean warming rates have been particularly high in the past two decades. Despite continuing La Niña conditions, 58% of the ocean surface experienced at least one marine heatwave during 2022.
Global mean sea level (GMSL) continued to rise in 2022, reaching a new record high for the satellite altimeter record (1993-2022). The rate of global mean sea level rise has doubled between the first decade of the satellite record (1993-2002, 2.27 mm∙yr–) and the last (2013-2022, 4.62 mm∙yr).
For the period 2005-2019, total land ice loss from glaciers, Greenland, and Antarctica contributed 36% to the GMSL rise, and ocean warming (through thermal expansion) contributed 55%. Variations in land water storage contributed less than 10%.
Ocean acidification: CO2 reacts with seawater resulting in a decrease of pH referred to as ‘ocean acidification’. Ocean acidification threatens organisms and ecosystem services. The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report concluded that “There is very high confidence that open ocean surface pH is now the lowest it has been for at least 26 [thousand years] and current rates of pH change are unprecedented since at least that time.
Drought gripped East Africa. Rainfall has been below-average in five consecutive wet seasons, the longest such sequence in 40 years. As of January 2023, it was estimated that over 20 million people faced acute food insecurity across the region, under the effects of the drought and other shocks.
Record breaking rain in July and August led to extensive flooding in Pakistan. There were over 1 700 deaths, and 33 million people were affected, while almost 8 million people were displaced. Total damage and economic losses were assessed at US$ 30 billion. July (181% above normal) and August (243% above normal) were each the wettest on record nationally.
Record breaking heatwaves affected Europe during the summer. In some areas, extreme heat was coupled with exceptionally dry conditions. Excess deaths associated with the heat in Europe exceeded 15 000 in total across Spain, Germany, the UK, France, and Portugal.
China had its most extensive and long-lasting heatwave since national records began, extending from mid-June to the end of August and resulting in the hottest summer on record by a margin of more than 0.5 °C. It was also the second-driest summer on record.
Food insecurity: As of 2021, 2.3 billion people faced food insecurity, of which 924 million people faced severe food insecurity. Projections estimated 767.9 million people facing undernourishment in 2021, 9.8% of the global population. Half of these are in Asia and one third in Africa.
Heatwaves in the 2022 pre-monsoon season in India and Pakistan caused a decline in crop yields. This, combined with the banning of wheat exports and restrictions on rice exports in India after the start of the conflict in Ukraine, threatened the availability, access, and stability of staple foods within international food markets and posed high risks to countries already affected by shortages of staple foods.
Displacement: In Somalia, almost 1.2 million people became internally displaced by the catastrophic impacts of drought on pastoral and farming livelihoods and hunger during the year, of whom more than 60 000 people crossed into Ethiopia and Kenya during the same period. Concurrently, Somalia was hosting almost 35 000 refugees and asylum seekers in drought-affected areas. A further 512 000 internal displacements associated with drought were recorded in Ethiopia.
The flooding in Pakistan affected some 33 million people, including about 800 000 Afghan refugees hosted in affected districts. By October, around 8 million people have been internally displaced by the floods with some 585 000 sheltering in relief sites.
Environment: Climate change has important consequences for ecosystems and the environment. For example, a recent assessment focusing on the unique high-elevation area around the Tibetan Plateau, the largest storehouse of snow and ice outside the Arctic and Antarctic, found that global warming is causing the temperate zone to expand.
Climate change is also affecting recurring events in nature, such as when trees blossom, or birds migrate. For example, flowering of cherry blossom in Japan has been documented since AD 801 and has shifted to earlier dates since the late nineteenth century due to the effects of climate change and urban development. In 2021, the full flowering date was 26 March, the earliest recorded in over 1200 years. In 2022, the flowering date was 1 April.
Not all species in an ecosystem respond to the same climate influences or at the same rates. For example, spring arrival times of 117 European migratory bird species over five decades show increasing levels of mismatch to other spring events, such as leaf out and insect flight, which are important for bird survival. Such mismatches are likely to have contributed to population decline in some migrant species, particularly those wintering in sub-Saharan Africa.
Notes for Editors
Information used in this report is sourced from a large number of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and associated institutions, as well as Regional Climate Centres, the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW), the Global Cryosphere Watch and the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change services. United Nations partners include the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO (UNESCO-IOC), International Organization for Migration (IOM), the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) and the World Food Programme (WFP).
WMO extends its gratitude for all the dedicated hard work from WMO’s network of experts which makes this report an authoritative source of information on the state of the climate and on climate impacts. We are especially grateful to John Kennedy, who acted as lead author of this report.
Where possible the WMO climatological standard normal, 1991-2020, is used as a base period for consistent reporting. For some indicators however, it is not possible to use this baseline due to a lack of measurement during the whole period or because a longer period is needed to calculate representative statistics.
For global mean temperature, a baseline of 1850-1900 is used. This is the baseline used in recent IPCC reports as a stand in for pre-industrial temperatures and is relevant for understanding progress relative to the aims of the Paris Agreement.
WMO uses six international datasets for temperatures HadCRUT.5.0.1.0 (UK Met Office), NOAAGlobalTemp v5 (USA), NASA GISTEMP v4 (USA), Berkeley Earth (USA), ERA5 (ECMWF), JRA-55 (Japan).
