Failed Serial Doomcasters

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [note update at the end]

According to the UN’s MyWorld poll of seven million people in 194 countries, out of the sixteen possibilities climate action came out … wait for it … dead last.

In general, the only people who thought it was important were the perpetually offended white wokerati with pronouns …

Why is it that rational folks around the planet put the priority of climate action so low? Well, first off, there are serious issues out there that affect us today—affordable food, jobs, healthcare, reliable energy for farmers and householders, real stuff, not a bunch of climate blowhards screaming that the sky is falling.

And the second reason is, folks know in their heart of hearts that science is all about making falsifiable predictions … and in that regard, climate science is a dumpster fire.

So I thought I’d take a look at what climate scientists, and those who believe climate scientists, and governments, and the UN, have predicted about the future. We’ll start with this classic:

Yeah, right, that hasn’t aged well … here’s another classic from the UN. They predicted 50 million climate refugees by 2010 … and when the real number was, well, zero, they tried to cover it up.

So to cut to the chase, here without comment and in no particular order are predictions from various climatastrophists:

Shot from Al Gore, 2006:

Chaser from Al Gore, 2018:

And finally, my personal favorite because it’s so much more precise than the others … 7 years, 98 days, 15 hours to save the planet.

Given that, only someone with pronouns could continue to think that these folks are serious. So why do the scientists involved continue to flog this dead horse?

The answer was given by Upton Sinclair, who said:

It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it!

Yep. The answer is money. And it’s not just the scientists, the UN, and the media who have been seduced by it. The cartoonist Josh has looked at the end series of UN “COP” get-togethers, with the upcoming one being COP26 … I figure COP stands for “Corrupt Oligarchs’ Party”, but hey, that’s just me. In any case, Josh has seen to the heart of the matter.

And those, dear friends, are among the many reasons that the world, or at least the sane portion thereof, puts climate action at the very bottom of their priority list.

My best to all, I’m gonna go outdoors and enjoy the climate on a lovely autumn day,

w.

PS—Please don’t bother pointing out that these are not all scientists. If influential lay people make colossal bogus scientific misstatements, it’s up to the scientists to not stay quiet. Silence in that case is not golden. It is support for scientific malfeasance.

UPDATE—A Looney Old Lady (her screen name) on Twitter pointed this out to me, too good to leave out:

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Peter
October 16, 2021 10:13 am

Ignorance and stupidity know no bounds!

Abolition Man
Reply to  Peter
October 16, 2021 5:47 pm

Peter,
Much of it is just plain lying for monetary gain!

Bryan A
Reply to  Abolition Man
October 16, 2021 7:13 pm

It would appear that the great Klimate Katastrophe will come to pass when utility scale functioning cold fusion is finally created.
Both are always 10 years away

Robert Heath
Reply to  Bryan A
October 17, 2021 2:26 am

I disagree entirely, cold fusion is always 20 years away.

Allan MacRae
Reply to  Peter
October 17, 2021 4:35 am

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2021/10/04/uah-global-temperature-update-for-september-2021/#comment-3361290

THE GREENS’ PREDICTIVE CLIMATE AND ENERGY RECORD IS THE WORST
The ability to predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence.

Climate doomsters have a perfect NEGATIVE predictive track record – every very-scary climate prediction, of the ~80 they have made since 1970, has FAILED TO HAPPEN.
 
“Rode and Fischbeck, professor of Social & Decision Sciences and Engineering & Public Policy, collected 79 predictions of climate-caused apocalypse going back to the first Earth Day in 1970. With the passage of time, many of these forecasts have since expired; the dates have come and gone uneventfully. In fact, 48 (61%) of the predictions have already expired as of the end of 2020.”

To end 2020, the climate doomsters were proved wrong in their scary climate predictions 48 times – at 50:50 odds for each prediction, that’s like flipping a coin 48 times and losing every time! The probability of that being mere random stupidity is 1 in 281 trillion! It’s not just global warming scientists being stupid.
 
These climate doomsters were not telling the truth – they displayed a dishonest bias in their analyses that caused these extremely improbable falsehoods, these frauds.
 
There is a powerful logic that says no rational person or group could be this wrong for this long – they followed a corrupt agenda – in fact, they knew they were lying.
 
The global warming alarmists have a NO predictive track record – they have been 100% wrong about every scary climate prediction – nobody should believe them.
 
The radical greens have NO credibility, make that NEGATIVE credibility – their core competence is propaganda, the fabrication of false alarm.

Sara
October 16, 2021 10:15 am

It’s like watching one of those bobblehead toys: as with the impending doom of an out of control train flying down the tracks, you can’t take your eyes off it, but you really don’t want to look. So you do… and then you wish you hadn’t… and then you look again… and you fall down laughing until your stomach hurts… because the train was really made of cookie dough and frosting and you still get to have one with your hot cocoa…..

Why haven’t these Mavens of Doom done any forecasting on the Atlantic ridge zone and the Icelandic and Las Palmas volcanoes having their fun? I mean, that activity alone indicates that the Atlantic basin is (OBVIOUSLY!!!!!) going to crack wide open and the devastation from that alone will End Everything As We Know It!!!!…. or something like that.

Now, that didn’t cost anyone any cash, did it?

If I have to put /sarc on that stuff, I will be SO disappointed….. I may have to send my giant dragonflies to chide you….

Have a nice weekend.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  Sara
October 17, 2021 8:11 am

Well, if the subduction zone did crack open that would put an end to the rising sea level scare:-)

HotScot
October 16, 2021 10:19 am

The last time I looked, the UN poll had been taken down.

ozspeaksup
Reply to  HotScot
October 17, 2021 3:45 am

thatd be right
cant have the actual peoples views or needs being visible if they dont agree with the agenda

John Bell
October 16, 2021 10:30 am

And how many of the vocal alarmists actually have solar panels/wind turbines on their roofs/properties? DANG FEW!

SxyxS
Reply to  John Bell
October 16, 2021 11:33 am

Just take a look at Hollywood.

How many of those willing Weinstein rape victi….celebreties have solar panels on their roofs and ” refugees” inside their homes?
But every single one of them owns a front beach property that was flooded according to Hansen,Mann ,UN already years ago.

There is reality and then there is the Marxist script.
Actors,scientists,politicians know the Marxist script and they know they’ll lose their privileged jobs if they don’t follow the script and tell the opposite = truth..

Officially they are all pro feminists,mee too supporters etc in the real world they all looked away for decades when Weinstein raped,
and they still do in terms of eg. James Toback.

Officially they believe in global warming,in the real world they buy front beach properties and drive fancy fossil cars – except Di Caprio.
His electric super car has the biggest carbon footprint in Hollywood as it is kind of custom prototype made in Japan to carbon shame people
and the feudal 300 feet Super Yacht Di Caprio used during the football world champion ship in brazil wasted during those 3 weeks more fuel than average joe in 10 lifetimes
and is owned by a Saudi Arab Sheikh.
And we all know what a dictatorship Saudi Arabia is, how women are treated there (almost as bad as in Weinsteins Hollywood )
that there is death penalty for gays,
and that blacks are usually called abeed,which means ni…_.!

Everyone knows that one has to be rich to afford living in communism which is now sold as postmodernism.
Only the most equal of animals will be allowed to continue their current lifestyle,
therefore noone wants to lose his privileged place of moral,intellectual and financial supremacy and become part of the 99.9 %.

michael hart
October 16, 2021 10:30 am

Y’know, I’m almost beginning to feel bad about being a Western ‘white’ person.
Honestly, how do we manage to come up with so many climate pricks?

SxyxS
Reply to  michael hart
October 16, 2021 11:34 am

Frankfurt School, critical theory,polymorphic perversion.

bill Johnston
Reply to  michael hart
October 16, 2021 11:43 am

Not enough gainful employment. Or at least it is not being pursued as it should be.

Richard Page
Reply to  bill Johnston
October 16, 2021 11:56 am

Why should they when they can make a decent living on government handouts ‘researching’ a non-existent problem and writing a completely wrong and inflammatory paper every couple of years. Defund the scammers for a few years and maybe they’ll start to realise they’ve gone way too far.

D. J. Hawkins
Reply to  bill Johnston
October 16, 2021 2:52 pm

Not enough missed meals. That tends to sharpen your sense of what’s really important.

John Law
Reply to  michael hart
October 17, 2021 10:14 am

In the uk we have a Royal Abundance; led by the gobsh1te Charles!

