Essay by Eric Worrall
“… the social plausibility assessments show that global opportunities for climate action multiply, gain visibility, and materialize at least incrementally. …”
Densification of the global opportunity structure for climate action
A dense global opportunity structure that provides a variety of resources for climate action is a necessary condition to increase the momentum or change the direction of social drivers toward deep decarbonization. In the present Outlook, the social plausibility assessments show that global opportunities for climate action multiply, gain visibility, and materialize at least incrementally. In relation to the previous edition, we observe a quantitative increase of climate-related activities, such as more climate-related regulations, protests, net-zero pledges, and transnational initiatives within UN climate governance and beyond (Sections 6.1.1, 6.1.2, 6.1.3, and 6.1.4). However, these activities do not necessarily translate into a reduction of persistent ambition, implementation, and knowledge gaps. We ob- serve only limited evidence in terms of qualitative shifts in the global opportunity structure for climate action. These relate to incremental changes in soft and hard law or to voluntary and binding schemes of climate governance (Sections 6.1.1 and 6.1.5). Negotiations at the COP26 in Glasgow, UK, have not managed to address implementation gaps and required steps to phase out fossil fuels. This is by and large also true for COP27 in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, which took place after our assessment of UN climate governance was finalized. Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), transnational initiatives, fossil-fuel divestment, and corporate responses remain largely voluntary, despite the pressure from climate litigation and social movements to render these into legal provisions or policies (Sections 6.1.2, 6.1.6, and 6.1.7). In fact, the densification of the global opportunity structure in terms of quantitative increases still requires qualitative shifts in the resources for climate action, such as new forms of activism, new policy instruments, and hardening of soft law (Sections 6.1.3, 6.1.4, and 6.1.5). The same is true of low-carbon consumption patterns (Section 6.1.8) and increased integration of diverse actors and ways of knowing into knowledge production, decision-making, and climate governance processes (Section 6.1.10). In this regard, Indigenous Peoples play a crucial role in bringing these issues to the fore along with climate protests and social movements and in helping preserve existing natural forests, which can make a greater contribution in terms of natural sinks toward carbon neutrality than affor- estation (Sections 6.1.4, 6.1.10, and 6.2.5).
Source: Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook
Your tax dollars at work. Perhaps Hamburg should test academic water supply quality. Or at the very least the scientists who wrote this impenetrable word thicket should have added “improve clarity of communication” to the list of vital preconditions for preserving their 1.5C global warming target.
Word salad with Green Goddess dressing.
It’s all Chinese to me.
Talking about Chinese, there is an extensive report in the today’s Telegraph about this balloon floating in the stratosphere over the USA. I’m sure nothing so sinister as suggested, just simply ‘CO2 sampling’ from mobile phones emissions’, another advanced climate change project.
Taking about bringing it down by anti aircraft artillery was turned down for fear to civilians on the ground.
Burn a hole with lasar so it comes down with all data collecting technology surviving intact, so the true ‘CO2 mobile communications emissions’ can be analysed. /sarc
It looks like the Chinese took advantage of the fact that the jet stream, at the time, was blowing almost striaght west to east across the United States, bringing with it the rains on the West Coast.
All the Chinese would have to do would be to release the balloon into the jet stream over the Pacific ocean and it would head straight for the USA.
I like your idea of lasering a hole in the balloon so it sinks to Earth where we can get a good look at what is onboard.
I heard a report that a similar balloon had been spotted over Canada.
How is it known that it’s Chinese?
Because a half hour after shooting it down, we wanted another balloon.
Because it had the words ‘Not a Spy Barroon’ printed on the side.
Apologies for the stereotyping but I couldn’t resist.
Not really stereotyping.
I worked with a Chinese dude at Sprint in their x.25 network ops center in the 90s. He had a heavy accent, and hated Hillary Clinton. As expected, he would pronounce her name “Hirry Crinton”.
Not stereotyping, just reality.
The Chinese have said the balloon is a weather balloon owned by a private company.
The Pentagon just said the balloon is manueverable so I guess that’s how it wound up where it did.
Whatever their point was- assuming it was the intent to have it fly over Montana to look at military sites or listen to military fequencies, that would be kinda dumb. I should think they also have satellites that can do all that and much better. Just doesn’t make any sense.
