Another year, another United Nations Conference of the Parties (COP) on how to persuade the bogeyman of our age, climate change (CC), to cease misbehaving. Time – and money – is running out yet again.
With more than 30,000 delegates attending this “watershed moment” – yes, over 30,000 – COP27 will be full of sound and fury, dire warnings, purveyors of dodgy carbon credits, Including the UN’s own carbon offset platform , utopian fantasists and the usual crowd of jeremiahs, politicians and bureaucrats preaching “climate chaos”. Many will have form too, having spent years hyping the issue at every opportunity.
The event is being held in Sharm El Sheikh, a resort city located at the southern tip of Egypt’s South Sinai Protectorate. There has not been as much excitement here since the 1967 Six-Day War. The discovery of the Great Green Pyramid of Gaia a decade ago in the Ruba’ el-Khali (Empty Abode) also drew world attention to the region.
As the days turn into weeks, around midnight on the final day “transformative climate solutions” could emerge from COP27’s so-called “innovation hubs”. If so, they will include demands for more climate finance. Yet many developed countries are themselves moving closer to recession or worse after joining the UN’s Race to Zero. Aptly named, given its ultimate destination is surely the Valley of the Jackals or the Tomb of Anubis.
That said, the Race to Zero is promising to deliver virtually everything on a green activist’s wish list: “a healthy, resilient, zero carbon recovery that prevents future threats, creates decent jobs, and unlocks inclusive, sustainable growth.”
Led by “High-Level Champions” Mahmoud Mohieldin and Nigel Topping, it strives to “mobilize actors outside of national governments to join the Climate Ambition Alliance.”
A lot of countries also want a new UN fund to “compensate” them for any and all loss and damage inflicted on them – not by witches as in the 1589 case of Anne of Denmark – but allegedly by the developed world.
The UN’s existing $11 billion Green Climate Fund apparently is unable to take on this controversial role. It was, however, “delighted to attend the #COP27 high-level roundtable on the future of energy, exploring ways to harness Green Hydrogen for the benefit of developing nations. GCF is committed to playing its part to help accelerate access to renewable hydrogen at scale & unlocking its potential.”
As for the “loss and damage” concept, it has been tricky territory for years. In the unlikely event COP27 agrees to create another cash cow, presumably it would have to develop some way to determine how disasters would qualify for compensation, hopefully a methodology more sophisticated than the number of victims or a show of hands in a boardroom.
Yet why is every nasty “weather event” today assumed to be caused by dangerous anthropogenic CC (DACC)? Dismissing concerns about dodgy “climate-induced” attribution statements with more pseudoscience and alarmist rhetoric is a tactic, not an argument.
In simple terms, computers compare an imaginary climate without human-caused carbon dioxide with the current one full of unknown complexities. The modellers then announce they have ‘proved’ the ‘climate emergency’ hypothesis. Since the outputs of these models are unfalsifiable – one cannot prove that a wholly imagined scenario is ‘false’ – their notions are no more than worthless opinions. (Daily Sceptic, October 24, 2022)
To raise such matters publicly today, either in Egypt or anywhere, is probably enough to get one hanged or beheaded in the public square. One could quickly find oneself deep in the Red Sea without an aqualung. Anyway, few folk have the desire to commit DACC heresy; certainly not the UK’s new PM, Rishi Sunak.
Indeed, after a backward one-and-a-half, PM Sunak surprised everyone by flying to the COP27 World Leaders Summit. He urged global leaders to “move further and faster” to renewable energy (RE), to great applause. For according to UN agencies, RE is the only way humankind can get rid of nasty weather and limit global warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.
The WMO’s provisional 2022 State of the Global Climate report is, predictably, “a chronicle of climate chaos”:
a dizzying catalogue of worrying climate events, taking place against a backdrop of record levels of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide – the three main greenhouse gases that contribute to global warming – which is currently estimated to be around 1.15 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.”
