Climate change and a pandemic of lies

From The Conservative Woman

By Andrew Montford

– May 18, 2020

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Stop corruption concept or spreading lies symbol as a person with a long nose that is being replaced by flying birds as a metaphor for honesty and communicating rumors or change for truth in a 3D illustration style.

THE health establishment was looking away when the coronavirus struck; it had other priorities. If you look at the World Health Organisation’s list of health threats, number one is climate change. Pandemics were down in third place, behind ‘non-communicable diseases’ such as diabetes and obesity.

Wherever you look, you will find some of the biggest names in the public health establishment declaiming on the risks of climate change to world health. On the eve of the outbreak, the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene declared that we would be seeing ‘mass migration, emerging infectious diseases such as dengue and a shortage of food’. As the first people fell ill in Wuhan, the WHO announced that in ten years we would be seeing 250,000 additional deaths per year from malnutrition, malaria, diarrhoea and heat stress as a result of global warming. Epidemiologist Professor Andy Haines told readers of the Telegraph that ‘climate change is a threat to global and national security that is costing lives and livelihoods right now’. 

Haines has made a career out of promoting the idea that global warming is going to bring about a public health disaster. As part of this effort, he was instrumental in setting up the Lancet Countdown, a coalition of 35 universities and UN agencies that produces a report to keep these ideas in the public eye.  In 2018 it said unequivocally that climate change ‘the biggest global health threat of the 21st century’. In current circumstances, this claim looks rather foolish, but a new forensic review of the Countdown suggests that it is actually worse than that. You cannot come away from reading Indur Goklany’s The Lancet Countdown on Climate Change: The need for context, published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation, without concluding that the Countdown’s authors didn’t set out to tell the whole story. 

For example, Goklany observes that the Countdown’s Executive Summary makes a lot of vague insinuations that climate is causing serious public health problems. It says there are ‘downward trends in global yield potential for all major crops’ and that ‘trends in climate suitability for disease transmission are particularly concerning’. Apparently ‘the number of days suitable for Vibrio (a pathogen responsible for part of the burden of diarrhoeal disease) has doubled’ and ‘families and livelihoods are put at risk from increases in the frequency and severity of extreme weather conditions’. If that weren’t bad enough, ‘77 per cent of countries experienced an increase in daily population exposure to wildfires’.

But when you look at the dataset used by the Countdown, you uncover a very different story, and one that is unequivocal: climate-related mortality has collapsed, and is now less than half the level it was in 1990, when the dataset starts. This is nothing less than a public-health triumph.

Full article here.

73 thoughts on “Climate change and a pandemic of lies

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  2. This article will not be reported by ABC, CBS, NBC, MSNBC, NPR, PBS, Time, Washington Post, LA Times, Scientific American, National Geographic etc. or any other main stream media outlet. 427,984,881 hits on this web log doesn’t make a dent in the forgoing list of bought and paid for shills for the left-wing narrative.

    • Planet of the Humans by Michael Moore/Jeff Gibbs has not been mentioned on any BBC tv channel or radio channel or even on the BBC website even though it has had over 8 million views on Youtube.

      Moore’s other films have been featured in the past by the BBC but not this time.

      I wonder why?

    • If you go to the Lancet Countdown homepage, you will see there that they brag about 2200 media pieces about the 2019 report.

      I’ve read the report, and as Montfort says here, the use of an abstract proxy showing things are getting worse when there are real data available that say the opposite runs through it like “Blackpool” through a stick of rock.

    • However , the corrupt leftist MSM will report this in an attempt to cover for Communist Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s neglected Michigan state dams that she was repeatedly warned about:

      – Marxist Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer says Climate Change Is Making Massive Floods ‘More Frequent’, as excuse for her incompetence:
      https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2020/05/21/whitmer-climate-change-is-making-massive-floods-more-frequent-old-infrastructure-is-also-an-issue/

  3. Other than the absurd inclusion of Climate Change, the rest isn’t as bad as it sounds. Even Climate change is listed as Climate Change and Air Pollution and a lot of the text talks about air pollution.

