Somalia Says Drought Is Due to Climate Change, As They Demand Billions

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

h/t Paul Weldon

Are the droughts in Somalia due to climate change?

https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2022/oct/10/uk-lost-leadership-role-somalia-famine-drought-envoy

Inevitably the long running drought in Somalia has led to claims that climate change is responsible.

The first thing to note though is that the direct cause has been La Nina, which is now into its third years and invariably leads to drought in that part of the world.

But what are the longer term trends?

According to World Bank data, rainfall trends have been steadily increasing since the 1970s and 80s, the time of the Sahel drought which led to the Band Aid concerts, and which were the direct result of global cooling.

Over the longer period little has changed, though occasionally we get exceptionally wet years.

However the World Bank data is incomplete, particularly in the early years, where some regional data is estimated. And, of course, country averages may cover up the areas suffering most.

According to the BBC, the region suffering most from drought is just to the west of Mogadishu, known as the Bay region:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-63116210

https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/country/somalia/trends-variability-historical

The World Bank has good data for Bay, going back to 1901, and this actually shows a very similar pattern to the national data. Note that rainfall totals are higher than the national ones, which are lower because of the desert region to the north.

https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/user/login?destination=/country/somalia/trends-variability-historical&autologout_timeout=1

Undoubtedly the fact that La Nina is now in its third year has exacerbated the drought, but population growth, a ten-fold increase since 1950, is the main reason why droughts like these, which are perfectly natural and common events, now have such a human impact. The long running civil war, of course, has hardly helped matters either.

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Stephen Skinner
October 28, 2022 10:51 am

Somalia? Isn’t that the country where pirates demand huge ransoms for captured ships and crews? They have form and in fact they seem to have been doing this for centuries.

Zig Zag Wanderer
Reply to  Stephen Skinner
October 28, 2022 2:47 pm

Yup. The pirates have just gone establishment, and are now trying to extort a ransom from the Climate Slush Fund ™ instead.

John Bell
October 28, 2022 11:11 am

It’s a desert! Drought is normal in a desert.

Scissor
Reply to  John Bell
October 28, 2022 1:26 pm

Could be witches.

Duker
Reply to  John Bell
October 28, 2022 2:54 pm

And its only the worst ( this year) in a decade!

But I think its a regular 5-6 yr cycle just some are better or worse than others, as the last was 2017

David Anderson
October 28, 2022 11:19 am

Ironically, they also think the oil tankers that sail past their coast belong to them too.

rbabcock
October 28, 2022 11:26 am

Sam Kinison had it right – https://www.youtube.com/shorts/qelMhlI6f_o

Janice Moore
Reply to  rbabcock
October 28, 2022 11:31 am

Excellent! Except for the foul language, that was RIGHT ON THE MONEY (and the problem isn’t so much that food (better than money!) is being handed out, it is that the food does not reach the people the donors bought intended it for)).

Last edited 3 months ago by Janice Moore
Richard Page
Reply to  Janice Moore
October 28, 2022 12:46 pm

Bob Geldof would be so proud!

Janice Moore
Reply to  Richard Page
October 28, 2022 3:37 pm

“who is Bob Geldof?” I queried…. ah….

Here’s little bit about what happened to the money…

*** “People are dying because of their government,” says Jason Clay, an anthropologist studying famine in Ethiopia. “And what groups like Live Aid are doing is helping the government set up a system that is going to cause people to die for decades to come.”

***

In London’s West End, Live Aid’s executive director, Penny Jenden, is near exhaustion. After several weeks in Africa, she’s just emerged from an all-day advisory session, sifting through the more than 600 proposals for projects to be funded out of Live Aid’s enormous bankroll.

***

As Jenden speaks, Bob Geldof, Midge Ure, (cowriter of “Do They Know it’s Christmas?”), and others in Live Aid are posing in Sport Aid T-shirts at an athletic track in south London.

***

“Aid has always got political ramifications,” she says. “Just as famine has. It’s not just a matter of feeding people and that’s where the story ends.”

Asked what it would take to bring the starvation of millions in Ethiopia to an end, Jenden faces a hard truth and says, “Well, you would either have to be

the Ethiopian government or

the Russians.”