Launching is very expensive.
Spy satellites FLY OVER areas. Balloons hover. How long has the balloon been over the US compared s to a satellite?
Spy satellites in geosychronous orbit, hover over the same part of Earth. Of course, they are a lot higher than the low-Earth orbit satellites (a few hundred miles high versus 25,000 miles high).
I don’t really see a future for balloon spying on the United States. They are easy to spot and easy to destroy. Plus, they are a clear violation of U.S. territory.
I guess the Chicoms are depending on the millions of dollars they gave the Biden family will keep their balloons safe from harm.
Yes, it is a puzzle as to why they are flying a balloon over the United States. What do they hope to gain? Will the gain offset the backlash from the American people?
Our Trafficer-in-Chief, Joe Biden, sure does seem to bend over backwards when it comes to kowtowing to the Chicoms. That’s what millions of Chicom dollars will buy. They own Joe. To the point they think they can fly a balloon over the U.S. without serious repercussions.
Even if sent up the Canadians, it would have been made by China.
If I was project manager I would have filled it with hydrogen rather than customery helium.
In such case either laser or a high altitude projectile would set it on fire to do most possible damage to its content.
I addition balloon would be primed by exp..vs to destroy its content as the remains reach low altitude.
Third paragraph in the insurance policy would be the altimeter activated on decent, short circuiting lithium battery, melting the stuff at 2000 C+.
It could be carrying an EMP device.
A balloon is a cheap way to deliver a nice country sized pulse.
Now they are giving the Mad Mullahs of Iran bad ideas.
Told ya:
Urgent Warning Issued – Spy Balloon Is A ‘Dry Run’ For A Specific Kind Of Attack
99 of them but we nailed one of the suckers-
Inflatable industrial dome silo bursts ‘like a balloon’ at Port Adelaide building site (msn.com)
NENA | 99 Luftballons [1983] [Offizielles HD Musikvideo] – YouTube
I get it! 99 ‘Red’ balloons. 😉
It was a Japanese balloon bomb. Launched in WWII, but has only just found its way along the jet stream to the US 🙂
I kept looking for a place to drop in the word “sesquipedalian,” (one of my favorites) but I couldn’t fit it in. Not enough room.
Hippopotomonstrososesquipedialin is an even harder fit.
Donaudampfschifffahrtselektrizitätenhauptbetriebswerkbauunterbeamtengesellschaft
!
A company making wrought iron steam engine powered oyster shuckers? Errrrmmm….
The version I was taught by a German family many years ago was somewhat shorter but ended with “capitain”, (being the captain of some company steamer) so you might be able to extend that further still.
The other one, which my memory will now butcher, ran something like
Hermansmonumenteuterbergerwaldquardersandsteingherbeisschaffungsaktiengesellchaftausschussmitgelied.
Apparently it was just the name of some company selling quartered sandstone.
Groan.
Consider the delightful contradiction of anti-sesquipedalianism.
Did Kamala write it?
Harris word salads are at a much lower level. You immediately know SHE has no idea what she is talking about. There is no reason to wonder if she is highly intelligent, and speaking over your head. There is evidence she smoked a joint before speaking.
Here’s Kamala “the word salad queen” Harris, on climate:
Climate perfesser Kamala Harris spouts a climate word salad (honestclimatescience.blogspot.com)
Are you sure it was written by academics? It looks more like some sort of computer-generated text.
Brought to you by Chatgpt”
ChatGPT would have made more sense.
Oh, definitely written by a third rate left wing ArtStudent™ academic.
They specialise in that kind of lofty sounding bloviation.
It was written by a computer model of the English language, using climate inputs and a number of forcings to make it look good, along with so many random free parameters that it gives a result something like that wanted by the programmer.
First thing I thought when I saw it.
If you give a thousand monkeys a thousand thesauruses …
It’s not far off some of the presentations I’ve heard in seminars where the professors giving speeches were trying to impress others professors rather than giving clarity to the audience.
“where the” any specialty “giving speeches were trying to impress others” any specialty. If you attend trade conferences, you’ve lived the situation.
