Euro Energy Crisis: A Rare Opportunity to Recalibrate Priorities?

by Vijay Jayaraj

At least one developed economy is waking up from an energy slumber induced by the obsession with climate change. The new prime minister of the UK is seemingly leaving no stone unturned in her pursuit of energy liberation by appointing climate-skeptic ministers.

Given the decade-long dominance of anti-fossil fuel policies in the Western economies, this monumental policy shift is nothing short of a great awakening, one that may have been forced upon leaders by an existential energy crisis.

The Russian war in Ukraine, the uncertainty with OPEC oil production, and the post-pandemic economic recovery have together created a situation that cannot be ignored anymore. The political class has been forced to address the energy shortage. Sensible policies must be pursued and probably will be this winter if only out of a need to keep people from freezing to death.

In 2016, the Paris climate accord was signed by almost all countries. The objective was to address global warming through reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. Nations pledged to reduce their dependency on conventional energy sources like coal and oil.

What followed were the decommissioning of coal fired plants, closure of coal mines, high taxes on CO2 emissions and mandatory transition of electric grids to inefficient renewables. In the last five years alone, “half of Europe’s coal fleet has announced plans to close before 2030.” Even nuclear energy was snubbed in the mad rush for wind and solar technology.

These, along with a plethora of other measures, made the European and UK economies highly dependent on Russian natural gas.

With their quixotic parade to green utopia rudely interrupted, political leaders of the developed West face a crisis of soaring electricity costs and energy shortages.

Some utilities in the UK said they cannot provide new power connections to certain small businesses. Businesses that do have a power connection are dismayed by unaffordably high price quotations for the coming year — as much as 10 times more than current levels. An average household in Europe is expected to pay three times more for energy bills in 2023 ($500 per month) compared to 2021 prices ($160 per month). Goldman Sachs has warned that Europe’s household electrical bills could surge by $2 trillion by next year.

Neither wind nor solar could address the grave energy situation as both are intermittent technologies that are incapable of delivering large amounts of baseload electricity and meeting on-demand needs. With no choice left, the European countries have turned to coal and nuclear. While France is readying its dormant nuclear plants for winter, Germany has already increased its reliance on coal.

However, perhaps the bigger news is that the UK’s new cabinet will now allow fracking to resume in the UK, thus providing Britons with domestic gas that would be cheaper than imports and eventually bringing down astronomical energy bills.

The UK’s move to utilize hydrocarbons to address the energy crisis, in a surprisingly unashamed and open manner, may very well trigger a revival of the fossil fuel sector across Europe. The coming winter will require increased energy production in the temperate European regions, and leaders cannot continue to hide behind the Russian gas shortage as a justification for their inaction. With the World Meteorological Organization predicting a cooling of oceans due to the La Niña weather pattern, the 2022 winter has the potential to bring brutally cold spells for Europe.

Britain’s leaders have enough time to make alternative arrangements to meet the oncoming winter’s energy demand. They can finally do away with the “no-coal policy,” and their sovereign status gives them enough freedom to use more coal to keep the lights on. However, if they take a defensive approach — like French President Macron who has asked consumers to reduce

This is the perfect opportunity for European leaders to move beyond the veneer of deceptive green policies that threatens economic disaster and misery for citizens. For some, unfortunately, it may be too late to avoid either.

This commentary was first published at Biz Pac Review, September 26, 2022, and can be accessed here.

Vijay Jayaraj is a Research Associate at the CO2 Coalition, Arlington, VA. He holds a masters degree in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia, UK and resides in India.

5 18 votes
Article Rating
101 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Ben Vorlich
September 28, 2022 2:05 pm

The way things are going in the UK we’ll have Bunter back in charge by the end of next week. Starmer a couple of months later.

alastair gray
Reply to  Ben Vorlich
September 28, 2022 2:29 pm

No politician has yet said outright that Net zero is a load of total bollox, and here is what we must do to reverse 30 years of green delusion. Present government may be making baby steps in the right direction but we still need a bitingly cold winter to focus the attention of our governing elite. And even then I am not convinced that apocalypse is not a bug but a feature of the game plan.

Mr.
Reply to  Ben Vorlich
September 28, 2022 5:36 pm

Bullshit.

TeaPartyGeezer
Reply to  Ben Vorlich
September 28, 2022 7:51 pm

S P A M !!!

lee
Reply to  Ben Vorlich
September 28, 2022 7:59 pm

You have friends? Why didn’t they put you on to the sweet deal?

Gary Pate
Reply to  Ben Vorlich
September 28, 2022 9:43 pm

Eric Cartmans mom.