Making the atmosphere of an entire planet dance to the UN’s tune is a big call. It would require rather more than rhetoric. A little divine intervention would help Gaia get her act together too.
For me there is still no way of confidently distinguishing so-called extreme weather from natural variability, or legitimising the dodgy attribution statements proliferating everywhere.
The UN, however, clearly believes demonising – and monetizing – a trace gas can get it a long way, especially in a world obsessed with getting its hands on all that “loss and damage” lucre on the way to Zero. Some folk even propose writing off developing country debt as “CC resilience” expenditure. What a novel idea.
As for the Russian invasion of Ukraine, PM Sunak suggested it actually “reinforced” the importance of ending dependence on the very “fossil fuels” (FF) now so desirable, not vice versa.
Ironically, the COP27 host country, Egypt, is the second-largest producer of natural gas in Africa. According to Chatham House’s Karim Elgendy, it is also emerging as a fossil gas hub for the eastern Mediterranean.
Egypt is one of only a few countries which failed to submit an updated NDC in 2021 and its upcoming update will not include an economy-wide carbon reduction target. The country also has never published a long-term strategy and has no decarbonization plans. Independent estimates suggest it should cut rising emissions by one-quarter by 2030, and by two-thirds by 2050 to be aligned with the Paris Agreement. This partly explains why observers rate Egypt’s climate action as highly insufficient. (Karim Elgendy, Chatham House, July 6, 2022)
As for the Curse of COP27, there are plenty of contenders for this title. Take your pick. A lot of punters are still backing Greta Girl. It’s a long shot. No longer the UN’s favourite poster child, she could be scratched from the big Race to Zero for being a no-show.
Climate activist Greta Thunberg has joked that she is adopting a “net-zero” approach to cursing, an apparent response to criticism of her use of strong language at a demonstration earlier this week.
The 18-year-old Swede was filmed singing “You can shove your climate crisis up your a**e” to the tune of well-known children’s song “She’ll be coming ‘round the mountain,” alongside fellow climate campaigners on the first day of the COP26 summit in Glasgow, Scotland.
Following a backlash by some over her choice in words, Thunberg posted a tongue-in-cheek response to her five million Twitter followers on Wednesday morning.
“I am pleased to announce that I’ve decided to go net-zero on swear words and bad language. In the event that I should say something inappropriate I pledge to compensate that by saying something nice. #COP26,” she wrote. (CNN, November 3, 2021)
Ms Thunberg, alas, still struggles to say something nicer about COPS than “blah, blah, blah”. She recently described them as an “opportunity for leaders and people in power to get attention, using many different kinds of greenwashing.”
Launching her book, The Climate Book, at the Southbank Centre London Literature Festival on October 30 this year, Thunberg said: “I’m not going to COP27 for many reasons. The space for civil society this year is extremely limited.”
So some bookies are turning their attention to Clap Trap, Fickle Folly, Hot Stuff, Miss Model, Monsoon Mischief and two previous winners with an impressive track record:
António Guterres: Humanity must co-operate or perish. The clock is ticking. We are on a highway to climate hell with our foot still on the accelerator. (UN Secretary General, address to world leaders, COP27, November 7, 2022)
The former vice-president of the United States, Al Gore, has just been speaking at COP27.
Al Gore: We have a credibility problem, all of us….we’re talking, we’re starting to act but we are not doing enough. We have to see the dash for gas for what it really is, a dash down a bridge to nowhere, leaving the countries of the world facing climate chaos and billions in stranded assets, especially here in Africa. (former US Vice President and Climate Reality Project Chairman, COP27, November 7, 2022)
A lot of money is on the curse of demography. According to the UN’s World Population Prospects 2022, the world population will reach eight billion next week, on November 15. India will surpass China as the world’s most populous country next year. Despite growing at its slowest rate since 1950, demographic momentum will still drive it to 8.5 billion in 2030 and at least 9.7 billion in 2050. For better or worse, the UN expects it to peak at 10.4 billion during the 2080s and remain near that level until 2100. If the “planet is sending a distress signal”, could it be that there are too many of us?