Sean O'Connor
October 16, 2021 10:31 am

This should be a permanent page up somewhere, and just before each image have some code write “x years ago” so as time goes by we can keep laughing at the failed predictions

Right-Handed Shark
Reply to  Sean O'Connor
October 16, 2021 12:27 pm
saveenergy
Reply to  Right-Handed Shark
October 16, 2021 1:00 pm

Thanks Shark, been looking for something like that for ages.

Mason
Reply to  Right-Handed Shark
October 16, 2021 2:10 pm

Thanks!

Peter K
Reply to  Right-Handed Shark
October 16, 2021 2:29 pm

Brilliant!! What a great reality check. Thanks for the link.

Loydo
Reply to  Peter K
October 17, 2021 4:33 am

Unless of course it just just left the successful predictions out. Unless of course you think there can’t have been any.

Tony
Reply to  Loydo
October 17, 2021 7:22 am

There are no successful predictions for once you are correct.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Loydo
October 17, 2021 7:39 am

Name one.

Editor
Reply to  Loydo
October 17, 2021 9:45 pm

I see that YOU didn’t post any “successful” predictions, that would have been easy for even YOU to post them….. but you didn’t post a dam thing!

LOL

Anon
Reply to  Right-Handed Shark
October 16, 2021 4:42 pm

What a great resource !!! Thanks for posting!

Now we need a Warming Clock for all the temperature set data adjustments, with the number of degrees added to the global temperature after each adjustment… it would be real proof of “manmade” global warming, with nothing to do with carbon. (lol)

Krudd Gillard of the Commondebt of Australia
Reply to  Right-Handed Shark
October 16, 2021 8:16 pm

saved to favourites.

#Let’s go Brandon!

October 16, 2021 10:32 am

Imagine the amount spent on reducing CO2 emissions having instead been spent on cleaning up real pollution and creating first class recycling systems.

Bill Everett
Reply to  Stephen Wilde
October 16, 2021 3:32 pm

The atmospheric CO2 level only increased 1/100th of one percent in the sixty years from 1960 until 2020. CO2 level is not a significant factor regarding global warming or climate change.

Felix
Reply to  Stephen Wilde
October 16, 2021 5:52 pm

The crude estimate I have seen is that US, state, local, and federal governments spend $9T a year, 40% of GDP. If half of that is wasted misdirection of free markets, GDP growth would be 20% higher without it. No matter how crude and simplistic that is, it sounds plausibly in the ballpark, especially when you consider how much private spending is wasted getting around government, such as the estimated 6 billion hours people spend figuring out personal income taxes every year.

ATheoK
Reply to  Felix
October 17, 2021 9:10 pm

Free Markets do not impair production in America. Production directly contributes to GDP, from farming and mining right up to sophisticated programs and electronic components production is easily net positive.

As every faux democracy free market set up by communist states have learned, free markets are distinct GDP financial generating engines.

Monopolies, group agreements, socialist efforts, nationalism, government involvement in businesses and government backed inventions, etc. are all huge negatives to GDP as Biden just proved.

Government monitoring, regulation and enforcement produce zero GDP.
EPA? A 100% money sink that frequently destroys entire industries. DOE? Another sink.
IRS is perhaps the worst GDP sink of all; just ask anyone that IRS investigated or prosecuted recently. No matter how right you may have been, the agency has the power of government behind every summons they send. people and businesses accept IRS findings, negotiate a settlement and pay. It’s cheaper than a decade of court cases and endless hearings

Justice department is rapidly following the IRS model..

Nor do you state what $9T a year is spent on, not even at a macro level.

Krudd Gillard of the Commondebt of Australia
Reply to  Stephen Wilde
October 16, 2021 8:17 pm

or growing quality timbers for fine furniture.

Davidf
Reply to  Stephen Wilde
October 17, 2021 12:29 am

Or building and staffing, in perpetuity, hospitals, so that we didnt have to lockdown for fear of overwhelming them – if that was ever a probability

Pat from kerbob
October 16, 2021 10:33 am

“ PS—Please don’t bother pointing out that these are not all scientists. If influential lay people make colossal bogus scientific misstatements, it’s up to the scientists to not stay quiet. Silence in that case is not golden. It is support for scientific malfeasance.”

To me that is the entire purpose of Steve Koonin’s book, to refute journalists, activists and government malfeasance of what science there is.

It is comedy to watch the “fact checkers” point out that many of the various points Koonin refutes are false to start with, which to me shows the joke.

These are all lies told by alarmists that the “climate scientists” stay quiet about.

So Willis nailed it

Neo Conscious
Reply to  Pat from kerbob
October 17, 2021 11:23 am

Yes, the politicians like AOC and Kerry keep suspiciously promoting the year 2030 as being the point of no return, but without scientific support for that specific year.

Coincidentally, 2030 is the year that Dr. Landscheidt predicts the upcoming mini ice age will be fully engaged. It makes one suspicious this explains their frantic urgency, for that is when their fraud will be fully exposed.

Tom Halla
October 16, 2021 10:33 am

There is a market for scary stories, with the precise content varying.
Whether it is evangelical Christians following predictions of the Second Coming, or greens and whatever dread threat is about to destroy the environment, the psychological impulse is much the same. Something of a suspension of disbelief, cheering the prophet, and not really changing all that much.

Michael in Dublin
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 16, 2021 12:37 pm

Tom,

Some evangelical Christians have weird ideals about the Second Coming which does not accord with the plain sense of the New Testament. However, the teaching about the second coming is not about a global catastrophe but something more sober and far worse: It is about accountability. It is about a day when all people will be held accountable for all the bad things they have done and for all their failures to do good things. I do not find an emphasis on individual responsibility and accountability coming from the climate alarmists. Prof Jordan Peterson was spot on. If young people do not keep their rooms tidy (also their immediate environment) their protests about everyone else cleaning up the world is worthless.

John Larson
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 16, 2021 1:34 pm

Um, the second coming of Christ is the antithesis of a scary story, for Christians . . The “psychological impulse” is to look forward to the end of the sort of “fear porn” under discussion here, among many other inhumane and deceitful things “the rulers of this world” engage in.

Reply to  John Larson
October 16, 2021 2:00 pm

Also, there is no date attached. It could happen NOW, so be ready at any time. (Some scholars also think Revelations is more likely the result of a bad batch of rye bread; in their view, there will be no such warnings.)

Oh, and there is no such thing as “sin credits” for Christians. That got the Roman Catholic Church into deep trouble a few centuries ago. (Sadly, there are indications that they are reviving that idea these days.)

John Larson
Reply to  writing observer
October 16, 2021 3:42 pm

If there will be no such warnings, why would Jesus say (in Matthew);

Watch therefore, for ye know neither the day nor the hour wherein the Son of man cometh.” ?

And (in Mark);

“Take ye heed, watch and pray: for ye know not when the time is.”

And (in Luke);

“Blessed are those servants, whom the lord when he cometh shall find watching: verily I say unto you, that he shall gird himself, and make them to sit down to meat, and will come forth and serve them.”

It seems to me “some scholars” are going to be caught off-guard, so to speak, if they persist in thinking there is going to be nothing one does well to watch for. Not knowing the day or hour, is not the same as not realizing that the time is getting close, as I read the Book.

(And I be watching ; )

noaaprogrammer
Reply to  John Larson
October 16, 2021 8:47 pm

On average, Christ ‘comes’ for every individual around “3-score and 10 years” of age; and for those with more strength, it might be “4-score years.” Psalms 90:10.

John Larson
Reply to  writing observer
October 16, 2021 4:35 pm

PS, I read Revelations as a mixture of metaphorical language with “signs” the “Biblically literate” can grasp the general nature of. Some becoming clearer as the Story unfolds (if one is watching things unfold ; ) and others basically providing some comfort/hope, in the face of what seems truly wrong with the world.

There was no “spell it out clearly” option available, it seems kinda obvious to me, without spilling beans He doesn’t want spilt too soon, so to speak. As someone with a poetic bent, I find the book fascinating, and indicative of just how seriously He takes the situation He has/is putting us in.

(I don’t even “get” why “some scholars” think it is out of place in the Scriptures overall. This ain’t no party (as the song goes) this ain’t no foolin’ around ; )

Tom Halla
Reply to  writing observer
October 16, 2021 6:09 pm

I had a friend in grade school (circa 1966) who was a Jehovah’s Witness, who told me that the Second Coming was to be 1975. That church has violated the principle that predictions should not be too specific.