    Also, the list is not necessarily ordered. They are given as 10 threats, but not explicitly prioritized. SARS type pathogens is in the 6th item.

    Obviously, they missed it, and obviously the WHO was/is complicit in covering up for the Chinese – but this list is really nothing special – something anyone with modest understanding of world health could write.

    • That “air pollution” is mostly imaginary and includes CO2 (not a pollutant) and fine particles with bogus mortality data. Listing “climate change” first clearly implies highest importance. The WHO has gone insane in the service of globalist Socialism.

        • In first world nations that developed reliable energy supplies before the eco-bigots began their rise to power, pollution is a problem of the past – they have the wealth to mitigate it.

          In second world nations that are working to develop those same reliable energy supplies, ignoring the eco-bigots, pollution is a current problem – but they are acquiring the wealth to mitigate it.

          In third world nations that are being denied any chance for reliable energy supplies by the eco-bigots, pollution is a serious problem. Being reduced to burning animal dung as your only reliable source of heat is quite hard on the health.

  4. “In 2018 it said unequivocally that climate change ‘the biggest global health threat of the 21st century’. In current circumstances, this claim looks rather foolish . . .”

    Current circumstances don’t make that claim look foolish at all. If what the alarmists are saying is true, the “climate emergency” is going to wreak a havoc that will make the coronavirus pandemic look like a mole hill next to the mountain of the climate apocalypse. Climate change WOULD be the biggest global health threat. And I suppose they may be right in one sense: the time, money, and professional expertise that will ultimately have been wasted on a phantom problem could have been used to solve any number of health crises.

    • I’d say there more of a down right lie, and let’s not forget the 20th cent, for the past 40 years we have been told to expect catastrophic global warming ,its not happened its spectacularly failed, the answer to this is to keep pushing the time frame forward every year by x number of years, with increased dire consequences which in themselves have never materialised, we have seen a increase in lies ,failed science , manipulated science to forward a agenda which is becoming increasingly apparent in totalitarianism take the plandemic aftermath as a example.

        • Current circumstances do make it look foolish since there is not reason that this will be the last epidemic. If we don’t stop screwing around “gain of function” tricks to teach viruses how to decimate us, this will not be the last leak which accidentally causes a pandemic and ki11s 100,000s around the world.

          sars-cov-2 DID make us shut down most of the western economy. So far climate change has made us use more gas.

          A vague threat in a computer model which few people are committed to really doing much about looks pretty silly against a real threat which got us shut down our economies inside a couple of weeks and stay at home hiding behind the fridge.

          Spin that how you like but it’s been taken several orders of magnitude more seriously then AGW. The coming economic crisis will again remind us what REAL problems look like and that we’ll be luck to make it to 2100, no matter what the weather looks like.

          • The one thing the “Shutdown” recommended by the experts did was provide evidence that it is the wrong answer to an epidemic. Instead of reducing expected deaths it has increased them by increasing the death rate among elderly people with other problems(diabetes, heart problems, lung problems).
            These people have been dying excessively(upwards of 70%) because they were forced into nursing homes and other “community” treatment sites, including some hospitals.
            The death rates also show that any kind of confinement raises the death toll, at least after the peak of the epidemic across the board.

    • Current circumstances do make it look foolish since there is not reason that this will be the last epidemic. If we don’t stop screwing around “gain of function” tricks to teach viruses how to decimate us, this will not be the last leak which accidentally causes a pandemic and kills 100,000s around the world.

      sars-cov-2 DID make us shut down most of the western economy. So far climate change has made us use more gas.

      A vague threat in a computer model which few people are committed to really doing much about looks pretty silly against a real threat which got us shut down our economies inside a couple of weeks and stay at home hiding behind the fridge.

