Date: 25/09/21
GWPF International
Having banned fracking in much of Europe and with low wind speeds compounding the continent’s energy crisis, gas prices in the UK and much of Europe are going through the roof. A shortage of affordable natural gas is forcing European companies to switch to coal to survive a bleak winter.
Low wind speeds have compounded the continent’s energy crisis, prompting utilities to turn to coal to bridge the shortfall.
The deepening energy crisis comes at a time when Western governments are trying to push emerging and developing countries to agree Net Zero targets at COP26 in Glasgow later this year.
Europe’s embarrassing coal comeback will make any Net Zero demands almost impossible for politicians from the UK and Europe not least because they are also dealing with the growing fear of a voter backlash from the cost of Net Zero and rising energy bills.
The Spectator’s editorial this week as spot on when it warned Boris Johnson that instead leading the world on Net Zero he “should be prepared for other countries to see, in his energy policy, an example of what not to do”.
Europe’s energy crisis: A switch back to coal is on the cards
UK among nations facing a ‘bleak winter’ with consumers at risk of being unable to heat their homes
European utility providers are preparing to switch to alternative energy sources to meet demand, including carbon-rich coal, as gas supply problems continue, analysts have said.
If energy providers are forced to compete for the limited amount of gas supply, prices will continue to soar with costs “inevitably” passed down to consumers.
“The long and short of it is that, unless there is a mild winter or an ease in demand, the EU utilities will have to look to alternative energy sources to meet the demand,” said Slava Kiryushin, global head of energy at DWF, an international provider of legal and business services.
“While most may read ‘alternative energy sources’ as “renewables”, the energy market may have an alternative definition: coal,”
While upping coal production will not be welcomed by many as Europe looks to lower its carbon emissions to meet climate change targets, it is a far more economic source of fuel, Mr Kiryushin said.
“It remains to be seen how the European utilities will balance the rise in carbon emissions and consumer sentiment against the unavailability or unaffordability of power from less carbon-intensive sources.”
European coal for lined up for delivery next year rose to its highest level since 2008 on Friday, on strong demand from power stations and low stockpiles.
Given the number of volcanoes that are now becoming active maybe geothermal energy will fill the gap /sarc
There’s potential energy in clouds of sulfur dioxide. (Not the useful kind.)
https://www.windy.com/-SO2-tcso2?tcso2,33.219,4.395,5,i:temp
TOLD YOU SO, 8 YEARS AGO.
(excerpt)
AN OPEN LETTER TO BARONESS VERMA, OCTOBER 31, 2013, BY ALLAN MACRAE
[excerpt]
So here is my real concern:
IF the Sun does indeed drive temperature, as I suspect, Baroness Verma, then you and your colleagues on both sides of the House may have brewed the perfect storm.
You are claiming that global cooling will NOT happen, AND you have crippled your energy systems with excessive reliance on ineffective grid-connected “green energy” schemes.
I suggest that global cooling probably WILL happen within the next decade or sooner, and Britain will get colder.
I also suggest that the IPCC and the Met Office have NO track record of successful prediction of global temperature and thus have no scientific credibility.
I suggest that Winter deaths will increase in the UK as cooling progresses.
I suggest that Excess Winter Mortality, the British rate of which is about double the rate in the Scandinavian countries, should provide an estimate of this unfolding tragedy.
As always in these matters, I hope to be wrong. These are not numbers, they are real people, who “loved and were loved”.
Best regards to all, Allan MacRae
“Turning and tuning in the widening gyre, the falcon cannot hear the falconer…” Yeats
… AND WE NAILED MOST OF IT IN 2002:
Well, there is the perfect Trifecta – my work here is done:
In 2002 co-authors Dr Sallie Baliunas, Astrophysicist, Harvard-Smithsonian, Dr Tim Patterson, Paleoclimatologist, Carleton, Ottawa and Allan MacRae wrote:
http://www.friendsofscience.org/assets/documents/KyotoAPEGA2002REV1.pdf
1. “Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
Allan MacRae published on September 1, 2002, based on a conversation with Dr. Tim Patterson:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/01/10/polar-sea-ice-changes-are-having-a-net-cooling-effect-on-the-climate/#comment-63579
3. “If [as we believe] solar activity is the main driver of surface temperature rather than CO2, we should begin the next cooling period by 2020 to 2030.”
