Guest essay by Eric Worrall
As temperatures plummet in Eastern states, NYT has published their usual screed on why global warming is responsible for cold winters.
Feeling a Chill? Blame the Polar Vortex. And Global Warming.
On Thursday, temperatures on the East Coast are expected to plummet, and some people — fellow journalists and weather broadcasters, we’re looking at you — may start talking about a “polar vortex.”
We thought you might want to know what the polar vortex is, and what it’s not.
(And we wanted to pre-empt the inevitable chatter about climate change that usually crops up when the thermometer drops — “It’s bone-shakingly cold, how could the Earth be warming?” We’ll tell you how.)
…
New York Times published similar articles blaming global warming for extreme winter weather in 2014, 2013, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008…
How much more of this global warming driven extreme cold can we take?
Joe Bastardi and others predicted they would do this. 🙂
…. look out for “sudden stroppospheric worming” as well..
The new MEME to replace the FAILED MEMES of “globular worming” and “Klimate khange”
As you say, a number of people have suggested that Global warming would be used to explain a natural event that has happened numerous times in the past. It used to be called the polar express, or arctic express or some such similar names.
It has always happened and always will. It is weather and simply something that frequently comes with winter.
The weather office calls them by the unromantic name of cold wave. The wiki article has a list going back to the 1800s. As you say, we’ve always had cold waves.
When people point out that we still have cold waves in spite of global warming, the alarmists patiently explain to us that black is white. ‘Experts’ have always done that. When he invented newspeak, George Orwell was working from experience. It’s no wonder that people don’t trust ‘experts’ any more.
Despite the headline this is what the article has to say about it being caused by global warming.
Most people will just read the headline, dismiss it a BS and stop taking any notice of what NYT tells them about climate.
Those that do read it will realise it largely unfounded and speculative claim that it “could” make it more frequent. and stop taking any notice of what NYT tells them about climate.
Greg,
I admire your optimism, but I think you give NYT readers too much credit. I imagine most are progressive sycophants, else why do they continue to read and be swayed by such weasel words.
I prefer calling it “winter”
Yes, but with galloping global warming, shouldn’t this be moderated somewhat? Shouldn’t we ignorant plebes be able to say, yeah but it’s not as bad as it used to be? I want to tell you it is -25C here in eastern Ontario. The rivers are frozen. The whole country is frozen. You can walk from the Panhandle of Texas to India on frozen ground or ice.
After all the trillions spent and the hysteria, shouldn’t we by now be able to detect GW without thermometers even. If our children weren’t supposed to know what snow was by now (Dr. Viner of Met Office early in the new millennium) and we are getting more and more….Shouldn’t Manhattan’s Hudson River highway be under water by now? If polar amplification is warming the poles at 3 times the rest of the globe, shouldn’t polar vortices be a little balmier? The average global land temperature dropped an unprecedented 1C since May. I suggest it is still going down. And look at the SSTs:
http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sst_anom.gif
The Karlization of temps to kill the Pause will look pretty puny if the ocean continues to cool
Oops you have to click the SST map for the December SSTs
I call it fake weather.
Regards
Climate Heretic
To be fair, Global Warming scientists told us years ago that in the future (now) snowfall would become a rare exciting event in the winter.
They said absolutely NOTHING about FALL. So stuff it!
(Will defend Global Warming scientists for $$$. Call me.)
SC
December 16, 2016 at 1:15 pm
Brilliant defense!
Are you a lawyer, or do you just play one on this blog?
Except that where I live the snow won’t have melted by the winter solstice.
This was all explained to everyone in the Hollywood epic “The Day After Tomorrow”. It has to do with polar ice melting, changing the salinity of the oceans, which then stops the Gulf current and freezes the Northern Hemisphere. The eminent climate authority Dennis Quaid explains the whole thing. New York freezes solid in a matter of days. Everyone survives by burning books, then gets airlifted to Mexico by a grateful, but humbled, President of the US (who is welcome in Mexico because of NAFTA).
There. Any questions? I can do this stuff all day… 😎
PS: For our next trick, we drop thermonuclear weapons on the Antarctic, restarting the Gulf current. Or was that a different movie?
@Bartleby – Vice president (He had not been sworn in at the time of his speech, but the president was dead). He was modeled after Cheney.
But that scenario will help with the illegal alien issue in the USA!
And then there is the “January Thaw.” Known when my grandmother was a tot. You can look it up.
Greg, I agree, the article is more balanced, but doesn’t excuse the headline. It explicitly says “Blame Global Warming” right there at the top of the page. Saying that this doesn’t disprove the global warming issue is true, as it’s just weather. However, the message is clear that this is occurring because of gloabl warming, which is false.
Warning, warning! This thread is a science free zone. Click-baiter reporting on click-bait
There. That should boost it along a bit for you Eric.
I can’t help but notice that you never have anything intelligent to say, Tony. Why is that?
As for a science free zone, here’s your chance. Explain to us how global warming, that is supposed to warm the earth predominantly in winter and at higher latitudes, seems tho be having the opposite effect.
And no, ‘Polar Vortex’ isn’t sciency enough.
And while your at it, can you explain how the Jet stream is moving south, when the models have it moving in the opposite direction ?
http://www.nbcnews.com/id/24228037/ns/us_news-environment/t/jet-stream-moving-north-weather-shifts-likely/
“…. pushing the three jet streams toward the poles. Climate models have long predicted that with global warming, the world’s jet streams would move that way,”
Remember this person posted that CO2 “retains” heat…but I cannot be bothered to find the post…lol…I don’t need to it’s is here at WUWT forEVAH!
“This thread is a science free zone.”
You should be right at home then.
For every action there is an opposite and equal reaction. So if the globe warms it must get colder, and if it gets cold then it must be get warmer. So there you have it. Newton’s Third Law as applied to climate science.
“This thread is a science free zone.”
Its about an article in the NYT..
Of course its science free. !
I love it when you warmunists try to insist that only science you agree with is science.
The fact that you have given up trying to refute what the author says is merely another indication that even you know that you can’t.
Now that Griff has been so thoroughly embarrassed the other trolls have been tasked with picking up the slack.
Since you like to troll, I will troll you…
From your previous posting history, I assume this is you?
http://www.k-state.edu/today/announcement.php?id=16090
Tony,
Open ridicule and derision of the climate charlatans and other purveyors of Climate Propaganda are quite appropriate and a necessary function in a free society.
Yes, we can attack them on their fake science with science and history, but when their claims are so stupid (as in floods, droughts, cold waves/heat waves never happened before CO2 rose above 300ppm) it becomes that ridicule is the best weapon against the climate fraud that everyone can understand.
If you want science all the time, I suggest Judith Curry’s blog.
ferdberple
December 16, 2016 at 6:14 am
For every action there is an opposite and equal reaction. So if the globe warms it must get colder, and if it gets cold then it must be get warmer. So there you have it. Newton’s Third Law as applied to climate science.
———————-
That is the main point for the AGW-ACC to be discarded as a “fantasy” and fictional in principle, not possible at all anyway, in principle;
I mentioned the ACC because in the AR4 of IPCC is clearly stated as a claim under the ACC as per a way to explain AGW, that as there was only warming observed with no any much cooling elsewhere in the system that could account as compensating for, than the GW must be a ACC-AGW……human made and not natural/
Actually by that kind of approach to explanation claiming, ending up with a ACC-AGW as a condition where the Newton’s Third Law is bridged and not holding anymore for the system in question, aka the very end and :”destruction”, break down of the natural functioning of the system.
Systems and functios that do not hold to the Newton’s Third Law do break down and crash.
In principle that what ACC-AGW stand for….silly, as far as I can tell.
Cheers
Hoping the right narrative will help sell whatever it is you’re trying to sell? Sorry, people here look at data and science, not emote and follow like sheep. You get points for trying, but your techniques needs help.
Any polar bears out there Griff?
…a science free zone to the extent that climate hype and climate change extremists defending the climate consensus are indeed free of science. As tony demonstrates so frequently and so well.
“This thread is a science free zone.”
In that case it should suit you perfectly Tony, science not being your strong suit.
Its Khan’s fault, Captain, he is freezing us to death as we roast to death!
“We’ll have to activate the Genesis device, which takes civilization back to before fire began to pollute the world! Khan then might maybe leave the federation alone to rule the masses. Ahead sarc factor 6 mister Sulu.”
Is that what the Klimate Khange Klan are up to?
Apparently they all voted for Donald someone.
But of course.
Global warming enables you to distinguish how damn cold it is from, what feels more comfortable.
See how that works !
G
Yes, and they’ve been doing it for a while:
“The kind of extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern we can expect to see with increasing frequency, as global warming continues.” -John Holdren, Obama’s Science Czar, 2014 https://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/06/11/john-holdrens-bi-polar-vortex/
“Eliminate all CO2 emissions so we don’t freeze to death!!” -ecoloon
I guess that means we will suffocate – no CO2 – no plants – no oxygen.
But I bet the watermelons will have a tank or two.
Maybe in a basement, near their server. Could that happen?
Auto
The author of this silly article in the NYT is Caroline Kennedys daughter. She should get an award for linking so many global warming falsehoods into one pathetic screed.
Did the Russians do this too?
Absolutely! I have it on good authority from the voices in my head that Putin is responsible!!!! Sarc off!
Wait, You mean that voices were Putin your head?
I know what it is… it’s those evil air conditioners in Florida! ( more dangerous than ISIS or N. Korea with nuclear weapons) They are causing global warming, and global warming is causing it to be colder. …… ( a sarc tag… and some people actually believe this, like a major publication, NYT )
Nice, Bryan.
Of course, Putin wants to sell more Russian petroleum…
That’s it ! Global Warming is actually caused by Russian hackers! They cause every other problem so why not GW (no Bush)?
…. and why does he want to sell more petroleum? To make N. Am colder of course. Then it will be nice temperature for them when they come over in hoards to party with Donald.
….so he can buy more uranium from Hillary. Better hurry, bro.
Yeah, they hacked the polar vortex. This is right after they swayed the US elections and hacked into the minds of all Leave voters to get Brexit. Clever little critters these Russkies
Putin and his minions moved the Winter from Siberia to Upstate NY. So we have to drop nukes to stop this….ooops. This will cause a nuclear winter! Oh no!
Well, the Russian scientists do work on geological and meteorological warfare:
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/russian-analyst-advises-blowing-yellowstone-interview-article-1.2169244
The cold is Gaia punishing the US for electing Trump, and Trump appointing a skeptic to head the EPA./s
No. Election results have been caused by global warming.
The NYT is so far right with it’s explanation, that the cause of a sudden snowfall is because of a disturbed function of the polar cycle and can’t be used as a proof of global cooling.
They state even correctly, that the same function of the vortex is causing a warmer arctic.
What they don’t tell: Even in former “colder” years the same vortex was the cause for snow.
But they forget the whole argument, when the arctic gets warm
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/20/science/shrinking-artic-ice.html
And this NYT page was deleted:
El Nino Is Gone, but Earth’s Record Heat Is Sticking Around – The New …
http://www.nytimes.com/…/ap-us-sci-record-heat.html?ref... – Diese Seite übersetzen
19.07.2016 – Earth’s persistent record 2016 heat is now dancing near levels that a … months ago and the record heat — and record melting of Arctic sea ice …
Yep. Climate Change makes the Arctic warmer, but when the Arctic air mass gets pushed south, it is the COLDEST EVAH!
How does that work?
“Warmer” is relative.
Actually, continental polar air masses may start out at high latitudes with temps above 0 F, and as they slide south over snow fields, further cooling takes place via radiation – particularly when daylight is shorter than the hours of darkness.
http://www.nytimes.com/1988/08/04/us/world-war-ii-planes-found-in-greenland-in-ice-260-feet-deep.html This was written when the National Enquirer was gossip and the NY Times was the trusted print. Now it’s opposite.
Isn’t it a fact that during the ice ages the Arctic Ocean was open most of the time? Where else could the precipitation necessary for the build-up of ice over the Baltic regions and North America come from? Haven’t they found 50,000 years’ old human settlements along the coasts of the Arctic Ocean proving that?
This is the NYT headline:
Feeling a Chill? Blame the Polar Vortex. And Global Warming.
But inside the article, the are not so sure about being caused from global warming.
“Some studies suggest that climate change could actually make these frigid waves of Arctic air more common, a result of shrinking sea ice. However, other scientists remain skeptical of this theory.
And the earth is definitely warming: Temperature records show that, by the end of last year, the earth’s surface had warmed by about 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit since the 19th century. But even though the earth’s surface is warming, scientists say that winter will still exist.”
So inside the article they didn’t use wrong facts. It’s the subtle way how it is written who may convince people.
Yes, that is the paragraph that caught my attention. Basically, they are saying “we don’t know if this is climate change, but we push this unsubstantiated claim in the rest of the article, and we are right as long as we include the disclaimer.
Remember that articles are given titles by editors who care mostly about attracting eyeballs.
Either that, or they don’t understand the content, or want to spin the content.
Many journalists in history have been highly frustrated by the titles placed on their articles.
One can find actual science articles regarding arctic circulations and winter weather, such as this one from Dr. Judah Cohen at AER.
http://rclutz.wordpress.com/2016/07/06/warm-is-cold-and-down-is-up/
Yes, I thought the article was well balanced and accurate. It is the headline that is wrong, about the article.
IF it were only wintery in the US that would be weather. However, as most that frequent this site know, global temperatures have fallen by 0.5 C. Now as the NY TIMES has pointed out temperature has risen to 1.8 F. … I find it strange that on one side they use C to downplay the drop and F to increase the rise in the way you think about it. 0.5 C is close to 1 F. So temperature has risen to only 0.4 C since the 19th century.
So, if co2 holds heat and warms the planet, why have temperatures dropped ? Are we only dealing with trends ? Suppose the global temperature drops another 0.5 C, what has happened to all that energy ? The warming is here and then it isn’t, where is it ? If the global temperature drops below all the retained warmth over the last 100+ years, does it matter how long it lasts ?
I say no it doesn’t matter how long it lasts. AGW cannot allow the heat ( or energy, for those that want to engage in nitpicking word usage ) to escape. Is there some physical attribute of co2 that allows for these textbook changes ? Whatever causes the temperature to drop is completely independent of co2, and in the case where it soars from those lows in a short time period is also independent of co2. We are speaking globally here, not locally. … 0.5 C globally is stunning, and in 6 months. It has to register with the AGW crowd that something is wrong with the theory.
I noticed the playing fast and loose with F and C degrees.
Where’s Griff ? He usually trolls in about now .
No matter how much they tell all those freezing people that it’s because of global warming that they’re cold, somehow I don’t think most of them will listen .
Especially when their backside is freezing off .
Well they can take comfort in knowing that their electricity is so unaffordable that they cant afford to warm themselves during cold winters which is helping to save the planet from too much warming.
If Monty Python were honest comedians they would have so much material.
Still I think Griff is a character invented by Anthony to make WUWT more attractive… 😉
no, he used to haunt the Daily Telegraph before they decided that closing comments and sacking all the journalists was the Way Forward.
https://disqus.com/by/egriff5514/
Now he is all over the renewable energy and climate change groups earning his keep as a paid shill and a troll.
Active, possible. Attractive, never.
It’s tag team trolling. Griff was worn out and tired, so he’s been replaced by fresh trolls.
Same guy, different name and email account.
I don’t know about that.
Griff had a different writing style.
There is always a fresh crop of believers ! They keep churning them out at the paper mills.
Griff is not qualified to speak on this topic so he has wisely maintained his silence.
Crispin, that never stopped him before.
Now trolls as Tony mc
Craig has a point on one of the other threads he posted some useless graphs that were bogus under the name of Tony , same style .
So surely the changes in polar vortex will help kill all the mosquitoes and such threats from a “warmer planet”.
Droughts threat in winter – gone. The polar vortex could be a negative feedback. Oh wait, no, negative feedbacks dont exist of course.
Three years ago:
Does he realize he is claiming global warming cause cooling , and we will see more cooling as warming continues. He should have said, “you can see my head, yeah? It is so far up my ass that everything looks normal, it just changes the way I see things. So come on everybody, join me in shoving your head up your own ass until you see what I see’
They locked him in the basement since then and claimed he did not speak for the WH. He is not a climate scientist but uses the “I believe” statement while distracting the viewer with many fast moving images that are not explained. They also did not release any science basis for his belief statements when confronted with FOIA requests.
Here in Scotland after an early period with severe frosts for a while, it’s now back to the usual rain and gloomy skies.
The great thing about 2017, is that we should see the La nina develop and that should give us our next clue over whether we are seeing continued pause, cooling or warming.
Sorry – just in case it needs saying – I don’t look at fabricated surface data – only satellites.
The published satellite data is ‘adjusted’ also. Do you know of a source for the raw satellite data?
The “polar vortex” is the scary sciencey sounding name for “winter”. The climate extremist kooks have managed to dumb down their fellow believers to the point where slapping a new name on normal things that have been around forever can scare the weak minded believers. “Polar vortex” is not new. The cold it delivers is not new. It did not come into existence due to CO2. And it is not behaving differently because of CO2. But “climate change”is causing those afflicted with true believer status to become more and more gullible and less capable of critical thinking. And the NYT enjoys profiting from that, apparently.
The “polar vortex” is the scary sciencey sounding name…where slapping a new name on normal things”
+
“Polar vortex” is not new.
You’re giving sceptics a bad name hunter, but then so is Eric
Good heavens tony mcleod, why don’t you just jump in and use the term “denier” like the rest of your virtue-signalling fellow CAGW-believing cohort?
If it’s getting warmer: blame CO2. If it’s getting colder: blame CO2. An earthquake in the eastern Pacific region: blame CO2. Coral bleaching in the northern Great Barrier Reef under water temperatures cooler than in the Red Sea (where coral reefs are flourishing, believe it or not): blame CO2.
CO2 levels in the then atmosphere were much greater during the Late Devonian than currently, and coral reefs were flourishing in Alberta and the Kimberley region of Western Australia. There you go- some science facts for you, conveniently unacknowledged by the IPCC. Climates have been changing for the last 4.5 billion years of earth history and there have been glacial epochs during periods when atmospheric carbon dioxide levels have been much higher than today, a fact acknowledged by 97% of geological scientists.
Bring back Griff, at least he was amusing when acting stupid.
Actually it was “new” to the media scaremongering and incorrectly using it as of 2014. See here: http://abcnews.go.com/US/polar-vortex-misused-weather-term-2014/story?id=26793261
Meteorologists have known about it and used the term correctly for decades.
Are you taking over for Griff on this thread?
**“Polar vortex” is not new.**
Correct. It originated about 1850.
However, the CAGW crowd and certain others including the media do not follow history when attempting to sensationalize and seem to think it is a recent phenomenon. In 1979 the Arctic Vortex was blamed on the cold. Today it is twisted and blamed on warming to suit the agenda.
As I wrote in another post, my grandfather called it “Winter”.
And if that global warming vortex continues we could be canoeing with the seals in Hudson Bay in 10 years. See:
In Winnipeg Free Press Dec 7:
http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/local/climate-change-on-fast-forward-in-arctic-u-of-m-scientist-warns-405091456.html
The best one is Ferguson saying winters will be ice free in 5-10 years.
tony, the misuse of the “polar vortex” is new. It is specifically used in today’s climate extremist age to sound scary and new. Few people heard the term in widespread use prior to the last few years. Of course it was known since the 19th century. And yes, you are still an ignorant climate extremist kook.
Back off John, coral bleaching is caused by Fracking not CO2
‘And the NYT enjoys profiting from that, apparently.’
With half the Western World brainwashed its money for jam.
Yep, there is not honest journalism any more, just click baits.
And the NYT enjoys profiting from that, apparently., With the way those guys are losing money? I doubt no matter what they say that they “profiting”. Maybe if they start supporting Trump they might get a few readers back.
Whatever, they have it covered. The mighty they (whoever ‘they’ are) always are superior to me, the deplorable and anyone who is an expert in the field. Don’t matter, they are always right, well, in their mind anyway. Betcha 2016 warmest year ever!
When i was growing up, we called it winter.
We are going to freeze to death due to AGW.
It was so hot, I froze to death, so Suzanna, don’t you cry.
Isn’t that a line from Les Propheties?
😉
It’s December. It is suppose to get cold and it is just as it always does to different unpredictable extents.
ALL Ice Ages began around Hudson Bay, not Alaska. During all Ice Ages, Alaska had virtually no glaciers except in the high mountains while gigantic glaciers covered most of Canada and a lot of the Northeast and Russia had virtually no ice sheets while Europe did…the Polar Vortex is exactly what engineers all Ice Age effects.
An Ice Age is when the Polar Vortex goes on and on and on for about 30-50,000 years. Over and over again, too.
I wonder if glacial epochs begin when the polar air excursions continue through the NH summers and are reinforced by the albedo of constant snowfall and the jet stream staying in it’s winter oscillation?
The polar vortex is a lunar declinational tidal effect in the atmosphere, due to the changes in the angle of declination. LDA bottomed out in September of 2016, and is slowly climbing back toward the maximum value by 2025, when we will have a yuge number of hurricanes again like 2004/5.
During Ice ages the declinational angle relative to the ecliptic plane drops from ~5 degrees to less than 1 degree, causing the solar and lunar tidal effects to stay at a concurrent maximum effect like we see for short periods in inter-glacial periods like now.
This is all due and under the control of the position of the solar system relative to the spiral arms, their magnetic fields induction into the solar and Earth’s magnetic polar orientation.
when the tilt of the magnetic poles of the sun decrease so they line up closer to the axis of rotation, the parker spirals in the solar wind that drive the lunar declination on the ecliptic plane smooth out the moon is less driven N/S so the global circulation synchronizes to large standing oscillations of the jet streams. Which allows most of the moisture and heat from the continuous Pineapple express patterns to clear the Alaskan snow cover and dump it all along the Eastern US and Canada in a near continuous Nor Easter effect for most of 100,000 years.
Now we are seeing the early effects of a lowering of the Earths magnetic fields at the beginning of the cycle. Get used to the blustery winters.
While hurricanes would probably be increasing in 2025, I think the date for maximum might be 2033 to 2035 . But then there might be other factors as well. You know what would be interesting would be to see if there were hurricanes during the last ice age. Or if there was a sharp decrease.
I blame the Russians…
Surely this comes under the heading of Fake News?
You can hardly get any *more* fake than standing up to declare “cold is warm”
Can you……..
Damn stove making my fridge so cold!
My grandad had a refrigerator that ran on propane.
I have one in the living quarters of my horse trailer. also has an electric heater to power the absorber.
During my career I operated absorption chillers on a college campus the size of a small town, which had an underground Chilled water loop cooled by a large lake.
First refrigerator I met burned kerosene to make cold
“World wide Electrolux effect”?
Time to dust off this old chestnut, from 2010. I can’t believe I’ve been coming to this blog for over 6 years now. How time flies.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/12/26/northeast-us-blizzard-proves-global-warming/
Thanks for posting that … +1
P.S. I think a lot of my posts are going into the spam queue. Especially when I put a link in my post or when I reply to someone.
Yes, but we fish them out….
This is exactly how global weirding is supposed to work.
Holy Macaroni!
Stephen Hawking was right…
…We’re all doomed by 2100! (because that interactive timeline proves it so)
But wait, isn’t all of his pseudo-theories non-testable?
Of course they are non testable, unprovable, even unlikely. However, they are scary. And that’s the point.
So, if the winter is very mild, it is of course due to global warming. But if the winter is very cold, it is due to… global warming.
What explains everything does explain nothing.
Jean Meeus December 16, 2016 at 5:53 am
What explains everything does explain nothing.
Exactly, because the “what” cannot be falsified by events in the real world, And therefore the “what” is not an empirical statement. It has only the appearance or form of a statement about reality. Aka, how people fool themselves and others by not understanding the correct use of words, or by misusing them intentionally. Aka, “Rhetoric over Reality” or “Perception is Reality Delusionalism.”
Aka, Mainstream Climate “Science”.
What about the link to Russian hacking? Stay tuned.
I love how the NYT, that bastion of Climatism and pseudoscience climatesplains the difference between weather and climate, as if they are talking to grade-schoolers. How sciency of them. They then proceed to their pseudoscience, conflating what is generally acknowledged, if grudgingly, by warmunists themselves, to a be a natural warming and (according to them) manmade warming, which didn’t really take hold until the 1980s.
@Bruce Cobb – actually, the NY Times knows it readers, and that is why they appear to talk down to those who only follow links to their articles.
I guess they still have John Holdren locked up in the basement and they now rely on the NYT and other tools to do the bidding.
The Polar Vortex explained in one word: Winter.
A little more explanatory would be polar highs and continental lows as shown on Nullschool:
Here it is in one link
http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/Polar_vortex
Unfortunately for the NYT, NOAA’s data actually shows US winters getting progressively warmer!
https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2016/10/09/us-winters-getting-colder-as-they-get-warmer/
Of course, this is all based on NOAA’s heavily adjusted data!
At this rate Krugman can be considered for another Nobel in a different category and Obama can angle for one leaving office. These would be unprecedented of course.
You get what you pay for. Go subscribe to the WSJ or continue on with these tabloids in the checkout isle.
No, wait. Turns out Global Cooling is causing the warming of the Earth.
“New York Times published similar articles blaming global warming for extreme winter weather in 2014, 2013, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008…”
Yes, its almost as if there are too many people posing as journalists chasing far, far too few real news stories.
As an old editor of mine once reminded me of my Pulitzer-calibre copy: “we only need your stuff to make sure the car ads don’t all run together.”
Of course, that was back when newspapers actually made money on car ads. Now its publishing as much click-bait as possible. The NYT is competing with the “You Won’t Believe What This Old TV Star Looks Like Now” crap…
Have to disagree with you here. Look at (for example) news.com.au: All the well-written articles (as in, very few spelling, grammar and punctuation errors; good formatting; complete sentences at mostly make sense) are republished (usually days later). The crappy ones are written locally.
It’s almost as if there are too few journalists. I can live with their biases, so long as the stories are well researched and written.
“It’s almost as if there are too few journalists.”
Yes, that’s why I said “posing as journalists”. As the MSM pensions off older, wiser and more experienced journalists, they are replaced by unpaid interns or barely paid kids right out of colleges (where they have been indoctrinated for four – or more – years) who, from what I’ve seen, basically re-type press releases from Greenpeace.
Yes, there is good journalism. Blogs, even great ones like WUWT, can’t replace the MSM entirely. But these days, one can read an online newspaper and not get much “news”.
Please. No modern journalist would be caught dead retyping Greenpiece press releases. that’s what cut & paste was invented for.
Quoting Caligula Jones “…these days, one can read an online newspaper and not get much “news”.
One can, however read a blog like WUWT and further one’s general knowledge in many intellectual disciplines, as the present state of climate science and policies is publicly examined, as well as its relationship to humanitarian and political issues (which existed long before Trump announced skepticism) .
his english style maybe a little awkward at times ,but i think it is usually understandable
I do not know how relevant it is to the discussion here , but there is an interesting comment from Philip Mulholland on the JoNova site (talking about recent increase in Greenland ice mass) where he mentions a Russian report on one effect of 60 year cycles in the North Atlantic and writes :
“The weather pattern of the northern hemisphere Atlantic operates in two basic modes, either predominantly zonal (latitudinal) flow or predominantly meridional (longitudinal) flow. These two basic flow modes last on average for about 30 years. During periods of zonal (west-east-west) flow the climate generally warms; then during the following periods of meridional (south-north-south) flow the warmth accumulated over the previous 30 years is directed into the Arctic resulting in increased moisture transport producing more snowfall in Greenland and Scandinavia. So now you know why the IPCC chose to define climate as the average of 30 years of weather – they accounted for only the warming half of the climate cycle. During the coming years expect more south-north-south directed weather movement, more cold arctic plunges in winter and more snow. Weather forecast prediction models tuned to the last 30 years of zonal flow will continue to produce poor forecasts until the computer code is adjusted to take account of the new weather reality.”
Great comment. Add to it the simple fact that the “meridonal flow” brings a lot of heat to the Pole, where it is squandered to outer space, and you have our planet enacting its system of self-governance.
I’ve been watching streams of “mild” air head to the Pole since last Christmas, often creating a polar whorl of low pressure I dubbed “Ralph”, partly out of whimsy and partly just to draw attention to how persistent the phenomenon is. Even when the AO is positive (and the Pole region has higher pressure) that low still can be there, like the hole in a doughnut. I see it simplistically, and call it the “whirlpool over the drain”, as warmth leaves our planet.
In terms of any sort of “energy budget” a zonal flow is far more frugal, as it locks the cold up at the Pole and allows milder air to change snow to rain further north, causing the snow-pack to extend less far south, which results in less radiational cooling during the long winter nights and less cooling caused by the high albedo of freshly fallen snow during the short winter days.
Compared to the frugality of a zonal flow, a meridional flow spends like a drunken sailor, both by bringing mild air north to be lost to outer space and by bringing the snow-cover further south.
Rather than discussing this phenomenon I am expecting a lot of MSM hoop-la, as the mild air continues to head north to the Pole. (A big rush is heading north over Svalbard right now.) More than ever I think we will be seeing it made blatantly obvious that what is important to some individuals is not science and truth, but money and power. What is reported is not science, but propaganda, pure and simple.
+1
” by bringing mild air north to be lost to outer space” and to melt the sea ice.
Not at this time of year. At best it results in “less-thick” sea-ice, (because the ice thickens more slowly), which may be covered with deeper snow because the air brought north is moister than normal.
Sometimes deeper snow creates a sort of insulation which keeps the ice thinner, but the howling winds associated with a meridional pattern tends to crack up the ice, which negates the insulating effect of deeper snow by exposing more water, which promptly flashes-freezes, making extra ice.
Above freezing temperatures do happen, when Atlantic air charges north, and last Christmas I think a buoy not far from the Pole did touch freezing briefly, for a few hours, but it is remarkable how quickly “mild” air up there drops well below freezing. Watch. You’ll see it for yourself.
My views explained in greater detail here:
https://sunriseswansong.wordpress.com/2016/12/18/arctic-sea-ice-ralphs-resurgent-surge/
Yep. Global Warming has made the Rossby waves go insane.
I posted this too soon up thread, fits in better here. Richard Holle
December 17, 2016 at 11:38 pm
The polar vortex is a lunar declinational tidal effect in the atmosphere, due to the changes in the angle of declination. LDA bottomed out in September of 2016, and is slowly climbing back toward the maximum value by 2025, when we will have a yuge number of hurricanes again like 2004/5.
During Ice ages the declinational angle relative to the ecliptic plane drops from ~5 degrees to less than 1 degree, causing the solar and lunar tidal effects to stay at a concurrent maximum effect like we see for short periods in inter-glacial periods like now.
This is all due and under the control of the position of the solar system relative to the spiral arms, their magnetic fields induction into the solar and Earth’s magnetic polar orientation.
when the tilt of the magnetic poles of the sun decrease so they line up closer to the axis of rotation, the parker spirals in the solar wind that drive the lunar declination on the ecliptic plane smooth out the moon is less driven N/S so the global circulation synchronizes to large standing oscillations of the jet streams. Which allows most of the moisture and heat from the continuous Pineapple express patterns to clear the Alaskan snow cover and dump it all along the Eastern US and Canada in a near continuous Nor Easter effect for most of 100,000 years.
Now we are seeing the early effects of a lowering of the Earths magnetic fields at the beginning of the cycle. Get used to the blustery winters.
Next up from the NYT is the Christmas Price Index calculating the cost of the 12 Days of Christmas. It’s equally important don’t ya know.
It’s called balancing feedbacks NYtimes, or maybe we should just call it CHUTZPAH!
How about “bathtub slosh”? (see weatherbell.com)
What a bunch of dishonest hypocrites those who support and promote AGW theory are.
AGW originally predicted a more zonal atmospheric circulation evolving as a result of man made global warming., now that it is the opposite they have fabricated what this article tries to convey.
I mention the AO, to show how dishonest AGW THEORY IS which said over and over again when it first came out that this index would become more positive over time only for them to reverse themselves and claim AGW theory predicted that the melting of sea ice would cause a meridional atmospheric circulation (-AO) which total BS.
AGW never called for that originally , this is why I bring it up to show AGW theory for what it is which is BS.
The global temperatures are still trending down we will see
And there has zero apology to students who were fed the original line and were not told it never happened.
Can you provide ant links to this Salvatore?
AGW originally predicted a more zonal atmospheric circulation evolving as a result of man made global warming…
Scientists have been puzzling over what causes ice age glacial intervals to start at regular intervals over the last 2-3 million years. Well now the NYT can reveal the answer – its global warming!
Eric’s headline:”NYT Blames Winter Chill on Global Warming”
Here’s what the article actually says about links between the Polar Vortex and Global Warming: “If global warming is supposed to be warming the globe, then why is it so cold?
Well, for starters, there is a difference between weather and climate. Climate refers to the long-term averages and trends in atmospheric conditions over large areas, while weather deals with short-term variations, which is what happens when the polar vortex visits your hometown.
And of course, an Arctic blast can still occur in a warmer world. The air that comes down from the North Pole might not be as cold, Ms. Barthold said, but it would still be the product of the same phenomenon.
Some studies suggest that climate change could actually make these frigid waves of Arctic air more common, a result of shrinking sea ice. However, other scientists remain skeptical of this theory.”
That’s it – completely different than what Eric implied with his headline.
The problem for you, Chris is that we can read.
Then you must have a problem with comprehension, Alan.
The difference between us, is that we recognize propaganda when we see it.
What’s really sad is that you aren’t contradicting anything that Eric wrote. He noted every single point that you raised. Had you read his article as closely as you read the NYT’s.
I posted the headline and said it was misleading. That statement is correct.
Besides the misleading headline, he wrote this: “New York Times published similar articles blaming global warming for extreme winter weather in 2014, 2013, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008…
How much more of this global warming driven extreme cold can we take?”
Except, as I showed with my quotation from the NYT, they didn’t blame global warming as the cause. They noted that some papers have indicated a link, others have said that link is not proven.
If that’s your standard, then the NYT article headline was misleading.
Why is it you are incapable of seeing the sins committed by your side? Hypocrite much?
Eric’s point about previous NYT articles was 100% correct.
You just can’t stand it when your sides propaganda is exposed.
You’re casting pearls before swine. Don’t bother.
Tony,
Pearls before swine? This from the man behind the curtain who attacked those who pointed out Griff’s failings without calling him or her any names?
Naturally, all here expect the Carbonari to be hypocrites, so no surprises.
tony and Chris are whining that their (mis)interpretation of the NYT article is not universally accepted. They are examples of “Big brother cannot be wrong”.
lol.
Chris pulls the warmunist ploy of bait-and-switch here. First, he criticizes the headline, but then instead of backing it up, he simply regurgitates the NYT classic warmunist propaganda. Here is what the NYT actually said wrt the chill “being caused by global warming”:
That’s it. They ran the theory up the flagpole, with the very weak disclaimer that “some remain skeptical”.
Duh, Bruce, look at my post above. I quoted that section.
Yeah, Chris, you quoted it, but only after a whoke bunch of Warmunist blather and propaganda. Furthermore, due to your weak reading comprehension (or simple disingenuity), you imply that the two statements are being given equal weight by the NYT.
Bruce – “warmunist” – and this from a site that claims to be unbiased and scientific.
Memo to John Holdren
Syracuse, N.Y. — Syracuse just broke a 99-year record for the coldest Dec. 16.
The temperature at Hancock International Airport, the official weather station for Syracuse, hit 2 below zero over the last hour.
The record for Dec. 16 had been minus 1, set in 1917.
… so, the NYTimes is saying that this isn’t the Russians ? I heard they have a lot “cold” over there.
Some people can get away with blaming everything on global warming. I can’t. I told my boss I could not come in last week because of global warming. Now I’m looking for a job :(.
Looks like a barstool at a swim-up bar in Svalbard.
What does a bartender serve to a Polar Bear?
(hee,hee)
Whatever the Polar Bear asks for.
One Singapore Sam, please.
Don’t you mean Singapore Sling?
No, I said Sam.
(The bartender replies) “Can I make you a Shanghai’d Griff instead?
When I lived in the Midwest the local forecasters called them “Alberta Clippers”. It was nothing unusual, just winter. Nothing to see here, just move along.
I’ve got it! I’ve figured out how to stop Global Warming.
Since the Earth warms in the daytime when the Sun is shining, and cools off at night after the Sun sets, we can speed up the rotation of the Earth during the Day so that the Earth has less time to warm and slow it down during the night so the Earth has more time to cool.
We can do this by attaching a series of giant rocket engines to both sides of the Andes Mountains. The Andes are perfect for this because they run virtually North and South like a humongous fin on the globe – a perfect “pushing point”. During the Day we ignite the rockets on the East side of the Andes up so that it speeds the Earth’s rotation up. At Night, we ignite the rockets on the West side so it slows the Earth’s rotation down.
There you go, problem solved!
Everest is taller, and would thus give more leverage.
Perhaps we could do both. I could be in charge of the Southern Hemisphere and you be could be in charge of the Northern Hemisphere.
We’ll need a Federal Grant to get started. Heck, this is a World Project so ALL countries should pay for it, especially the U.S.
How much $$$ do you think we need? Maybe we should get a grant to do a study first to know how much $$$ we’ll need.
How much $$$ do you think we need for the study?
If we didn’t do it on the equator, we would need rockets in both the northern and southern hemispheres. Otherwise we might start the earth tumbling.
I really think we’re on to something.
Is it hard to set up a go-fund-me account?
We need $$$$.
Hey MarkW,
I made you the Vice-President and the Northern Hemisphere Operations Manager of our company (it was my idea, after all), I hope you don’t mind.
I used to be a Skeptic, but now I think I kinda like solving Global Warming.
Yes, but at higher altitude the rockets have less air to push against.
Won’t the rocket exhaust be primarily the evil GHG, H2O?
SR
You’re right.
We’ll have to power our rockets with Solar and Wind power, but that means we’re gonna need more $$$$.
Yikes, my “claculations” show that the tremendous thrust of wind and solar powered rockets would crack the mountains off at their bases and propel them into orbit!
(I always wanted to write ‘Road Runner’ cartoons.)
Is that settled science?
@BillK Did you forget the “sarc” after your posting about rockets and pushing against the air?
Ian M
Freedom Monger
December 16, 2016 at 10:03 am
Hey MarkW,
I made you the Vice-President and the Northern Hemisphere Operations Manager of our company (it was my idea, after all), I hope you don’t mind.
I used to be a Skeptic, but now I think I kinda like solving Global Warming.
———————————————
Hello both of you, Freedom Monger and MarkW.
You both seem to underestimate the most powerful lever(s) needed for your project of combating and fighting Global Warming,
A champion or the Champion.
If you allow me, I will nominate the Nobel Prize champion Al Gore, and also as your projects have to do with lots of rocketing staff I also take the liberty, if you allow it through your kindness, to nominate also Elon.
One off them should be fully running the SH project and the other the NH one.
For this help, if you so kindly consider it the only thing I ask is that I have the vote who of these two ends up to what project…..
Taking the liberty,,,,,,, as I happen to live in the NH I vote Gore for the SH project…..please allow me that much… no any other favors I will ask 🙂
Can do with out the chilling effect in the NH:)
Sorry Freedom.:)
cheers
By the way, you might base it in CA and call it Moonbeam Rocket Science Inc. so you’ll get state funding. Unless of course, he already has the rights to that name.
The incredibly shrinking NYT.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-12-16/new-york-time-will-vacate-8-floors-its-headquarters-generate-significant-rental-reve
Ahhh, Zero Hedge, the site that uses contract freelance writers, and calls them all Tyler Durden.
Once again our latest troll doesn’t attempt to refute the article.
Probably believed what he was told that we are all a bunch of uneducated idiots that can’t understand science. It’s probably difficult to get back up there on that arrogant high horse when you’ve been smacked down.
So what? Most newspapers are struggling. That’s a story from 5 years ago, try to keep up.
The further to left the newspaper tilts, the more it’s been struggling.
@chris
Five years ago? Did you actually check the date? No, I didn’t think so.
ZH is one of many Putin propaganda Websites, but that doesn’t mean that all its articles are invalid.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-29/unmasking-the-men-behind-zero-hedge-wall-street-s-renegade-blog
Its co-founder Ivandjiiski, who worked for a hedge fund before being barred by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority in 2008 for insider trading, is the son of a Bulgarian KGB agent (now also a blogger), whose cover was as a defense “journalist”, specializing in Africa.
DJ said: “@chris
Five years ago? Did you actually check the date? No, I didn’t think so.”
OK, I could have been more clear. What I was saying was that newspapers have been struggling for more than 5 years. How is that reminding us of that newsworthy? I can look around and find 50 stories about newspapers struggling – so what?
Here is one from last month about the conservative WSJ laying off employees and cutting sections. Should I conclude from that, that by being conservative, the WSJ is the cause of its problems? Of course not, that would be idiotic and inaccurate. It’s a problem affecting all newspapers, it has nothing to do with conservative or liberal angles. http://fortune.com/2016/11/02/wall-street-journal-layoffs-cuts-sections/
Cold weather…in winter…ahhhhhh we’re all gonna die. Who do I make my carbon tax cheque out to?
You can make a cheque out to Me and MarkW. We are in charge of the “Most Excellent Save the World from Global Warming Rocket Project (MESWFGWRP)” See above comments.
I am Freedom Monger – President, CEO, and Supreme Commander of the Project, besides being the Southern Hemisphere Operations Manager.
MarkW is the Vice-President and Northern Hemisphere Operations Manager.
We don’t know how much money we’ll need yet, we’re still in the “research phase.” Just keep sending money and we’ll let you know when we have enough.
FM–another idea would be to fund my scheme for marketing voodoo accupuncture. I absolutely guarantee to use 10% of the net to fund your rocket project.
Mad Magazine without the humor.
Mad as in crazy, or angry?
http://www.madmagazine.com/
That’s what inspired the Smothers Brothers I bet.
Anonymous sources at the CIA claim with high confidence Russia hacked the polar vortex and sent it southward.
“NYT Blames Winter Chill on Global Warming”
As is tradition.
In pagan times (Aztecs for instance) to keep things on track ( eg sunrise, rainy season) the chiefs would make some fairly low cost sacrifices which in the main seemed to work; bringing up the sun regularly and the rainy season quite often. I believe the sacrifices had to be made by prominent families donating a few offspring to the religious occasion – a great honour. Unfortunately today we resort to the application of bogus climate science concerning hockey stick studies which if anything make things worse, is depressing and very expensive.
Perhaps we could revisit the old tried and tested pagan methods again and sacrifice a few prominent climate scientists.
Having just returned from a week in the Yucatan that included a day at Chichen Itza, I van tell you that the Maya understood celestial mechanics in ways that were profound to their victims. They even made sport of it, holding ball games on the solstice dates that ended with the winner literally losing his head. And the 584 day return of Venus was apparently the signal to raid the local small tribes for fresh victims….
Christmas is coming + Cold weather = Opportunity!
Trigger/microaggression warnings [g][r][h][e]
Baby it’s cold outside…
[f]-gender – females portrayed as objects of sexual desire, potential male coercion, questionable informed consent, hetero-sexual normative values presumed
[r]-religious – Christian-centric view of major American winter holiday
[h]-health – cigarettes, cigars and alcohol mentioned favorably
[e] – environment – dirty wood fire burning in fireplace, protagonist insists on driving home, emitting CO2
It’s relatively mild in western Europe for the moment, no doubt that is due to AGW. When the warm up in the eastern US comes the next 5-10 days, AGW will also be cited for melting the snow just before Christmas.
re-reading Michael Crichton State Of Fear today, funny to see this type of story pop up just as I was at sections talking about media blitz.
and….brrr.
was -11 deg F at 630 am (wind chills around -35 or so) on 2 thermometers and high temp touched 4 deg F today in central maine.
neighbor said he was up around 445am and it was -15F.
IIRC they also blamed AGW for an unseasonably warm Xmas in 2015! So warming produces extremely cold weather almost every year, interposed by extremely mild weather?
Whatever happens, it’s our fault, and its bad.
“In Northern Hemisphere wintertime, there is a weakening of the stratospheric westerly jet by up to ∼3–4 m s−1, with the largest changes occurring in January–February. This is accompanied by a deepening of the Aleutian Low at the surface and an increase in blocking over Northern Europe and the North Pacific. There is also an equatorward shift in the Southern Hemisphere midlatitude eddy‐driven jet in austral spring. The occurrence of an amplified regional response during winter and spring suggests a contribution from a top‐down pathway for solar‐climate coupling; this is tested using an experiment in which ultraviolet (200–320 nm) radiation is decreased in isolation of other changes. The results show that a large decline in solar activity over the 21st century could have important impacts on the stratosphere and regional surface climate.”
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4758621/
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/blocking/real_time_nh/500gz_anomalies_nh.gif
New York never had snow and cold WX until man-made global warming started.
It was however buried under a mile of ice repeatedly before anatomically modern humans evolved.
Ancient Aliens!
As the cold and snow move east, the PNW will get a brief break. The coldest low, below zero F, will occur tonight, as temperature has fallen all day here. Then, for a couple of days next week, we’ll enjoy highs above freezing, making for black ice on the roads. Might have to cancel my Xmas travel plans.
This December reminds me of the chilly ’60s and ’70s. How about some real global warming?
https://gma.yahoo.com/winter-storm-wallop-midwest-northeast-more-snow-ice-161304410–abc-news-topstories.html#
“This December reminds me of the chilly ’60s and ’70s. How about some real global warming?”
Shhh…the dirty secret that you don’t see in the headlines about the inevitable “this is the X hottest year in Y years” is that:
1) they aren’t actually comparing temperature readings but the difference from a year’s average temperature (which is problematic to begin with) from a 30 year average; and,
2) that 30 year average includes the chilly 60s and 70s.
(I know most WUWT readers know this, but is amazing how often I have to point this out to Chicken Littles).
I recall two winters in particular. Record low for the State of Washington was set in December 1968, when Oregon didn’t quite set a record. But the same day it did hit 35 below zero F where I lived then. Then there was 1977, the year the PDO flipped.
But it’s worse than we thought!
The corrupt gatekeepers of NASA, NOAA and HadCRU have warmed up the post-WWII Big Chill of the ’40s to ’70s and cooled the ’80s, ’90s and early ’00s to make the past decade look warmer. And of course likewise cooled the 1920s to ’40s, which were actually warmer than this century so far.
But the public is hip to their tricks.
How much more of this global warming driven extreme cold drivel can we take?
Fixed.
Well lets give them a new term ..subtropical ridge, cause that is going to be denying winter in the east later this month into Jan. However our analog winters all had a month that was warmer in them. And what is scary about all this is one of the similar scenarios is 84-85 The ridge got so strong in the east around Christmas, a piece of the northern branch dropped down the east side of it and begat Lili which tried to hit Hispaniola from the NE Christmas day. Within a month the Super Bowl Sunday outbreak of 85 with record cold hit, forcing the Inauguration of Ronald Reagan indoors. My point is that the fake weather news press is as complicit in this as in all the all the other stuff we are seeing. Its why WUWT, not the NYT is the place to look. Thank God for the Internet ( which I am sure the media wants shut down, hence the worship of HRC etc)
People! People! This is a no brainer! It wasn’t the Russians in either case, the hacking or the vortex. The vortex was/is the fat guy in the red suit, with the reindeer and sled. And the NYT had to come up with something, they couldn’t “give” the old guy up. Give-em a break! /sarc
Arctic Blast Brings Coldest Air of the Season.
http://www.intellicast.com/Video/Player.aspx?id=58d48db2-cf93-43f4-95e9-83206ebf831e
BTW, The bathtub slosh idea worked like a charm and we used it at Weatherbell to forecast a very cold December from back in October and November. I did videos on it, discussions on it, our clients were well aware and ready . Tweeted on it before the fact a bunch of times First heard about it in 1962! My dad took me up to the weather station at Texas A and M a week before Christmas and one of the guys up there ( Dad was the oldest freshman on A and M campus, going on a VA) mentioned he thought it would get real cold cause Asia was so cold in OCt and November, its like a bathtub sloshing. I was in the teletype room pretending I was typing obs and remember it well. Why? That was the year me, my brother and Dad all had the mumps for Christmas. I got better first and 3 days after that Christmas was outside in front of our apartment trying to push some sleet that had fallen into piles in a desperate attempt to recreate what I left behind in Rhode Island ( our last winter there was 60-61) Years later when I researched it, sure enough it was there. Its a very interesting theory, one I wont bore you with here, but the whole result is that cold seeks warm. The arctic is warm true, the cold instead seeks the true warm, on the other side of the pole over the center of the NAMER continent and it was very sneaky It does not come over the top, it comes from the west into Alaska and then down into the west so you get some big central and western US outbreaks., you are seeing the result of the fight that went on the bundling of the cold and the powerful jet, so it pulls up after a while BUT THIS SHOULD NOT LAST. Instead once we break into smaller wavelengths we should see blocking develop and the cold overwhelm the pattern mid and late Jan again, and then be very stubborn centered further east into spring. There is a lot of what I called bare knuckled research in the private sector, We develop ideas that we do not have time to peer review ( nor do we get the grant money to just research) and instead real time battle test them for all to see. And the sting of criticism and being wrong and being forced to find out why leads to the advancment. I try to tell my academia friends, you guys the Queensberry rules, out in the blogs and what we do is more like Charles Bronson Hard Times fighting. ( Great movie btw) Joe D Aleos Pioneer model has been forecasting a cold winter since summer.
Yup Joe, you called it early. Keep up the good work!
“My dad took me up to the weather station at Texas A and M a week before Christmas and one of the guys up there ( Dad was the oldest freshman on A and M campus, going on a VA) mentioned he thought it would get real cold cause Asia was so cold in OCt and November, its like a bathtub sloshing.”
Looking at the NullSchool graphic below, it looks like the circular movement around the North Pole has modified itself into an out-of-round shape with one end of it stretched down into Canada and North America. So it looks like the sloshing you mention. Cold air sloshing out of its circular pattern.
The whole circulation pattern is a little off-center to the North Pole. It will be interesting to watch how it moves in the future. Love that nullschool view! 🙂
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/10hPa/orthographic=251.87,75.10,315
Here in New England, the ‘Polar Vortex’ used to be called the ‘Montreal Express’, and there was even a song about it:
For a little history of that recording and the song, see here:
https://hillbillyatharvard.wordpress.com/2014/01/14/the-montreal-express/
/Mr Lynn
It’s the onset of winter in the Northern Hemisphere,
and Baby, it gets cold at this time of year!
It ain’t ‘Global Warming’ or ‘Climate Disrupt’.
It’s just winter, Suck It Up, Buttercup!
I have a pleasant hunch that fewer and fewer dispassionate readers of claims like this (blaming very cold weather on global warming) will accept them at face value. “You can fool some of the people all of the time …”. Thanks God for the Internet. If everyone still got their hard “truth” only from Walter Cronkite or Dan Rather, or the New York Times, or the Associated Press, or NPR, it’d be time to start picking out your cave dwelling of choice. We are slowly turning the tide, I can feel it. Yesterday I posted the AP story about the US Fish and Wildlife Service approving killing up to 4200 eagles with windmills “to save the planet” on a state-wide birdwatcher forum, and was surprised how many skeptics came out of the shadows to cast aspersions of “green energy” and praise fossil fuels. Of course, the forum moderator had to lock the thread, to stop [ahem] “off topic” discussion, but I was pleasantly surprised and encouraged. Of course, I still don’t dare mention I engage in upland bird hunting, since the demise of even a single bird (even a tasty Chukar Partridge – introduced species, by the way) is a tragedy to many of those folks, bless ’em.
What we are experiencing is AGWC – Anthropogenic Global Winter Cooling. AGWC is the result of human efforts to cool the summers, but with the Southern and Northern hemispheres reversed in the climate models. This results in a 6-month lag in the effect on climate of AGW campaigners’ attempts to turn down The Great Climate Thermostat In The Sky. Thus the attempts to cool overheated summers result in the cooling of winters instead, and attempts to moderate cold winters cause summers to be hotter.
Officials at the Climate Computing Department at Topsy Turvey University near Cambridge, UK, confirmed that they are working on a revision of their computer models of climate, to correct this “slightly misprogrammed algorythm”, promising that, in future, we would see warmer winters, cooler summers, and falling sea levels. Meanwhile, Officials in the Climate Records Department of Topsy Turvey University have announced via Twitter that, once the temperature records for the winter of 2016-2017 are “Seasonally Adjusted”, all apparently anomalous figures for temperatures and snowfall will disappear into “Normality”. “Normality” is defined by them as “within 2 standard deviations of whatever figure we decide to publish in support of the figures predicted by our computer models”. /
Officials explained that the error in the original algorythm arose from employing Australian computer programmers in London to code the Topsy Turvey climate models. Australians, the university has now discovered, view the World upside down, and the seasons 6 months out of phase.
Australians also view the constellation Orion upside down. Which must have confounded the aborigines before they had recourse to books.
Al Tinfoil, not manmade at all. This is Mother Gaia fighting back against the infection called humanity. Lower the temperature, send some snow and ice, and we’ll see Mother beating back those nasty human beings. It all evens out in the end – a little fever, a little chill. She’ll be right, you see?
Meh, makes about as much sense as anything else.
Further fuel on the NYT credibility fire
El Nino drought ends in CA, with record breaking rainfall yesterday, to be followed by cold. From our host’s part of the world:
http://www.sacbee.com/news/weather/article121282558.html
The probably record-breaking cold for the Chicago Bears-Green Bay Packers game Sunday has already been mentioned. Any fan of US football will know how really cold it would have to be to beat out the famous snow and ice bowls of that rivalry’s history.
Go the cheese heads.
Robert,
They’re favored. They’re now playing great after a bad middle of the season. Their QB Aaron Rodgers is still lame, however.
If they beat the Bears, MN Vikings and Lions, as well they might, they’ll have come from behind to win their division, currently led by Detroit Lions.
They humiliated the West Division champion Seahawks in terrible conditions at home.
“… that rivalry’s history.” ?? Not Da Bears. The “Ice Bowl” in GB was with the Cowboys… 1967, I wasn’t in GB but it was just as cold in Milwaukee. Where I lived then was on a very busy street and about 2 blocks away from where I bought my beer. At half time I walked up there, bought a case that was NOT chilled and by the time I got back home it was almost frozen, which my eye brows were. Amazing? Nah, that’s Wisconsin in the winter. What was amazing was not a single person or car passed me during my walk! NOBODY in Wisconsin misses a championship Packers football game! – – and you got’a have beer… 🙂
I listened to NPR last night and they did the forecast for central PA. I was really surprised when the mentioned that “a cold front” is coming in and that tomorrow would(12/16) would be well below normal and that rain/sleet/snow would be coming tonight into Saturday.
Nary a mention of “the polar vortex” or “polar air intrusions” or climate change. I suspect maybe around here they decided to taper off on some of the leftist liberal talking points because donations are down. Now they are advertising for people to donate only $1200 a month!
This media source is just typical of the spin in global warming over the decades.
The tropospheric-stratospheric polar vortex breakdown of January 1977
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/GL004i004p00151/full
“An extraordinary warming of the stratosphere in December-January 1976-77 was followed by tropospheric warming in the polar region and cooling in middle latitudes. During January 10-20, the associated polar anticyclone extended from the surface to 10 mb.”
This is why the recent years surface adjustments are nonsense and ignore warming in the Arctic during colder periods in the northern hemisphere especially. Colder winters in the past for most people living in mid-latitude regions were caused by warming in the polar regions. Ignoring the warming back then in data sets and adding the warming even more now when this occurs, just adds false comparison of extra warming now because it wasn’t applied back then. Confirmation bias at it’s best by very selective data cherry picking.
The polar vortex has been known for decades and we can literally blame no sun light reaching the Arctic.
“Feeling a Chill? Blame the Polar Vortex. And Global Warming.”
So does global warming cause no sun light reaching the Arctic? NO
Therefore it has nothing to do with global warming or global cooling or no change or climate change or Summer. It is just weather caused by a displacement of very cold Arctic air because there is no sun light from the source.
A warmer planet doesn’t cause cold waves (no sun light), like a cooler planet doesn’t cause heat waves (sun light). The changes in global temperatures are so small that it makes no difference to the behaviour of the planet whether warming, cooling or remaining the same when the mechanisms rely on either sunlight or no sunlight present at all.
Awesome Matt, nailed it. QED.
Just go back and look at the “i believe” statement from John Holdren. That was not science.
The main purveyor of “fake news” keeps right on churning it out, no matter what…..
Weather forecast.
http://www.intellicast.com/Video/Player.aspx?id=58d48db2-cf93-43f4-95e9-83206ebf831e
Very low solar activity.
http://www.n3kl.org/sun/images/noaa_satenv.gif?
Polar vortex is open to the North America.
http://pics.tinypic.pl/i/00851/sc9g3ipa5kvl.png
http://www.findlocalweather.com/weather_maps/temperature_north_america.html
Much worse cold is coming to the northeast USA as the front moves off the prairies and to the east. Get your wool socks out and stay warm folks.
Yes, the Polar Vortex:
“Feeling a Chill? Blame the Polar Vortex. And Global Warming.”
____________________________________________
– the Polar Vortex was always there.
– Global Warming is due to coming out of the little ice age, the LIA.