The Conversation: UN Security Council Should Crackdown to Enforce the Paris Climate Agreement

Keele University PhD Ashley Murphy
Keele University PhD Ashley Murphy

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

Keele University PHD researcher Ashley Murphy is disappointed that the United Nations is not using its authoritarian might to coerce nations into addressing climate change – though he thinks the UN is moving in the right direction.

Climate change is a security threat – so where is the UN Security Council?

May 16, 2018 12.39am AEST

Ashley Murphy

PhD Researcher, Keele University

Climate change is one of the great security challenges of the 21st century. As the world warms, conflicts over water, food or energy will become more common and many people will be forced from their homes. Scientists, think-tanks, NGOs, militaries and even the White House (albeit under President Obama) all agree that climate change threatens human safety and well-being. Yet the organisation charged with global security has remained relatively silent.

The UN Security Council, responsible for maintaining international peace and security, is comprised of 15 countries. Five seats are reserved for permanent members with veto powers (China, France, Russia, the UK and the US) while the other ten members are elected to represent their region (“Africa”, “Asia-Pacific” etc) for two year terms.

The fact the Security Council has helped combat these varied and largely unrelated challenges shows its potential to do good. Yet these interventions also pose the critical question of why it has yet to engage climate change in any meaningful way. Article 41 sanctions would be available to the council in the event of states not meeting their Paris Agreement obligations. Economic sanctions could also be placed upon corporations, that currently operate with relatively little international scrutiny. What the council brings is an ability to coerce – something that is currently lacking throughout international climate law.

From one perspective, countries like New Zealand and Germany view climate change as a security issue of immense proportions and worthy of the council’s attention. On the other hand, states such as China and South Africa argue that if the council engages with climate change it will undermine the sovereignty of states, fracturing the international system.

These positions are entrenched, reflecting vastly opposing ideologies in relation to both climate change and international relations, thus precluding any meaningful intervention. Yet this does not necessarily mean that the Security Council is frozen indefinitely.

So where are we? The Security Council has access to the tools the world so desperately needs to enforce state and private action on climate change, and although it is taking its time there is some advancement. That does not mean climate change is about to be recognised as a security concern in its own right, but each step taken is valuable and the council is certainly on the right path to identifying climate change as the security threat it so clearly is.

Read more: https://theconversation.com/climate-change-is-a-security-threat-so-where-is-the-un-security-council-96658

The Article 41 under which Ashley believes the Security Council would be empowered to enforce the Paris Agreement is a reference to the United Nations charter.

“The Security Council may decide what measures not involving the use of armed force are to be employed to give effect to its decisions, and it may call upon the Members of the United Nations to apply such measures. These may include complete or partial interruption of economic relations and of rail, sea, air, postal, telegraphic, radio, and other means of communication, and the severance of diplomatic relations.”

Read more: http://legal.un.org/repertory/art41.shtml

I suspect we shall see more of young Ashley in the near future. With his PHD in international law, and his utter disdain for the sovereignty of nation states when they inconvenience his agenda, Ashley has the makings of a senior United Nations official.

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Jim Sweet
May 15, 2018 12:57 pm

To paraphrase Stalin: How many divisions does the UN have?

Carbon Bigfoot
Reply to  Jim Sweet
May 15, 2018 1:21 pm

THANK GOD FOR SOVEREIGNTY !!

Hugs
Reply to  Carbon Bigfoot
May 16, 2018 2:03 am

Good for you. I’d rather say that thanks to ourselves, we don’t have any sovereignity. Sigh.

Article 41 sanctions would be available to the council in the event of states not meeting their Paris Agreement obligations.

This is interesting – to call them obligations – as the “agreement” consists of pledges which are wildly different. For some, like China, number #1 emitter in the world, the pledge was not to do any reductions to emissions before 2030, and not to promise anything specific after that. For Obama, the pledge was to pay some tithes (that he wouldn’t pay during his term, funny).
The Paris “agreement” was probably to worserest political scam possible, as it serves only for internal politics in the Western countries, but has provably no effect on what it aims to do.

Reply to  Jim Sweet
May 15, 2018 2:23 pm

But remember how the fight between the Vatican and the Politburo went.
Hint: The Politburo can be researched in the History section.

commieBob
Reply to  Jim Sweet
May 15, 2018 2:55 pm

Exactly so.

At least 100 million people have been killed in conflicts since the United Nations was created. It has proved toothless and futile in preventing the genocide in Darfur or the violence in Congo that has cost 10 million lives over the past decade. It never raised a finger to rein in tyrants from Mao Zedong in China to Saddam Hussein in Iraq. link

In Bosnia, the United Nations failed utterly to prevent the massacre in Srebrenica. In Rwanda, the organization’s incompetence failed to deter a genocide that cost a million lives.

The fact that someone can get a PhD without realizing how toothless the UN is, is a real indictment of everyone involved. He apparently does not merit a PhD and neither, apparently, does anyone on his committee. Shame!

