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IN THIS ISSUE:
- Climate Catastrophism Is Worse Than Climate Change
- Podcast of the Week: Climate Alarm is Alive for Elites and Fading for Civilians (Guest: Steve Milloy)
- Trudeau’s ‘Climate Emergency’ Claims Refuted by Data
- Iceman Discovery Suggests Alps Glaciers Naturally Wax and Wane
- In Memoriam: George Taylor
- Video of the Week: New Poll Debunks 97% Consensus Myth on Climate Change
- BONUS Video of the Week: ‘The Future is Built By Us’: COP27 and G20 Coverage
- Climate Comedy
- Recommended Sites
Climate Catastrophism Is Worse Than Climate Change
Earlier this week I noticed an editorial in the Colorado Springs Gazette describing the harm being caused by “climate change catastrophism,” which I think of as climate alarmists’ equivalent of the Chinese water torture: mainstream media platforms’ daily drip, drip, drip of demonstrably false or grossly exaggerated claims about potential harms from climate change. My colleague Linnea Lueken, a research fellow with The Heartland Institute’s Arthur B. Robinson Center on Climate and Environmental Policy, wrote about the editorial for Climate Realism after I brought it to her attention.
Essentially the editorial and the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) article on which it is based make a critical point, as the Colorado Springs Gazette states: “Enough with climate-change scare tactics. They hurt people, possibly more than they will suffer from climate change.”
This truth echoes what we have said repeatedly at Climate Realism, Climate at a Glance, and Climate Change Weekly: the data does not support claims that extreme weather events are becoming more severe or more frequent. Policies to prevent a climate disaster that will never arrive are likely to produce worse harms than climate change itself. Prominent authors made the same points in three bestselling books released in the past couple of years: False Alarm, by Bjorn Lomborg, Ph.D.; Unsettled, by Steven Koonin, Ph.D.; and Apocalypse Never, by Michael Shellenberger.
In the meantime, these claims are doing untold damage. Children’s psyches are being horribly scarred as climate catastrophism has created whole new category of psychological disorder, “climate grief,” generated by fearmongering politicians, activists, and the mainstream media. This condition has spawned a new area of psychological practice: “ecopsychology.” Meanwhile, slavery, child labor, and environmental destruction are the foundations of the green energy technologies being pushed to replace fossil fuels to prevent climate disaster.
The Colorado Springs Gazette sums up the PNAS article thus:
In the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the scientists warn of too much focus by the scientific community on unlikely worst-case scenarios—including imminent extinction of human life—rather than more plausible outcomes that fall between Armageddon on one extreme and “no worries” on the other. Alarmism, they explain, leads to impossible goals of ending all fossil fuel consumption by mid-century, social disarray, and mental health problems.
Specifically a team of three international researchers wrote in the peer-reviewed PNAS,
[H]istory also shows risks in overemphasizing the likelihood of calamity. Mindful of this, we argue Kemp et al. understate the degree to which recent scientific and public discourses already prioritize catastrophic climate scenarios. …
Simultaneously, IPCC reports also overemphasize catastrophic scenarios, as does broader discourse. …
Overemphasized apocalyptic futures can be used to support despotism and rashness. For example, catastrophic and ultimately inaccurate overpopulation scenarios in the 1960s and 1970s contributed to several countries adopting forced sterilization and abortion programs, including China’s one-child policy, which caused up to 100 million coerced abortions, disproportionately of girls. Past and present fascist and neofascist movements frequently use fears of environmental catastrophe to promote eugenics and oppose immigration and aid.
The PNAS article then discusses one fact that is truly alarming: surveys show the overemphasis on apocalyptic climate projections has resulted in 45 percent of the world’s youth feeling climate change is negatively affecting their lives, and because of that, approximately 40 percent of the youths surveyed say they are considering not having children. That is truly tragic.
Whether people choose to have children is none of my business. However, an entire generation should not be misled into rejecting having children based on a false climate alarm suggesting that any kids they have will be a burden on the Earth or be condemned to a lifelong struggle in an environmental wasteland. Both of those claims are lies. All the available evidence suggests the future for humans and the environment will be better than the past.