TonyG
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 17, 2021 1:33 pm

Tom, the JW predictions actually had several dates: 1914, 1915, 1918, 1920, 1925, 1941, 1975, 1997. I think they finally stopped predicting. Harold Camping took over after that

Krudd Gillard of the Commondebt of Australia
Reply to  writing observer
October 16, 2021 8:22 pm

read Renan’s Antichrist. The Revelations may be about Nero’s persecution of the Christians. President Brandon (it/they) may be ushering in a repeat era.

Tom Halla
Reply to  John Larson
October 16, 2021 6:04 pm

Not if the preacher is a hard shell Calvinist who presumes that most
people are damned, which was the type preaching to my friends parents when I was a kid. Of course, that is not what Calvinists who know what they are doing preach, but yahoos are all too common.

John Larson
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 16, 2021 11:40 pm

It seems kinda self evident, to me, that Christians in general believe Christ is their savior. Someone faking it for whatever reason might see the second coming as a scary story, but they are not Christians.

Felix
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 16, 2021 5:56 pm

I don’t care what religious fundamentalists teach their children: flat earth, creationism, makes no difference. It literally does not affect me, and the farther from reality, the sooner the children will question it.

Alarmunists do affect me: regulations, taxes, distorted markets. They do real harm. They intend real harm.

Krudd Gillard of the Commondebt of Australia
Reply to  Tom Halla
October 16, 2021 8:28 pm

Most have not realised this but the Second Coming has already occurred. We are living in Hell. It is just a case of which circle you are in. President Brandon (it/they), Hollyweird (they them), these are in fact the devils (she/him). I urge you, when you wake up tomorrow morning, open your eyes and say to yourself, we are in Hell. Gives one (he/him/she/her/it/them) a new perspective on life, let me tell you…

PaulH
October 16, 2021 10:34 am

I love all those “we have x years/months/days to solve the climate emergency” headlines. 🙂 Reading them gave me the best belly-laugh I’ve had in weeks.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  PaulH
October 17, 2021 8:20 am

Check out even more at https://extinctionclock.org

ResourceGuy
October 16, 2021 10:47 am

Bring out your dead, no wait bring out your wealth. We want your wealth for our list of programs and redistribution efforts. Do it now. The holders (involuntary donors) of the wealth don’t have a choice.

Reply to  ResourceGuy
October 16, 2021 11:01 am

That’s the problem with a wealth redistribution: You do it once, and there is nothing left to redistribute.

Abolition Man
Reply to  Curious George
October 16, 2021 5:54 pm

Curious G,
If Bernie Sanders and AOC could take ALL the wealth from every American billionaire, it wouldn’t be enough to meet the federal budget for ONE year! And then thousands of workers would lose their jobs as well!
Aaack! I better stop giving them ideas!

Gunga Din
Reply to  Curious George
October 16, 2021 6:32 pm

And also, those who promote it plan to keep theirs.
The last chapter of “Animal Farm” all over again.

Scissor
October 16, 2021 10:47 am

James Lovelock has come around to being more skeptical of the doomsayers. He thinks that XR is clearly bonkers and nuclear power is the only viable and scalable alternative to displace a significant amount of fossil fuels.

At 102 years old, it would be hard not to be set in one’s ways, but he has changed his outlook.

Bob boder
Reply to  Scissor
October 16, 2021 12:15 pm

And how much damage has he caused along the way?

Scissor
Reply to  Bob boder
October 16, 2021 12:41 pm

Difficult to quantify one way or the other. Overall he’s made notable scientific contributions.

His research before and during WWII helped the war effort immensely. His invention of the electron capture detector was a great advancement for analytical chemistry.

His Gaia hypothesis represents an interesting philosophical way of seeing the world. His support of global warming is regrettable, I’ll give you that.

garboard
Reply to  Scissor
October 16, 2021 2:05 pm

he hates wind turbines

Scissor
Reply to  garboard
October 16, 2021 3:54 pm

That’s true too, another plus.

AntonyIndia
Reply to  Scissor
October 16, 2021 10:26 pm

Now in 2021 he is backing up the CO2 Apocalypse hypothesis in a BBC interview “Hard talk”.

Scissor
Reply to  AntonyIndia
October 17, 2021 7:43 am

That’s saddening. It’s easy enough for the media to twist and edit one’s words to fit their narrative. I don’t know what he said but it would be even easier for them to manipulate a 102 year old.

If you can share a link of the interview, I would be obliged.

Scissor
Reply to  Scissor
October 17, 2021 7:44 am
Scissor
Reply to  AntonyIndia
October 17, 2021 8:08 am

You are right. I was wrong about the BBC twisting his words, he obviously believes the message that was portrayed on AGW. I agree with him mostly, notwithstanding his views on greenhouse gases, but certainly on the role that nuclear energy could play.

I was fortunate to be able to attend one of his 100th birthday parties. It appears that he’s doing great (the interview was when he was 101).

Rob_Dawg
October 16, 2021 10:54 am

There is a reason people consider “honest government” as several times more important than “climate action.” The two have become inversely correlated.

Rud Istvan
October 16, 2021 10:54 am

Failed prediction ridicule is very effective. And there is much more than what WE listed.
Arctic ice free by 2014 (Wadhams).
Children won’t know snow (Viner).
East River Parkway under water by 2010 (Hansen).
Wind as cheap as CCGT by 2015 (EIA).

jono1066
Reply to  Rud Istvan
October 16, 2021 5:22 pm

There must be one at the top of the list from AOC added as well. didnt she say something like 17 months ?

markl
October 16, 2021 10:55 am

Don’t blame the scientists for not speaking up. We’re in the dark ages when it comes to truth that doesn’t conform with the narrative. The so called “Progressives” ( Marxists ) have fine tuned their propaganda machine and control of courts/government to effectively silence all opposition with intimidation, ostracizing, and fear. Peter Ridd anyone? It’s going to take a lot more than scientific truth to turn this ship around.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  markl
October 17, 2021 7:49 am

“It’s going to take a lot more than scientific truth to turn this ship around.”

It’s going to take an extended period of cold weather.

David Roger Wells
October 16, 2021 10:58 am

‘This is a story that needs to be told’: BBC film tackles Climategate scandal | Climate science denial | The Guardian BBC commissioned Vox Pictures to rewrite history by overturning the reality of ClimateGate.“Twelve years ago, Professor Philip Jones was subject to a barrage of hate mail and death threats that pushed him close to suicide. Emails, hacked from his laboratory, proved climate change research was a fraud, it was claimed.

Now Jones faces a repeat of that grim onslaught when the BBC One film, The Trick, is screened on 18 October. It will tell the story, sympathetically, of his tribulations at the hands of climate change deniers.
“At the time, the mail was awful. Everyone was attacking me and I couldn’t deal with it. I got Christmas cards filled with obscenities and, to this day – on the November anniversary of the hacking – I still get a couple of offensive messages,” Jones told the Observer last week.

“After The Trick is screened I expect there will be a new wave of abuse. However, I accept the risk because this is a story that needs to be told.”
Jones was head of the Climatic Research Unit at East Anglia University in Norwich in 2009 when hackers stole thousands of documents and emails from its computers. Their contents were then carefully selected and used by climate change deniers to promote the idea that scientists were falsely alleging fossil fuel emissions were warming the planet. Subsequent inquiries rejected all these allegations.
“It was a manufactured controversy,” said Owen Sheers, screenwriter of The Trick. “There was a definite strategy at work and a massive disinformation campaign. Yet, when I talk to those who remember any of it now, most still think a scientist really did get caught tweaking the figures.”

The twisted disturbed grotesquely delusional mentality of the BBC has no boundaries, they are determined by any means possible to defy logic rationality science observations fact and history to impose the belief at whatever cost to the people who pay their wages the absolute unadulterated lunacy of living at the whim of Alice in Wonderland fantasists in the belief that there really is a solution to a problem which does not exist which will allow these boneheaded freaks to exist in isolated luxury and comfort whilst everyone else dies in the process of just trying to survive on dead rats and grass.

Shell Energy tried to hike my direct debit from £87/month to £155/month based upon a fantasy prediction that in the remaining two weeks of my current contract I would consume another £527-00 in energy which they did presumably to justify me paying £155 a month when my contract does in fact not end until November 30th.