Goldrider
Reply to  commieBob
May 15, 2018 3:57 pm

Why even give daylight to nobodies writing where no one, ordinarily, would likely see their drivel?

commieBob
Reply to  commieBob
May 15, 2018 4:37 pm

Goldrider May 15, 2018 at 3:57 pm
Why even give daylight to nobodies writing where no one, ordinarily, would likely see their drivel?

These folks think their expertise gives them license to tell us how we should run the country. It’s really important that the general public realizes who is giving the advice … so they can instruct their elected representatives to ignore it.

John F. Hultquist
Reply to  commieBob
May 15, 2018 9:55 pm

Perhaps young Ashley ought to read the Paris non-treaty.
It doesn’t say what he thinks it says.

Cephus0
Reply to  commieBob
May 16, 2018 2:45 am

“These folks think their expertise gives them license to tell us how we should run the country. It’s really important that the general public realizes who is giving the advice … so they can instruct their elected representatives to ignore it.”
In the West at this time in history it is the elected “representatives” who ignore the people who voted for them. The entire West is now ground under the heel of what is effectively an extreme left wing totalitarian junta. As a single example, does any person wish to have mass unfettered unchecked migration from Africa into Europe? Obviously not and yet that is what the elected ‘politicians’ of Europe insist upon.

MarkW
Reply to  commieBob
May 16, 2018 9:34 am

I wish they merely ignored such tyrants. In reality they worked hard to help said tyrants remain in power.
Remember, the majority of nations in the UN are run by tyrants.

Mickey Reno
Reply to  commieBob
May 16, 2018 6:20 pm

Maybe he was the faculty advisor to his school’s “Model United Nations” club.
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt2060962/

Former95B
Reply to  commieBob
May 17, 2018 3:04 am

PhD: Piled higher & Deeper

Curious George
May 15, 2018 12:57 pm

Voluntary targets should be enforced mercilessly.

Tom Halla
Reply to  Curious George
May 15, 2018 1:10 pm

The US should have made a “voluntary target” on the same basis as the Chinese==>we agree to perhaps do something in the future. Instead, Obama wanted to find a rationale for enforcing his Clean Power Plan, which he did not have the votes to get passed as law.

Bryan A
Reply to  Tom Halla
May 15, 2018 2:13 pm

“Scientists, think-tanks, NGOs, militaries and even the White House (albeit under President Obama) all agree…”
This statement has a factual flaw that requires amending
Scientists, think-tanks, NGOs, militaries and even the White House (albeit under President Obama all agree. The treaty was never presented to congress for ratification so “The White House” (Federal Government) hasn’t agreed to anything.
Mr. Murphy, you need to get your facts straight

kaliforniakook
Reply to  Tom Halla
May 16, 2018 9:55 am

In the US, we have a voluntary Federal income tax.
That just means we (not the Government) have to calculate what we owe. If we do it wrong, we are penalized – anything from $$ to prison.
https://turbotax.intuit.com/tax-tips/general/what-does-it-mean-that-taxes-are-voluntary/L5cjhVlhh
With that understanding, the ‘voluntary’ terms of the Paris Accord do not mean that you can ignore your agreed upon terms. However, there still is little risk; if you fail to live up to the terms, and the UN gets intimidating, you just drop out.

ResourceGuy
May 15, 2018 1:08 pm

Unleash the NGO armies now that they have completed training on grid disruption and autonomous vehicle attacks.

Ron Long
May 15, 2018 1:13 pm

Quick, somebody escort Ashley to the nearest Safe Space, where he might cry-out his anxiety and calm down. Or not.

Joe Wagner
May 15, 2018 1:15 pm

So- did nobody tell our little snowflake that the permanent members of the Security Council can block any action?
So yah- NOT expecting any action on “Climate Change” any time soon.

LdB
Reply to  Joe Wagner
May 15, 2018 10:34 pm

Follow the stupidity, even if you could get it thru the security council then what?
The UN ask countries presumably from the security council countries to provide troops to invade non complying countries and do what, occupy them and take over government?
Lets face it the UN and security council countries are too scared to get involved in Syria because of casualties. We are talking about countries with a lot more sophisticated weapons than Syria. Beyond the government civilians in those countries invaded are going to react to any foreign invader and you will have many Syrian style conflicts to deal with.
Take pity on poor Ashley another self guilted, eco-warrior without a clue fortunately mental health services are on the improve in the UK (well at least that is the government line).

Gary Pearse
Reply to  LdB
May 16, 2018 10:46 am

Ashley has had his mind abused in an anti capitalist faculty where voluntarily sumitted to hate his culture. “Researcher” of texts written by apatstchiks who poured out into the universities, NGOs, UN, scientific societies, etc. when the Iron Curtain fell. We may not have won indeed from the natiin of chessplayers!

michael hart
May 15, 2018 1:19 pm

Oh, lawks-a-Lordy. He is in cloud gonzo land. And yet there are so many other sensible people in Staffordshire.
Presumably he expects China to nuke themselves if they don’t meet their Paris non-commitments.

Curious George
Reply to  michael hart
May 15, 2018 1:30 pm

Staffordshire Bull Terriers are famous for their locking jaws.