I’ll conclude with a quote from Lueken I think sums up the issue quite well:
Climate alarmists exaggerate the rate of recent warming and the risks of extreme weather to motivate radical political actions. The editorial board of the Colorado Springs Gazette and the PNAS should be thanked for making this point. The Earth’s climate does change, and will continue to do so, and it is wise to meet this change with realistic mitigation efforts. An overcorrection imposed by world governments, like banning fossil fuels, is likely to cause far more harm and destruction than climate change itself.
SOURCES: Colorado Springs Gazette; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences; Climate Realism
Podcast of the Week
Polls show that Americans care most about crime and the economy. And while the election results are suspiciously confusing, it’s clear that climate change is going nowhere in Congress. Biden will have to continue advancing his agenda through executive action. At COP27 more promises of climate payments are expected, but as in the past, they are likely to amount to promises unfu
Previous agreements to send climate payments to developing countries often never come to fruition. Why would any agreement signed this year differ? In the meantime, coal use increases, and CO2 emissions keep rising, but weather events stubbornly refuse to get more extreme.
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Trudeau’s ‘Climate Emergency’ Claims Refuted by Data
Engineer Ron Barmby, author of Sunlight on Climate Change: A Heretic’s Guide to Global Climate Hysteria, says Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should rescind his June 2019 declaration of a National Climate Emergency in support of the 2015 Paris climate agreement.
Barmby notes mounting evidence refutes the claim climate change is causing an increase in the severity or number of extreme weather events and that temperatures are not rising as fast as projected.
Citing a recent paper by Italian physicist Gianluca Alimonti and others, “A critical assessment of extreme events trends in times of global warming,” in The European Physical Journal Plus, Barmby notes Alimonti found “…on the basis of observational data, the climate crisis that, according to many sources, we are experiencing today, is not evident yet” (emphasis by Barmby).
Barmby cites several conclusions of the journal article, including the following, in his words:
- “Hurricanes: The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has stated ‘… it is premature to conclude … human activities have had a detectable impact on Atlantic basin hurricane activity.’ …
- “Tornadoes: The authors conclude ‘… strong to violent tornadoes … show no increase over time.’ …
- “Floods and Droughts: This increase in global precipitation ‘… does not translate into an increase in intensity or frequency of floods.’ Additionally, ‘… there is no evidence that the areas affected by the different types of drought are increasing.’”
Because extreme weather events aren’t worsening, much less an existential threat to humanity, Trudeau’s only remaining argument for declaring a climate emergency is a rising average global temperature, which available data shows to be an even more tenuous argument, Barmby argues.
The United States Climate Reference Network, established in 2005 to provide continental U.S. temperature data “using state-of-the-art triple redundant instruments in pristine locations unaffected by human activities,” has recorded no warming trend since the system was established 18 years ago, Barmby reminds those interested in facts. In addition, satellite data shows temperatures are no higher now than they were at their modern peak in 1998, and since 1979 they display only a 0.11℃ warming per decade, which is less than what the climate models have predicted and certainly not an emergency.
“In aggregate, this would suggest that in an open and fair scientific inquiry, Mr. Trudeau would be hard-pressed to defend a claim of a current climate emergency,” concludes Barmby. “It’s time to have a rational, dispassionate, and independent review of Canada’s climate emergency declaration. Canadians have a right to know the science.”
SOURCE: Climate Change Dispatch
Iceman Discovery Suggests Alps Glaciers Naturally Wax and Wane
Peer-reviewed research published in the journal Holocene indicates glaciers in the Alps have expanded and retreated multiple times over the past 6,000 years, contrary to common claims. This indicates the present glacial decline is not historically unusual, and it casts doubt on the claim the current retreat is being driven by purported human-caused climate change.
Many experts have asserted that Ötzi, the ice-age corpse found at Tisenjoch in the Alps in 1991, was uncovered for the first time in 5,300 years only because the ice melted primarily due to human-caused global warming. This claim has now been refuted by a team of researchers from universities in Norway, Switzerland, and Austria.
When Ötzi was discovered, the initial lead investigator “hypothesised that the mummy with associated artefacts had been quickly covered by glacier ice and stayed buried until the melt-out in 1991,” the researchers write.