Imagine Shell is so desperate to preserve its own lunacy of entering the retail energy market based upon lurid accusations from its shareholders that it was not green enough now seeks street corner drug dealer mentality to coerce its customers to cough up huge dollops of cash because most like me have refused to contemplate spending £150,000 to fit heat pumps electric boilers solar panels tesla battery packs and smart meters fronted by Katie O’dwyer who expects to be praised to high heaven because she persuaded her own parents to spend countless thousands to climate proof their own house in order to save the planet. Some lunatic at Shell really did expect to use low pricing to get customers for electricity and gas and then abuse them 24/7 with hectoring phone calls and demented emails about the climate demolition in the expectation that they would joyfully spend money they don’t to make Shells entrance in retail energy a profitable enterprise.

I worked in London for a tanker brokerage 53 years ago and I used to repeatedly ask what happens to you guys if the oil runs out and they reply was always “well we will just have to do something else” not a single one then as now appears to recognise that without oil there is nothing else. Once we lose the portability of oil there is no other finite stuff to exploit, no fusion no fission no lithium no medical apparatus no catheters no blood tests no NHS in fact but the morons cannot think any further than the end of their now it is deplorable. That mental deficient dwarfs like Tim Davie at the BBC gets a £75,000 rise on top of his original £500k salary when the programs they produce are beyond childish boring fanciful gibberish and like the Guardian without the climate change paranoid they would both die. Morally and ethically repugnant, what happen to common sense and sanity??

AntonyIndia
Reply to  David Roger Wells
October 16, 2021 10:35 pm

The Guardian’s Andrew Simms 100 months “Countdown to Save the Planet” started in August 2008; we are now 157 months later so the Glasgow COP26 is useless.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2008/aug/01/climatechange.carbonemissions

It did save the Guardian financially though…

October 16, 2021 10:58 am

In 194 countries, climate change is not a top concern. In one country, Joe Biden is President.

Corky the cat
October 16, 2021 11:00 am

Would you buy a used car from any of these people? Simply, do you believe them?
As social animals we have to have good bullshit sensors, or we could not trade.
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.

David Roger Wells
October 16, 2021 11:00 am

‘This is a story that needs to be told’: BBC film tackles Climategate scandal | Climate science denial | The Guardian BBC commissioned Vox Pictures to rewrite history by overturning the reality of ClimateGate.“Twelve years ago, Professor Philip Jones was subject to a barrage of hate mail and death threats that pushed him close to suicide. Emails, hacked from his laboratory, proved climate change research was a fraud, it was claimed.

Now Jones faces a repeat of that grim onslaught when the BBC One film, The Trick, is screened on 18 October. It will tell the story, sympathetically, of his tribulations at the hands of climate change deniers.
“At the time, the mail was awful. Everyone was attacking me and I couldn’t deal with it. I got Christmas cards filled with obscenities and, to this day – on the November anniversary of the hacking – I still get a couple of offensive messages,” Jones told the Observer last week.

“After The Trick is screened I expect there will be a new wave of abuse. However, I accept the risk because this is a story that needs to be told.”
Jones was head of the Climatic Research Unit at East Anglia University in Norwich in 2009 when hackers stole thousands of documents and emails from its computers. Their contents were then carefully selected and used by climate change deniers to promote the idea that scientists were falsely alleging fossil fuel emissions were warming the planet. Subsequent inquiries rejected all these allegations.
“It was a manufactured controversy,” said Owen Sheers, screenwriter of The Trick. “There was a definite strategy at work and a massive disinformation campaign. Yet, when I talk to those who remember any of it now, most still think a scientist really did get caught tweaking the figures.”

The twisted disturbed grotesquely delusional mentality of the BBC has no boundaries, they are determined by any means possible to defy logic rationality science observations fact and history to impose the belief at whatever cost to the people who pay their wages the absolute unadulterated lunacy of living at the whim of Alice in Wonderland fantasists in the belief that there really is a solution to a problem which does not exist which will allow these boneheaded freaks to exist in isolated luxury and comfort whilst everyone else dies in the process of just trying to survive on dead rats and grass.

Shell Energy tried to hike my direct debit from £87/month to £155/month based upon a fantasy prediction that in the remaining two weeks of my current contract I would consume another £527-00 in energy which they did presumably to justify me paying £155 a month when my contract does in fact not end until November 30th.

Imagine Shell is so desperate to preserve its own lunacy of entering the retail energy market based upon lurid accusations from its shareholders that it was not green enough now seeks street corner drug dealer mentality to coerce its customers to cough up huge dollops of cash because most like me have refused to contemplate spending £150,000 to fit heat pumps electric boilers solar panels tesla battery packs and smart meters fronted by Katie O’dwyer who expects to be praised to high heaven because she persuaded her own parents to spend countless thousands to climate proof their own house in order to save the planet. Some lunatic at Shell really did expect to use low pricing to get customers for electricity and gas and then abuse them 24/7 with hectoring phone calls and demented emails about the climate demolition in the expectation that they would joyfully spend money they don’t to make Shells entrance in retail energy a profitable enterprise.

I worked in London for a tanker brokerage 53 years ago and I used to repeatedly ask what happens to you guys if the oil runs out and they reply was always “well we will just have to do something else” not a single one then as now appears to recognise that without oil there is nothing else. Once we lose the portability of oil there is no other finite stuff to exploit, no fusion no fission no lithium no medical apparatus no catheters no blood tests no NHS in fact but the morons cannot think any further than the end of their now it is deplorable. That mental deficient dwarfs like Tim Davie at the BBC gets a £75,000 rise on top of his original £500k salary when the programs they produce are beyond childish boring fanciful gibberish and like the Guardian without the climate change paranoid they would both die.

David Roger Wells
October 16, 2021 11:05 am

Bernie Retires As His Vision Of Making The U.S. Just Like Venezuela Has Finally Been Realized | The Babylon Bee Lunacy has no bounds. “BURLINGTON, VT—Bernie Sanders has retired as a U.S. Senator as his lifelong vision of making sure that America becomes just like Venezuela and other socialist countries has finally been achieved amid Biden’s supply chain crisis.

“It’s just refreshing to see these empty shelves—reminds me of simpler times visiting Cuba and the Soviet Union back in my heyday,” he said to himself as he took a stroll through his local grocery store. He stopped by the deodorant aisle and smiled. “Not a single stick of deodorant to choose from. My work here is done.”

“I’m glad I can finally turn in my Senator’s badge and gun, resting easy in the knowledge that the United States is in good hands. We’ll be eating dogs before you know it.”

Sanders says he now takes a refreshing morning walk through the grocery store every morning, taking deep breaths as he admires the empty bread shelves, reminding him of the halcyon days. “We’ve gotta keep Biden in office so it can be like this all the time.”

David Roger Wells
October 16, 2021 11:16 am

There must be laws which the BBC and the media are in breach of. Tesco were fined £30,000 for misrepresenting the price of a punnet of strawberries so how come it is possible for the Guardian and the BBC to lie cheat and deceive 24/7 but be beyond the law. If I could find out what laws they are in breach of then I would put my hand in pocket and sue but I am sure I don’t have enough. These idiots are beyond reality. No fossil fuels no NHS. Having served time in the oil business I know for a fact you cannot pick and choose which products you like from heavy oil tarmacadam to highly refined products for catheters and blood tests.

Sheer unadulterated lunacy what exactly do their teach at Eton? Bullshit baffles brains.

Oldseadog
Reply to  David Roger Wells
October 16, 2021 1:43 pm

The British Government, several years ago, gave an instruction to all managers and employees of the BBC that the science was settled and on pain of dismissal they were not to allow anything contradicting CAGW to be broadcast, and, since the Goverment funds the BBC, they have complied.
So it is the Government’s fault, not the BBC’s.
Trying to charge the British Government with a crime requires pockets that are very very deep.

Reply to  Oldseadog
October 16, 2021 2:14 pm

Is it really the Government’s fault that the BBC caved in to their demands? Is the BBC a part of the Government?

Oldseadog
Reply to  Curious George
October 17, 2021 2:13 am

Yes. It is funded by the Government and the Chair, CEO etc. are vetted by the Government.

Mr.
October 16, 2021 11:19 am

When these predictions of pending doom became an every day event, I had an idea for a killer app –
a chocolate wheel that anyone could spin to get a predicted year in which the planet was going to spontaneously combust.

It would have been just as ‘scientific’ as those from the usual suspects.

I wish now that I’d hit up some billionaire wokesters for development $$$$s 🙁

choc wheel.jpg
commieBob
October 16, 2021 11:40 am

There’s also another poll. The monthly Gallup “Most Important Problem” poll has been running for a long time. Currently, “Environment/Pollution/Climate change” is running at 4%. ie. 4% of people think the environment is the nation’s most important problem. It’s not nothing, but five times that many think fixing the government is the greatest problem. That’s the bunch I’m with for sure. I heard David Legates’ talk this morning. He said that calling Washington a swamp is seriously wrong and an insult to swamps everywhere. Yep. There many many stories with the same theme. As the Gallup poll points out, people notice that kind of thing.