John V. Wright
Reply to  michael hart
May 15, 2018 2:08 pm

Ah yes, Michael, how right you are. I live less than half a mile from Keele University and can confirm that the good people of Keele, and even Staffordshire, are generally right thinking individuals who would not recognise poor Ashley’s dilemma. In any event, even if the UN Security Council were to get involved in trying to affect climate change how would they be able to change the celestial mechanics of the Milankovitch cycles? I think that were we to mention Milankovitch, precession or oscillation in Ashley’s presence he would seek a safe place away from such offensive terms and seek to ‘no platform’ us. In any event, Milankovitch is a big word and an even bigger concept so we can’t expect baby PhD researchers to even know about them, let alone grasp them.

John harmsworth
Reply to  John V. Wright
May 15, 2018 2:25 pm

Yup! They don’t even want to put up with European bureaucrats telling them what to do. UN? Laughable idiocy. They should fail him back to grade school. Lol!

JustAnOldGuy
Reply to  John V. Wright
May 16, 2018 7:36 am

I’ve got an idea. Let’s disconnect their New York headquarters from the grid and permit them to install all the solar panels the roof will hold. Thus, their shining example could be a beacon to all the world — during daylight hours anyway.

Dodgy Geezer
May 15, 2018 1:22 pm

Why don’t we have a war about Climate Change? Is this idiot serious?

Svend Ferdinandsen
Reply to  Dodgy Geezer
May 15, 2018 1:41 pm

Lets nuke them untill they understand how serious it is. What could be wrong with that.

Keen Observer
Reply to  Svend Ferdinandsen
May 15, 2018 3:49 pm

Well, it would certainly cool things down and reduce emissions….

LdB
Reply to  Svend Ferdinandsen
May 15, 2018 10:36 pm

Unfortunately he obviously doesn’t think beyond his pet idiology and think how it would play out in the real world.

Bob Hoye
May 15, 2018 1:23 pm

Since Rome was corrupted by power-lusting bureaucrats in the Third Century every European experiment in authoritarian government eventually became murderous. The governing classes were adamant that their plans would work and the ultimate enforcement was the death penalty.
Each such experiment had a banner to inspire its followers. Rome used the “Genius of the Emperor”. In the 1500s, the Chuch was corrupted under the “infallibility of the Pope”. The extension of power to the temporal world was through the “Divine right of kings”, of course, advised by an omniscient priesthood.
The current experiment in authoritarian government includes the Communist drive to create the “Perfect Man” as well as the Nazis’ “Perfect” race and land space.
Today’s drive is to create the “Perfect” temperature on the nearest planet.
When the plans don’t inspire the necessary behaviour of the public, the strongest force needed will be used.
Without another great reformation, Europe will again have governing classes granting themselves the privilege of state murder. To cure the health of the planet. “Moscow on the Mastrich” is poised to move. (Geography is not quite correct but the label is good.)
Enough!
Bob Hoye

John harmsworth
Reply to  Bob Hoye
May 15, 2018 2:23 pm

That kind of authoritarianism led to the invention of the guillotine. And Mussolini didn’t end up to well, or Hitler, or Ceausescu or many others. People will only put up with so much nonsense before they have too little to lose.

MarkG
Reply to  John harmsworth
May 15, 2018 7:28 pm

Be careful what you wish for. Most of the people who met Madame Guillotine were revolutionaries being murdered by other revolutionaries in the fight for power after the revolution.
The American revolution was pretty unusual in not degenerating into mass murder as soon as it was over.

May 15, 2018 1:29 pm

Keel University – barely registers as a university, one of the new ones with little reputation.

Steve Borodin
Reply to  Phillip Bratby
May 15, 2018 1:36 pm

Keene is roughly what people of my generation used to know as a nursery school.

Hivemind
Reply to  Phillip Bratby
May 16, 2018 4:17 pm

Petrol station

Driller43
May 15, 2018 1:34 pm

Ashley Murphy (a UK PhD student) doesn’t realize the fact that any of the permanent members (incl. US/President Trump) has veto authority over any Security Council actions. Google ‘Security Council”. He has a lot to learn.

Robert of Texas
May 15, 2018 1:35 pm

I guess I missed it…when did climate change turn into a UN security issue? So…they will declare CO2 a threat to peace and…attack it? Or attack the oceans if they dare to rise?
Last I checked they are not an economic council.
Last I checked there are no really functional parts of the U.N. at all. Its one giant wasteful hypocrisy.

GoatGuy
Reply to  Robert of Texas
May 15, 2018 1:58 pm

You’re missing a bit of history: The mission of the United Nations is to pander to all, and attack none. It is the ultimate international comfort-bear. Clawless, toothless, neutered. But it uses up forests worth of trees, making paper, making policy, revising it, debating it and wrapping fish in it.
Its a pity they cannot figure out how really to do things.
GoatGuy

Clay Sanborn
Reply to  GoatGuy
May 15, 2018 3:08 pm

And don’t their men on the ground wear powder blue helmets?

Reply to  GoatGuy
May 15, 2018 3:20 pm

For now…
the carbon tax is the global tax scheme necessary to fund them enough to dethrone international sovereignty. It is coming. I don’t see any of us banding together to eliminate the progenitors of it. They are all murderers and deserve proper punishment.

