Increased temperatures contributed to more than 200,000 cases of kidney disease in 15 years in Brazil alone, world’s largest study finds

[Hmmmm……what used to be the number generally considered needed for epidemiological significance?
Pretty sure it was 100%. ~charles]

World’s largest study of the impact of temperature changes and kidney disease reveals that 7.4 per cent of all hospitalisations for renal disease can be attributed to an increase in temperature

Peer-Reviewed Publication

MONASH UNIVERSITY

Professor Yuming Guo
IMAGE: PROFESSOR YUMING GUO view more 
CREDIT: MONASH UNIVERSITY

Today the world’s largest study of the impact of temperature changes and kidney disease reveals that 7.4 per cent of all hospitalisations for renal disease can be attributed to an increase in temperature. In Brazil – where the study was focused – this equated to more than 202,000 cases of kidney disease from 2000-2015.

The study, led by Professor Yuming Guo and Dr Shanshan Li, from Planetary Health at Monash University and published in The Lancet Regional Health – Americas journal, for the first time quantifies the risk and attributable burden for hospitalizations of renal diseases related to ambient temperature using daily hospital admission data from 1816 cities in Brazil.

The study comes as the world focuses on the impact of climate change at the COP26 conference in Glasgow from 31 October.

In 2017, a landmark article in The Lancet declared renal diseases a global public health concern, estimating that almost 2.6 million deaths were attributable to impaired kidney function that year. Importantly the incidence of death from kidney disease had risen 26.6 per cent compared to a decade previously, an increase that this study may indicate was, in part, caused by climate change.

The study looked at a total of 2,726,886 hospitalizations for renal diseases recorded during the study period. According to Professor Guo, for every 1°C increase in daily mean temperature,  there is an almost 1 per cent increase in renal disease, with those most impacted being women, children under 4 years of age and those 80+ years of age.

The associations between temperature and renal diseases were largest on the day of the exposure to extreme temperatures but remained for 1–2 days post-exposure.

In the paper the authors – who are also from the University of Sao Paulo – argue that the study “provides robust evidence that more policies should be developed to prevent heat-related hospitalisations and mitigate climate change.”

“In the context of global warming, more strategies and policies should be developed to prevent heat-related hospitalizations.”

The authors advise interventions should be urgently incorporated into government policy on climate change, including particularly targeting specific individuals, including females, children, adolescents, and the elderly, as they are more vulnerable to heat with regard to renal diseases.

“Moreover, attention should be paid to low- and middle-income countries like Brazil, where reliable heat warning systems and preventive measures are still in need,” Professor Guo added.


JOURNAL

The Lancet Regional Health – Americas

DOI

10.1016/j.lana.2021.100101. 

METHOD OF RESEARCH

Meta-analysis

SUBJECT OF RESEARCH

People

ARTICLE TITLE

Association between Ambient Temperature and Hospitalization for Renal Diseases in Brazil during 2000–2015: A Nationwide Case-Crossover Study

ARTICLE PUBLICATION DATE

31-Oct-2021

COI STATEMENT

None

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Scissor
October 31, 2021 6:02 pm

I’ve been to Brazil three times over the decades and it was always hot (and humid).

SxyxS
Reply to  Scissor
November 1, 2021 3:36 am

Yes ,but nowadays you ain’t no real scientist if you don’t pull something out of your ass that can be blamed on global warming.
(This is the scientific version of “Trump is H!tler”.It is an elementary statement for the woke reputation )

And this one from a country that lost this year huge parts of crops and coffee trees as result of a cooler climate.

PS
Imagine you would blame the kidney diseases on vaccines or the fat corrupt chick that ruined the country for years.
Your carreer would be over in a second.
But use the Paul Ehrlich Methodology of scientific doom to push an agenda and you will be a hero,nomatter how incompetent you are.

Last edited 2 months ago by SxyxS
Robber
October 31, 2021 6:14 pm

Really? So presumably no renal disease in cold places like Scotland and Norway?

LdB
Reply to  Robber
October 31, 2021 7:09 pm

So just remember to stave off kidney disease dial your air conditioning up real cold 🙂

H.R.
Reply to  LdB
October 31, 2021 7:16 pm

If everybody does that we’ll wind up as Snowball Earth again.
😜

Disputin
Reply to  H.R.
November 1, 2021 3:26 am

No. Remember that an air conditioner pumps out more heat than cold. Therefore we’ll all fry.

H.R.
Reply to  Disputin
November 1, 2021 5:18 am

Not if everyone opens their refrigerator doors at the same time.
😜

Pauleta
Reply to  Robber
October 31, 2021 8:19 pm

Canada too, not even renal disease specialists around here.

stewartpid
Reply to  Pauleta
November 1, 2021 9:03 am

Indeed …. it is -10 C in Calgary Alberta this morning …. our kidneys are all froze solid 😉

Izaak Walton
Reply to  Robber
October 31, 2021 9:08 pm

Seriously Robber? Does the fact that some renal diseases are caused by hot weather really mean that all renal diseases are? Or did the idea that some outcomes such as kidney failure (or climate change) can have multiple causes never cross your mind?

Zig Zag Wanderer
Reply to  Izaak Walton
October 31, 2021 10:09 pm

You never seem to believe that there can be multiple causes for Climate Change ™. It’s always CO2, whatever happens.