The World Meteorological Organization is the United Nations System’s authoritative voice on Weather, Climate and Water
For further information contact:
Clare Nullis, WMO media officer, media@wmo.int. Tel 41-79-709 13 97
We do have other sea temperature data, mostly surface temperature measurements of varying quality. Ocean surface temperature actually fell between 1940 and 1980. Did global warming take a holiday during these 40 years? Or is ocean heat content and heat flows yet another large and poorly understood climate system, which displays significant independence from the alleged driver of global warming?
HADSST3 Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly. Source WoodForTrees.
Global mean sea level (GMSL) continued to rise in 2022 … 4.62mm / year. So what? I once had a house which was low laying enough to be at risk from tidal flooding. The next owner elevated the floor by 30cm. At 4.62mm / year sea level rise, that’s good for 65 years of additional protection, until the risk of flooding returns to the level I accepted. Even if sea level rise was to accelerate to 6mm, how long do houses normally last a without major renovation? The sea level rise rate snow and for the foreseeable future can easily be accommodated by regular maintenance of homes and urban infrastructure like roads and sea walls.
There is nothing new about adapting to changes in sea level. The title of my home actually to 3ft depth under water, because the original title was granted in the 12th century by King John, brother of King Richard the Lionheart, King John who is the main villain in the story of the legendary outlaw Robin Hood. Since the 12th century, through 800 years of land subsidence, much of the original land title is now permanently submerged. Yet the house I lived in for a time was dry and mostly flood free. All those centuries, through 800 years during which the sea gradually encroached on the land, successive owners adapted and kept their home dry, staying ahead of those changes in sea level, just as we and our descendants will adapt to any future changes in sea level.
Record breaking heatwaves in Europe – like the European Megadrought of 1531-1540? A period of mass starvation, crop failures, searing heat, melting glaciers? I wonder how the 1500s Europeans hid all their fossil fuel use from today’s historians?
The claim the Pakistan drought is climate related is also absurd.
… Droughts in Pakistan region are mainly due to various kinds of failures of rains from southwest monsoon. Also there seems to be some association between El Nino and La Nina events and weak monsoons. Pakistan frequently experiences several droughts. The Punjab province experienced the worst droughts in 1899, 1920 and 1935. Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK) experienced the worst droughts in 1902 and 1951, while Sindh had its worst droughts in 1871, 1881,1899,1931,1947 and 1999. Over more than hundred year’s period between 1871-1988, 11 out of 21 drought years were El Nino years. The El Nino phase of the Southern Oscillations (ENSO) has direct impact on drought in Pakistan as it poses mainly negative impact on summer monsoon. …
The Pakistan Government bulletin also mentioned climate change is making the extremes more extreme, but strangely doesn’t give any additional context beyond a single bland statement, in stark contrast to the rest of the document which strives to provide a detailed explanation of Pakistan’s rain and drought cycles – almost like the climate claim was tacked on later, by someone other than the original authors.
What about food insecurity? Food insecurity is rising – absolutely. The price of fertiliser and agricultural chemicals has gone through the roof. Why are these chemicals becoming so expensive? Because the cost of production is related to the cost of energy. Manufacturing fertiliser especially requires a great deal of heat and pressure, which has to be supplied via energy intensive mechanical processes. Add the disruption of the Ukraine war to world food availability, and the Western war on agriculture, and it is not difficult to understand why a lot of people are having trouble getting enough to eat in today’s world.
Fertiliser price vs fertiliser input price. Source World Bank, Fair Use, Low Resolution Image to Identify the Subject.
Displacement in Somalia? If I lived in a nightmare terrorist run hellhole like Somalia, I’d probably want to be “displaced” as well.
Japanese cherry blossoms blooming early? So what? Might help offset some of that food insecurity caused by the Western energy policy and fertiliser availability catastrophe.
In my opinion the WMO has produced a big load of empty hype. They made no effort to present and discuss the merits of obvious alternative explanations for their claims in the press release, though the report is a little more measured in its explanations.
The biggest problem the WMO hilighted, food insecurity, is fixable. If the problems with food production were resolved, such as a cessation of the European, Canadian and New Zealand wars on agriculture and energy affordability, and if there was a resolution to the conflict in Ukraine, so Ukraine and Russia can get back to unfettered production and export of food, food prices would rapidly return to affordable levels.
Excuse us, but here in Seattle it’s been global shivering all year so far, and only this week have we seen any pollen-activity by bees (a good month late) which allows meager hopes for a little fruit development before next fall’s global cooling season appears.
Also, we had two feet of snow in Salt Lake City on April 3 to 5, 2023. In some previous years, fruit trees have been in bloom by those dates. We could use a little warming, either global or local.
Graham
April 25, 2023 2:34 pm
They want to scare every one that if we don’t repent the end of the world is nigh.
The temperature graph looks scary and to the casual observer they see this and become convinced that action has to be taken..
The world temperature graph shows a rise of 1.6 C which would be expected as the little ice age ended in 1850,
The little ice age was the coldest period for over 1000 years and if the temperature record could be verified the MWP was at least as warm as present but this is conveniently suppressed.
Repentance… by golly, you may have just explained the European megadrought of 1531-1540.
Gaia was surely miffed that all of those stinky Europeans were burning so many trees to keep warm and the tree- worshipping Celts had fallen out of favor.
What evidence could be more clear?
To further that, the temperature graph also shows the last 8 years as being just .2C below their imagined 1.5C Tripping point. With a strong El-Nino forming the extra 0.2C – 0.3C needed to break the threshold will surely be realized soon. Then Hell will freeze over.