Abolition Man
Reply to  commieBob
October 16, 2021 6:14 pm

Due to our “selected” representatives “pissing down our backs and telling us it’s raining” for decades now, the DC swamp has become a gigantic open air sewer! Trump merely hinted at cleaning up the corruption; and every branch of government including the fourth branch, the intelligence agencies, shifted into high gear to take him out!
The Russia hoax wasn’t getting the job done, but, lo, a small wizened saint came forth to slay the mean, orange dragon; and turn the US economy in the PC direction! All hail St. Fauxi!

2hotel9
October 16, 2021 11:47 am

It is all about stealing money, just that simple. None of these a$$wipes has ever had a real job, boy, they have told an awful lot of lies.

Doonman
Reply to  2hotel9
October 16, 2021 12:51 pm

Of course. And humans will willingly change their lifestyles back to the 1850’s when the world was pristine and clean too. All it takes is money.

Clyde Spencer
Reply to  Doonman
October 16, 2021 2:05 pm

I had once read that the impetus for importing house sparrows was for them to help clean up the horse manure in the streets of NY. While that may be another Urban Legend, the story does suggest that 1850 was less than “pristine and clean.”

https://timeline.com/sparrows-invasive-species-america-9546e6a9e57e

2hotel9
Reply to  Doonman
October 16, 2021 6:31 pm

I been to Colonial Williamsburg, ain’t nobody gonna willing go back to that, even with money involved. 😉

Nick Schroeder
October 16, 2021 11:51 am

If you understand how that reflective panel propped on the dash or those draperies on the glass patio door work and can balance your checkbook you know all you need to know to see through the greenhouse non-effect and all the hysterical crap stacked on top.

Remove the Earth’s atmosphere or even just the GreenHouse Gases and it becomes much like the Moon, an arid, barren rock ball with no water vapor, clouds, snow, ice or oceans, no more 30% albedo, hot^3 (400 K) on the lit side, cold^3 (95 K) on the dark.
That is NOT what Radiative GreenHouse Effect theory says.
It is what Nikolov, Kramm, and UCLA Diviner say.

The K-T diagram (TFK_bams90) counts 63 W/m^2 upwelling Long Wave InfraRed twice: 160 – 17 – 80 = 63 once and 396 – 333 = 63 second. Laws of Thermo 1 allows only one, the real one from the sun. Erase the 396/333/63 from the graphic, the balance is unaffected and the GHG warming loop disappears.
342 arrives from the sun, net albedo 70% or 240 makes it into the atmosphere, net/net 160 arrives at the surface. Per LoT1 160 is ALL!! that can leave. The 396 is “extra” appearing out of nowhere.
The 396 is a theoretical “What if?” calculation for a Black Body at 16 C serving as the denominator of the emissivity ratio: 63/396=0.16. IR instruments do not measure power flux, they measure temperature and infer W/m^2 by assuming emissivity and assuming 1.0 or .95 is assuming wrong.

As demonstrated by experiment the surface cannot and does not radiate as a BB and as such there is no “extra” energy for the GHGs to warm or do whateveh.
For the experimental write up see:
https://principia-scientific.org/debunking-the-greenhouse-gas-theory-with-a-boiling-water-pot/

ZERO RGHE, ZERO GHG warming, ZERO CAGW or CO2 driven climate change.

K-T Budget solar & calcd.jpg
Reply to  Nick Schroeder
October 16, 2021 12:27 pm

Nick, I would simplify it much more. The “flat earth” model is a model. How good is it? For radiation we have to use the absolute temperature, measured in degrees Kelvin. The average temperature of the Earth’s surface is approximately 300 Kelvin. An error of 1% is 3 K, or about 5 degrees Fahrenheit. To get the temperature with an accuracy of 1 degree Fahrenheit, the model must be accurate to 0.2%. This model is a way too crude to achieve that.

Nick Schroeder
Reply to  Curious George
October 16, 2021 5:42 pm

Dividing the ISR of 1,368 by 4 = 342 averages that ISR over the spherical ToA like a ball suspended in and evenly warmed in a bucket of warm poo.
That is not even remotely how the Earth is heated.
ALL of the ISR heats the lit hemisphere alone and the OLR leaves in all directions 24/7.

But it’s Trenberth’s model.
It and all of its clones contain egregious bookkeeping and thermodynamic errors.
They are the basis of the radiative greenhouse effect.
They and it are all trash.
All 3 decades worth.

Albedo & Heat & Cool 081921 lit face.jpg
stinkerp
October 16, 2021 11:58 am

The UN poll used to be at http://data.myworld2015.org/ until they disappeared it in the summer of 2020. Thanks to the wonderful Wayback Machine internet archive, you can still find it here:

http://web.archive.org/web/20200728091358/http://data.myworld2015.org/

It had almost 10 million respondents by the time they retired it. “Action taken on climate change” was still solidly in last place. Inconvenient.

Vuk
October 16, 2021 12:00 pm

I’ve read somewhere that in 100 years time ‘mind uploading’ will be common place.
It looks to me that has become ‘common place’ already among the climate change histrionics.
About 80 or so years ago Albert Einstein said:
“When the number of factors coming into play in a phenomenological complex is too large scientific method in most cases fails. One need only think of the weather, in which case the prediction even for a few days ahead is impossible.”I think is as valid today as it was then.

philincalifornia
October 16, 2021 12:04 pm

What’s the hourly rate for a climate refugee? I guess it’s never been tested.

I could help them save face and move that number from zero to one, especially if there’s back-pay to 1980.

Joking aside, climate was a factor in my moving from England to California. I did a post-doc in Alberta, Canada on the way, so I may even count as two.

Vuk
Reply to  philincalifornia
October 16, 2021 12:10 pm

I’m part time climate refugee, when London weather gets to dull or cold or both, I escape to warm & sunny Med, back and forth about half a dozen times a year. My carbon footprint is probably greater than that of one of Jeff Bezos’ space flights.

D. J. Hawkins
Reply to  Vuk
October 16, 2021 3:06 pm

Ahhh, another climate hero, making sure that plants do not want for their food!

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  philincalifornia
October 17, 2021 6:53 pm

I like it here in calgary
There are some downsides to the weather but nothing like the potential of sliding into the ocean like you have although we are now due for a drought period, hopefully this year wasn’t the start of that

DocSiders
October 16, 2021 12:29 pm

If the Poll doesn’t specifically list “Climate” in a list of concerns…Climate doesn’t come up at all (with statistical significance)..

Pronoun enthusiasts are fixated on…um….pronouns…so even they don’t mention Climate unless it’s ON A LIST.

I actually love the proposition that everyone must agree with MY ASSESSMENT OF ME. I don’t particularly care what pronouns you use for me…heck I’m not even present when pronoun use is appropriate. But because I am an Ascended Being residing above all you riff-raff (according to me…which is all that counts)…I shall insist that all others refer to me as “Your Excellence”……perhaps “Your Magnificence” would also be acceptable if you are too stupid to pronounce “Excellence”.

Abolition Man
Reply to  DocSiders
October 16, 2021 6:28 pm

Doc,
I understand completely! Personally I prefer “Your Highness” or “Your Majesty,” but some days I identify as a Native American lesbian woman; and then I go by “Your Radiance!”

Doonman
October 16, 2021 12:39 pm

The October weather outside my coastal California home is gorgeous, just as it ever was. My family has lived here for over 150 years and stories about Thanksgiving dinners outside when my parents were young were common. We could use some rain though.

I thought 30 years of weather was the period for climate, so we are now past the initial period of James Hansen’s warnings. But I dont see much of anything different. So I think I’ll go outside and pick some tomatoes in my greenhouse – yes, they still grow better inside a greenhouse where its warmer.

John I Reistroffer
October 16, 2021 12:40 pm

The discourse in the litany of doomsday messages above, sounds like the pitch of a “used car salesman (person)”.

“This is a one time offer only. You need to buy this car today, because the discount only lasts for 24 hours.”