MarkW
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 7:17 am

What is it about socialists and their lack of humor?

TheLastDemocrat
Reply to  MarkW
November 1, 2021 8:21 am

Narcissism.
You cannot see other people’s perspective so you cannot appreciate humor.
Humor relies on double meanings, and an overall grasp of a social context.
The self-centered, self-important person has one context.

A psychiatrist blogger, “The Last Psychiatrist,” explained narcissism as seeing the world, including your entire life, as if you are the central character in a movie, and so everything is valued only vis-a-vis your interests or desires. You in fact have this world-as-movie psychology to sustain the regular need for admiration.

IMO, some people experience childhoods that may make them be genuinely narcissistic. But I also believe that we are rasing people to have a condition mirroring narcissism: this view of always being right, always watching out for how you are being aggrieved, always being catered-to, and so on.

I do a lot of research training with young adults. With some, you have to be quite brash to get a direction or instruction through to them. And, of course, your evaluation from them is a leading metric of how well you did on your role.

So, when you are the first person to wake someone up, metaphorically, to teh real world, you look like your are the worst trainer / mentor.

They are humorless because they are busy being SJW.

Duane
Reply to  MarkW
November 1, 2021 8:49 am

Any one with a sense of humor must be capable of laughing at themselves, and seeing the irony of what we people do in life. Obviously DemoCommies do not do humor.

stewartpid
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 9:06 am

Moderators …. can there be a stupid of the day prize for folks like Izaak and Griff. You could award it immediately and then move it later if necessary if / when for example Griff manages to out do Isaak’s stupidity.
Please consider a dunce cap award.

Sunsettommy(@sunsetmpoutlookcom)
Editor
Reply to  stewartpid
November 1, 2021 9:54 am

Nah, downvoting and witty on topic replies have been good enough.

Retired_Engineer_Jim
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 10:51 pm

Careful – suggesting that “… some outcomes such as … climate change … can have multiple causes …” will get you into serious truble. The One True Cause is increasing CO2. Go to the board and write that 100 times.

Duane
Reply to  Robber
November 1, 2021 8:47 am

In Scotland don’t they mostly die of liver failure due to excessive whisky consumption? Or else they die of exposure to cold weather while wearing kilts?

In Norway they die mostly of frustration with the welfare state and its crushing bureaucracy.

Duane
Reply to  Robber
November 1, 2021 8:52 am

Apparently this study reveals that simply going from winter to summer anywhere on the planet will give you renal disease … no matter where you live on the planet, weather continually has warm spells, in between cold spells.

Also, everyone migrating from up north to the Sun Belt is obviously going to come down with acute renal disease.

Everyone who takes a hot shower is going to instantly keel over from renal disease.

Retired_Engineer_Jim
Reply to  Duane
November 1, 2021 10:54 pm

No, only 7.4% of the people would develop acute renal disease.

The Emperor's New Mask
October 31, 2021 6:14 pm

This is, of course, complete bovine excrement.

There is an explosion of kidney disease, but it is overwhelmingly due to the type 2 diabetes epidemic.

(Which, in turn, is largely caused by following the high carb / high seed oil dietary recommendations of governments and NGOs.)

LdB
Reply to  The Emperor's New Mask
October 31, 2021 7:10 pm

Climate Science ™ only requires correlation it doesn’t require causation linking because it isn’t like real science.

Last edited 2 months ago by LdB
Alastair gray
Reply to  LdB
October 31, 2021 8:20 pm

This study takes the piss out of science. As you say correlation does not imply causation. What evidence of causation do they have

stinkerp
Reply to  LdB
October 31, 2021 8:21 pm

So the increase in kidney disease could also be caused by:

– increased per capita GDP
– increased consumption of social media
– increased crime rate
– increased homicide rate
– increased unemployment rate

and a whole bunch of others; take your pick. Causation unnecessary, just correlation.

LdB
Reply to  stinkerp
October 31, 2021 9:21 pm

Nah UFO’s they have been on the increase

Chaswarnertoo
Reply to  LdB
November 1, 2021 12:32 am

Not enough pirates.

MJB
Reply to  Chaswarnertoo
November 1, 2021 4:18 am

Under-rated comment right here. May you be blessed by the great ones noodly appendage.

RexAlan
Reply to  stinkerp
October 31, 2021 10:31 pm

Or in Brazil’s case to much Caipirinha drinking, Brazil’s national drink.
https://www.thespruceeats.com/caipirinha-recipe-759290

Moderately Cross of East Anglia
Reply to  stinkerp
November 1, 2021 2:04 am

Did they factor in, or rather out, population growth?

4E Douglas
Reply to  The Emperor's New Mask
October 31, 2021 7:53 pm

I’m type Two. Low carb, cook with a high non seed oil (several types) ignore the recommended diet of the dietician who can’t figure out why my A1C is very normal.

Pamela Matlack-Klein
Reply to  The Emperor's New Mask
November 1, 2021 3:41 am

Wonder how long it will be before this paper ends up on Retraction Watch as another case of over-zealous research?

Clyde Spencer
Reply to  Pamela Matlack-Klein
November 1, 2021 8:21 am

About a week after CoP-26 is over.