MacRae modified his global cooling prediction in 2013, or earlier:
3a. “I suggest global cooling starts by 2020 or sooner. Bundle up.”
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/12/02/study-predicts-the-sun-is-headed-for-a-dalton-like-solar-minimum-around-2050/#comment-1147149
See electroverse.net for extreme-cold events all over our planet.
Congratulations, Allan, on the spot-on call!
I can only wish to do as well in any of my predictions.
Do you think the cooling period that we are now entering will last decades or centuries?
Thank you Gordon. There are many opinions on your question, and I have not studied the subject in detail. Here is a 2015 paper by a Russian team led by Zharkova that predicts global cooling from 2020 through 2053.
Co-author Popova has a video worth watching, below.
https://electroverse.net/we-entered-the-modern-grand-solar-minimum-on-june-8-2020/
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/23328940.2020.1796243
PROFESSOR VALENTINA ZHARKOVA: “WE ENTERED THE ‘MODERN’ GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM ON JUNE 8, 2020”
AUGUST 30, 2020 CAP ALLON
A new editorial paper has landed from professor Valentina Zharkova, entitled: “Modern Grand Solar Minimum will Lead to Terrestrial Cooling“. Published on August 4, 2020, Zharkova’s latest analysis suggests that June 8, 2020 was the date on which we entered the Modern (Eddy) Grand Solar Minimum.
The opening paragraph reads:
“In this editorial I will demonstrate with newly discovered solar activity proxy-magnetic field that the Sun has entered into the modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020–2053) that will lead to a significant reduction of solar magnetic field and activity like during Maunder minimum leading to noticeable reduction of terrestrial temperature.”
____________________
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/06/an-historical-heat-wave-with-record.html
Dr Valentina Zharkova is mentioned above – her co-author Dr Yelena Popova is interviewed here about their 2015 paper predicting global cooling, starting circa 2020.
Global cooling IS happening now, as we correctly predicted in 2002, driven by low solar activity at the end of SC24.
Many recent extreme cold events are listed in my recent paper and many more have occurred worldwide since publication – see Electoverse.net
CLIMATE CHANGE, COVID-19, AND THE GREAT RESET
A Climate, Energy And Covid Primer For Politicians And Media
By Allan M.R. MacRae, May 8, 2021 UPDATE 1e
https://thsresearch.files.wordpress.com/2021/05/climate-change-covid-19-and-the-great-reset-update-1e-readonly.docx
RECORD-BREAKING COLD SWEEPS EUROPE, MORE IPCC FRAUD, FIVE CLIMBERS KILLED IN “UNPRECEDENTED” SEPTEMBER SNOWSTORM IN RUSSIA, + -75.7C (-104.3F) LOGGED AT VOSTOK
September 27, 2021 Cap Allon
Snowpack is building exceptionally early this season, just as a prolonged bout of low solar activity predicts — IPCC claims of “decreasing snowstorms” are pure fantasy…
TOLD YOU SO, 8 YEARS AGO.
(excerpt)
https://wattsupwiththat.com/…/blind-faith-in…/…
AN OPEN LETTER TO BARONESS VERMA, OCTOBER 31, 2013, BY ALLAN MACRAE
[excerpt]
So here is my real concern:
IF the Sun does indeed drive temperature, as I suspect, Baroness Verma, then you and your colleagues on both sides of the House may have brewed the perfect storm.
You are claiming that global cooling will NOT happen, AND you have crippled your energy systems with excessive reliance on ineffective grid-connected “green energy” schemes.
I suggest that global cooling probably WILL happen within the next decade or sooner, and Britain will get colder.
I also suggest that the IPCC and the Met Office have NO track record of successful prediction of global temperature and thus have no scientific credibility.
I suggest that Winter deaths will increase in the UK as cooling progresses.
I suggest that Excess Winter Mortality, the British rate of which is about double the rate in the Scandinavian countries, should provide an estimate of this unfolding tragedy.
As always in these matters, I hope to be wrong. These are not numbers, they are real people, who “loved and were loved”.