(Source: https://www.spin.com/2015/07/live-aid-the-terrible-truth-ethiopia-bob-geldof-feature/ )

Last edited 3 months ago by Janice Moore
Pat from kerbob
Reply to  Janice Moore
October 30, 2022 9:45 am

Yes
In the last 50 years, famines are entirely political not natural.
They are tools of governance

And any famines that arise from insane energy and fertilizer policy currently being enacted will be completely manmade as well.

Vuk
October 28, 2022 11:26 am

Mauna Loa is about to explode, so it will the CO2 chart
comment image
HONOLULU (AP) — Hawaii officials are warning residents of the Big Island that the world’s largest active volcano, Mauna Loa, is sending signals that it may erupt.
Scientists say an eruption isn’t imminent, but they are on alert because of a recent spike in earthquakes at the volcano’s summit.

Last edited 3 months ago by vuk
Retired_Engineer_Jim
Reply to  Vuk
October 28, 2022 11:40 am

It’s because of the CO2 increase.

Mr.
Reply to  Retired_Engineer_Jim
October 28, 2022 12:16 pm

and the methane.
Don’t forget the methane.

Scissor
Reply to  Retired_Engineer_Jim
October 28, 2022 1:28 pm

Again, it’s difficult to rule out witches. Might have to sacrifice a virgin or two.

EOM
Reply to  Scissor
October 30, 2022 7:06 pm

Mercy! Opportunistic palace guards here: Who would want to remain a virgin if it would lead being thrown into a volcano. Reminds me of modern morality being applied to various peoples’ daughters.

Janice Moore
Reply to  Vuk
October 28, 2022 11:43 am

Hi, Vuk 🙂 Several commenters will be glad to see that “Vuk is still around” (asking about a week ago, “Haven’t seen Vukcevic in awhile…”).

So, the CO2 rate will go up even faster, eh? And the observed surface temperature will almost certainly continue to do this…. 🤨

comment image

Last edited 3 months ago by Janice Moore
Vuk
Reply to  Janice Moore
October 28, 2022 11:49 am

Hi Janice,
Still around, but but been engrossed in the UK’s political pantomime.
Here is something that just caught my attention
 I do not want to imagine what result would be if a teρorist fires a burning hot bu11et into the pressurised tank in the compartment full of commuters, equipped with as an extra, the underfloor lithium batteries pack.
comment image

Last edited 3 months ago by vuk
Janice Moore
Reply to  Vuk
October 28, 2022 12:20 pm

😲 😨 😳 😖 😪

Richard Page
Reply to  Vuk
October 28, 2022 12:45 pm

All it needs is the self-driving capability touted for cars to be the perfect disaster movie!

Vuk
Reply to  Richard Page
October 28, 2022 1:01 pm

… or a moving disaster!

Redge
Reply to  Vuk
October 30, 2022 1:28 am

Puts a whole new slant on the song:

The runaway train came down the track and she blew!”

Zig Zag Wanderer
Reply to  Vuk
October 28, 2022 2:49 pm

Why would a train need batteries? It’s not as if you don’t know where it’ll be going.

auto
Reply to  Zig Zag Wanderer
October 29, 2022 8:40 am

But do you know when?
I suffered Southern Railways.
They didn’t.

Auto – now retired, so not commuting! Hurrah!

MarkW
Reply to  Vuk
October 28, 2022 12:42 pm

They only sample when the breezes are coming off the ocean. Even if Mauna Loa erupts it won’t impact the curve. If it becomes impossible to take uncontaminated samples, then the curve will end.

Edward Katz
Reply to  Vuk
October 28, 2022 2:33 pm

It must be due to climate change. After all, aren’t all natural and man-made disasters caused by it these days anyway? So why not volcanoes, earthquakes and tsunamis?

auto
Reply to  Edward Katz
October 29, 2022 8:41 am

You forgot meteors and meteorites!

Auto

Olen
October 28, 2022 11:43 am

Amazing how easy it is to encourage nations to jump on board with climate change. Climate change probably turned the forest, fertile fields and grasslands of Somalia to the desert it is today. Somalia surely must have a record of that to justify their claim.