Van Doren
Reply to  The Emperor's New Mask
November 2, 2021 2:35 am

You have zero knowledge about human physiology, do you? Diabetes is caused by fatty acid accumulation in muscles and liver. DAGs block insulin signaling pathways, which hinders GLUT4 translocation in muscles and down regulating of glucose production in liver.

Dietary meat, eggs and dairy are the main source of saturated fat consumption, which is responsible for the increase in hypertension, hypercholesterolemia and diabetes, all of which drive kidney disease.

The average US citizen consumes a staggering 2.6 pounds of meat, eggs and dairy per day.

Hivemind
October 31, 2021 6:28 pm

But people drink more water when it’s hot, which would reduce the incidence of renal disease. Can these authors spell “scientific fraud”?

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Hivemind
November 1, 2021 11:43 am

Not necessarily. Often people drink more alcohol, or caffeinated cold drinks drinks. Those are diuretics.

Maybe the increase in renal disease is due to an increase in drinking Red Bull.

Steve Taylor
Reply to  Hivemind
November 2, 2021 1:49 am

The increased incidence in under-4-year-olds is just incompetent parents allowing babies to dehydrate on hot days.

Mike Lowe
October 31, 2021 6:29 pm

Really? For the half-degree increase over many decades? What utter nonsense!

MarkW
Reply to  Mike Lowe
October 31, 2021 8:18 pm

What little warming there has been has been concentrated in areas that have very little water vapor in the atmosphere.
For areas like Brazil that have always been hot and very, very humid, there is little to no increase in temperature.

MJB
Reply to  Mike Lowe
November 1, 2021 4:20 am

Exactly. This source indicates 0.5 deg C warming since 1980.

https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/country/brazil/climate-data-historical

They do indicate more warming in the dry season, but also the typical trend of more warming at night than during the day.

Peter
October 31, 2021 6:32 pm

Today the world’s largest study of the impact of temperature changes and kidney disease reveals that 7.4 per cent of all hospitalisations for renal disease can be attributed to an increase in temperature.
-> What are the causes of the other 92.6%?

The study looked at a total of 2,726,886 hospitalizations for renal diseases
-> Did the researchers cross-check the day of all 2.7 million hospitalizations with the local temperature at the time of hospitalization?

MarkW
Reply to  Peter
October 31, 2021 8:19 pm

Of course not. They just assume that Brazil must have warmed up by the amount predicted by the sacred models. No need for actual data. Not that any exists.

SxyxS
Reply to  MarkW
November 1, 2021 3:55 am

Brazils population is increasing by 0.7% a year.
Ad to this an old boomer age group and food that gets more and more contaminated by sugar + gmo’s and a steady increase of poverty = You will get an increase in terms of illnesses all over the place even if the climate does not change.

MarkW
Reply to  SxyxS
November 1, 2021 7:18 am

How did I know you would be paranoid about gmo’s as well?

SxyxS
Reply to  MarkW
November 1, 2021 7:51 am

Everyone is paranoid to people with a specific mindset,no matter left or right.
The funny thing is :
The idiots from the left who pretend to hate big corp but parrot all their stuff like dogs,
So crazy that they protest today against death penalty and tomorrow pro abortion until 9 month.
And their mirror image from the right who kiss the same corporate butts that are destroying their countries.
They will today protest vaccines and tomorrow be pro gmo,
though both cases have delivered such horrible results that gmo’ s got kicked out of several countries and thst Obama had to sign the monsanto protection act to protect them from law ( there’s a reason why nature did not allow certain combinations)
and that pharmacompanies can not be held accountable for vaccines failures since the 80ies.
Low IQ idiots like you have been believing in the crap the cigarette companies said decades ago in terms of health
and they are still eating their shit ,now not about cigarettes but about food .
Enjoy the taste of poo,sir.
And as soon your gmo phantasy island is dead (You will need 2 decades to realise)you will follow some other stupidity like a dog.

Last edited 2 months ago by SxyxS
Clyde Spencer
Reply to  SxyxS
November 1, 2021 8:23 am

I voted based on your civility.

Rick C
Reply to  Peter
October 31, 2021 9:18 pm

Maybe they used the Surgisphere Database. 😉

Izaak Walton
Reply to  Peter
October 31, 2021 9:20 pm

Peter asks:
”Did the researchers cross-check the day of all 2.7 million hospitalizations with the local temperature at the time of hospitalization?”

And the answer is actually yes. If you bother to read the paper you would see that that is exactly what they did. Fig. 2 of their paper shows a monotonic increasing risk of hospitalisation for kidney disease with daily mean temperature. The risk then drops back down to normal after about 3 days (Fig. 3). In Brazil for whatever reason the hotter the daily temperature the more likely it is that you will be admitted to hospital due to a renal failure.

Mr.
Reply to  Izaak Walton
October 31, 2021 10:31 pm

Or maybe the locals with chronic kidney problems decide to present at hospital when it’s hot because the hospital has air conditioning?

Izaak Walton
Reply to  Mr.
October 31, 2021 10:36 pm

Again look at the paper. Fig 2 shows that the risk increases monotonically with temperature starting from 5 degrees (relative risk of 0.8) to 35 degrees. I doubt if anyone is going to the hospital for the airconditioning when the temperature is 20 degrees.

TimTheToolMan
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 1:31 am

No, but its likely that on hotter days people drink more and put more pressure on their kidneys. Its pretty clear climate change isn’t a cause whichever way you look at it.