Best regards to all, Allan MacRae
“Turning and tuning in the widening gyre, the falcon cannot hear the falconer…” Yeats
Just sing this song, and all will be A-OK:
In the bleak midwinter
Frosty wind made moan
Earth stood hard as iron
Water like a stone
Snow had fallen
Snow on snow on snow
In the bleak midwinter
Long, long ago
You had a typo – you meant A-OC I think.
https://smokingtimejazzclub.bandcamp.com/track/taint-a-fit-night-out-for-man-nor-beast
I’m sending a link to this story to NPR.
They’ll ignore it (of course).
The UK might find it tricky firing up some old coal fired power stations, they are all well decommisioned and many demolished apart from two in England and one in Northern Ireland.
Despite being closed for 20 years the one up the road from where I live still has its cooling towers standing. Giving an impression it might be brought back to life quite easily.
That reminds me of a news story that I half remember (and can’t easily find with a web search) …
There hadn’t been a big snow fall for a few years so Buffalo (or Toronto, I can’t remember which) sold all its snow plows. You get no extra points for guessing what happened next.
They obviously listened to that genius who said it was warming so fast our grand kids will not know what snow is.
Yep, see the picture above
But non of these experts would sell their roof if it doesn’t rain for 3 weeks.
I wonder why.
A few years back, the Sacramento Regional Transit authority decided to save a few thousand dollars by not putting antifreeze in it’s bus fleet … again, no extra points for guessing what happened next.
This is what happened a full ten years after “experts” said that snow was a thing of the past in Britain. “Kids just won’t know what snow looks like.”
In 2010 they got a pretty good idea! It was on the ground for. Almost a month. Please note the only green in the photo is in Cork, Ireland. My home city
When Denmark in 2003 flew supplies to her war effort in Iraq in the huge C130 planes, it was discovered that some of the boxes contained snow plows.
Have a look – not the Onion :
Iraq launches $95m snow sports resort in Kurdistan
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/business-26075814
Maybe skiing for NATO invaders?
January though April 1984 I was part of an MTT (SF mobile Training team) consisting of two “A” teams and a “B” team from Co A, 3rd Bn. 10th SFG(A).
Between training the so called “Rangers” of the Lebanese Defense Force, getting shot at, rocketed, and shelled, and an emergency deployment to the US Embassy (The co-located with the British Embassy) to help evacuate Americans and secure the grounds, we skied Lebanon!
Specializing in High Alpine warfare it was just natural for us to desire to maintain our proficiency at downhill skiing.
Buffalo is the snow capitol of the east! They get lots of lake effect snow and are usually snowed in most of the winter. But politicians being what they are, it would not surprise me if it was Buffalo that sold their snow management equipment.
Wouldn’t be Buffalo, NY.
Buffalo, NY’s biggest snowfalls come from lake effect snow.
Even years that see few Northeast snowstorms, Buffalo gets plenty of snow, and the residents are proud of it.
I’m not Canadian, but Toronto could be that gullible after a couple of dry years.
One winter when I visited Toronto, I was amused that passing cumulous clouds leaked snow on bright sunny days, leaving trails of light snow flurries.
There were some New England towns that took NOAA’s warm winter predictions seriously, back during Hansen’s reign in NOAA.
I’m not aware of their selling their plows, but they did stop funding plow maintenance and purchasing road salt.
When Northeaster’s hit, those towns were caught with unrepaired plows and empty salt stores.
Hiring private snow plows and buying salt at midwinter prices or leaving snow where it fell were common choices.
Washington DC’s snow removal for several years was so inept that comedians mocked DC’s Nature plan for snow removal; i.e., Nature put the snow there, Nature can remove it, eventually.
Perhaps, New York City and surrounding suburbs’ snow removal capability were also seriously deteriorated?
Yes Ben – Tricky and highly demanding of the men doing the real work.
How many times have hardworking engineers, technicians and tradesmen had to work 24/7 in difficult conditions to bail out imbecilic politicians who have not had an intelligent thought in decades?
See my note sent to Baroness Verma in 2013 re “the perfect storm”. Nailed it.
Green politicians are among the most stupid and destructive idiots on the planet.
There is a special place in hell reserved for these pompous. smug, corrupted imbeciles.
Will the zealots relent from only a few deaths due to exposure? I fear that they will not. Rather I’d expect that those will be classified as Covid deaths.
Solar powered ventilators are effective.