Absolute nonsense but it could have been even worse .Sustainability was not even mentioned .
They are trying to baffle us with big words ( bullshi!) strung together but it will go over most peoples heads .
Just more words heaped on more words .Bla Bla Bla,
Nothing blah-blah, pretending to be something blah-blah.
Translation (of what appears to be a poor translation of Deutsche into English):
“Achtung!
People still aren’t buying enough of our solar, wind, cladding, hybrid/electric vehicle, etc. junk.
So, hop to it, bureaucrats! ORDER them to!!
And you! Natives! Jump around and whistle and chant. Make tree preservation work for us — i.e., send the message that we need trees because CO2 is bad.”
Made in China.
“Careless and imprecise language is no accident. It is a conscious attempt to confuse and deceive.”
George Orwell
I didn’t know that Noam Chomsky was familiar to Orwell! That is an almost perfect description of Chomsky’s modus operandi; baffle and confuse the kiddies so they easily fall for your BS!
You’ve seen one con artist, you’ve seen them all.
It is so sad to see people who seem to have concern for everyone and the biosphere and a little bit of scientific knowledge, be so easily fooled and taken advantage of by climate hustlers.
I had a go at one using the BS generator, theirs is better, you cant beet the authenticity of those who believe their own BS
https://notthegrubstreetjournal.com/2020/04/19/on-covid-19-in-the-post-fordist-structural-green-economic-reality-protecting-frontline-first-responders-and-thought-leader-pedagogic-approaches-to-reflexive-anti-authority-denialism-xrc19rebellion/
The complexity of the present times seems to demand an awakening of our dreams if we are going to survive. Where there is desire Karma can not thrive!
Excelsior!
Ouch 🙂
I think they are saying
It’s worse than we thought, we’re not doing much about it, but we can make some small changes if you send lots of money. But be quick or we’re all doomed.
I think the “global opportunity structure for climate action” is quite dense enough already, thank you very much. They couldn’t get denser if Al Gore sat on them.
It says they need a lot of money from a lot of sources to advance their agenda.
“… and World Peace.”
Whirled peas.
They should have named ChatGPT the “Turbido Enfabulator” Also the education of the writer apparently stopped at 8th grade.
Professor Stanley Unwin could decipher that for you.
He specialised in gobbledygook. I think he spent time at Penn University spoke at great length to the hockey team, very inspiring…..
That’s a blast from the past, Stanley Unwin’s words sounded vaguely sensible
Deep joy!
They use a dice and a lingo bingo table
Not very original
It’s GobbleGook in the same way that every Socialist Manifesto is
iow: It’s demanding money & control under a veil of ‘caring’
It is a fraud, a scam and perfectly grotesque.
Translate? Challenge accepted, please keep this thread open a while, its going to be some job…
I had a friend who wrote all his grade assignments this way. It speaks of someone trying to sound intelligent in a second language. I miss him, had to leave when he started spouting all these woke Oprah-type wisdoms. I could live with that, but then he had this standard response to every counter-argument: “Oh, please, not your paranoid conspiracy sh17 again!” Eventually there was just no talking anymore, just disrespect.
I think I can put that experience to good use here.
A dense global opportunity structure that provides a variety of resources for climate action is a necessary condition to increase the momentum or change the direction of social drivers toward deep decarbonization
“A dense global opportunity structure” = The halls of institutional power, often governmental
“that provides a variety of resources” = specifically, institutional power that has authority over tax revenue or legislative action
“increase the momentum or change the direction” = brainwash people to agree with us
“social drivers” = anything that contributes to either the hivemind consensus or the legal framework
“deep decarbonization” = making taxes hefty enough to prevent fossil fuels from being economically viable, or outright banning fossil fuels or anything that emits carbon dioxide.
Translation:
It is imperative to implant parasitic people into positions of power in key institutional areas in order to hijack public resources that can be used towards brainwashing people into supporting the idea that carbon dioxide is a poison and needs to be eliminated by any means necessary
” In the present Outlook, the social plausibility assessments show that global opportunities for climate action multiply, gain visibility, and materialize at least incrementally”
Translation:
In our best estimation, we are succeeding in securing enough positions of power to meaningfully change the zeitgeist, at least to a degree that will manifest on a generational timeline.
