Dr Ryan Maue of Weatherbell follows the data, wherever that data leads him. He’s not shy of telling it like it is. Yesterday he released what I consider the most important graph of the year.
For all those people that want to claim 2015/2016 “proves” that human caused global warming is at work (while at the same time ignoring a record El Niño event as seen above), this graph indisputably proves that the El Niño is the driver of record high temperatures, not carbon dioxide.
He wrote this on Twitter while providing the graph below.
Easy to see effect of El Nino on global temps by concurrently plotting tropical & global temp anomaly time series
Tropical temps increased relative to normal from April to Oct during El Nino onset. Global temps caught up in October. In sync since.
Pretty definitive, in my opinion.
Note: based on comments, the first ENSO event graph caption was updated to clarify it, and a second SST graph was added for those who prefer that representation of the ENSO event.