Judging by the damage done to the Nation by insane covid policies, our government will have no compunction over murdering people in the scientific folly of NetZero and saving the planet.
This cultural state of “hoping to survive a bleak winter” is a retrograde signal that only a CAGW fool would ignore. So, of coarse, they will ignore it.
Planned parent/hood is a viable sociopolitical policy for “burden” reduction. Think Roe, Roe, Roe your …
Denying science and rational choices is a means to consolidate capital and control in minority (e.g. democratic/dictatorial) hands. Take a knee, beg, good girl, boy.
It’s an ideological bent. Why wouldn’t they. Let us bray (sic).
Roe, Roe, Roe your rant.
“To eliminate the scourge of White Supremacy, we, today, passed the Women’s Health Protection Act to ensure that every BIPOC can abort a child right up until, and sometimes after, birth.”
Makes perfect sense – to any racist Leftist.
Where did you get the quote, WO?
I loved the part where they are fighting white supremacy by killing BIPOCs, if that is an actual quote.
Why should they.
While the communists systematically killed millions , the New York Times systematically covered the killings up (and the other newspapers and journalists went along) and attacked and ridiculed everyone who did not go along with their fairy-tales- with success and for half a century.
Where ‘ s the problem in covering up a few 10000 victims a year as long none of the victims goes by the name George Floyd?
I hear there’s a glut of fentalyn on the streets now that George has given it up.
ITYM fentanyl…
George was taking that too?
Antihistamines and azithromycin as a treatment for COVID-19 on primary health care – A retrospective observational study in elderly patients
By the end of June [2020], 100% of the residents had positive serology for COVID-19. Although clinical trials are needed to determine the efficacy of both drugs in the treatment of COVID-19, this analysis suggests that primary care diagnosis and treatment with antihistamines, plus azithromycin in selected cases, may treat COVID-19 and prevent progression to severe disease in elderly patients.
I am convinced that most politicians would gladly let 1 billion people die and 4 billion people suffer permanent poverty for just 1 micrometer more power. Imagine what they would do and would let happen for a lot more power.
Ir boils down to this. Would you rather live in a cave, or a nice warm house? Do you drive a car for transportation or walk? Do you expect the rest of us to do that while our supposed betters drive the v8 SUVs while we hunker down and suck on it? Not gonna happen. I know global warming is real. The northern migration of certain species in North America is a fact. We need to use our technology to sequester CO2, switch to a hydrogen economy and explore other power sources, not just expect someone else to do without while others live it up. Until those who think they are in leadership roles pony up and set a good, energy conservative example, common folks like me are going to scoff at their sincerity. Just sayin.
Pops
Your experiences are real, sure. But interpretation is difficult. Some species will migrate over small temperature changes. The problem with computer modelling of climate is that “scientists” have to make decisions on which variables they model and how to use those variables. It’s not reality. It’s 0s and 1s inside a machine. Politics, of course, makes those scientists more likely to make poor modeling choices. And this idea that a short-term trend continues indefinitely? If the climate worked that way, we’d all be clustered at the equator or the poles within a few hundred years. We have 100-200 years of fairly good data for a world that’s been around billions of years. And still, apparently the 1930s is getting colder every day, because the models tell us that the people recording the weather in the 1930s couldn’t read thermometers properly and always wrote down higher temperatures than they should have. Politicians are not scientists. They are gamblers who have figured out that if a coin flip goes one way a couple of times, they can gain a lot of power by screaming that the world will end because Science says the coin is now hopelessly broken because people like you enjoy your lives without them telling you what to do. The world will be okay. It took a while to pile up piles of dead junk, and the world survived that. It will also survive us burning off a bit of that dead stuff while we figure out better ways to move electrons around. I’d worry more about the influence of politicians. The birds will be back.
Unfortunately I don’t have any links but I read a few papers published in the early 1950s about migrations north for quite a few species, especially marine, apparently due to the 20s through 40s warming. My impression is that they returned southward with the cooling that followed that warming episode.
Since the early 1990s Canadian Geese have been crapping all over us in southern Dixie. I wish things would heat up enough to send them back home. Seriously, lots of factors besides micro changes in temperature, real or concocted, will lead mobile species to migrate into new areas.