“such a “triple-dip” La Niña has happened only three times in the past 50 years”.
So 9 of the last 50 years have been in a triple-dip La Niña. That’s 18%. That’s quite a lot. It’s a lot more than, for example, the percentage of electricity generated by wind and solar renewables, or the percentage of vehicles that are EVs, or the percentage of people in most democracies who vote Green.
It reminds me of the old story of the man who was asked how often he thought about sex. “Once” he replied. What do you mean, once? Is that once a year or once a month or what. “Just once”, he replied, “The thought started when I was a teenager, and it’s still going”.
Climate change wasn’t working, so WMO piled on the weather stuff deep and thick, yet again. No different than the last two US National Climate Assessment reports. Scurry but very misleading stuff.
Meanwhile, in the real world:
Climate is changing —slowly. Swiss Alpine glaciers have been retreating since the end of the LIA.The last Thames ice fair was in 1818.
Climate models have proven wrong several basic ways, even in their parameter tuned hindcasts. Doubled ITCZ and tropical troposphere hotspot that does not exist are not a good look.
Main predicted ‘disaster’ stuff just isn’t. Sea level rise did not accelerate, summer Arctic sea ice did not disappear, and UK children still know snow.
Main ‘solution’ stuff (renewables) has proven a grid disaster—costly and destabilizing.
More people seem to be catching on to the scam, driving folks like XR to ever more desperate silly protests. In Berlin last week, car commuters forcibly removed climate protesters who had glued themselves to the main central Berlin roads.
I just got through reading a report that the Tulare area of California is under such flood threat that they are raising protective levees another meter higher. The flood threat is from 300% of average snowfall in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. Wonder why the WMO report didn’t go into 300% more snow?
So there are three types of politicians – liberals, conservatives and climate changers… some of which overlap, more than others. Elon Musk would strip away all the b.s.
to a point he is a realist he has stated that the only thing to keep people going with heat and AC is fossil fuels several timesand he knows just how unrealistic the 100% ev goal is also
. . . the message of UN Secretary-General António Guterres for Earth Day.
“We have the tools, the knowledge, and the solutions.
I’m going to suggest that Antonio and the rest of the Earth Day cult take their hands off their tools pronto, lest they suffer blindness and hirsute palms (which can’t credibly be blamed on global warming / climate change).
None of their numbers seem to include error bars. For example, they report a “global mean temperature” to hundredths of a degree Celsius above some global 1850-1900 average. How accurate and globally-complete is that 19th century average?
There is an interesting question there. The temperature of stars and various planets can be measured from their spectra. For stars, this cannot, I expect, be resolved to more detail than that of the whole body. I should think that finer temperature detail is not possible for even the nearest stars but to obtain a global figure for a planet would require being sufficiently far from the planet that the instrument cannot resolve detail of parts of the disk. Since planets’ distance and exposures must differ over time, as does the Earth’s, different temperatures might be possible for those different conditions. I suppose that depends on the accuracy and precision of the instruments. If the uncertainty of the measurements are large relative to the temperature differences, little confidence could be placed in those differences.
Does anyone here have any reasoned idea how far from this planet such measurements would have to be taken to obtain a single number for the disk (at any given time)? Has that been done by any space craft?
… to obtain a global figure for a planet would require being sufficiently far from the planet that the instrument cannot resolve detail of parts of the disk.
That can be achieved with a smoothing filter of the IR image.
Such a measurement wouldn’t be a surface temperature. More like a reflectance temperature, or something like that. Regardless, it would have no relevance to the life forms on that planet.
No, we want to point out that the claim about the last 8 years being the warmest has no meaning and is intended to scare the uncritical reader, and reinforce the beliefs of those like yourself.
Yep. You draw a straight line between any two points you get a linear trend for that period. Whether it tells you anything meaningful is another question.
If you have a ~170-year long temperature data set, the first half of which has zero trend and the second half of which has a statistically significant warming trend, that might be construed by some as meaningful.
Explain then why the open season at the coalport in Spitsbergen (Svalbard) went from 3 months of the year before 1920 to over 7 months of the year in the late 1930s?
There was obviously considerable warming in the Arctic over this period Why does Hadcrut not show it.?
TFN, why don’t you extend the time period from 170 years to 220 years THEN see what happened in the first 135 years, to your so important 85 years ago when CO2 began “controlling the temperatures” on earth?
From the article: “For global temperature, the years 2015-2022 were the eight warmest on record despite the cooling impact of a La Niña event for the past three years.”
This is called “The Big Lie”.
It was just as warm in the 1930’s as it is today, in the United States. Climate Alarmists should explain why the U.S. temperature profile is so much different from their computer-generated global Hockey Stick “temperature” chart.
Hint; They won’t explain it, they will ignore it or downplay it because “warmest years” is part of the climate change propaganda program.
The temperature data mannipulators worked very hard to bastardize the temperature record so they could make it appear that every year it was getting hotter and hotter, and today is the hottest time in human history. They said it right there in the quote above. Something like ten years between 1998 and 2016 were declared the “hottest year ever!”, year after year. This was NASA Climate and NOAA’s primary scare tactic.
But, as you can see, it is all a bunch of lies. The UAH satellite chart puts the lie to the “hotter and hotter” meme. It shows NO years between 1998 and 2016 as being hotter than the previous year or the hottest ever.
See for yourself how NASA Climate and NOAA (and WMO) lie to you. Do you see any years between 1998 and 2016 on the UAH chart below that could be described as the “hottest year ever!”?