TimTheToolMan
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 1:42 am

They say “Confounders like age, sex, income, and lifestyle, which unlikely change in such a short period, can be effectively controlled by this method with the self-matched design.”

Firstly, the major confounding factor of diabetes wasn’t even looked at.

From https://dmsjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s13098-020-00593-5

We have “BackgroundBrazil is one of top 10 countries with the highest number of people with diabetes mellitus (DM), affecting 16.8 million peoples. It is estimated that 7.7 million people (20–79 years) in the country have not yet been diagnosed, representing an under-diagnosis rate of 46.0%. Herein we aimed to screen people for high blood glucose or risk for developing type 2 DM (T2DM) through community pharmacies in Brazil.”

And if you look at this https://www.diabetesatlas.org/data/en/country/27/br.html
you can see the incidence of diabetes is increasing quickly.

This is a rubbish paper.

Clyde Spencer
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 8:28 am

You are suggesting that otherwise healthy people are at increased risk of renal failure when the temperature is above 5 degrees C? That suggests to me that what is being observed is a spurious correlation!

Mike
Reply to  Izaak Walton
October 31, 2021 11:12 pm

You actually read the paper? You must have a lot of time on your hands.
On this one, just look at the title for all the information you need.

Izaak Walton
Reply to  Mike
November 1, 2021 12:03 am

What ever happened to not judging a book by its title? I guess if you don’t want your preconceived ideas challenged then you need to think or read.

Barry Moore
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 5:35 am

Does it make you even slightly suspicious when a change of 1゚- Which is not humanly perceptible – Is being cast as a causal factor in kidney failure? The temperature change when you go from one room to another is more. The temperature change when you go from the shade to a sunlit area is more.

The temperature change on a cloudy vs sunny day is MUCH more.

This study reminds me of the sea level study that was claiming a sub-millimeter increase in sea level rate of change is happening based on measurements with multi-meter margins of error.

Abolition Man
Reply to  Barry Moore
November 1, 2021 7:33 am

C’mon, Barry!
Izack’s role is not to question why; just look up the name that Marxist’s gave their fellow travelers in other free countries!

Frederik Michiels
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 3, 2021 1:58 am

All what i see in the paper is: “at certain temperature threshholds, our body will have to function more, therefore a “failure” of the body is more likely.”

But i am pretty sure that diet, pollution from mining, traffic,… will have a definite more real impact then climate

JimG1
October 31, 2021 6:38 pm

Correlation does not prove causation. There was once a significant relationship between ladies hem lines and the stock market, might still be.

LdB
Reply to  JimG1
October 31, 2021 7:13 pm

Yes but this is Climate Science ™ and bears no relationship to real science. The fact that the finding is child stupid and yet you watch the media and climate science industry won’t bat an eyelid in promoting it as a climate science fact.

Van Doren
Reply to  JimG1
November 2, 2021 2:38 am

What??? Next you will say pirate extinction has nothing to do with the global warming!

Barry James
October 31, 2021 6:38 pm

They are just ramping up the climate porn for the Crap26 extravaganza.

Mike Dubrasich
October 31, 2021 6:42 pm

The Lancet? Another harum-scarum bucket of bilge from the most discredited junk medical mag in history.

Take any phenomenon, call it an “effect”, regress it against one solitary explanatory variable: “climate change”, ignore every other possible, logical causal factor, do some crappy stats, derive a wee pee value, and presto! you will have proved that Communism will save the world.

Then huddle in your mud hut in the cold and dark while the Ruling Elite rob you all you own, and you too can take credit for curing every malady — except starvation, your booby prize.

Pillage Idiot
Reply to  Mike Dubrasich
October 31, 2021 7:37 pm

As the cases of kidney disease have increased in Brazil over the last 15 years, I am positive that the number of Apple iphones has also increased.

QED, iphones cause kidney disease.

Please send my Nobel Prize and my 100 million dollars in grant funds for further research to my address of record!

Barry Moore
Reply to  Pillage Idiot
November 1, 2021 5:37 am

Personally I think that the probable cause is the use of cell phones. That correlation works just as well.

Abolition Man
Reply to  Barry Moore
November 1, 2021 7:34 am

Does that correlate to the apparent increase in brain damage and depression?

Mike
October 31, 2021 6:43 pm

”Peer reviewed” ….. My eyes are sad….

LdB
Reply to  Mike
October 31, 2021 7:19 pm

It doesn’t even pass the pub test so the “Peer reviewed” claim is slightly troubling.

October 31, 2021 6:54 pm

More woke nonsense!

COLD WEATHER KILLS 20 TIMES AS MANY PEOPLE AS HOT WEATHER September 4, 2015
https://friendsofsciencecalgary.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/cold-weather-kills-macrae-daleo-4sept2015-final.pdf
 
THE REAL CLIMATE CRISIS IS NOT GLOBAL WARMING, IT IS COOLING, AND IT MAY HAVE ALREADY STARTED October 27, 2019
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/10/27/the-real-climate-crisis-is-not-global-warming-it-is-cooling-and-it-may-have-already-started/
 
SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT October 20, 2021
http://correctpredictions.ca/
­­­­­­­­­­

Last edited 2 months ago by Allan MacRae
DHR
October 31, 2021 7:00 pm

“According to Professor Guo, for every 1°C increase in daily mean temperature, there is an almost 1 per cent increase in renal disease…”

Therefore the temperature in Brazil must have increased by 7C in 15 years if Professor Guo is correct. I think not. In fact, check here https://www.climatestotravel.com/climate/brazil

to see that that Brazil’s temperature hasn’t changed much for the past 30 years.