And Carrie’s suggested cure will be even more windmills! And Boris will believe her.
Some hundreds of windmills will be shut down in Germany as subsidize runs out.
If you examine a wind potential map of Germany, it shows that as a whole, the potential for wind power in Germany was poor from the start. That didn’t stop the politicians though.
Same with solar energy in Germany.
It’s no good idea to try to make a living by hunting polar bears in ant arctica for obvious reasons
but for some reason any hilarious idea is great as long as it can be wrapped into good intentions.
And the crazier the idea the higher the number parasites ,
as bullshit ideas always result in a negative selection of bullshit people.
That’s a daft statement.
Most German solar is in the south of the country.
Regularly delivers 24 to 34 GW power over large stretches of the day for 6 months of the year.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1105875/solar-pv-power-plants-in-germany/
Hi Griffo,
You silly boy, not much else can be said.
Griff, Munich is 48 degrees north. From late November to mid January the sun is so low that solar panels can only produce about 20-30% of their nameplate output for a couple hours a day, and that’s assuming it’s a sunny day. We have a local utility that bought into solar that’s installed here, (46% north), and they finally admitted that the output they get from Nov 1 through March 1 isn’t enough to cover the costs of removing the snow and ice.
which is when the wind on the N German plain kicks in
And for the other 6 months of the year? Or do Germans only use electricity for half the year?
Andrew. This year, probably yes.
Very droll Thomas!
Problem is Griff ib winter whem peak demand in Germany is 80GW solar manages 6GW on odd days quite often 1 or 2 GW In winter Germany often has a shortfall of 5GW or more. On 23 September 2021 Germany was over supplying its own grid by 15GW at noon.
Both situations cause major problems for an integrated European Grid. Poland doesn’t like Germany lecturing about Polish coal fired generation and having surplus German renewable dumped onto its grid to deal with.
https://energy-charts.info/charts/power/chart.htm?l=en&c=DE&stacking=stacked_absolute_area&week=38
I’ve asked you to try living your life using electricity only when renewables are running at 50% of installed capacity. I assume that you haven’t tried in the last couple of months.
What do they do the other 6 months of the year? Batteries?
wind!
LOL, so for six months out of the year, it produces little to nothing, for half of the remainder of the year, nighttime, it produces nothing, but for a few hours during several days it can put out about 29 GW (your average, not that I have any faith in it). Go ahead, try running an electric grid on that.
BTW, “ Since 2013, the number of new installations declined significantly due to more restrictive governmental policies.” That’s not very indicative of a success.
Delivered when it is not most needed and at great cost.
…and unavailable when needed most.
My BS detector flashes bright red lights when reading your comment, nothing more to say, it’s already all said above 😀
griff, why do you persist in defending the indefensible?
You are coming off as a dupe.
Because I am pointing out facts.
which would otherwise not penetrate the skeptic bubble.
solar for summer, huge percentage of demand; wind for winter, huge percentage of demand…
cross EU links to ship renewable energy from windiest and sunniest areas, based on day ahead prediction and pricing.
Is this the final design and set up? No. another 30 years to get to net zero.
Do you honestly think monied people are going to invest in either if they are only receiving revenue for half of a year?
Yup, net zero power, all the time. I have hydro, supplied by the largest reservoir on the planet, Lake Superior. OBTW: the hydro plant is over 110 years old.
Wondering how a graph of the number of solar installations relates in any way, shape or form to your claim about power delivery.
Our youngest daughter is college housemates with a young woman from Ireland who has observed that the wind there is either so “calm that the windmills don’t spin or so blatantly violent that the windmills are shut down.” You do the math …
Will NeZero meet it’s Waterloo at COP26?
The world is laughing at the UK. No amount of Boris bluster can extricate him from this humiliation of the Nation.
He was elected to complete one job, get Brexit done, but that went to his head and he’ll suffer for it, but not nearly as much as the Nation.
BoJo’s ‘Global Britain’ resulted in the AUKUS debacle so he has other objectives entirely. Now that the US cannot police Asia anymore, what is the City of London to do? The Quad is in full swing. In other words London has simply forgotten infrastructure, energy, in it’s insane hegemonic tantrum. It seems they still follow Cecil Rhodes.
Will it be a bleak winter?