The Climate Alarmists are a bunch of Damn Liars and they are destroying our freedom and our economies using these temperature lies.
land based temps show daytime hi temps about flat but warmer average night temps . of course 70% of the planet is ocean and there are very few atmospheric temps recorded over the ocean . the concept of average global temp is ridiculous really .
Those things are called weather. And they always happen every year, always have. The big lie is that of we get rid of fossil fuels, somehow those things won’t happen any more.
It seems every generation wants to return to some past golden age. At least, the unsophisticated members of every generation. The smarter people realize there was no golden age- unless we consider this time- which is probably the best it’s ever been for the human race, thanks to fossil fuels.
Melting of glaciers (and sea level rise) – which again reached record levels in 2022
How is that possible if 2022 was half a degree colder than 2020? Lag? If so, it means that 2023/24 will see glacial melt slow down. The other option of course is that it’s simply a bald faced lie. As for ”sea level rise” reaching ”record levels”, No acceleration, so what are the saying? The sea level is higher now than before? God spare me. If this is the level of quality in this ”report” all hope of rationality is lost.
Elliot W
April 25, 2023 3:52 pm
Our Canadian govt was blaming rising food prices on climate change. Not high fuel prices with an ever-increasing carbon indulgence. Not transportation costs. Not rising fertilizer costs. Not the govt trying to impede the use of fertilizers in the name of climate control. Not supply chain issues. Not our dairy cartel which sets its own dairy price with no appeal. Climate change.
Gary Pearse
April 25, 2023 4:08 pm
One ‘impact’
“Rising undernourishment has been exacerbated by the compounded effects of hydrometeorological hazards and COVID-19, as well as of protracted conflicts and violence.”
This is an extension of the 100% Climate Policy-Caused Disaster created by the former gov of Sri Lanka when they banned fertilizers to save the planet which, in months, caused the collapse of agriculture, bankruptcy of the economy and a hunger crisis. The gov had to flee the country.
The global totalitarian establishment papered this crisis over with a flood of articles blaming corruption and violence for the disaster. Do a search of this disaster now and see what you find. Western governments didn’t want this stark feasibility study hanging out there to foil their own similar policies.
David Mason-Jones
April 25, 2023 4:09 pm
Congrats Eric on an excellent rebuttal of the WMO State of the Climate Report 2022. All WMO claims methodically rebutted point by point.
Re sea level rise in England in the comments section,I spent some time in Wales a few years ago and visited Harlech Castle which is by the sea. I marvelled at the impressive towers and defence works facing the land but wondered why the defence works on the side facing the sea were less impressive.
Then, on the side facing the sea, I saw a semi defended stone pathway/staircase leading down to a little fort near the bottom of the cliff. The tourist information said that the fort was actually a landing place for boats – a kind of pier or wharf.
I looked further and noticed that, on the other side of this wharf, was a railway line and bitumen road. Looking further I could see houses, playing fields, other buildings and, eventually, the sea. No boat could ever get to the wharf except on a low loader towed by a truck.
So, at Harlech at least, where is all the inordinate sea level rise the WMO touts?
Thanks David. Sea level rise fears are absurd when you consider the rate at which land is rising or subsiding is comparable to the rise and fall of sea levels.
Basically: The Sugar Addicts want to turn that part of Spain into another Aral Sea, another Great Salt Lake, another SW United States, Lake Bakhtegan, Gobi Desert, Dust Bowl.
and they will get their way, they will drain the place so as to cultivate sugar.
Then, when it becomes one of the situations mentioned, which it will, it will be everybody else’s fault because of their Heat Trapping Emissions
who really are the deniers
Decaf
April 25, 2023 5:32 pm
The joke is how fixable the worst of the news is. So the more control these alarmists take, the worse off we will all be. We’ve known this for a while, but this report from their own hand proves it.
Future historians will look back on attempts to restrict fertiliser and agricultural chemical use in the middle of a food price and availability crisis as a crime against humanity.
Not if their plans to turn move surviving people into worker bees, without motivation or thinking to be anything else, is successful. The lie will live.
Bob
April 25, 2023 6:02 pm
So what they are saying is after all the disruption they have caused and the trillions of dollars wasted we are worse off than we were before they set out to save us. The US needs to get out of the UN and the UN needs to get out of the US. We shouldn’t waste one more dollar on that worthless organization.
Jeff Alberts
April 25, 2023 6:22 pm
“In my opinion the WMO has produced a big load of empty hype.”
Doesn’t matter. The message gets out. The average person (which is the vast majority) doesn’t look for alternate sources of info. This is why they’ve been winning the battle the entire time. We’re losing ground.
terry
April 25, 2023 7:01 pm
For somebody who lives in the pacific n.w. I must say this is really good news. It’s been cold here for a long time.
Martin Brumby
April 25, 2023 7:18 pm
More cherry picking, exaggeration and barefaced lies from a bunch of “experts” on a mission.
Proves only one thing. Wasting Trillions on Net Zero Climate hasn’t achieved anything worth a damn (other than our Beloved Leaders’ bank accounts).
If the problems with food production were resolved, such as a cessation of the European, Canadian and New Zealand wars on agriculture and energy affordability, and if there was a resolution to the conflict in Ukraine, so Ukraine and Russia can get back to unfettered production and export of food, food prices would rapidly return to affordable levels.
Prices are probably relatively worse in some places than here in the states although being on a “fixed income” with everything going up in costs, food price increases have been very noticeable. However, I don’t believe results of the solutions quoted above would help here.