Barry Moore
Reply to  DHR
November 1, 2021 5:38 am

Obviously that website is not a peer reviewed scientific journal so it’s information information is is based upon evil right wing conspiracies. I’m sure Griff or someone knows all about it.

DMacKenzie
October 31, 2021 7:05 pm

“…attributed to an increase in temperature….”
You can substitute “attributed to an increase in use of non-steroidal anti inflammatories” and get a higher ‘p’….

LdB
Reply to  DMacKenzie
October 31, 2021 7:17 pm

It was the UFO’s that did it .. see here is the UFO sightings in Brazil
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFO_sightings_in_Brazil

They UFO sightings have been clearly increasing and so the Renal Failure is clearly a result … Climate Science ™ in action.

gringojay
October 31, 2021 7:18 pm

I, as your financially compensated un-elected official functionary, hereby decree that we must immediately have temperate climate citizens who book travel to warm climates sign a legal release from liability to tropical countries’ tourist promotion boards, travel agents and airlines; with all ports of entry posting prominent warnings in every language that doing so is a risk to one’s kidneys. Countries, tropical or otherwise, with a determined temperature level potentially affecting any kidney what-so-ever shall have police empowered to detain anyone venturing forth into such ambient conditions under authorization enacted following The Science adherence to public safety. Australia officials are to be tasked with establishing such protocols immediately, due to sterling performance in 2020 & 2021 administering edicts relevant to a virus management. The UnitedNations can divert funding to a new agency set up to promote this under the acronym F.A.U.C.I. and any social media posts, songs or Tucker Carlson broadcast implying the letters stand for “foolish and utter crap idea” must be banned.

Aetiuz
October 31, 2021 7:45 pm

What would we do without studies? Studies are a dime a dozen and you can get one to say anything you want. Two years from now, when renal cases start fall, they’ll blame that on warmer temps as well.

Heck, we’ve all heard about how warmer temps are going to cause severe wind storms and increases in hurricanes and tornados. Then wind speeds fell throughout Europe so the wind turbines wouldn’t produce power. So, they came out with a new study that said – guess what – global warming causes lower wind speeds. Presto.

Global warming – is there anything it can’t do?

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  Aetiuz
October 31, 2021 8:06 pm

It can’t seem to shut them up, I wish it could do everything

Abolition Man
Reply to  Aetiuz
November 1, 2021 7:42 am

Sadly, it is far more likely that global temperatures will start to fall than renal failure!
With increases in diabetes, obesity, the use of OTC anti-inflammitories and increased reliance on highly processed foods full of empty carbs and vegetable oils; the incidence of renal failure will continue to grow! If only it was temperature related, then a little AC could cure it!

outtheback
October 31, 2021 7:48 pm

So divided over the number of days in the year and divided over the 1816 cities taking part in the study makes it 4 hospitalizations per day per city. 4 per city per day plus 1% is?
When it gets warmer people drink more. I have never been there but my sister lived there for a couple of years and it would seem that the drinking water there is not necessarily all that clean. Drinking more unclean water leads to more kidney problems, amongst other things, according to WHO.
In the meantime the population increased by 23% over the last 20 years and having days of more than 100F in Rio is not uncommon in summer.
Yes I would expect an increase in renal failure on warm days if the population increased by that much and the water quality does not get sorted.

Shoki Kaneda
October 31, 2021 7:57 pm

I know a couple, otherwise sane, who live in Needles, California. It is routinely over 100°F there in the summer, sometimes well over. Neither shows any signs of renal failure although I fear for their livers, given the amount of wine they consume.

October 31, 2021 7:58 pm

I’m looking for a 97% consensus on how high you need to go (feet, AGL) to avoid the Heat Island Affect? This way NOAA can’t claim “heat island” temperature bias — and this should negate kidney issues too (just kidding on the kidney thing). I’m analyzing radiosonde data.

Pat from kerbob
October 31, 2021 8:04 pm

Wow

John I Reistroffer
October 31, 2021 8:13 pm

Didn’t it snow in Brazil this year? ….I guess the next study in the hopper is how global warming in the tropic causes frostbite.

Ruleo
October 31, 2021 8:15 pm

Another paper from another (two) Chinese nationals propagating global warming.

Izaak Walton
Reply to  Ruleo
October 31, 2021 9:27 pm

And another racist comment from a poster here. There are 6 authors on the paper who are either from Monash University in Australia or the University of San Paolo in Brazil.

MarkW
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 7:20 am

And another socialist declaring that everything they disagree with is racism.

Abolition Man
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 7:47 am

Isick,
Do you practice feigning outrage in the mirror, or do you take classes for it!?
For a climate catastrophist to claim racism, they have to have unmitigated gall or the biggest pair of blinkers possible! Look at how uniformly Climastrology policies negatively affect poor people in Third World countries, and then get back to us!

Climate believer
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 12:57 pm

“And another racist comment from a poster here.”

That’s pitiful, I don’t downvote any comments, (even yours normally) but you get a big minus for being the biggest pratt on here today.