I watched the Russian F1 race today and noticed snow on the hills in the background. Even the commentators stated they had never seen that at this time of year.
Make up your own mind.
The coming days:
Yeah, but they will have heatwaves in Iceland and North Africa.
Just the fact that there is a Russian F1 race is an indication that nothing is as expected.
Hmmm… Using low cost coal to power the electrical grid or committing the ultimate ‘virtue signalling’ by letting the old folks freeze to death because your ‘green’ energy is fatally unreliable. Tough choice, eh? Not for any moral soul.
Letting the old unwoke folk die is a feature, not a bug. Why do you think covid patients were put into nursing homes?
It won’t be only the oldsters freezing to death, most of us seniors have the ability to bundle up and find ways to keep warm. Youngsters and infants are more likely to freeze to death in their beds, a real tragedy.
Just build more wind turbines that don’t work when there is no wind! There, problem solved!
“Low wind speeds”
Is this also going to be considered ‘extreme weather’?
In the words of “Church Lady” ….. “Imagine that!”
Isn’t that special?
Really, it isn’t: UK hasn’t had any coal running last 3 days, now nukes finished maintenance.
There’s no shortage of gas for UK – just money for consumers to pay for it.
Well if £££s is the only issue with gas supply, just print tons more £££s.
After all, you can’t put a cost on virtue.
Just a few posts ago you said it was because of a lack of truck drivers Griff. And you wonder why nobody here believes a thing your post?
Apparently people still read them. 🙂 And reply 🙁
Just pointing out idiocy. It needs to be pointed out.
Why?
Because some people don’t understand the value of confronting the liars in this world but by their silence are getting along to go along.
As I’ve said before – Griff provides me with a learning experience every time he comments.
I learn from the responses to his idiotic falsehoods though, not from anything he posts.
A liar needs a good memory. Griff forgets what he has said in the past.
er… some confusion of terms there, as not same in US and UK: the Natural Gas has price issues, the petrol – gas to the US – is having truck issues
But you don’t need either Griff … so tell them to leave it all alone and save the planet mate.
There’s plenty of fuel, there’s no shortage of the fuel within the country,” British transport minister Grant Shapps said, as quoted by Sky News
“So the most important thing is actually that people carry on as they normally would and fill up their cars when they normally would, then you won’t have queues and you won’t have shortages at the pump either,” he added.
In other words queues are causing the problem!
This takes the biscuit!
IN fact a rabid anti-brexiter has been unmasked as deliberately leaking a memo from an oil company to cause panic buyng and fuel shortages so it could all be blamed on brexit.
Well, that is a pure lie, Griff. only one reactor is back on from the six that were down.
I had considered you merely deluded. but I now see that you must be in the pay of Big Green.
Tut Tut!
In fact we had a couple of days of 5GW wind. It now nearly 10GW, But don’t worry. It never lasts…
You have been celebrating the fact that these coal plants are slated to be shut down and destroyed for the last few years.
Now you are telling us that there is no problem with renewables, because the coal plants are available to take up the slack when the wind fails.
BTW, do you have any idea how much it costs to keep coal plants ready to produce power for those times when wind fails? Do you care?
BTW, adequate supply and high prices are not two concepts that often go together. The reason why gas prices have been so high, is precisely becuase the supply isn’t keeping up with demand.
Trying to explain supply and demand to the old Bolshevik, Mark?
It was a choice to put coal back on – at 2% of UK electricity over 2 years, it is hardly ‘necessary’
Er, until you have an unusually cold and windless winter. Just ask Texas. Then coal becomes very “necessary.’
Coal has been used for 22 days of the last 26, not because the output of the nukes dropped, but because the output of the wind turbines was so low.
And the price of natural gas reflects its availability. If anything is produced anywhere, there is no shortage for those who have the money to pay for it.
http://www.gridwatch.templar.co.uk/
Economic illiteracy on display this time
Hey, there’s regular illiteracy also. The post said preparing to use coal for winter, not using coal for mild fall days.
This winter, the next, or some winter afterwards. Sooner or later the chickens are going to come home to roost for those in power and the elitist rich they serve at the expense of the common man. Their attempts of division and subjugation by fear have progressed from mere abstracts to lockdowns and other measures and finally have reached the point of real physical enforcement as we see in Australia.
