Spectacular Drop In Global Average Satellite Temperatures

Bali gets plenty of climate refugees from Australia each winter, Lewis.

That claim has it’s own truth and science ranking:

“Worst science of the year: “‘Unprecedented’: Scientists declare ‘global climate emergency’ after jet stream crosses equator”

And that “Worst” ranking is against some downright stupid CAGW claims this year.

“June 29th, 2016 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
Paul Beckwith has a masters degree in laser optics, which he has somehow parlayed into being a “Climate System Scientist” to spread alarmism about the climate system.
But his post “Unprecedented, Jet Stream Crosses Equator” suggests he knows little of meteorology, let alone climate.
A “jet stream” in the usual sense of the word is caused by the thermal wind, which cannot exist at the equator because there is no Coriolis force. To the extent that there is cross-equator flow at jet stream levels, it is usually from air flowing out of deep convective rain systems. That outflow often enters the subtropical jet stream, which is part of the average Hadley Cell circulation…”

Professional meteorologists enjoyed quite a laugh at Mr. Laser Optics bogus climate claim.

Good layman question, perhaps with no simple answer. Look like much is distriuted in the system, and much is radiated out.
Here is somthing from NOAA: The 1998–2000 Pacific Cold Episode (La Nina)
The global climate during most of 1999 was impacted by moderate-to-strong cold episode (La Nina) conditions in the tropical Pacific (Fig. 14). The evolution toward the 1998–2000 cold episode began in early 1998 as the oceanic thermocline (approximated by the depth of the 20 C isotherm) became shallower-than-normal across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (Fig. 14a). Accompanying this evolution, subsurface temperatures dropped and the volume of anomalously warm water decreased across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. Nonetheless, SSTs remained well above-average across the eastern half of the equatorial Pacific in association with ongoing very strong El Nino conditions (Fig. 14c). These conditions set the stage for a rapid transition to below-normal SSTs during the first week in May. This transition was triggered by a dramatic return to near-normal easterly winds at lower levels (Fig. 14b), which contributed to enhanced oceanic upwelling that brought cold ocean waters to the surface.
The La Ninaepisode then became well established by July 1998, and continued to strengthen during September–November 1998 as SSTs dropped to more than 2 C below normal across large portions of the central and eastern Pacific (Fig. 14c). This combination of below-normal SSTs and an anomalously shallow thermocline across the central and eastern Pacific reflected increased oceanic upwelling in association with the establishment of enhanced low-level equatorial easterly winds across the central and east-central equatorial Pacific (Fig. 14b).
Accompanying this evolution, tropical convection became enhanced throughout Indonesia and the western Pacific, and suppressed [indicated by positive anomalies of Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR)] across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (Fig. 14d). The associated reduction in atmospheric heating between 160 E and the west coast of South America led to a drop in 200-hPa heights throughout that region (Fig. 14e), and to cyclonic circulation anomalies at upper levels which flanked the region of suppressed tropical convection. These cold episode conditions then persisted throughout 1999 and into the year 2000, and significantly impacted global temperature, precipitation and atmospheric circulation patterns in a manner consistent with past cold episodes (Ropelewski and Halpert 1989; Halpert and Ropelewski 1992).

IR cooling to space is constantly acting to rapidly cool the troposphere. Convective heating (rain systems) are constantly acting to rapidly warm the troposphere. When the temperature changes rapidly, it’s due to a small imbalance between convective heating and radiative cooling…maybe only a few percent or so. The current cooling is probably best explained as a lack of sufficient convective heating, due to falling SSTs.

Assuming a rate of cooling similar to 1998, when will the pause return?

Shelly –
You are right. It is virtually impossible to explain this to the average person such they can appreciate and take on board the critical points. It is difficult enough to explain for those who study it in depth . Usually these records are being broken by a few tenths of a degree and it is questionable if we can even read accurately to this precision. When we take the entire temperature scale of the globe these margins involve splitting straws
I have said here before that as long as temperature remain relatively stable the alarmists will win the screaming battle – particularly in media, But if an when there is a drop in annual temps for as little as, say, 5 years the general public can switch very quickly and can attack in the opposite direction. They don’t like being fleeced. An example is the dairy fats scare. The ‘experts’ lose a lot of credibility right across the board and people start ignoring any alarmism. How long is the list of carcinogenic foods now? Last I heard it included ALL processed meats
I would simply say to warmest, “the party is no over until the fat lady sings, the predictions made by all the warmest ‘experts’ have been way off track”.
I never stopped eating butter and nice marbled steak 🙂