Grow up ffs.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 7, 2021 9:48 am

Pointing out someone’s nationality is racist. Huh.

Dave-E
October 31, 2021 8:42 pm

Time to just ridicule every warm-monger prediction or scare tactic.

Terry
October 31, 2021 8:54 pm

Wow I didn’t know.

Glen
Reply to  Terry
November 2, 2021 6:16 am

That is the reply to use when confronted by these dopes.

Rory Forbes
October 31, 2021 9:06 pm

I would say this paper has a 100% correlation to poor scholarship and cargo-cult “science”. It certainly doesn’t pass the sniff test as anything resembling real science, more flushable crap.

Alan
October 31, 2021 9:32 pm

“In the context of global warming, more strategies and policies should be developed to prevent heat-related hospitalizations.”
Have they thought about drink more water and take breaks?

Doonman
October 31, 2021 9:42 pm

I figure electric blankets and car seat heaters will be banned in California and Massachusetts soon.

Randle Dewees
Reply to  Doonman
October 31, 2021 9:51 pm

New Jersey seems to be most in lock step with California

ChrisB
October 31, 2021 10:13 pm

In the hands of a biasman statistics is the art of telling lies. And this is no exception.

Basically, their regression equation between temp and renal disease had an r2 of 0.074, and p<0.05.

Peta of Newark
October 31, 2021 11:04 pm

If there was any real Climate Connection, it is because (and I do so love this)…

…you ready……
it’s a killer…..(literally)
….promise….
(no, not you personally unless your waist is over 37 inches around)
cross my ‘art an ‘ope 2 dye.. (watch that waist measurement)
yo’ll luvvit…. who doesn’t

you will, get those smile muscles ready…..
(Nooooooo, you wicked norty person, NOT another glamour-shoot picture of Naomi)
It’s a bit Pythonesque but not much and you will not ‘die laughing’)

It is because they, Brazilians and billions of other peeps, are drinking Coal
(the dirty black stuff that comes out of Coal Mines and sparkling guest appearances at Australian Parliamentary sessions where it adds vitality, wit and humour to an otherwise desert)

yup. that’s the one. Coal.
Also as used to be used in Coal Fired Power stations, certainly in the UK until a bunch of hyper (in every sense) bunch of children smashed them all down. (Yes Boris, ‘m talking ’bout you. Now, grow up and brush your hair)

Kinda surprising them Brazilian poppets ain’t dying in even greater droves than they are. poor saps.
(I am being really really serious there)

Nomore suspenders, What Am I Like…..

A nugget concerning Monsanto (and boy-oh-boy have they got some explaining to do when ‘they’ meet my namesake (up) at The Pearly Gates)

Elmore, a historian at Ohio State University and author of “Seed Money: Monsanto’s Past and Our Food Future,” said the Monsanto-Coca-Cola relationship can be traced back to the companies’ beginnings.

“If not for Coke, there would be no Monsanto,” Elmore told Rogan. “In the early 1900s, Monsanto was nothing. They were on the verge of going out of business. One giant contract saved them, and eventually allowed them to grow into the giant they are today.”

What was that contract? “Monsanto supplied Coca-Cola with their artificial sweetener, and their caffeine,” said Elmore.

Elmore explained:
“To make enough caffeine for Coca-Cola, Monsanto bought the damaged tea leaves from the global tea trade and processed out the caffeine and sold it to the soft drink giant. Then Coca-Cola needed so much caffeine that excess tea leaves wouldn’t cut it — so Monsanto began developing a synthetic caffeine from coal tar, a byproduct of coal.”

So maybe not ‘coal’ directly directly – it’s all the refined sugar that comes with the coal derivative that’s taking them down.
Someone in this thread alluded to that and is what reminded me…
(Wonders if Carrie chowed down on coal when she was preggers, do girls still do that?)

Oh no, not Real Sugar but ‘Artificial Sweetener‘ = even worse as now generally now regarded as perfectly hideous stuff.
Tiz because its attempts to fool the brain perfectly backfire and when ‘the brain’ next gets a chance of eating real sugar, it noms down 3 or 4 times more than it otherwise would have done..

It’s a Rat Trap baby, and we’ve been caught..
and we have

Mike
Reply to  Peta of Newark
October 31, 2021 11:16 pm

What the hell are you on about?

Chaswarnertoo
Reply to  Mike
November 1, 2021 12:37 am

Let the Peta run free.

Moderately Cross of East Anglia
Reply to  Mike
November 1, 2021 2:13 am

Mike
I think you meant what the hell are you ON and where can we all get some?

Reply to  Moderately Cross of East Anglia
November 1, 2021 3:49 am

MCEA
It’s autumn, a time for fruiting fungi (many have ‘magical’ properties).
Peta is a country girl & knows about their uses.

Regards from Angry of Anglesey (my other pen name)

Paul
Reply to  Mike
November 1, 2021 6:03 pm

I actually like reading Peta’s posts. If nothing else he gets me to smiling.
Hell, that alone is worth the time they take to read.