I totally agree with the following monolog. Neil Oliver: “The Strongest Smell of Fear is Coming From Government” – “It Smells Like Victory, Hold The Line”
https://youtu.be/qfvOOY0SbyA
History says these dire political oppressions can outlast multiple generations. Don’t get your hopes up too high, the crash just hurts more.
You have only lost when YOU determine you have lost and quit. Never give in! Never give up! A lesson I learned initially going through the SFQC.
Have you worked out what you can run with 800W Gary?
The TV and laptop. No deed for a fridge – put the stuff outside. That way the BBC will tell about the warmest winter evah….
The Claxon call for some time now of the Climate Caterwaulers is “They Knew”. Meaning I guess that “We Didn’t Know”. Conspiracy much? Because “Climate Change” has beeen this deep, dark secret, until now. Or something.
Irony alert: When the whole Climate Fraud finally falls apart, with the climate rats jumping ship everywhere, the shoe will be on the other foot. They will be the ones who will be sued, and even put in jail for all their lies. Schadenfreude anyone?
Karmic irony.
Just like Hunter Biden?
And then there’s John Durham:
https://www.npr.org/2021/09/16/1038035231/the-trump-russia-probe-special-counsel-has-charged-a-lawyer-with-lying-to-the-fb
Hunter better hope the Republicans don’t take control of the House of Representatives after the 2022 elections. If they do, then Hunter is going to get himself a big investigation of his activities. Even if his daddy is still president.
I’ve just bought a 2.8Kw generator for the upcoming UK power cuts..
Geez, I had a 6 KVA and still had to have a power usage plan.
Mind you, electric water pumps cycling on & off draw a shedload when the motors first kick in.
Look for a pump motor “soft start” system. These can reduce the starting power surge by ~ 75%.
I’ve just ordered a 7Kw genny to power the central heating, fridge and lights. I nearly bought a dedicated 13Kw complete with Auto Transfer Switch to power the whole house but at £5,000 I figured it was over the top for power cuts that will probably last no more than a few hours at a time.
You hope. One good ice storm bringing down some major transmission lines and power could be out for a few days. Not that I’ve ever seen any big ice storms in the UK, but with all of this globull warmening you never can tell…
Quote:”Europe is switching back to coal to survive bleak winter”
Sorry. No no no. Wrong
Auntie Beeb has the remedy “thanks to global gas markets a”
Er, excuse me ‘Global‘?????? Pass the buck why don’t you…
Vladimir is doing nothing more the Her Majesty’s UK Government does on a daily basis, scare the sh!t out of people so as to drum up money
‘some people‘ take to sitting out in the middle of busy motorways – they feel relatively safe out there – can many here can blame them?
Here we are tadaaaaaaah….
BBC Headline:”Heat pumps: What are the alternatives to gas boilers?
Go there at your peril: venture into a more hideous outpouring of Weasel Words you have ever seen.
Thus, and considering the human animal always gives away its attempts at mendacity – things ain’t looking good
Of perfectly trifling concern to all those at the BBC BUT….
Where Is All The Required Electricity Coming From?
The best idea would be to disconnect the BBC from the Grid. There would be diesel generators there in a flash!
Wind – –
Where is a report on wind expectations over time, and
then what is happening?
“How fickle is wind?” {substituting wind for woman in Rhett Butler’s line.}
Burn coal, not wood pellets!
Check the Independent on this. https://www.independent.co.uk/topic/national-grid?CMP=ILC-refresh
Sic transit renovare.
The status of each Nuke plant is here. https://www.edfenergy.com/energy/power-station/daily-statuses. A few not up for power generation at this point. More current information for Griffey poo.
Thanks – yes: there I see a Hinkley reactor shut down for maintenance – type of maintenance ‘unplanned’.
So begs the question what do they put against unreliables when they aren’t running … “unplanned”????
Driving though central Texas on Saturday, the winds were near dead calm. My drive takes me past several large winds farms with about a 100/each of big 2MW turbines. They all stood blades-feathered and still. Not awatt of power being generated. Yes, amazingly somehow their were no reportes of black-outs or power cuts.
Blimey, is it Winter already? Last I looked it was September.