Dave Fair
Reply to  Gary Pate
September 29, 2022 10:11 am

She’ll screw you in more ways now.

KcTaz
Reply to  Ben Vorlich
September 30, 2022 3:42 am

Not knowing British political figures all that well, other than the majors, I have no idea what you are implying. A bit of an explanation would be a good thing to provide on a US web site. It’s hard enough to keep up with US political figures, let alone British ones, you know?

Richard Page
Reply to  KcTaz
September 30, 2022 7:51 am

Liz Truss, the latest PM, has initiated the first in a series of measures designed to boost the UK economy and provide energy security. They will take time to take effect but the short term effects are causing some Tories, international investment brokers, the MSM and opposition parties to collectively wet their panties and scream for Truss’ removal as she has ‘wrecked’ the economy – all in less than a week. Very few have bothered to see what this might do as a longer term strategy, they are just opening fire on Truss with little or no ammunition. It’s a rather pathetic and embarrassing display that has really only served to identify the idjits that should never get anywhere near to positions of power or influence.

ex-KaliforniaKook
Reply to  Richard Page
September 30, 2022 1:18 pm

I got that. I just haven’t heard of Bunter and Starmer. Wikipedia is the only source of info I can find on them, and it is so slanted politically I have no idea what they are about.

Richard Page
Reply to  ex-KaliforniaKook
September 30, 2022 2:50 pm

Bunter is Boris Johnson, aka BoJo the clown, Starmer is leader of the opposition. Both are green activists masquerading as career politicians, both broke Covid lockdown and both are people you wouldn’t have as leader of a political party if there was a credible alternative. Their actions to date seem to indicate they’re trying to appease the London elite greens at the expense of the majority of the country, the ‘little people’.

Tom Halla
September 28, 2022 2:05 pm

Wind and solar are not practical. Having a dual system to avoid the intermittency problem inevitably raises prices.

BobM
September 28, 2022 2:22 pm

I bet all that extra fossil fuel use won’t show up at all in the normal rise of atmospheric CO2.

KcTaz
Reply to  BobM
September 30, 2022 3:46 am

The dual system is managing to even make otherwise clean and truly “green” nuclear polluting with increasing not only non-polluting CO2 but real pollutants.

Duke Energy application points finger at solar for increased pollution
http://bit.ly/2qU0grH

…“After committing $2 billion in tax credits, and more than $1 billion in electricity overpayments for solar power, we now learn from Duke that nitrogen oxides have actually increased, and that CO2 may be headed in the wrong direction,”
…“Renewable energy sounds good, but it performs terribly. If you want electricity available when you need it, you don’t want intermittent, unreliable, renewable energy,” Kish said. “It’s like a cancer on an efficient grid, with its ups-and-downs forcing other sources to pick up the slack in the most inefficient ways, which, in some cases, are more polluting…”

Michael in Dublin
September 28, 2022 2:31 pm

I am not Truss fan, nor of any English politician, but I hope she succeeds with the energy U-turn, gets the UK energy independent and that this gives the economy a massive boost. If this happens it will be a delight to see how embarrassing this is for the snarky Europeans.

michel
Reply to  Michael in Dublin
September 28, 2022 3:58 pm

Are you OK with Scottish, Welsh and Northern Irish politicians? Or is it all British politicians you are not a fan of?

BobM
Reply to  Michael in Dublin
September 28, 2022 4:06 pm

Not knowing EU or English politics, it does seem like this would perhaps not be doable without Brexit. Am I wrong on that? Does having control back in London rather than Brussels for such things matter greatly?

TheFinalNail
Reply to  BobM
September 28, 2022 6:03 pm

Does having control back in London rather than Brussels for such things matter greatly?

Yes, now we can pollute our own rivers with human excrement in order to increase the profits of privatised water companies and the EU can do nothing to stop us. Result.

BobM
Reply to  TheFinalNail
September 28, 2022 6:47 pm

Ummm, not exactly the kind of reply I was hoping for…

Joao Martins
Reply to  BobM
September 29, 2022 6:47 am

Yes, you are right about the Final sNail answer. As a matter of fact, the EU only cares about human excrement when that is in the interest of the bureaucrats in Brussels, Strasbourg, etc. As you have recently seen, re the Italian elections: “Beware Italians, we have means to make you go on swimming in human excrement if you do not vote as we ordered!”

And yes, you are right when supposing that for a country pursuing a rational energy policy is impossible when it belongs to the EU: lots of blackmail, chicanery, tradeoffs, “protection” payments, etc.

And yes, the PROPOSED changes (we must wait and see if they come true!) by Truss would be impossible without Brexit.