      Spin that how you like but it’s been taken several orders of magnitude more seriously then AGW. The coming economic crisis will again remind us what REAL problems look like and that we’ll be luck to make it to 2100, no matter what the weather looks like.

  5. Well I agree the medical services world wide were caught with there pants down,the biggest amount of deaths by far for medical reasons we could of avoided , again as the above states there concentrating on a global warming projected disease ,

    I posted a month a go or so my concerns about NHS uk well heres some one who agrees https://youtu.be/nmX31zQ1LVU it’s less than 3 mins long, borrowed from Tony Heller.

    My own experience so far,me doctor I’m suffering from hypertension, doctor how do you know,me because I’m nearly fainting when I stand up, doctor your not as young as you used to be , we dont do blood pressure tests at the surgery anymore, buy a blood pressure machine, try the chemist’s, me but doctor I only need to see a nurse for 5 mins, doctor good afternoon Mr Clarke, bang. So the town the surgery are empty no one around, the chemist’s reply to me, the machine is broke at the moment ( needs calibration) yeah sure.

    • If you are nearly fainting when you stand up that is hypotension not hypertension. Strange your doc did not know that.

        • B d
          Well, for whatever it is worth, everything I have read indicates that light-headedness on standing up is a symptom of low blood pressure. I used to have it a lot when I was younger and had ‘normal’ blood pressure. Now that my blood pressure is slightly elevated, I no longer experience it.

          You may not respect anything that Greg says, but you might want to consider doing some reading on the subject, for you own well-being.

          • I’ve had a kidney removed, amongst the many thinks kidneys do they produce hormones that help regulate blood pressure ,I’m happy to give a name to symptoms, it is the doctors job to diagnose the cause, the doctor also knows my case history,which was the point of my post,there not interested during the plandemic. Writing hyper instead of hypo was a auto correction I missed,

          • It’s strange that B d would immediately discount Greg’s comment, and then admit he was correct.

          • I never discounted anything his posts are worthless, there is no agreement or nothing strange about admitting to a auto correct I missed, perhaps you have never missed a auto correct maybe you should of considered a post that explains low blood pressure and describes it as hypertension could of been a simpleauto correct mistake,there was a full explanation given, maybe Greg should of considered hypertension in some circumstances can lead to symptoms of being faint. Maybe you should look at the days history on another topic between Greg and myself , maybe you wont find things quite so strange.

          • I know you can’t do it with social distancing and all, but perhaps you and Greg could agree to disagree and kiss and make up some time.

      • Some causes of hypertension (like restricted blood vessels) can cause lightheadedness when standing up.

  6. Human beings are well-known to lie to get what they want. Just about every TV and radio commercial tells you that. It is all about people getting hold of your money, so they can spend it on what they want. If you would like to improve your understanding of the true causes of natural climate variability and how a slight global cooling has taken over until at least the end of the century, why not look me up on Quora. Where I’m going in the end I don’t need your money and for now, COVID 19 doesn’t look like getting me there early. Hope you can feel the same way.

  7. What with all the discovery of control through pandemic, I’m sure they will prioritize it higher now. I’m also sure they will prioritize population control over the actual medicine though. These are, after all, political organizations pretending to be medical organizations.

  8. Amazing how little fact-checking occurs with these types of reports, and somewhat technical reports in general. When I gave a series of Gold Trends in Nevada presentations to various gold exploration companies, I insisted on having a computer running with wifi and that they fact check any assertion they either didn’t believe or were unsure of. This is as regards introspection, a characteristic of any real scientist, wherein they must take care in utilizing memories without verification, or data without cross-checking, or even conflicting interpretations of data. Of course, there is the other side, the fake news side, where data is presented in fragments, and echo-chamber experts carry on about it, and no contrary opinions are permitted. The fake news crowd is having a field day with the Covid-19 fiasco, and, wait for it, many are even blending the CAGW fiasco with the Covid-19 fiasco for a Grand Unified Theory of Why Trump is Bad. There, I said it and I feel better. Stay sane and safe.