ROM
Reply to  GoatGuy
May 16, 2018 1:41 am

Its a pity they cannot figure out how really to do things.
Be grateful, very, very grateful that the UN bureacrats are so incompetent that they still haven’t figured out how to really do things.

John Endicott
Reply to  GoatGuy
May 16, 2018 9:10 am

Its a pity be thankful they cannot figure out how really to do things

John Endicott
Reply to  GoatGuy
May 16, 2018 9:11 am

didn’t get the strike thru tagging correct on that

Robert of Ottawa
Reply to  Robert of Texas
May 15, 2018 2:14 pm

Correct, it has no authority.

John harmsworth
Reply to  Robert of Texas
May 15, 2018 2:35 pm

UN “JOB” security is probably what they are panicking over. Ala Blazing Saddles. “Gentlemen, We have to protect our phony baloney jobs!”

May 15, 2018 1:39 pm

How can the UN Security Council impose “… such measures …” as “… complete or partial interruption of economic relations and of rail, sea, air, postal, telegraphic, radio, and other means of communication …” without “… involving the use of armed force …”. Article 41 is, itself, pretty nonsensical.

markl
May 15, 2018 1:42 pm

This would be a wet dream for the UN.

pochas94
May 15, 2018 1:43 pm

Is it possible that Murphy has the slightest idea what he is talking about?

Sara
Reply to  pochas94
May 15, 2018 1:47 pm

No. It is not possible.

John harmsworth
Reply to  pochas94
May 15, 2018 2:36 pm

“Murphy’s Law?”

D. J. Hawkins
Reply to  pochas94
May 15, 2018 3:34 pm

Invocation of Article 41 requires the finding under Article 39 of “the existence of any threat to the peace, breach of the peace, or act of aggression.” Failure to meet the voluntary limits in the Paris Agreement does not clear that bar.

John Endicott
Reply to  D. J. Hawkins
May 16, 2018 9:14 am

anything that contradicts or doesn’t supports a leftist worldview is “an act of aggression” in the leftist little mind. where do you think they got the idea of “micro-aggressions” from?

Sara
May 15, 2018 1:46 pm

“…disappointed that the United Nations is not using its authoritarian might to coerce nations”…. Poor little Ashley. His dream world must be rather crowded. The UN has zero authoritarian might. It might in fact be more useful if it disbanded itself and everyone went back to bickering over stuff. Oh, wait – they do that anyway. Oh, well, it was just a thought.
I sincerely hope that he does not turn up on my doorstep some snowy, beastly cold day, asking for hot tea and cookies. I’d have to turn him down. Send him back to his street corner and sandwich board. He needs a new hobby, and a real job in the real world. I know it’s harsh, but the benefits will benefit him. And all the roadside diners need someone to bus the tables when customers leave.

May 15, 2018 1:53 pm

re “The Security Council has access to the tools the world so desperately needs to enforce state and private action on …” How about teh security council using those tools on ISIS or Boko Harram, or NOKO?

May 15, 2018 2:08 pm

Article 41 sanctions would be available to the council in the event of states not meeting their Paris Agreement obligations.

So this guy thinks the UN should “declare war” on Obama?
Paris was his agreement, not US’s.
He never bothered to even bring it to the Senate for ratification.
(If Obama ever really did study the US Constitution, it was only to try to find ways around it.)

GoatGuy
May 15, 2018 2:11 pm

The beauty is, goats, that Ashley Murphy is predictably self-deluded into believing and writing up whatever-all it is that emanates from his various professors’ and university policy apparatchiks’ orifices.
Its a Club of Stupidity. They smell each other’s fâhrts, and declare that it is good and righteous and entirely defensible because so and such saith it too. “We’re all here in a Yellow Submarine, Yellow Submarine, Yellow Submarine…”
But remember — it is good, not bad — so rather than get upset about it, take Ashley’s words with a few grains of salt and a couple of double shots of tequila. And laugh. NOTHING this fellow will do in the short term will have any effect whatsoever on the United Nations, the United States, or anyone at all. The position is as sterile as my neutered dog.
But it is out there, in the open. Ashley bears a mark, on his forehead. Not likely to get washed away soon.
GoatGuy

John harmsworth
Reply to  GoatGuy
May 15, 2018 2:39 pm

It would be funny but I suspect some third rate Uni is going to make this idiot a professor before long and turn him loose on unsuspecting kids. And he won’t be alone with his idiot notions and dangerous access to children.

Robert of Ottawa
May 15, 2018 2:12 pm

The UN has no authority

Reply to  Robert of Ottawa
May 15, 2018 3:25 pm

yet…
or do they? Agenda 21/2030 is being implemented all across the world, right in front of your eyes, from the ground level up. Smart meters are a part of that, and they are being mandated with threats of no power if not buying it (pennsylvania I vetted as fact)- Colorado, they are attempting to persuade us at the moment by claiming higher prices if we don’t comply. Codes for private land is all based on sustainability. look up public private partnerships. For as critical and skeptical as most of you are on here, much long term vision is lacking in many and it is so daggum frustrating.
if you aren’t doing the research, paying attention to your local and state by-laws…then you are just another pawn on a chessboard (with no hope of survival). It’s all being implemented, right now, in every. single. town. across the world.