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  TheFinalNail
September 28, 2022 7:12 pm

Hey look, it’s a mindless comment.
Thanks for that, I was getting worried

spren
Reply to  TheFinalNail
September 28, 2022 7:14 pm

You left-wing fools are completely out of your minds. What a ridiculous response. So the people closest to problems are too stupid to solve them, but bureaucrats living far away and completely removed are the answer?! My goodness. You must be very crazy.

Graemethecat
Reply to  TheFinalNail
September 29, 2022 1:22 am

Leftist Greentards like you are having a rough time right now. Get used to it.

KcTaz
Reply to  TheFinalNail
September 30, 2022 4:10 am

Why is it that Climate Change True Believers always try to derail threads involving actual science with idiotic, utterly irrelevant and idiotic comments like yours? Do you really believe that if a company is private they not only want to but will pollute?

Has it occurred to you that that speaks very poorly of the same governments you seem to think are so pure and noble? A private company cannot violate pollution laws without politicians and bureaucrats giving them a nod and a wink that it’s fine, can they?

I would, also, point out that in the US, a number of public water companies have been polluting with abandon, especially, in the case of lead. See the Public Water Company in Flint, Michigan, for just one and now other cities, we are finding, all with public water companies who are doing the same things.

Meanwhile, a significant portion of the second and third world have no clean drinking water at all and drink water with feces in it. Think for a moment of what could be done with all the money wasted on the non-existent climate change issue if it were spent on cleaning up the drinking waters of the world’s poor.
Concern about all of the billions being wasted on the climate change con while the poorest of the world didn’t even have clean drinking water and live on a dollar a day is why the researcher published those emails.

I suspect you don’t really care at all about this issue and the plight of the poor doesn’t bother you in the least but you should. There are many real problems in this world. You are not helping to solve them.

TheFinalNail
Reply to  Michael in Dublin
September 28, 2022 5:59 pm

Erm, if you’re a Dub, then aren’t you one of those ‘snarky Europeans’ yourself?

Richard Page
Reply to  TheFinalNail
September 29, 2022 6:49 am

There are Europeans and there are ‘snarky’ Europeans!

Oldseadog
Reply to  Michael in Dublin
September 29, 2022 2:25 am

Michael in Dublin, I would point out that the introduction of increased fracking only applies to England, the fishwife says that the ban in Scotland will remain so the plan does not apply to the “UK”.

OweninGA
Reply to  Oldseadog
September 29, 2022 3:54 am

She shouldn’t allow any of that “dirty” fracked gas to be sent to Scotland, nor any of the electricity generated from it. Scottish winters are much colder than England’s, maybe they will get the message. I only hope not too many folks die from the cold and dark.

Peta of Newark
Reply to  Oldseadog
September 29, 2022 5:02 am

Thing is, as far as I know, Scotland is entirely different from England in its geology.
Scotland is sat upon a humongous lump of very ancient, and hard, rock.
I don’t think there’s anything much in the way of shale under Scotland – there’s nothing there to go fracking for. Apart from maybe a bit of Radon coming out of the granite.
Likewise Wales
That Scotland and Wales banned fracking anyway is a measure of the level of virtue signalling and paranoia we now have to endure
But that sums up climate change and explains the entire mess we’re now all in – Act First and Think Later

It’s why The Kids (as we keep hearing about) are all depressed to the point of suicide – they are actually scared shitless by the irrational behaviours of their own parents. teachers, scientists and politicians

Oldseadog
Reply to  Peta of Newark
September 29, 2022 5:32 am

No, Peta, we have lots of frackable gas strata here. Parrafin Young started the extraction of Parrafin from shale near the surface a long time ago, and of course we still have enough high quality coal to last us for almost 300 years if only we were allowed to use it.

Reply to  Oldseadog
September 29, 2022 1:28 pm

Oldseadog,
I believe the correct inclusive term is “Fishspouse” these days . . . .

Auto.

mwhite
Reply to  Michael in Dublin
September 29, 2022 9:55 am

https://dailysceptic.org/2022/09/28/liz-trusss-net-zero-review-to-be-led-by-creator-of-current-policy/

“I’m delighted to have been invited by the PM to conduct a review into meeting our Net Zero commitments in the most economically-efficient way.
I’m committed to ensuring we continue to lead the world in our Net Zero plans in a way that is pro-business and pro-growth 1/2”

Chris Skidmore MP

Reply to  mwhite
September 29, 2022 1:32 pm

Perhaps Chris Skidmore, MP, may be given some science training in the intervening week?
I can hope, I suppose.