Peta of Newark
Reply to  Olen
October 28, 2022 1:00 pm

Quote:”Climate change probably turned the forest, fertile fields and grasslands of Somalia to the desert it is today

Fix It For Ya:Humans using axes, fire and goats actually turned the forest, fertile fields and grasslands of Somalia to the desert it is today.

Quote:”Somalia surely must have a record of that to justify their claim.

Reply:Yes they do but they’re going to lie about it and get away with lying, because as all the really clever people know: The Radiation Is Re-emitted In All Directions

Make your bed and (haha) lie in it

btw: How did they manage to make all those extra people in such a short time?

Paging: Bob Geldof.
Any comment on that, Robert?
Was it Band Aid you sent or some other sort of ‘aid’

ron long
October 28, 2022 12:05 pm

Somalia, pirates, Blackhawk Down, average IQ 71, despite increasing rainfall they can’t manage to deal with the normal drought cycles? They lost support from Britain (maybe something to do with those pirate deals?), and now they figured out that the bandwagon for them to jump on is the CAGW reparations? Beam me up, Scotty, there’s no intelligent life on this planet.

Mr.
Reply to  ron long
October 28, 2022 12:18 pm

and don’t forget Ilhan Omar and her brother husband.

Janice Moore
Reply to  ron long
October 28, 2022 12:21 pm

Maybe not intelligent….. but cunning. Very cunning.

Redge
Reply to  Janice Moore
October 30, 2022 1:30 am

Cunning stunts

Tom in Florida
October 28, 2022 12:12 pm

Just noticing that the left side is in mm. Each 100 mm is slightly under 4 inches. In reality, not much variation.

Graham
Reply to  Tom in Florida
October 28, 2022 7:06 pm

The rainfall graph shows that 250 to 300 mm per year is all that Somalia can expect even in a good year .
That is not very much at all. In August the Nelson region of New Zealand had 172 mm over 3 days
Farmers and growers would have to make the best use of the rain to grow enough food to feed the population of the country .Which I would say would be an impossibility with such a low rain fall
I ask any one who might know the answer . How with all the wars and droughts how does a poor dry country increase its population by 8 times in 72 years?.
From 2.2 million in 1950 to 17.6 million today .
New Zealand had a population in 1950 of 1.9 million and now in 2022 the population is of 5.18 million with a lot of immigration adding to the numbers.
According to New Zealand Trade and Enterprise New Zealand grown produce feeds 40 million people .
Our communist prime minister Jacinda is hell bent on reducing this trade in the name of climate change .The methane tax will destroy the viability many sheep and cattle farms which will be converted to carbon forestry .
When will people wake up what these so called leaders are doing to the world .

Gunga Din
October 28, 2022 12:17 pm

Send the bill to China.

Stephen Skinner
Reply to  Gunga Din
October 28, 2022 3:16 pm

Send Joe to China

MarkW
October 28, 2022 12:38 pm

A country that exists in a desert, is whining about droughts?

John
October 28, 2022 12:54 pm

I smell scam all the way.

High Treason
October 28, 2022 1:06 pm

This chart echoes Andy Pitman’s comment that there is no link between drought and climate changehttps://m.youtube.com/watch?v=xnkjR2_Vqkw. Maybe I just need new glasses, but I don’t see a drying trend here on the chart.
Looks like they are jumping on the globalist extortion bandwagon. This flagrant extortion attempt might be met with being ignored if there is an actual crisis on a boy who cried wolf basis.

Climate believer
October 28, 2022 1:26 pm

“…and we don’t have one penny of that climate fund.”

Being consistently among the top 3 most corrupt countries in the world might have something to do with it.

Richard Hughes
October 28, 2022 1:45 pm

If someone had shown me that graph without any narrative – I would have concluded no noticeable change.

ResourceGuy
October 28, 2022 2:11 pm

Make sure the UN Secretary-General and the top climate leaders take a personal tour by car and helicopter of the countryside far away from the capital and away from security protection.

Redge
Reply to  ResourceGuy
October 30, 2022 1:32 am

Or just arrive by ship

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  Redge
October 30, 2022 9:49 am

Swim to shore.
Lots of sharks

Redge
Reply to  Pat from kerbob
October 30, 2022 10:14 am

Pirates in the sea, sharks in the UN

Myron
October 28, 2022 2:15 pm

If the leadership of any country believes that production of carbon dioxide is a problem I have just one question.
Why haven’t they banned unnecessary sources of CO2, such as tourism to their country?