The research team examined evidence from other glacial archaeological sites; used an improved understanding of glacial ice balance, advance, and retreat developed since Ötzi was initially discovered; and more closely examined the biological remains and the materials found with and around Ötzi. They write,
[B]enefitting from increased knowledge gained from more than two decades of investigations …, it is likely that Ötzi was not permanently buried in ice immediately after his death, but that the gully where he lay was repeatedly exposed over the next 1500 years. Based on the available evidence, this ice is better understood as a non-moving, stationary field of snow and ice, frozen to the bedrock. The damaged artefacts found with Ötzi were probably broken by typical postdepositional processes on glacial archaeological sites, and not, as previously claimed, during conflict prior to Ötzi’s flight from the valley below.
The research indicates Ötzi died on the snow at a higher elevation, with the corpse only later sliding into the hollow where it was ultimately found. During alternating warming and cooling periods, the body and Ötzi’s equipment were repeatedly exposed and reburied by snow and ice, during which the body and tools were damaged.
The researchers detailed the evidence they found indicating Ötzi had been repeatedly exposed to and protected from the weather, writing in the journal article and for the Swiss online journal NZZ.
“The state of preservation also speaks against Ötzi being a time capsule from the ice,” the scientists write. “Twenty years ago, examinations of hairline cracks in the skull already showed that the corpse had repeatedly thawed and refrozen,” NZZ writes. “The part of the fur coat lying under the body was much better preserved than the rest, and on the back of Ötzi’s head—he was lying face down—the skin had disappeared. This also indicates that the body was exposed several times.”
In addition, had Ötzi remained undisturbed under the ice for 5,300 years, newer material from more recent ages would not have been found on, around, or underneath the corpse. Yet a large amount of material from more recent periods of time—such as plants, animal droppings, feathers, and a piece of wood, all from different time periods—were found with Ötzi. This strongly suggests the ice Ötzi was trapped in melted, refroze, and accumulated again repeatedly after Ötzi’s deposition in the hollow.
SOURCES: No Tricks Zone; The Holocene
Iceman Discovery Suggests Alps Glaciers Naturally Wax and Wane
It is with deep regret that I write that meteorologist George Taylor has passed away after a long battle with a degenerative illness.
After obtaining degrees in mathematics and meteorology, Taylor was director of the Oregon Climate Service at Oregon State University (OSU) from 1989 until he retired in 2008. Taylor became Oregon’s state climatologist in 1991, and he served as president of the American Association of State Climatologists from 1998 to 2000. Taylor published more than 200 reports, symposium articles, and journal articles.
Taylor was steadfast in his view that climate science must be grounded in data and the data did not support the claim human greenhouse gas emissions were creating a climate catastrophe. Because Taylor’s views on climate change were at odds with those of then-Gov. Ted Kulongoski, a nonscientist with no research experience on climate change, Kulongoski removed Taylor from the position of state climatologist in 2007.
After his retirement from OSU, Taylor founded Applied Climate Services (ACS), a consulting firm. He remained president of ACS until illness forced his retirement.
Over the course of his career, Taylor gave dozens of talks and presentations at meetings and conferences where climate science was discussed. Among these were the 2012 meeting of the Oregon Chapter of the American Meteorological Society and the first two International Conferences on Climate Change hosted by The Heartland Institute, where he discussed “Long-Term Variability in Temperature and Precipitation” in 2008 and “The Pacific Decadal Oscillation: A Dominant Mode of Climate Variability” in 2009.
Taylor’s illness prevented him from contributing to the climate debate in recent years, but before becoming ill he was active in refuting alarming claims about pending climate doom.
Wikipedia describes some of his views on climate change, based on his education, research, and experience:
[H]e has argued that “consensus in science doesn’t really mean much. What matters is the truth. Often consensus is wrong.” Taylor considers global warming to be primarily caused by natural variability, not human activity, though he acknowledges that both have played a role. In 2005, Taylor testified before the Environment Committee of the Oregon House of Representatives in opposition to a bill that would increase the fuel efficiency standards for automobiles in Oregon to match California’s. In his testimony, he said, “I believe the effect of greenhouse gas is a relatively minor one,” and “I really believe natural variation and natural factors are a bigger cause of climate change than you and I.”
Even in the face of personal and professional persecution, Taylor never wavered in his commitment to using the scientific method informed by data to understand climate change. He will be missed by many.
SOURCES: Wikipedia; The Heartland Institute; International Conference on Climate Change 1; International Conference on Climate Change 2
Heartland’s Must-read Climate Sites
COP27 Begins Amid an Energy Crisis
A new poll of scientists conducted by Fairleigh Dickinson University found that only 59 percent of respondents think global climate change will cause “significant harm” to the “living conditions for people alive today.” That is far short of the “97 percent consensus” narrative pushed by climate alarmists and their media allies across the globe.
The survey, conducted in September and October 2022 by Fairleigh Dickinson University and commissioned by The Heartland Institute, polled only professionals and academics who held at least a bachelor’s degree in the fields of meteorology, climatology, physics, geology, and hydrology.
The key question of the survey asked: “In your judgement, what will be the overall impact of global climate change on living conditions for people alive today, across the globe?” Fifty-nine percent said “significant harm.” Thirty-nine percent said either “significant improvement,” “slight improvement,” “no change,” or “slight harm.” Two percent were not sure.
Among respondents with the most experience – those at least 50-years-old – less than half expect significant harm for people alive today. Scientists 30-years-old and younger were the only age group for which more than 60 percent expect significant harm.
In this episode of Climate Change Roundtable, Andy Singer, Anthony Watts, Linnea Lueken, and H. Sterling Burnett discuss the false information barrage being pushed my the corporate media in preparation of COP27.
BONUS Video of the Week: ‘The Future is Built By Us’: COP27 and G20 Coverage
The Heartland Institute’s Jim Lakely, Chris Talgo, S.T. Karnick, and Linnea Lueken present episode 372 of the In The Tank Podcast. The ITT crew discusses how COP27 and the G20 summit is going so far – and it is all bad news if you cherish your liberty.
The head of the United Nations says we’re on a “climate highway to hell,” Klaus Schwab says “the future is built by us” (and by “us” he means the unaccountable global elite), and every G20 nation has embraced the idea of mandatory “global health passports” to permit free movement of people during “the next pandemic.”
via Cartoons by Josh
haha – gotta love the expensive dentistry going on with the megaphone monster.
Who’s paying for that – is it beyond the bounds of possibility that it’s an attempt to say ‘Sorry’?
Sorry for what?
Sorry for everything, that’s what.
Just One Tiny Nugget and something that anyone with experience of (large) livestock will know and will resonate with.
The Minutia Miners (the ones promoting the junk) have turned up/realised that kids born/delivered via C-section (and subsequently growed up) were the ones who suffered significantly more damage from the recent ‘virus that can not be named’ than kids born ‘as Nature intended’
Once you learn of the barbaric experience that C-section delivery is, combined with experience of let’s say ‘Angus cows’ – it’s more obvious than a really obvious thing.
Also you’ll know, again from livestock, that babies (mammalian ones certainly) are Not Stupid Dumb Blind Little Things – that they have been soaking up every nuance of what’s around them since well before they were dragged into this world.
They know. They sense. They feel. (Grown-up girls do too)
And without them able to do much about it, it forms who and what they are.
yes and no.
Climate Science water torture is upsetting the kids but not in entirety what’s doing the damage to – it runs much much deeper…..
and asserting that CliSci is the one and only reason only twists the knife.
One way of looking at that is by saying that it’s exactly what Zombies would do to their victims – and what is actually upsetting the kids that they can see it clear as day – even from weeks if not months before they’re even born.
You gonna do anything about it – or bury your head in yet another mountain of minutia – or what laughably passes for ‘Science’ these days
edit to PS and alleviate some of the Cryptosity up there…
The C-section adults suffered because they missed out, within the first 3 or 4 hours of life, on the myriad benefits of poo (their own mother’s) and of Colostrum. Also simple skin-on-skin contact.
IOW. They were dragged into this world without an (effective) immune system and were effectively left all alone and told to ‘get on with it’ at the very instant they needed that as much as anything. It’s what differentiates Humans and Zombies
That is the barbarism.
And the Beeb is really pushing the psychological damages done.
This today: –
I’ll skip further comment, other than the damage done is great, and some will be angry when [and not if] the CAGW scam is exposed.
Others, unhappily, may turn their anger inwards, which would be very sad.
These people are absolutely insane!
Washington Post Columnist Tells Americans to Eat ‘Oyster’ Stuffing because of Climate Change | Newsbusters
And meanwhile I just scooped the ash out of my new fireplace insert and loaded it up and got it going again. It is now blowing money saving wood heated air again as it has pretty much continuously for the last 4 days. I am proud to be doing my part to emit more of the magic super heating molecule during these cold times.
Given her expectation of net zero and no fossil fuel that bird with the bullhorn is going to have to do a lot of work on her upper deck.
As per established example –
Post WW2 Churchill was on a speaking tour in Canada. For one particular venue the PA system went ack willie.
Seems he looked at the microphone, hurled it into the wings with the pronouncement in vocal volume –
“Having exhausted the resources of science we will now fall back on nature” and continued the address.
Work in the sense of tuning up her squeak – nothing implied about what might be covering that upper deck.
Well, the drip, drip, drip goes ever on.
“”It’s a miracle that any one of us is alive today. Those with the power to grant that miracle to future generations chose not to”” – George Moonbat Monbiot
Feel free to check out any time you like, George
“It’s a miracle that any one of us is alive today.”
Yep George,.. How you continue to exist without a single functional brain cell …
… certainly is a miracle !!
These plots show time series (updated daily) of snow cover extent (million km2).
This is not the end of snowfall on the Great Lakes.
Yep! This trucker is keeping an eye on it. At 04:30 Monday morning I depart for a run up to Holland, MI and back. Holland is very near the east coast of Lake Michigan and gets significant lake effect snows at times.
The wind at my central Indiana home is coming out of the south which indicates another front approaching from the NW. So it appears that front will pass through before Monday and the current forecast for Monday in Holland is: Sunny with a high of 39 deg. F.
Another wave of heavy snowfall over the Great Lakes has begun.
The polar vortex in the lower stratosphere has split into two centers, so the attack of Arctic air in the US will not end soon.
I’ve heard the word “historic” being applied to this lake effect snow event. (4 feet of snow predicted for Buffalo, NY.)
I also recall 8 feet of snow in 10 days around Oswego NY back in 2007.
I wouldn’t want to be in it but I don’t think this event deserves the word “historic” quite yet.
“the data does not support claims that extreme weather events are becoming more severe or more frequent”
The climatistas are probably blaming the massive snowstorm in western NY state to climate change. They can’t lose- unless it’s a perfect day, it’s climate change.
Yuh, I just saw a TV weather report saying just that- that the blizzard was due to climate change. Perhaps the glaciers will start growing again- and that of course will be due to climate change. Ad infinitum, ad naseum.
Ha! A near record low tornado season this year:
“Ha! A near record low tornado season this year”
The climatistas are probably terribly upset about this. The WANT more disasters to prove how right they are- make them feel better about themselves.
“Policies to prevent a climate disaster that will never arrive are likely to produce worse harms than climate change itself.”
Possibly including the war in Ukraine. If Europe hadn’t become dependent on Russian energy and wind and solar- rather than producing its own energy, Putin might not have had the guts to start his invasion.
On a more positive note :
The policies adopted by governments demonizing, and willfully destroying fossil fuel industries and preventing the use of cheap, reliable, abundant energy is the climate equivalent of the COVID lockdown policies. – The cost of lockdowns (not least the economy) on societies in so many aspects of life, particularly on children, are now being seen and will continue to manifest for years to come.
These unelected global elites, preaching their anti-human, anti-capitalist, deep green ecology ideologies, from the pulpits of the church of climate, masquerading behind their utterly false climate catastrophe. Our only redemption – to immediately repent our sins of our fossil past, come to the saviour, the holy green way of life.
It would be really nice to link to individual articles.