Auto

Richard Page
Reply to  Auto
September 30, 2022 8:00 am

Not sure that’ll be necessary. I think he’s being tasked with identifying the real world practicalities of Deben’s “and then a miracle occurs” step in the magical thinking net zero ‘plan’. Skidmore and by extension, Deben and the Green politicians, is being held to account for years of wishful thinking masquerading as policy.

jeffery P
September 28, 2022 2:31 pm

Winter is coming. What changes can be made in the few months before cold weather sets in? Can any policy changes at this stage make a difference with so little time?

4 Eyes
Reply to  jeffery P
September 28, 2022 4:16 pm

Agreed. Climate and weather patterns have a much longer cycle time than the political cycle.

tgasloli
Reply to  jeffery P
September 28, 2022 4:18 pm

Of course not.

Ron Long
Reply to  jeffery P
September 28, 2022 6:04 pm

Get out of town. Africa maybe? Government subsidy for “climate reasons” travel. Fixed it.

Editor
Reply to  jeffery P
September 29, 2022 5:19 am

No policy is going to make a real difference for the start of winter. However, the gas companies have said that if fracking is permitted straight away then they can get the first gas flowing by January. Too late for most of the winter, but it should help. By next winter, things should be much improved, unless The Swamp manage to stop anything useful from being done (they are surely going to go flat out to ensure that the UK’s problems do not get solved).

It doesn't add up...
Reply to  jeffery P
September 30, 2022 3:53 am

Every month of delay in initiating policy changes is another month when prices will remain higher than they need be before increased supply reduces them. A persistent political attitude of no change means that markets will build in a longer and longer period before adjustment takes place. Over that period supply must be eked out. If you want to consume today that can come at the expense of consuming tomorrow, and so through the future. You pay a premium to consume today until you learn the lesson that you need more supply. If you announce policy changes the market can be more relaxed because it can see a way ahead.

Rationing for 2 years will be much less harsh than rationing for 10 years, or however long it takes for a revolution. If we get to a revolution there will if course be an economic collapse attached before we get to pick up the pieces.

Last edited 1 month ago by It doesnot add up
Richard Hughes
September 28, 2022 2:42 pm

Well, you must be reading something different from the rest of us.

Truss is still trussed up by the net zero and all the waffle that goes with it. Ree Smog has allowed fracking BUT only where people locally want it = nimbys = never….

And she has appointed someone no-one has ever heard of but is apparently on the end scale of climate bedwetting called Chris Skidmore to lead a review = result already preordained. I once had hope of Truss but now = nil.

TheFinalNail
Reply to  Richard Hughes
September 28, 2022 6:01 pm

Not to mention appointing a Chancellor who has pretty much tanked the UK economy with his first pronouncement.

Iain Reid
Reply to  TheFinalNail
September 29, 2022 1:57 am

Mr Nail,

it is only the global finacial people that are dismayed, not the real world.

Harrow Sceptic
Reply to  Iain Reid
September 29, 2022 5:45 am

For those in the real world trying to buy a house/flat are more than dismayed. They have been well and truly scr**wed. Potential lenders have withdrawn mortage offers as they do nor know what repayment rate to charge. And that’s just one knock on effect hitting people in the “real World”

Rud Istvan
September 28, 2022 2:43 pm

It is easy for greenies to ignore reality. It is not so easy for them to ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.

AndyHce
Reply to  Rud Istvan
September 28, 2022 3:14 pm

Not hard so far.

Matt Kiro
Reply to  Rud Istvan
September 28, 2022 4:07 pm

The current US president seems to be doing both.

Old Man Winter
Reply to  Matt Kiro
September 28, 2022 5:39 pm

He’s best suited to ignore reality!

Bid3stat.jpg
slow to follow
September 28, 2022 3:12 pm

The new prime minister of the UK is seemingly leaving no stone unturned in her pursuit of energy liberation by appointing climate-skeptic ministers.”

These sceptics?:

Chair of the Net Zero Review Chris Skidmore said:

The UK continues to lead the world on tackling climate change, having been the first G7 country to commit in law to net zero carbon dioxide emissions by 2050.

This review seeks to ‘double down’ on how we can ensure that our energy transition happens at the same time as maximising the economic opportunity for businesses and households across the country, providing huge opportunities for innovation, investment, exports and jobs. I want to ensure that net zero isn’t just viewed as the right thing to do for our environment- but becomes an essential driver of economic growth.

I’m kicking off a 3-month review today to find the best ways of making this happen – speaking to as many people in as many sectors and regions as possible, to ensure the review generates fresh policy ideas that can ensure we deliver a ‘big bang’ moment for net zero.