    • Ron,
      I like it! I really, really like it! Grand Unified Theory Because Orange Man Bad, or GUTBOMB in govt. circles, is the theory that all things bad and evil in the world come from Trump. DemoKKKrats and Progressives (but I repeat myself) can blame both CAGW and WuWHOFlu (ChiCom-19) on the most effective president in recent history.
      Imagine what he could have accomplished by now if the LSM, the Uniparty of RINOs and DIMs and the federal bureaucracy had not spent the last three years obstructing everything VSGPDJT was doing to save our great nation from our enemies, foreign and domestic! They better watch out; if their voter fraud attempts don’t steal the 2020 vote he will have four more years to uncover their crimes and sedition!

  9. It says there are ‘downward trends in global yield potential for all major crops’

    I read that fast, and my first response was “?????????”
    Global yields are *up* across the board, not down. A flat out lie, then?
    Read carefully, have a lawyer handy:
    They say “global yield potential,“, *not* “global yield”.

    So what is the potential???
    I suppose the potential is the amount of improvement which can be realized in the future, by some definition.
    Sooo……..
    If we realize crop yield gains this year, there is less potential left for gains in the future.
    Or Something.

    This is a classic example of the misdirection and subterfuge that makes this whole field one big waste of time. I, for one, have had enough.

    • TonyL
      “Potential” goes along with the litany of weasel words like “could, might, may, possibly, etc.” that are so commonly observed in the warnings about impending doom.

      I’m waiting for reports that will assign a defensible probability much greater than 50% and associated uncertainty range.

    • “It says there are ‘downward trends in global yield potential for all major crops”

      But its the opposite in reality. Technology has added potential but the benefits from increasing CO2 and climate change are INCREASING potential.

      You can site all the bs peer review papers that use biased input and models to try to show the opposite but as a meteorologist that predicts crop yields for a living in order to determine the supply side and price of commodities like corn, soybeans and wheat, I live in the real world………….that takes your money away for being wrong.

      If we went back to the “old climate” from a century ago and dropped atmospheric CO2 back to those levels and cooling the planet by 1 deg. C, while leaving all things the same, it’s likely that crop yields and world food production would plunge 30%.

      Within 3 years, potentially 1 billion people would starve to death and food prices would triple in order to ration supplies.

      The good news is that continuing this climate change and increase in CO2 is still ADDING to potential.
      The United Nations has been wrong for 30 years about this. The law of photosynthesis has not been repealed. The authentic scientific definition of this climate optimum has not changed even if the political definition of this time frame is the one that people know the best………….(fake) “climate crisis”.

      Climate Reality discussions
      https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/27864/

  10. “But when you look at the dataset used by the Countdown, you uncover a very different story”

    Maybe they were using the graph upside down?

  11. Doubts about Swedish experiment
    “Sweden has over the last seven days reported the highest coronavirus death rate in the world, with an average of 6.05 deaths per day per million inhabitants.
    That recent death rate still falls far short of the 28 deaths per day per million inhabitants reported by Belgium in mid-April, and over the course of the pandemic, Sweden’s total per capita death rate remains behind that of Belgium, Spain, Italy, the UK and France.
    The Public Health Agency of Sweden reported on Wednesday that in the week ending May 3rd, 7.3 per cent of the samples from people in Stockholm were positive.
    That’s extremely far away from something which can be called herd immunity, and I think the danger of letting this slow until we get to herd immunity is that you are causing a lot of people to die.”
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/05/21/swedes-breaking-loose-coronavirus-restrictions/
    A month ago Swedish death rate was about same level as Portugal, but now is about 3 times greater, and Sweden currently is just behind France.
    http://www.vukcevic.co.uk/EuropeCV.htm

    • Meanwhile, despite the lock-down in the UK “Health Secretary Matt Hancock announced that testing for antibodies among a sample of the population has suggested that 17 per cent of people in the capital (London) have recovered from the illness – around 1.56million people.”