Duker
October 31, 2021 11:53 pm

Meta Analysis they say is their methodolgy

The computer models again. May not have even been to Brazil, just done a data dredge

Abolition Man
October 31, 2021 11:59 pm

Let’s see!
Renal failure is caused by diabetes, high blood pressure, obesity and smoking; among others! So even if the rates of those are rising around the world, we’re going to attribute it to a rise in temperature so mild that no one noticed!
This would be like blaming the meteoric rise in obesity and diabetes rates on too much fat! Oh wait, they already tried that! Mixing climate alarmism into medicine will only serve to discredit both, and the medical profession can ill afford it after the way they have so grossly mishandled the Chinese virus!

fretslider
November 1, 2021 1:10 am

Attribution

Works every time.

Last edited 2 months ago by fretslider
TimTheToolMan
November 1, 2021 1:17 am

From the paper we have “Heat-induced sweating and following dehydration are believed to play a vital role in the development of temperature-related renal diseases.”

It sounds like this one can be mitigated by drinking more when its hot.
Also single events dont bring it on, its an over time thing.

https://www.kidneyfund.org/kidney-disease/kidney-failure/#what_causes_kidney_failure
In most cases, kidney failure is caused by other health problems that have done permanent damage (harm) to your kidneys little by little, over time.”

This is correlation, not causation. The causation is that people aren’t looking after themselves properly over the long term. Arguably primarily an education issue not a climate one.

GregK
November 1, 2021 1:39 am

Increase temperature didn’t lead to higher rates of kidney disease.
Short term increases in temperature [“heat wave” if you are an eco-warrior] lead to higher hospital admission rates. Makes sense, if you’ve got dodgy kidneys higher temperatures will put them under stress.

Not “new” news…https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6893879/

This comment…”According to Professor Guo, for every 1°C increase in daily mean temperature, there is an almost 1 per cent increase in renal disease, with those most impacted being women, children under 4 years of age and those 80+ years of age”… is garbage.

There is no way on this little round planet that an increase in temperature over a few days is going to cause kidney disease. It might lead to an increase in hospital admissions. A crap diet full of sugar and feijoada [mostly salt with beans and whatever else is left around the house] over years certainly will.

Krishna Gans
November 1, 2021 1:58 am

Teach the people to drink more when it’s hot.
End of story.

Ed Zuiderwijk
November 1, 2021 2:09 am

Absolute numbers or per million of population? Population growth is a confounding factor.

The blurb contains the word ‘robust’ which gives me pause for thought as my alarms are ringing.

‘Robust’ = ‘The gentleman doth protest too much’?

Matthew Sykes
November 1, 2021 2:09 am

for every 1°C increase in daily mean temperature, there is an almost 1 per cent increase in renal disease, with those most impacted being women, children under 4 years of age and those 80+ years of age.” Correlation isnt causation.

Pesticides and heavy metals have been attributed as the cause of kidney disease elsewhere in the world.

Of course thirst, dehydration is one cause, but dont you think these people know how to drink when they are thirsty?

There is no reason to attribute this to temperature then.

Krishna Gans
Reply to  Matthew Sykes
November 1, 2021 3:45 am

Old people often have problems to realise to be thirsty.
Further they often fear to be obliged more often to go to WC.

Bruce Cobb
Reply to  Krishna Gans
November 1, 2021 9:42 am

“Always carry a flagon of whiskey in case of snakebite and furthermore always carry a small snake.”
For pithiness, you can’t go wrong with W.C.

Alba
November 1, 2021 3:10 am

I take it that they didn’t select Brazil for any special reason and that they will now carry out studies in a whole lot of other countries, just to confirm that the link they claim tio have found in Brazil can be found anywhere else in the world.

JohnC
November 1, 2021 4:07 am

Define kidney disease. Is it renal failure or kidney stones or cancer?
Renal failure has five stages https://kidneyresearchuk.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Stages-of-kidney-disease.pdf the latter stages require dialysis or transplant. Diabetes and other conditions can cause renal impairment.

4 Eyes
November 1, 2021 4:13 am

I call complete BS on this. When the “scientists” are proved wrong I will endeavour to ensure one way or another that their careers are destroyed and their names are crap as should every reasonable scientists out there. And I’ll dump on the Lancet in every way possible. Utter nonsense that these conclusions are correct given that we have had only just over 1 degC warming since 1900. Meta analysis hey? “In the context of global warming, more strategies and policies should be developed to prevent heat-related hospitalizations.” And who should make more $ out of the strategies and policies? Perhaps the authors of the meta analysis report. THis study encapsulates everything wrong with climate change science.

tim maguire
November 1, 2021 4:39 am

Is this a fair summary? Are they really saying that hospital admissions for renal disease go up when it’s hotter, therefore heat causes renal disease? This is what climate science has been reduced to?

Steve Fitzpatrick
November 1, 2021 6:29 am

I’ve traveled to Brazil regularly since 1992. My many trips to popular beaches tell me for certain that obesity in the population has become much more common in Brazil since 1992. It is likely that type 2 diabetes is the biggest cause for greater kidney disease. Brazilians now spend much more time under air conditioning than in 1992, so the suggestion that people (and kidneys!) are now more heat stressed than 25 year ago is simply silly. The paper is garbage.

John Bell
November 1, 2021 6:33 am

JEESH! all the calamities they attribute to a tenth of a degree, utter rubbish!

TonyG
November 1, 2021 6:50 am

“for every 1°C increase in daily mean temperature, there is an almost 1 per cent increase in renal disease”

So Miami and Los Angeles have significantly higher rates than NYC? Or is it only “climate change” degrees that matter?

