During the “hottest year ever”, we had this yesterday for the opening day of Baseball in Pittsburgh between the Pirates and the Cardinals: Pittsburgh temps in mid-30s — warming into low-40s with wind chill in 20s.
The forecast is for a blanket of 3-6″ of snowfall by Monday evening in New England. Boston 3-5″ NYC = 0″
Monday high-temps in 20s or low 30s = more than 20°F below normal for April 4th around Boston.
And finally, it gets ugly overnight:
Tuesday morning, New England hard freeze. 21°F in Boston close to 1881 record low of 20°F … teens just to west
H/t to Dr. Ryan Maue via his Twitter Feed
Note: Shortly after publication, the headline for this story was corrected because it may have been unintentionally misleading
Is there a single model that predicted a significant snowfall in New England this spring? I recall all the fall El nino chatter that would yield a warmish winter out east. Is this the raveling of El Nino?
Could be, the el Ninos are just hiccups on the 60 year cycle, which may be about to turn around.
Missing in the fine print, but available on late night talk radio, in the Gore moment of this Spring “Fresh weather” there was a news bulletin from the south; Alabama or Mississippi I think, where they were enjoying some early summer warmth. Just south of Snowmobile.
That news item missed by the MSM.
They had a flurry of thunderstorms and Tornados. Luckily not a great deal of damage, or injuries.
But it reinforces the observation that Tornadic Storms are caused by Cold air (Arctic Blasts) rather than hot air.
Yes the energy of the warm air is require to power the storm, but the cold air is required to create the instability.
No I am NOT a meteorologicist; merely an observant observer.
G
Well of course this weather event was predicted 50 days ago by a warm water pattern ion the north eastern Pacific that was the same geometrical shape as this snow flurry.
That’s the new Extreme weather predictor, the shape of that 50 day old water patch.
G
See WUWT for confirmation of that story.
Hi big G
US is a big country, big weather.
Here in UK we never get any of that big stuff, small country, little sunshine, even less snow, a bit more rain and that’s about it.
vuk,
Well you do have windmills. And heffalumps.
Well fess up Vuk;
You ‘ chaps ‘ don’t even remember what snow is. It’s been a good two years or so since you were last covered in it, from Lands End to John-O-Groats.
The only ‘snow’ you’ll be getting is a job from your Par-lament.
G
Off the subject but…..
This new data dump, “Panama Papers” on big wheels of Government hiding the ball on money.
May be a good thing to find a group ect. to run the names of the high end types like Al Gore of Climate Change hiding the profits via these off shore corp charters and banking.
One of them seems to be the current leader of Iceland who had and used one as the rest of his country went belly up.
Just saying,,, due diligence.
Is Al Gore still in the northeast? I do remember a press conference with various AG’s last week, and given his record, there should be a blizzard:-)
As usual, Buffalo gets the big snow dump.
We got the edge of it in Toronto and the free newspaper I looked at on the subway (before the event) informed me that “new science” explains how global warming causes cooling, and that it was related to loss of Arctic sea ice. Apparently this is “the new normal”. Good to know that the mainstream media are on top of the situation.
My memory isn’t always what it should be but I seem to remember a lot of early April snowstorms. In fact, it feels a lot like “the old normal” to me.
Here in upstate NY on the eastern side we got over half a foot of snow and high today which is below freezing!
Easter egg hunts in the snow, in Wichita Falls area in the 1950’s.
Joe Bastardi has been forecasting this cold spell for some time. You don’t have to go back very far (April 2007) to find a significant snow storm in April.
My records from near Concord NH go back to 1999. For April snowfall totals, I had about 12″ in 2003 and 2007, and 6″ in 2011. (30 and 15 cm.) Details at http://wermenh.com/sdd/index.html
From 2003:
http://wermenh.com/images/table_apr.jpg
No big whoop, and not enough to offset some of the warm months we had late last year, and no chance to salvage the snow season – about 20″ this year, my previous low was some 43″. Blech! Albany NY has had much less snow.
The all-time best April storm was the April Fool’s day storm in 1997,
http://www.wcvb.com/weather/No-Joke-Remembering-April-Fool-s-Day-blizzard/19535990
http://images.ibsys.com/2011/0329/27360071.jpg
The biggest May snow storm I recall brought wet snow to leafed out maple trees. Many people lost power for a week. 1977.
http://www.examiner.com/article/35-years-ago-today-a-may-snowstorm-slammed-parts-of-new-york-2
Today’s event will be remembered by no one in New England.
>>The all-time best April storm was the April Fool’s day 1997.
Which was also an el Nino year.
R
That ‘ll slow the running game down.
There’s always at least one grumbling curmudgeon, and today I guess it’s me. I think this kind of post is a waste of blog space. As I’ve said many times before, I hold our side to a higher standard. No question the world has warmed this year, likely due in large measure to the now expiring el nino. Can’t we just embrace that gracefully? Now let’s see what happens if as the model are increasingly predicting, we have a significant la nina.