There’s so much to unpack here, and I’ll keep it short: first, when they (the warmists) trot out scary-looking graphs, it really beehoves us to look at the y-axis on the graph/chart. Less than one degree of warming since 1980 isn’t a crisis. Second, look at that graph of Antarctic sea ice. Just a decade ago it was record highs for the period of record. Did global warming decide to magically begin just ten years ago? (Ironically, that was when Northern Hemisphere sea ice was at a low point.)
That data is hopelessly corrupted and should just be tossed out. There is no good data anywhere in the world aside from maybe UAH. Even that has its limits as to what it can do as a satellite. Anthony please expedite your GOATS dataset project that you talked about back in February. We need it so bad. I want to see them get angry and try to attack it. It’s going threaten them like 2009.
“Dozens of experts contribute to the report” …..zzzzzzzzz —oh sorry must have nodded off there for a moment…You were saying??
garboard
April 26, 2023 3:49 am
according to actual empirical data from worldwide tide gauges going back 100 years sea level rise is not accelerating . “ climate scientists “ insist on ignoring empirical data and exclusively using highly dubious satellite data , among whose many faults is that they are unable to measure sea level along coastlines , which is what really matters and can be verified by observations . whenever you read about rising seas know you are being lied to ( by omission ) and scammed .
The world temperature graphs is not an accurate reflection of reality. To believe 1921 was cooler than the 1970s makes no sense. 1921 was hot in the US, Europe, and China. The Arctic was also warm with rotten and thin sea ice. The 70s were cold. There needs to be an independent audit of the data series in the graph.
As far as the UK heatwave went, the ‘record breaking highest temperature evah’, recorded at an RAF fighter base, the Met Office have admitted it lasted for 60 seconds but refuse to answer questions about jet activity at the time. An honest person would reasonably conclude that they are hiding the truth that this is a bogus temperature – which it should be anyway as airports are not suitable recording stations. As with Jennifer Marohasy’s excellent exposure of the corruption brought about by changing the recording equipment, without electronic logging we would not have seen this temperature reading. I have some budget dataloggers and even these allow the recording interval to be set so I could have it an 1 second although that would eat up the memory space. During the so called record heatwave, I set mine to record every minute although I think for recorded official data it should be held for 10 minutes.
SteveZ56
April 26, 2023 6:54 am
[QUOTE FROM ARTICLE] “According to the IPCC, globally the glaciers lost more than 6000 Gt of ice over the period 1993-2019. This represents an equivalent water volume of 75 lakes the size of Lac Leman (also known as Lake Geneva), the largest lake in Western Europe.”
Seventy-five Lac Leman’s sounds like a huge amount of water to a European, but 6000 gigatonnes (6*10^15 kg) of water, at an average density of 1000 kg/m3, would have a volume of 6*10^12 m3.
The area of the world’s oceans is estimated as 361 million km2, or 3.61*10^14 m2. If those 6000 Gt of water (melted in 26 years) is spread out over the world’s oceans, the resulting sea level rise is 6*10^12/(3.61*10^14) = 0.0166 meter, or 1.66 cm, or about 0.65 inch. Over the course of 26 years, this is an average sea level rise rate of 0.64 mm/year.
Would someone who lived near a beach for the last 26 years even notice a rise in average sea level of less than an inch, when sea level changes up or down by 50 times that much in six hours due to the tides?
Building a sea wall every century or so is cheap compared to trying to replace every machine by a windmill or solar panel. Just ask the Dutch, who have been building sea walls for centuries.
The years 2015 to 2022 were the eight warmest in the instrumental record back to 1850.
That is really a non sequitur. Any time a time-series achieves a plateau, one can claim that the data points defining the plateau are the warmest recorded. If it lasts for 20 years, it can be claimed to be the 20 warmest years since the 12th of Never. Similarly, if it were to last for 100 years! It is only of significance if there is a continuous upward trend. A hiatus tells us little, if anything. It might be a peak in a cyclical trend. It takes a leap of faith that no trend is evidence for a trend. The statement, as is all too typical, is intended to scare uncritical readers.
Curious George
April 26, 2023 12:13 pm
UN is so reliable in anything it touches. How much does Biden contribute to the UN? How much does Putin contribute?
That’s quite a load of fertilizer.
Excuse us, but here in Seattle it’s been global shivering all year so far, and only this week have we seen any pollen-activity by bees (a good month late) which allows meager hopes for a little fruit development before next fall’s global cooling season appears.
The maple trees are still dormant here in Snoqualmie. Bare trunks are really depressing.
My Japanese Maples on Whidbey Island are just starting to bud out.
Also, we had two feet of snow in Salt Lake City on April 3 to 5, 2023. In some previous years, fruit trees have been in bloom by those dates. We could use a little warming, either global or local.
They want to scare every one that if we don’t repent the end of the world is nigh.
The temperature graph looks scary and to the casual observer they see this and become convinced that action has to be taken..
The world temperature graph shows a rise of 1.6 C which would be expected as the little ice age ended in 1850,
The little ice age was the coldest period for over 1000 years and if the temperature record could be verified the MWP was at least as warm as present but this is conveniently suppressed.
Repentance… by golly, you may have just explained the European megadrought of 1531-1540.
Gaia was surely miffed that all of those stinky Europeans were burning so many trees to keep warm and the tree- worshipping Celts had fallen out of favor.