Reply to  Robert of Ottawa
May 15, 2018 3:29 pm

this is, has, and always was about installing a legitimate world government, funded through carbon taxation so that not even a newborn could escape indentured servitude, complete surveillance, androgenous society controlled from the top down where you can’t even procreate without permission. The likes of Maurice Strong, Margaret Sanger, that jackwad AI pushing nitwit, on and on and on and on have been working towards that goal. just look up some quotes by David Rockefeller, or Paul Warburg, or Bush Senior, or Clinton, especially Obama, etc. They aren’t even hiding it. Why can’t most people see this is reality, not some “conspiracy”, although, it is genuinely a massive conspiracy. No? Well, you folks tell me how all this sustainability style red tape is being forced upon all of us if it’s not a conspiracy. Did you have a say in it? Can you say No?
exactly.

AWG
Reply to  honestliberty
May 16, 2018 4:19 am

FWIW, Since the days of Nimrod and Babel certain elements have been trying to build a world government and all have miserably failed. I would be highly suspicious if there wasn’t a continued frenzied attempt for world dominance.

sy computing
Reply to  honestliberty
May 16, 2018 5:44 am

I would be highly suspicious if there wasn’t a continued frenzied attempt for world dominance.
Indeed. There is nothing new under the sun, including the thousands and thousands of years of attempts at “one-world government.”
Alexander…Rome…etc., anyone?

Ed Zuiderwijk
May 15, 2018 2:15 pm

He may have the attitude and ambition of a UN burocrat, but somehow I suspect that he is more likely to experience the effects of Murphy’s Law long before that.

John harmsworth
May 15, 2018 2:17 pm

They might want to read the following interesting article:
https://translate.google.com/t…eme-choc-petrolier-202697
in which a French economist lays much of the blame for the financial crisis at the feet of energy deficiency/high cost.

knr
May 15, 2018 2:21 pm

If you use single words to describe something or someone , then when you think about the UN bedsides ‘corrupt ‘ the word ‘ineffective ‘ easily comes to mind because when it comes to creating and maintaining pace that is what they have so often been. Murphy’s views are not informed by reality nor evidenced. A career in climate ‘science’ awaits.

John harmsworth
Reply to  knr
May 15, 2018 2:40 pm

But they’re not ineffective at corruption. Funny how that works. They are excellent at corruption, even when they are observed and monitored.

EternalOptimist
May 15, 2018 2:23 pm

That squiggly face above ..looks like Cox the nobber

ResourceGuy
May 15, 2018 2:35 pm

Is that before or after doing something about chemical weapons use in Syria, annexation of Crimea, militarization of the Spratley Islands and claims of all the South China Sea, and various advanced stage nuclear weapons programs?

J Mac
May 15, 2018 2:37 pm

“…disappointed that the United Nations is not using its authoritarian might to coerce nations”
Ahhhh…. that brown shirt fascist reflex exist in every good UN socialist!

AWG
Reply to  J Mac
May 16, 2018 4:22 am

Notice that this fascist reflex always requires the efforts and sacrifice of others to implement their violent vision. You never hear of themselves running point. Of course the intended target of their violence always imagines them as point and are quite willing to provided vivid descriptions of how that force would be countered.

William Astley
May 15, 2018 2:38 pm

It is a nice touch that in addition to creating the CAGW problem that does not exist, the same cult, force a solution (wind and solar) which do not work.
Good luck with getting the developed countries to agree to world ‘court’ madness.
It is a fact that the cult of CAGW cannot scientifically defend the CAGW premise and more importantly the cult of CAGW cannot defend the Bern model.
The Bern CO2 model provided the ‘modelled’ resident time for anthropogenic CO2 emissions to create the CAGW problem.
Here is a good summary of the Bern modelling monkey business. Very interesting. Easy read. Basic logic. Tons of supporting papers.
How to create a fake model that is required or there is no AGW problem.

Carbon cycle modelling and the residence time of natural and anthropogenic atmospheric CO2: on the construction of the “Greenhouse Effect Global Warming” dogma.

http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Reference_Docs/Carbon_cycle_update_Segalstad.pdf
Observations (in peer reviewed papers) support the assertion that the resident time for anthropogenic CO2 is around 4 years, not 1000s of years in accordance with the phoney Bern model.
Based on the fact that the resident time of anthropogenic CO2 emissions is 4 years, anthropogenic CO2 emissions only contributed 17% of the recent rise in atmospheric CO2. 83% of the rise in atmospheric CO2 was due to the increase in temperature.
Obviously if the rise in CO2 was natural, then the rise in temperature was also natural, not caused by the rise in atmospheric CO2.