      • Have they managed to get a antibody test that is specific to the Covid19 virus? Earlier ones tended to detect pretty much any coronavirus.

        • The UK government’s ministers are a useless inexperienced bunch of yes men, they are talking about it all the time, but AFAIK there is no 100% reliable Covid antibody test, at least not yet.

      • “testing for antibodies among a sample of the population has suggested that 17 per cent of people in the capital (London) have recovered from the illness – around 1.56million people.”

        That’s more than enough people to fill a sports stadium. 🙂

    • The Telegraph is somewhat cherry picking or being disingenuous by selecting the “last seven days,” since if the Sweden hypothesis is correct, cases and deaths will necessarily be compressed in time. Some expect that other countries will experience a longer more overall damaging pandemic.

      We shall see in the end.

    • In that Daily Telegraph quotation, it is not the percentage of people who test positive for the disease (7.3%) in any given week which determines herd immunity, it is the percentage who have had the disease and recovered.

      It is somewhat futile to compare Sweden to other countries at this stage in the progress of covid-19. Obviously, countries or states like Sweden which have a more loose social distancing policy than full lock down will have more deaths in the first wave of the disease. If there is no second wave then those countries and states will be the losers. But hiding under the blankets doesn’t make the coronavirus go away. Many expect that there will be a second wave next winter during which Sweden will suffer less than other countries, perhaps hardly at all. Whether Sweden has followed a better course of action than most other countries cannot be decided until next spring.

      • Sweden population is (as is in many west European countries) relatively old, it has just over 10 million people of which 20% (2,065,00) is over age of 65. I’m not sure how many fat people are around.
        This is our PM today in London after three weeks of Covid-19, 3 days in intensive care and three weeks of trying to loose weight
        https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2020/05/21/17/28660826-8344735-Boris_Johnson_pictured_in_Downing_Street_today_has_bowed_to_mass-a-34_1590077552860.jpg
        I hope he has built-up some immunity first time around,
        No surprise he had hard time with covid.

        • The ‘Abstract America’ T-shirt is after Max Henry’s book where in the intro he sais “The American Dream does not exist any more. It is itself an abstraction.”
          I do hope as long as there is an America there always will be an American Dream for honest hard working people, so Mr. Johnson throw away your silly T-shirt.

          • The American Dream is somewhat tempered. In some places, it might be a desire to go to the beach.

            It looks like Mr. Johnson regained all the weight, if any, he had lost.

  12. “The future is uncertain and the end is always near.” – 20th Century Philosopher Jim Morrison

    • In the Cartesian coordinate system you are always same distance from the end, while in the he polar coordinate system there is no start or the end. “You pays your money and you takes your choice.” Aldous Huxley

    • “The future is uncertain and the end is always near.” – 20th Century Philosopher Jim Morrison

      Blue Oyster Cult’s take on that was I rhyme it with:
      “I woke up this morning and got myself a beer”

    • The first line to that piece of philosophic gem is, “I woke up this morning and got myself a beer.”

  13. Well … the WHO is absolutely correct about one thing! If the world continues to spend so much of our limited resources on the production of unhealthy meat … from chickens to cows … we’re all gonna DIE! Meat is Murder! Meat is death and disease; diabetes, and morbid obesity (the kind which Nancy Pelosi reminded us of) … underserved communities are starving as all our rainforests are dedicated to first world meat grazing. Ohhhhh mammmaaaa … the poor … and the colored are all victims of white first worlders.

    See. It’s so easy to write utter bullshit. Where do I sign up for a fat 6-figure job? I can write this crap all day long …

  14. Thank you, Charles, for cross posting this, and thank you, Andrew, for preparing it. Well done.

    Stay safe and healthy, all.
    Bob

  15. From the article: “THE health establishment was looking away when the coronavirus struck; it had other priorities. If you look at the World Health Organisation’s list of health threats, number one is climate change.”