Joseph Zarebski
November 1, 2021 7:10 am

You don’t have clean drinking water and the temperature goes up. Hence, you drink more water and get renal failure ending up in the hospital. Let’s try to stop temperature rise instead of getting people clean drinking water.

Abolition Man
Reply to  Joseph Zarebski
November 1, 2021 8:02 am

Joseph,
Access to inexpensive, clean drinking water would do more to increase human health than almost any other endeavor imaginable! But the portion of the climate catastrophe funding needed to address it might put a crimp is some activist’s funding for their latest paper on the sins of CO2; can’t have that!
Just remember, the people who suffer most from poor water quality are Third Worlders of color; they are of no concern to alarmists, except when they can be utilized for political gain!

Ty Hallsted(@thallstd)
November 1, 2021 7:41 am

Maybe I read this wrong but from the OP it seems like 200,000 people were hospitalized with heat-related symptoms from unusually hot days (weather).

And while in the hospital it was discovered they had renal issues.  

So unusually hot days allowed 200,000 to learn they had some form of renal problems that may otherwise not have been discovered prior to causing symptoms.

Or maybe I missed something.

Charles Higley(@higley7)
November 1, 2021 7:49 am

There is no way that a 0.5 deg C warming could be linked to kidney problems. Attribution is impossible, particularly as there is such a seasonal variability even in the Amazon. Just cannot be done.

Add to this that we are not warming and the whole claim crashes. More likely, many people have moved into the cities and they are suffering from various forms of pollution, which does not include warming or CO2.

Clyde Spencer
November 1, 2021 8:43 am

Today the world’s largest study of the impact of temperature changes and kidney disease reveals that 7.4 percent of all hospitalizations for renal disease can be attributed to an increase in temperature.

Let’s get real! The average global temperature is increasing about 0.1 deg C per decade. Most of the increase is in the daily lows, meaning at night and in the Winter when temperatures are lowest. The Arctic is apparently the fastest warming region on Earth, biasing the global increase upwards. In other words, there is little reason to believe that those living in Brazil are being heat-stressed significantly more than 15 years ago. I present evidence here that there is little basis for the claim that heat waves in the US, and by extension, elsewhere, are increasing:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/09/06/the-gestalt-of-heat-waves/

I suspect that these researchers are being misled by spurious correlations. By being quick to blame global warming, it deters research into what might actually be responsible for an increase in renal disease, such as diabetes.

The link to the article is invalid, so I can’t see what the authors actually said.

Duane
November 1, 2021 8:43 am

These knuckleheads. They can never get it through their thick heads that CORRELATION DOES NOT EQUAL CAUSATION.

How the hell can these “scientists” measure the effect on renal disease due to a temperature that has only increased about 1 degree C in the last 170 years? Pretty sure that in Brazil in 1850 physicians weren’t even diagnosing renal problems, because most people died there and then due to communicable diseases and accidents in the Amazonian frontier 170 years ago.

Well, since a whole raft of other things in Brazil and the world have increased during the same timeframe, but at vastly greater rates than did temperature, then we must be able to conclude that renal disease is correlated with:

  • Listening to/watching electronic communications (radio, television, and now internet)
  • The increase in knowledge of medical science
  • The average speed of transportation, from horse drawn carriages and foot to rocket ships
  • The expansion of colleges and universities
  • The expansion of democracies
  • The invention of pop culture
  • The literacy rate
  • The extension of human life expectancy
  • The reduction in infant mortality

On and on and on.

Really … like shooting fish in a barrel.

Olen
November 1, 2021 9:07 am

I heard it causes warts. But only in the under served. It;s difficult to know for sure.

Tom Morrow
November 1, 2021 9:21 am

It also correlates to the increase in movies based on Marvel Comics superheroes. Should we consider that to be causation, too? Just asking for a friend who likes to see hard evidence of cause.

And is it really heat, or just access to potable clean water?

Gordon A. Dressler
November 1, 2021 11:56 am

From the above article:

“World’s largest study of the impact of temperature changes and kidney disease reveals that 7.4 per cent of all hospitalisations for renal disease can be attributed to an increase in temperature”

Hmmm . . . just wondering what the percent increase in all hospitalizations, over these same 15 years of study, would be from just the increases in (1) obesity, or (2) longevity. Or do these factors not affect renal disease?

More importantly, by what process did the Monash University researchers separate out increasing temperature as an independent cause of hospitalization when it is so intimately correlated with all other possible factors that were simultaneously increasing over that same time period.

In simple English: correlation does not necessarily equal causation . . . and the researchers failed to address this fact . . . “robust evidence”? Pfttttpph!

Last edited 2 months ago by Gordon A. Dressler
Mark Thomas
November 1, 2021 4:18 pm

In other news, the last 365 days contributed to the deaths of 58 million people.

Gordon A. Dressler
Reply to  Mark Thomas
November 1, 2021 5:15 pm

Don’t you know? . . . we are are currently in a pandemic of “the passage of time” more than the percent of the unvaccinated. The CDC and NIH have it all wrong.

spock
November 2, 2021 1:33 am

My hemorrhoids have been gettig worse, I blame climate chnage and demand Uncle Joe Biden give me $1 million in compensation. I will of course donate 1/3 of that to his next election campaign.

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