What evidence could be more clear?
To further that, the temperature graph also shows the last 8 years as being just .2C below their imagined 1.5C Tripping point. With a strong El-Nino forming the extra 0.2C – 0.3C needed to break the threshold will surely be realized soon. Then Hell will freeze over.
“such a “triple-dip” La Niña has happened only three times in the past 50 years”.
So 9 of the last 50 years have been in a triple-dip La Niña. That’s 18%. That’s quite a lot. It’s a lot more than, for example, the percentage of electricity generated by wind and solar renewables, or the percentage of vehicles that are EVs, or the percentage of people in most democracies who vote Green.
Wouldn’t it be only 3 times that it has happened in fifty years? The third year can only happen after two previous La Nina years.
3 times, at 3 years each, is 9 years in total.
It reminds me of the old story of the man who was asked how often he thought about sex. “Once” he replied. What do you mean, once? Is that once a year or once a month or what. “Just once”, he replied, “The thought started when I was a teenager, and it’s still going”.
The British comedian Jim Davidson was once asked how many times ha had been drunk. He replied, “Only once, but that was from 1974 to 1979”.
Ja. It is all due to that terrible gas on which life totally depends….
https://breadonthewater.co.za/2022/12/15/an-evaluation-of-the-greenhouse-effect-by-carbon-dioxide/
Climate change wasn’t working, so WMO piled on the weather stuff deep and thick, yet again. No different than the last two US National Climate Assessment reports. Scurry but very misleading stuff.
Meanwhile, in the real world:
Where does the 4.62mm/yr sea level rise come from? All the numbers I’ve seen are smaller
It’s a lie. That is not below them anymore.
Satellite altimetry.. it’s accurate to within 10 cm!
Me too. Instead of saying “so what”, May should have pointed out how wrong it was.
The last I remember seeing was 3.5mm, which has happened before, and then dropped back to about 2mm.
According to 5 GPS corrected tide gauges in the Pacific area, in 2020 the average SLR was a little less than 2 mm/year with negligible accelerations.
Relative sea-level rise and land subsidence in Oceania from tide gauge and satellite GPS (degruyter.com)
I just got through reading a report that the Tulare area of California is under such flood threat that they are raising protective levees another meter higher. The flood threat is from 300% of average snowfall in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. Wonder why the WMO report didn’t go into 300% more snow?
”Wonder why the WMO report didn’t go into 300% more snow?
Everyone knows that heat causes snow.
So there are three types of politicians – liberals, conservatives and climate changers… some of which overlap, more than others. Elon Musk would strip away all the b.s.
Aren’t the three types liars, damned liars and goddamned liars?
Musk is a climate changer.
to a point he is a realist he has stated that the only thing to keep people going with heat and AC is fossil fuels several timesand he knows just how unrealistic the 100% ev goal is also
Sure Seems like weather depends on where the jet stream flows for a specific year and has nothing to do with CO2 emissions
That’s what I think. The Jet Stream rules! 🙂
Is the Jet Stream something that comes from George Jetson?
After a space-age burrito.
I’m going to suggest that Antonio and the rest of the Earth Day cult take their hands off their tools pronto, lest they suffer blindness and hirsute palms (which can’t credibly be blamed on global warming / climate change).
None of their numbers seem to include error bars. For example, they report a “global mean temperature” to hundredths of a degree Celsius above some global 1850-1900 average. How accurate and globally-complete is that 19th century average?
“How accurate and globally-complete is that 19th century average?”
Doesn’t matter. There is no global temperature.
There is an interesting question there. The temperature of stars and various planets can be measured from their spectra. For stars, this cannot, I expect, be resolved to more detail than that of the whole body. I should think that finer temperature detail is not possible for even the nearest stars but to obtain a global figure for a planet would require being sufficiently far from the planet that the instrument cannot resolve detail of parts of the disk. Since planets’ distance and exposures must differ over time, as does the Earth’s, different temperatures might be possible for those different conditions. I suppose that depends on the accuracy and precision of the instruments. If the uncertainty of the measurements are large relative to the temperature differences, little confidence could be placed in those differences.
Does anyone here have any reasoned idea how far from this planet such measurements would have to be taken to obtain a single number for the disk (at any given time)? Has that been done by any space craft?
That can be achieved with a smoothing filter of the IR image.
Such a measurement wouldn’t be a surface temperature. More like a reflectance temperature, or something like that. Regardless, it would have no relevance to the life forms on that planet.
“Past 8 years are 8 [the] warmest years on record”
_________________________________________
The world has been in a warming trend since 1850. That recent years are the warmest shouldn’t come as any great surprise or be of any great concern.
During the past 8 years, the temperature’s been trending sideways. Notice the strong break from the prior years. How does the UN explain that?
Eric just told us that 25-years is too short a period to draw conclusions about climate trends and you want to draw conclusions from 8?
No, we want to point out that the claim about the last 8 years being the warmest has no meaning and is intended to scare the uncritical reader, and reinforce the beliefs of those like yourself.
But is it true? Temperature is not a constant.
Nope. No trend at all in HadCRUT over its first ~80-years (1850-1930)
Yep. You draw a straight line between any two points you get a linear trend for that period. Whether it tells you anything meaningful is another question.
If you have a ~170-year long temperature data set, the first half of which has zero trend and the second half of which has a statistically significant warming trend, that might be construed by some as meaningful.
Explain then why the open season at the coalport in Spitsbergen (Svalbard) went from 3 months of the year before 1920 to over 7 months of the year in the late 1930s?