Scrutinizing the carbon cycle and CO2 residence time in the atmosphere
Previous critical analyses facing the IPCC’s favored interpretation of the carbon cycle and residence time have been published, e.g., by Jaworowski et al. (1992), Segalstad (1998), Dietze (2001), Rörsch et al. (2005) or Essenhigh (2009), and more recently by Humlum et al. (2013), or Salby (2013 and 2016).
Although most of these analyses are based on different observations and methods, they all derive residence times (in some cases also differentiated between turnover and adjustment times) in part several orders of magnitude shorter than specified in AR5.
As a consequence of these analyses also a much smaller anthropogenic influence on the climate than propagated by the IPCC can be expected.
Based on this approach and as solution of the rate equation we derive a concentration at steady state,
which is only determined by the product of the total emission rate and the residence time. Under present
conditions the natural emissions contribute 373 ppm and anthropogenic emissions 17 ppm to the total
concentration of 390 ppm (2012). For the average residence time we only find 4 years.
These results indicate that almost all of the observed change of CO2 during the Industrial Era followed,
not from anthropogenic emission, but from changes of natural emission. The results are consistent with
the observed lag of CO2 changes behind temperature changes (Humlum et al., 2013; Salby, 2013), a
signature of cause and effect.
Our analysis of the carbon cycle, which exclusively uses data for the CO2 concentrations and fluxes as
published in AR5, shows that also a completely different interpretation of these data is possible, this in
complete conformity with all observations and natural causalities.

John harmsworth
Reply to  William Astley
May 15, 2018 2:57 pm

This appears to provide a comprehensive listing of valid scientific papers which have been ignored by the IPCC and virtually every researcher in the field for 20 years. One wonders why.

Gamecock
May 15, 2018 2:47 pm

Dammit, New York, turn off the UN’s electricity. They demand it!

May 15, 2018 2:52 pm

How else can we spin climate change (now automatically supposed to mean “human-caused climate change”) to scare people into “taking action”?
Oh, I know, “Climate change now poses the greatest threat ever known for causing child molesters to abuse more children.”
OR
“Climate change now poses the greatest threat ever known for causing more people to abuse their dogs.”
I’m sure that there are other ones, but I started the ball rolling, so chime in with your suggestions.

Alan Tomalty
Reply to  Robert Kernodle
May 15, 2018 3:52 pm

Climate change will cause water to run uphill.

Tom in Florida
May 15, 2018 2:57 pm

“The UN Security Council, responsible for maintaining international peace and security,”
I had to laugh at that. Their track record in that regard shows we have nothing to worry about should they try to coerce anything from anyone.

John harmsworth
Reply to  Tom in Florida
May 15, 2018 3:00 pm

Yeah, there’s definitely a certain point where delusion crosses over from sad and unfortunate to Looney Tune hilarity. He made it there and then some. Wowzers!

Amber
May 15, 2018 3:05 pm

Is this clown serious . People in GAZA getting massacred by war criminals and the UN does what ? SFA .
Then he expects them to tell people to honor the Paris Pledge fraud agreement . What an ignorant naïve
dumb ass .

Davis
Reply to  Amber
May 15, 2018 4:35 pm

Don’t want to get shot? Don’t throw stones at people with guns.

Tom Halla
Reply to  Davis
May 15, 2018 5:21 pm

It wasn’t just stones, but grenades and Molotov cocktails.

Pat Frank
Reply to  Amber
May 15, 2018 4:37 pm

war criminals” You’re referring to Hamas, of course.

kramer
May 15, 2018 3:05 pm

The current UN secretary general, António Guterres, also was a VP and president in socialist international in the past:
https://www.un.org/sg/en/content/sg/biography
There is no EFFING way I will ever abide or follow any UN law or requirement!!!

Robertvd
May 15, 2018 3:20 pm

Don’t send your kids to university. Really don’t do it. It’s a waste of time and money.
The greens and the social justice warriors (marxists) have taken over campus. And they hate free speech and different opinions.

Robertvd
Reply to  Robertvd
May 15, 2018 3:31 pm

https://youtu.be/7WTftKxMJas
Universities Are Useless & Irrelevant Nowadays

D. J. Hawkins
Reply to  Robertvd
May 15, 2018 3:40 pm

OK, smart guy, where do you get your engineers from?

Robertvd
Reply to  Robertvd
May 15, 2018 4:12 pm

In a ‘Ashley Murphy’ world you don’t need engineers.

Andy Ogilvie
Reply to  Robertvd
May 16, 2018 1:11 pm

Mr Hawkins. The first rule of engineering reads thus ” if it ain’t broke don’t try to fix it”
Maybe young Ashley and his deranged fellow travelers should apply said law to our climate.

OweninGA
Reply to  Robertvd
May 15, 2018 3:47 pm

I concur for all but the engineering and hard sciences areas. We still need to teach the next generation of designers and builders. The rest of academia could fall off the Earth tomorrow and no one would miss it.

drednicolson
Reply to  OweninGA
May 15, 2018 5:17 pm

Tech training institutes and trade schools can take care of that. Or even medieval-style apprenticeships. No need for stuffy pseudo-intellectuals in imitation ivory towers. And I say this as an English/History double major who almost became one of those. Those subjects still ought to be taught, but not by our current crop of PCPs.