I can understand why a post like this might be tempting, but I think it would be better to fight the urge..
(aka poker guy)
What a wet blanket you are – or perhaps an ice blanket….
New England Cable News (NECN) had a spot with Jim Cantore who is in Cleveland today. Forecast game time temperatures for Cleveland vs. Boston (Go Sox!) is 33F.
(Jim Cantore is with The Weather Channel and gets sent core of the “interesting” weather events. If you see him during hurricane season, evacuate!)
Actually no. Well, it may have happened since I gave up the weather channel a long time ago but they would send Jim hurricane hunting; I’m assuming trying to get in the eye. Jim would look dead after 3 or so days of different locations and the storm always seemed to land somewhere else.
Is that like the Gore effect in reverse?
NCEP GFS reanalysis certainly confirms the huge cold region over north and eastern North America: http://pamola.um.maine.edu/fcst_frames/GFS-025deg/DailySummary/GFS-025deg_WORLD-CED_T2_anom.jpg
Northern hemisphere in general is 1.10C warmer than average for the date though (based on 1979 – 2000 average). The high Arctic and north central Russia are hogging all the heat.
As these same placed did during EVERY Ice Age. That is, warmer than NY. No glaciers a mile thick covering much of Siberia whereas Canada and parts of US were under a mile of ice.
Heck, that is nothing. It snowed in Guadeloupe, which is in the a tropical zone, with an average annual temperature of 26 degrees C. This is impossible, of course, so it goes beyond an event, unprecedented:
http://www.stlucianewsonline.com/caribbean-snow-falls-in-guadeloupe-in-extraordinary-weather-phenomenon/
Vietnam and parts of Japan this year too seen snowfall where they have none on record previously.
of course, leaning towards colder climate is because of global warming.
If memory serves me correctly, warm events are far outweighed by cold extremes since 2010. 6 years, even with El Nino, and as Bob T rightly pointed out, we may be attributing changes to El Nino when they could be caused by the as of yet, completely unknown driver/s of the El Nino phenomenon.
If we cant even give a good guess as to El Nino’s drivers then we do not actually understand much about our chaotic climatic system, except that there are certain aspects that are not so chaotic, El Nino was forecast to do what it was going to do (by rational people) Piers Corbyn has forecast all of the events in the US weather in December 2015 and early Jan 2016.
El Nino is part of some sort of process and we have no idea what. This is just more evidence that our current knowledge is insufficient to make any forecasts of note beyond a few months, any longer positive long term forecasts or predictions of accuracy are luck nothing more. There is a very finite set of resulting conditions, hot cold wet dry ect, publish enough nonsense and some of them will be right purely by the law of averages and the limited scope of predicted outcome, call it climate card counting 😀
I believe it didn’t happen. I checked Google – the highest peak I saw was some 1200m. Hawaii I could believe.
Roy Spencer says it didn’t happen too – http://www.drroyspencer.com/2016/04/update-it-did-not-snow-in-guadeloupe/
Didn’t snow in Guadeloupe? Then what’s this white stuff falling? Al Gore’s dandruff?
http://m.la1ere.francetvinfo.fr/guadeloupe/apres-les-grelons-saint-claude-la-neige-345627.html#xtref=http://dominicanewsonline.com/news/homepage/news/weather/snow-falls-in-guadeloupe-in-extraordinary-weather-phenomenon/
Activate the John Holdren talking head at the WH.
Can you buy a John Holdren bobble head in Washington DC.
Last souvenir, I purchased in DC was a bottle of ‘Watergate gin’. I got it in a liquor store in the basement of the Watergate complex, to remind me, of what the Watergate Stock Market crash cost me; by scrubbing our Startup LED Company IPO.
Never opened the bottle, but some *$%@#($^ folks burglarized my house and they opened it and drank a good bit of it. There aren’t enough camels in all of Arabia, to properly flea infest the armpits of those *$%@(#$^ s.
g
I’ve got friends and family in that region, but I’m way out west.
I wrote to them last week. They brought in more firewood and brandy.
There will be a lot of leafy and flowering things get zapped tonight.
Maybe readers could take some before and after pictures. Before means today.
Thanks A. W.
When is weather = climate and when is weather != climate?
it depends entirely on which way the anomaly swings 😛
I was a big Montreal Expos fan back in 68 through the 70’s until the moved indoors, I remember most opening days postponed because of cold weather. Obama should attend the game in Boston tonight in the same getup as in Cuba . Montreal – 10 c tonight.
Boston’s game is in Cleveland. Plenty cold enough there. 33F, 0.5C
Joe Bastardi called it.
More unpredictable, extreme weather to be attributed to global warming/climate change.
Actually it was predicted in early Jan 2015 by WeatherAction, some events predicted as far back as Dec 2015.
Although UK based, they have a pretty decent record on anomalous US weather events, including predicting a hurricane and that it would not hit land, 80 days in advance.