Secretary of State for Business and Energy, Jacob Rees Mogg, said:

The government remains committed to reaching our net zero emissions targets, but with Russia weaponising energy across Europe we must make sure we do so in a way that increases energy security and does not place undue burdens on businesses or consumers.

Chris Skidmore’s rapid review will help us identify how best to make that happen, while also ensuring all parts of the UK reap the economic benefits of tackling climate change that I have no doubt will be on offer.”

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/chris-skidmore-launches-net-zero-review

Richard Page
Reply to  slow to follow
September 28, 2022 3:29 pm

There was a recent UK High Court ruling that stated Deben’s net zero plan was vague and weak, it said that the plan must address costs, impacts and be a full assessment of the net zero plan. This is what Truss has appointed Skidmore to do, which is a pretty daunting task for a green advocate. Truss can send it back for more information if she wants and, if it is fully costed, reject net zero as being unworkable and not cost-effective. It might be a very canny move; appeasing the eco crowd by appointing Skidmore, making it a near-impossible task which, if completed, may give her enough ammunition to sink net zero, all provided by the greens (which they could hardly complain about). We have to give Truss a chance and see what happens – she has to tread carefully at first not to antagonise the green Tories and eco-loons in the MSM but this may be a good start.

slow to follow
Reply to  Richard Page
September 28, 2022 4:16 pm

I appreciate, but don’t share, your optimism on either the motivation or possible outcome of this review. The fact that “net zero” has got this far without any critical examination demonstrates that reason will not prevail. There are only costs. There are no benefits whatsoever: they are based on escaping purely imaginary or invented damages. In this make believe world, the review inputs and assumptions will remain unchallenged and the outputs will be as useful as rearranging the deck chairs on the deck of the Titanic.

slow to follow
Reply to  Richard Page
September 29, 2022 12:32 am

A critical analysis of the Skidmore review’s potential for change:

https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/a-rethink-on-net-zero-no-we-can-expect-skidmore-of-the-same%EF%BF%BC/

plus, a view on the “sceptic” credentials of the Truss cabinet:

https://www.desmog.com/2022/09/23/how-climate-friendly-is-the-new-truss-government/

KcTaz
Reply to  slow to follow
September 30, 2022 4:25 am

If desmog blog is against Truss, there is hope that she will actually do something. I’d be really worried if they supported her.

LadyLifeGrows
Reply to  Richard Page
September 29, 2022 9:49 am

There is an elephant in the room much bigger than the economics picture. Greenies are trying to eliminate the source of all life. They have openly admitted hating human beings and wanting to kill most of us. But it does not stop there. They want to kill all the dogs, cats, giraffes, cattle and sheep (methane emitters!) as well. And all the birds and the bees and the grass and the trees, all the pollen that makes you sneeze. And all the moss and lichen and yeast and bacteria–if it contains carbon, they want to KILL it.
Everything alive on land depends on carbon dioxide for photosynthesis.

Sturmudgeon
Reply to  LadyLifeGrows
September 29, 2022 6:52 pm

Not the cigarette trees or the big rock candy mountain, I hope.

KcTaz
Reply to  Richard Page
September 30, 2022 4:18 am

Thank you, Richard. I do hope you are right. In today’s world, God knows, we need all the hope we can get. I pray you are correct.

Richard Page
Reply to  KcTaz
September 30, 2022 8:02 am

So do I, so do I.

niceguy
September 28, 2022 3:13 pm

Change course? Nope!
Macron goes full in with solar, offshore wind, etc.

Climate believer
Reply to  niceguy
September 28, 2022 11:02 pm

Oh how we despise our little crétin of a president…

Douchebag.jpg
Jimmy Haigh
September 28, 2022 3:30 pm

Truss is giving some cause for optimism – but I’m not yet convinced. Isn’t she just another WEF spawn?

TheFinalNail
Reply to  Jimmy Haigh
September 28, 2022 6:06 pm

Truss is giving some cause for optimism…

Eh? Her own party is already plotting to oust her. 3 weeks in. Must be a record.

Editor
Reply to  TheFinalNail
September 29, 2022 5:22 am

So she really is on the right track.