‘Taint that hard, really
Good job! 🙂
Using my Real-Time Leftist Academic Nonsense Translator while reading the passage, I immediately understood: “Power … POWER … We want power!”
Nice humor, Eric. This place is such a great start to my day.
Obfuscation is the only thing keeping them going,
Obfuscation and people like me who stop to laugh at it… More people have seen the words here than where? And thought about them? And might remember who said them? I want to forget all of it.
It’s typical lefty academic speak. Full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.
Or rather its a long winded way of saying ‘this is how to make propaganda more effective’.
I recommend the Late Roger Scruton’s ‘Fools Frauds and Firebrands‘ for an intelligent dissection of the Great Thinkers (sic!) of the New Left.
They always have to mention “indigenous people”, don’t they!
But strangely I can find no mention of wimmin!
Have you asked Nicola Sturgeon about ‘wimmin’?
Probably not a good idea at the moment.
You are behind the times. Wimmin no longer exist in current lingo–it is now people who give birth, people who can get pregnant, and similar tropes. As medical technology improves for mutilating bodies, these definitions may change.
But they didn’t mention the LGBTQ community, whose welfare is of utmost importance.
We’re called “breeders”
Translation:
1) A social structure that enables action on climate change is required to fight climate change.
2) Opportunities for non-governemntal prtaest have increased as has official virtue-signalling (Net Zero pledges, for example).
3) However,no-one is actually doing anything of any consequence. There is no real action.
4) The COPs have failed. And they are likely to keep failing if we carry on as we are.
5) So we need to do something else.
6) An idea for something else to try is to use the moral authority of Indigenous Peoples to promote our agenda.
NB There is no discussion of the agendas of Indigenous Peoples – it assumes they are like pets.
The White Man’s Burden. Nothing ever changes for the world’s moralistic do-gooders.
Sesquipedalian can also be used to describe someone or something that overuses big words, like a philosophy professor or a chemistry textbook. If someone gives a sesquipedalian speech, people often assume it was smart, even if they don’t really know what it was about because they can’t understand the words.
“Sesquipedalian” looks like a word that is an example of its own definition. Is there a word for that?
As a friend of mine once told me, “Eschew obfuscation.”
It looks like one of the faux papers from a fake research paper generator.
Translation: It’s worse than worse than we thought this year. LAST YEAR IT WAS JUST WORSE THAN WE THOUGHT. We’re all going to die unless we do what the government says without question.
… Said in a way that suggests intelligence, by being hard to understand. Also known as “baffling them with BS”.
Daily list of the best climate and energy articles I read each day:
Honest Climate Science and Energy
Which one of you bastards ate my Thesaurus?
and thprinkled it with thethame theedth?
I’ve managed to find a translation for the first few lines:
’Twas brillig, and the slithy toves
Did gyre and gimble in the wabe;
All mimsy were the borogoves,
And the mome raths outgrabe.
I’ll see if I can get the rest by teatime.
Everyone knows that you must leverage your synergy!
This is supposed to be a family blog. Moderators?
moving forward
“A dense global opportunity structure that provides a variety of resources for climate action…”
You mean dense like a rock?
Hard as a rock?
Dumb as a rock?
Sinks like a rock?
There. That would do it.
My oldest granddaughter sometimes tries to use big words to sound impressive. She does this as an attempt to mask her insecurities and ignorance.
from the department of redundancy department
Did monkeys type this?
That’s artificial intelligence for you.
Translation:
We have no convincing evidence that might persuade people to take the course we insist upon, so it will be necessary to use brute force and other coercion to implement policy.
I don’t speak Climate Gobbledygook, so have no idea.
Thanks, Eric! This should be a wonderful thread, if I can just keep from blowing coffee out my nose!
It sounds like the CIA has restarted MK ULTRA! Hopefully, no elephants will be harmed this time, and they will not provide large amounts of LSD to career criminals trained as hypnotists!
Written by the same AI, as used for their climate models. They gave it a sample IPCC AR.
Writing to impress, rather than to express.