ResourceGuy
October 28, 2022 2:21 pm

Sorry, but the funds were already spent on beach resort reservations, carbon capture schemes, climate poetry events, climate media ad buys, and John Kerry’s jet fuel bill. You are still welcome to stand in line behind countries claiming rising seas despite land subsidence evidence. Do you have any lithium to offer in trade or child labor?

Edward Katz
October 28, 2022 2:30 pm

Given the reputation for government inefficiency and corruption in developing world countries, billion dollar donations to fight climate change would be a classic case of throwing good money after bad. I’d like to see a nation-by-nation study of where all the foreign aid has gone over the years. I’d bet that most of it went into the pockets of autocratic leaders and a good chunk of the rest into propping up their police forces and militaries so that they could stay in power. But climate change? Just a minor inconvenience that has to be lived with.

Shoki Kaneda
October 28, 2022 5:44 pm

Uh, wait… Our current drought, unlike the thousands before it, was caused by CLIMATE CHANGE and is the fault of rich countries. But, we’ll forgive you if you send me us billions.

observa
October 28, 2022 6:09 pm

Well it’s the very very………. very last chance to ramp up the dooming rhetoric and grab shareholder returns from fossil fuel investments-
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/oct/27/world-close-to-irreversible-climate-breakdown-warn-major-studies
The empire of the green gravy train needs their piggy trough constantly filled as money printing has its limits with the deplorables getting testy over inflation.

Cam
October 28, 2022 6:09 pm

Lets ignore the fact that the country has been a failed state for over 30 years. Lets ignore the fact that the area is a naturally arid environment. And lets ignore the fact that we have perfect drought conditions for NE Africa (a 3 year La Nina and -ve IOD ‘double’ (one that climate catastrophists were saying a decade ago would never happen again)).

observa
October 28, 2022 7:56 pm

You can see what led Australia’s illustrious Climate Change Commissioner at the time Tim Flannery to make his ‘dams are never gunna fill’ prediction back in 2007 with the Murray Darling Basin and note the 1956 peak doozy-
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-27/murray-darling-basin-wettest-october-nsw-weather/101581498
However he with the crazed eyes wasn’t really a true climastrologist so moving right along he gets a pass with the dooming predictions-
https://theconversation.com/climate-and-floods-flannery-is-no-expert-but-neither-are-the-experts-5709

Andy Pattullo
October 29, 2022 11:24 am

If Somalia is complaining about not enough rain, but has experienced modest increase rainfall since 1970 during the raise in CO2 from developed country activities, should Somalia be compensating developed countries for the benefit? I am not seriously proposing that but it makes just as much sense as developing countries expecting to be paid for imaginary loss and damage from imaginary CAGW when real observations show no significant adverse changes in climate metrics that can be blamed on human activity. The international ambulance chasers are never going to stop till we make clear this is going nowhere.

charles zilich
October 29, 2022 11:42 am

that’s funny because here in columbus ohio they do the same thing. whole sections of town are zoned just for them.

Bob
October 29, 2022 12:22 pm

Drought or no drought that is not the issue this guy is whining because Briton is no longer Somalia’s number one sugar daddy. Maybe if Somalia could show vast improvements from the charity Briton has shown the Brits might reconsider. Why should any country throw money down a bottomless pit? No improvement, no more money. That sounds reasonable.

Andrew Dickens
October 29, 2022 1:55 pm

Like many African countries, Somalia’s population is doubling every 20 years. So whatever food they grow has more mouths to feed. So…. blame climate! And forget about those pesky tribal wars as well. Just blame climate!

Pat from kerbob
October 30, 2022 9:52 am

What’s the over/under on such shakedown demands in the lead up to COP27?

How many did we see in October, is anyone keeping count?

Because of course this is an orchestrated media narrative campaign

Bill Taylor
October 31, 2022 11:11 am

why do so many people that are supposed to be educated keep on claiming the climate causes stuff? the climate describes the PAST weather, it is NOT a force, it has NO POWER and has NEVER caused even one weather event.

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