Nassim Taleb Strikes Again

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Following up on his brilliant earlier work “The Black Swan”, Taleb has written a paper called Error, Dimensionality, and Predictability (draft version). I could not even begin to do justice to this tour-de-force, so let me just quote the abstract and encourage you to read the paper.   Abstract—Common intuitions are…

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Saturday satire – Hot spot or not?

Josh writes: It is good to see Christopher Booker writing about the UK’s ‘hottest day of the year’ in the Telegraph again. Paul Homewood’s excellent posts, on which his article is based, are well worth reading. The story on Paul’s blog starts here, with more here, and Booker’s first Telegraph article, followed by more doubts, some Met Office spin, then a belated response, comment moderation, and finally…

Californian Recycling Fraud Case

Guest essay by Eric Worrall A Californian truck driver has been charged with smuggling tons of used beverage containers from out of state into California, to defraud the California Redemption Value (CRV), which pays out 5 – 10c per beverage container at Californian recycling centres. According to Reuters; A Los Angeles-area truck driver has been…

The Kavachi Sharcano

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The Solomon Islands, where I lived for eight years, is just north of Australia and just south of the Equator. It is part of the “Ring Of Fire”, the area of strong earthquake and volcanic activity that encircles the Pacific. You can see below that the islands are on a…