AWG
Reply to  OweninGA
May 16, 2018 5:10 am

The best engineers I know were writing code, building robots, repairing engines, modifying their bicycles as children without advanced university degrees. As adults, they get more practical experience as interns and apprentices than four plus years of schooling.
In hiring, I don’t care about the credentials, is the candidate a tinkerer with an appetite for reading and learning from a host of disciplines. The university system largely was a place to gain credentials until everyone figured out the way to game that system and now it is a place that people start off their adult lives with four plus years of productive life taken and adding mounds of debt. On the other side, the university system has gamed it as a place where no talent hacks can get an easy paycheck and sex.
If a person wants to get qualified in boozing, fornication and protesting without the hassle of squeezing that into a responsible life, college is the way to go

OweninGA
Reply to  OweninGA
May 16, 2018 5:35 am

AWG,
Where were you when I was looking for a job a few years ago? Now I am in this job in academia, subverting the young liberals to think, one at a time. I’d rather be building something.

sy computing
Reply to  OweninGA
May 16, 2018 5:56 am

Now I am in this job in academia, subverting the young liberals to think, one at a time.
(Emphasis added)
Be quiet and do what you’re told. You’re doing the rest of us a much better service right where you are.

Robertvd
May 15, 2018 4:04 pm

So Keele University PHD researcher Ashley Murphy would use authoritarian might. So in what way is he different from Stalin or Hitler or Mao ?

JON R SALMI
Reply to  Robertvd
May 15, 2018 4:32 pm

Robert, simply put,he is no different except for his lack of power to back up his wishes. Is it not amazing how quickly the academic mind embraces Fascism?

Alan Tomalty
May 15, 2018 4:11 pm

Ashley Murphy doesnt understand just how evil the Chinese Communist party is. Just 1 example of thousands of evil acts by the CCP is their organ harvesting of Falun Gong prisoners. The Chinese Communist party runs China. The present leader is making himself all powerful but when he retires or dies the Communist part will reassert itself. China has no intention of harming its industries and they know that CO2 warming is a scam. The greenies seem to think that China is their friend. But why the West is committing economic suicide is beyond me. The Russians also know that CO2 is a scam and the only reason that Putin is pretending to go along with it is the West let him in the WTO under favourable terms and he realized that he could make money off of the scam. Those 2 members of the security council will NEVER do anything to hurt their own economies.

Davis
May 15, 2018 4:39 pm

That is why North America should become self sufficient again in energy and productivity, tell the rest of the world to go away and quit bothering us, we are busy enjoying our high standard of life. If anyone here doesn’t like that, free one way ticket to elsewhere.

Fredar
Reply to  Davis
May 16, 2018 6:33 am

Well there is already a country that does that. It’s called North Korea.
If you think self-sufficiency is good then get rid off all foreign goods, or stuff that have foreign materials in them, or stuff that were made using foreign tools. Not to mention foreigners. Then demand that the US government becomes a fascist authoritarian state that will close borders and shoot everyone who tries to cross, because ultimately that is the only way to gain complete self-sufficiency and stop private individuals from doing their business. Of course all this just causes less choice for consumers, higher prices, corruption, and lower standard of living. By this point you should realise how ridiculous your suggestion is.
People produce the most when they specialise in things they do best and buy the rest. That is why free trade limited government countries like Singapore are doing lot better than fascist/socialist nannystates who try to micromanage everything.

MikeH
May 15, 2018 4:53 pm

So, tell us… How much does the US of A contribute to the UN Yearly budget? I believe 20-25%. If they want to enforce sanctions, Trump will just keep the money and re purpose it to the wall. If they want an economic fight, they picked the wrong President for it.

DMA
May 15, 2018 4:53 pm

“As the world warms, conflicts over water, food or energy will become more common and many people will be forced from their homes.”
The conflicts over energy aren’t caused by warming they are caused by restricting the use of fossil fuels and these conflicts are in fact man made and curable. The expected warming not so much. If the energy field is opened up the food and water conflicts can be solved.

Rob
May 15, 2018 4:58 pm

The UN is a cesspool of socialist and communist corrupt, and has no authority that doesn’t amount to the kind of tyrannical authority that murderous despot like Mao, Stalin or a number of other brutal dictators have exercised.

Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy
May 15, 2018 5:00 pm

Climate is dynamic; climate change was there in the past, is here presently and will be there in future too. Global warming is a minute component of climate change. Here why I say minute is that, so far nobody [individuals or institutions] have shown realistic climate sensitivity factor. Unless this is achieved, such studies have no meaning except for bargaining UM funds for such proclamations and create chaos among nations and among people, more particularly politicians.
Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy

RockyRoad
May 15, 2018 7:45 pm

I’ll address climate change:
Dear Climate Change,
You suck!
(I’d write more but if I said “You really suck” they wouldn’t take me seriously.)

OweninGA
Reply to  RockyRoad
May 16, 2018 5:39 am

Climate change is one of the drivers of evolution and has been with this blue marble for it entire existence. If it weren’t for climate change, we’d all be picking lice off each other under some trees in Africa somewhere. (Some enviros I’ve met could probably use some of that lice picking – or at least a bath!)