ScienceABC123
October 16, 2021 12:49 pm

“20 years” seems to be the limit of climate activist’s memory…

Rob_Dawg
Reply to  ScienceABC123
October 16, 2021 12:57 pm

Don’t think “20 years”. Think “tenured career cycle”.

j wurts
October 16, 2021 1:08 pm

Images that can help to display the lies and possibly dispel some of the fear.

headsea.jpg
j wurts
Reply to  j wurts
October 16, 2021 1:14 pm

Another

fort-denison-syd-slr.jpg
j wurts
Reply to  j wurts
October 16, 2021 1:14 pm

And another

tgRCz8D.jpg
Rory Forbes
Reply to  j wurts
October 16, 2021 9:27 pm

That Venice pic is the best for humiliating warmunists.

Gary Pearse
October 16, 2021 1:21 pm

Well, Jimmy Hansen said a few years ago, you can’t rule out a 30yr cooling period, following the precipitous drop from the peak of the el Niño that temporarily ended the “DreadedPause”. His successor as head of GISS, Gavin Schmidt, a climate modeler, perhaps taking his cue from Jim, or feeling the need to plan an exit strategy after following Monckton’s new Pause reports. Stated that Models are running too hot, and something has to be done about it! Hmmm, what might that be? Their forecasted warming proved to be 300% too hot. Options are few:

a) multiply their sacred formula by a Le Châtelier coefficient of 0.33 which chops Climate Sensitivity to size and gives an answer matching observations.
b) switch cloud feedbacks to negative à la climate engine governor, or thermostat and reduce the effect of aerosols

Unfortunately this makes CO2 fully benign and makes its effect essentially all beneficial with Global Greening and burgeoning harvests, i.e. game over after the class action for trillions in damages, wrongful dismissal, scientific malfeasance, slander, interference in fossil fuels business and financing ….

It turns out

Reply to  Gary Pearse
October 16, 2021 2:25 pm

It was always about abolishing Capitalism.

TheFinalNail
Reply to  Gary Pearse
October 16, 2021 4:07 pm

Their forecasted warming proved to be 300% too hot.

That’s just nonsense. Observations are well within the range of modelled projections.

fig-nearterm_all_UPDATE_2020.png
Mr.
Reply to  TheFinalNail
October 16, 2021 7:22 pm

You don’t reckon that could be because the range is wider than Hillary’s derriere?

I mean, it’s an easy target to hit, hard to miss.

Rory Forbes
Reply to  TheFinalNail
October 16, 2021 9:30 pm

“Within the range of modeled projections” is an utterly meaningless statement. It says nothing about either the accuracy or the precision of modeled projections.

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  TheFinalNail
October 17, 2021 7:00 pm

John Christie’s version is much more accurate

Retired_Engineer_Jim
October 16, 2021 1:30 pm

Thank you, Willis. Very educational. Please note that some of the predictions still have a few years to run, but things had better speed up if they are to come true. Also, note, that according to the Climate Scientists, we may pass a tipping point at some time, but all that means is that we have “baked in” a catastrophe that won’t be observed for decades. And when that catastrophe happens, people will look back to now and say “we should have acted”.

Clyde Spencer
Reply to  Retired_Engineer_Jim
October 16, 2021 2:10 pm

And, if the catastrophe doesn’t happen, some with a good memory may look back and say “It is a good thing we didn’t upend our technological society, and waste all that money in doing so.”

Clyde Spencer
October 16, 2021 1:45 pm

… 7 years, 98 days, 15 hours to save the planet.

Is this from a descendant of Bishop Ussher?

RoodLichtVoorGroen
Reply to  Clyde Spencer
October 16, 2021 1:54 pm

I don’t think bishops are supposed to have descendants, but you never know…

D. J. Hawkins
Reply to  RoodLichtVoorGroen
October 16, 2021 3:19 pm

He was Anglican (technically, Church of Ireland), and therefore not bound by any vow of celibacy. He did, in fact, have a daughter.

RoodLichtVoorGroen
Reply to  D. J. Hawkins
October 17, 2021 3:27 am

I stand corrected.

Rory Forbes
Reply to  RoodLichtVoorGroen
October 16, 2021 10:34 pm

The universal requirement to celibacy was imposed upon the clergy with force in 1123 and again in 1139, but many popes had children after those dates.

bluecat57
October 16, 2021 2:16 pm

Do we get to stone them in 20 years if their prophecies are wrong?

Sara
October 16, 2021 2:54 pm

Wow. Just wow. A plethora of bodacious stupidity all collected into one spot, and I am a witness to it. (Yes, I know I posted something earlier, but this is the 2nd time I looked at that stuff and my reaction to it was “Eeeewwww!”)

Good thing I lived in Chicago for 30 years, isn’t it? I think it made me immune to Da Stoopid posted above in that article.

What was that story about the boy who cried “Wolf!”, again? Didn’t the wolf eat the shepherd, or something like that?

Okay, I will state my take on The Planet’s Climate here: It is temperate, habitable, and a pleasant place to live. We have weather that gives us rain, snow, ice storms, tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, blizzards, mild winter weather, bitterly cold winter weather, droughts, fog, and four seasons that occur on a recurring basis. We can barely make vaguely accurate weather forecasts, so forecasting long range stuff like REAL climate change (which we won’t see in our lifetimes) is a fantasy and not much else.

We puny humans can’t even control our own silly desires or GI tracts, so how in the blinkin’ blue-eyed world does anyone expect me to believe we can exercise control over anything on this planet? Can any of you stop a volcano from erupting? Anyone? Bueller?

We succeeded Heidelberg man and Neanderthal man and several others, and we’re about all that is left of all the other primate hominids like us, but we think we can control something that doesn’t give a flying frack in space about whether or not we continue to exist???

Come to think of it, we might actually be like the dinosaurs that survived the Great Lizard Extinction: the last of our kind. We should be more alert…. or something.

There are a few good quotes from movies. This is one of them, from the movie “Wolf”:

Will Randall:
I’ve never loved anybody this way. Never looked at a woman and thought, if civilization fails, if the world ends, I’ll still understand what God meant.

You all have a good weekend, and if you get a chance, play that song Bad Moon Rising, by Credence Clearwater Revival. Fogerty claims the song is about “the apocalypse that was going to be visited upon us”.

That was 1969. This is 2021. Sometimes, things do make more sense later on.

Last edited 1 month ago by Sara
Aaron Schnelle
October 16, 2021 3:23 pm

I have to take issue with Mr. Eschenbach on the following: “folks know in their heart of hearts that science is all about making falsifiable predictions”. Many do. Many do not. People believe what they saw portrayed on Saturday morning cartoons when they were children and what they were reminded of day after day year after year. Now Superman and the Boy Wonder are homosexual and it’s rational that a person can change their DNA if they only believe it. Not only that…. YOU have to believe it too. Repetition has turned the lie into the truth.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Aaron Schnelle
October 17, 2021 8:17 am

Superman will no longer be fighting for truth, justice and the American way. Superman’s slogan has been change to “truth, justice, and a better world.”

I guess Marvel Comics doesn’t like the American way. Maybe it’s the Chicom influence on Marvel Comics that’s causing the change. Or just plain stupidity.

TonyG
Reply to  Tom Abbott
October 17, 2021 1:39 pm

Superman is DC, not Marvel.

TheFinalNail
October 16, 2021 3:48 pm

And who could forget the IPCC’s 2007 howler (page 12) projecting a warming of about 0.2°C per decade over the next two decades?

It’s been way more than that.

Mr.
Reply to  TheFinalNail
October 16, 2021 4:50 pm

Yep.
Everywhere has been hotter than everywhere else since ever before.
And it’s worse than they thought!

Rory Forbes
Reply to  TheFinalNail
October 16, 2021 10:43 pm

The IPCC did no such thing. They “projected” a very wide range of possible outcomes (mostly wrong) in which only one fit your description. Who cares? Give me your age and I can “project” the exact date of your death … but you will never know if I was right.

Last edited 1 month ago by Rory Forbes
Herbert
Reply to  TheFinalNail
October 18, 2021 3:21 am

The Final Nail,
You are showing us a graph from woodfortrees.org for UAH6 for 2002 going forward.
Would you now click on “Notes” and scroll down to “Temperature trends-Pick a timescale, any timescale!”
Now read,
“Depending on your pre-conceptions,by picking your start and end dates carefully, you can now ‘prove’ that:
.Temperature is falling!
.Temperature is static!
.Temperature is rising!
Temperature is rising really fast!”
There then follows the composite graph of 8 gauges from 1979 to date,(including your UAH6) followed by-
“If you look at the trend data you can see the current trends in degrees C, between 0.13-0.17C/ decade,or,if it continues at the same rate, between 1.3C and 1.7C per century.”
You have established the case that there is almost certainly no “way more” than 0.2 C temperature rise per decade “over the next two decades” from 2007 as all gauges are now showing a New Pause from 2016 to date.
There is no indication that the ‘current trends’ will be other than the indicated rate.