Solar magnetic and planet and lunar cycles used for prediction. With that kind of accuracy, and being referred to in the past as the super weather man, and has consistently proven the UK met office useless, and predicted the record snows in 2010 when the met said mild.. and predicted Met barbecue summers were nonsense, it is a wonder why anyone listens to the Met, they even lost the BBC contract.
WeatherAction predicted that August 2014 would be record warm for the UK:
“Piers Corbyn, forecaster for WeatherAction, said a colossal swathe of roasting air is poised to flood in from Spain and the Sahara Desert….“We are definitely looking at what could turn out to be the hottest August on record after a cooler start to the month.””
http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/493781/SHOCK-WEATHER-FORECAST-Hottest-August-in-300-YEARS-on-way-as-jet-stream-BOILS-Britain
__________________
Alas, August 2014 turned out to be the only month in the UK that set ‘below’ average temperatures in a year that broke high temperature records in both the UK and the much older Central England Temperature (CET) data sets.
You win some and you lose some. The trick is in making your audience forget about the predictions that flunked.
…and this is why I pay no attention to Piers Corbyn -Anthony
Weather is such an archaic term. It is celebrated on occasion by only 3 percent of scientists who see it as the random event that it is. The rest apparently wait for the Ministry of Truth to explain it.
As I recall, there was near 40″ snow near Tazwell, VA first week of April, 1987. I got 12″ of very wet snow (mixed w/rain) at the time in Blacksburg, VA.
The only word that comes to mind is the one that seems to be in fashion among climate elites when warm weather extremes happen (at least on twitter):
“Wow, just wow.”
Oh sorry, that’s 3 words, isn’t it.
North America is not following the global warming trend . It has not done so for a decade and a half , but NOAA will not tell you that. The trend of United States annual temperature anomalies shows a decline over 18 years or since 1998.
WINTER (-1.67 F/DECADE) COOLING
FALL (-0.04 F/DECADE) COOLING (FLAT)
SPRING (+0.12 F/DECADE) WARMING (FLAT)
SUMMER (+0.24 F/DECADE) WARMING
ANNUAL (-0.22 F/DECADE) COOLING
These temperature anomaly trend declines are similar to past temperature declines in United States during 1895-1920 and again 1953 -1979. A similar cool period seems to have started during the current decade.
Regional trend of US Annual temperature anomalies since 1998 including 2015 numbers
6 out of 9 climate regions show a cooling trend
• OHIO VALLEY -0.7 F/decade
• UPPER MIDWEST -1.2 F/decade
• NORTH EAST -0.2F/decade
• NORTHWEST +0.4 F/decade
• SOUTH -0.4 F/decade
• SOUTHEAST -0.1 F/decade
• SOUTHWEST + 0.1 F/decade
• WEST +1 F/decade
• NORTHERN ROCKIES & PLAINS -0.5 F/decade
Similar cooling trend is taking place in Canada
Here are the Canadian annual temperature departures since 1998
REGIONAL PATTERN FOR ANNUAL TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES TREND SINCE 1998-2015
• ATLANTIC CANADA – DECLINING
• GREAT LAKES & ST LAWRENCE -DECLINING
• NORTHEASTERN FOREST –DECLINING
• NORTHWESTERN FOREST –DECLINING
• PRAIRIES – DECLINING
• SOUTH BC MOUNTAINS – DECLINING
• PACIFIC COAST- RISING BUT FLAT ( RISING DUE TO EXTRA WARM NORTH PACIFIC LAST FEW YEARS)
• YUKON/NORTH BC MOUNTAINS – DECLINING
• MACKENZIE DISTRICT- DECLINING BUTFLAT
• ARCTIC TUNDRA FLAT ( ANOMALIES HAVE DROPPED 3 DEGREES SINCE 2010
• ARCTIC MOUNTAINS & FIORDS -RISING BUT FLAT( ANOMALIES HAVE DROPPED 4 DEGREES SINCE 2010)
TOTAL ANNUAL CANADA TREND – DECLINING TEMPERATURE DEPARTURES ( 8 OUT OF 11 DISTRICTS COOLING ,,2 WARMING BUT ALMOST FLAT, ONE COMPLETELY FLAT
SEASONAL PATTERN FOR CANADA AS A WHOLE SINCE 1998
Winter trend TEMPERATURE DEPARTURES ARE DECLINING
Spring trend TEMPERATURE DEPARTURES ARE DECLINING
Summer trend RISE IN TEMPERATURE DEPARTURES
Fall trend TEMPERATURE DEPARTURES ARE FLAT
All temperature data comes from the Environment Canada web page.
I like it when it targets the constituents of Markey. They deserve it most.
Ouch..the truth hurts
Since personification of weather events seems to have become the norm on The Storm Channel, perhaps CO2 is not a baseball fan?
Well, its the morning of April 5th, and the results are in. The last chart above wasn’t far off the mark. It was 27F in Central Park, NYC and 28-29F in DC – cherry blossom land, with colder temps outside of the Urban Heat Island effect areas…
2016 looks to have its feet firmly on the path of “ Warmest Year Evah!”
Enjoy.