WXcycles
May 15, 2018 11:42 pm

Ash lives in happy hipster land, where they’re just one more five-year plan way from solar-powered agricultural mechanisation, and inevitable global self-sufficiency. Then it’s going to be UN cricket-burgers, for everyone, a final triumph of centralised collectivism in the 21st century and the best of all possible worlds. And next year will bring the fnal victory in the war on evil heterosexualism.

jon
May 16, 2018 12:23 am

Perhaps under the UN auspices, the US could bomb the non-servile countries.
It worked with Iraq and Libya – they are no longer trying to get off the dollar standard!
And think of the extra employment for the bombing countries.
Win – win for both parties.
Win for UN win for US!

OweninGA
Reply to  jon
May 16, 2018 5:46 am

Now wait one cotton-picking minute there! The US was very clearly leading-from-behind on the Libya thing. In fact, we more or less were cheerleaders for the completely unnecessary European efforts. Our president was very happy to watch the French and Italians enable the take-over of Libya by his muslim brotherhood friends, ISIS offshoots, and al-Qaeda.

Trevor
May 16, 2018 1:12 am

Ashley Murphy : Another LOST OPPORTUNITY !!
.
Yet another brilliant shit-wit NEO-MARXIST with an ecological bent !
.
Probably never done an honest days work in his life BUT now he wants to lay-down-the-law
to the rest of humanity ! TYPICAL . BULLY . MARXIST .
“OUR” WESTERN EDUCATION SYSTEM is just churning them out by the bucket-load !
.
“We” need to be counteracting this somehow ! Anyone got any ideas ??
( No ! Other than that one !! )

Andy Ogilvie
Reply to  Trevor
May 16, 2018 1:18 pm

No ! Other than that one !! )
So I’m no allowed to suggest a high velocity lead aspirin then? You spoil all my fun…gonna tell on you to the UN 😂

mike
May 16, 2018 3:20 am

The UN Security Council is on crack if they try to enforce O’s Paris climate agreement
FTFY

May 16, 2018 5:23 am

UN Security Council Should Crackdown to Enforce the Paris Climate Agreement
Well, this is what it comes down to eventually.

May 16, 2018 5:42 am

Echoes of Lord Bertrand Russell’s “peacenik” call to hand over all nuclear weapons to the UN, and bomb the Soviet before they got them, mind you. Charming fellow his Lordship, what? Dr. Ashley of a long tradition. Lordship anyone?

Steve O
May 16, 2018 5:56 am

Please, oh please! Oh please! Do it. DO IT!!

paqyfelyc
May 16, 2018 7:30 am

There are cracknuts. Especially among PhDs. Why do you care to give them an echo chamber here?

MarkW
May 16, 2018 9:32 am

If we were to ignore the UN, would anyone in this country even notice?

John Endicott
Reply to  MarkW
May 16, 2018 10:44 am

only the regressives who see the UN as a way to push their agendas would notice.

Gary Pearse
May 16, 2018 10:33 am

Gee they dont play nice anymore. They’re shifting over to making offers we cant refuse. Somehow, it seems they can even stop me from taking the train or communicating! Wow did we sovereign nations agree to let the UN drones have this power. And what in hell are they teaching these officious bots in university? In Canada, international law is the fallback pad for those who didnt make it into law school and its all about how rotten capitalistic nations are.

Amber
May 17, 2018 2:18 pm

Israel could wipe out Gaza in about an hour but they don’t because they like being a cat with a mouse
that ‘s existence ensures $billions flow into Israel .
In 50 years the extreme right have done nothing to really help the people of Gaza . Just suppress them and keep them around for target practice . No doubt Hamas is the instigator often but people suppressed and disrespected like those in Gaza are easy to stir up .
Best thing to do is cut the funding and stay away from that shit hole .

TheGoat
Reply to  Amber
May 21, 2018 8:57 am

They don’t wipe out Gaza in an hour because they are morally superior to the folks running Gaza… and their backers. The jews in Israel would receive no such restraint of any kind of the mythical moral inversion known at the ‘right of return’ was ever implemented.
Israel gave Gaza to the ‘Palestinians’ at great cost and as predicted, it was instantly ****hole-ized and became a permanent forward base for attacks on Israel.
There is nothing to do to help the ‘people of Gaza’. They are backed by islamic fundamentalists who use them as props against Israel. With a 1400 year track record of animalistic, single minded focus on slaughtering Jews, the ‘people of Gaza’ are merely the sad pawns of a stone age religion. And until that religion changes, there is no help for the ‘palestinians’.

TheGoat
May 21, 2018 8:52 am

“Economic sanctions could also be placed upon corporations, that currently operate with relatively little international scrutiny.”
Corporations operate under relatively little international scrutiny? Really? By what standard?
Read the fine print in any ‘free trade agreement’, read the export/import rules of any nation, read the international agreements on oil, fishing, timber, high tech goods, food…and this is ‘relatively little’ scrutiny??
What would a lot of scrutiny look like, exactly?