There was obviously considerable warming in the Arctic over this period Why does Hadcrut not show it.?
TFN, why don’t you extend the time period from 170 years to 220 years THEN see what happened in the first 135 years, to your so important 85 years ago when CO2 began “controlling the temperatures” on earth?
From the article: “For global temperature, the years 2015-2022 were the eight warmest on record despite the cooling impact of a La Niña event for the past three years.”
This is called “The Big Lie”.
It was just as warm in the 1930’s as it is today, in the United States. Climate Alarmists should explain why the U.S. temperature profile is so much different from their computer-generated global Hockey Stick “temperature” chart.
Hint; They won’t explain it, they will ignore it or downplay it because “warmest years” is part of the climate change propaganda program.
The temperature data mannipulators worked very hard to bastardize the temperature record so they could make it appear that every year it was getting hotter and hotter, and today is the hottest time in human history. They said it right there in the quote above. Something like ten years between 1998 and 2016 were declared the “hottest year ever!”, year after year. This was NASA Climate and NOAA’s primary scare tactic.
But, as you can see, it is all a bunch of lies. The UAH satellite chart puts the lie to the “hotter and hotter” meme. It shows NO years between 1998 and 2016 as being hotter than the previous year or the hottest ever.
See for yourself how NASA Climate and NOAA (and WMO) lie to you. Do you see any years between 1998 and 2016 on the UAH chart below that could be described as the “hottest year ever!”?
The Climate Alarmists are a bunch of Damn Liars and they are destroying our freedom and our economies using these temperature lies.
But the report specifically says “global temperature”, not United States temperature. You even quoted it!
The UAH chart is isn’t a surface temperature data set. It’s lower troposphere.
In any case, the latest 8-years (2015-2022) are also the warmest 8-years in UAH, so it’s hard to see where you’re coming from.
land based temps show daytime hi temps about flat but warmer average night temps . of course 70% of the planet is ocean and there are very few atmospheric temps recorded over the ocean . the concept of average global temp is ridiculous really .
“Droughts, floods and heatwaves affected communities on every continent…”
How many floods in antarctic?
Those things are called weather. And they always happen every year, always have. The big lie is that of we get rid of fossil fuels, somehow those things won’t happen any more.
It seems every generation wants to return to some past golden age. At least, the unsophisticated members of every generation. The smarter people realize there was no golden age- unless we consider this time- which is probably the best it’s ever been for the human race, thanks to fossil fuels.
How is that possible if 2022 was half a degree colder than 2020?
Lag? If so, it means that 2023/24 will see glacial melt slow down. The other option of course is that it’s simply a bald faced lie. As for ”sea level rise” reaching ”record levels”, No acceleration, so what are the saying? The sea level is higher now than before? God spare me. If this is the level of quality in this ”report” all hope of rationality is lost.
Our Canadian govt was blaming rising food prices on climate change. Not high fuel prices with an ever-increasing carbon indulgence. Not transportation costs. Not rising fertilizer costs. Not the govt trying to impede the use of fertilizers in the name of climate control. Not supply chain issues. Not our dairy cartel which sets its own dairy price with no appeal. Climate change.
One ‘impact’
“Rising undernourishment has been exacerbated by the compounded effects of hydrometeorological hazards and COVID-19, as well as of protracted conflicts and violence.”
This is an extension of the 100% Climate Policy-Caused Disaster created by the former gov of Sri Lanka when they banned fertilizers to save the planet which, in months, caused the collapse of agriculture, bankruptcy of the economy and a hunger crisis. The gov had to flee the country.
The global totalitarian establishment papered this crisis over with a flood of articles blaming corruption and violence for the disaster. Do a search of this disaster now and see what you find. Western governments didn’t want this stark feasibility study hanging out there to foil their own similar policies.
Congrats Eric on an excellent rebuttal of the WMO State of the Climate Report 2022. All WMO claims methodically rebutted point by point.
Re sea level rise in England in the comments section,I spent some time in Wales a few years ago and visited Harlech Castle which is by the sea. I marvelled at the impressive towers and defence works facing the land but wondered why the defence works on the side facing the sea were less impressive.
Then, on the side facing the sea, I saw a semi defended stone pathway/staircase leading down to a little fort near the bottom of the cliff. The tourist information said that the fort was actually a landing place for boats – a kind of pier or wharf.
I looked further and noticed that, on the other side of this wharf, was a railway line and bitumen road. Looking further I could see houses, playing fields, other buildings and, eventually, the sea. No boat could ever get to the wharf except on a low loader towed by a truck.
So, at Harlech at least, where is all the inordinate sea level rise the WMO touts?
Thanks David. Sea level rise fears are absurd when you consider the rate at which land is rising or subsiding is comparable to the rise and fall of sea levels.
Nice hockey stick.
Had2&3
Here below in the link is Climate Change in action.
You will see how intractable this problem is..
https://www.science.org/content/article/farming-bill-threatens-spain-s-most-important-wetland-scientists-say
Basically: The Sugar Addicts want to turn that part of Spain into another Aral Sea, another Great Salt Lake, another SW United States, Lake Bakhtegan, Gobi Desert, Dust Bowl.
and they will get their way, they will drain the place so as to cultivate sugar.
Then, when it becomes one of the situations mentioned, which it will, it will be everybody else’s fault because of their Heat Trapping Emissions
who really are the deniers
The joke is how fixable the worst of the news is. So the more control these alarmists take, the worse off we will all be. We’ve known this for a while, but this report from their own hand proves it.