That reminds me of the moment in Asimov’s “Foundation” novel where Lord Dorwin of the Empire has just left Terminus, and the Encyclopediacists are all excited about the “guarantees” they’d just received from the Emperor via the Lord.
That is, until Salvor Hardin points out that he’d had everything the Lord had said during his visit recorded and analyzed, along with the “guarantees” on the treaty. Hardin reads to them the results of the analysis and then points out to them, “Lord Dorwin, gentlemen, in five days of discussion didn’t say one damned thing, and said it so you never noticed.”
I took a look at the paper. Some of the topics covered, in alphabetical order…
Climate justice, GHG emissions, GW psychology, IPCC RCP8.5, models, social justice.
The PDF is 234 pages.
– – – – – – – – –
Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook: The plausibility of a 1.5C limit to global warming – social drivers and physical processes
The purpose of this second Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook is to systematically analyze and assess the plausibility of certain well-defined climate futures based on present knowledge of social drivers and physical processes. In particular, we assess the plausibility of those climate futures that are envisioned by the 2015 Paris Agreement, namely holding global warming to well below 2°C and, if possible, to 1.5°C, relative to pre-industrial levels (UNFCCC 2015, Article 2 paragraph 1a). The world will have to reach a state of deep decarbonization by 2050 to be compliant with the 1.5°C goal. We therefore work with a climate future scenario that combines emissions and temperature goals.
https://www.fdr.uni-hamburg.de/record/11230#.Y9u3iC8RpX0
(PDF, 234 pages)
https://www.fdr.uni-hamburg.de/record/11230/files/cliccs-hamburg-climate-futures-outlook-2023.pdf?download=1
They can tell that to China, India and the rest of the developing world. Woke bullshit Leftist fantasies hold no water in the real world.
Did anyone check if ChatGPT is listed as one of the authors?
A dense global opportunity structure that provides a variety of resources for tire pump improvement is a necessary condition to increase the momentum or change the direction of social drivers toward deep pump development. In the present Outlook, the social plausibility assessments show that global opportunities for pump improvement action multiply, gain visibility, and materialize at least incrementally.
I could go on, but I think I understand what the good professor is saying.
you need to have a PHD to be that stupid …
Obviously the freebissholzer has been redisconnected from the bauerline chingo.
/sarc
“A dense global opportunity structure that provides a variety of resources for climate action is a necessary condition”
We need to bring back the Storm Troopers because the plebs are waking up.
Not sure what you are complaining about, Trudeau would look down on them for being so direct.
I suspect that the author is as cynical as me, except the author wants to get on the gravy train rather than fight it. He/she/it/that thing is just writing what the Fourth Riech wants to hear from Its minions.
“Densification” of this nonsense!
Haven’t they heard that it’s not a good idea to form a Black Hole on Earth?
Called a word salad.
A tell for cognitive dissonance: the writer is suspicious there is no calamity happening but is cognitively and socially and professionally wedded to an approaching End of Times.
A word salad dissolves the mental stress caused by the contradictions by using undefinable phrases linked together that have the vocal sensibility of Virtuous Effort and Understanding while avoiding clear thinking that, if employed, couldn’t justify his position.
In other words, they are nutty as fruitcakes.
The concluding sentence of the 233-page monstrosity contains this accurate (but predictable) insight:
“In light of these findings, we conclude that reaching worldwide deep decarbonization by 2050 is currently not plausible, given the observable trajectories of social drivers.”
In other words – “It’s not working, people aren’t buying it now that it’s starting to hurt!! Send more money so we can invent even more scary scenarios, and we need to turn up the volume control to 11”
Yes, NetZero is not plausible. For many reasons.
Now, if we can just get the Alarmists to give it up and accept their fate.
Did Kamala write this???
Google Translate does not have options to select “Bafflegab”, “Gobbledygook”, or “Academese” as the input langugage, but when I paste the first paragraph on “autodetect”, Google pronounces it “Afrikanns”.
“Blah, blah, blah…Indians.” Where’d that come from? And are they saying that “persistent ambition” is a bad thing? Intermittent ambition is better?
Evidently it is possible to dose CHATgpt with LSD.
It basically says that climate lies need to be integrated into all government programs, education levels, and civilian business in order to achieve their goals.