Richard Page
Reply to  TheFinalNail
September 29, 2022 6:54 am

No evidence of that except an overblown story in the MSM. Do you have a single shred of evidence to support your claim?

son of mulder
September 28, 2022 3:31 pm

At the moment the UK Chancellor and PM are being bombarded by challenge/criticism from the global markets and the IMF. The intervebtion by the IMF was actually nakedly political.. they can ****off.The UK press is piling in saying that the actions of currency speculators over the weekend means that the Chancellor must reverse his financial statement last Friday. It’s madness and the PM and Chancellor have to stand firm. Essentially 2 immediate changes were made, Stamp Duty was eliminated on house prices upto £250K (if you buy a home you pay a tax … bonkers) also a cap was put on energy costs as very many would otherwise default over winter as gas/electricity prices would increase 4 fold…short term sensible to prevent possible deaths from the cold.

They have to frack like mad and build nuclear like there’s no tomorrow. The UK has the second lowest borrowing to GDP ratio in the G7 yet the faux outrage piled on our new government would normally be expected if we were a banana republic. The globalists hate us. The tax cuts and tax increase reversals don’t take effect until next April and further financial statements and a proper budget will happen before then yet the pressure builds. Crazy, at last we’re getting some proper financial governance which will encourage inward investment, domestic energy security and further liberation from the cast off chains of the EU antidemocratic fanatics.

Julian Flood
Reply to  son of mulder
September 28, 2022 6:17 pm

Frack like mad? There are, it is said, lots of fracking rigs idle in the US. Ms Truss has said that fracking will only happen with the consent of local communities. There are no urgent actions to produce cheaper energy – they are, for example, pressing ahead with Sizewell C, an almost unbuildable French EPR, which needs a redesign of its containment vessel before work even starts.

Maybe she’s got a cunning plan, prat about until the lights go out and kick Net Zero into the long grass, but putting a Green dimbo in charge of the review doesn’t look promising.

Phil Conners, the met man in Groundhig Day, made a forecast. It’s gonna be cold. It’s gonna be dark. And it will last the rest of your lives. If we have a hard winter that could be what’s coming.

JF

markl
September 28, 2022 4:19 pm

People are waking up to the fact that throwing more money at wind and solar won’t give you reliable and affordable electricity to run your homes, cities, and industries. We are witnessing the “tipping point” of renewables and it isn’t pretty.

Bob
September 28, 2022 5:24 pm

Very good report, easy to read, this needs wide distribution.

Mr.
September 28, 2022 5:44 pm

Brit pollies are cut from the same cloth as all the other current western pollies –

All are sh1t-scared of raising their heads above the ramparts.

Might attract enemy fire, and they aren’t wearing their brown trousers.

Edward Katz
September 28, 2022 5:55 pm

Putin’s actions were exactly what was needed to show the supporters of Green technologies how ineffectual wind and solar really are when large amounts of heat and electricity are needed. Now governments, faced with increasing wrath from consumers, businesses and industries at sky-high energy costs, will be forced to face reality and restore fossil fuels, hydro and solar and never mind the hogwash about protecting the planet and civilization from some sort of ”existential threat”.

KcTaz
Reply to  Edward Katz
September 30, 2022 4:34 am

Edward, I agree, they will do that, or they will kill their citizens. I am really not at all certain of which path they will choose.

Felix
September 28, 2022 5:57 pm

“the UK’s new cabinet will now allow fracking to resume in the UK”

Does anyone with actual UK fracking knowledge / experience know how soon they could actually start producing natural gas?

Political bloviating or guesses extrapolated from US experience or what somebody’s third cousin’s hairdresser’s oil rig worker heard is useless; keep it to yourself.

DaveS
Reply to  Felix
September 29, 2022 5:01 am

You ask the key question. Leaving decision making at local level is a cop-out – local authorities are much more likely to cave in to the inevitable protests and objections from eco-loons. If there’s no resolve at national level to push on with this it could all fizzle out and nothing will ever get done.

Richard Page
Reply to  DaveS
September 29, 2022 7:01 am

The emphasis being on ‘local’ not national bussed-in protestors to produce opposition where there is very little. If this situation can be avoided then local councils may not cave to the green blob quite so easily – especially if a proportion of fracking revenues stay with the local council.

KcTaz
Reply to  Richard Page
September 30, 2022 4:38 am

Good point. There is no politician in the world with half a brain who refuses money.

Richard Page
Reply to  KcTaz
September 30, 2022 8:06 am

Yup. It seems to be a feature of their design – politicians brains and wallets are interchangeable components!

KcTaz
Reply to  DaveS
September 30, 2022 4:37 am

Yes, it is very easy to manufacture protests these days. There are lots of paid protestors along with the fools whose life ambition is to protest. However, when Brits are freezing, they may have a say in the matter with protests of their own.