Mike Maguire
October 16, 2021 3:49 pm

“I’m going to point out something that is profound and few people know related to climate change and La Nina’s/El Nino’s and the PDO. It’s not exactly a brilliant deduction as much as it is one from a scientist that is actually LOOKING at the empirical data and observations. You can do it to, right now…without a lick of climate expertise! 
Just an open mind that can tell the difference between blue and red and can read basic graphs. 
See the explanation of the PDO from above here: https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/73659/#76226
This information, will make you smarter (about this element) than most brilliant, highly educated PhD climate scientists with 8 years of schooling and decades of predicting global temperatures. I am absolutely NOT kidding.”

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/73659/#76261

RickWill
October 16, 2021 3:55 pm

USA is the only country that creates the global currency.

USA has a net international position of minus USD15tr – almost 1 year GDP. The indebtedness to the rest of the world is currently increasing at almost USD200bn per quarter.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/current-account

It would not surprise me if the world, notably China, Russia and EU, stop accepting US paper during the Biden administration. The rest of the world will wake up to the inflationary pressure created by the USA living well beyond its means.

Trump was returning the USA to be self-sufficiency but Biden has changed that where the principal output of the US economy is money. Currently that money is good but there will be a time when it is not accepted.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  RickWill
October 17, 2021 8:23 am

China and Russia both have been trying to undermine the U.S. dollar as being the global currency.

It would be bad if they were successful, but a lot of this depends on trust and the Chicoms and the Russians are not demonstrating they can be trusted right now.

Biden certainly harmed U.S. credibility in every category, but this should be just a temporary blip. When Biden and the rest of these radical Democrats are thrown out of office, that should instill confidence in others that the U.S. has not completely lost their minds.

Kevin kilty
October 16, 2021 4:14 pm

Sorry to mention this to these “scientists” but according to the second law there never is any turning back.

Mike Maguire
October 16, 2021 4:24 pm

If the planet is going to die from something in the next 20 years, the most likely cause will be……………….. Death by Greening !

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69258/

Mike Smith
October 16, 2021 4:43 pm

I think we’re close to a tipping point… of failed predictions.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Mike Smith
October 17, 2021 8:25 am

Exactly right. They won’t be able to kick this 20-year doomsday prediction down the road. When no disaster shows up, they are going to have to explain why.

Mike Maguire
October 16, 2021 4:55 pm

Warming the atmosphere 1 deg. C HAS increased the amount of potential moisture that air masses can hold by 7%………all things being equal, so with absolute certainty, heavy rain events have increased by at least that amount. 

But the warming has affected the coldest places at the coldest times of year the most, not the topics.
This is mostly BENEFICIAL warming from the beneficial gas, CO2. 
If it was getting too hot on the planet, the tropics(hottest places) would be the first places to have crops wrecked from excessive heat right?

Climate change and agriculture

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_and_agriculture
comment image

This graph of the real data says that world crop production in the tropics is not decreasing from global warming but instead is actually accelerating higher, in part BECAUSE OF the benefits from the current climate optimum and increase in the beneficial gas, CO2 by atmospheric fertilization. 

C’mon people, how much longer are you going to let them convince you that we are living in a climate crisis using DISinformation/junk science?

Screenshot 2021-10-16 at 18-51-36 Climate change and agriculture - Wikipedia.png
Jeff Alberts
October 16, 2021 5:22 pm

My guess is that if they had people make their own list, instead of being presented with one, “Climate Action”, whatever that is, wouldn’t even make the top 100.

BallBounces
October 16, 2021 5:37 pm

We’ve got seven minutes to save the planet and — wait a minute, my watch is off — we’ve got… we’re dooooooooooooooommed!!!! Oh, well… (Turns off alarm clock and rolls over in bed for the night…)

Felix
October 16, 2021 5:41 pm

It would be fun to have a web site of all such End Of The World predictions, ordered by their predicted end date. I don’t have the patience for it, but I’d be a Patreon supporter of such a web site.

Felix
Reply to  Felix
October 16, 2021 5:45 pm
Dave Andrews
Reply to  Felix
October 17, 2021 8:46 am
Tombstone Gabby
October 16, 2021 6:50 pm

G’Day Willis,

“… and enjoy the climate on a lovely autumn day.”

Make the most of it mate, the Old Farmers Almanac is predicting a chilly winter for most of North America.

steve
October 16, 2021 7:03 pm

I dont know about anyone else, but from my perspective here in Australia, I have never seen so much attention focused around global climate alarmism…the business sections in the best paper in Australia are chock full of it as companies announce plans to mitigate carbon…the political stories are full of it and then you have the opinion writers who are also full of it ( in more ways than one)…abuse is rife in the comments sections if you don’t agree or point out scientific facts…the energy companies are full of renewable talk…..quite frankly… it is bloody depressing… I thought the truth would always win through ( eventually), but it appears not.

gbaikie
Reply to  steve
October 16, 2021 7:12 pm

Perhaps it’s due to your corporate news being worthless.

RickWill
Reply to  steve
October 16, 2021 9:50 pm

Net-zero is manor from heaven for the Australian economy. A net-zero economy will be of the order of 200 times more material intensive than the current one. That is why it creates so many jobs.

Australia is at the forefront of the supply chain for all the commodities that will be converted to useless junk in the vain hope of extracting useful energy from the weather.

The Mining Council in Australia now employs professional greens to lobby for their cause. BHP tells us it takes 3 tonne of copper for every wind generator and far more steel and concrete. And it ALL does nothing when needed most. So all existing dispatchable plant has to be retained or replaced with newer versions but left idle more often.

ScoMo is under a lot of pressure from the business council to get on board this mammoth resource waster. Get in before the world wakes up that it is unsustainable.

COP26 could be the one where nuclear gets traction. That will be the lesser attractive option than random energy but still a resource hungry transition good for Australian commodities.

David S
October 16, 2021 8:39 pm

My wife and I were sitting on the front porch a couple of days ago enjoying a gorgeous sunny fall afternoon. The sky was blue, the grass was green, the trees were beginning to turn their fall colors. Then I had a horrible realization; Climate Change is causing beautiful weather! Oh No! We’re all gonna die! /sarc

October 16, 2021 11:00 pm

Willis, you forgot Ted Danson’s 10 year doomsday clock from 1988 that Rush Limbaugh used to have fun updating and ridiculing, … until it ran out.

October 17, 2021 12:08 am

COP26 is going to be remembered as the moment the global warming scam fell apart.

The farce is strong already with this one.

Miha
October 17, 2021 12:50 am

That was published 7 years ago. Be interesting to see what climate propaganda has achieved since then – if anything.

Herbert
October 17, 2021 2:26 am

Willis,
We can thank the late British engineer John Bignell for numberwatch.co.uk and ‘The List’ which collects all the 700 plus catastrophic predictions about global warming (many conflicting) some of which are discussed here.
For further amusement see extinctionclock.com showing many failed predictions since 1970.
As far as I can see, out of the ten biblical plagues of Egypt inflicted on the Pharoah, only the Thames(insert your local river)turning red with blood and the Angel of the Lord slaying First Born male children are missing from present threats.
As Mark Twain remarked, “sometimes I wonder whether the world is run by smart people who are having us on or by imbeciles who really mean it”.

Herbert
Reply to  Herbert
October 17, 2021 2:30 am

Willis,
I forgot to mention.The slogan for Glasgow is “One point five to stay alive”(!).

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Herbert
October 17, 2021 8:31 am

Nothing has changed since Mark Twain’s time.

ozspeaksup
October 17, 2021 3:44 am

well holdren n ehrlich ruined my teens and ongoing with iceage scares
then they magically swapped fears to heat
and Im over 60 and nothings changed much at all
I could cheerfully kick them all to hell

Craig W
October 17, 2021 4:32 am

“50 Million Climate Refugees” … Is Political Climate caused by bombing the 3rd world countries is close enough?

Craig W
Reply to  Craig W
October 17, 2021 4:37 am

Edit feature is a bit funky. Meant to delete, “countries is” To read, “… bombing the third world close enough?”