Future historians will look back on attempts to restrict fertiliser and agricultural chemical use in the middle of a food price and availability crisis as a crime against humanity.
Not if their plans to turn move surviving people into worker bees, without motivation or thinking to be anything else, is successful. The lie will live.
So what they are saying is after all the disruption they have caused and the trillions of dollars wasted we are worse off than we were before they set out to save us. The US needs to get out of the UN and the UN needs to get out of the US. We shouldn’t waste one more dollar on that worthless organization.
“In my opinion the WMO has produced a big load of empty hype.”
Doesn’t matter. The message gets out. The average person (which is the vast majority) doesn’t look for alternate sources of info. This is why they’ve been winning the battle the entire time. We’re losing ground.
For somebody who lives in the pacific n.w. I must say this is really good news. It’s been cold here for a long time.
More cherry picking, exaggeration and barefaced lies from a bunch of “experts” on a mission.
Proves only one thing. Wasting Trillions on Net Zero Climate hasn’t achieved anything worth a damn (other than our Beloved Leaders’ bank accounts).
Just like Zero Covid.
Prices are probably relatively worse in some places than here in the states although being on a “fixed income” with everything going up in costs, food price increases have been very noticeable. However, I don’t believe results of the solutions quoted above would help here.
There’s so much to unpack here, and I’ll keep it short: first, when they (the warmists) trot out scary-looking graphs, it really beehoves us to look at the y-axis on the graph/chart. Less than one degree of warming since 1980 isn’t a crisis. Second, look at that graph of Antarctic sea ice. Just a decade ago it was record highs for the period of record. Did global warming decide to magically begin just ten years ago? (Ironically, that was when Northern Hemisphere sea ice was at a low point.)
How vague can they be?
I almost stopped reading after the WMO couldn’t even be bothered to check their own work.
That data is hopelessly corrupted and should just be tossed out. There is no good data anywhere in the world aside from maybe UAH. Even that has its limits as to what it can do as a satellite. Anthony please expedite your GOATS dataset project that you talked about back in February. We need it so bad. I want to see them get angry and try to attack it. It’s going threaten them like 2009.
“Dozens of experts contribute to the report” …..zzzzzzzzz —oh sorry must have nodded off there for a moment…You were saying??
according to actual empirical data from worldwide tide gauges going back 100 years sea level rise is not accelerating . “ climate scientists “ insist on ignoring empirical data and exclusively using highly dubious satellite data , among whose many faults is that they are unable to measure sea level along coastlines , which is what really matters and can be verified by observations . whenever you read about rising seas know you are being lied to ( by omission ) and scammed .
The world temperature graphs is not an accurate reflection of reality. To believe 1921 was cooler than the 1970s makes no sense. 1921 was hot in the US, Europe, and China. The Arctic was also warm with rotten and thin sea ice. The 70s were cold. There needs to be an independent audit of the data series in the graph.
++++
As far as the UK heatwave went, the ‘record breaking highest temperature evah’, recorded at an RAF fighter base, the Met Office have admitted it lasted for 60 seconds but refuse to answer questions about jet activity at the time. An honest person would reasonably conclude that they are hiding the truth that this is a bogus temperature – which it should be anyway as airports are not suitable recording stations. As with Jennifer Marohasy’s excellent exposure of the corruption brought about by changing the recording equipment, without electronic logging we would not have seen this temperature reading. I have some budget dataloggers and even these allow the recording interval to be set so I could have it an 1 second although that would eat up the memory space. During the so called record heatwave, I set mine to record every minute although I think for recorded official data it should be held for 10 minutes.
[QUOTE FROM ARTICLE] “According to the IPCC, globally the glaciers lost more than 6000 Gt of ice over the period 1993-2019. This represents an equivalent water volume of 75 lakes the size of Lac Leman (also known as Lake Geneva), the largest lake in Western Europe.”
Seventy-five Lac Leman’s sounds like a huge amount of water to a European, but 6000 gigatonnes (6*10^15 kg) of water, at an average density of 1000 kg/m3, would have a volume of 6*10^12 m3.
The area of the world’s oceans is estimated as 361 million km2, or 3.61*10^14 m2. If those 6000 Gt of water (melted in 26 years) is spread out over the world’s oceans, the resulting sea level rise is 6*10^12/(3.61*10^14) = 0.0166 meter, or 1.66 cm, or about 0.65 inch. Over the course of 26 years, this is an average sea level rise rate of 0.64 mm/year.
Would someone who lived near a beach for the last 26 years even notice a rise in average sea level of less than an inch, when sea level changes up or down by 50 times that much in six hours due to the tides?
Building a sea wall every century or so is cheap compared to trying to replace every machine by a windmill or solar panel. Just ask the Dutch, who have been building sea walls for centuries.
That is really a non sequitur. Any time a time-series achieves a plateau, one can claim that the data points defining the plateau are the warmest recorded. If it lasts for 20 years, it can be claimed to be the 20 warmest years since the 12th of Never. Similarly, if it were to last for 100 years! It is only of significance if there is a continuous upward trend. A hiatus tells us little, if anything. It might be a peak in a cyclical trend. It takes a leap of faith that no trend is evidence for a trend. The statement, as is all too typical, is intended to scare uncritical readers.
UN is so reliable in anything it touches. How much does Biden contribute to the UN? How much does Putin contribute?