Editor
Reply to  Felix
September 29, 2022 5:33 am

“Francis Egan, chief executive of Cuadrilla, says that ‘if planning didn’t take three years for each frack job then gas could be produced within just a couple of months of moving equipment on site’.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11240819/Fracking-UK-unlock-4-trillion-gas-lower-energy-bills-create-jobs-says-Matt-Ridley.html

Felix
Reply to  Mike Jonas
September 29, 2022 7:50 am

Thanks! I know bureaucracies slow down everything possible, that’s job security, but I did not know it was so extreme.

Chris Hanley
September 28, 2022 6:04 pm

Dr Benny Peiser has written an open letter to both UK political leaders urging the declaration of an energy emergency on national security grounds.

Old Man Winter
September 28, 2022 6:29 pm

Wind- or lack thereof- could be just as bad for the UK as a long, cold winter
would be. For 3/21-29/2022, London had ~7 days straight & 8 of 9 days
where the surface wind averaged <5mph & the other day it was 11mph.
Glasgow had 8 days averaging <3.5mph & 1 day @ 9mph. The very low gap
in production shows on the Gridwatch graph below.

Other dates when it was just as bad:
2/8-12/2015 London 4.5mph; Glasgow 6.5d 4.3mph;
1/16-25/2017- (smog) London ~1d 8mph, 9d <2.5mph; Glasgow 3d 10mph,
8.5d ~4mph;

Solar’s capacity factor is already quite low @ <10% but wind was closer to
40%, even in less windy 2021. It’s there that the UK can suffer its
greatest RE loss, especially when timely availability is the key factor.
The most common amount of consecutive windless days used in planning
examples is 5 days. They may want to use at least 7 for planning to be
more realistic!

https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/uk/london/historic

https://gridwatch.co.uk/WIND

Izaak Walton
September 28, 2022 7:25 pm

Fracking is not going to reduce energy bills in the UK by even one cent. Energy prices are determined by the cost of the last unit of energy supplied and which is always going to be gas. And since gas prices are set by the international market it doesn’t matter whether the gas is produced via fracking, from the north sea or internationally the price is the same. And even were fracking in the UK economically viable (the geology is not favourable) the producers are going to sell it on the international market since that is how they would maximise their profits.

On top of which it would take a least a decade for there to be a significant increase in gas supplies from fracking. So it is not going to help do anything about fuel costs in the near future.

John Pickens
Reply to  Izaak Walton
September 28, 2022 8:42 pm

This is, perhaps, the most economically illiterate comment ever made on WUWT.
By your logic, removing Russian gas from the market has no effect on the price of gas set solely by the “international market”. And a decade to get British fracked gas to market in significant amounts? If British businesses were given leave to rapidly get into production, it could happen before the end of this Winter.

I remember when pundits claimed it would take 20 years to extinguish the oil well fires set by the losing Iraqi army in Kuwait.
There were predictions of a “nuclear winter” from the smoke.

It took ten months.

Last edited 2 months ago by John Pickens
Izaak Walton
Reply to  John Pickens
September 28, 2022 10:01 pm

John,
This is what the founder of Caudrilla (the only commercial fracking company in the UK) has to say:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/sep/21/fracking-wont-work-uk-founder-chris-cornelius-cuadrilla

And the comparison with Russia is nonsense. Russia supplies a significant portion of Europe’s gas so removing that would have a major impact on gas prices. Britain were fracking to work would supply a tiny amount and so would have a tiny impact on prices.

Editor
Reply to  Izaak Walton
September 29, 2022 5:35 am

I repeat:
“Francis Egan, chief executive of Cuadrilla, says that ‘if planning didn’t take three years for each frack job then gas could be produced within just a couple of months of moving equipment on site’.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11240819/Fracking-UK-unlock-4-trillion-gas-lower-energy-bills-create-jobs-says-Matt-Ridley.html

Alan Millar
Reply to  Izaak Walton
September 29, 2022 1:44 am

How dim can some people be?

Tell me dimbo, why are gas prices massively lower in the USA as compared to Europe? Why are they not paying the ‘international market’ price?

Could it be due to their huge domestic production which also allows them to be a big exporter of gas in addition to covering their domestic consumption?

What do you think?

Richard Page
Reply to  Izaak Walton
September 29, 2022 7:05 am

I think the intention might be to make sure there is enough gas to keep the lights on, not single-handedly lower the world-wide prices. Either by accident or design you are completely missing the fracking point.

Drake
Reply to  Izaak Walton
September 30, 2022 9:42 am

Apparently in 2005 the UK was almost completely natural gas self sufficient.

What happened to change that.

Perhaps brain dead policies as you would support, Izaak?