Joseph Zorzin
October 17, 2021 4:52 am

here’s another rant by Willy McKibben: “Why the World’s Rich Nations Must Pay for Climate Damage”
“Damage from increasingly extreme weather events is falling especially hard on developing countries, even though they have done the least to contribute to climate change. At the upcoming UN climate talks, rich nations must begin to compensate them for their mounting losses.”

https://e360.yale.edu/features/for-climate-equity-developing-nations-must-be-paid-for-damages

very old white guy
October 17, 2021 6:42 am

I used to comment on articles like this but I decided that there is no point anymore as the terminally stupid remain so. The climate will continue as it has for millions of years.

whiten
October 17, 2021 6:44 am

Willis,
not meaning to nitpick or fully contradict you.
But when it comes to false predictions as stated by you, the main clause of scientific falsification is not quite valid.

The main point or clauses of falsification stand in the proposition of a condition that supposes not to happen as per/within a given premise, but in contrary if it does, it renders the premise falsified.

The false predictions more to do with the Null hypothesis.
What supposedly has to happen, under a given premise.

The conditions of false predictions, Technically has more to do with reducing the value, or refusing to add value, to a given premise
(hypothesis, theory, theorem etc.).

🙂

cheers

Last edited 1 month ago by whiten
whiten
Reply to  whiten
October 17, 2021 11:46 am

Willis,

You ignoring, me, or you ignoring your main stand, as far as I can tell!

🙃

cheers

Gordon A. Dressler
October 17, 2021 7:16 am

I will refer to a quote from one of our modern sages, Yogi Berra:
“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”

Peter Plail
October 17, 2021 7:59 am

It is so comforting to see the scientific consensus in action.

Alba
October 17, 2021 8:04 am

Among those predictions there are some which have been proved wrong because the deadline has been passed and others where the deadline has yet to be reached. For example James Lovelock said that global warming would hit the fan in 2028. Well, he might be wrong but we have to wait another seven years to prove him wrong.

Gordon A. Dressler
Reply to  Alba
October 17, 2021 9:27 am

No further waiting is necessary. According to Joe Biden and his “climate czar” John Kerry, global warming climate change has already “hit the fan” big time.

Or, in the famous words of H.L. Mencken:
“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all to them imaginary.”

whiten
Reply to  Alba
October 17, 2021 9:59 am

Alba,
not sure how this may help;

But Tropical warming, the Tropical hot spot, hit the fan more than two decades ago, and already perished by now.

🙂🤓

cheers

whiten
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
October 17, 2021 2:21 pm

Willis,
I bet that you do not actually know the very base premise of AGW, as per the scripture of anthropogenic climate.

The accelerative warming of cryosphere.

So, that is why so much push and shoveling towards ice melting and sea level rise… the last standing straw for the holding of anthropogenic climate hypothesis.

A clear signature of cooling of cryosphere will falsify the AGW.

simple as that… the main last fight to day…

whiten
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
October 17, 2021 8:13 pm

I am talking about science, not feelings or presumptions of one or another.

As per standing of climate science there is two falsification clauses, conditions that supposed not to happen, as else the anthropogenic climate science stands falsified;

1- The main one- Departure-decoupling of CO2 concentration trend from the temperature trend or the warming trend.- (the falsification). (the falsification for CC hypothesis)

2- Clear signature or clear signal of cryosphere cooling.
(the falsification of AGW hypothesis).

Yes, true, no body is listening yet, as still hanging on/at the point that AGW hypothesis is not falsified yet.
(Regardless/ignoring the fact, that falsification of CC actually stands as falsification of the whole)

The main point of argument I was having.
As per IPCC AR4.
(The part of the anthropogenic climate science scripture, defining the hypothesis and the corresponding clauses of falsification.)

cheers

Last edited 1 month ago by whiten
Gordon A. Dressler
Reply to  whiten
October 19, 2021 9:39 am

whiten,

The cryosphere is, by definition, the part of the earth’s surface characterized by the presence of frozen water.

Most people know that when ice (“frozen water”) melts, or changes from solid ice to liquid water, it does so at a constant temperature of 0 °C (32 °F) even as it absorbs a significant amount of thermal energy.

Therefore, your phrase “accelerative warming of cryosphere” makes absolutely no sense when used in conjunction with ice melting and sea level rise.

John Phillips
October 17, 2021 2:37 pm

“Please don’t bother pointing out that these are not all scientists. ”

None is a direct quote from a scientist, these are more like examples of the sub-editors art. In fact the number of predictions here from the IPCC or the literature is zero. Take the Hansen quote: President ‘has four years to save Earth’. It is not actually a quote as we normally understand the term. If you click through and read the full interview Hansen never uses those words, the closest he comes is:

We cannot now afford to put off change any longer. We have to get on a new path within this new administration. We have only four years left for Obama to set an example to the rest of the world. America must take the lead.

If the point of the piece is the poor state of science journalism – well, no argument here. But if it is an attempt to prove climate science as a discipline is alarmist. 

Fail.

October 17, 2021 4:19 pm

And finally, my personal favorite because it’s so much more accurate than the others … 7 years, 98 days, 15 hours to save the planet.

That’s precise, not accurate.

John
October 17, 2021 5:48 pm

Humans need a cause to fight over
The suffragettes had a valid cause for women voting
The anti nuclear people also had valid cause to limit Nuclear weapons but not nuclear power
now the current generation who have everything so they want to rebel against the world but unfortunately they don’t understand we are living in the best time of human history
If they get their way we will see mass human extinction due to starvation and death from cold not heat
I hope that the idiots learn while we have time to turn back to a sensible energy system

ATheoK
October 17, 2021 7:49 pm

Don’t forget the warnings of Dr. James Hansen!

While doing research 12 or 13 years ago, I met Jim Hansen, the scientist who in 1988 predicted the greenhouse effect before Congress.

I went over to the window with him and looked out on Broadway in New York City and said, “If what you’re saying about the greenhouse effect is true, is anything going to look different down there in 20 years?”

He looked for a while and was quiet and didn’t say anything for a couple seconds. Then he said, “Well, there will be more traffic.” I, of course, didn’t think he heard the question right.

Then he explained, “The West Side Highway [which runs along the Hudson River] will be under water. And there will be tape across the windows across the street because of high winds.

And the same birds won’t be there.

The trees in the median strip will change.”

Then he said, “There will be more police cars.” Why? “Well, you know what happens to crime when the heat goes up.”

Not long after this prediction, at the 10 year anniversary when it was obvious the water wasn’t rising, alarmists put on a full court press where they claimed Hansen was really predicting out 30 years, not 20 years.

At the 20 year anniversary, they again insisted Hansen was really predicting much further into the future. They even got the author of the magazine article to state that Hansen was really answering about 30 years into the future.

That 30th year anniversary passed in 1988.

Hansen in his paper, “Global climate changes as forecast by Goddard Institute for Space Studies three-dimensional model; ‘J. Hansen,I. Fung,A. Lacis,D. Rind,S. Lebedeff,R. Ruedy,G. Russell,P. Stone
Where Hansen made much of 95°F degree days. Another doom prediction that utterly failed.
Washington DC is supposed to have somewhere in the neighborhood of 25.5 95°F days per year.
Hasn’t happened. We were quite skint of 95°F days this year. Nor were they all that abundant over the last decade.

95degreedaysprediction.JPG
JohnC
October 18, 2021 12:03 am

£1000000 each for the five winning projects to save the Earth https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-58948339

PaulH
October 18, 2021 6:00 am

In general, the only people who thought it was important were the perpetually offended white wokerati with pronouns …

I believe this to be true, but I have a “but”. Looking at the My World chart, I see that just about everything above the “Action taken on climate change” line is available to most people in the first world. With notable exceptions, education, jobs, healthcare, clean water, internet access, etc. are not in short supply. Whether you’re a tenured bureaucrat or a skilled tradesman, life is looking OK. Everyone else has higher priorities.

Michael
October 18, 2021 9:38 am

World to Climate Scientists: F-U

Gunga Din
October 18, 2021 2:42 pm

I’m confused.
So many deadlines dead in the water.
When can we start to “Eat, Drink and be Merry for tomorrow we die”?

Another Scott
October 18, 2021 3:19 pm

Climate catastrophe and fusion energy: they’ve been 20 years away for the last 4 decades

JimF
October 18, 2021 4:32 pm

Speaking of that last paragraph, melting sea ice wouldn’t cause “coastal cities to become uninhabitable”.

Nicolas
October 19, 2021 10:59 pm

Club of Rome, in the mid 1970ies, talking about planet earth (don’t retrieve the source, it was on the front page of their magazine, I had put up on my bedroom’s door when I was 15:

It is the only one we have got, we have thirty years to break before the precipice”.

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