There is a probability of 95 per cent that the size of the global population will lie between 9.4 and 10.0 billion in 2050, and between 8.9 and 12.4 billion in 2100 (box III.1). Thus, the size of the world’s population is almost certain to rise over the next several decades.” World Population Prospects 2022
The biggest curse of all, of course, is the curse of existence. Everything is in a state of change, including the climate. Even with the best of intentions, we cannot create a global utopia with “climate stability”, one with a Goldilocks climate that would suit everyone, everywhere and forever. To believe otherwise is surely magical thinking.
It is not a comforting outlook. Worse still, as Nietzsche noted, Nature is indifferent to us.
Imagine to yourselves a being like Nature, boundlessly extravagant, boundlessly indifferent, without purpose or consideration, without pity or justice, at once fruitful and barren and uncertain: imagine to yourselves indifference as a power: how could you live in accordance with such indifference? (Friedrich Nietzsche, Beyond Good and Evil: Prelude to a Philosophy of the Future, 1886)
In some remote corner…of the universe there was once a star on which clever animal animals invented knowledge [and climate prophecy]. It was the most arrogant and mendacious moment of ‘universal history’: but only a moment. Nature took a few breaths and the star grew cold; and the clever animals had to die. Someone might invent such a fable as this and yet still not have illustrated well enough how pitiful, how shadowy and fleeting, how aimless and capricious the human intellect appears within nature. There were eternities in which it did not exist; when it has gone again nothing will have happened. For there exists for that intellect no mission extending beyond the life of man… (Friedrich Nietzsche, On Truth and Lies in a Non-moral Sense, 1873)
After three decades of CC hyperbole and the emergence of a “there is no planet B” religion, the future looks grim. We are either on a highway to climate hell, “backsliding” on a road to nowhere, or stuck on a swinging bridge over rising, troubled waters.
All one can do is seek refuge in an enclave of sanity somewhere, or a sacred text or verse. It will not be easy, but try to keep your head when all about you are losing theirs and blaming it on you and your pal, carbon dioxide.
The worldly hope men set their hearts upon
Turns ashes – or it prosper; and anon,
Like snow upon the desert’s dusty face
Lighting a little hour or two – is gone.
This article was posted in Australia at Quadrant Online on November 10, 2022: In Egypt, climate catastrophism as usual
Here in Australia Albo is flying further and talking faster. After all this he will need a long overseas holiday where he can spruik some more.
Come on man! Big Al is given 5 attempts to convince.
Once would be enough. Zero would be better.
I’m guessing you’re referring to the repeated sections in the article? Someone kept pasting away.
Or, what was that thing invented by dodgy stock-brokers? Ah yes, fat fingers!
Methane is my choice for homal warming gas for which I am especially grateful for in winter.
When anyone as bloated as Al Gore speaks of dash for gas, I’d duck and cover.
And don’t light a match!
United Nations Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
Associated Press – Jun 29, 1989
“A senior UN environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000”
United Nations 1989-The world is doomed without a climate deal
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Planet Earth 2022– A Scientific Climate Optimum for most life-Booming Biosphere-Global Greening-Polar Bears +25%-Deaths from Extreme Weather Down-Increasing Crop yields-No Climate Crisis!
Death by Greening:
Ironically, the UN would put a lump of coal in your stocking, if they could.
Great post, meteormike! I laughed all the way through it!
Yes, the UN and other climate doomsters have been declaring disaster is just around the corner for the last 30+ years.
Climate Alarmists have created a huge False Reality in which most of the Western world now lives. As a result, our economies and societies are being destroyed from within by our politicians, based on this False Reality.
See what you have caused, Micheal Mann? Of course, Micheal Mann has had a LOT of help since he first created the Big Lie Hockey Stick chart. A LOT of help. That’s why we are in the state we are in today. Western Society has been led into a State of Panic over the benign gas, CO2.
“benign gas, CO2”
I prefer the latter.
I would agree.
The way I usually put it is CO2 is a benign gas, essential for life on Earth.
When you read reports about the latest COP jamboree, organised to allow the alarmist influencers their annual Gore fest (sic). It is impossible to ignore the power group think has over humanity.
We don’t need to go back into history, to seek the cause of why so called ‘witches’ were pointlessly burned in their thousands. We don’t need to go to Central and South America to ask why virgins were pointlessly thrown down volcanoes by the pious seeking rain. We need to look, or at least the Climate Alarmists simply need to look in the mirror. That vision staring back at them is all they need, to understand what drives insane actions in everyday society. Those actions, whether climbing on motorway gantries, or throwing statues into canals, or soup over priceless works of art. Those brainless actions, ultimately result in obscene public demonstrations. The final stage of this mob insanity now present in ‘respectable/imaginary educated’ society, is the putting to death those considered out of line with the accepted or orthodox view. A view that is nothing other than the latest self perpetuating mass hysteria driving the mob on.
NB Being a virgin is no safeguard…. being a bystander is no safeguard either.
It would seem that hundreds of private jets flying into Egypt for a “climate” conference might warrant some mention of disfavor. But not a peep.
Instead, Just Stop Oil, harasses people trying to make it to work to support their families. And in some cases, they delay ambulances heading to a hospital, well “sorry” not even a can of soup for you.
AlGore, with a net worth of over $300,000,000, is starting to think about lowering his own carbon footprint … one of these days:
Mr. Gore’s mansion right outside of Nashville, TN is over 10,000 square feet, and uses about 12 times as much energy as the average homes in the area.
Pre-Divorce (Don’t know if Al still owns these)
The Gores had an oil-heated Plum Island, MA Cottage
The Gores had a $9 Million Ocean-View Villa in Montecito, CA
The Gores also had a home in Virginia, and another one in Carthage, Tennessee
Al Gore’s New $9 Million Ocean-View Villa in CA | American Enterprise Institute – AEI
As crazy as things have become, it wouldn’t surprise me to see “Just Stop Oil” continue to give Gore a free pass for his mansions and use of private jet, but then they attack the homeless for their use of oil-derived blue plastic tarps.
The COP events, now COP 27 included, have devolved into a giant Liars Contest. I watched President Let’s Go Brandon speak, and am pretty sure he is ahead in the contest. His only defense is that someone (Rice or Stein?) wrote his presentation and he only read it. Brandon also launched the “Climate Gender Equity Fund” at COP 27 you know, because it gets him more votes and, after all, it’s free taxpayer money.
CoP 27 should henceforth be known as Scam-El-Shakedown, as this is what it truly is. How anyone can watch this clown show and not recognise that they are being played beggars belief.
From the article: “In simple terms, computers compare an imaginary climate without human-caused carbon dioxide with the current one full of unknown complexities. The modellers then announce they have ‘proved’ the ‘climate emergency’ hypothesis. Since the outputs of these models are unfalsifiable – one cannot prove that a wholly imagined scenario is ‘false’ – their notions are no more than worthless opinions. (Daily Sceptic, October 24, 2022)”
Worthless opinions. CONfidence levels. Climate Alarmists have “CONfidence levels”. In other words, educated guesses. Educated guesses are not evidence of anything. And they may not be educated guesses. Their guesses/assertions may be based on politics instead, in this particular area of science. They certainly are not based on provable science.
“All one can do is seek refuge in an enclave of sanity somewhere”.
Friedrich Nietzsche ran out of brothels, was feverishly dying of syphilis, and spewed Hitler’s favorite insane tripe.
Not a good strategy.
I think the first step for these COP attendees to do is to stop exhaling CO2. That will solve a lot of problems.
You would think the climate alarmists, would have run out of adjectives by now to describe the peril we all face, but just like their false prophecies of doom, they keep creating new ways to describe the path the west is on. — extinction…lol!!