BTW, how much export capacity does the UK have? If they can’t ship the gas out, then price is far less dependent of world prices, as, for example, in the US, where there is far more capacity then the ability to export, although they are building more gas export terminal capacity.

Richard Page
Reply to  Drake
September 30, 2022 2:56 pm

We have been able to ship the gas in up to now, so it stands to reason we should be able to ship it out. The only sticking point I can see is on-site storage or pipelines to the terminals.

IanE
September 29, 2022 1:05 am

I fear that you misunderstand what is happening in the UK. Truss is simply trying to calm the saner of her MPs by promising energy realism whilst making actual action virtually impossible. Firstly, she has potentially allowed fracking BUT only if locals allow it – this won’t happen because of the long years of terror language about the utterly trivial so-called earthquakes associated with fracking. Secondly, as ‘promised’, the government is to look again at Net Zero policies BUT she has put ultra-greeny Chris Skidmore, who set up all the Net Zero idiocy under Theresa May, in charge. Plus ca change, plus c’est la meme chose.

Don’t expect anything new in the UK!

marty
September 29, 2022 2:44 am

Gas is skyrocketing expensive because there is not enough of it, renewables are cheap but cannot make up for the lack of gas!

Richard Page
Reply to  marty
September 29, 2022 7:08 am

Incorrect, there is plenty of gas. It’s just that the consequences of buying that gas would be to give Russia a free hand and money to burn.

KcTaz
Reply to  Richard Page
September 30, 2022 4:57 am

The only ones hurt by Biden’s sanctions are the West, especially, Europe. Putin is doing great right now and has lots of money to burn and has plenty of gas with which to heat Russian’s homes.
Biden and his sanctions remind me of this scene but Putin doesn’t care if the Biden kills himself, along with western civilization.

Blazing Saddles – Bart Accepting the Sherrif’s Position and Taking Himse… https://youtu.be/tTNJUjsNKVk

Richard Page
Reply to  KcTaz
September 30, 2022 8:09 am

Hmm. Maybe I should have said ‘the consequences as seen by the majority of voters…’ as you are quite right that the sanctions don’t seem to be slowing Putin down much.

Drake
Reply to  marty
September 30, 2022 9:45 am

“Renewables are cheap”

Please provide a link to some legitimate study showing that unreliable energy is cheap.

The study MUST show how the cheap energy is provided 24/7 as a dispatchable supply, like fossil fuels are.

Otherwise take your fantasy where the ignorant will accept it as true.

Alba
September 29, 2022 3:37 am

Vijay Jayaraj says, “These, along with a plethora of other measures, made the European and UK economies highly dependent on Russian natural gas.” That might be true of some European countries but in 2021, imports from Russia made up only 4 percent of gas used in the UK. Hardly “highly dependent”.
As to whether the new Government’s lifting of the ban on fracking will make much difference remains to be seen. The latest opinion poll puts Labour 17 points ahead of the Tories. Given that the next General Election is, at most, little more than 2 years away, would you, as the owner of a fracking business, be rushing to invest in fracking in the UK given that Labour has just repeated its opposition to fracking?

KcTaz
Reply to  Ron Clutz
September 30, 2022 5:04 am

Whoa, if I were a Brit, I’d be very, very worried, even more than I am as an American under the Biden regime and that is really saying something!

Richard Page
Reply to  KcTaz
September 30, 2022 8:16 am

Why? Who benefits by blowing up a pipeline from Norway to the UK? As far as Nordstream goes, no evidence either way as to what might have happened – and chucking explosives over the side of a small motorboat is easier, harder to spot and just as effective. It could have been German, Danish, Polish etc. green activists, Ukraine saboteurs, Russian saboteurs or just about anybody at all – I haven’t ruled out the Salvation Army or the Ku Klux Klan at this point!

ResourceGuy
September 29, 2022 7:01 am

They need to recalibrate defense of the EU since they are now being treated like Ukraine from the dirty tricks gang at the Kremlin. Wake up!

KcTaz
Reply to  ResourceGuy
September 30, 2022 5:21 am

What if Putin is not The Enemy? Do recall, Boris Johnson flew into Ukraine in March 2022 and killed the peace deal Putin and Zelensky had worked out. Why? Russia has more nukes than the US does. Why did he kill a peace deal when nuclear powers are on opposing sides? Who supported/approved Boris doing that? I do not for a minute think he acted of his own volition.
No, I’m not a Russian troll, nor a Putin fan.

Drake
Reply to  ResourceGuy
September 30, 2022 9:47 am

If in “recalibrate defense” you mean to analyze energy supplies necessary for industry and society and insure sufficient capacity not dependent on enemies, I agree.

%d bloggers like this: