UAH Global Temperature Update for July, 2016

Here’s a comparison with the CFSR/CFSV2 estimates from UM CCI and WxBELL, which also showed a slight increase from June to July:
Description here:
https://oz4caster.wordpress.com/2016/08/01/global-temperature-preliminary-july-2016/

I finally got it. After spending weeks auditing land source data and seeing how much NOAA / NASA changes it and how much alarmist ACTUALLY ENJOY saying …. 333 strait months of record (FRAUD) whatever,… I finally got it. NASA can’t get on board with a better system of temp monitoring, satellite, because the main source of global warming is NASA. Almost 0.7 C in my now pretty F-in enlightened opinion.

Are we doomed again?

The ENSO 3.4 region cooling hesitated in July. But now(as of August 1) appears to be
redeveloping(cooling again).

Here’s a regression of annual global temperature anomalies, calculated as the mean of the Cowtan & Way, HadCrut4, NASA GISS LOTI, and NOAAv3.2 data sets, on atmospheric CO2 concentrations for the years 1850-2015. CO2 measurements from 1850-1958 are from Antarctic ice core data, thereafter from Mona Loa. Temperature anomaly data from 1850-1879 are the means of the Cowtan & Way and HadCrut4 data sets only.
http://i.imgur.com/hRbCN4E.png

There are no temperatures on that graph. I don’t know if “user experience” is something that ever comes up in research circles, but if you’re going to show the deviation from some annual or monthly temperature, you should tell us what that temperature is.

Roy, I am going to analyze the content of what your temperature graphs tell us and have been telling us for some time. First, the segment from 1979 to the beginning of the rise to the super El Nino of 1998 is an uninterrupted ENSO segment of five El Nino peaks, separated by La Nina valleys. The ENSO oscillation producing it has made one crossing of the ocean for each peak from west to east along the equatorial counter-current. The peak is created when the warm water of this counter-current runs ashore in South America and spreads out north and south along the coast. This spreading warms the air above it, warm air rises, joins the easterlies, and we notice that an El Nino has arrived. The peaks are fairly uniform in height and the distance between them is approximately 5 years. A La Nina is formed after each El Nino peak. That is because water that was pushed ashore must also retreat. A returning El Nino wave is followed by a sea level reduction of up to a meter and cold water then wells up to fill the vacuum. As much as the El Nino warmed the air the La Nina that follows will now cool ,it and the global mean temperature is not affected. There can be irregularities but for the most part the approximately five-year spacing of El Nino peaks is valid throughout the observable global temperature range, as far back as the CET. This system has been active ever since the Panamanian Seaway closed and established the Pacific current system of today. ENSO is not noise and trying to hide it by a running average destroys information. It follows also that talk of an “El Nino-like” Miocene is utter nonsense. My first encounter with the ENSO of the eighties and nineties led me to record the fact that despite the presence of the El Nino peaks the entire temperature platform in the eighties and nineties, to the beginning of 1997, was horizontal and must be considered a hiatus region. I showed that as figure 15 in my book “What Warming?” But IPCC had other ideas and decided to invent a non-existent “late twentieth century warming” for that time slot. GISS, NCDC, and HadCRUT3 all joined them and now the official temperature graph shows warming, no hiatus, during the eighties and nineties. I complained but nothing happened so I decided to put a warming about rhis into the preface of my book in 2010 when it went to press. Since then, a little twerp called Bob Tisdale has accused me of inventing the data. This is an insult. The data that my figure 15 was based upon is essentially identical to what you and RSS have shown since the nineties. I also have a NASA publication proving that there was no warming then. Tisdale added insult to injury by submitting an additional bogus graph he claimed was a satellite graph showing warming in the eighties and nineties. Look it up in my paper’s comments in WUWT for last October 29th.
The second segment I want to discuss is the twenty-first century data in your latest graph. That segment I also showed in my figure 15, up to the year 2009. There were irregularities but the growing El Nino of 2010 convinced me at that time that the 21st century platform would also be horizontal like the previous segment had been. But having been exposed to the current data (July 2016) about it I no longer think so. This is because the temperature history of the 21st century turns out to be a lot more complicated than it seems. The twenty-first century opens with a sudden, unexpected temperature rise of one third of a degree of Celsius. In your figure It begins at the low point of the 1999 La Nina, in only three years raises global temperature by a third of a degree Celsius, and then stops. It is quite impossible for carbon dioxide to perform this maneuver but this is what James Hansen thinks happened. He noticed that nine out of ten recorded temperature highs all happened during the first decade of the twenty-first century. Bingo-carbon dioxide done it! Unfortunately for his simple-minded reaction, carbon dioxide cannot have anything to do with it. First, to start it, you must add carbon dioxide to air. The Keeling curve tells us this did not happen. Then, to stop it, you must bpluck all those absorbing CO2 molecules out of the air. Entirely impossible again. It is clear that carbon dioxide did not do the warming amd this leaves only none alternative: the source of this warming ts warm water left behind by the just-departed super El Nino. of 1998. If this is the case it follows also that there can be no replenishment. Therefore, as time goes on, we must expect the global temperature to slowly cool. This was not obvious to me in 2009 but looking at the complete picture now it is clear that there has been cooling. The presence of the El Nino of 2010 complicates it but there is no doubt that cooling has occurred. If we start measuring temperature at year 2002 (high point), ten years later will be 2012 (the low point). During these ten years global temperature went down approximately 0.27 degrees Celsius per decade. Beyond that, temperature starts to rise again toward the 2016 El Nino. We have just passed over this peak and are wondering what the temperature will do when it is all over. There are several possibilities but the most likely is a continuation of the cooling trend that was interrupted in 2012. By extrapolation, I would then expect the new temperature level to be as low or lower than 2012 was. There is a possibility that after all the inherited warmth is gone temperature will continue the original level of the eighties and nineties, now covered up by fake warming.