Well, under the previous US president there was discussion of LNG sales to Europe, but that all switched to the Russian pipeline at the request of Mutti to dementia Joe. Europe is getting exactly what they asked for and the odds are the voters will just double down on dumb in future elections.
Greenies are just beginning to get a glimpse of what is coming around the corner in tow from their glorious glittering ‘renewable’ CO2-free energy push. They will not like the look or feel of it when it gets up close to them.
“It remains to be seen how the European utilities will balance the rise in carbon emissions and consumer sentiment against the unavailability or unaffordability of power from less carbon-intensive sources.” If they had half a brain they would realize CO2 is not a problem and ignore the greenies. The world is wasting billions of dollars chasing a foolish idea. If they really wanted to help the poor they would take that money and put ii into businesses to employ them.
This is a serious situation but one cannot escape from noting the twist of irony at the prospect of having people freezing to death due to nonsensical attempts to thwart a slight warming that is too small to be noticed by people without the aid of thermometers and by measures that would reduce temperatures by an amount so tiny it could never be measured anyway. And all the while China alone will increase it’s emissions by many times the total of all UK emissions in the next decade and yet will be hailed as a climate leader by the same fanatical green groups that claim the world will boil unless this immeasurable local action to reach net zero is taken.
Just check out Gridwatch: coal offline for most of last week.
I switched to using BM Reports (for most “metered” sources) and ESO (for “Embedded” Wind and Solar + interconnect export values) about 18 months ago because Gridwatch was a bit labour-intensive to work with (I ended up using a C program to “curate / filter out” the occasional “obviously wrong” value).
“Coal” output was indeed reduced for the last 5 days of the available data (since the 22nd of September, i.e. last Wednesday), with 4 of those 5 days registering “0.0” GWh output (see graph below).
NB : If anyone can see any (major) differences between the Gridwatch data and my graph below, please point them out (with specific dates and numbers !).
Let’s see what else is true …
– – – – –
From Wikipedia’s “Wind power in the United Kingdom” page (direct link), which is a good a place as any to start checking the actual data …
~24.2 GW x 24 (hours) = (just over) 580 GWh “nameplate capacity” per day.
My graph is for “the island of Great Britain” rather than “the UK” (which includes Northern Ireland, connected to GB via the Moyle and East-West inter-connectors …), but for the chosen period (since the 1st of August 2021) the peak output for “WInd” was around 300 GWh (on the 13th of August).
300 / 580 ~= 51.5% … and that’s the peak output !
On each of the 24-hour periods labelled “2/8” and “3/8” below the output for “Wind” was 24 GWh, or roughly four percent of that 580 GWh “nominal capacity” …
– – – – –
Looking at my graph for the UK some “obvious” questions that arise include (but are by no means limited to) :
1a) What happened to “Wind” output from the 19th of August to the 21st of September ?
1b) Which source of electricity “took up the slack” during that period ?
2a) What happened to “Wind” on the 25th (two days ago, i.e. Saturday) ?
2b) Which source of electricity “took up the slack” that particular day ?
3) Do you (plural) really want to rely on “Wind + Solar (+ Biomass ?) + Batteries” for GB’s electricity grid ?
Check out January of this year:
2021/01/07: IC Nsl: 0.00 IC Nem: 0.905 IC Ew: 0.00540 IC Irl: 0.0120 IC Ned: 0.00 IC2 France: 0.00 IC France: 0.879 Other: 0.269 Hydro: 0.559 Pumped Hydro: 0.323 Ocgt: 0.192 Oil: 0.00 Coal: 2.85 Solar: 0.436 Wind: 3.39 Biomass: 2.56 Ccgt: 19.6 Nuclear: 5.87
Or later in the month this past January:
2020/01/22: IC Nsl: 0.00 IC Nem: 0.0904 IC Ew: -0.490 IC Irl: -0.427 IC Ned: 0.136 IC2 France: 0.00 IC France: 1.12 Other: 0.179 Hydro: 0.810 Pumped Hydro: 0.284 Ocgt: 0.115 Oil: 0.00 Coal: 2.21 Solar: 0.186 Wind: 1.89 Biomass: 2.77 Ccgt: 21.8 Nuclear: 6.88
With a double-dip La Nina in the offing, the coming winter could be a much colder than normal one.
So we could be in for a double-whammy of bleak winter!