    Lol !!!

    One more reason why we should not be giving any money to the WHO.

  16. Daily Telegraph: First drugs to treat coronavirus could be available as early as June, scientists say:
    “More than 10,000 patients who have tested positive for coronavirus have been involved in the Recovery trial, which has been assessing whether five medications, which are already in use for other conditions, could help with Covid-19.
    The drugs being tested are lopinavir-ritonavir, a commonly used treatment for HIV, dexamethasone, a type of steroid that reduces inflammation, and hydroxychloroquine, an antimalarial championed by Donald Trump.
    There is also the antibiotic azithromycin, a commonly used antibiotic, and tocilizumab, an anti-inflammatory treatment given by injection.
    Professor Landray said thousands of lives could be saved if a drug could reduce fatalities even by one fifth, however he believes that combination therapies may be needed.
    Professor Peter Horby, who is leading the trial, warned that coronavirus was likely to become endemic in Britain and that drugs would be needed in the long term.
    Even if we get an effective vaccine, I think it will be impossible to eradicate this virus, he said.
    It will be with us probably forever.

  17. POTUS Trump has given the World Health Organisation 30 days to get its act together in a letter dated 18 March:
    https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Tedros-Letter.pdf
    The letter catalogues the failures of the WHO leading to hundreds of thousands of deaths from CV19. The closing paragraph presents this condition:

    if the World Health Organization does not commit to major substantive improvements within the next 30 days, I will make my temporary freeze of United States funding to the World Health Organization permanent

    The entire UN should be defunded. It focuses on programs that are politically correct and keeps the politically correct funds rolling in. It is like our local council declaring a Climate Emercency. I have no idea why the local council is wasting money on Climate Emergency when they could be lowering my rate charges. The difference with the local council is that it has to face constituents every few years. IN administrators are never called to account – until now. I am VERY hopeful that Tedros falls on his sword. If I was Trump, that would be the only acceptable outcome along the path to completely defunding the UN.

  18. “It says there are ‘downward trends in global yield potential for all major crops’ “…

    The more you increase yield the more you reduce the potential for further increases.
    The inference must be that yields have been increasing.

    And there is plenty of potential for increased production and yields…a bit of honest management in Africa would help.
    https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/agriculture/our-insights/winning-in-africas-agricultural-market
    http://www.fao.org/giews/countrybrief/country.jsp?code=ZWE

  19. Let’s think about the logic.
    Under the Paris Accords, China is not required to do anything about CO2 emissions until 2030 and even then it need only identify its voluntary action plan. Meanwhile they build hundreds of coal power plants.
    Western countries are expected to drastically cut their CO2 emissions, which is expected to have little actual effect on the climate but a devastating impact on their economies.
    Thus greatest beneficiary of the “fight against Climate Change” is China.
    Despite years of generous U.S. funding, China controls the World Health Organization.
    Is it really a surprise the WHO identifies Climate Change as the greatest threat to human health?

  20. Here is one for the books regarding the burst dams in Michigan. The owners applied to the state to allow for release of extra water to reduce the threat from high waters on a known weakened dam. The state of Michigan would not issue the permit for the release because it might imperil mussels downstream. It’s about 11 minutes in. The video might not stay up, it is Fox News Bret Baier’s nightly show. … https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rb8hUzBN0QU

    • well after the Dow chemcos ponds have flowed into the town n rivers and all over the mussels along with quite a lot elses health will be iffy.
      I read they had classed both dams as dodgy and the newer one as really bad
      and
      both were up for sale?
      what??
      public infrastructur e like dams are privatley owned?
      crazy system you have

  21. In the past, people were fired for exhibiting gross incompetence in their job responsibilities, especially if such contributed to the death or injury of one or more persons.

    The WHO exemplifies the “new normal” that we’re now living in. Job responsibilites? . . . pppffthht!

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